AVAXUSDTThis chart is The try that breakout trendline to way in 30$ target.
Supports: 19 - 15 -8.5
Resistance: 23 - 30 - 36
โ ๏ธ Please control money management.
BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
LINK
CHAINLINK LINK - 1D - 1W TFAfter the end of the bear trend, price started forming a clean ascending channel.
The midline of the channel (dashed zone) marks a phase of uncertainty, often leading to shakeouts or temporary consolidations.
Area between the white dashed and green line can be viewed as a position-building zone, where smart money accumulates before a short-term or long-term upward move (ellipses).
Once the price breaks and confirms above this range, the probability of a move toward the upper boundary of the channel increases significantly.
#LINKUSDT Analysis โ Testing Channel Breakout๐ #LINKUSDT Analysis โ Testing Channel Breakout
๐ Published: April 23, 2025
๐ฐ Timeframe: 1D | ๐ Exchange: Binance
๐ Technical Overview
Chainlink has been trading inside a falling channel since December 2024, with lower highs and lower lows. Price is now attempting a breakout from the upper trendline, signaling a potential trend shift.
๐ Pattern: Falling Channel
๐ Attempting Breakout at $14.79
๐ Support base held well at ~$12 zone
๐ Break + Retest = Key Confirmation Setup
๐ฉ Potential Entry Zone
๐ $12.55 โ A strong support and re-entry zone if price rejects the first breakout attempt and retests.
๐ป Panic Level (Invalidation Zone)
๐ $9.5 โ Breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and may trigger a sharp sell-off.
๐ฏ Upside Targets (If Breakout Confirmed):
TP1: $15.67 โ Local structure resistance
TP2: $18.85 โ Range mid-point
TP3: $22.37 โ Channel high
TP4: $27.07 โ Full recovery zone
TP5: $30.76 โ Last breakout top
Ultimate Target: $35.19 (Cycle top)
โ ๏ธ Targets should be scaled into โ not all at once
๐ง Strategy Insight
This is a classic breakout-retest setup from a falling channel.
๐ข Ideal strategy: enter small now, add on retest of breakout line (~$13โ14 zone).
Use tight stops under $12.14, or wider structure-based stop under $9.42 for position trades.
๐ High reward if trend shift confirms. Patience is key.
๐ฃ Whatโs Next?
Watch for volume on breakout, and monitor if BTC remains strong โ altcoins like LINK can quickly outperform if the setup holds.
๐ข A key decision point. Donโt chase โ plan your risk and let price prove the breakout.
Please keep in mind that this is not financial advice and the purpose of these charts is to provide an idea of coin movement, not buy or sell signals. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and not suitable for everyone, so be aware of the potential risks before making any investment decisions. The information presented here is a personal effort and is subject to success or failure, and we welcome constructive criticism.
Good luck to all.
๐we ask Allah reconcile and repay๐
LINK LONG โ FROM MATH TO MARKET STRUCTURE: An Extensive AnalysisTraders,
In my latest BINANCE:LINKUSDT analysis I started my thesis with " I BELIEVE THE CRYPTO MARKET IS SETTING UP FOR A BIG, BIG, BIG DUMP! NOT JUST LINK! "
It wasnโt coincidence that I wrote those words in caps lock. The market was whispering louder than usual: not in price, but in data. Every metric pulsed in rhythm, like the heartbeat of a system about to release its tension. The numbers werenโt random; they were poetry in motion, quietly syncing toward one inevitable point. Sometimes, data doesnโt just inform โ it sings. And when it does, your fingertips start typing before your mind even realizes what the melody means.
Now weโre back โ same chart, same logic, but a different side of the market.
Iโm going to analyze it the same way I did before โ step by step, math-backed, structure-based, and logic-driven.
Only this time, itโs even more extensive.
For free. For nothing. So that you, the people who actually care to learn, can start to see how markets truly work. How they breathe, trap, rotate, rebalance โ and how every candle hides intent.
I believe the BINANCE:LINKUSDT dump might be over โ for now, at least โ and that the market is slowly starting to build upward momentum. This post is not a quick โlooks bullishโ statement. Itโs a structured walkthrough from mathematical foundation to market structure, liquidity, and order flow, showing why the $20โ$21 region might become the next key target before a rotation lower.
Letโs go step by step.
Step 1 โ Is There a Mathematical Reason to Say the Current Auction Might Be Finished?
By โauction,โ I mean the move from a clear swing high to a clear swing low where sellers were in control. Markets move in auctions โ from high to low, then pull back, then extend again. To determine whether a sell auction is finished, we measure how far it has retraced and extended.
After the 10 Oct liquidation event, price printed a clean new high โ more valid than the liquidation spike. Thatโs point A (~20.15). From there, it sold off to point B (~15.70).
So our first auction is:
A โ B | Direction: Down
Step 2 โ Measuring the Retrace
Since the move was downward, I drew a Fibonacci retracement from A to B (high โ low). nThat gives us retracement levels above price on TradingView.
Price retraced almost perfectly to the 0.786 level (~19.23) โ not shallow (0.382 or 0.5), not extreme (0.886), but deep enough to classify as a โnormalโ yet decisive retrace.
That means sellers regained control after a 0.786 pullback, a key ratio in the Fibonacci family.
Step 3 โ What Does a 0.786 Retrace Usually Lead To?
Hereโs where the Fibonacci logic becomes meaningful. The 0.786 level is derived from the square root of the golden ratio inverse: โ(1/ฯ). Its natural mirror on the other side of price is โ(ฯ), or 1.272.
Thatโs why 0.786 retraces often project toward 1.272 extensions โ the two are mathematically linked. Beyond that, the next probable extensions are 1.414 and 1.618.
So, for a 0.786 retrace, the Fibonacci extension ladder is:
Primary: 1.272
Intermediate: 1.414
Extended: 1.618
Step 4 โ Did BINANCE:LINKUSDT Reach One of These Fibonacci Targets?
To check that, we reverse the Fibonacci โ draw it from B to A (low โ high). That prints the extension levels below the swing low.
Price hit the 1.414 extension almost perfectly before structure began shifting:
Lower lows stopped forming
Higher lows began to appear
Small higher highs emerged on lower timeframes
Thatโs a structural sign the sellers exhausted their leg โ a textbook confirmation that the 1.414 zone completed the auction.
Step 5 โ Confirming the Auction
The A โ B auction retraced to 0.786, extended to 1.414, and then reversed in structure. This matches the Fibonacci expectation for a completed wave.
If the retrace had been 0.886 instead, weโd likely expect continuation to 1.618 โ but since it was 0.786, the 1.414 tap followed by reversal fits perfectly.
โ
0.786 retrace โ 1.272 / 1.414 / 1.618 extension
โ
1.414 tapped โ structure reversed
We can reasonably call this auction finished.
Step 6 โ Confluence from the Smaller ABC Swing
After the main leg, the market made a small rally and a lower high โ point C. Using the Fibonacci Extension tool (A โ B โ C), we project this smaller swing.
Interestingly, the ABC projection lands exactly on the same 1.414 zone as the larger A โ B measurement. Thatโs two independent Fibonacci constructions converging on the same price.
From a math perspective, this isnโt coincidence โ both patterns use the same ratio family.
Itโs proportion โ the geometry folding back onto itself.
Natureโs Geometry on a Price Chart
This is where Fibonacci goes beyond numbers. The same proportions that define growth patterns in seashells, tree branches, sunflowers, hurricanes, and galaxies are present in the marketโs structure.
Two distinct swings produce the same 1.414 target.Thatโs natural proportion โ mathematical harmony showing up in price behaviour.
Itโs not random. Itโs geometry repeating itself.
Part 2 โ The Structural Context: Liquidity and Value
Weโve identified our Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) using Fibonacci confluence. Now letโs look inside the structure and the marketโs underlying โmemory.โ
Weโll answer three questions:
Where does liquidity sit โ which levels might the market hunt next?
What is the order flow showing โ is there absorption or continuation?
What do the next extensions project mathematically?
1. Liquidity via TPO (Market Profile)
TPO (Time Price Opportunity) shows how much time price spent at each level. Clusters = acceptance and value. Gaps = imbalance and rejection.
Around $19.00, during TPO periods G, H, N, and O, price built acceptance but didnโt explore higher. That created a weak high โ a level that often acts as a magnet for future liquidity hunts.
Another, slightly weaker high sits near $20.00, which is still unfinished.
And as James Bond said, โI never leave loose ends.โ Neither does the market.
2. Anchored VWAP Confluence
Anchoring VWAP from the major swing high shows the blue AVWAP aligning almost perfectly with that $20.00 region. That gives strong confluence between volume-weighted value, liquidity, and structure.
3. Low Volume Nodes (LVNs) and Imbalance
Using the Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) from A โ B reveals clear low-volume zones โ โair pocketsโ where price moved too fast to build volume.
Between $20.00 and $20.50, thereโs a notable LVN, meaning price skipped over it during the selloff.Such zones often act as magnets โ the market tends to revisit them to rebalance unfinished business.
Now we have three layers of confluence:
Weak high at $19.00โ$20.00
Anchored VWAP aligning with $20.00
LVN pocket at $20.00โ$20.50
That defines a clear liquidity and target zone.
Structure and Confluence Summary
PRZ established through Fibonacci symmetry
Structure showing higher lows and early accumulation
Confluence cluster between $20.00 and $20.50, combining:
Weak highs
Low-volume node
Anchored VWAP
Market Profile imbalance
The setup aligns across math, volume, and structure.
Part 4 โ Order Flow: What Lies Beneath the Candles
From the outside, price action looks calm โ clean candles, defined Fibonacci levels, and structure that seems perfectly balanced. But the real story is hidden underneath, inside the Order Flow.
Every candle represents a battle โ between aggression and absorption, buyers and sellers, liquidity and imbalance. Understanding who is winning that battle tells us whether a move is genuine strength or a trap waiting to unwind.
Order Flow allows us to look beneath the surface and see where transactions are actually happening โ where volume clusters, where buyers are absorbed, and where sellers are defending. Itโs the marketโs heartbeat.
The Current Picture
Hereโs what we see right now on BINANCE:LINKUSDT :
CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) โ across both spot and futures (stablecoin- and coin-margined contracts) โ is making lower highs, showing persistent sell aggression.
Yet price itself is not breaking down. Instead, itโs holding steady and even forming higher lows.
Meanwhile, the A/D (Accumulation/Distribution) line is rising, indicating that despite heavy selling pressure, buyers continue to absorb and accumulate.
That means one thing:
aggressive sellers are being absorbed by large passive buyers quietly taking the other side.
Recognizing the Setup
Letโs break down the pattern:
CVD โ โ sustained sell aggression
OI โ โ new short positions entering the market
Price โ or โ slightly โ absorption and accumulation taking place
When these three align:
It often signals a short trap forming.
Sellers feel in control because CVD shows selling dominance.
In reality, their aggression is being absorbed by larger passive buyers.
Once that liquidity runs out and buyers stop absorbing, shorts are trapped.
Those trapped shorts must cover โ triggering a fast, aggressive short squeeze upward.
Also: CVD on Stablecoin Margined Contracts remains flat while Stablecoin Margined Open Interest rises โ showing aggressive shorting being absorbed by larger buyers. Price stability suggests accumulation, not weakness. Since OI stays high, those shorts are still in the game, meaning their positions havenโt been closed yet. If price starts to move up, theyโll be forced to cover โ setting up the conditions for a short squeeze.
Absorption in Context
Absorption isnโt random โ itโs the footprint of strong hands quietly taking in sell pressure without letting price break down. While most see weakness, theyโre actually witnessing controlled accumulation.
Here, price holds steady as CVD trends flat and OI stays high โ meaning aggressive shorts are still in the game, being absorbed by larger buyers. Every new short adds fuel to the spring.
When that pressure releases, it doesnโt drift โ it snaps. Shorts are forced to cover, triggering a sharp, emotional squeeze toward the next liquidity zone around $20โ$20.50, where Fibonacci confluence and a weak high align.
This is where microstructure meets the macro picture โ absorption building the base for a violent move higher.
Part 5 โ Fibonacci Extension Confirmation
To justify the $20โ$21 target mathematically, we apply one more Fibonacci extension โ
from the last swing low to the recent high, projected forward.
The 1.618 extension aligns almost perfectly around $20.00, adding strong mathematical confluence to our previously defined liquidity and structure zone.
That makes $20.00โ$20.50 a textbook target cluster โ a Fibonacci, liquidity, and volume alignment.
Final Outlook โ The Path Ahead
Based on all the combined data:
Fibonacci structure shows completion and new expansion potential
Market Profile and VWAP reveal unfinished business around $20โ$20.50
Order Flow confirms absorption and hidden accumulation
The 1.618 Fibonacci projection reinforces this level as a natural mathematical destination
I believe the market will squeeze upward toward $20โ$21, taking out the weak high and the LVN pocket โ and once that liquidity is collected, rotate back down to restore balance.
The setup is mathematically justified, structurally valid, and order-flow supported โ a complete picture of how Fibonacci geometry, structure, and liquidity align to reveal where the next phase of this auction may unfold.
If price slips lower instead, the key level to watch is $12.90 โ the latest 1.618 extension from the initial wave we measured earlier. That remains the deep liquidity and structural boundary where balance could be restored.
Last words.
Everything we have mapped โ Fibonacci structure, confluence, liquidity, and absorption โ means nothing without the psychology behind it. The market is not just math and candles; it is a mirror of collective emotion. Every trapped short, every breakout chase, every hesitation is human behaviour written in numbers.
When confidence is at its peak, risk is usually greatest.
When fear dominates, opportunity hides in plain sight.
That is why sentiment often reaches its extreme just before reversals. Most traders only see what is already visible, not what is quietly building beneath the surface.
So next time you scroll through social media or read the news about what everyone expects, remind yourself of this:
When everyone sees the same breakout, the trade was over hours ago.
And the markets whisper long before they speak.
From the depths of the sands,
ThetaNomad
------------------------------------
If you enjoy this kind of analysis, leave a like and drop a comment. I donโt ask for anything โ I just want to help more people learn to look behind the charts, to see the story that price and volume quietly write together.
LINK - Approaching Breakout From Descending TrendlineChainlink (LINK/USDT) is currently trading near a key support zone around $15.00โ$15.20, where price has shown multiple bounces. The chart also shows a descending trendline acting as resistance. Price is beginning to push up from support and is approaching this trendline again.
A breakout above the descending trendline could signal a shift in momentum, potentially leading to a bullish move toward the next resistance levels around $15.60 and then the projected target zone near $16.20โ$16.40.
Overall, the chart suggests a possible trend reversal scenario, but confirmation would come from a clean breakout and retest of the descending trendline.
Chainlink (LINK) โ SmartCon 2025 + Key Support TestLINK is in focus as SmartCon 2025 kicks off today, drawing attention to the broader Chainlink ecosystem. Historically, this event has sparked major announcements and partnerships, often impacting LINK price action. Traders are now watching for potential bullish catalysts during the event.
Technically, LINK is breaking down into a key support zone between $14.50 and $15.00. This zone has held in the past and could act as a launchpad for a reversal bounce, especially if event-driven sentiment kicks in. Failure to hold this zone opens the door to deeper retracements.
๐ ๏ธ Trade Setup (Idea Only):
Entry Zone: $14.50โ$15.00
Take Profits: $20 / $22 / $25
Stop Loss: $13
Bias: Short-term bullish if support holds
LINKUSDT โ A trap? Grabbing liquidity before the fall...BINANCE:LINKUSDT is forming a correction after a bearish run. A false breakdown of support is triggering a correction before a possible continuation of the decline.
The coin is testing the support of the trading range within the downtrend. The reaction to the false breakdown of support is a pullback to the zone of interest. After a strong downward distribution, a correction to the break-even zone is forming. A false breakout of resistance at 17.45 could trigger a continuation of the decline due to a weak market and a liquidity pool formed above 17.450, which is likely to stop the pullback on the bearish trend.
Resistance levels: 17.450
Support levels: 16.53, 15.77
The downtrend may continue. A retest of resistance may end in a fall and an update of the local minimum, as well as reaching the zone of interest at 15.77.
Best regards, R. Linda!
LINK It has good growth potential in midtermWhat I see now is that the price could correct to the PRZ and then pump again, and currently, there is no specific bullish pattern in the chart. which could cause the price to drop below 13.5 dollars.
Best regards CobraVanguard.๐
LINKUSD Massive Head and Shoulders starting the new Bear Cycle. Chainlink (LINKUSD) has been steadily rising within a Channel Up during this Bull Cycle but on the recent August 18 2025 High, it failed to make a Higher High and got rejected instead.
The Channel Up seems to have transitioned into a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, while the 1W RSI has been on a Bearish Divergence (Lower Highs trend-line against the price's Higher Highs).
We saw a similar H&S forming at the end of the previous Bull Cycle (2021), which essentially paved the way to the 2022 Bear Cycle. Symmetrically it appears to also work quite well as right now we are on a similar spot (1W MA50, blue trend-line) as November 2021.
The two Bear Cycles of LINK declined by -88.90% and -90.00% respectively. As a result, if history repeats, we are looking at a potential bottom at at least $3.500 (-88.90%).
Do you think that's a realistic expectation?
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๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
LINK - BULLISHCRYPTOCAP:LINK - holding nicely! ๐
100$+ per tokens in 2026 still programmed!
Fundematals are too big. ๐
LINK: Shows Upward Momentum LINK has recently shown modest upward momentum. Under our primary scenario, we anticipate that turquoise wave 1 will push price above the resistance level at $30.95, followed by a corrective wave 2. However, if price continues to decline and falls below support at $8.25, we will expect a new wave alt.(B) low in magenta to form within our similarly colored alternative Target Zone ranging from $7.04 to $2.12 (probability: 37%).
LINK - BULLISH SCENARIO BIST:LINK - price analysis ๐ฟ
Almost the same PA as $DOGE.
Very neutral area on the monthly, big volatility on both side. Really hard to trade & find a direction on the short term.
A Monthly close above 18.00$ would be good for bulls regarding the tails + Kijun level ichimoku.
Bullish consolidation likely if it hold above 15.80$ daily basis.
Local key support:
16.70 - 16.55$ - 15.70$
Price seems to be moving inside this downtrend channel ; but ๐
Possible bullish setup: $
A breakout of downtrend would surely lead to a push toward 20.00$ or even 22.80$ to fill the gap! ๐
Weekly resistance: 19.55 - 20.50 -
Also, I Hope that's not a bearish H&S pattern (3rd chart) with a neckline around 20.00 - 20.30$, otherwise, big bearish move could happen. ๐
Be careful with LINK !!!Unfortunately, the price has broken below the 200 moving average, which could act as a significant resistance and potentially push the price lower. In my view, the price may drop toward the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), and from there, it could resume its upward movement.
LINK Spot LONG LINK Spot LONG๐
Due to the formation of a zigzag structure, I am more inclined to form a triangle and further exit from it upwards. I no longer consider it as an impulse.
Expectations have not changed, I plan to start recording after updating the global maximum of 53.00. Only the time of the scenario implementation has changed, which may take a long time.
All altcoins with potential show approximately the same picture, which is encouraging. This structure provides the most accurate goals for profit-taking and scenario cancellation.
LINK Analysis - October 18Price: $16.61
Up 0.81% (24h) after testing $16.96 resistance.
Technical Analysis:
Supports: $16.00, $15.50
Resistance: $17.00, $18.00
RSI: 46.75 (daily, neutral)
MACD: -0.19 (daily, sell)
EMAs: Below 50-day ($17.00), above 200-day ($15.00)
Bollinger: Near mid-band ($16.50)
LINK/BTC Chart Analysis:
Ratio: 0.000248
Supports: 0.000240, 0.000230
Resistance: 0.000260, 0.000270
RSI: 50 (daily, neutral)
MACD: Neutral, slight bearish divergence
Patterns: Symmetrical triangle forming (October 1โ18)
Head and Shoulders potential (daily, bearish)
Bullish Engulfing: October 15
Plot on TradingView for visualization.
On-Chain Analysis:
MVRV: Neutral, fair valuation
Exchange Reserves: Stable, moderate selling
Whale Activity: 4,624 large transactions, 73% surge in accumulation
Coin Days Destroyed: Moderate, profit-taking
Glassnode Funding Rate: Neutral on CEXs (SorooshX/OKX perpetual futures ~0.01%, balanced leverage)
Fundamental News:
Macro: Fed rate cuts Q4 2025, easing inflation
Regulatory: S&P Global partners with Chainlink for on-chain stablecoin assessments
Institutional: Franklin Templeton, DTCC, Euroclear adopt Chainlink for tokenized assets
Social Sentiment:
450K+ #LINK mentions on X
60% bullish (S&P partnership, whale accumulation, $55 target predictions)
Trend & Chart Patterns:
Symmetrical Triangle: Forming (October 1โ18)
Head and Shoulders: Potential bearish reversal on daily
Bullish Engulfing: October 15
Trend: Neutral short-term, breakout risk both ways
Long-term: $20โ$55 (2026)
Buy/Sell Signal: Hold (55% confidence)
Rationale: Neutral RSI/MACD and funding rates suggest consolidation; whale accumulation and partnerships support upside, but Head and Shoulders risks pullback.
Hold or buy on dips: $16.00 or $15.50
Stop-loss: <$15.50
Target: $18.00 short-term, $55 (Q4 2026)
Disclaimer: Research before investing. #LINK
LINK/USDT โ The Final Defense Zone: Will the Bulls Rise Again?Chainlink (LINK) has entered its final defense zone around $15.00โ$17.00, a historically strong structural support area.
This zone isnโt just random โ itโs the same level where the market once launched a major rally that drove LINK to $27.87.
The most recent daily candle shows a deep wick below the zone that was quickly reclaimed โ a classic sign of a liquidity grab or false breakdown, hinting that the market might be accumulating before its next significant move.
Overall, the structure suggests a major retest phase: after a powerful breakout earlier this year, LINK is now retesting the origin of that move.
The key question โ is this the start of re-accumulation before another leg higher, or the beginning of a market structure breakdown toward deeper lows?
---
Structure & Pattern
Yellow Zone ($15โ$17) โ Historical demand zone, validated by multiple previous bounces (marked by yellow arrows).
Macro Pattern โ Retest of breakout zone, with the latest candle showing sweep and reclaim behavior.
Momentum โ Sharp correction, but with a long lower wick and potential momentum divergence โ a sign that the correction phase might be near its end.
Technical Context โ Holding above this zone may form a double bottom or higher-low structure, indicating bullish strength recovery.
---
Bullish Scenario (Reversal Setup)
A daily close above $17 would confirm that buyers are defending the structure.
A sustained move above $19.99 could unlock upside targets at $21.69 โ $23.30 โ $25.12 โ $26.82.
A strong rejection from the lower zone, combined with rising volume, may signal institutional accumulation in progress.
Market Narrative:
Bulls might be quietly preparing for Phase 2 of the rally after a classic shakeout.
As long as the $15โ$17 zone holds, LINK retains the potential to resume its mid-term uptrend.
---
Bearish Scenario (Continuation Breakdown)
A daily close below $15 would signal structural failure and a loss of bullish control.
This could trigger a continuation drop toward $13.5 โ $12.0 โ $9.8.
A failed retest from below the zone ($16โ$17 rejection) would further confirm bearish momentum.
Market Narrative:
If this support collapses, LINK may enter a distribution phase, where selling pressure strengthens and momentum fully flips bearish.
---
Conclusion & Perspective
The $15โ$17 zone is the line between survival and surrender for LINKโs bullish structure.
As long as this level holds, the potential for a bullish reversal remains alive.
But once broken, the mid-term trend could shift decisively to bearish.
We are standing at a Decision Zone โ the kind of area where institutions quietly position themselves and patient traders wait for confirmation before taking action.
---
LINK returns to its final defense zone at $15โ$17 โ the area separating a major reversal from a new downtrend.
The long wick signals a liquidity sweep, but confirmation awaits the next daily close.
Bulls are being tested โ will they hold the line, or give in to market pressure?
Levels to watch:
Support: $15โ$17
Resistance: $19.99 โ $21.69 โ $23.30 โ $25.12 โ $26.82 โ $27.87
---
#LINK #Chainlink #LINKUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysi #SupportAndResistance #CryptoMarket #PriceAction #Altcoins #MarketStructure #CryptoSetup #LINKPrice
LINK โ Back Inside the Bullish FlagOn Friday night, Chainlink lost its confluence support from the 18.50 zone and dropped sharply to just under $10.
However, looking at the chart, we can clearly see the importance of this area, marked by both the 2022โ2023 accumulation resistance and the 2024 lows.
From there, the coin rebounded fast, managing to reclaim the 18.50 support and re-enter the bullish flag that started forming at the end of August.
This recovery shows strong buying interest โ but no clear buy signal has yet appeared.
For now, LINK remains a coin to watch closely.
A confirmed breakout above 21.50 would open the door for a new bullish leg, with 30 USD as the next technical target.
TradeCityPro | LINK: Eyeing $18 for Potential Drop๐ Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, Iโm going to review the LINK coin โ one of the RWA projects, currently ranked 12th on CoinMarketCap with a market capitalization of $12.57 billion.
โณ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, after Fridayโs drop, the price fell to $16.78.
๐ซ Following this decline, the price made an upward correction up to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. After one reaction to this zone, bearish momentum returned to the market, and volume has been increasing.
โ
Currently, the price is moving toward the $18.31 level. Breaking this zone could trigger the start of the next downward leg.
โญ The main support level remains at $16.78, and as long as the price stays above this zone, I wonโt be opening any short positions.
๐ For long positions, the current trigger is $20.02.For earlier triggers, we need to wait for the market to form more structure and generate new entry signals.
๐ Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and donโt forget to share this analysis with your friends! โค๏ธ
LINK FOR BUYHello friends
After a long time of suffering, Link finally made a move and collected good liquidity that can make it prone to good growth. And the safest way, as I always tell you, is to buy in stages and with respect to capital and risk management.
The goals are also clear
*Trade safely with us*
$LINK โ PREPARING FOR A BIG DUMP โ SQUEEZE TRAIN LOADING Traders,
I BELIEVE THE CRYPTO MARKET IS SETTING UP FOR A BIG, BIG, BIG DUMP!, NOT JUST LINK!
Last time, we nailed the BIST:LINK short from $24.55 โ it hit Target 1 and Target 2 (the two boxes below) pixel perfect.
From $20.00 we expected a retrace back up toward the $23.00 region, before a potential dump to $17.00.
That scenario may now be unfolding.
Letโs break it down:
CVD & Market Participation โ Bearish Divergence Building
Aggregated CVD Spot โ still relatively flat โ tells us thereโs no real spot demand or accumulation. Spot buyers are not fueling this push.
Aggregated CVD Futures (Stablecoin-margined) โ moving aggressively higher โ lots of leveraged traders chasing the move up.
Aggregated CVD Futures (Coin-margined) โ also moving aggressively higher โ even riskier longs, since collateral is crypto itself (double downside risk if LINK sells off).
๐ Why this is a bearish divergence:
Price is being pushed higher only by aggressive leveraged longs, while spot (the foundation of demand) is not confirming. This creates a fragile rally that can easily unwind into a long squeeze.
Order Flow โ Signs of Absorption
On Binance & Bybit perps, we see aggressive buyers stepping in (CVD making higher highs).
But price is not moving higher accordingly.
This is a classic absorption signal: passive limit sellers are absorbing the buying pressure, preparing for reversal.
Market Context โ Entering the PRZ ($23โ24)
HTF VAL (Value Area Low) at this region.
LTF VAL aligns perfectly here too.
Single Prints (TPO profile) โ thinly traded zones where price moved quickly in the past, often acting as magnets and reversal points.
Imbalances stacking at these levels, showing inefficiency that can flip.
AVWAP Confluence โ multiple anchored VWAPs cluster in this zone, creating strong resistance.
All of this builds a confluence-heavy Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at $23โ24.
My Take
We are entering a Reversal Zone packed with:
No real spot demand,
Leveraged longs chasing,
Absorption in order flow,
Strong technical confluence (VALs, TPO singles, Imbalances, AVWAP).
โ ๏ธ This is the perfect fuel for a long squeeze dump back toward $17.00.
Trade safe, manage risk. Adios ๐๐ช
The LINK/USDT will probably go lower๐ Trend and Structure
The price is currently trading within a descending channel (yellow lines), which has been in place since late August.
The price attempted to break out of the channel at the top around $23.40, but buyers lacked strength โ it was rejected at resistance and fell back below the downtrend line.
Currently, the price is just below the upper edge of the channel and below the 50/200 EMA, confirming that the medium-term trend remains downward.
๐น Key Technical Levels
Support:
$21.40 โ local support, which is currently being tested.
$20.80 โ strong support from previous price reactions.
$19.68 โ lower boundary of the channel, a very important level for bulls.
Resistance:
$22.20โ$22.70 โ zone of the 50/200 EMA and previous rejections.
USD 23.40 โ the last local high and the point of the false breakout.
USD 24.90 and USD 25.50 โ key breakout levels from the channel, paving the way to USD 27โ28.
โ๏ธ Technical Indicators
MACD:
The MACD line has crossed the upside signal โ sell signal.
The histogram has turned slightly negative, indicating a loss of upward momentum.
RSI (14):
Currently around 51, with a slight downward slope.
Neutral, but with a strong upside โ a drop to around 40 is possible before the bulls attempt a rebound.
๐งญ Scenarios
๐ป Bearish Scenario (more likely)
If the price remains below $22 and the channel is not broken, a further decline to $20.80 is possible, or even a test of the lower band of the channel at $19.70.
Confirmation will be a close of the 4-hour candle below $21.40.
๐บ Bullish Scenario (less likely at this time)
If the bulls reclaim $22.70โ$23.00 and close the 4-hour candle above it, a breakout from the channel could occur.
The targets will then be $23.40, $24.90, and $25.50, respectively.
Increased volume and confirmation on the MACD (bullish cross) are required.
LINKUSD โ Bullish Impulse Toward D-Point Target
LINKUSDT:
Title: LINKUSD โ Bullish Impulse Toward D-Point Target
Price action has completed a corrective ABC structure, finding strong support at point C. The current breakout above mid-structure resistance confirms bullish momentum, aiming toward the D-point completion. Risk is managed below the breakout zone, with potential for trend continuation if price sustains above local support.
Risk Management Notes:
โ Entry aligned with breakout confirmation
โ Stop-loss below structural support (C-area)
โ Take-profit near projected D-point completion
LINK Stock Analysis CommentaryLINK Stock Analysis Commentary
Daily technical indicators are positive.
After a long period of sharp declines, the stock is moving sideways above the 328.25 support level.
We believe that the possibility of a rebound (buying reaction) is high.
If an upward movement occurs and the price breaks above the 385.25 resistance, it may have a chance to fill the price gap around 463.25.
In case of a negative scenario where the stock breaks below its support, the 328.25 level should be closely monitored.
Resistance Levels: 385.25 - (463.25) - 512.0
Support Levels: 328.25 - 281.50 - 253.25
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