Kiwidollar
Kiwi to Falter? - Ichimoku NZD/USD Short Trade Opportunity The good NFP and economic data helped the USD surge across most major pairs on friday. I am looking for a drawback then chance to hop on to some hopefully continued strength. I would like to see a drawback and rejection at the zone I've drawn to validate a sell upon a kumo breakout. We have our ichimoku bearish confirmations, but we'll want to see those hold and continue to develop. As an alternative I may set a sell stop below the previous candles wick to enter short, should we break that level of support without getting the drawback I want to see. If either of these scenarios fail to develop, this setup may become invalidated.
Yen selling looks short-lived
By Andria Pichidi - June 17, 2019
NZDJPY has remained buoyant at 70.70 after bouncing from a 5-month low on Friday at 70.42, on Yen selling. This price action comes with there being little directional impulse in stock markets in Europe or Asia, but also as Kiwi leads gains since Asia Pacific trading amid better risk sentiment.
Markets are anticipating major central banks to maintain their accommodative policy postures if not to suggest a more dovish stance. The Fed, BoJ, and BoE all meet this week and though none is expected to change rates, market participants will be eager to gauge any shift in tone.
In Japan, the BoJ meets Wednesday-Thursday, and it is widely expected to maintain unchanged policy, attached with more-stimulus-if-needed-down-the-road guidance. Last week, Governor Kuroda told Bloomberg that the central bank had further tools in its stimulus toolkit, though he said further accommodation was not needed at the present juncture.
In data, Japan’s May trade report (Wednesday) should see the prior JPY 56.8 bln surplus flip to a JPY 1,000 bln deficit. May national CPI (Friday) should see overall inflation fall to 0.6% y/y from 0.9%, while on a core basis, we expect a 0.5% y/y reading versus 0.9% in April.
Both the BoJ and this week’s data releases are unlikely to have much directional bearing on the Yen. US-China trade tensions have taken a back seat ahead of next week’s G20 gathering, although the lack of preparatory ministerial-level meetings before the summit suggests that the best that could be hoped for is cordiality between the two sides. If not, the is JPY expected to resume its upwards path, driven by safe-haven demand.
Hence, the pair could return down to year’s lows. Today’s under-performance of the Yen reflects the overbought performance of the Yen so far, hence it looks like a correction of the trend.
As the asset moved to the upside so far today, and on the break of the latest up fractal at 70.71, further intraday incline is expected, with next immediate Resistance at 70.80-70.85 (50-period EMA in the hourly chart and midpoint of Friday’s bearish candle). Support is set at 70.60 (23.6% Fib level). A closing today above 70.85 could suggest the retest of a 20-day EMA at 71.40 within the week, however, this scenario looks doubtful, as intraday bullish candles look to shrink something that suggests that incline is already running out of steam.
Hourly momentum indicators have been improved, however, they are still negatively configured. The daily momentum indicators continue to signal further downwards movement for the asset, with MACD lines forming a bearish cross within the negative area and RSI close to 30.
Therefore, overall outlook remains bearish for the asset from the technical but also the fundamental perspective. Medium term Resistance is set at 71.20 (Friday’s peak), 71.40 (20-day SMA). Support at 70.35 (day’s low).
Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
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Kiwi Ready to Rise? - Ichimoku NZD/USD Long Trade SetupThis is the same setup as last week as we continue to watch this develop. We have formed a new higher lower but I still want to see that break of price structure resistance before I open a long position. There may be some volatility this week as more Trade War rhetoric is hashed out by the Trump administration. It may give us the push this setup needs to get a bullish breakout. If we can't break through that price structure resistance or if we break back down below our new price structure lower high, this setup may become invalidated.
NZDUSD Clean and simple (NOT EASY)Ok, for all the people asking me why i have clean all my charts... i have a lot going on in my charts, but im not gonna share all of my effort for free, im giving you the call. For me that is enough. If you want to learn how i do my analysis and how you can improve your trading: DM me in this platform for mor info. Enjoy the profits my friend
NZDUSD Swing Low Buy OpportunityThe Kiwi saw a nice ~30 pip pullback during the US trading session today after gaining 60 pips over the previous 2 days. With still plenty of room to grow on the H4 RSI and a failure to close below the day's open I see this move continuing on upward this week to at least to the ~0.691 levels where we were before last week's interest rate announcement.
If you want in on this move, now is the time to do it.
AUD/NZD to move up in AprilAfter ECB & FED turn dovish mentioning global slowdown, RBNZ had no option except signalling next move to be rate cut. RBA have already been pretty dovish helping AUD/NZD to touch monthly lows in JAN - MAR. AUD/NZD finally been able to close above daily 20sma, also forms good bullish candle on monthly chart. AUD/NZD seems ready to rally in coming days/weeks. Risk remain RBA meeting on Tuesday if they announce rate cut coming sooner than later, but that will ultimately provide better rate to buy AUD/NZD. Support remain psychological area of 1.04 & 20sma near 1.360. Target to focus are 1.0490 to 1.05(daily cloud & daily 100sma) followed by 1.06 & 1.0650 .
Kiwi Index Approached Support, Prepare For A Further Rise
Kiwi index approached its support at 6.8796 (horizontal swing low support, 100% Fibonacci extension,50% Fibonacci retracement) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 6.9311(38.2% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback resistance ).
Stochastic (34, 5, 3) is approaching its support where a corresponding bounce could occur.
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Another Short Opportunity for NZDUSDWe had a successful trade of NZDUSD earlier this week. I believe this is another chance to short this pair. I'll state my reasons below.
First, on the Daily TF, a 3-pin pattern was formed, but I know it's not the most perfect 3-pin formation. It gives us a reversal signal.
Second, on the 4H TF, it formed mini LHs and LLs, which show a downward pressure.
My stop loss is just 15 pips above the first mini LH and also above the descending trend line. My TP is the previous low as shown on the chart.
I don't expect this trade to play out this week. I'm gonna hold over the weekends and we will see a result next week.
Have a good weekend.
Potential NZDUSD SetupThis setup is based on the 4H chart. The overall trend is bearish, and I expect the price action (PA) to follow through. As I labelled on the chart, an evening star formed suggesting a reversal sign. The ideal situation is that we need to see a reversal signal on the Daily chart, so it will give us a stronger bias.
If the price push up again, I'll sell this pair. Let's see if the market will give us another chance.
NZDUSD MACD DIVERGENCE TRADING OPPORTUNITYClearly you can Up trends been broken, divergence on MACD indicator and the price tending to go to the downside on the bollinger bands.I also noticed that the price is at current highs on daily view or 4H so you know the motto ''Sell High & Buy low''.The pair also is heavily correlated to EURNZD who is showing heavy bearish sign's. I've entered a short on Kiwi dollar at 0.6880 with a SL at 0.6950 and I'm gonna let it ride for couple of days or weeks.I will take profit on my position when I reached a point of 1:2 on my risk/reward ratio.I would love to have feedback's of my analysis or other point of views on the pair.
#NZDUSD - Intermediate (C) - February Wave Counts - Part 10#NZDUSD labeled in a bullish sequence in Intermediate (C) (turquoise), with Minor 1 & 2 (green) marked as complete.
Minute II (green) should be complete or about to finalize, thus leaving room for Minute III (green) to start its bullish swings very soon.
Kiwi Dollar should rally from here.
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Many pips ahead!






















