EURUSD: The Uptrend Remains Intact – BUY Still Holds the AdvantaHello everyone, below is my view on today’s EURUSD outlook.
From a fundamental perspective, the overall backdrop continues to support the euro. The U.S. dollar remains under pressure as expectations for U.S. interest rates weaken, despite occasional short-term technical rebounds. The key point is that USD strength is not sufficient to reverse the trend, which overall allows EURUSD to maintain its upward momentum.
Looking at the chart, the bullish structure remains very clean and well-respected. Price is trading above the Ichimoku cloud, with the cloud sloping upward, confirming that the primary trend is bullish. The ascending trendline has been respected throughout and has not been broken. After the recent rally, price is now consolidating above the 1.1770 support zone, which signals a healthy market, not distribution.
As long as EURUSD holds above this key base, the probability remains high for price to continue pushing toward the 1.1840 area, as marked on the chart. Any volatility along the way should be seen as technical corrections, not as a change in the overall bullish structure.
Conclusion: EURUSD is still moving in line with its bullish trend. The strategy remains to BUY with the trend, avoid FOMO at the highs, and wait patiently for confirmation that support holds. As long as the structure stays intact, the advantage remains with the buyers — and that is always the side worth aligning with.
Longsetup
A good gold trade doesn’t need to be earlyIn my view, a good gold trade doesn’t need to be early.
Gold never lacks opportunities — but the market seriously lacks patience.
Anyone who trades XAUUSD knows:
It loves to sweep SL before the real trend begins
It prefers to retest zones more than once
It creates more fake breaks than my end-of-year resolutions
So entering early isn’t always wrong — it’s just usually unnecessary.
A beautiful trade is not the fastest trade
A beautiful trade is one where you:
Don’t FOMO
Don’t guess
Don’t enter while price is still shaking out stops
Enter when the chart finally starts telling a clear story, even if that story appears a few candles later
Sometimes waiting for 1–2 confirmation candles gives you:
A more confident entry
A safer SL that’s less likely to be hunted
A lighter mindset
And most importantly: placing a trade without feeling like you're gambling
The real story behind a “worth-it” gold entry
Price touches zone once → no rush.
Touches twice → still chill.
Touches the third time + closes a clean rejection candle + structure intact → this is the moment to enter, not early, but comfortable.
3 simple reminders, nothing too philosophical
Being one step late on the chart is better than being one step late in your account
Price touching a zone is just a greeting — confirmation is the real invitation
A good trade is one that doesn’t make you doubt yourself
Wishing you more comfortable, smooth, and effective entries.
Gold Long ICT This is an analysis of gold using the three phases of the market: accumulation, manipulation (fakeout), and distribution.
The entry is based on the 15-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG) created by strong buying pressure that produced a Market Structure Shift (MSS).
This trade offers an attractive 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio.
The overall setup is supported by gold’s strong bullish bias and the consistent formation of new all-time highs (ATHs).
Thin Liquidity, Gold Can Fly: Are You Buying at the Right Level?Hello traders, let’s continue with today’s XAUUSD outlook.
Personally, I believe the primary trend of XAUUSD remains BULLISH , supported by both fundamental news and technical structure . However, in a thin holiday liquidity environment , the market may choose one of two clear scenarios below before confirming its next directional move.
From a news perspective, gold has just printed a record high during the Asian session , driven by rising safe-haven demand amid escalating U.S.–Venezuela geopolitical tensions . With year-end trading volumes remaining light , defensive capital flows tend to amplify price swings, making gold more prone to sharp breakouts or fast pullbacks than usual.
Scenario (1) – Direct continuation higher:
If price holds firmly above the 4,480 area (support zone 1) and buying pressure remains steady, gold could push directly toward the 4,550 target. This is the trend-following scenario, favored when safe-haven sentiment stays dominant and no strong selling pressure appears at current levels.
Scenario (2) – Deeper pullback, then rally:
If the market needs to “cool off”, price may correct toward the 4,400 area (support zone 2). Should this zone be well defended, the pullback would likely be technical in nature, forming a stronger base for the next bullish leg toward 4,550. This scenario often unfolds when RSI eases and buyers step back in at more favorable prices.
Conclusion:
Regardless of which path the market takes, 4,550 remains the key short-term objective. The most important factor is discipline: buy only with confirmation at support, and avoid FOMO during strong holiday-driven volatility.
Note: This is only a trading idea for reference. I’d be happy to hear your views—feel free to share your perspective or leave a comment below.
BTCUSDT – Bounce From SupportPrice is currently reacting off a clearly defined support zone, where liquidity was swept and a strong rejection followed. This area previously acted as a BOS (Break of Structure), making it a valid demand zone. The recent downside move appears corrective rather than impulsive.
On the lower timeframe, we’ve seen multiple CHoCHs, suggesting a potential shift in short-term momentum. If price continues to hold above support and forms a higher low, a bullish continuation becomes likely.
The projected path anticipates a push toward internal liquidity, followed by continuation toward the equal highs / prior highs acting as the next target area. As long as support holds, bias remains bullish, targeting the upper resistance zone. A clean break below support would invalidate this setup.
USDJPY: Sell the Rally, Chasing Is a Mistake?Hello traders,
For USDJPY, I am currently leaning more toward a short-term BEARISH scenario. The key reason comes from Japan’s side: officials have repeatedly signaled their dissatisfaction with one-sided FX moves and left the door open for possible action if the yen weakens excessively. This keeps the market cautious about intervention risk , causing bullish momentum on USDJPY to lose traction.
Looking at the chart, after a strong rally, price is now entering a cooling and consolidation phase , with repeated pullbacks being sold into . This is a typical corrective behavior: buyers are no longer pushing smoothly, while sellers step in aggressively whenever price rebounds into nearby resistance.
The scenario I favor is SELL on rallies. Price may attempt another push toward the upper resistance area, but is likely to roll over and decline toward the nearest support . If selling pressure strengthens, the downside move could extend further before the market finds balance again.
In summary, with news-driven psychological pressure weighing on buyers , I prefer to patiently wait for pullbacks to sell rather than chase price higher. The beauty of the market is simple: when you stay disciplined and wait for the right moment, the best opportunities often appear after periods of tight consolidation and hesitation.
XAUUSD — The Bullish Trend Continues to Lead the MarketGold is closing out 2025 in an exceptionally strong position. Breaking above the 4,500 USD/oz mark for the first time is not just a technical milestone—it signals a fundamental shift in how global capital views gold. A gain of over 70% for the year, the strongest since 1979, confirms that this move is no longer a short-term rally, but the result of deep structural changes in the macroeconomic and monetary landscape.
On the chart, the bullish structure remains clearly intact. Price is trading within a rising channel, holding firmly above the Ichimoku cloud and the main trendline, showing that buyers continue to dominate. After the strong breakout, gold is consolidating above the 4,460 level—a key support zone that serves both as a technical base and a psychological balance point. The shallow pullbacks that fail to break this base reflect active buying rather than distribution.
In the near term, the most reasonable scenario is for gold to hold above 4,460 and extend toward the 4,570 area, where supply may be tested again. Any short-term volatility should be viewed as healthy consolidation within the broader uptrend, as long as the current support zone remains intact.
Gold Is No Longer a Spike — It’s a TrendXAUUSD is maintaining a clear bullish bias, as the fundamental backdrop continues to strongly favor gold. Rising safe-haven demand, expectations of further Fed easing, and a weaker U.S. dollar are helping gold stay at elevated price levels. Gold’s breakout above 4,500 USD/oz and its ~70% gain in 2025 (the strongest since 1979) confirm that this move is no longer a short-term “spike,” but a structurally supported trend driven by long-term capital flows.
On the H4 chart you shared, the uptrend remains dominant, with price trading inside a rising channel and currently consolidating just below the 4,550 supply zone after a strong impulsive move. The 4,470 area is acting as a key base, making pullbacks into this zone healthy corrections for continuation, rather than signs of reversal.
The most reasonable scenario over the next 24 hours is for gold to cool off toward 4,470 to absorb liquidity, then rebound to retest 4,550. Only a clear H4 close below 4,470 would slow the bullish momentum; as long as this level holds, I continue to favor buying pullbacks within the broader uptrend.
BESI Bullish ContinuationAfter a period of movement within this bull flag pattern, BESI looks ready for bullish continuation after retesting the upper trendline of the bull flag.
Fundamentally this adds up given the increasing demand in chips used for different technologies including AI.
What Besi Does:
- Designs & Builds Machines: They create the specialized equipment that semiconductor manufacturers use to build and package chips.
- Focuses on Advanced Packaging: Their technology supports traditional leadframe packaging, substrate-based packaging, and cutting-edge wafer-level packaging (like hybrid bonding) for complex chips.
- Provides Key Processes: Their equipment handles tasks like die bonding, molding the chip, trimming the leads, and marking the final package.
- Serves High-Growth Markets: They are crucial suppliers for consumer electronics, mobile internet devices, automotive systems, and increasingly, AI and high-performance computing.
I believe this will be a good stock to hold for 2026.
Long 1D Investment TROW Conservative TradeConservative Trade
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ SOS level
+ supporting zone
? ultravolume 2Sp+
= perforated T2
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
- outside 1D range
+ inside 1M range
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short balance
+ expanding ICE
+ support zone
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ 1/2 correction"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
? strong approach
+ T2 level
+ supporting zone
+ volumed interaction bar"
Long 1H Swing TROW Conservative TradeConservative Trade
+ long balance
+ 1/2 correction
+ ICE level
+ supporting zone
+ biggest volume old spread Sp
? weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
- outside 1H range
+ within 1D main range
Daily Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ SOS level
+ supporting zone
? ultravolume 2Sp+
= perforated T2
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Sp+
? weak test"
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short balance
+ expanding ICE
+ support zone
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ 1/2 correction"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
? strong approach
+ T2 level
+ supporting zone
+ volumed interaction bar"
Long 1H Swing Conservative TradeConservative Trade
+ long balance
+ 1/2 correction
+ ICE level
+ supporting zone
+ biggest volume old spread Sp
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
- outside 1H range
+ within 1D main and perforated ranges
Daily Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ SOS level
+ supporting zone
? ultravolume 2Sp+
= perforated T2
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Sp+
? weak test"
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short balance
+ expanding ICE
+ support zone
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ 1/2 correction"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
? strong approach
+ T2 level
+ supporting zone
+ volumed interaction bar"
USDJPY – Structure Shift & Triangle CompressionUSDJPY is currently consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, formed by descending trendline resistance and ascending trendline support. Price is compressing toward the apex, signaling a high-probability volatility expansion.
Earlier in the session, price delivered a clear CHoCH (Change of Character) from bullish to bearish, followed by a BOS (Break of Structure) to the downside, confirming short-term bearish control. However, instead of continuation, price found support at the weak low, leading to a corrective phase and gradual recovery.
Multiple reactions at trendline support indicate buyers defending the lows, while repeated rejections from trendline resistance show sellers remain active. Price is now trading near EQH (Equal Highs), suggesting liquidity resting above current levels.
Key Scenarios:
🔼 Bullish Breakout:
A strong break and close above trendline resistance would indicate bullish acceptance, targeting the strong high after a potential pullback.
🔽 Bearish Rejection:
Failure at resistance and breakdown below trendline support would confirm bearish continuation, targeting the weak low and lower liquidity.
Bias: Neutral → reactive
Focus: Break & retest at structure
Expectation: Expansion after consolidation
⚠️ Let price confirm direction — avoid premature entries inside the range.
XAUUSD - Bullish Continuation From Order BlockXAUUSD remains bullish after a clear break of structure, with price pushing into higher highs. The marked order block below is a key demand zone to watch for a pullback and potential continuation. As long as price holds above this zone, buyers remain in control, with upside targets aligned toward TP1, TP2, and TP3 near the weak highs. Patience for retracement is key before the next move higher
XAUUSD – Order Block Rejection Buy SetupPrice experienced a strong bearish impulse, breaking market structure to the downside and sweeping liquidity before tapping into a bullish order block formed after a previous BOS. Upon mitigation of this order block, price printed a clear rejection candle, indicating strong buying pressure and smart money defense of the zone.
Market structure shows prior CHoCH → BOS, suggesting this move is a corrective pullback within a higher-timeframe bullish context rather than a full reversal. The reaction from the order block confirms demand.
Entry: After rejection confirmation at the order block
Invalidation: Clean break and close below the order block
Targets: Internal highs first, then external liquidity toward the weak high
This setup aligns with SMC concepts: liquidity sweep, order block mitigation, and rejection for continuation toward premium targets.
Not financial advice. Manage risk accordingly.
Ethereum: Reverse Head & Shoulders Aiming ATHETH weekly chart is printing a big reverse head & shoulders pattern.
Three rounded lows :
Left shoulder ✅
Deeper head ✅
Right shoulder now forming ✅
Why it matters :
Each dip gets bought higher, showing strong demand. 💪
The neckline is basically the ATH resistance around 4,850.
What I’m watching :
As long as the right shoulder holds, bias stays bullish. 📈
A clean weekly close above the neckline would confirm the pattern and open the door to new highs. 🎯
Disney's Possible Swing SetupHi Traders!
As I analyze Disney, I am seeing it's in a counter trend on the 24HR with a resistance at $120. I'm staying patient watching to see how far price will retrace with a 24HR CHOCH sitting at around $102.50. That seems far away, but that would help fill in some of the gap, and give a nice set up for a reversal. In addition, there are 4 days left in the current Monthly candle, and they've been closing small. IMO that could indicate that price could eventually make it to $130.
For now, I have alerts set and I'm planning to take a long swing.
Let me know what you guys think in the comments! Good luck!
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
BTCUSD – Descending Channel & Liquidity Sweep SetupBitcoin is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trend boundaries. The higher timeframe structure shows a bearish continuation phase, characterized by multiple BOS (Breaks of Structure) to the downside, confirming sustained sell-side control.
Within the channel, price has repeatedly formed Equal Highs / Equal Lows, indicating liquidity buildup on both sides of the range. These equal levels suggest that the market is engineered to sweep liquidity before committing to a larger directional move.
The earlier CHoCH (Change of Character) marked the transition from bullish to bearish market structure, after which price respected the bearish order flow and continued lower. Recent price action near the channel lows shows compression and range-bound behavior, hinting at potential sell-side liquidity exhaustion.
A sweep of the equal lows near the lower boundary of the channel could act as a catalyst for a bullish reversal or strong mean reversion move. If price reclaims the channel and breaks structure to the upside, a trend reversal scenario becomes likely.
In the bullish case, upside targets align with prior liquidity pools and inefficiencies, with a macro objective toward the 100K–120K region, assuming confirmation via structure shift and acceptance above key resistance.
Bias:
• Short-term: Bearish / consolidation
• Mid–Long term: Bullish upon liquidity sweep + bullish BOS confirmation
Key Concepts:
SMC, BOS, CHoCH, Equal Highs/Lows, Liquidity Sweep, Descending Channel
Live trading on Amazon stock.Live trading on Amazon stock.
Price is at the bottom of its channel and sitting in a strong demand zone.
Follow proper risk and money management.
This is just my personal view, so please trade based on your own strategy and trading system.
Follow me on TradingView for more analyses and live stock trades.
NASDAQ:AMZN
Continuing with the new ATH of 4503, the bulls.⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Market participants are positioning cautiously ahead of the advance estimate of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter, due later on Tuesday. The US economy is expected to have expanded at an annualized pace of 3.2% in Q3, marking a moderation from the robust 3.8% growth recorded in the second quarter. A stronger-than-forecast GDP print could lend near-term support to the US Dollar and exert downward pressure on USD-denominated commodities.
In addition to the GDP release, traders will also closely monitor a heavy slate of US macro data, including Durable Goods Orders, Industrial Production, and the ADP employment report, all of which could further shape expectations around the growth outlook and the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold's upward trend - breaking through 4382. A massive year-end buying wave is beginning. Waiting for Fibonacci resistance at 4503.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4503 - 4505 SL 4510
TP1: $4490
TP2: $4480
TP3: $4465
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4450 - 4448 SL 4443
TP1: $4460
TP2: $4470
TP3: $4485
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
New Highs, No Sell-Off — Smart Money In?Based on the current news backdrop combined with the price structure on the chart , I continue to hold the view that XAUUSD is in a clear and healthy uptrend — not a temporary or emotional spike.
Gold setting a new all-time high around 4,400 shows that the market is strongly pricing in the likelihood of further Fed easing and future rate cuts . More importantly, after making new highs, price did not experience aggressive selling , but instead managed to hold at elevated levels — a clear sign that large capital flows are staying in the market, rather than this being a short-lived FOMO-driven move.
Looking at the chart, gold is moving cleanly along its ascending trendline , with consistent support from the Ichimoku system and dynamic support zones below. The recent pullbacks have been purely technical, allowing the market to “catch its breath” and absorb supply, without breaking the overall structure. This is a market that is moving strong — not overheating.
For me, the 4,380 zone remains a key support level. As long as price holds above this area, the bullish trend remains fully intact. In the short term, my preferred scenario is light consolidation at high levels, followed by a continued push to retest the 4,450 area.
In summary, I continue to favor BUY setups on pullbacks — not chasing price at the highs and never trading against the trend. When both fundamentals and technicals align, the most important skill is patience and discipline to stay with the trend, rather than trying to pick a top in a market that is clearly strong.
TROW Long 1D Investment Conservative TradeConservative Trade
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ SOS level
+ supporting zone
? ultravolume 2Sp+
= perforated T2
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Sp+
Calculated affordable virtual stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
- outside 1D
+ inside 1M
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short balance
+ expanding ICE
+ support zone
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ 1/2 correction"
Yearly Trend
" '+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support zone
- deep correction
+ volumed interacting bar"






















