Breakout > $112,000 or Demand Reload $107,000–$104,000BTC is compressing below the decision level at $112,000. Liquidity is stacked at Equal Highs $112,300–$113,700 and Equal Lows near $107,000, with a daily demand/FVG around $104,000. Expect a quick liquidity sweep before direction is chosen.
Trade Plan
Scenario A — Breakout Long (> $112,300-112,700)
Trigger: H1/H4 close above $112,700 with acceptance (no immediate reclaim back below $112,300).
Entry: Stop-limit on confirmation or on the first clean retest of $112,000 as support (flip).
Targets:
• TP2: $115,000+ (range expansion)
Invalidation: H4 close back below $112,000 after the flip (failed breakout). Conservative hard invalidation: daily close < $111,500.
Scenario B — Demand Long ($107,000–$104,000)
Trigger: Sweep/visit of $107,000 into $104,000 FVG/demand, then bullish reversal signal on H1/H4 (SFP, BOS + retest).
Entry: Ladder limits $107,000 → $104,000.
Invalidation: Daily close below $104,000 (demand lost). Tighter option: H4 close < $102,156.
Positioning & Risk
Split size 50/50 across scenarios (breakout vs. reload) or use conditional orders.
Move stops to BE after TP1 or once $112,000 holds as support.
Expect wicks: allow for confirmation; avoid chasing mid-range.
