₿itcoin Cool Down and Bull TrendSeeing some small divergences on the OBV, MACD, and RSI the last push on the Bitstamp BITSTAMP:BTCUSD and Bitfinex BITFINEX:BTCUSD 15 minute. TD count shows a exhaustion cycle coming to an end soon on the 15 minute but exhaustion cycles have been unreliable on ₿TC lately. Hourly and and higher time frames don't show the divergence but do show that a cool down is needed to at least the two local support levels shown on the 15 minute PINK support lines. Volume is your friend to find which one we bounce on so stay glued to it when we approach them.
Bitfinex 15 minute indicators
Bitfinex Hourly
Bitfinex 4 hour
I am expecting a cool down and then a continuance upward. One thing to note is the volume levels have remained on par with the rally as far as the CMF is concerned. We are seeing heavy buying pressure still but do show a minor weakness in strength. I never under estimate ₿itcoin though. 27k by Near Years
Macdivergence
AUDUSD TO BREAK RESISTANCEAUDUSD has reached both of this weeks targets while still holding a fair amount of momentum.Once again we have reached our familiar reversal zone that showed SUPPORT in early November then Resistance in late November and Early December. According to our MACD indicators we can expect a bullish divergence allowing the price to break through our targeted resistance level and rally up towards our new at around 0.76400.
GBPCHF bearish potentialBeautiful ascending channel on the daily that reacted exactly at 61.8 fib level. Also the ascending 4-hour channel with the continuous divergence on the MACD, gives good possibility for price to retest the blue bottom. In terms of fundamentals, you should be very cautious on Thursday due to Interest Rate Decisions on both currencies.
1) Never risk more than 2% of your account.
2) Try to be emotionless by applying your strategy to the pip.
3) Invest to yourself and then your capital. Try to educate yourself along with the signals and enhance your risk intelligence and your perception on how Markets work.
4) You do not have to be extremely precise to be highly profitable as long as you take the set-ups with big R/R.
Possible Expanded Flat in NZDUSDTenemos la formación ya de una corrección ABC, pero se que todavía no esta finalizada porque sigue habiendo divergencia en MACD, lo que nos confirma que será una Expanded Flat. Después de esa onda C, buscaremos una entrada en cortos en algún lugar del nuevo impulso, con un Take Profit en el -27% de Fibonacci.
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We can see an ABC pattern, but I know it still not finished because there's still exist a divergence in MACD, that confirms it will be a Expanded Flat. After that C wave, I'll find an entrance in somewhere place of the new impulse, with Take Profit in -27% Fibonacci.
Perfect ending diagonal in AUDCHF, and it will go up in 3,2,1...Se nos acaba de presentar una hermosa Ending Diagonal en AUDCHF. Ya ha roto su tendencia, así que esperaré una banderita para buscar un Take Profit con Risk reward de 1 a 2.
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We can see a perfect Ending Diagonal in AUDCHF. It has already broken the trend line, so I'll wait a flag to enter in long, searching a Take Profit with Risk reward of 1 to 2.
Ending Channel in EURCHFPodemos ver la formación de un ending channel, además, tenemos una fuerte divergencia en MACD, lo que indica y confirma la caída próxima en eurchf. Todavía es temprano para buscar la entrada, la semana que viene podremos encontrarla cuando haga el breakout y forme una bandera. Aproximadamente, el nuevo impulso llegará hasta el final de la flecha marcada en el gráfico.
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We can see an ending channel in eurchf and, furthermore, we have a very strong divergence in MACD, that confirms the next fall in eurchf. It's still early to look for the entrance, next week we'll be able to find it, when it makes the breakout and form a flag. Approximately, the new impulse will reach the end of the arrow drawn on the chart.
1# BTC 5K or 10K ? That is the question.** Freshly in the cryptospace, Here is my coming out on what's is going with Godfather Bitcoin. Disclaimer : I am a learner ; not a technician **
-- ONE-YEAR PICTURE--
Bitcoin is in a HEALTHY, ACCELERATING BULLISH CHANNEL since March, following the exact same cycle :
1) A Quarterly 3-figures Bull Run (800% compounded YTD) that penetrates at least ONE fib level F
2) A 40% retracement from the second fib level F+1 to the fib level F-1, just between the SMA 100 & 150
I would like to confirm that it follows the last 9 month an Elliott Waves (currently ended wave 5?) & allowing ABC corrective waves. * Please correct me if i am wrong! *
-- LAST 3-MONTHS--
We are now at the consolidation phase for the (1) last bull run, started the 14th September. There are two opposites scenarios :
Scénario 1) BTC Return To 5K : RSI and MACD divergence both indicate strong bearish reversal signal et the major 8000 level ! A last quarter retracement would push BTC at the 6100 and then 5000 levels.
Scénario 2) BTC Continue To 10K : Since last week BTC price forms a Bullish Flag consolidation just below the 8000 level. that indicates upward support. Also BTC is not so overbought and DMI/MACD can support further upward movements. At the time i am writing BTC has broken the 8000 level & breakout the symetrical triangle & Bollinger squeeze at 4H and 1H.
-- WHAT AM I DOING FOR NEW YEAR ?--
Scénario 1) Track a bounce or a penetration at the 6100 level ; then Look for reversal signs & patterns Double / Triple tops / H&S ; Be prepared to BUY between 6100 and 5000 levels.
Scénario 2) Confirm 8000 level breakout at 4H ; Wait for a consolidation of the price at the Mid-8000's and track the next reversal SHORT or bull confirmation to open LONG.
PS: BTC is still fundamentaly strong : both as reserve of value for Institutionnal investors and as a reference for newcomers. I am not surprised for a Christmas at 10K
Peace out
AUDUSD Weekly Trade AnalysisAUDUSD > 10/8-13/17 Trade Analysis
Timeframe: 1W
Pair broke below support @ 0.7807 with MACD showing bearish divergence, expecting further decline toward 0.7727
A firm break and hold below 0.7727 would signal good possibility of further decline toward 0.7633 level.
Expecting bearish trend to continue with price needing to remain below 0.7820 for continual confirmation.
A firm break and hold above 0.7820 would indicate bearish trend is weakening. Firm break and hold above 0.7874 would serve as indication that bearish trend is complete and a reversal would come back in play.
* Personal analysis only. Please use your own rules and strategies prior to entering market.
** Forex trading involves HIGH RISK.
Before entering a trade, carefully consider your objectives, financial resources and level of experience.
Bearish in AUDUSD!!!We are getting to the top resistance on AXY showed in May 14th, 2015 (81.6) and the lowest support on DXY (93.18) in the same day, right now the pair AUDUSD is falling into a trap, so wait to sell until we reach the 0.81630 level to sell, do not risk your earnings, enter with a MACD divergence (3,10,16,CLS).
Safety trade!!
HOW TO FIND DIVERGENCE WITH MACD!!Every time that we are looking for Support and Resistance, we are always wondering when will our price finally go up or down, in order not to risk your accounts, you can use the following MACD strategy and look for any price divergence.
MACD Strategy:
Fast Length: 3
Slow length: 10
Source: Close
Signal Smoothing: 16
Happy Trading!!!
USDMXN - Bull huntingplease review a 1 week Div for the USDMXN pair
Fib re-trace will provide key prices to look for while we hunt those all too important candle patterns
I would like to recommend hunting 1 day candles, look for a Bull Fractal before entering the game
potential bottom:
.786 18.11755
potential breakout:
.618 18.95532
take profit
.382 20.13218
remember this is a long study so be very precise with entry and shorter timeframe verification to go long
dont forget to use ATR for stop loss calculation, keep leverage low to support the long trade and in general just try to survive those tree shaking pip stealers
chears
Resistance reboundCHK has shown many patterns over the last year, with 3 flags and a double top pattern, and now the stock has broken out a flag pattern and has had a partial rise and has fallen to the support trendline but has had a breakout, this position will lead to the support trendline. Also the 100 MA is providing resistance and thats where the stop is.This is also backed by the MACD divergence.