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Liquidity

Bitcoin - Will the bears push the price towards $104.000?Introduction Bitcoin is currently in a phase of consolidation following the recent sharp decline. For several days, the price has been forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating increasing tension between buyers and sellers. This phase is often seen as a period of preparation for a larger move. However, clear bullish momentum is still lacking, which increases the risk of a downward breakout. Triangle pattern The price is moving within a triangle pattern, where the highs are decreasing and the lows are slightly rising. This suggests a compression of liquidity and declining volatility. The upper boundary of the pattern acts as dynamic resistance, while the lower boundary serves as support. Once the price breaks out of this structure, the direction of the next major move will likely be determined. For now, the price seems trapped between these two key levels. Liquidity at the top with the bearish 4h FVG tested Yesterday, the upper side of the structure was tested, just above the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG). In that area, liquidity from previous highs was also located. The price reacted with a strong rejection and quickly fell back. This reaction confirmed that sellers still have control and that demand has weakened. The signal indicates that the market is struggling to break above $114,000. 4h bearish FVG The 4-hour bearish FVG is located between approximately $108,600 and $111,300. This zone now serves as a key resistance area. Each time the price touches this region, selling pressure increases, limiting further upside movement. As long as this zone is not convincingly broken with volume, the short-term trend remains bearish. A breakout above this level could open the door to higher targets. Liquidity area at the bottom At the lower end of the triangle, there is a clear liquidity area around $103,500. This is where stop-losses from long positions and potential buy orders from large players are located, waiting for a liquidity grab. If the price moves into this area, a short wick downward could occur before a potential bounce takes place. Therefore, this level is important to monitor in case of a downward breakout. Conclusion BTC still shows no signs of strength. The rejection from the 4-hour bearish FVG above the liquidity zone points to a lack of buying interest. As long as the price remains within the triangle and trades below $113,000, the likelihood of a downward move remains higher. Only a convincing breakout above the upper boundary could temporarily improve market sentiment. Until then, the bears remain in control, with focus on the support around the lower liquidity zone. ------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
22
AVNT Bullish Reversal / Accumulation Entry on the 2H macro phase. 2H Manipulation phase (0.7258 - 0.4316) is confirmed as {COMPLETE}. Price is now in the high-probability {Accumulation} phase—the institutional setup for a massive directional shift. ENTRY CONFLUENCE (UNICORN MODEL) MAIN ENTRY 0.5007 exact boundary of the 30m FVG (0.5007 - 0.4990), strategically placed for optimal mitigation and nested within the 30m Breaker Block for supreme structural support. SL 0.4866 (Placed below the 30m Breaker Block for absolute invalidation control
Long
by Senku010
EURUSD | Bias Shift & QML Zone in FocusThe previous setup has been invalidated as the market showed a clear Change of Character (ChoCh), flipping the structure and order flow to bullish. With that shift, my bias has now turned bullish, and I’ve marked the QML (Quasimodo Level) zone as my area of interest. I’ll be waiting for price to tap into this zone and show confirmation before considering any execution. Adaptability is part of discipline — the market evolves, and so should the bias. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
Long
by bluewolf_trades
EURUSD | Key Zone Reaction SetupMonitoring a potential reaction at the marked zone on the 15-minute chart. The setup remains valid only if price leaves a wick into the zone and closes below it, confirming rejection. Execution will occur on the next candle, even with a slight (1 pip) move in my direction. Stop-loss: above the wick. Take-profit: the marked low. Precision. Patience. Execution. That’s the blueprint behind every setup. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
Short
by bluewolf_trades
The Market Doesn’t Hate You — It’s Just Doing Its JobEvery trader at some point feels attacked by the market. You take a trade, it hits your stop loss by one pip… and then runs perfectly in your direction. You think, “The market is against me.” But the truth is — the market doesn’t hate you. It’s simply doing its job: collecting liquidity before moving to its real destination. 💡 Here’s What’s Really Happening The market is a liquidity machine. It moves where money is resting — not where traders wish it would go. When you see price sweeping highs or lows before reversing, that’s not manipulation against you — it’s Smart Money doing what it’s built to do: Hunt liquidity Fill institutional orders Create displacement before the next move Your stop loss isn’t being targeted personally — it’s sitting where millions of other traders’ stops are clustered. The market simply clears those levels before delivering the real move. 🧠 The Lesson Stop trading emotionally and start thinking structurally. Ask yourself before every setup: Where is liquidity resting? Has the market collected it yet? Is structure confirming the new direction? When you learn to think like Smart Money, you stop blaming the market and start understanding it. You’ll realize every loss was a lesson pointing you toward better timing, discipline, and patience. 📊 Final Thought The market is not your enemy — it’s your teacher. Once you align with how liquidity and structure truly work, you’ll stop feeling trapped and start trading with clarity and confidence. 💬 Follow for more institutional-based educational posts. No signals. No hype. Just pure trading knowledge and Smart Money insights that help you grow.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
MET (Meteora) - TGE 15m FA/TA, Levels & RiskBias: short-term neutral>bullish if 0.581 holds; mid-term neutral. Market read: BTC ≈ $110.6k, ETH ≈ $3.88k, SOL ≈ $193.1. Risk tone modestly positive. DXY ≈ 99.0; USD/JPY ≈ 152.6; SPY ≈ 671.8; UST 10Y ≈ 4.00%. Liquidity backdrop acceptable. MET status (T+~13h) Price ≈ 0.58 with intraday reclaim attempts. Day-one range ~0.516–0.687. Fib from H→L: 0.552 (0.236 up from L), 0.577–0.581 cluster, 0.601, 0.621, 0.646. Your 5–15m charts show RSI>70, MACD crossing up, TRIX rising, DEMA≈0.581 acting as pivot. Expect supply near 0.581/0.597 and heavy inventory 0.55–0.58. Levels: Support: 0.566 → 0.559 → 0.545 → 0.515. Resistance: 0.581 pivot → 0.597–0.601 → 0.621 → 0.646. Setups and risk (1m/5m/15m/30m) • Break-retest long: Confirm a 5–15m close ≥0.581, then entry on retest 0.573–0.581. SL 0.566. TP1 0.597–0.601, TP2 0.621, TP3 0.646. • Fail-reclaim short: If rejection at 0.581 with RSI>75 and waning volume, short perps only; SL 0.586; TP 0.565 then 0.559. • 30m bias flip: Two consecutive closes ≥0.581 with rising volume/OBV shift bias to constructive; below 0.566 momentum stalls back to 0.559–0.545. • Execution: post-only limits on Jupiter/Meteora, slippage ≤0.5%. Risk ≤1R per attempt. FA + flow: Day-one unlock and broad venue access create two-sided flow; watch Solana beta and CEX listings for impulse. MET’s microcap relative to SOL/JUP/ME/GRASS implies higher variance; treat 0.581 as line-in-the-sand for continuation. Plan: If you are flat: only engage on 0.581 hold. If long from lower: trim 25–50% into 0.597–0.601, trail to 0.569, run remainder for 0.621/0.646. If 0.566 breaks on volume, step aside and reassess near 0.559/0.545. Outlook: bullish above 0.581 and strengthening into 0.601; neutral-to-bearish on failures back under 0.566. For educational purposes; not financial advice.
OKX:METUSDT
by imaclone_eth
22 OCT 2025: MARKET RECAP WITHIN DAILY PROFILEObserve how price delivered according to 20 OCT WEEKLY OUTLOOK DISCLAIMER: The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS). The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits. All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell. No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea. If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by CEO_SKAI_KAPITAL_PTY_LTD
1
Price Doesn’t Move Randomly: It Hunts Liquidity1. Introduction Every trader starts by learning “supply and demand.” Sounds logical: buyers push price up, sellers push it down. But that’s not how it really works. Price doesn’t move because of demand. It moves toward liquidity — where orders exist. The market’s goal is simple: find liquidity, fill it, and move on. 2. What Is Liquidity? Liquidity is the pool of pending orders sitting on the chart — stop losses, limit orders, and resting positions. Think of them as magnets. Above highs: stop losses from shorts. Below lows: stop losses from longs. Around major levels: limit orders waiting to be filled. Institutions and large players can’t just “market buy” or “market sell” huge positions — they need liquidity to fill them efficiently. So, price hunts it. 3. The Game of Stop Hunts You see it all the time: A breakout above resistance → instant reversal. A sweep below support → immediate bounce. That’s not coincidence — that’s a liquidity grab. Big players push price to trigger stop losses, collect those orders, and then reverse in the true direction. Retail traders call it “manipulation.” Smart traders call it “the business model.” 4. How to Read It Stop focusing on predicting direction — start identifying where liquidity sits. Look for: Equal highs/lows → obvious stop clusters. Clean levels that everyone sees → perfect trap zones. FVGs or inefficiencies → likely rebalance points post-hunt. Instead of asking “where will it go,” ask “who’s trapped?” 5. Takeaway The market isn’t random. It’s strategic. Every wick, every fake breakout, every stop hit — it all serves one purpose: to find liquidity. Stop trying to predict the next candle. Start understanding why the candle exists. Price hunts liquidity — not logic.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Crypto_Meehow
21 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPNOT A DAY FOR THE FAINT HEARTED Study through the consolidation! DISCLAIMER: The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS). The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits. All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell. No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea. If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by CEO_SKAI_KAPITAL_PTY_LTD
1
Bearish CHoCH in Play – Gold Retracement Plan (XAU/USD)🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD) Date: Oct 21, 2025 Main timeframe: M30 – H1 Strategy: SMC + CHoCH + Imbalance 1. Market Context Price formed a short-term bearish CHoCH after failing to hold above 4370 area. Current momentum shows liquidity sweep above 4378, followed by a shift in structure to the downside. We expect price to rebalance lower FVG zones before any new bullish leg. 2. Key Levels BUY Zone 1: 4349 – 4351 → Reaction zone after CHoCH BUY Zone 2: 4369 – 4371 → Mitigation of minor FVG BUY Zone 3: 4378 – 4380 → Extreme high liquidity zone SELL Zone: 4300 – 4298 → Demand-to-supply flip 3. Trading Plan BUY SCENARIO Entry: 4349 – 4351 Stop loss: 4343 Take profit 1: 4369 Take profit 2: 4378 Take profit 3 (runner): 4388 → If price respects 4349–4351 and forms bullish CHoCH, target upper FVGs. SELL SCENARIO Entry: 4378 – 4380 Stop loss: 4386 Take profit 1: 4350 Take profit 2: 4330 Take profit 3: 4300 → Short at premium zone after BOS confirmation. 4. Bias 🔻 Short-term bearish, expecting retracement before continuation toward 4300.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel
GOLD Daily Plan (Oct 20, 2025) | Buy Setup from 4235–4225 Target🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD) Date: Oct 20, 2025 Main timeframe: M30 – H1 Strategy: SMC + Volume Profile + Fibo retracement 1. MARKET CONTEXT After a sharp drop from 4370 → 4200, price formed a temporary bottom around 4179 and started building a corrective structure. Currently, price is consolidating between 4240–4260, located near the Value Area Low of the previous session. On the Volume Profile, the POC (Point of Control) from the prior session is around 4296, aligning with the Fibonacci 0.618 level — this is a major resistance zone and a good target area or reversal point. 2. MAIN SCENARIO (BUY SETUP) Reason for entry: Price is reacting from a small demand zone (4235–4225) with increasing volume, showing signs of absorption from buyers. Trade plan: Entry: 4235 – 4225 Stop Loss: 4218 (≈6–7 points) Take Profit 1: 4288 Take Profit 2: 4296 (POC + Fibo 0.618 confluence) Take Profit 3: 4316 (first supply zone on Chart 1) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: around 1:2.5 to 1:3 3. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO (SELL SETUP) If price fails to hold above 4220 and breaks structure to the downside: Entry: below 4215 after confirmation (CHoCH / BOS on M15) Stop Loss: 4222 Take Profit: 4199 → 4179 (previous low & liquidity pool) 4. SUMMARY → Focus on the buy setup from 4235–4225 as long as price holds above 4218. → Be cautious taking longs near 4296–4316 (supply zone). → If bearish momentum returns, switch to the short scenario targeting 4199.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel
1
EUR/CHF | Bullish Structure & Order Block ReactionBias: Bullish 4H Overview: • High timeframe structure bullish — price respecting major highs and maintaining upward momentum. 30M–5M Refinement: • Midterm structure mapped and refined. • Discounted and extreme OBs identified; price currently reacting within these zones. • Waiting for lower timeframe confirmation for clean entries. Lower Timeframe Focus: • Observe for CHoCH and reaction off order blocks before entering. • Let smart money dictate movement. Mindset Note: Patience + alignment with structure is key — entries only when lower timeframe confirms reaction.
Long
by Juicemannn
NZD/USD| Bearish Structure & Premium OB Bias: Bearish 4H Overview: • High timeframe structure is bearish — price broke significant highs and major lows, confirming downward momentum. 30M–5M Refinement: • Midterm structure mapped. • Buy-side liquidity spotted above in premium OB zones. • Waiting for buy-side liquidity to be taken before potential entry. Lower Timeframe Focus: • Let smart money dictate direction — monitor for reaction before entries. Mindset Note: Patience is key — allow structure and liquidity to confirm before acting.
Short
by Juicemannn
AUD/JPY| Bullish Struture & Refined OBBias: Bullish 4H Overview: • High timeframe structure is bullish. • Price has taken out higher timeframe liquidity, giving extra confirmation for the observed OB. 30M–5M Refinement: • Midterm structure mapped and refined after sell-side liquidity was swept. • Price may hold this zone — waiting for lower timeframe confirmation before taking entries. Lower Timeframe Focus: • Let smart money lead — only take trades when structure aligns and confirmation occurs. Mindset Note: Patience is key — the market dictates the timing, not the trader.
Long
by Juicemannn
EURJPY| Bullish Structure & Continuation SetupBias: Bullish 4H Overview: • High timeframe structure bullish — strong upward movement and clear bullish momentum. • Price breaking and respecting key structure with continuation potential. 30M–5M Refinement: • Midterm structure mapped and refined. • Waiting for price to fully take out previous levels and sweep liquidity into the OB zone beneath. • Targeting continuation long to the upside. Lower Timeframe Focus: • Confirmation needed from lower timeframes before entries. • Let smart money lead and watch for clean reaction zones. Mindset Note: Patience + alignment with higher timeframe structure ensures precision entries.
Long
by Juicemannn
GBP/JPY| Bullish Structure & AMD SetupBias: Bullish 4H Overview: • High timeframe bullish structure with an AMD setup — clear playmaking structure and directional clarity. 30M–5M Refinement: • Midterm structure mapped and refined. • Internal framework structures placed for lower timeframe precision. • Discounted and extreme OB zones identified. • Price currently sitting at 50% equilibrium. Lower Timeframe Focus: • Waiting for lower timeframe to hold the zone for entries. • If it fails, deeper mitigation levels will be used before establishing position. • Let smart money dictate the move. Mindset Note: Patience and structure alignment first — entries only when lower timeframe confirms reaction.
Long
by Juicemannn
USD/CAD| Bullish Structure & Extreme OB ZonesBias: Bullish 4H Overview: • High timeframe structure is bullish — price breaking significant highs. • Move is very obvious — even “kindergarten” can see the trend direction. 30M–5M Refinement: • Midterm structure mapped and refined. • All possible order blocks marked. • Deeper, darker orange OB: extreme OB for key entries. • Looking for price to tap 50% equilibrium within these zones. Lower Timeframe Focus: • Lower timeframe confirmation will validate entries and any additional structure. • Until then, stay patient — let smart money guide price. Mindset Note: Patience + structure alignment is everything — no forcing trades, wait for clean confirmation.
Long
by Juicemannn
AUD/USD| Bullish Structure & Extreme OB ZoneBias: Bullish 4H Overview: • High timeframe structure is bullish, price breaking significant highs. • Move may look “funny/fishy” to those unfamiliar with reading price — strong trend behavior still intact. 30M–5M Refinement: • Midterm structure mapped and refined. • Order blocks refined and aligned within discounted areas. • Orange OB sits right in the 50% equilibrium zone. • Price currently mitigated into an extreme OB zone. Lower Timeframe Focus: • Waiting for lower timeframe confirmation: CHoCH → break of lower highs. • Pullback into discounted OBs will define optimal entries. Mindset Note: Let smart money lead — watch price direction carefully, no forcing trades.
Long
by Juicemannn
USD/JPY| Bullish Structure With Liquidity SweepBias: Bullish 4H Overview: • High timeframe structure is bullish with clean mapping and refinement. • Price continues to follow liquidity footsteps, creating clear highs and broken structure. • HTF discounted and extreme order blocks are properly aligned. 30M–5M Refinement: • Midterm structure mapped and refined with discounted and extreme OBs marked. • Price could react in three scenarios: 1. Continuation: Holds at discounted OB → lower timeframe confirmation → long entries → breaking highs. 2. Mitigation Failure: Sweeps buy-side liquidity above → discounted OB violated → retraces deeper → entry from extreme OB once lower timeframe confirms. 3. Retrace to Highs: Price violates discounted OB → sits in extreme OB → entry only when lower timeframe confirms reaction. Mindset Note: Patience is key — wait for lower timeframe confirmation before taking trades. Let structure and liquidity dictate the move.
Long
by Juicemannn
GBP/USD| Bullish Correction Within TrendBias: Bullish 4H Overview: • Price continues to break highs with strong bullish structure and heavy volume. • Multiple large bullish candles confirm momentum and strength in direction. • Current correction is reacting from a major high timeframe order block zone, giving us a controlled pullback inside structure. 30M–5M Refinement: • Midterm structure refined — price mitigated discounted levels (highlighted in darker orange). • Bullish reaction confirmed with internal CHoCH (break of lower highs). • Expecting a sell-side liquidity sweep into deeper discounted areas before continuation. • Watch for mitigation at internal OBs before executing new buy entries. Mindset Note: Stay patient through the correction — structure is intact, order flow is clear, and deeper liquidity will fuel the next leg up.
Long
by Juicemannn
EURUSD| Bullish Flow Within structureBias: Bullish 4H Overview: Price continues to respect bullish structure, breaking significant highs while remaining within the broader weekly flow. The midterm discounted order block aligned perfectly with a higher timeframe OB — giving strong confluence for continuation. 30M–5M Confirmation: After mitigation, price broke internal lower highs, signaling a clear CHoCH and shift in direction. Expectations: Looking for sell-side liquidity to be swept before another leg up. Closest internal OB may fail — I’m anticipating a deeper discount tap before continuation. Mindset Note: Patience pays when structure and liquidity are aligned. Let price come to your zone — not the other way around.
Long
by Juicemannn
2