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Manipulation

Sell! (personal opinion, DYOR always)Remember — this is only my personal opinion, it’s emotional, and maybe you shouldn’t trust me. But here’s what I see happening right now. This CRYPTOCAP:BNB pump looks extremely suspicious. CZ has turned his back on the community he helped build, and now he seems to serve the same powers manipulating the crypto markets. 🚨 What’s going on: On October 11th, over $400 billion (yes entired funds collapsed, the total of the liquidation is yet to be accounted for real, brace for a shocking number) in liquidations reportedly happened. Binance allegedly reported only 5% of that — likely to hide the fact that their system failed catastrophically. If true, Binance could be liable for massive financial damages. 💰 How it works: CRYPTOCAP:BNB is being pumped using liquidity minted by Binance on their own CRYPTOCAP:BNB Chain. They can mint unlimited CRYPTOCAP:USDT , creating fake buying power and distorting the market. ⚖️ What might happen next: When justice catches up, Binance could face severe investigations and legal actions. More traders and companies are starting to speak up — and we’ve only seen the tip of the iceberg. If the justice system audit Binance, then they will have to remove the fake liquidity and rekt the ones who invested. ⚠️ My conclusion: When the storm hits, CRYPTOCAP:BNB could crash beyond recognition. Don’t be the one posting “I lost everything.” There are safer investments — precious metals, bitcoin, solid stocks, real estate in Asia… But CRYPTOCAP:BNB ? After what happened? It is a high risk asset considering how liable they are. 👉 Stay away until the truth unfolds. #BNB #Binance #CryptoCrash #CZ #USDT #MarketManipulation #CryptoWarning #CryptoNews #BNBChain #Justice #CryptoInvesting #DYOR
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
Crypto has a problem: Oct 11 crash and consequencesYes, we have a serious problem that no one really explained — so here I am, debunking this Crash and its consequences. The entire crypto market is built on fake valuations, not backed by real money. Most of the trading volume you see is manufactured internally by centralized exchanges (CEX) to simulate healthy activity — while in reality, there are very few genuine transactions. That’s why exchanges are constantly seeking liquidity — because trading fees alone can’t sustain their business. On October 11th, 2025, crypto had its own dot-com moment. While Bitcoin and Ethereum survived thanks to real liquidity that could absorb the sell-off, the altcoin market collapsed. There was simply more leverage than liquidity — meaning exchanges were offering leverage they couldn’t actually back with real funds. So when the market crashed, there were no real buyers. Liquidity pools were wiped out, and coins like CRYPTOCAP:SUI or NASDAQ:ATOM revealed just how fake their markets were. Did you see anyone buying the dip at -80% on spot? Of course not — because it wasn’t even possible. Binance and other exchanges froze accounts to prevent users from scooping up altcoins at near-zero prices. Think the exchanges made millions buying the dip? Wrong. They simply rewrote the database to avoid a catastrophic event that would’ve sent 99% of altcoins to zero. They “purchased” the dip without spending a single dollar — just digital manipulation to preserve the illusion of value. The truth: the entire altcoin market is propped up by fake liquidity. Their “real” value is what you saw at the bottom of October 11th — that was the true market price, without artificial support. Now the big question: Can exchanges keep faking volume and valuations forever? Or will they finally let the market crash to its real worth? Right now, you can bet there are emergency meetings between exchanges and market makers, deciding whether to come clean or continue the illusion. Look at the bottom price of each coin on October 11th — that’s what it’s truly worth. Everything above that is fake inflation, fake volume, and fake confidence. If you still have unrealized profits, take them. Turn them into real money before they vanish. Then invest knowingly. DYOR. #CryptoCrash #Binance #Bitcoin #Altcoins #CryptoNews #MarketManipulation #LeverageTrading #CEX #FakeVolume #LiquidityCrisis #CryptoTruth #BTC #ETH #SUI #ATOM #DYOR #CryptoScam #TradingAlert #WallStreet #CryptoCollapse #vCrash2025 #CryptoMarket
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by CryptoNikkoid
8
COAI — the most manipulated coin on the market Pair: COAIUSDT.P (perps) Bias: Short (tactical) Thesis TL;DR: Timeline is flashing classic manipulation tells—crowded leverage, public pleas to delist, an “unknown wallet” repeatedly selling into rips, and whipsaw liquidations both sides. I’m fading spikes into prior ATH supply with tight invalidation and scale-out targets. Why this is a “manipulation” setup (from social timeline) Open manipulation meme: “PAWNZI” label and multiple posts calling COAI a casino-like gamble. Crowded leverage: Repeated notes of huge liquidations on both sides and a callout that a mass liquidation triggers near $5.83 if price nukes. Smart seller behavior: “Unknown wallet” reportedly sells repeatedly into strength, trapping late buyers. Public escalation: Users tagging @CZ_Binance and demanding review/delist for “price manipulation.” Behavioral fuel: Screenshots of 292x PnL and regret posts (airdrops sold “too early” → FOMO) stoke late momentum buyers—perfect exit liquidity. Failed short triggers: Traders trying to frontrun the short got chopped/stopped BE multiple times—signals engineered liquidity hunts before the real move. Levels I care about Short interest zone: $6.90–$7.20 (prior ATH pocket / squeeze fuel). Expect wicks. Momentum pivot: $6.50 — loss/reclaim flips intraday bias. Liquidation magnet: $5.83 (widely-circulated “mass liq” level = honey pot). Deeper shelves: $5.60 and $5.20 — prior reaction zones where trapped longs may puke. Trade plan (short bias) Entry: Scale $6.90 → $7.20 on spikes; add on 15–60m structure breakdown below $6.50. Invalidation: 4H close > $7.50 (acceptance above prior high = out, no debate). Targets: T1: $6.10 (first shelf; take partials, pay yourself) T2: $5.83 (liquidation cluster—expect violent reaction) T3: $5.60 → stretch to $5.20 if momentum accelerates Risk: Size so that full-stop loss = ~1% account risk. If we wick >$7.35 and snap back in-range, I’ll re-engage with smaller size. Execution notes: Expect engineered squeezes before any trend. Let price tag your zone—don’t chase. If $6.90 is reclaimed after a breakdown, reduce risk—possible bear trap/reset. Watch perp funding/OI — extreme positive funding into resistance = better fade. Narrative context (why fade) The public narrative is doing the heavy lifting: casino vibes, “unknown wallet” selling into pumps, and open calls for Binance action. Retail euphoria (292x screenshots, airdrop regret posts) provides late long fuel. If the crowd is staring at $5.83 as the “big liq,” market often hunts it—either as a clean flush or a spoofed front-run to trap shorts. I’ll manage partials proactively there.
Short
by Crypto_Meehow
5
Using DXY to Predict Manipulation on BitcoinIn this post it’s important to view and relate to the linked, related idea called “DXY - Major Breakdown of Ascending Channel” I’ll keep this short and to the point since we are actively in the war zone now. 1. Identify major patterns or structure shifts on DXY. For 8 years I’ve used these same ascending channel supports on DXY and it’s made very clear this is the way it trades, as we can duplicate the line angle and move it near infinitely to any area and see how price respects it. 2. Identify major DXY events in relation to the DXY pivot. In this case, we are witnessing a bearish retest of a major bearish signal. 3. Understand what it all means. DXY falling / correcting for 4-7 years translates to BULL MARKET of the same duration on stocks, equities, and securities. Now you may be thinking - “Okay but that means, Bitcoin will go up then?” WRONG The reason is, Bitcoin and Crypto is a manipulated game and it’s all rigged and intentional. What does this really mean then? 4. If we will see a natural bullish trend on Bitcoin for the next 4-7 years, that means the market makers want their money back. Since Bitcoin has been only moving up since late 2022, this has set up a massive chain reaction of long stop losses / sell orders, paving a path to these lower zones on my BTC chart. What this should tell you is - FLASH CRASH COMING. Manipulated crash before the true bull run. Now you may be wondering - “No way, the world would have to see an apocalypse for 8,000 to be hit” WRONG Stop loss orders are in place already as a natural consequence of traders decisions over the last 3+ years. These are sell orders. Once these sell orders start filling, bitcoin will see an automatic wick down to these low levels. No active selling is required, and therefor no black swan required. Now - If DXY was retesting a bullish pattern, I’d be longing as that signals extended bear market. And rest assured - THIS MARKET IS ALL MANIPULATION. We can use DXY to predict the trigger of it all. Happy trading. - DD
Short
by DickDandy
5
Why BTC will drop at EXTREME SPEED to 8,000This is a Segway off of all my recent posts, and here we will apply the same understanding of stop loss and liquidation order blocks to the 1 Month. Bitcoin has been moving in a straight upwards consolidation with no actual retrace since Dec 2022. What this does, is attract mass amount of stop loss orders, intact and left in place, through the whole movement. These stop loss orders will create a natural cascading drop as they all fill, exponentially moving more and more liquidity out of BTC and into USD/ USDT. Bitcoin will drop, at exceptional speed, and the chart tells us the whole story. Be safe. - DD
Short
by DickDandy
ETH UPDATE - Return to Entry Level, Short Trade InitiatedIn similar fashion to the Bitcoin trade today, here is details on my ETH Short Flash Crash idea. For detailed information and explanation, please see my linked related posts made today. Entry / Risk Management: Entry - 4,460 to 4,480 Stop Loss - 4,800 Take Profits: 1) 3,400 - 20-50% Closure 2) 2,550 - 20% Closure 3) 1,650 - 40-60% Closure 4) 200 - 100% Closure ETH may create a 3 wave corrective move - and I will be hedging with a long position from 1,600 to 3,000 - timed entry with Bitcoin hitting 35,000 I will buy SPOT ETH only at the range of 200-500 Yours truly, - DD
Short
by DickDandy
1
BTC - How Manipulation Works and How to Detect It I subscribe to premium solely for the multi second time frames, time frames that you may think are useless. What if I told you this is the ONLY true way to detect manipulation? HOW MANIPULATION WORKS It’s a lot more subtle than you think. The main driver of what moves the price of Bitcoin is the adverse orders from derivatives and leveraged positions. These orders being stop loss orders and liquidation orders. In essence, it’s traders own decisions and orders, that cause price to move in an opposite direction. You may have heard people say “Do the Opposite” or “Contrarian Trader”. What they mean is, the market seems to move in the opposite direction as the majority sentiment. Even the fear and greed index is used to convey this principal. However there’s a true and technical way of understanding this. As bitcoins price moves and consolidates SLOWLY and STEADILY in one direction, this extended period of time allows traders to enter leveraged positions in that same direction that’s moving price slowly up or slowly down. Consequently, these trades are leaving opposite direction orders of a larger magnitude, such as stop loss orders for the “entire leveraged position size”. For example, Trader Bob uses $100 to inject liquidity into a long position, and opts to use 80x because of his confidence in Bitcoin moving up. Trader Bob then sets a stop loss order which “sells” his position and closes 100% of his leveraged position size. Trader Bob sets BELOW the current price a sell order for $8,000 - 80x his original $100 injected. MANIPULATION comes in two distinct parts. 1) Price is held stable, to ACCUMULATE and ATTRACT more of the orders (long or short) - which the market makers and exchanges know is ACTUALLY creating more propellant and energy that will move price in the opposite way. As an example, if Bitcoin is at 100,000 and the market makers and exchanges know there’s a mass amount of liquidity to reclaim at 80,000 - they will do a series of manipulations to get price to that level. A) They will hold price steady while looking like Bitcoin is about to keep moving up. This attracts more longs with different leverage and stop loss orders creeping closer to 80,000 B) They will drop price slowly, and rise back quickly. The slow drop allows time for traders to work down the price scale those stop losses and liquidations, and the fast rise ensures they are left in tact and price won’t move low enough to trigger off the chain reaction. SUMMARY OF 1) Price is manipulation by being KEPT or STABLE from setting off the chain reaction of stop loss orders, which offering time to get traders to place more of these orders. NOTE THAT Market Makers don’t place their own trades. They accommodate leveraging traders. That said, they do want their money back - so they want traders to place trades in the losing direction, while simultaneously having their own stop loss orders set a chain reaction that takes price to the level they want. 2) Price is PUSHED or FORCED into the chain reaction of stop loss orders and liquidation orders. This is the manipulation that forces price, however we can understand the mechanics fully and understand the intentions. Manipulators (hidden providers of liquidity) will place icebergs or many small orders, which generate large volume in small time intervals, and force bitcoin into the series of orders. It is then the traders own adverse orders that automatically fulfill the price movement. SUMMARY OF 2) Price manipulation is initially forcing price into a series of stop loss orders and liquidation orders, and it’s possible to detect this. USING THE 5 SECOND TIMEFRAME TO DETECT MANIPULATION 1) Add the basic VOLUME indicator to your chart NOTE - Suggest using Binance BTC chart 2) Note the Volume moving average - which is shown as a Bitcoin Amount transacted each 5 second interval. This is commonly 0-2 BTC transacted per 5 second. 3) Observe each candle volume coming in. The time frame is small enough that you can see if it’s a buy or sell, very seldomly mixed buys / sells. This also serves as an alternative Order Book. 4) Watch for abnormally large volume transactions on the 5 second candles. It’s not out of the ordinary to spot a 5 second candle that contains 500 BTC bought or sold. THIS is CERTAINLY the price manipulation that forces price into a sequence of stop loss orders. 5) Use that buy or sell manipulation volume candle as a que to understand the intention of where price is going to be forced. THE WRAP UP I hope to assist you all with understanding that the Bitcoin chart is very much INTENTIONAL and can be treated as a STRATEGIC BUSINESS due to the market cap being dominated by leveraging liquidity and few players who control it. Love and luck to all, - DD
Short
by DickDandy
BTC Will Flash Crash to 35,000 / 8,000 - This is the Theory I’ve been seeing a lot of comments on my posts about this, discreting the idea, or claiming there’s no reasoning behind it. Here I will dive deeper into the WHY by presenting this on the weekly time frame. In recent times, we have witnessed many times on a small scale what happens after we see a slow, downwards consolidation and price movement. On the way days as shorts are accumulated, they leave a trail above the price that contains buy orders that don’t automatically fill if price is below. These buy orders are short stop loss orders and short liquidation orders. As Bitcoin moves down, the price will then slowly begin to rise. Sooner or later, there is a high volume candle on the minute time frame pushing price up - into the series of short position buy orders. What follows is a very fast upwards candle as these buy orders are filled and the shorts are stopped out, liquidated, and traders enter longs. Think of this as a replacement of positions. The market makers use the traders own decisions, to get themselves into the positions they want to be in. They cannot make those choices, but they can manipulate and entice traders to make the wrong decision. Market makers who allow traders liquidity to take leveraged positions, they want their money back and to an extreme lesser degree, don’t want you taking profit in a winning trade. Hence, we see these very fast moves occur, which were once known as “stop hunts”. These stop hunt candles, extreme, fast price movements that liquidate and stop out trades by nature, can be understood by chart analysis. If you read disclaimers for the heat map platforms (IE Coinglass), you’ll see that these are only predictions, and not based on real data. The only accurate way of understanding where these hidden orders are, is by chart analysis. On my chart are red boxes. These red boxes are drawn from the upwards consolidation zones, where price never came down to reclaim the liquidity from. These zones are filled with long position sell orders that don’t automatically fill when price is above. You can imagine a ladder of sell orders, one after the next, all the way down through the boxes. Now you may think, how can Bitcoin lose all that value if we drop to 8,000 when there’s ETF’s, Strategy, Holders, etc? The answer is - the majority of Bitcoins market cap, including companies like Strategy who leverage, is all liquidity used for leveraging and trading derivatives. It is liquidity supplied by market makers and exchanges, and has no bias towards price going up or down. It’s liquidity that’s fluid, moves in and out, and while you may think that bitcoin would “lose” all the value if it drops to 8,000 momentarily - you must think of it another way. Bitcoin is a balloon of dollars. The dollars doesn’t affect the function of what Bitcoin does. People from all over use their money to inflate that balloon, and a liquidation event such as a stop loss, then deflates that balloon and transfers the wealth into very few pockets. The balloon is then quickly re-inflated by the liquidity that’s first deflated, and becomes inflated again by the long orders placed and the shorts stopped out or liquidated. It’s highly likely the “floor price” of bitcoin is $8,000 - the amount of bitcoin held in stable sources divided by the dispersed amount of bitcoin on the market. The rest is leveraging liquidity, that is simply a function of inflating and deflating, moving in and out and accommodating orders of both directions - or in other words, the “ gambling industry” within Bitcoin. Now, TECHNICALLY SPEAKING We have 2 key trendlines to show. The first is an ascending channel, that starts at the 8,000 zone. Price consolidated around it all throughout the chart. Duplicating this trendline we can find a channel, and I show that as the lower red ascending line. This is the main support and resistance we have to understand. The second trendline is shown in grey. This is again a bearish trend that Bitcoin has been consolidating around since its bottom. This trendline breakdown takes Bitcoin to 35,000. If price drops from current level to 35,000 - we can measure the downwards movement, place that measurement from 8,000 - and see that we would form a bear pennant type pattern, rise back up to the RETEST OF THE BOTTOM RED CHANNEL LINE, and then fulfill the measurement of the downwards move all the way to 8,000. Technically speaking, we can use pattern prediction and support resistance levels to serve as confluence for the liquidity levels and the mechanics of this drop. So there we have the MECHANICS and TECHNICALS Additionally about the mechanics or the HOW… the more times Bitcoin doesn’t drop down, moves up - the more of those sell orders are accumulated. The more TIME Bitcoin spends doing this, and the more AMOUNT of times Bitcoin wicks up like this - this means the FASTER and MORE POWERFUL the drop will be as a consequence. This is very simply because of the amount of sell orders accumulated in the chart. The more sell orders there are, and the greater the quantity of Bitcoin ordered to be sold, the faster price will drop down. So in theory, these drops will be the fastest movements we’ve ever seen in bitcoins history. It’s quite literally a chart filled with rocket fuel and propellant, and all it takes is a fuse to be lit. Thank you
Short
by DickDandy
5
BTC - Last Attempt to Call the TopBitcoin has been rising the last few days - presumably for a bearish retest. It doesn’t make sense for the market to continue going up with so much liquidity left to the low zones - and DXY showing support for a 3-5 year bull market on Bitcoin and Equities. Since I’ve had this wrong many times, I will responsibly resign the idea if this one fails to play out. This will be my last signal for this flash crash idea, which I do still firmly believe will play out. We are now back to the original entry of upper zone as listed in posts with the similar price level being hit. The black dashed lines show anticipated 3 wave correction - and the trade plan below details that movement. Alternately short can be held all the way from Trade 1 into Trade 3 (no hedge long) Trade 1 - Short Entry - 119,600 Stop Loss - 123,000 Target 1 - 97,000 Target 2 - 68,000 Target 3 - 44,000 Trade 2 - Long (Hedge with Short still Open) Entry - 35,500 Stop Loss - 33,000 Target 1 - 44,000 Target 2 - 53,000 Target 3 - 85,000 Trade 3 - Short (DCA long hedge profits or re-entry) Entry - 88,000 to 90,000 Stop Loss - 95,000 Target 1 - 62,000 Target 2 - 23,000 Target 3 - 10,000 God bless and good luck to everyone.
Short
by DickDandy
"Trade setup on US30 for a weekly sell"We have a market with a bullish accumulation that has been attracting buyers with an upward sentiment. What I’m looking for is a downward manipulation to shake buyers out of this accumulation, as you can see in this flag. It’s an accumulation that is breaking through highs, and banks usually look to break liquidity zones in order to generate their sales. In addition, the price needs to find stability since it has been rising too much. I see this sell opportunity as possible with this trading pattern I look for: problem, reaction, and solution.
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by Us30AdvisorCR
BTC - Short Initiated from Channel Breakdown Short Update going to plan. Updated numbers and anticipated 3 wave corrective drop marked on chart. 113,000 to 35,000 (SHORT) 35,000 to 84,000-85,000 (LONG) 84,000 to 8,000 (SHORT) For my personal trade I will be closing roughly 80% of short at 40,000-45,000 I will then look for a hold and rise from the 35,000 region to validate that we will see this corrective move. I believe there is a high probability of this - reasons I will detail more as the trade progresses. Chart would be too messy if I included all information on future confluences and pivot points. If I see this rise occur, I will hold the 20% original short - and hedge with a long as well to 80,000 - 35,000 to 80,000 The reason the market is dropping is once again: 1. The significance of DXY breaking down a major multi month bearish channel 2. The fact that this is a bearish retest on BTC HTF - not a bull market or bull pattern 3. There is a mass amount of liquidity held in open longs in Bitcoin - we need to see a severe deleveraging of these low zones to remain bullish Happy trading - please see related linked ideas.
Short
by DickDandy
BTC Short Update - First Entry Point Hit Hi all, we have hit the first entry level on this trade idea again, and I will provide you with updated numbers. First of all - to those asking “why” this would happen - please see my related idea on DXY as well as Blackrock. For those asking “how” it’s possible, please see my tutorial on drawing heatmaps and understanding how bitcoin moves. For those following my ideas, I explain order block analysis, my theory on how Bitcoin moves, and here we have a trading plan compiling it all together. In theory, these drops should happen very quickly - as I explain the technicals of it in the order block tutorials. Entry - 116,300 to 116,800 Stop Loss - (Can be lowered to 118,000) Targets: 1) 90,000 2) 62,000 3) 38,000 After the third target we will likely rise to 86,000-88,000 area - however the short may be held all the way to 8,000. 88,000 is a major bearish trendline - I expect this will break, we will form a 3 wave corrective pattern and rise back up to retest this level. 4) 20,000 (Potential bottom 18,000) 5) 10,000 God speed and happy trading.
Short
by DickDandy
27
DXY - Major Breakdown of bearish StructureDXY has broken down and is currently retesting a breakdown of this major ascending channel on the weekly - monthly time frame. Applying this to equities and Bitcoin - we can anticipate a bull run spanning 3-6 years approximately. Due to the major event of this retest here - I expect that Bitcoin and manipulated markets will see a flash crash of severe magnitude, popping the balloon of the over- leveraged market caps. No black swan is needed to see this take place on Bitcoin. The charts been rising steadily and holding since 2023 - this attracts long leveraged positions and consequently their stop loss orders. Sell orders are cascading in the chart all the way down to 10,000 - and only fill when price crosses. This is the event that will pop the bubble before we see stability in the bull run. I don’t expect the equities markets to drop substantially at all - rather I believe we will continue to rise for 3-6 years coinciding with DXY breakdown.
TVC:DXYShort
by DickDandy
BTC - The largest Trap we have seenThis whole upwards movement since 2023 has been a retest of a bearish breakdown. The major trendline shown takes Bitcoin to 7,400-8,000 region. Traders who discredit the possibility of this will certainly be baited and trapped. Bitcoin will drop aggressively, triggering all of the long stop loss orders one after the next - leveraged sell limit orders that only fill when price passes. This will generate an insanely fast drop to these uber lows. Traders will take their losses, or their gains - trying to catch the bottom, certain price won’t drop below 100,000 - the 80,000 - then 60,000. They will not be able to fathom how a drop of such magnitude is possible - or where it’s going to, because they don’t take into consideration the power of stop loss orders and the sheer amount of leveraging in Bitcoins market cap. Microstrategy - who leverages their assets to produce more of the asset - will likely be challenged with insolvency when the price shows this type of volatility. The safety of exchange platforms will be called into question - the legalities of leveraging challenged by regulations. Blackrock will secure their monopoly on Bitcoins buying and selling through their own ETF structure. Open your eyes. Don’t get trapped or fooled. This whole move has been a big, intentional set up and my posts explain in detail why, how, what, and when.
Short
by DickDandy
1
Understanding How Crypto Exchanges Influence Coin PricesUnderstanding How Crypto Exchanges Influence Coin Prices Cryptocurrency markets often appear unpredictable, with sudden price surges or drops that seem to defy logic. For example, when Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) experiences a sharp upward spike—a "green candle"—many altcoins follow almost instantly. Why does this happen so quickly? This tutorial explores the theory that centralized exchanges (e.g., Binance, Coinbase) can manipulate coin prices by adjusting internal database values rather than executing real on-chain trades, and how they may use "pegging ratios" to control price movements of specific coins or ecosystems. The Myth of Instant Market Reactions When CRYPTOCAP:BTC surges, altcoins often move in lockstep, seemingly without delay. A common assumption is that millions of investors or market-making bots react simultaneously, causing this synchronized movement. However, natural market reactions typically involve some lag due to order book processing, trader decisions, or bot algorithms. So why is the movement near-instantaneous? The answer may lie in how centralized exchanges operate. Unlike decentralized exchanges (DEXs), which rely on transparent on-chain transactions, centralized exchanges manage trades internally using their own databases. This means they control virtual coin balances, not necessarily actual blockchain assets. When an exchange wants to "pump" a coin (e.g., increase its price by 10% following a CRYPTOCAP:BTC spike), it doesn't need to buy real coins on the blockchain. Instead, it can simply adjust the coin's value in its database, creating the appearance of market activity without requiring reserve assets. This internal manipulation allows exchanges to influence prices rapidly, explaining the lack of lag in altcoin movements. ------------------ How Exchanges Peg Coins to Major Assets Exchanges often peg the price movements of altcoins to major cryptocurrencies like CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:ETH , or CRYPTOCAP:SOL , using a weighted ratio that determines how closely a coin follows these leaders. This pegging isn't a fixed value but a dynamic relationship that can vary by coin or ecosystem. For instance: Typical Pegging Structure: 50% tied to CRYPTOCAP:BTC (the dominant market driver). 50% tied to other ecosystems (e.g., CRYPTOCAP:ETH for Ethereum-based tokens, CRYPTOCAP:SOL for Solana-based tokens). Example: A meme coin on the Ethereum blockchain might be pegged 50% to CRYPTOCAP:BTC , 25% to CRYPTOCAP:ETH , and 25% to a general "meme coin" index. This pegging explains why some coins pump or dump more aggressively than others during market trends. Each coin's price movement is a weighted response to the assets it's tied to. The Role of Pegging Ratios: Pumps vs. Dumps Exchanges don't apply uniform ratios for upward and downward price movements. Instead, they may assign positive or negative ratios to influence a coin's trajectory: Positive Ratio: A coin rises faster than its pegged assets during pumps (upward movements) and falls slower during dumps (downward movements). This increases the coin's value over time, often because the exchange holds a large position and plans to sell later for profit. Example: CRYPTOCAP:SOL might have a 2:1 positive ratio, rising twice as fast as CRYPTOCAP:BTC during a pump and falling half as fast during a dump. Other Examples: CRYPTOCAP:BNB (Binance's token) and GETTEX:HYPE often show positive ratios, benefiting from exchange favoritism. Negative Ratio: A coin rises slower than its pegged assets during pumps and falls faster during dumps. This can gradually erode a coin's value, often used by exchanges to liquidate or delist coins they no longer favor. Example: SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ORDI , pegged to CRYPTOCAP:BTC , may fall faster than CRYPTOCAP:BTC during dumps and rise slower during pumps, leading to a net decline. Other Examples: CRYPTOCAP:INJ , NYSE:SEI , LSE:TIA often exhibit negative ratios. Meme coins are a special case, typically pegged to both CRYPTOCAP:BTC and their native blockchain: CRYPTOCAP:PEPE (Ethereum-based) may have a neutral ratio, moving evenly with CRYPTOCAP:BTC and $ETH. SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK (Solana-based) might have a negative ratio, falling faster than CRYPTOCAP:BTC and $SOL. ------------------ Exchange Strategies: Controlling Ecosystems and Liquidation Exchanges can manipulate entire ecosystems by adjusting ratios for categories of coins. For example: Setting a 2:1 ratio on all meme coins could make them rise twice as fast as CRYPTOCAP:BTC during a pump, creating hype and attracting retail investors. Conversely, assigning a negative ratio to an ecosystem (e.g., certain layer-2 tokens) can suppress their value, allowing the exchange to accumulate or liquidate positions. A notable strategy is slow liquidation: Exchanges may apply a negative ratio to a coin they wish to delist (e.g., SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ORDI ). Over time, the coin's value erodes until it reaches a level where the exchange can justify delisting it, citing "low trading volume" or "lack of interest." This process creates space for new coins the exchange favors, often ones they hold or have partnerships with. ------------------ Why This Matters for Traders? The idea that coin prices are driven purely by investor sentiment and organic price action is overly simplistic. Centralized exchanges, with their control over internal databases, can heavily influence price trends. Understanding this can help traders: Identify Positive-Ratio Coins: These are likely to increase in value over the mid-to-long term. Accumulating coins like CRYPTOCAP:SOL or CRYPTOCAP:BNB during dips could yield profits if their positive ratios persist. Avoid Negative-Ratio Coins: Coins like SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ORDI or CRYPTOCAP:INJ may bleed value over time, draining portfolios unless traded carefully. Monitor Ecosystem Shifts: Watch for exchange announcements (e.g., new listings, delistings) or unusual price movements that deviate from $BTC/ CRYPTOCAP:ETH trends, as these may signal ratio changes. ------------------ Important Notes Dynamic Ratios: Pegging ratios are not fixed and can change daily based on exchange strategies, market conditions, or liquidity needs. Always verify current trends with real-time data. Data Sources: Use tools like CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap, or on-chain analytics (e.g., tradingview) to track correlations between coins and their pegged assets. Risks of Centralized Exchanges: This tutorial focuses on centralized platforms, not DEXs, where on-chain transparency limits such manipulation. Consider diversifying to DEXs for more predictable trading. Speculative Nature: While this theory is based on observed market patterns, it remains speculative. Exchanges rarely disclose internal mechanisms, so traders should combine this knowledge with technical analysis and risk management. ------------------ Conclusion Crypto exchanges wield significant power over coin prices by adjusting virtual balances in their databases and using dynamic pegging ratios. By understanding positive and negative ratios, traders can make informed decisions about which coins to hold or avoid. Always conduct your own research, monitor market trends, and use secure platforms to protect your investments. The crypto market may be rigged in some ways, but knowledge of these mechanics can give you an edge.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALEducation
by CryptoNikkoid
1
BTC - Following Crash PlanBTC has been following my analysis of predicting a potential crash here. We can use DXY to anticipate when a significant liquidity grab / flash crash will occur. Since DXY is retesting a major breakdown on the weekly - monthly, it would be wise to watch for volatility today on Bitcoins price, noting these liquidity regions if we are about to enter a bull run ranging out 3-5 years. Targets and potential corrective patterns marked on this chart. Happy trading.
Short
by DickDandy
68
BTC - The Reason 8,000 is Possible There is already speculation and news coming out about plans of a large drop, and I imagine if this occurs there will be much hysteria and conspiracy about it. Bitcoin is massively dominated by leverage trading. In fact, the majority of buys (or sells respectively) are leveraged. Even Microstrategy for example, is leveraging its BTC to buy more BTC - and what happens when the value of the asset drops too low when leveraging is used? Well, we will find out. But normally this means bankruptcy / liquidation. In futures trading, this is liquidation or stop losses being hit on those positions. Since the price of BTC has been moving up, sideways, up, sideways, up, sideways - we could see for years the intentionality in this chart. The market has been accumulating long positions / leveraged buys, holding the price up and continuing to attract money into the market cap (leveraged) and keep the orders in tact. As a consequence, this leaves behind a trail, like a series of dominos, of leveraged sell orders. These sell orders are in the form of long stop losses or liquidations. In essence, we have an explosive chain reaction ready to set off in the chart - an automatic, natural consequence to how the chart has been moving the last 2 years. The argument may be that Bitcoins market cap is stabilized by a “floor”, possibly by ETF holdings, spot holdings, ETC - however, this is not the case. Many of these spot holdings themselves are leveraged with BTC to procure more BTC. Even so, the vast majority of the market cap is market maker liquidity allowing retail traders to leverage trade the asset and other cryptocurrency - and the exchanges aren’t legislated to disclose where the stop losses are located or how much liquidity is contained here. So if we think popular heat map and liquidation platforms are accurate, think again. The only way to really understand this, is to look at the price movement on HTF. There are longs held since 12,000, and stop losses respectively held sub 10,000. I suspect the true “floor price” of BTC is between 7,000 to 8,000 - that’s the total percentage of stable spot holding liquidity vs leveraged liquidity. Leveraged liquidity has no incentive to be stable, it moves in and out, market makers make their money via bankrupting / liquidating traders, or forcing them into stopped out positions. For me, the last 1-2 years, this has never been an IF, but a WHEN. And WHEN this chain reaction occurs, those reading this can understand the reason is not a black swan (although that may serve as some initial excuse) - but rather a very natural phenomenon in a unique market that we mistakingly treat as a stable market that these events simple cannot happen in. I’ll be very clear when I say - it’s possible BTC drops to 8,000, extremely fast, possibly in a matter of days or even hours, and quickly returns to ATH positions. The real warning here I want to get across, is that a flash crash as I am describing, will only go so low as the stop loss orders are active. Ultimately there are no incentives or plans to destroy or bring BTC to zero. When this flush happens, the big players (market makers) will be filling in the buy orders at those low prices with the liquidity returned from retail longs. DO NOT SELL AT A MASSIVE LOSS. This is the biggest warning I have to get across with these posts, and would be the most devastating conclusion - believing BTC will go to nothing. DXY is breaking down a major multi month bearish pattern and over the next 3-5 year period will be absorbing liquidity towards the lows. A falling dollar = bull market for BTC and equities. This move up on BTC WAS NEVER A BULL MARKET - it was a bearish retest. This explains the erratic, up only nature of the move zoomed out - and all these justifications to explain that this is the “norm” it’s dangerous to traders. It’s not the norm of a bull market, it’s the norm of a bearish retest. What do you do with this information? If you are me, and by no means am I suggesting this, you can short the market and try to align yourselves with the big players. If you’re a believer in the future of BTC, you can do nothing - not letting any fast drop or hysteria shake you or drive you to making an emotional decision to sell or change your mind. This has never been a doom and gloom scenario for you all - it’s a reality check, a warning, and an opportunity to prepare yourselves for something you may not yet believe is possible unless you’ve been watching this market unfold since it’s very inception. In those cases, you will certainly remember flash crashes and stop hunts - and they have never changed, nor has the nature of the exchanges or market - it’s month more calculated now with big players invested in capitalizing to the fullest on the flaws of it all. I wish you all the best.
Short
by DickDandy
9
Recent Dip & What It Means for the Trojan Cycle: Fact Check1. Stablecoin Capital Flow — Not a Typical Sell-Off On August 14–15 , Binance saw $1.82 billion in net stablecoin inflows, one of the highest recent figures. Simultaneously, Tether and Circle minted a combined $9.5 billion in stablecoins over the past 30 days , signaling significant on-ramp activity. These patterns contradict what we'd expect in a pure capitulation. Instead, they suggest capital is being positioned to buy into dips , not exit markets—hallmarks of the positioning-reset phase in the Trojan Cycle. 2. Institutional Accumulation Aligns with Thesis Spot Ether ETFs just recorded over $1 billion in net inflows in one day (led by BlackRock’s ETHA and Fidelity’s FETH), bringing total ETF inflows to $10.8 billion. Two whales accumulated $150 million in ETH , reinforcing institutional interest at these levels. This indicates institutional players are using the dip as an opportunity to accumulate—consistent with the Trojan framework's “Trojan vehicles” mechanics. 3. Market Structural Trends Support Rotation Setup Ethereum price dipped ~3% , suggesting short-term weakness but providing a potential entry zone. Network activity remains robust: ETH daily on-chain transactions recently neared all-time highs at ~1.87 million , driven primarily by stablecoin transfers . Strong on-chain activity alongside stablecoin flow indicates capital preparation for a rotation phase, rather than a breakdown. Trojan Cycle Thesis — Data Review Aspect --> What Trojan Cycle Predicts --> What Data Shows Stablecoin Inflows --> Increases ahead of rotation --> Binance saw $1.82B in inflows; $9.5B minted overall Institutional Buying --> Accumulation during dips --> $1B+ ETF inflows; $150M ETH whales buying Network Activity --> Pre-rotation buildup --> High ETH txn volume, stablecoin activity peaking Conclusion: All three key indicators align with the Trojan Cycle model. This dip appears to be a positioning flush, not the start of a structural downturn.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3ES
by RWCS_LTD
BTC - Short Update Part 2This chart shows the ascending parallel channel that supports 7,000-8,000 ultimate bottom - layered with BITCOIN ONLY liquidity zones on the multi day time frame. The majority or liquidity in the chart is long position stop losses - leveraged sell orders. Bitcoin has been moving straight up, consolidating sideways, straight up, consolidating sideways since End 2022. This tells us the market is collecting long position stop losses and leaving them in tact IE not allowing price to fully drop and start triggering off the cascading chain reaction of sells that is a natural phenomenon. Happy Trading.
Short
by DickDandy
2