McDonald's Earnings Miss For the First Time Since 2020McDonald's second-quarter earnings report fell short of analysts' expectations as higher prices contributed to a decline in foot traffic and comparable store sales. Despite efforts to boost sales with promotions like the "$5 Meal Deal," the fast food giant faced challenges in maintaining revenue and profitability.
Key Takeaways:
- Revenue and Profits: McDonald's reported $6.49 billion in total revenue for Q2, nearly identical to the same period in 2023, but fell short of the $6.63 billion projected by analysts. Net income dropped 12% year-over-year to $2.02 billion, missing expectations of $2.24 billion.
- Comparable Sales Decline: Global comparable sales fell 1% from last year, with U.S. locations experiencing a drop in foot traffic due to higher prices. Sales decreases in France and China offset improvements in Japan and Latin America.
- Impact of Promotions: The recent "$5 Meal Deal" promotion provided a late-quarter boost, though its full impact will be more evident in the third quarter.
Detailed Analysis:
Revenue and Profit Performance
In the second quarter of 2024, McDonald's revenue remained flat at $6.49 billion compared to the same period in 2023. Analysts had anticipated a growth in revenue to $6.63 billion, but the reality fell short. This stagnation in revenue was accompanied by a notable decline in net income, which dropped 12% year-over-year to $2.02 billion, compared to analysts' expectations of $2.24 billion.
Comparable Sales and Foot Traffic
The global comparable sales decline of 1% highlighted the challenges McDonald's faced in maintaining customer engagement amid rising prices. In the U.S., higher menu prices led to reduced foot traffic, contributing to a 0.7% decline in same-store sales. Internationally, sales fell by 1.1%, driven by weaknesses in markets like France and China, which overshadowed gains in Japan and Latin America.
Promotional Efforts and Market Response
In response to the declining sales, McDonald's launched the "$5 Meal Deal" promotion in an effort to attract price-sensitive customers. While this promotion only impacted the final days of the second quarter, it is expected to have a more significant effect on third-quarter earnings. Early reports suggest that the promotion has been successful, potentially continuing into August to sustain momentum.
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski emphasized the company's commitment to delivering "reliable, everyday value" and accelerating growth drivers such as chicken and loyalty programs. Despite these efforts, the broader economic environment and consumer price sensitivity have posed substantial challenges.
Market Reaction
Shares of McDonald's have experienced a 15% decline in value so far this year. However, the stock showed a slight recovery, up 3.77% in Monday's trading session following the earnings announcement. This reflects a cautious optimism among investors that the company's strategic initiatives may eventually pay off. The stock has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 57.83, indicating potential for further growth. Adding to the potential growth is the bullish flag pattern depicted on the chart.
Conclusion
McDonald's second-quarter performance underscores the difficulties faced by the fast food industry amid rising prices and shifting consumer behaviors. While the "$5 Meal Deal" and other strategic initiatives show promise, the company must navigate a complex landscape to regain growth and profitability.
Mcdonalds
McDonald’s Misses Profit Estimates Amidst Middle East Conflict:McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:MCD ) falls short of quarterly profit estimates for the first time in two years. Amidst a backdrop of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and evolving consumer preferences, the iconic fast-food chain faces challenges in maintaining its market dominance. This article delves into the factors behind McDonald's recent performance and the broader implications for its global operations.
Growing Consumer Landscape:
In an era where consumers are becoming increasingly budget-conscious, McDonald's, known for its affordability, is witnessing a shift in consumer behavior. CEO Chris Kempczinski acknowledged that consumers are becoming more discerning with their spending, signaling a departure from traditional consumption patterns. This shift underscores the need for McDonald's to reassess its pricing strategy and value proposition in the face of changing market dynamics.
Impact of Middle East Conflict:
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has cast a shadow over McDonald's international sales, particularly in regions where geopolitical tensions are high. With CFO Ian Borden's warning of a sequential decline in international sales, the company faces headwinds in key markets such as China, where economic sluggishness compounds the challenges posed by geopolitical unrest. Western brands like McDonald's find themselves embroiled in controversy, facing protests and boycott campaigns over perceived political affiliations, further exacerbating the situation.
Franchise Disputes and Public Relations Challenges:
McDonald's recent controversies, including backlash from franchises in Muslim-majority countries and legal disputes in Malaysia, highlight the complexities of operating a global brand in a politically charged environment. The company's acquisition of its Israeli franchise and legal actions against boycott movements underscore its efforts to manage reputational risks and safeguard its business interests. However, navigating geopolitical sensitivities while maintaining a consistent brand image remains a delicate balancing act for McDonald's.
Looking Ahead:
As McDonald's grapples with the fallout from missed profit estimates and geopolitical tensions, the road ahead remains uncertain. The company must adapt to evolving consumer preferences, mitigate geopolitical risks, and navigate public relations challenges to regain its footing in the global market. Strategic adjustments in pricing, marketing, and corporate governance will be crucial as McDonald's seeks to restore investor confidence and sustain long-term growth.
Technical Outlook
Despite the miss in profit estimates, McDonald's stock ( NYSE:MCD ) is up 1.02% trading with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 53.12.
MCDONALDS $MCD | MCDONALDS RANGE BEFORE EARNINGS - Apr. 15, 2024MCDONALDS NYSE:MCD | MCDONALDS RANGE BEFORE EARNINGS - Apr. 15, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $270.00 - $276.50
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $266.00 - $270.00
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $259.00 - $266.00
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bearish
4H: Bearish
I wanted to create a post for the initial bullish trend breakdown and the first range, but decided to wait until we got closer to the earnings release. The earnings report for NYSE:MCD is on Apr 30th and I am looking to take advantage of volatile price movement, either up or down. Bulls should seek a breakout above level 270.00 and bears should seek a breakdown below level 266.00. Previous trends, structure, momentum, and ranges are all labeled.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
EDUCATIONAL/ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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$DNUT Jumps After Piper Calls McDonald’s Pact a ‘Game Changer'Krispy Kreme Inc. ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) finds itself at the center of a brewing investor frenzy following its groundbreaking partnership with McDonald's Corp., signaling a potential paradigm shift for the beloved doughnut company. As Piper Sandler Cos. hails the collaboration as a "game changer," Krispy Kreme's stock skyrockets, prompting a wave of optimism among investors eager to capitalize on the company's newfound momentum.
A Strategic Alliance Unveiled:
In a move hailed as transformative, Krispy Kreme's ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) decision to join forces with McDonald's marks a pivotal moment in its trajectory. With plans to distribute its delectable doughnuts nationwide through McDonald's restaurants, Krispy Kreme ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) opens the floodgates to unprecedented growth opportunities. Piper Sandler's bullish stance on the partnership underscores its potential to propel Krispy Kreme to new heights, heralding a period of sustained expansion and profitability.
Analysts' Optimism Fuels Investor Confidence:
Piper Sandler's resounding vote of confidence in Krispy Kreme ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) sends shockwaves through the market, as analysts Brian Mullan and Aisling Grueninger elevate their rating on the company to overweight. Anticipating a surge in demand and widespread availability of Krispy Kreme's ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) signature treats, investors flock to the stock, driving prices to new heights. With a revised price target of $20, Piper Sandler foresees substantial upside potential, igniting a wave of investor optimism.
Expanding Horizons:
The McDonald's partnership not only amplifies Krispy Kreme's market reach but also paves the way for unprecedented growth in the years ahead. By leveraging McDonald's vast network, Krispy Kreme ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) aims to infiltrate 5,000 restaurants across the US, effectively expanding its points of access and solidifying its position as a household name. With plans to ramp up doughnut production capacity, Krispy Kreme's management exudes confidence in its ability to capitalize on this monumental opportunity.
Sustaining Momentum for the Future:
While McDonald's serves as the catalyst for Krispy Kreme's meteoric rise, the implications extend far beyond the immediate horizon. As Krispy Kreme ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) embarks on a trajectory of accelerated growth, fueled by strategic partnerships and enhanced production capabilities, investors brace for a future brimming with promise. With each bite of a Krispy Kreme ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) doughnut, consumers indulge in a taste of sweet success, underpinned by a legacy of innovation and unwavering commitment to excellence.
McDonald’s Set to Sell Krispy Kreme Nationwide: $DNUT SurgeMcDonald's is all set to sell Krispy Kreme Doughnuts ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) at its restaurants nationwide by the end of 2026. This partnership is a major opportunity for Krispy Kreme ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) to expand its reach and increase its production capacity. The rollout will kick-start in the second half of this year, and it will take roughly two and a half years as Krispy Kreme more than doubles its distribution to satisfy the partnership. McDonald’s will be the exclusive fast-food partner for Krispy Kreme in the U.S. for the duration of the agreement.
The doughnut chain uses a "hub and spoke" model that lets it make and distribute its treats efficiently. Production hubs, which are either stores or doughnut factories, send off freshly made doughnuts every day to retail locations such as grocery stores and gas stations. Krispy Kreme ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) has been expanding its capacity so that it can deliver fresh doughnuts to the roughly 7,500 McDonald’s restaurants that it can’t currently reach.
McDonald's customers will be able to order the original glazed, chocolate iced with sprinkles and chocolate iced cream-filled doughnuts, either individually or in packs of six. The restaurants will sell the doughnuts all day. The addition of Krispy Kreme doughnuts ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) helps bolster McDonald's bakery and breakfast offerings. The burger chain has been leaning into coffee, a common drink pairing for doughnuts, but trimming other bakery items such as cinnamon rolls from its menu.
Technical Outlook
In the long term, Krispy Kreme ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) now expects it can reach more than 100,000 points of access for its doughnuts globally, up from its prior outlook of 75,000 locations. The chain’s doughnuts can currently be found in more than 14,100 stores across 39 countries. Shares of Krispy Kreme ( NASDAQ:DNUT ) jumped almost 22% in premarket trading Tuesday after the announcement. With a bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 74 indicating the bulls are in control of the market, investors have to be careful because it may also mean an overbought situation in the long term.
Overall, this partnership is a significant achievement for both the companies. With McDonald's being the primary reason for Krispy Kreme's expansion, the doughnut chain will also be using the opportunity to land in grocery and convenience stores that prefer national suppliers, which means that the overall efficiency and productivity of the distribution network will significantly improve over time.
McDonald's: Is the Feast Over?
For McDonald's Corporation, we continue to believe that we are in a long-term downward correction on the daily chart. We completed the first 5-wave cycle with Wave (5), nearly at the all-time high of around $300. Since then, we've developed the subordinate Wave A and potentially also completed Wave B or at least its initial parts. We expect to see Wave C and the overarching Wave (A) at the level of the subordinate Wave A, i.e., at $245.88. However, if Wave B extends beyond 138%, or $319, and we break above this $319 level, our scenario would be invalidated, and we would need to reconsider our analysis. Until then, we anticipate a subordinate Wave ((c)) moving towards subordinate Wave B in a zigzag pattern, as the structure from Wave A to subordinate Wave ((a)) is a five-wave impulse, indicating a zigzag movement is the only possibility. Therefore, we expect a decline to between $267 and $258, followed by a reversal to develop Wave B, potentially at 138% or 127.2%.
Fast Food and Dining Stocks: Macro Fib SchematicsThese Fast Food Giants consist of McDonalds, Starbucks, YUM! Brands, Restaurant Brands Inc, Chipotle, Wendys, Darden Restaurants, Brinker International...
All Fibonacci Clusters are placed correctly. The 1 Month timeframe makes these charts realistic.
Tesla Mimicking McDonalds' 75 Percent DropHere's an overlay of $MCD in yellow from 1980 to 2005 lined up to the 75% drop in $MCD on the "Dollar Menu" price wars, store closings and YOY% sales decline for $MCD back in 2002. It was a disaster. Well, $TSLA has the same 75% drop to the current low. Maybe they mimic, maybe they don't. Just interesting!
Here's the $MCD chart and the part that I copied and pasted... the huge run-up and the 75% correction. I lived through the $MCD collapse, as did a buddy of mine who is a broker and was buying all the way down from 50% down to 75% down and made a great fortune for his clients on the 10X rally over the next 10 years
The % rallies aren't that comparable for $MCD and $TSLA, but the pattern is similar to me. A global brand with a solid track record facing a short term challenge and competition and fears.
McDonald's:A Time-Tested Investment Recipe for Long-Term SuccessMcDonald's: A Time-Tested Investment Recipe for Long-Term Success
McDonald's, an iconic symbol of the fast-food industry, has not only defined the sector but has been a consistent performer, enriching investors globally. Despite its historical success, a prudent investor must evaluate the potential for future returns. Here are three compelling reasons why McDonald's deserves consideration for a long-term investment strategy.
1. Robust Dividend Growth:
While rapid stock price surges might not be the norm for McDonald's, its dividend story stands out. With a quarterly dividend of $1.67 and a yield just below 2.2%, McDonald's has a reliable dividend with a positive trajectory. What sets it apart is its consistent annual dividend growth for 47 consecutive years, a trajectory that positions it to achieve Dividend King status. The recent 10% boost to its dividend is a testament to a decade of doubling its payout. The reasonable payout ratio of 53% further ensures stability, allowing for strategic business initiatives.
2. Global Expansion Through Localization:
From its humble beginnings in San Bernardino, California, McDonald's has become a global giant with a presence in over 115 countries. Key to its global success is an astute strategy of localization, tailoring its offerings to suit local tastes. Menu adaptations like the Ebi Filet-O in Japan or the McSpicy Paneer in India showcase this approach. In Q3, McDonald's reported sales growth outpacing the US, underscoring the effectiveness of its localization strategy.
3. Franchisee-Centric Business Model:
Despite its vast global reach, McDonald's directly operates only a fraction of its outlets. The majority are owned by franchisees, providing McDonald's with a dual revenue stream from franchisee fees and rental income. This shift to a more franchisee-centric model has positively impacted gross profit margins, with rental income carrying higher margins than operational income from food sales. This strategic move enables shareholder-friendly practices like substantial share buybacks and dividends, ensuring enduring value for investors.
McDonald's continues to serve up success with a blend of dividend consistency, global adaptability, and a franchisee-centric model. Its ability to evolve with local tastes and navigate the complexities of global markets positions it as a compelling long-term investment. As the golden arches continue to stand tall, McDonald's remains an enduring symbol not just in the fast-food industry but also in the portfolios of savvy, forward-thinking investors.
Compared to the current market price of 286.60 USD, McDonald's Corp is Overvalued by 30%.
McDonald's Faces Headwinds as Global Sales Miss for the 1st Time
McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ), the global fast-food giant, has hit a speed bump in its impressive growth trajectory, reporting its first quarterly sales miss in nearly four years. The challenges stem primarily from sluggish international business, particularly in the Middle East, China, and India, impacting its bottom line. While overall net profit increased by 7% in the fourth quarter, concerns are emerging about the company's ability to navigate geopolitical tensions, regional conflicts, and changing consumer behaviors.
Slow Growth in International Markets:
McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) faced unexpected headwinds in its International Developmental Licensed Markets segment, which includes the Middle East, China, and India. Comparable sales in this crucial business division rose only 0.7% in the quarter, significantly missing the estimated 5.5% growth. The Middle East market experienced a notable decline, attributed to the Israel-Hamas conflict and the resulting misinformation affecting the brand's perception. The fallout from these geopolitical tensions has put a dent in McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) international expansion plans.
China's Economic Challenges:
China, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) second-largest market, poses another challenge as consumer spending remains weak despite government support measures. The slow recovery in China has mirrored trends seen by other Western brands, such as Starbucks, highlighting broader economic concerns in the region.
Impact of Geopolitical Tensions on Brand Perception:
CEO Chris Kempczinski pointed out the "meaningful business impact" caused by the conflict in the Middle East and surrounding regions. The company is among several Western brands facing protests and boycott campaigns due to perceived pro-Israeli stances. This not only affected sales but also raised questions about the long-term impact on McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) brand image and consumer loyalty.
Struggling U.S. Business:
Even in its home market, signs of weakness are emerging. Traffic at McDonald's U.S. stores saw a significant decline, slumping 13% in October and continuing to decline in November and December. While comparable sales in the U.S. climbed 4.3% in the fourth quarter, just shy of estimates, concerns about sustained growth are starting to surface.
Global Same-Store Sales Disappointment:
The global same-store sales increased by 3.4% in the quarter, missing estimates of a 4.9% rise. This represents the slowest sales growth in about three years, indicating broader challenges beyond specific regional issues. McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) will need to reassess its strategies to reinvigorate growth and respond to evolving consumer preferences.
Conclusion:
McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ), a global icon of fast food, is facing a challenging period as it grapples with geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, and shifting consumer behaviors. The first sales miss in nearly four years underscores the need for the company to adapt swiftly to these changing dynamics, reevaluate its international strategies, and address concerns in both emerging and mature markets. As McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) navigates these challenges, investors and industry observers will be closely watching its initiatives to regain momentum and sustain its position in the competitive global fast-food landscape.
McDonald's Recipe for Success: A Golden Future on the HorizonIn the ever-evolving landscape of the fast-food industry, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) emerges as a beacon of resilience and growth. As the iconic brand prepares to unveil its fourth-quarter results on February 5, 2024, the anticipation is high, and all indicators point to a recipe for success. Let's delve into the key ingredients that make McDonald's a compelling investment in the current market scenario.
Solid Q4 Performance:
McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) is expected to showcase robust performance in its Q4 results, building upon the momentum from the previous quarter. The projections suggest a 4.79% increase in overall same-store sales, with an impressive 4.45% growth in US sales. This follows the trend set in Q3 when same-store sales soared by 8.8%, surpassing analysts' expectations.
Financial Outlook:
The financial outlook for Q4 is promising, with adjusted earnings per share expected to jump by 7% to $2.82. Total revenue is projected to grow by 9% to reach $6.5 billion. Looking ahead to fiscal 2023, Wall Street anticipates total revenue to climb to $25.53 billion, showcasing a significant uptick from the $23.18 billion reported in 2022.
Global Expansion and Ambitious Goals:
McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) is not resting on its laurels but is instead eyeing a global footprint expansion. With an ambitious plan to reach 50,000 locations by 2027, the company is poised for sizzling growth. At the end of Q3, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) boasted 41,198 worldwide locations, with over 39,000 of these operated by franchisees.
Analyst Confidence and Market Perception:
Despite challenges faced by the fast-food industry in 2023, including concerns over consumer sentiment, food inflation, and potential impacts of weight-loss drugs, Wall Street remains optimistic about McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ). Wedbush analyst Nick Setyan emphasizes the brand's resilience, noting that it's "hard to see McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) not ‘winning’ in any consumer environment." Jefferies’ Andy Barish goes further, naming McDonald's the "best defensive and offensive play in restaurants" and a top pick for 2024.
Strategic Initiatives:
McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) strategic initiatives include a focus on digital transformation, delivery services, drive-through efficiency, and expanding its chicken product offerings. The emphasis on innovation, loyalty programs, effective marketing, and operational excellence is expected to sustain same-store sales growth in the near term.
Return of Breakfast Diners:
As workers gradually return to the office, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) is experiencing a resurgence in breakfast diners. Data from Placer.ai reveals an increase in store visits during breakfast hours, with 16.7% occurring between 7 a.m. and 10 a.m. in 2023, up from 15.9% in 2022.
Conclusion:
McDonald's (4MCD) is not just a fast-food giant; it's a resilient force navigating the challenges of an ever-changing market. The company's Q4 results and the fiscal outlook for 2023 paint a promising picture of growth and financial strength. With an unwavering commitment to innovation, strategic expansion, and adaptability, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) seems poised to continue its legacy as a global leader in the fast-food industry. As investors eagerly await the upcoming results, it appears that the golden arches are set to shine even brighter in the years to come.
2 Accurate Predictions Made by AI for McDonald's (MCD)In the rapidly evolving landscape of financial markets, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has emerged as a transformative force, revolutionizing the way analysts, investors, and traders interact with stocks, trends, and market predictions. This in-depth analysis explores the multifaceted impact of AI on financial strategies, highlighting significant instances of its application by innovative platforms like Tickeron, and culminating with an exploration of Tickeron Patterns and AI Robots in the contemporary trading environment.
AI in Financial Analysis:
Artificial Intelligence has transcended traditional boundaries in financial analysis, offering unprecedented precision in stock market predictions and technical analysis. By leveraging complex algorithms and machine learning techniques, AI systems can identify patterns and trends that are imperceptible to the human eye. This capability not only enhances the accuracy of market forecasts but also democratizes access to sophisticated analysis, previously the preserve of a select group of highly skilled analysts.
Bearish and Bullish Patterns: Tickeron's AI-driven Insights
One of the most compelling demonstrations of AI's predictive prowess in the financial markets is provided by Tickeron's detection of bearish and bullish stock patterns. These instances not only showcase the accuracy of AI-driven forecasts but also offer valuable lessons for traders and investors.
Prediction #1. Downtrend Detected
Bearish Broadening Bottom Pattern in McDonald's Corp (MCD)
On September 21, 2023, Tickeron's AI, A.I.dvisor, detected a bearish Broadening Bottom Pattern in McDonald's Corp (MCD), with the stock priced at $271.22. This pattern, traditionally associated with increasing volatility and a potential downturn, was confirmed four days later. By October 3, the stock reached the AI-set target price of $257.36, resulting in a significant 5.79% gain for traders who shorted the stock based on the AI's prediction.
Prediction #2. Uptrend Detected
Bullish Broadening Top Pattern in McDonald's Corp (MCD)
Conversely, on March 27, 2023, A.I.dvisor identified a bullish Broadening Top Pattern for McDonald's Corp, with an initial stock price of $273.84. The confirmation of this pattern the following day, with a target price of $286.05, heralded a potential upturn. By April 12, the stock hit the target, culminating in a 4.18% gain for those who invested based on the bullish signal.
AI in Technical Analysis
The instances of Tickeron's AI-driven predictions underscore the significant advantages AI brings to technical analysis. Unlike traditional methods, which rely heavily on historical data and often lag behind real-time market dynamics, AI's predictive models are dynamic. They adapt to new information, enabling more timely and accurate forecasts. This adaptability is particularly crucial in volatile markets, where the ability to anticipate changes can significantly impact investment outcomes.
Financial Analysis
AI's role extends beyond enhancing prediction accuracy; it democratizes access to advanced financial analysis. Tools like Tickeron make sophisticated market insights accessible to a broader audience, leveling the playing field between individual investors and institutional players. This shift not only empowers retail investors but also fosters a more inclusive financial ecosystem.
Patterns and AI Robots:
Tickeron`s AI Robots are recommended to be used when the markets are falling in general. The core algorithm makes only long trades utilizing 15 expert-selected inverse ETFs. A sophisticated risk-management engine builds the position using dynamically calculated trailing stop levels while the market goes in the expected direction. The trajectory of falling markets is analyzed and short-term corrections are used as additional entry points. The Robot closes all trades when a significant market reversal is detected and confirmed.
The robot's trading results are shown without using margin. Every minute, AI Robot scans the ETFs (15) listed in the field “Customized”. A user can adjust the ETFs selected and see changes in the expected number of trades per day and/or other statistics.
Tickeron's AI advancements, particularly in pattern detection and robot-assisted trading, exemplify the transformative potential of AI in the financial domain. As these technologies continue to evolve, they promise to further refine market analysis, enhance trading strategies, and ultimately, redefine the landscape of financial investment.
In conclusion
The integration of Artificial Intelligence into financial markets is not just a passing trend; it is a profound shift that is reshaping the industry. From enabling more accurate predictions through platforms like Tickeron to democratizing financial analysis and fostering innovative trading strategies, AI is at the forefront of a financial revolution. As we look to the future, the continued development and ethical application of AI technologies will undoubtedly play a pivotal role in the evolution of financial markets, offering both challenges and opportunities in equal measure.
MCD sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
MCD saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on January 26, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 53 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 43%.
Price Prediction Chart
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MCD moved out of overbought territory on January 03, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 14 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 37%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 78 cases where MCD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
MCD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 30, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MCD as a result. In 35 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 38%.
The 50-day moving average for MCD moved above the 200-day moving average on January 08, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +0.82% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCD advanced for three days, in 157 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 167 of 396 cases where MCD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 42%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Fear & Greed
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 15 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (7.168). P/E Ratio (25.217) is within average values for comparable stocks, (188.716). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.887) is also within normal values, averaging (1.596). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. MCD's P/S Ratio (8.396) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.309).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MCD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The last earnings report on October 30 showed earnings per share of $3.17, beating the estimate of $3.00. With 3.33M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 207.42B.
Notable companies
The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NASDAQ:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NASDAQ:CMG), Yum! Brands (NASDAQ:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NASDAQ:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NASDAQ:YUMC), Domino's Pizza (NASDAQ:DPZ), Shake Shack (NASDAQ:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).
Industry description
The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.
Market Cap
The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 7.27B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.73K to 207.42B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 207.42B. The lowest valued company is AMHG at 6.73K.
High and low price notable news
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. JKHCF experienced the highest price growth at 88%, while DPZUF experienced the biggest fall at -30%.
Volume
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 6% and the average quarterly volume growth was 32%
Grimace is prepared for growth; get ready for life changeAfter a long range within which the whole supply was traded, BITGET:GRIMACEUSDT is ready for a new five-wave price movement.
The deviation has already happened; impatient speculators have sold their bags; now is the best time to buy Grimace.
The major blocks are charted; the approximate graphical price movement I expect is like this; however, I could be wrong about timing.
In any case, I expect an ATH update during the winter.
After Grimace's growth, I think some other Odyssey's projects will show a strong rise. For example, see BITGET:SEXUSDT , MEXC:RONALDUSDT , and MEXC:MCCHEESEUSDT
For those who like to analyze fundamentals during the flat:
1. Odyssey's socials have grown manifold;
2. P2E games launched on Telegram;
3. Soon to be released is a centralized exchange with Grimace as the native token (like BNB for Binance).
Grimace overalIn my opinion, the fud, fear and frustration phase is coming to an end. A lot of people were exhausted by the 4 month long flat, and along the way some people gave up and sold the asset, some at a slight disadvantage, some at a gain. And the fud that has been going on for the last two weeks has put even more pressure on the psychology of the community. It's very noticeable how people are breaking down and can't take it anymore. The concentrated peak of pressure has passed.
So now I'm expecting the following actions:
Slow movement towards 50-60, people will be afraid to come in.
After 100-120 there will be a rapid growth, people will not have time to enter at the lower prices and there will be an obvious fomobuy. Perhaps even the price will quickly reach 150, gaining fomobuyers with the subsequent correction.
I don't know if this was planned, if you put aside all emotions and concentrate on the chart - all stages are quite logical and obvious. However, I still believe in the project. Maybe the goals will not be reached as soon as we would like, but this is the way!
$MCD Double Top Short With A Tight StopThe NYSE:MCD (McDonald's Corporation) stock is exhibiting a double top pattern, which is often interpreted as a bearish signal in technical analysis. This pattern is characterized by the stock reaching a high price point twice, with a moderate decline in between, forming an 'M' shape.
Given this pattern, a trading strategy could be to enter a short position, capitalizing on the anticipated downward movement following the formation of the double top. However, it's crucial to implement a tight stop-loss order to minimize potential losses. This stop-loss could be set just above the level of the blue line that marks the recent highs, as shown on the daily chart.
If the stock's price closes above this blue line, it may invalidate the double top pattern and suggest a potential upward trend, triggering the stop-loss and limiting the downside risk of the short position. This strategy hinges on the assumption that the double top pattern will lead to a price decline, but it's important to be prepared for alternative scenarios, which is where the tight stop-loss comes into play.
MCD (McDonalds) with signals to the downsideMcDonalds looking like it is getting close to a pull back. First sell signal triggered with yesterdays closing on my SSG trading system.
Ideally would like to sell Calls with a strike of 300, however the premium not high enough. Looking into building up a long put position instead.
McDonald (MCD) Aiming Higher McDonald's (MCD) beat earnings estimates for the third quarter as higher menu prices boosted sales growth.
Global systemwide sales — which include sales at company-owned and franchised restaurants — increased 11%. Global same-store sales jumped 8.8%, higher than analysts' estimates of 7.79%, per Bloomberg consensus data.
Revenue jumped 14% year-over-year to $6.69 billion, higher than estimates of $6.52 billion. Adjusted earnings per share came in at 3.19, up 19% from last year.
Shares of McDonald's are down nearly 3% year-to-date, trailing behind Restaurant Brands International (QSR) which is up nearly 2% year-to-date, but ahead of YUM! Brands (YUM) shares, which are down nearly 7%.
As consumers buckled down on where they spent their money, McDonald's says it got a boost in the US.
In the US, sales benefitted from higher menu prices, new marketing campaigns, and growing digital and delivery orders. Beginning in August, the company launched its As Featured In Meal campaign that showed meals that have appeared in films, movies or TV shoes.
Baird analyst David Tarantino said McDonald's typically gains foot traffic when there are "mounting macroeconomic uncertainties" in a note to clients, adding that the Golden Arches is "one of the best positioned brands...to navigate a tougher backdrop."
During the financial crisis from 2008 to 2009, sales growth averaged 3.4% in the U.S. and 6.9% in Europe, he said.
The company also reported systemwide digital sales — which includes sales made on the app, delivery or on the kiosk — totaled $9 billion across its six biggest markets, making up 40% of total sales. That's more than Q2, which saw $8 billion in digital sales.
Price Momentum
MCD is trading near the bottom of its 52-week range and below its 200-day simple moving average.
Investors have been pushing the share price lower, and the stock still appears to have downward momentum. This is a negative sign for the stock's future value, but we may expect a consolidation move after reaching its Lower Low (LL) we will expect an upward momentum.






















