3,417 – 3,360 (final defense for buyers).1. Price Structure
Gold has surged strongly from 3,360 → 3,657, forming a steep uptrend inside a rising wedge channel.
Currently, price is near the upper boundary of the wedge and has just made a pullback.
2. Pattern & Technical Signals
A rising wedge pattern is visible, which often signals downside pressure when price touches the upper boundary.
The recent candlestick shows a long upper wick, indicating strong selling pressure around the 3,657 top.
The blue arrow on the chart highlights a potential correction back toward the wedge’s lower trendline.
3. Fibonacci Support Levels
From the rally 3,360 → 3,657:
Fib 0.786 = 3,573: short-term support, likely to be tested.
Fib 0.618 = 3,508: key medium-term support.
Fib 0.382 = 3,417: if this breaks, the short-term uptrend could reverse.
Red zone (3,360 – 3,417): a strong demand zone, may attract buying interest again.
4. Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 (primary):
Price continues to correct down toward 3,573 – 3,508, then rebounds if the trendline holds.
Suitable for trend-following buys if reversal signals appear around the 0.618 Fib.
Scenario 2 (breakdown of wedge):
If price breaks below the wedge and Fib 0.5/0.382, it could drop back to 3,360 – 3,417.
In that case, the short-term bullish trend weakens → short opportunities may open up.
5. Conclusion
Gold is currently in a correction phase after a strong rally.
Key levels to watch:
3,573 – 3,508 (decisive for holding or losing the uptrend).
3,417 – 3,360 (final defense for buyers).
👉 Short-term: wait for price action signals around 0.786 – 0.618 Fib zone to consider buying with the trend.
👉 Medium-term: if 3,417 breaks, bearish momentum could return.
Lanalisitecnicanoneungioco
likely rebound; breaking below → retest of 3,418 support.1. Overall Trend
Gold has just experienced a very strong rally, creating a peak around 3,674 – 3,675.
After touching the red resistance trendline, price showed signs of reversal and is now in a correction.
The structure looks like an ABC corrective wave (Elliott/Zigzag type).
2. Key Fibonacci Levels
Fibonacci is drawn from the latest swing low to the new high, important levels are:
0.382: 3,418 – overlaps with a strong support zone (purple box).
0.5: 3,468 – psychological midpoint, potential buy zone.
0.618: 3,516 – golden ratio, often a strong reversal point.
0.786: 3,586 – if broken decisively, price may retest the strong support around 3,418.
3. Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 (main):
Price corrects down to the Fib 0.618–0.786 (3,516 – 3,586) area, then bounces higher. This is a “buy on dip” zone if reversal signals appear.
Scenario 2 (bearish):
If selling pressure is strong, price could break lower and head toward the major support around 3,418 – 3,420 (confluence of Fib 0.382 and prior structure support).
Scenario 3 (less likely):
Price holds above the dotted trendline → retests 3,674. But this scenario has lower probability since a corrective pattern is forming.
4. Short-Term Trading Suggestions
Buy strategy: Wait for price to reach 3,516 – 3,586 and look for bullish reversal signals (pin bar, engulfing). Stop loss below 3,500.
Sell strategy: If price breaks below 3,586 with strong momentum/volume, short-term sell targets are 3,516 – 3,468.
👉 In summary: Gold is in a corrective phase after a sharp rally. The 3,516 – 3,586 zone will decide the short-term direction. Holding above it → likely rebound; breaking below → retest of 3,418 support.