EURUSD – Climbing for Liquidity, Then What?EURUSD continues to move within a well-defined ascending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines. After the recent rejection from the lower boundary, price found support inside a fair value gap, triggering a strong bullish reaction. This bounce has maintained the overall bullish structure, keeping the uptrend intact for now.
Fair Value Gap Retest
The fair value gap retest provided a clean entry for buyers, confirming demand at that level. This reaction reinforced the idea that liquidity was likely collected from the lows, giving the market fuel to push higher toward key resistance levels.
Short-Term Bullish Path
From here, price is approaching a major liquidity area above recent highs. This level may act as a magnet, drawing price upward for a sweep of buy-side liquidity. A continuation beyond that could result in a direct test of the upper trendline.
Potential Bearish Reversal Setup
If the upper boundary of the channel is reached, the reaction there will be critical. A sharp rejection from that area could trigger a deeper retracement, potentially driving price back toward the mid-range or even retesting the lower trendline. A liquidity sweep followed by bearish displacement would confirm this shift.
Key Scenarios Ahead
There are two primary outcomes to watch. First, price could sweep the current high and reverse lower, respecting the channel structure. Second, price could break through, reach the upper trendline, and then roll over for a larger corrective move. In both cases, the reaction after liquidity is taken will define the next directional leg.
Conclusion
At this stage, EURUSD is in a controlled uptrend, but the next high-probability move depends on how price behaves around the key liquidity level above. The plan is to monitor for either a sweep and rejection or a push to the upper trendline for a potential reversal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Liquidity
13.08 2025 TARGET DONEAs I was typing yesterday about my target for the BTC price I don't have to wait long for it and the price make it happen very quick and now we have a clear pattern, so are now is time to short this market?. After yesterday I see a big potential for the price to go lower but also we can go higher because we have fuel to go higher.
GU|HTF LH Sweep + Waiting for Demand Zone Mitigation
Bias: Bullish from refined micro OB demand zone
HTF Overview: Price has swept highs aligning with a higher timeframe lower high, yet without a decisive candle break to confirm further downside continuation.
LTF Confluence: Price is seeking extra confirmation by mitigating into my refined micro OB demand zone.
Key Levels:
• Sweep watch: 1.33997
• Buy Block: 1.33612 – 1.33461
Execution Plan: Waiting for liquidity sweep into the buy block before engaging in longs. Precision entry only — patience remains the edge.
XAUUSD| Textbook CHoch + SSL Sweep + OB Mitigation + TP SmashBias: Bullish on LTF after liquidity sweep
Pair: Gold (XAUUSD)
HTF Overview: Price maintained bullish flow, with prior session’s sell-side liquidity resting beneath recent 5M structure lows.
LTF Confirmation: On the 5M chart, price delivered a clean CHoCH, sweeping SSL and tapping directly into a refined order block.
Entry Zone: OB at the sweep level, aligned with execution criteria.
Trade Execution:
• 5M CHoCH confirmed
• SSL swept clean
• OB mitigated → instant reaction
• Entered in full trader/execution mode
Targets: Took TP1 and TP2 following 5M structure; clean continuation until liquidity above was cleared.
Mindset Note: Patience before execution was key — I waited for the exact confluence to hit before acting. Precision beats impulse every time.
EURUSD Technical Analysis (Educational Breakdown) EURUSD Technical Analysis (Educational Breakdown)
1. Market Structure Overview
The chart shows a clear downtrend phase that started after failing to break the major resistance around 1.1780 – 1.1820.
Price formed lower highs and eventually broke below a rising trendline, signaling a shift from bullish momentum to bearish control.
Recent movement shows a retracement toward a defined entry zone, suggesting a short-term pullback opportunity.
2. Key Levels
Resistance Zone (1.1780 – 1.1820): This area has acted as a strong supply zone in the past, rejecting bullish attempts and triggering heavy sell-offs.
Support Zone (1.1340 – 1.1380): A key demand area where previous reversals took place.
Current Entry Zone: Between 1.1697 – 1.1750, aligning with a minor resistance zone and previous supply reaction.
3. Price Action Insights
Fair Value Gap (FVG) identified earlier near 1.1700 served as a reaction zone before a push downward.
The price is now revisiting an area near the previous imbalance, which aligns with a confluence of resistance and short-term overbought conditions.
If price action rejects the entry zone, a bearish swing toward 1.1534 is likely.
4. Trade Setup Idea (Short Bias)
Entry: 1.1697 – 1.1750 (retest of broken structure).
Stop Loss: Above 1.1772 to avoid stop hunts beyond resistance.
Target: First take profit at 1.1534; extended target toward 1.1400 if bearish momentum persists.
5. Risk Management & Educational Note
This setup is based on supply & demand principles plus market structure shifts.
Always confirm entries with lower-timeframe rejection patterns before executing.
Protect capital with a maximum of 1–2% risk per trade and adjust lot sizes accordingly.
📌 Summary:
EURUSD is currently testing a high-probability short zone after a structural breakdown. If rejection occurs, sellers could push price toward mid-range support at 1.1534, and potentially deeper toward the 1.1400 zone. However, if bulls manage to reclaim and close above 1.1780, this bearish view becomes invalid.
Up to $5 - DOT weekly update August 13 - 19thWe are currently in Minor Wave 5 and Intermediate Wave 1, with the broader Primary Cycle forming a Wave 3. Once Intermediate Wave 1 is complete, I anticipate a larger corrective move toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, or potentially deeper.
The liquidation heatmap reveals limited liquidity slightly above the current price, but a substantial concentration below it—liquidity that is likely to be targeted during the formation of Wave 2. The order book further indicates some resting orders at the 1.0 Fibonacci extension level and a significantly larger cluster at the 1.618 extension level.
Funding rates remain moderately positive, and open interest is steadily increasing, suggesting a stable upward trend. This also implies that market sentiment has not yet reached excessive euphoria and that risk appetite remains relatively contained.
In summary, the confluence of liquidity positioning, derivatives data, and Elliott Wave structure leads me to favor a primary scenario in which prices reach the 1.618 extension level of Minor Wave 5, encountering both the psychological $5.00 mark and a prominent sell wall. This confluence is expected to trigger the onset of Wave 2.
AU| Bullish Setup4H price action has been crazy choppy, stuck in a messy range — but I refined and mapped it out.
The 4H high at 0.65533 was broken, price continued higher, then pulled back into my 4H professional order flow area for mitigation.
From there, I dropped to the LTF to plan continuation for the week. I’m watching for liquidity to be swept around 0.64892 and a tap into the OB just below.
Once that happens, I’ll wait for further confirmations before flipping into full execution mode.
Patience first, execution second.
BTC| - Bullish
HTF shows strong bullish momentum, giving clear buy intent for continuation.
Major Levels:
• HTF high: 111,965
• Internal framework high: 110,581
• Sweep level: 105,127
LTF is setting up for a pullback continuation — the classic play after a liquidity sweep into the OB at 115,910.
Once that sweep and mitigation happen, we’re on go after lower timeframe confirmation.
Targets will be the 5M highs or 30M highs depending on how price delivers. 📦
Bitcoin – The Last Stop Before the DropMarket Overview
Price action on the daily chart has shown a decisive move into a key rejection block after taking out recent liquidity. This is a classic sign of exhaustion in the current move, suggesting that momentum may now begin to shift in the opposite direction. The daily close reinforced this idea, showing a clear respect for higher-timeframe resistance levels.
Rejection Block Context
The 4H and daily rejection blocks have aligned, creating a strong confluence zone where sellers have stepped in before. Price did not just test this area, it closed within it, which often indicates a high probability of reversal. This setup builds confidence that the market could be preparing for a retracement.
Liquidity Sweep Confirmation
Before the rejection occurred, price ran through a cluster of resting liquidity above recent highs. This liquidity grab often acts as the fuel for a reversal, as it traps late buyers and allows larger players to shift price in the opposite direction.
Fair Value Gap Target
Below current price, there remains an unfilled gap which is the final gap inside the current run. Historical price behavior shows that such gaps tend to get filled before a fresh move can develop. This unfilled zone provides a clear downside target.
Bearish Scenario
If the rejection holds, I expect price to work its way lower toward the 110k range, filling that remaining gap before any sustained bullish move can resume.
Conclusion
With liquidity taken, a clean rejection from higher-timeframe resistance, and an untouched gap below, the chart is aligning for a potential retracement. I am watching for continued weakness to confirm the move toward the 110k region.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NASDAQ 100| Bullish OutlookHTF (4H)
Price has broken major external structure highs, currently trading near the 23,712 zone with strong bullish momentum. My focus is on buying opportunities after a clean pullback — ideally sweeping sell-side liquidity into the 4H OB. Price action is being monitored closely for confirmation.
LTF (30M/5M)
Structure remains clean and respected. I’m watching for a liquidity sweep into the 23,444 – 23,399 OB zone.
Execution Plan
Targeting 5M highs for intraday delivery or 30M highs if momentum extends. Trade will be managed in alignment with internal framework structure and market delivery behavior.
Extreme greed - LINK weekly update August 12 - 18thFrom an Elliott Wave perspective, Chainlink is currently in Minor degree Wave 5 within Intermediate degree Wave 3. On a broader scale, LINK has completed a 1–2 structure at both the Primary and Intermediate degrees, similar to many other altcoins I have analysed recently, and is now advancing as part of Cycle degree Wave 1.
Liquidity positioning shows a substantial build-up below current price. The recent impulsive rally was largely driven by a short squeeze, as many traders opened short positions during Wave 4 and were subsequently liquidated. The order book also shows heavy order clusters above price, aligning closely with the key Fibonacci extension levels.
Funding rates, however, paint a more cautionary picture. They are currently at extremely high positive levels, while open interest has spiked sharply — suggesting that this leg higher is standing on shaky ground. Such conditions often precede volatility spikes or corrective pullbacks. Additionally, momentum indicators like the RSI are showing overbought conditions.
Given the current structure and liquidity alignment, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension remains my preferred target for the completion of this Minor Wave 5, as it coincides with a significant concentration of orders and fits the overall Elliott Wave projection. That said, the combination of overheated funding rates, elevated open interest, and extreme momentum readings warrants high caution for traders.
As always — do your own research, and trade safe.
$200 soon - SOL weekly update August 12 - 18thFrom an Elliott Wave perspective, the scenario for Solana has been slightly adjusted from previous counts. Current price action suggests that SOL is already in an impulsive upward move, which aligns well with the broader correlation observed across the altcoin market. As with many other altcoins, the structure shows a completed 1–2 sequence at the Primary degree and another 1–2 sequence at the Intermediate degree. At the Minor degree, price is in the final stages of Wave 1, specifically in Minute Wave 5.
An alternative scenario — less likely but still possible — is that the move is actually a corrective structure, with the Minor degree currently forming Wave C. This would become more probable if price extends significantly beyond the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, as such behaviour would be atypical for a standard fifth wave.
From a liquidity standpoint, short- to medium-term bias points upward. The liquidity heatmap shows a large concentration of liquidity at the local high of Wave 3, as well as significant order clusters near the 1.0 extension target for the current Wave 5. However, substantial liquidity is also accumulating below current price, which will likely be targeted during the subsequent Wave 2 retracement.
Funding rates have shifted from slightly negative toward positive territory, and open interest is climbing — both signs of a stable and sustained upward move.
Macro conditions also support the current market tone. The latest CPI data came in at 2.7%, better than expected, boosting sentiment. As the FOMC meeting approaches, retail traders are increasingly positioning for a potential “altseason” — a dynamic that raises the probability of a sell-the-news event if expectations are overextended.
Given the current wave structure, liquidity positioning, and macro backdrop, the 1.0 Fibonacci extension level has been set as the primary target for the completion of this Minor Wave 5. This area aligns with heavy order clustering and fits the typical profile for a fifth wave termination before a corrective phase.
Do your own research — and trade safe.
EURUSD SELL BIASPrice action has maintained a bullish structure since the beginning of the year. However, recent failure to break above the June high, coupled with the formation of lower highs and lower lows, suggests a potential bearish reversal. My final target is positioned at 1.15164, with the ultimate take-profit level set at 1.13914.
BTC - Short Update Part 2This chart shows the ascending parallel channel that supports 7,000-8,000 ultimate bottom - layered with BITCOIN ONLY liquidity zones on the multi day time frame.
The majority or liquidity in the chart is long position stop losses - leveraged sell orders.
Bitcoin has been moving straight up, consolidating sideways, straight up, consolidating sideways since End 2022.
This tells us the market is collecting long position stop losses and leaving them in tact IE not allowing price to fully drop and start triggering off the cascading chain reaction of sells that is a natural phenomenon.
Happy Trading.
"Gold’s Next Big Move? The Hidden Entry Zone Smart Money "Gold’s Next Big Move? The Hidden Entry Zone Smart Money is Watching!"
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently consolidating after a series of higher lows, signaling sustained bullish momentum from the strong support region around $3,280–$3,300. Price has respected key structural points, forming a clean market structure with:
BOS (Break of Structure) confirming bullish intent after reclaiming prior resistance.
Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) acting as a liquidity zone for potential re-entries.
Multiple Higher Lows, highlighting strong buyer defense levels.
The chart indicates a possible short-term retracement into the $3,350–$3,357 entry zone, which aligns with demand structure. From this zone, buyers are expected to push toward the $3,400–$3,415 resistance target.
Key technical levels:
Entry Zone: $3,350–$3,357 (demand area)
Stop Loss: Below $3,340 to protect against deeper pullbacks
Take Profit: $3,400 psychological level and $3,414 structural resistance
Market Sentiment:
The combination of a strong support base, sustained higher lows, and bullish imbalance zones suggests a favorable risk–reward setup for long positions. A clean breakout above $3,415 could trigger a larger bullish leg toward the $3,440 resistance zone.
📈 Bias: Bullish above $3,350
💡 Watch for a reaction at the entry zone before committing to positions.
This is it - Bitcoin weekly update August 11 - 17thFrom an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin is currently unfolding a Cycle degree Wave C, which at the Primary degree is forming Wave A. At both the Intermediate and Minor degrees, price is also in Wave A. The minimum downside target for this structure lies at the 1.0 Fibonacci extension near $112K. Additional targets include the 1.236 extension at roughly $110K and the 1.618 extension near $106K.
Liquidity mapping reveals notable clusters at key levels. The $115.5K zone, highlighted by the red box on the chart, contains significant liquidity according to the heatmap. Additionally, order book data shows heavy bid accumulation around the $110K level — an area that also coincides with a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). The Point of Control (POC) from the previous wave lies just below the red box, further reinforcing the bearish confluence.
From a derivatives standpoint, the recent impulsive rally in Wave b appears to have been largely driven by leveraged positions. Funding rates have started to decline from high positive levels, while open interest — after a brief surge — is now dropping, suggesting traders are unwinding positions rather than adding fresh exposure.
Spot ETF flows continue to show net inflows, but closer inspection reveals that these have been more FOMO-driven than strategic accumulation. Outflows were recorded at the local low of Wave a, while inflows spiked during the impulsive rise of Wave b — behaviour that often reverses as the market corrects. This increases the likelihood of inflows slowing or reversing during the expected downward leg.
The primary scenario anticipates that Bitcoin will continue lower. At the Primary degree, Wave A could terminate within the red liquidity box, where the liquidity cluster might act as a temporary buy wall. This could then lead to a corrective Wave B before a final Wave C to complete the larger structure. However, making precise forecasts beyond Wave A would be speculative at this stage.
GJ: Courtyard Sweep Into Bullish ContinuationBias: Bullish
Pair: GBPJPY
Higher Timeframe Context (4H & 2H)
• Significant 4H high at 196.846 was broken, confirming bullish intent and momentum.
• Price had been ranging between 196.784 – 199.975 before breaking sell-side liquidity at 196.797.
• This liquidity sweep led to mitigation of a refined 30M order block between 195.405 – 195.349, sparking strong bullish momentum.
• Note: Unmitigated 4H order block exists between 194.816 – 194.022, but current focus is on capturing the bullish continuation in play.
Lower Timeframe Context (30M & 5M)
• After the 30M order block mitigation, price breached and broke the major lower high, shifting bias fully bullish.
• Now in execution mode, awaiting price to reach refined order block at 197.631 – 197.391.
• A courtyard liquidity sweep at 197.682 will act as the trigger for entry.
Execution Plan
• Enter after liquidity sweep at 197.682 and mitigation of the refined OB at 197.631 – 197.391.
• First TP: 198.842 (5M highs).
• Second TP: 199.979 (30M structural highs).
• Hold toward TP2 depending on price delivery and momentum.
Key Levels
• Broken High: 196.846
• Range: 196.784 – 199.975
• Sell-Side Liquidity: 196.797
• 30M Refined OB: 195.405 – 195.349
• Entry OB: 197.631 – 197.391
• Courtyard Liquidity: 197.682
• TP1: 198.842
• TP2: 199.979
Summary:
GBPJPY shifted from analysis to execution mode after breaking a major lower high and mitigating a refined 30M order block. Price is now approaching a key courtyard liquidity level, which, once swept, sets up a clean long entry toward TP1 and TP2. With bullish structure across the board, the plan is to ride momentum into the highs while managing execution on the lower timeframes.
USDJPY| Bullish Setup After OB MitigationBias: Bullish
Pair: USDJPY
Higher Timeframe Context (4H & 2H)
• Major 4H high at 149.211 was broken, pushing price to a new high at 150.910.
• Expected pullback has played out, with price mitigating a refined 4H internal structure order flow zone between 146.735 – 145.864.
• This refined order flow zone has historical reaction points from previous weeks, indicating strong demand.
Lower Timeframe Context (30M & 5M)
• On the 30M chart, key high at 148.819 preceded a sell-side liquidity sweep at 148.595.
• Following the sweep, price dropped and mitigated the refined 30M order block between 147.893 – 147.812, showing strong reaction.
• Currently awaiting a 5M lower high break as confirmation for bullish continuation.
Execution Plan
• Standby for a confirmed 5M lower high break and a sweep of minor sell-side liquidity into next week.
• Look for entry after mitigation of the refined OB for a bullish continuation.
• Targets: 5M highs and 30M highs, depending on structure delivery.
Key Levels
• 4H High (broken): 149.211
• New High: 150.910
• 4H Refined Order Flow Zone: 146.735 – 145.864
• 30M High: 148.819
• 30M Liquidity Sweep: 148.595
• 30M Refined OB: 147.893 – 147.812
Summary:
USDJPY remains in bullish structure after breaking major highs and pulling back into strong demand. The higher timeframe structure supports continuation, but execution will wait for lower timeframe confirmation — specifically a 5M lower high break and liquidity sweep into refined demand. Patience here sets up a clean, high-probability long entry into next week.