LINK: The Spring is About to BreakWe're sitting at the apex of a textbook converging wedge with just $0.07 of room left. 20 touches on ascending support ($12.19), 13 touches on descending resistance ($12.26), and price currently at $12.30. The coiled spring scenario is here—something gives within the next few bars.
1. THE TECHNICAL REALITY 📉
• Wedge compression: Width contracted from $14.62 to $0.07 over 467 bars—apex reached
• Macro structure: Price below EMA50 ($12.42) and EMA200 ($13.22)—bearish trend intact
• Current position: Testing middle Bollinger Band ($12.27), just above EMA20 ($12.29)
• ADX at 41.3: Strong trending environment confirmed
2. THE INDICATORS ⚖️
Bearish Signals:
• Bearish order block overhead at $12.31-$12.52 acting as supply
• Volume 63% below average ($622K vs $1.66M)—weak conviction on bounce
• Swing trend bearish despite trading in discount zone
• Upper wick 29.3% showing rejection at resistance
Bullish Signals:
• MACD bullish crossover (MACD -0.0311 above Signal -0.0451)
• Lower wick 59.8% showing strong support attempts
• Bullish order block below at $12.21-$12.63 providing demand
• RSI neutral at 54.4, MFI at 67.3 (elevated but not extreme)
The Conflict:
MACD suggests momentum shift, but volume tells the opposite story. Without conviction behind this bounce, the 59.8% lower wick represents indecision rather than strength. Structure trumps oscillators here.
3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯
🔴 Scenario A: Wedge Breakdown (Higher Probability - 68%)
• Trigger: 4H close below $12.21 (bullish OB support break)
• Entry: Confirmation below $12.21 with volume
• Target: $11.73 (weak low liquidity sweep, 4.70% distance)
• Stop: 4H close above $12.52
Logic: Price rejects at $12.52 bearish OB (aligns with descending resistance), breaks 20-touch ascending support at $12.19, sweeps equal lows at $11.73 where unprotected buy-side liquidity sits. Converging wedges typically break in direction of prior trend—which is down.
🟢 Scenario B: Breakout Reversal
• Trigger: Decisive break above $12.52 with volume
• Entry: 4H close above $12.52 (breaks bearish OB + descending resistance)
• Target: $14.19 (premium zone threshold, triggers CHoCH bullish)
• Invalidation: Rejection back below $12.52
Logic: Reclaiming $14.19 invalidates entire bearish structure and signals bulls have control. Given positioning below EMA50/200 and bearish swing trend, assigning lower probability to this outcome.
MY VERDICT
Risk-reward favors the breakdown. The 20-touch ascending support at $12.19 breaking on volume would be a significant technical event that accelerates selling. Wait for confirmation rather than front-running—the wedge apex doesn't care about your bias, it breaks based on order flow.
LINK
TradeCityPro | LINK Compressing in Triangle, Breakout Ahead👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to review LINK, one of the RWA projects, which with a market cap of $8.78 billion is ranked 12th on CoinMarketCap.
⏳ 4-hour timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, LINK has a support zone near the $12 area, and together with a descending trendline, it has formed a descending triangle.
🎯 The trigger for breaking this triangle to the downside is the break of the $12 support zone, and 12.16 will be the first short trigger.
⚡️ However, if the triangle breaks to the upside, we can open a long position using the 12.80 trigger. In this case, the price can move toward 14.65.
📊 The volume on this coin has been decreasing for about a week and is gradually getting lower. If the breakout of either trigger is accompanied by increasing volume, the new trend can continue.
💥 Overall, since the price is currently between 12.16 and 14.65, the market does not have strong momentum, and for this reason, we can open both long and short positions.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Link USD LONG IDEA. (BULLISH ORDER FLOW)Market Structure Context
Overall structure remains bullish (higher highs & higher lows).
Recent downside move is corrective, not impulsive.
No bearish break of structure on the higher timeframe → trend intact.
Key Zones (Institutional Interest)
Bullish Order Block at the origin of the last impulsive up-move.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This setup assumes normal market conditions.
Avoid trading during major news releases.
#LINK/USDT – Triangle Pattern Breakout Loading?#LINK
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected.
There is a key support zone in green at 12.00. The price has bounced from this level multiple times and is expected to bounce again.
We have a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement.
Entry price: 12.21
First target: 12.38
Second target: 12.62
Third target: 12.93
Don't forget a simple principle: money management.
Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
LINK/USDT 4H Short-Term🔍 Market structure
• Local trend: it was upward (black trend line), it was broken down
• This means lost momentum for the bulls and a transition into correction/consolidation
• No higher low structure yet → the trend is not rebuilt
⸻
📉 Price vs levels (key zones)
🔴 Support:
• 12.20 – upcoming, very important
• 12.00 – psychological + technical
• 11.74 – last line of defense for the bulls
👉 Going below 12.20 increases the chances of 11.74
🟢 Resistances:
• 12.61 – currently strong resistance (flip S/R)
• 12.95 – local peak
• 13.21 – main target when the trend returns
⸻
📊 Momentum – Stochastic RSI
• Indicator close to the oversold zone
• Possible:
• short technical bounce
• BUT without trend confirmation (no HH/HL)
⚠️ Rebound ≠ trend change
⸻
📌 Scenarios (Highlights)
🟡 Scenario A – corrective reflection
• Weapon price 12.20
• Move up to 12.61
• Perfect place for supply response
👉 If 12.61 is rejected → further consolidation or decline
⸻
🔴 Scenario B – continued decline
• 4H close below 12.20
• Movement towards 12.00 → 11.74
• Only there is reasonable demand
⸻
🟢 Scenario C – bulls return (least likely now)
• Breakout and holding above 12.61
• Structure confirmation (HH + HL)
• Targets: 12.95 → 13.21
$LINK - price update: BIST:LINK - price update:
Weekly demand zone is holding well.
Current price remains bearish (weekly & daily), but a triple bottom is possible at $ 11.80 ..
The reality:
Support is holding for now, but momentum remains pretty bearish inside the downtrend channel... 📉
Key levels:
🎯 $ 11.00
🎯 $ 10.20
🎯 $ 11.70
🎯 $ 13.30
🎯 $ 14.70
LINK - Same Base, Same Question: Is Another Impulse Loading?📊LINK has been respecting a very clean long-term structure.
Each major sell-off has found support around the rising blue trendline, followed by a strong impulsive move higher. This behavior has repeated multiple times, creating a clear rhythm:
correction → base → impulse.🔁
Right now, price is once again sitting on that same structural support, right above the horizontal support zone. The market has slowed down, volatility has compressed, and sellers are losing momentum, conditions that often precede expansion.
The big question now is simple 🤔
Will LINK deliver another impulse from the same base?
⚔️As long as price holds above the trendline and support, the focus remains on trend-following bullish continuation. A clean reaction here keeps the structure intact. A decisive break below would invalidate the setup and change the narrative.
Patience matters here. Let price confirm its intent.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
LINK - BULLISH SETUP ONGOING #LINK - My H4 setup is still ongoing 📈
The current price broke above a 2+ month downtrend channel structure.
It's currently consolidating nicely, likely confirming a breakout & retest before the next big move & trend shift 📈
Big support levels:
13.30− 13.00 - $12.60
Levels to watch for a SWING play:
🎯 $ 14.80
🎯 $ 15.40
🎯 $ 15.80
🎯 $ 16.50
🎯 $17.00
Not financial advice. Educational TA only. DYOR & trade at your own risk.
Chainlink (LINK) – The Final Stage of a 5-Year CompressionChainlink (LINK) – The Final Stage of a 5-Year Compression**
The chart is telling one very clear story:
> **Chainlink is approaching the end of a 4-year descending macro trend while sitting on a 3-year accumulation floor.**
> The moment these two structures converge, a major regime shift usually follows.
**“The 5-Year Pressure Is About to Break.”**
---
🔹 **1) The 4-Year Descending Macro Trend (2021 → 2025)**
The red arrows mark the same long-term trendline connecting the major tops of:
* 2021
* 2022
* 2024
This line has acted as the **spine of the bear market**.
And LINK is now marching **back into this line for the next major test**.
A break here is not just a trend break.
It is a **market regime shift**.
---
🔹 **2) The 3-Year Horizontal Accumulation Floor**
The green curved bottoms highlight how:
* 2022
* 2023
* 2024
* and late 2025
have all produced **identical bottom structures** around the 12–13$ region.
This is:
**A large, asymmetric inverse H&S (iH&S) structure**
Ugly, uneven, but extremely powerful.
Key observations:
* Bottoms don’t break
* Selling is absorbed
* Volatility is compressing
* Strong structural demand refuses to give way
This is **large-scale accumulation**, not weakness.
---
🔹 **3) Weekly RSI – The Macro Cycle Floor**
The RSI bottom line around **34** has marked every major cyclical low since 2018:
* 2018 bear bottom
* 2020 crash
* 2022 bear bottom
* 2023 correction
* **And right now**
LINK’s **macro oscillator cycle is at bottom territory** — a region historically followed by multi-month expansions.
---
🔹 **4) Technically, the picture is this:**
* **A 4-year descending trendline above**
* **A 3-year accumulation zone below**
* **RSI sitting at cycle lows inside**
This is the type of setup that precedes massive impulsive waves.
---
⭐ **"Chainlink is coiled inside a high-timeframe expansion structure."**
When these structures break, they don’t produce small moves —
they produce **cycle expansions**.
---
🔹 **5) Fundamental Drivers – Why This Cycle Is Different for LINK**
Chainlink now sits at the center of crypto’s real infrastructure layer.
**1) CCIP (Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol)**
Adopted by:
* BlackRock
* DTCC
* SWIFT
* Multiple banks and RWA platforms
2024–2025 marks the first time traditional finance begins using LINK’s infrastructure at scale.
**2) Oracle fee growth**
The rise of RWA (Real-World Assets) means:
* More data feeds
* More volume
* More fees
* More burn pressure on the token economy
Chainlink’s tokenomics finally enter a structurally bullish regime.
**3) Macro Altcoin Liquidity Expansion**
In every cycle, certain infrastructure tokens become early movers.
LINK is positioned to be one of them due to:
* Dominance in the oracle sector
* Institutional integrations
* Network effects
---
🧭 **6) Probable Scenario (Technical)**
**Bullish scenario (primary expectation):**
* Break above the 4-year trendline
* Weekly close above **18–20$**
→ 29–32$
→ 46$
→ **Macro target: 70–75$**
**Bearish scenario (lower probability):**
* Breakdown below 13$
→ liquidity sweep toward 9–10$
(Indicators currently reject this scenario)
Log MACD
---
LINK/BTC 1w
LINKBTC has been compressing inside a falling wedge for nearly 6 years — one of the longest and cleanest structures in the entire market.
Multi-cycle descending trendline overhead
Perfectly defended accumulation line below
Volatility squeezed to historical lows
Sellers exhausted
Breakout energy building
LINKUSD and LINKBTC both aligning for macro upside
This is not a short-term chart.
This is a cycle-level setup.
And setups like this usually end the same way:
“Compression → Breakout → Parabolic Repricing vs Bitcoin.”
LINKBTC has been “ignored” for years because LINK’s USD pair looked stable while BTC outperformed.
But structurally:
BTC strength pushed LINKBTC down
LINK never lost its demand trendline
A massive energy coil has formed
When BTC dominance stalls or rotates,
LINKBTC normally enters a full expansion cycle.
Historically:
LINKBTC expansions are violent
They outperform BTC by 2–4× in strong phases
This pattern is setting the stage for another one.
🎯 **Conclusion
**Chainlink is approaching the most important structural point since 2020.**
The alignment is extremely rare:
* RSI at cycle lows
* Price at a 3-year demand floor
* Approaching a 4-year macro trendline
* CCIP adoption accelerating
* RWA growth pulling LINK into real-world usage
This is not a normal chart.
This is a **macro cycle setup**.
And these setups usually play out like this:
> **“Trend breaks → FOMO awakens → Expansion begins.”**
LINK/USDT — Historical Block: Bull Revival or Demand Breakdown?LINK is now approaching the most critical level of its multi-year market structure. The price has returned to the exact same demand block that triggered the major bullish expansion in previous cycles. This isn’t just support — it’s a historical liquidity zone where smart money repeatedly positioned itself before every significant rally.
And once again, the market is testing this area.
---
**✨ Market Narrative:
“Back to Where the Trend Began”**
From 2023 to 2025, every approach to the $10–$8.8 zone resulted in heavy absorption, long wicks, and strong reversals. This proves that this area acts as a primary liquidity pool for institutional accumulation.
This current revisit could become:
A bullish revival into a new multi-month uptrend,
or
A full breakdown into deeper distribution if the zone fails.
Simply put:
👉 This is LINK’s “make or break” level.
---
📈 Bullish Scenario — “Demand Awakening”
The bullish thesis activates if price:
Holds above $10–$8.8,
Forms a new higher low,
And closes strongly above $13–$14 on the 4D timeframe.
Signs of accumulation:
Long downside wicks inside the block
Increasing volume after compression
Higher timeframe candle reclaiming previous breakdown points
If confirmed, upside targets unfold naturally:
🎯 Target 1: $15–$17
🎯 Target 2: $21–$26
🎯 Target 3: Retest of the 2024 macro highs (expansion phase)
A reclaim of $17 would signal that the macro bullish trend is re-establishing itself.
---
📉 Bearish Scenario — “Demand Collapse”
The bearish thesis confirms ONLY when price:
Prints a decisive 4D close below $8.8,
Followed by continuation (not just a liquidity wick).
If the demand block breaks, the market shifts from accumulation to full distribution.
Downside targets become likely:
🎯 Target 1: $6–$5
🎯 Target 2: $4.7 (historical low & liquidity magnet)
🎯 Target 3: Full macro range retracement
This breakdown would represent a structural trend shift on the higher timeframe.
---
📊 Pattern & Market Structure Breakdown
Historical Demand Revisit: Price has returned to the core area that defined the previous rally.
Liquidity Grab Evidence: Deep wicks below the block — classic stop hunts before accumulation.
Macro Range Structure: LINK remains inside a multi-year range, hovering at its lower boundary.
Trend Context: Lower highs formed in 2025, and now price is searching for macro direction.
This isn’t ordinary price action —
this is where accumulation and distribution collide.
#LINK #Chainlink #Crypto #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysis #DemandZone #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SmartMoney #CryptoAnalysis #SupportResistance
Chainlink (LINK) Approaching Decision ZoneSymbol: LINK USDT
Timeframe: 4H
LINK is retesting the breakout zone after reclaiming the long term descending trendline.
The market is approaching a key liquidity pocket that will decide the next wave.
Key Points:
• Price reclaimed the multi week trendline
• Consolidation happening inside a golden retrace region
• Breakout retest structure gives a cleaner bullish continuation setup
• Fibonacci 0.5 to 0.786 cluster acting as the main decision zone
Bullish Scenario:
If LINK holds the 12.3 to 12.8 support box and confirms a higher low
then a push toward 14.92 and 17.65 becomes highly probable.
Momentum favours a continuation if buyers step in at the retest.
Bearish Scenario:
Failure of the support box opens the door to 12.29 and even
11.60 where the next liquidity pocket is waiting.
What I am watching:
• Stability above 13.5
• Reaction at the trendline retest
• Volume confirmation on bounce
CHAINLINK – LONG - A WHISPER BEFORE THE BREAKOUTTraders,
I believe BINANCE:LINKUSDT is quietly setting up for another leg up. Let me walk you through the logic.
HTF structure - wedge breakout and retest
Price has broken out of a HTF falling wedge that has been guiding price action for weeks. A falling wedge is a compression pattern where:
Highs and lows are both trending lower
The upper trendline is steeper than the lower one
So sellers are still in control on the surface, but every push down is getting less effective. Once price breaks above the upper wedge line with an impulsive move, it usually means:
Most of the aggressive sell pressure inside the pattern has been absorbed
New buyers are willing to chase higher outside of that structure
That is exactly what I see on $LINKUSDT.
After the breakout, price rotated back down and is currently testing an imbalance zone around 13.75. This area:
Is the origin of the last impulsive leg up
Lines up with a clean Fib potential reversal zone on the LTF
So from a pure structure point of view this is a classic breakout → retest → potential continuation setup.
Order flow - hidden bull divergence and absorption
To see if the idea is backed by real flows, I zoomed into the CVDs and open interest.
On the pullback into 13.7 to 13.8:
Aggregated CVD Spot makes lower lows
Aggregated CVD Futures (stablecoin margined and coin margined) also print lower lows
While price holds a higher low compared to the previous swing
That is a hidden bullish divergence between price and CVD. In simple language: more market selling is hitting the books, but price refuses to break down. This usually means:
Sell pressure is being absorbed by passive buyers
Strong hands are using the dip to accumulate rather than distribute
Open interest supports that idea:
Stablecoin margined OI bled lower during the pullback, which suggests late longs getting flushed and some short covering
Coin margined OI is starting to curl up from the lows, which often signals new directional positioning right where CVD is making new lows and price is holding
That combination looks more like reloading than topping.
Targets and TPO weak highs
Now to the upside magnets. On the HTF and weekly TPO I am watching a series of weak highs that have not been properly tested:
1. 19.03 area - weekly TPO weak high
Formed with very little excess on the profile
Built mostly outside RTH, so it carries less conviction
These kinds of highs often get swept for liquidity before any real reversal happens
2. 20.20 area - second weekly TPO weak high
Similar story, clean horizontal high, thin rejection
Again, not much time spent there, so it looks more like an unfinished auction than a completed top
In my view, both of these levels are liquidity pools rather than solid resistance. If the current wedge breakout plays out, I expect price to at least probe and likely run these highs. From there, my HTF roadmap looks roughly like this:
Major Target 1: sweep the 19.0 weak high and push into the 20.0 to 20.2 block
Major Target 2: extension toward the 10 October liquidation event local high, which I have marked on the chart, and beyond that into the 22.7 to 23.6 region if momentum really kicks in
I also believe that altcoins as a group are eyeing that 10 October liquidation event local high. Many charts show similar untested spikes there, so a broad alt sweep of that zone would fit nicely with this BINANCE:LINKUSDT structure.
Invalidation
No setup is complete without an invalidation. For me the idea loses its edge if:
Price accepts back inside the broken wedge, not just a wick, but clear trade and structure back under the upper wedge line
Especially if that happens with CVD rolling over and OI expanding to the downside
If we get that, it would tell me that the breakout was a trap and that the current demand at 13.7 to 13.8 was not strong enough to hold.
Until that happens, as long as price is holding above the wedge and above the imbalance, I treat this as a constructive continuation setup with unfinished business at those weekly weak highs and the October local high.
As always, the market speaks softly before it moves loudly . Listen well, Nomads.
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If this helped, feel free to like, comment, or share your thoughts below.
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Abbreviation List
HTF – Higher Time Frame
LTF – Lower Time Frame
CVD – Cumulative Volume Delta
OI – Open Interest
TPO – Time Price Opportunity
PRZ – Potential Reversal Zone
RTH – Regular Trading Hours
LINK is at the first POIChainlink is retesting a major long-term trendline that has acted as support for nearly two years. Price has pulled back into a high-volume node, suggesting this region is where the market historically agrees on value.
Momentum is starting to stabilize after a heavy corrective phase, and multiple higher-timeframe oscillators are showing early signs of exhaustion from sellers. As long as LINK holds this structural base, the setup favors a potential rebound back into the mid-range.
However, losing this support would open the door to the next volume pocket lower, where liquidity becomes thin and volatility increases.
This is a key moment for LINK: hold the trendline and re-enter the range, or break down and revisit the lower demand zone.
LINKUSDT – Pullback Opportunity Before Next Leg Up?Chainlink (LINK) has rallied strongly but is now testing resistance, where price action could stall short-term. We're watching for a healthy pullback to reload for the next bullish wave.
🔹 Entry Zone: $12.50 – $13.50
🔹 Take Profit Levels:
• TP1: $15.50 – $16.50
• TP2: $19.00 – $21.00
• TP3: $25.00 – $28.00
🔹 Stop Loss: $11.90
Key Idea: A rejection at current resistance could offer a better long entry. If price dips into the $12.50–$13.50 zone and shows strength, it may kick off the next upward move.
📌 Watching for bullish confirmation in that range. Chart structure still favors upside as long as $11.90 holds.
LINKUSDT UPDATE#LINK
UPDATE
LINK Technical Setup
Pattern: Falling Wedge Pattern
Current Price: $14.49
Target Price: $17.44
Target % Gain: 131.85%
Technical Analysis: LINK is breaking out of a falling wedge pattern on the 1D chart, signaling a bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend. Price has compressed within the wedge structure and is now pushing above the descending resistance trendline, indicating increasing buying pressure. The breakout structure suggests a potential continuation move toward the projected target zone, provided price maintains strength above the breakout area and holds key support levels.
Time Frame: 1D
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
LINK Showing Strength at Long-Term Support ZoneBIST:LINK is bouncing cleanly from its long-term weekly trendline support, keeping the bullish structure intact.
Price is still moving inside a large wedge, and if this rebound continues, a retest of the upper resistance line is likely.
A breakout above that level could open the door for a stronger move.
DYOR, NFA
Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
ChainLink LINK price analysis#LINK is literally standing on the edge…
Right now the price is hanging by a thread:
⚠️ a daily close below $11.50 is highly undesirable — this could open the door to a much deeper drop.
🕒 On the 3D timeframe, the OKX:LINKUSDT chart looks extremely intriguing.
Where do you see #LINK six months from now?
➡️ A push toward $53
or
⬅️ A slide into the $5.50–7.00 zone?
📊 Current #Chainlink market cap: $8B.
Hypothetically, in six months it could be either:
🔻 $4–5B, if the market keeps pressing lower
or
🔺 $37B, if the trend flips and demand flows back in.
❓ What scenario are you leaning toward? A long-term rebound or a deeper liquidity sweep first?
______________
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud






















