Bounce Or Breakdown? Eur/Usd at Critical Support Price is currently testing a strong support zone around the 1.1650 level, where it has previously shown buying interest. The market has been in a downtrend, but we’re now seeing signs of potential reversal as price reacts to this key demand area.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.1645 – 1.1655 (highlighted in blue)
Resistance/Target Zone: 1.1715 – 1.1730 (highlighted in green)
Trade Idea:
If price holds above the support zone and shows bullish confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing, break of minor structure), we could see a potential bounce toward the target resistance zone, offering a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
Longsetup
Litecoin Long-term Pump! Are you ready for this ?Hey Guys !
Are you ready for the LTC big pump ? It seems to me that we 're about to witness a big volatility in Altcoins very soon... As you know Bitcoin has been pumping for few months now and we haven't really seen any significant change in almost all the allcoins which might be confusing but if you look closely to the Litecoin 3 months chart you can see exactly why.
Whales has been accumulating for the last few months and as soon as the Bitcoin crashes (inevitable) all allcoins should crash even more and we should witness an all time low for most altcoins especially LTC which might reach the ALL TIME LOW line!
Bollinger Bands for the 3 months chart shows that we are getting rejected by mid band for months and its only logical that we fall to the lower band which is around 30$ and this price can be the ultimate entry price for long term investment!
Try to catch the train from the start and hodl untill the big pump news comes out wether its a Walmart announcement or whatever BS they say its gonna pump super hard !
Let me know what do you guys think about this and I'm looking forward for your comments.
Indicator Trading vs Price Action TradingIn the world of trading, most people start with Indicator Trading , but only those who truly understand the market eventually evolve into Price Action Trading.
These two approaches aren’t enemies — they’re actually two stages in the mindset evolution of a professional trader.
1. Indicator Trading – When You Trade the “Consequences” of Price
Indicators are tools built from historical data.
They measure strength, momentum, and direction of price movements.
For example:
RSI tells you whether the market is overbought or oversold. EMA reflects the average trend. MACD shows the momentum behind the move.
However, the core weakness of indicators lies in their lag.
By the time you see a buy signal, the price has already moved.
If you rely solely on indicators, you’ll always be reacting to the market instead of leading it.
💡 Indicator trading gives you structure and discipline — but sometimes that same structure makes you miss the real rhythm of the market.
2. Price Action Trading – When You Trade the “Story” Behind Price
Price Action requires no indicators.
It teaches you to read the emotions of the market through every candle, every price zone, and every false break.
Here, the market is no longer a series of numbers — it’s a story between buyers and sellers.
When you start to understand:
Why price forms higher lows — showing buyers gaining control.
Why a long wick appears — showing weaker players trying to fight back.
Why a “liquidity grab” happens — showing how smart money traps retail traders.
That’s when you no longer need signals — because you’ve learned to speak the language of price itself.
Price Action teaches you not just to trade with your eyes, but with your mind.
3. The True Essence – It’s Not About Choosing a Side, But Choosing a Perspective
A professional trader doesn’t “hate” indicators nor “worship” price action.
They understand one simple truth:
Indicators are the map — Price Action is the terrain.
A map gives you direction.
But if you only stare at the map without observing the terrain, you’ll fall off a cliff.
And if you only look at the ground without knowing where you’re headed, you’ll get lost.
Bitcoin Under Fire: Bears Take Full Control Below $110KHello traders,
Today, let’s take a look at the overall picture of BTCUSD – where the market is gradually losing its recovery momentum and shifting into a defensive phase. After a series of negative headlines recently, Bitcoin remains under strong selling pressure, and the downtrend is now clearer than ever.
📰 Key News Highlights
Over the past week, several macro factors have weighed heavily on investor sentiment:
- U.S.–China trade tensions have escalated after the U.S. announced expanded tariffs on Chinese tech products, triggering capital outflows from risk assets — including crypto.
- The G20 and FSB issued warnings about “significant gaps” in global crypto regulations, sparking fears of tighter oversight ahead.
- The Federal Reserve struck a more hawkish tone as Vice Chair Michael Barr warned of financial stability risks posed by stablecoins, adding further psychological pressure to the crypto market.
➡️ Combined, these factors have pushed Bitcoin down nearly 15% since the start of the month, reaching around $109,000 with no clear signs of reversal yet.
📉 Technical Analysis
The chart shows that BTC continues to move within a downward-sloping channel, with the EMA34 and EMA89 acting as dynamic resistances — a clear reflection of short-term weakness.
The $110,000 level is a key resistance zone, aligning with both the descending trendline and EMA34. Failure to break above this area could send BTC lower toward $103,000, or even $100,000 if selling pressure expands.
Only a confirmed H4 close above $112,500 would signal a temporary technical rebound.
💡 Trading Advice
The market is weak — don’t try to catch the bottom. Prioritize capital preservation and wait for clear signals before taking action.
Short-term traders: Look to sell on rallies around $110,000–$111,000.
Long-term investors: Watch for price action in the $103,000–$105,000 range, where a potential mid-term technical bottom could form.
XAUUSD – The uptrend is still on fireGold set a record for the fourth straight session, breaking above $4,300/oz as haven flows surged amid lingering U.S.–China trade tensions, the U.S. government shutdown risk, and rate-cut expectations. The “safety + lower rates” narrative is clearly fueling the uptrend.
On H1, price is moving within an ascending channel and trading above the EMA34/89, indicating bullish momentum. 4,310 is the nearest support; below that is 4,270–4,290 (EMA34 + demand zone).
Base-case path: hold above 4,310, form a shallow consolidation, then break 4,36x–4,38x toward 4,440. If price dips to 4,270–4,290 and reacts well, the uptrend remains intact.
Risk note: an H1 close below 4,260 would signal short-term weakening and call for a wait-and-reaccumulate approach. Overall, macro + technicals align for the next leg higher toward 4,440.
USDJPY – Strong Downtrend, Opportunity for Further DeclineHello traders,
USDJPY is currently in a strong downtrend, influenced by macroeconomic factors, particularly the weakening of the USD and concerns about the global financial situation. The JPY has strengthened above the 150 JPY/USD level for the first time since early October, driven by safe-haven flows, alongside Rakuten's bond issuance with high interest rates, attracting additional capital into the yen.
Technical Analysis
The H1 chart shows USDJPY moving within a clear downward channel. Currently, EMA34 and EMA89 are acting as strong resistances, preventing the price from recovering to higher levels. The 150.30 level is the nearest resistance, and if the price fails to break through this, USDJPY may continue to drop towards 148.80 in the near future.
Trading Strategy
Sell on a rally near 150.30, as it is a strong resistance level.
If the price fails to hold above 150.00, there is a high probability of further decline towards 148.80, and potentially to 148.00.
Maintain gold buying pressure above 4400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds toward record highs after an earlier dip to the $4,280 zone, poised to close its ninth straight week in positive territory. Persistent geopolitical risks, renewed US-China trade tensions, and the prolonged US government shutdown keep investors cautious, driving safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, dovish Federal Reserve expectations—with markets pricing in two more rate cuts this year—continue to weigh on the US Dollar and bolster the yellow metal. Despite overbought conditions, steady dip-buying suggests the path of least resistance for Gold remains to the upside.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price has almost no significant selling pressure, huge fomo market for strong uptrend above 4400
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4436 - 4438 SL 4443
TP1: $4425
TP2: $4412
TP3: $4400
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $4278-$4276 SL $4271
TP1: $4285
TP2: $4298
TP3: $4310
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
AUD/USD Longer term OutlookHey Guys,
This is a follow up the the Short Term outlook I posted to show you the bigger picture of what happening. If you haven't checked out that short term thesis I suggest you do to understand why i think in the near term why there will be a decline possibly down to .50.
As I'm sure most people are aware there is abit of fear on the longer term of the debasement of the USD, as we have massive debts and deficits which are highly unlikely to get any better soon. This is ultimately lead to its decline relative to other assets think current rise in GOLD. If we have a recession from slower growth from tariffs, regional banks and private credit going bad and the consumer becoming too squeezed then this budget with get much worse as they will try and stimulate the economy to ease some of these pressure. But as a consequence this will lead to inflation and more debasement just like the 60s - 80s period. Each time they try and rein in inflation growth will slow so they will simulate resulting in the cycle continuing.
Now if the "debasement" continues this doesn't mean the USD will die get replace but it does mean other assets and currencies that aren't having this systemic problem will rise relative to the dollar again just like the 1960s-1980s. Australia has had long running fiscal conservative budgets and most definitely no debasing its currency. Our debt to Nominal GDP peak during covid and unlike most other economies has decreased since. Although we are projected to runn a deficit of A$10 billion our growth will more then out weigh this and this is such a small fraction to out A$1.752 trillion economy is a non factor really.
looking at some technicals on the charts we can see we have been in a falling wedge since the last "debasement" of the USD happened after the GFC. This will breakout sometime over the next two years as its running out of room. we have gaining strength on the RSI creating a divergence on the monthly also point to a breakout to the upside. we have clear outlined targets to hit on the way up and looking back again at previous debasement events by 2011 we were at $1.10 and by the 1975 we were at $1.49 so a return to these levels isn't without precedence.
I have shown with the green line the general direction of where i think it will be please dont take that as an exact model. This will take years to fully play out but if you understand even the most basic supply and demand , technical analyst and fundamental problem America is facing then it should keep you true.
Please check out the shorter outlook to gain a full picture and do you own research
here are some links to data used
www.ceicdata.com
data.worldbank.org
Unemployment Rate Rises, US-China Tensions Push AUD to 0.64000?The Australian Dollar (AUD) is under strong pressure against the USD. Market concerns about the Australian economy are growing, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.5% in September, the highest level in nearly 4 years. This has led to expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will cut interest rates in November, further weakening the AUD.
Additionally, US-China trade tensions continue to escalate, with China tightening control over rare earth exports and export licenses, raising concerns about global supply chains. Although the USD is weakening due to expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates, the AUD is still negatively affected by these factors.
The AUD/USD chart clearly shows a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows. The price is currently trading in a downward channel and is testing the support level at 0.64400. If this support level is broken, the price could continue to decline toward 0.64000.
XAUUSD – Favor the BULLISH scenario, trade the price channelMacro backs the bulls: Gold just broke above $4,200/oz on expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts, while geopolitics and renewed US–China trade tensions are sending flows back into safe havens. Such capital typically doesn’t “flip” quickly, so the uptrend still has room.
H1 technicals: Price is moving cleanly inside an ascending channel with clear push–pause rhythms. The lower trendline is providing solid support; the 4.22x area is the nearest footing, with an overhead supply zone at 4.28x–4.30x.
Reference trade plan:
Wait for a pullback to 4,228–4,222 to buy the continuation.
SL: below the channel floor around 4,196–4,200 to avoid noise.
TP1: 4,250, TP2: 4,272, TP3: 4,295–4,305 (scale out into the supply zone).
Xau/Usd - Key Buying Zones In FocusGold has been following a strong bullish trend, forming higher highs and higher lows within a rising channel. The chart shows multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), confirming bullish momentum. Price action is currently approaching a weak high, suggesting potential continuation toward the $4350 target.
Several Buying Zones are clearly marked, indicating areas of strong demand where buyers have previously stepped in. If price pulls back from current levels, these zones offer high-probability re-entry areas for long positions.
As long as price respects these demand zones and remains within or above the ascending channel, bullish bias remains intact. Traders may look for confirmation in the buying zones for potential entries targeting the $4350 mark.
When will gold continue to rise? 4300?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) advances toward $4,210 during Thursday’s Asian session, hovering near a fresh record high as Fed rate-cut expectations and renewed trade tensions lift safe-haven demand. Traders now await comments from Fed officials, including Michael Barr, Stephen Miran, Christopher Waller, and Michelle Bowman, for policy cues. Earlier this week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that slowing job growth poses a risk to the US economy, reinforcing prospects for two more rate cuts this year—supportive of the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The buying power shows no signs of stopping, breaking 4217 and continuing to increase in price. The whole market is very excited and focusing on investing in gold as the safest asset.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4275 - 4277 SL 4282
TP1: $4265
TP2: $4250
TP3: $4240
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $4154-$4152 SL $4147
TP1: $4165
TP2: $4180
TP3: $4190
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BTC mainly accumulates, remaining force decreasesBTC Technical Analysis (1D Chart)
Bitcoin continues to move inside a rising channel, where the upper trendline has repeatedly acted as strong resistance (around $125,000–126,000), and the lower boundary has held as key support near $108,000.
After the recent rejection at the upper boundary, price has pulled back sharply and is now approaching the support zone at $108,000–108,500, which aligns with:
The bottom trendline of the ascending channel
The 200-day EMA (white line)
A previous reaction zone marked by strong bullish reversals in the past
If the support holds, BTC may see a technical rebound toward the EMA89–EMA34 zone around $114,000–115,000, or even back to the channel resistance near $125,000.
However, if price breaks below $108,000, it would confirm a bearish breakout from the channel, potentially opening the way toward $100,000–102,000.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $114,000 – $115,800 / $125,000 – $126,000
Support: $108,000 – $108,500 (critical zone)
Trend: Neutral to bullish inside channel; bearish breakdown if $108K fails
GBPUSD: Waiting for bullish pullback signalsIn my previous analyses, GBPUSD has been in a corrective downtrend on the daily timeframe. On the lower timeframes, the pair continues to test support and resistance levels to confirm the overall trend.
Daily timeframe outlook:
4h timeframe outlook:
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
George Vann @ ZuperView
GBP/USD: A slight pullback before continuing higher?The USD has weakened against major currencies due to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in upcoming meetings. This has reduced the attractiveness of the USD, while the UK economy remains stable with a 0.10% GDP growth in August, boosting confidence in the British pound.
Technical Analysis: The GBP/USD chart shows a strong uptrend, with higher lows and higher highs. The support level at 1.3400 remains intact, and the price is currently heading towards the resistance level at 1.3470. Indicators such as the EMA 34 and 89 are both supporting the bullish trend.
Conclusion: With support from both macroeconomic factors and technical analysis, GBP/USD is likely to continue its upward movement. Consider buying on a pullback to 1.3400, with targets at 1.3470 and 1.3500.
XAUUSD – The Uptrend Remains Strongly IntactGold continues to hold above the 4,100 USD/oz zone — a key psychological support level after growing expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates this month.
The technical structure shows XAUUSD is still moving within a clear ascending channel, with each retest of the trendline being strongly absorbed by buying pressure.
It’s highly likely that the 4,100 – 4,120 area will serve as the next accumulation zone before price moves toward the 4,250 USD target.
As long as the Fed maintains its dovish stance and U.S.–China tensions remain elevated, gold’s bullish trend stays firmly intact.
Strategy: Focus on Buy on Dip around 4,100 – 4,120, targeting 4,250 – 4,300 in the short term.
GBP/USD – The Pound’s Uptrend ContinuesAlthough weak wage growth data for August caused the pound to dip slightly on Tuesday, positive signals from Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey provide strong support. He emphasized that the BoE will maintain a cautious monetary policy and will not rush to cut interest rates, signaling that rates may remain high for an extended period.
On the chart, GBP/USD is currently showing a strong recovery pattern after touching the 1.3300 support zone, and is moving upwards with the next target at 1.34100. The macroeconomic factors from the BoE are likely to fuel further momentum for the pound, with buyers expected to return strongly.
Trading Strategy:
Buy GBP/USD around 1.33180, with a target towards 1.34100. The pound may continue its upward movement as the BoE’s monetary policy remains supportive.
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Decision Zone Ahead | Bulls Holding DemandTVC:GOLD
Market Overview
Gold has shown repeated rejections from the demand base, confirming aggressive buyer interest.
Every retest of the yellow box created higher lows, showing accumulation before a potential expansion toward new highs.
If bulls hold above 4 200, continuation toward the 4 228–4 235 zone (previous all-time-high region) is expected.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1 4 218 | 🎯 Target 2 4 230 | 🎯 Target 3 4 240
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Rejection from decision zone → Retest of 4 185 then 4 165
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴 4 218 – 4 230
Support 🟢 4 185 – 4 165
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
UPS Swing 1H Long Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
- support bar above JOC level
+ support level
- above 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Sp-
+ weak test
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit above 1H T1 below 1D CREEK
Daily CounterTrend
"= uniderectional balance
+ expanding ICE level
+ support level"
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ biggest volume breaking bar with bad result"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level"
SOL — From Panic to PrecisionLast week, we witnessed a sharp, market-wide crash, a chain reaction of liquidations that flushed out overleveraged long positions. While many altcoins saw 60–90% drawdowns, the majors held relatively firm.
Among them, SOL stood out as one of the most technically precise. Price perfectly tapped the 1.1 trend-based Fib extension, in confluence with the yearly level, the 21 monthly SMA and the 0.666 retracement, providing a high probability long setup.
After that bounce, SOL revisited the lows, approaching the yearly level near $170, which remains the key structural support for maintaining bullish momentum. The support zone between $175–$170 aligns with the 21 EMA/SMA on the monthly timeframe, which currently spans $158–$170 → forming a strong macro confluence cluster that’s critical to hold.
From there, price unfolded into a clean 5-wave impulsive structure, topping within a dense resistance zone between $208–$212, reinforced by:
mOpen at $208.68
21 EMA/SMA (Daily TF) between $211–$212
0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $211.43
This area offered the perfect low-risk short entry.
Currently, SOL appears to be forming an ABC corrective pattern, likely targeting a move back into the $190–$185 range to fill imbalances and complete wave C. As another key element, the yearly open at $189.31 sits mid-range between resistance and support → a critical pivot level. That’s the region I’ll be monitoring for long setups.
🔍 Indicators used
DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the monthly 21 EMA/SMA.
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
_________________________________
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