Support and Resistance VS Supply and Demand Explained
In the today's post, I will compare support and resistance levels with supply and demand zones.
I will explain to you the difference between them and share important tips and examples.
What are support and resistance levels?
We also call them key levels. These are particular levels on a price chart from where in the past we saw significant bullish or bearish movements.
Key support will be a one single level, that has a historical significance and from where a bullish reaction will be anticipated.
The all-time low on USDCHF will be a perfect example of a key support.
It is one single level that was respected one time in the past and from where a bullish reversal initiated.
Key resistance will be a one single level on a price chart that has a historical significance and from where a bearish movement will be expected.
The all-time high on Gold will represent a key horizontal resistance.
That level was respected one time in the past and from that level exactly the market dropped heavily.
What are supply and demand zones?
In comparison to support and resistance levels, supply and demand zones are the areas on a price chart. The zones that are based on multiple touches and consequent strong bullish or bearish reactions.
Demand zone will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past, and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area.
A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future.
The yellow area above will a good example of a demand zone.
You can see that the price tested that area 3 times, and each time the market respected different levels lying within that.
These 3 tests compose the demand area.
Supply zone will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area.
A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future.
In this example, a supply area on EURUSD is based on 2 touches of key levels, lying very close to each other.
On the chart above, I underlined 2 horizontal support levels - the single levels that were respected by the market multiple times, and a supply zone - the area that is based on tests of multiple levels lying close to each other.
Support and resistance levels give you SINGLE levels from where you can look for trading opportunities. While supply and demand zones represent the areas . After a test of a supply and demand zone, the market may react to a RANDOM level within that.
For newbie traders, it is highly recommendable to trade single key levels, while experienced traders can broaden their strategies and trade supply and demand zones as well.
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M-forex
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 10, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the trading session of the previous week, the Euro exhibited considerable volatility, initially declining to approximately the Mean Support level of 1.153 before experiencing a substantial upward reversal. Current market indicators suggest that this bullish trend may persist, with particular emphasis on the Mean Resistance level identified at 1.165, which could lead to an ascent toward the secondary Mean Resistance at 1.174.
Conversely, recent price movements may indicate a reversal, leading to a decline toward the Mean Support level of 1.156, which could complete the Outer Currency Dip at 1.145. Should this downward trajectory continue, it may extend further to the Key Support level of 1.140.
BITCOIN Will Go Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 116,693.38.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 123,791.64 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURJPY Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 175.665.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 174.179 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURCAD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.627.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.608 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USDCHF 1D – the dollar wakes upAfter a long decline, the pair finally shows some life - on the daily chart we have a clean breakout from the falling wedge followed by a retest.
Price now holds inside the buy zone (0.795–0.803) - the perfect base for a potential bullish move.
Technically, the setup looks solid:
✅ breakout confirmed
✅ retest completed
✅ volume rising
✅ momentum turning bullish
The first resistance sits at 0.808, where a minor pause could appear.
If buyers hold control above that level - the path to 0.823 (1.618) and later 0.848 (2.618) opens up nicely.
Structure remains bullish as long as the buy zone stays intact.
And remember: you don’t fight the wedge - you ride the breakout.
GBPJPY Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 204.181.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 202.632 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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US30 SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
US30 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 45,553.8
Target Level: 46,661.5
Stop Loss: 44,818.8
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP/CAD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so GBP-CAD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.864.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Bullish Structure BROKENLiamTrading – XAUUSD: Bullish Structure BROKEN, Preparing for a STRONG DOWNTREND?
Hello trader,
The Gold market has undergone a significant Market Structure Shift, breaking the previously sustainable uptrend. After the key support area around 4000 was breached with high volume, the Bears have taken control in the short term.
Currently, the price is experiencing a slight correction after a sharp drop, but overall, it is forming Lower High – Lower Low patterns on the H1 timeframe, confirming the bearish move.
📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 1H – XAUUSD)
The recent sharp decline has broken the bullish structure (Break of Structure - BOS), while also creating important inefficiency/imbalances that need to be filled:
Liquidity Focus Area (Resistance): $4050 – $4060. This is the resistance peak to watch.
Sell Liquidity Zone (FVG Sell Zone): $4030 – $4040. This is the ideal Fair Value Gap for Bears to re-enter.
Key Support/Buy Scalping Zone: $3925 – $3935 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.272).
Swing Buy/Accumulation Zone: $3905 – $3915 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.618).
🎯 Main Trading Scenario (Short-term BEARISH)
Sell entry 4000 – 4002
SL 4008
TP 3986 – 3965 3950 – 3923
Sell Entry 4028 – 4031 (FVG )
SL 4036
TP 4022 – 4010 4000 – 3960
Buy Scalping
3926 – 3928
SL 3921
TP 3939 – 3955 3970 – 3990
Buy Bottom Zone 3900 – 3908
SL 3895
TP 3922 – 3945 3970 – 3988
Export to Spreadsheet
🧭 Fundamental Insight & Market Sentiment
The bearish momentum is being driven by the following factors:
Monetary Policy: Fed official Williams' statements supporting continued rate cuts seem to be reducing Gold's safe-haven demand. Although rate cuts typically support Gold in the long term (due to "cheap money"), the slowing labor market is a short-term negative signal.
CPI News: The Bureau of Labor Statistics recalling staff to compile the CPI report amid a government shutdown highlights the importance of this data. If the CPI is not as expected, it could cause significant volatility.
Market Sentiment: After the bullish structure was broken, technical selling sentiment may prevail, especially if the price cannot quickly recover to the 4000 level.
📌 Conclusion & Recommendations
Gold has confirmed a short-term structural shift to bearish. While the long-term trend is not clearly defined, the current priority is to seek Sell opportunities when the price retraces to key resistance and FVG areas (such as $4000 and $4030).
Advice: Always adhere to SL (Stop Loss) and prioritize risk reduction when the market signals a reversal. DO NOT BUY when the bearish structure is dominant.
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Gold Trading Strategy Based on News (News Trading)Hello everyone,
When it comes to gold, few things move the market faster and stronger than economic news. Data releases such as CPI, NFP, or Fed interest rate decisions can cause gold prices to swing sharply within minutes — creating perfect opportunities for traders who react in time. For example, a higher-than-expected CPI report often pushes gold prices up, while a strong NFP can send them plunging instantly.
To take advantage of these moves, you must first understand how each type of news impacts gold. A high CPI signals rising inflation — gold tends to climb as investors seek protection against inflation. A low CPI usually strengthens the USD, pushing gold lower. A strong NFP indicates economic growth, leading to USD gains and gold weakness, while a weak NFP weakens the USD and boosts gold. As for the Fed’s interest rate decisions : rate hikes strengthen the USD and pressure gold, while rate cuts do the opposite.
The core strategy here is to trade immediately after the news release . If the outcome exceeds expectations, gold typically reacts sharply: high CPI or weak NFP → buy, strong NFP or low CPI → sell . The key is quick execution and strict risk management .
The Economic Calendar on TradingView is your best ally — it helps you track upcoming data releases in real time. Before the news, identify the market expectation and prepare your buy or sell setups. Once the data drops, react based on price action and always set a proper Stop Loss : below support for buys, above resistance for sells, and never risk more than 1–2% of your account per trade .
This strategy’s appeal lies in the high volatility, rapid opportunities , and strong liquidity , which allow for efficient entries and exits. Traders who can stay calm and react correctly can capture sharp profits from news shocks — while those unprepared often get caught in the chaos.
In short, trading gold based on news is a powerful strategy — but it only works if you master timing, manage your risk carefully, and stay updated with tools like the Economic Calendar.
Are you ready to catch gold’s next big move when the news hits?
BTC BREAKING NEWS OR BREAKING CHARTS?📰 BREAKING NEWS OR BREAKING CHARTS?
TRUMP IMPOSES TARIFFS, CAUSING A BITCOIN BLOODBATH — $20,000 DRAWDOWN IN 2 HOURS!
Bitcoin was sitting comfortably at $121,000, before a sudden macro shock — triggered by newly imposed U.S. tariffs — sent prices spiraling down to $100,000 in a matter of hours.
Bulls were liquidated. Bears rejoiced.
Now, the market stands at a crossroads: will this become a major dump continuation, or the foundation for a secret pump?
Chart Overview & Structure
On the high timeframe, BTC continues to trade within a rising wedge formation, with price now showing a significant wick rejection from the upper boundary. This move suggests a potential shift in market structure — a moment that’s likely to shake inexperienced traders. The chart reveals a clear supply and demand structure:
Supply Zone: $123,452 – $130,000
D emand Zone: $98,826 – $101,400
These zones define the battlefield between bulls and bears. In addition, eight psychological levels dominate the chart — $100K, $105K, $110K, $115K, $120K, $125K, and $130K — each representing potential liquidity clusters and reaction points.
Adding to the complexity, we can see a golden pocket (0.618–0.65 retracement) forming around $106,000, perfectly aligning with prior swing lows and the midpoint of a large Fair Value Gap (FVG) overhead. This zone could serve as a reversal or continuation point depending on whether price can reclaim and hold above the major support trendline.
Technical Insights
The market has now tapped the rising wedge resistance three times, with the last tap forming a wick above $125K, triggering liquidity before the sharp collapse. This aligns with the classical exhaustion behavior of wedges. Moreover, a potential Head and Shoulders structure is beginning to emerge, with the right shoulder aligning near $115K — a confluence area that may attract strong bearish attention.
For now, price is testing the lower support trendline — a crucial pivot area for determining whether BTC continues to break down toward demand or consolidates for recovery. This structure creates a make-or-break zone that will define the next macro leg.
Bullish Scenario
Despite the panic, this could be a classic liquidity flush — a “flush candle” event designed to wipe out leveraged long positions before a larger move upward. If BTC can maintain structure above the major support line and close above $106K–$110K, it opens the door for a relief rally.
A reclaim of $115K would confirm buyer strength.
Sustained momentum could push BTC back into the $120K–$125K range to retest the broken supply zone.
Breaking through $125K would invalidate the bearish wedge, potentially igniting a run toward $130K+ and even new highs in “Pump-tober.”
In this scenario, the deep liquidation event becomes fuel for a massive short squeeze, driving momentum and reigniting bullish sentiment across crypto markets.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if BTC fails to hold above $106K or decisively breaks below the demand zone at $98K, it would confirm a rising wedge breakdown.
Below $100K, momentum could accelerate toward $95K–$92K — the next liquidity pools and volume gaps.
The Head and Shoulders completion would confirm the bearish reversal structure, further strengthening the downside case.
Macro sentiment, fueled by geopolitical and policy fears, could add weight to the bearish outlook.
A rejection from $115K without sustained reclaim would also reinforce the bearish continuation pattern, with every psychological level above turning into resistance.
Summary
Bitcoin is at an inflection point — the $100K–$115K range will define the next macro move.
The recent wick and structure breakdown hint at weakness, but the flush candle and liquidity sweep also suggest that a bullish rebound could be on the horizon.
In short:
Above $115K → Bullish continuation possible.
Below $100K → Bearish expansion likely.
With volatility at its peak, traders should expect massive liquidity hunts, fakeouts, and emotional traps on both sides.
Whether this becomes the start of a macro correction or a secret accumulation phase before a major pump — the next few daily closes will tell the story.
$Solana $250+ or DOWN 216?In our recent post, we perfectly predicted the touch of 250 and 190.
Price has now reversed off the supply zone and is making its way back up, lets see what the potential out come for the next two weeks are!
Solana (SOL/USDT) 1H Chart Analysis
Current Price: ~$232
Trend : Price is was inside a clear ascending channel, respecting support and resistance lines - however has now breached resistance.
Key Levels
Support Zones:
$225 → Psychological support + 4H FVG.
$216 → Deeper 4H FVG and strong volume node. ( + 4 Hour Fib GP )
$200 → Major psychological level + prior supply zone flip.
Resistance Zones:
$250 → Psychological resistance + demand zone.
$275 → Next major resistance if $250 breaks.
Bullish Scenario
If SOL holds above $225 and consolidates within the trend channel, price could retest $250.
Break and close above $250 may extend rally toward $275.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold $225 could drag SOL to the $216 FVG or even $208.
A breakdown of $208 increases risk of revisiting $200.
Summary
Market structure remains bullish as long as price respects the rising trendline.
$225 is the key short-term pivot: holding above favors $250+, losing it opens downside risk toward $216–200.
Let me know what you think!
$BTC Daily chart $130K! or $115k DUMPBTC/USDT – Bearish Harmonic Formation | Key Levels & Scenarios
Technical Overview:
Price is currently forming a bearish harmonic pattern, approaching a key decision zone. The next few daily candles will determine whether BTC continues its bullish trend or initiates a corrective phase.
Key Zones
Demand: 122.2K – 124.7K
Supply: 105.1K – 108.9K
Psychological Levels: 130K · 125K · 120K · 115K
Golden Pocket: Around 115K (0.618–0.65 retracement)
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
115K–118K
110K (secondary FVG)
Swing Points:
Previous Swing Low: 108K
Previous Swing High: 126K
High Volume Nodes: 118K and 115K
Market Structure
BTC is respecting a consistent bullish leg with limited pullbacks. Price recently swept the 125K psychological level, aligning with harmonic completion and demand resistance.
Scenario Outlook
🔼 Bullish Continuation:
A daily close above the 124.7K demand zone could invalidate the bearish harmonic and signal continuation toward 130K+ targets.
🔽 Bearish Reversal:
A close below the previous day’s candle low may confirm the start of a bearish correction, targeting 118K → 115K, and potentially 110K.
Bearish Confluences
Bearish Harmonic Pattern completion near key resistance.
Golden Pocket + FVG + Psychological + Volume confluence at 115K.
Extended bullish leg with no significant retracement, followed by 125K liquidity sweep.
LET me know your thoughts below!
$ETH Market Assessment Incoming FAKEOUT? ETH/USD Perpetual – Market Assessment
Key Zones
Demand: 4737 – 4895
Supply: 3818 – 3994
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): 4433, 4326
Anchored Volume Node: 4300 (significant liquidity cluster)
Psychological Levels : 4000, 4500, 5000
Recent Swing Points: High 4753, Low 3821
Technical Structure
High-Time Frame (HTF) Analysis:
Pattern: Bullish flag
Interpretation: Indicates potential continuation to the upside if price breaks above the flag resistance.
Daily-Time Frame (DTF) Analysis:
Pattern: Bearish channel
Interpretation: Suggests a slightly bearish pressure on the daily trend; caution required for long positions.
Volume and Liquidity:
Anchored volume node at 4300 aligns closely with FVGs at 4326 and 4433 – this area may act as strong support on pullbacks.
Scenario Planning
Bullish Scenario:
Price holds above demand zone (4737–4895).
Break above recent swing high at 4753 confirms bullish momentum.
Potential targets: 4895, 5000 psychological resistance.
Pullbacks likely to find support at FVGs (4433, 4326) or volume node (4300).
Bearish Scenario:
Price fails to hold demand zone and breaks below recent swing low 3821.
Next support: supply zone 3818–3994, then psychological level at 4000.
FVGs and volume node may temporarily slow the downside movement.
Summary / Notes
HTF indicates bullish continuation potential; daily trend shows bearish pressure.
Demand and supply zones, FVGs, and volume nodes are key levels for trade planning.
Monitor price reactions at swing points, psychological levels, and liquidity clusters to confirm trade setups.
Trade management should consider both bullish and bearish contingencies, with SLs placed near key FVGs or volume nodes.
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE Gold is currently trading near a major resistance zone where price has shown multiple rejections in the past. After a strong upward move, momentum appears to be slowing down, indicating that buyers are losing strength.
If the price continues to reject this resistance area or forms a bearish pattern (such as a double top or bearish engulfing candle), it could signal the start of a downward correction. Sellers may gain control if price fails to close above this resistance.
A clear break below short-term support levels would further confirm bearish pressure and open the way for a deeper pullback. As long as price remains below resistance, the bias stays bearish.
XAU/USD | Gold Recovers After Sharp Selloff (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Gold (XAUUSD) chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that yesterday, following the announcement of peace between Hamas and Israel, gold experienced a sharp drop — falling from $4029 to $3943, which means a decline of over 850 pips (and about 1140 pips from the $4058 level!).
After reaching the demand zone between $3941 and $3951, buyers stepped in, pushing the price back up to around $4022. Following this strong rebound, gold has started a short-term correction back toward the $4000 level.
Now, the key question is whether the price can hold above $3994 — if it does, we could see another bullish move.
The next upside targets are $4006, $4016, and $4028.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EUR/USD – Bearish Continuation in MotionEUR/USD continues to display a bearish market structure, reflecting persistent downside pressure as the euro struggles to maintain stability against the U.S. dollar. Recent price action shows a period of consolidation followed by a liquidity grab near short-term highs, indicating that buyers are losing strength and the market is positioning for a potential continuation of the decline. The broader market tone suggests that sentiment remains cautious, with traders favoring the dollar due to its resilience amid global uncertainty and steady U.S. economic performance. The pair’s inability to establish higher highs further confirms weakness in bullish momentum. This behavior often signals distribution, where institutional players offload long positions before another leg downward. Short-term movements could still present small corrective bounces as the market seeks liquidity, but overall conditions favor sellers. Unless a strong shift in macro sentiment occurs, EUR/USD is likely to maintain its downward trajectory, targeting lower levels as the bearish momentum unfolds and traders continue aligning with dollar strength.
NZD CAD short trade.It's a NZD CAD 'interest rate speculation trade', based on today's positive CAD employment data Vs the dovish RNBZ.
I'm not particularly keen on placing trades this late on a Friday and a risk is that I'm too late. But I've only just got to the charts and there might just be enough momentum for an extra 11 pips.
The risk to the trade is subdued price action or positive market sentiment.
This is a 'short term trade' as I ultimately imagine the CAD will soon return to the 'to short list'.
I will close the trade before end of day if it's ongoing (to avoid weekend risk).
CADJPY FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅CADJPY forms a bullish structure after reclaiming the demand level, signaling Smart Money interest in premium buys. Liquidity sweep below 108.800 confirms accumulation before a move toward 109.460 target.
—————————
Entry: 109.051
Stop Loss: 108.664
Take Profit: 109.460
Time Frame: 7H
—————————
LONG🚀
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EURUSD Short: Trend Continuation to 1.1525 pointsHello, traders! The prior market structure for EURUSD has shifted to a bearish bias. This occurred after a failed breakout above the 1.1800 resistance level, which concluded a prior ascending channel. The subsequent reversal established the current descending channel, which has been guiding the price auction lower through a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Currently, the price action has confirmed its weakness by breaking below the key horizontal support at the 1.1645 level. After some consolidation below this level, the auction is now making a corrective pullback. This price action is setting up a classic retest of the broken support as new resistance, which is a critical point for the market.
My scenario for the development of events is a continuation of the downtrend. I believe this rally is a corrective retest that will fail upon reaching the 1.1645 resistance level. In my opinion, a confirmed rejection from this area will validate the bearish control and trigger the next impulsive move down. The take-profit is therefore set at 1.1525. Manage your risk.