EUR/USD: Breakout or Breakdown?Amid recent news, EUR/USD has shown notable volatility. Today, the pair edged lower around 1.1700 on profit-taking, despite strong expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates in September, which continues to weigh on the USD’s momentum. Yesterday, EUR/USD retreated after testing resistance at 1.1730, with RSI signals highlighting growing selling pressure at this level.
Earlier, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole weakened the USD, fueling a strong rebound in EUR/USD from lows of 1.1583 to above 1.1700.
Currently, the pair is consolidating within a horizontal range, with 1.1740 acting as immediate resistance. Short-term EMAs still support a mild bullish bias, showing buyers remain in control. However, if price breaks below the EMA zone, the technical structure could swiftly shift to bearish, raising the risk of a deeper pullback.
Longsetup
Unexpected Drop: Gold Knocked Down by the USD?Gold just had an unexpected slide of −8.930 (−0.26%) , wiping out more than 89 pips in the blink of an eye! After a series of bullish sessions, the market seemed calm, but this move raises the question: Is this merely a short-term correction, or a setup for a powerful rebound ahead?
In yesterday’s session, gold showed clear weakness as the USD strengthened and risk-on sentiment spread across Asian equities. This combination pulled safe-haven flows away from gold, dragging prices down from resistance and triggering a short-term corrective phase. However, expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September remain in play, which could act as a strong medium-term support for gold’s next bullish leg.
From a technical perspective, gold is still moving within a descending channel formed earlier this month. Each rebound attempt failed at the trendline resistance , creating a series of lower highs — a classic sign of short-term bearish momentum. Currently, the $3,370/oz zone stands as a key resistance level where price might retest before adjusting lower toward $3,310 – $3,290/oz. Yet, this is also the area where buy-the-dip demand could emerge, potentially fueling a reversal for gold in the sessions ahead.
In summary, XAUUSD in the short term remains biased to the bears , but medium-term bullish momentum is intact. The current declines are likely just technical pullbacks, paving the way for gold to accumulate strength and prepare for a new rebound once the Fed moves closer to cutting rates.
XAUUSD: Bullish Opportunity After FOMC and Economic DataHello all traders, this article will help you understand the market context and trends.
Yesterday, the FOMC meeting minutes were released, showing broad consensus on maintaining interest rates, which encourages investors to turn to gold as a safe-haven asset , increasing demand for XAUUSD. The higher-than-expected unemployment claims data (235K vs 226K forecast) indicates a weaker labor market, putting downward pressure on the USD and driving gold prices higher. However, the better-than-expected Flash PMI manufacturing index (53.3 vs 49.7 forecast) helped the USD rise slightly, but the impact was minimal.
Technical Analysis:
XAUUSD is trading in a downtrend channel, but the signals are unclear. Immediate support is at 3,312.000, an important level that has been tested and held. Currently, XAUUSD is near a small resistance zone at 3,353.000, with potential targets at TP1: 3,353.000 and TP2: 3,375.000 . Both EMA (89) and EMA (34) are sloping upward, confirming the strength of the uptrend.
Market Strategy:
Buy XAUUSD when the price pulls back to the support level at 3,312.000, with targets at 3,353.000 and 3,375.000.
Risk Management:
Monitor support at 3,312.000. If this level breaks, XAUUSD could correct to 3,270.000. Use a stop-loss below this support level.
Do you think gold can continue its upward trend, or will a correction appear?
GBP/USD Soars Sharply: Can This Breakout Hold?Technical Analysis:
Price Pattern: GBP/USD is currently in an uptrend with strong support at 1.34300 and resistance near 1.35900.
EMA: The 34-period EMA has crossed above the 89-period EMA, indicating the strength of the uptrend.
Signal: Price has just broken through the 1.35200 resistance zone, suggesting that the strong uptrend may continue.
News:
After remarks from Fed officials at the Jackson Hole Symposium, the USD weakened, allowing GBP/USD to benefit and providing an opportunity for further gains.
Trading Strategy:
Uptrend: If price stays above 1.35200, the pair could continue rising, targeting 1.35900 and potentially 1.36500.
Support Levels: If price pulls back and holds above 1.34300, the uptrend will be further confirmed.
USD/JPY: Weak USD Drives the Pair LowerUSD/JPY is currently trading within a descending channel, with near support at 146.400 and resistance at 148.500. After a strong pullback from 148.500, the price is trying to hold around 146.400.
News: The weakness in US economic indicators (GDP and CPI weaker than expected), along with remarks from Fed officials supporting a more cautious monetary policy, have caused the USD to weaken, providing space for pairs like USD/JPY to adjust lower.
Additionally, slower growth in the US economy and concerns over the Fed's rate hike potential have made the USD less attractive, especially compared to the Japanese yen, where monetary policy remains cautious.
Strategy: If the price breaks below 146.400, the downtrend could continue, targeting 146.000.
Gold prices continue to be positive as interest rates cut soon✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 08/25/2025 - 08/29/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices extended their upward momentum on Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell struck a dovish tone, warning that “downside risks to the labor market are rising.” XAU/USD is currently trading around $3,371, recovering from an earlier dip to $3,321.
In his remarks, Powell suggested there is a “reasonable base case” that tariffs could cause a “one-time” spike in prices. However, he admitted the outlook remains complex, with inflation risks skewed to the upside and employment risks leaning lower—a combination he described as a “challenging situation.”
Following Powell’s comments, gold initially surged toward the $3,350 region before climbing to a session high of $3,378. Prices have since eased slightly but remain elevated near current levels.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices increased, positive after the FED chairman voiced that he would cut interest rates in September.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3387, $3400 , $3417
Support: $3351, $3330
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
AUDUSD: Strong Uptrend Driven by Positive Economic DataTechnical Analysis:
AUDUSD is currently showing a strong uptrend, with resistance at 0.65500 and support at 0.64200. If the price stays above the support level, the uptrend will continue, with a potential target of 0.64860. However, if the price breaks below the support, a downtrend could be triggered. For now, with strong momentum from technical indicators, the uptrend remains favored.
Market Context:
Recent positive economic data from the US dollar zone has boosted the AUD, providing strong support for AUDUSD. Along with favorable macroeconomic factors, the AUD continues to strengthen against the USD, driving the pair into a stable uptrend.
Trading Strategy:
With technical signals and a favorable market backdrop, traders can consider buying AUDUSD when the price adjusts to the 0.64200 support, with a potential target at 0.64860. However, close monitoring of the support level is crucial, and a stop-loss should be placed below 0.64200 to protect capital if the market reverses.
PALADIUM LONG we can see trend change on 1h.
i expect the market to go up from here.
trade according to strategy you have and trade in this direction.
On daily we can see the consolidation which i belive will play out if we lose prevos HL on daily trend.
On daily we can also see that we are on strong support, e don have daily candels for long direction but i belive we weill se some up movement from here.
Bitcoin Soars: Buying Opportunity with Strong Uptrend!On the BTCUSDT chart, Bitcoin is trading in an upward channel, with strong support at 111,900 USD. The next target for Bitcoin is 123,400 USD. If BTC holds support at 111,900 USD, the uptrend could continue.
News Impact:
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at a potential interest rate cut in September, weakening the USD and reducing bond yields, which has led to a flow of money into safe-haven assets like Bitcoin. Additionally, the Trump administration is calling for strong interest rate cuts, which could further weaken the USD and push Bitcoin prices higher.
Conclusion:
With supportive macroeconomic factors and a positive technical trend, Bitcoin could continue to rise strongly in the future. Investors can look for buying opportunities around the 111,900 USD support level and expect the price to reach higher targets like 123,400 USD.
Gold Soars! Buy Opportunity After Fed's Rate Cut Hint!In just yesterday's session, gold surged by +32.520 USD (+0.97%) , equivalent to more than 320 pips . A shocking rise caught the market off guard.
The cause was Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole conference, where he hinted at the possibility of an interest rate cut as soon as September. This dovish message weakened the USD , reduced bond yields, and triggered a flow of money into safe-haven assets like gold.
Meanwhile, with calls for interest rate cuts from the Trump administration and concerns about an economic slowdown, gold is likely to rise in the future. President Trump criticized the Fed and called for aggressive rate cuts to boost the economy. If this policy is implemented, the USD could weaken further, making gold an even more attractive investment option.
Technical analysis: Traders may consider the next targets as 3,410 USD (TP1) and 3,434 USD (TP2). With EMA (89 and 34) indicators supporting the uptrend, investors might consider buying around 3,370 USD if gold experiences a slight short-term pullback, expecting the price to continue rising if macroeconomic factors remain favorable.
In conclusion, all factors are currently supporting gold's uptrend. We will continue to monitor developments in the coming days, particularly decisions from the Fed and global economic factors that may impact gold.
Comp / USDT : Looking bullishCOMP/USDT is approaching a key trendline resistance and looks ready for a breakout. A successful move above this level could trigger a strong rally toward $56–58 in the short term.
For the mid-term outlook, the next target zone stands around $80 if momentum continues.
Keep a close watch and trade with proper risk management — confirmation is the key to avoid traps.
1MBABYDOGE / USDT : Approaching trendline resistance1MBABYDOGE/USDT is approaching trendline resistance while the market continues hunting both longs and shorts. Despite the volatility, this coin is showing strong momentum and could be gearing up for a breakout.
If price breaks and confirms above the resistance, we can expect a bullish rally towards $0.0020 – $0.0024.
pro Tip: Always take entry only after a clear breakout with confirmation (strong candle + volume) to avoid false moves.
EUR/USD: Short-Term Drop Before Recovery?Currently, EUR/USD is trading below the resistance at 1.16800 and could drop to 1.16000 if there is no recovery. The support at 1.16000 will be crucial in determining the next trend. If this support holds, the likelihood of a recovery to 1.16800 is high.
News Impact
The speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell could have a significant impact on monetary policy and affect the USD, increasing the chances of EUR/USD dropping. Meanwhile, peace talks between Russia and Ukraine could boost the euro if the situation improves.
Forecast
EUR/USD may experience a short-term decline, but there is still a chance for recovery if the support at 1.15998 holds.
KERNEL / USDT : Breakout confirmed with strong potentialKernel (USDT) Breakout: Short-Term Rally Ahead
Kernel (USDT) has broken out and is now showing strong momentum. With current bullish momentum, we’re expecting a rally towards $0.28 in the short term. Keep an eye on this one – potential for quick gains.
Remember to manage your risk and stay updated on market conditions. Markets are dynamic, and it’s crucial to stay informed and agile.
BTCUSD Long Thesis: Awaiting Reversal for a Target of 118000Hello, traders! The market structure for BTCUSD was redefined by a reversal from the prior descending channel. A bullish initiative from the pivot point low near 112000 shifted the balance of power, with the subsequent impulse creating a new high at the 122500 supply zone. This action set the boundaries for the current consolidation phase.
Currently, BTC is consolidating within a large symmetrical triangle, a pattern of contracting volatility. The price auction is being squeezed between the descending supply line and the ascending demand line. The market is now at a critical juncture, testing the integrity of the horizontal demand zone around 113000, the primary area of control for buyers.
The working hypothesis is a long scenario based on a potential liquidity grab. It is anticipated that the price may briefly dip into the 113000 - 112000 demand zone before a sharp bullish reversal. A swift reclaim of the 113000 level would be the key confirmation. Such a reversal is expected to initiate a full rotation towards the upper boundary, with the take-profit set at 118500, a logical target representing a significant area of prior price interaction. Manage your risk!
EURUSD: Strong Bullish OutlookMarket Context:
EU and the US outline next steps on tariffs: If the EU and the US reach an agreement and ease trade tensions, EURUSD may rise due to the strengthening of the EUR.
Germany's Flash PMI increased (49.9 vs 48.8 forecast), showing strength in the eurozone economy, which supports the EUR and pushes EURUSD higher.
Technical Analysis:
EURUSD is currently trading around 1.15900, with strong resistance at 1.17800 and immediate support at 1.15400. The bullish trend continues, confirmed by EMA indicators showing strong momentum.
Trading Strategy:
With the improved PMI data and positive trade forecasts, the outlook for EURUSD is bullish. Traders may look to buy EURUSD when the price pulls back to 1.15400, targeting 1.16700.
Monitor support at 1.15400. If broken, EURUSD could correct towards 1.15000. Use a stop-loss below this support level.
What are your thoughts on this trend?
Dow Theory: Unlocking Market Trends for Consistent ProfitsDow Theory is the foundation of modern technical analysis. Developed by Charles H. Dow in the late 19th century, this theory asserts that the market reflects all information and price movements always follow identifiable trends. To this day, Dow Theory remains a "compass" for traders in understanding price behavior.
6 Core Principles of Dow Theory:
The Market Reflects All
Price includes all information: news, expectations, psychology, and economic data. Therefore, the chart is the most reliable source of information.
The Market Has 3 Trends
Primary Trend: Lasts for several months to years.
Secondary Trend: Adjustments within the primary trend, usually lasting a few weeks.
Minor Trend: Fluctuates over a few days, less significant.
The Primary Trend Has 3 Phases
Accumulation: Smart investors quietly buy.
Public Participation: Large capital flows in, and the trend becomes clear.
Distribution: Large institutions begin to offload, preparing for reversal.
Indices Must Confirm Each Other
Dow used the industrial and railroad indices; today, this means trends are only valid when multiple markets/inter-markets confirm the same direction.
Volume Confirms the Trend
In an uptrend, volume should increase when the price rises and decrease during corrections. The opposite is true for downtrends.
Trends Continue Until Clear Reversal Signals Appear
Traders shouldn’t try to pick bottoms or tops, but rather follow the trend until there's confirmation of a change.
Practical Significance for Traders:
Helps identify the main trend to follow the big money.
Aids in risk management by avoiding trading against the trend.
Provides a comprehensive view: price, volume, and market phases.
BEN Stock Going UP, Confirmed Monday 6/30/25Hello,
Ayrfolio trade ideas are based on weekly charts and momentum, so remember to be patient! No day trades here unless the stock soars up intraday. Today we’re covering:
COMPANY: Franklin Resources, Inc.
STOCK SYMBOL: BEN
POSITION: Long
TP1 Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.26
TP2 Risk-Reward Ratio: 4.52
Stop Loss: must wait AFTER daily candle closes to exit trade (regular candle, NOT Heiken Ashi)
Ultimate Stop Loss: can exit IMMEDIATELY if price reaches this level during any trading hours
EXPLANATION: Weekly momentum increased and confirmed on Monday 6/30/25 at $24.88/share. Although the stop losses are listed on the chart, if momentum has been lost then we can exit before the price reaches the stop loss.
DISCLAIMER: Please do your own due diligence before making any decisions.
P.S. - Stocks can soar. YOU can soar. Soaring is possible!
-Ayrfolio
OGN ANALYSIS🔮#OGN Analysis 💰💰
#OGN is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a weekly time frame and breakouts with high volume and we could see a bullish momentum in #OGN. Before that we will see little bit bearish movement towards its support zone and that a bullish movement.
🔖 Current Price: $0.0768
⏳ Target Price: $0.0998
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #OGN. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲
🏷Remember, the crypto market is dynamic in nature and changes rapidly, so always use stop loss and take proper knowledge before investments.
#OGN #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
EUR/USD Set to Test Key Support Level!Hello everyone, the EUR/USD chart currently shows a clear bearish structure. After failing to break the strong resistance at 1.17100, the market has reversed and is forming lower highs and lows. The key support level at 1.16100 is crucial to watch. If the price breaks this support, the pair may continue its strong downtrend, targeting 1.15300.
News supporting the bearish trend:
FOMC minutes: With a dovish FOMC minutes, the USD is likely to continue strengthening, putting pressure on EUR/USD.
Initial jobless claims: Negative data from jobless claims reinforces the bullish trend of USD, pushing EUR/USD lower.
Weak PMI: The weakening PMI indicators from the Eurozone increase the likelihood of EUR/USD continuing its downtrend.
Strategy:
Wait for a break below 1.16100 to enter a SELL trade, targeting 1.15300 as the next levels.
Is Gold About to Explode?Hello traders, today we can see gold making a strong recovery from the support level around 3,300 USD. If the price can break through the immediate resistance at 3,372 USD , gold could reach the target of 3,406 USD . The upward trend is supported by successive higher highs and lows, along with the EMA lines.
News Supporting the Bullish Trend:
The FOMC meeting minutes are dovish, jobless claims are higher than expected, and the PMI data is weaker than forecast, all indicating a weak economy. This could lead the Fed to maintain a loose monetary policy, weakening the USD. When the USD weakens, gold becomes more attractive, encouraging investors to turn to gold as a safe-haven asset, driving the price higher.
Conclusion: Based on both fundamental and technical factors, XAUUSD is trending upwards, supported by dovish FOMC minutes, high jobless claims, and weak PMI data. The next targets are 3,372 USD and 3,406 USD.
Strategy:
Buy if the price breaks above 3,372 USD, with a target of 3,406 USD.
Place a stop loss below 3,316 USD to protect capital.
BTC Explodes: Heading Towards New Targets!The BTC/USDT chart shows a strong upward trend, with the price currently trading within a stable ascending channel. Bitcoin has rebounded from the support level at 3,314.700 USD and is now heading towards the next target at 3,372 USD. This price structure, with higher highs and higher lows, indicates that the bullish trend is strengthening. If BTC remains above the support level at 3,334 USD, the probability of continuing the upward movement towards 3,372 USD is very high.
News Supporting the Uptrend:
FOMC Minutes: The dovish tone from the FOMC has weakened the USD, which supports BTC's upward trend.
Jobless Claims: Higher-than-expected jobless claims data signals a weaker economy, pushing BTC higher.
PMI Index: Weak PMI figures reinforce the decline of the USD and create favorable conditions for BTC's price increase.
Trading Strategy:
Buy when BTC stays above the current support level, targeting the next level at 3,372 USD. Protect capital with a reasonable stop loss.






















