LTC/USD Approaching the Halvening EventLooking at the weekly time frame of Litecoin as we are approaching the halvening event in September of this year, about 200 days away, this chart is looking eerily similar to the 2018 cycle bottom.
We’re going to see a pump upwards to $95-114 prior to the halving event with a pull back around to the area levels that were in now from $80-$84.
I believe we’ve seen the bottom for Litecoin at $41 and from here we’ve regained the long term uptrend extending from before the start of the 2017 bull run cycle.
So $80-$84 is the accumulation before the breakout and pullback to a very similar structure of what we’ve seen in Litecoin 4 years ago. Also, markets don’t bottom down, they bottom up.
Market bottom in the 2018 cycle was almost at the $20 range and the market bottom this cycle was almost touching the $40 level. All in all, this was a 100% increase over the period of 4 years and still a remarkable gain if you managed to get in early.
Obviously historical data doesn’t prove future results, but we can sort of use predictive behavior to figure out how this cycle will play out. We’ll see the Litecoin halving later this year which will spark the next bull cycle, following with consolidation all the way up until early 2025 where it will lead the bull run and breakout with Bitcoin following.
This will be a solid year of consolidation / accumulation, but definitely able to make some decent profits swing trading on the volatility.
If you were to HODL throughout the cycle and up until 2026, i’d expect another 100% flatline increase, otherwise an $80 bottom (floor) at the lowest.
As always please do your own research, I am not a financial advisor.
Long
