timwest

PRO
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About me Master Chartist, Investor, Trader, Advisor, Coach, Chat Room Host: Key Hidden Levels
Online Joined United States, CT 87spider www.tradingview.com/u/timwest
Join me in chat room "KEY HIDDEN LEVELS" and review my 1000+ charts here at TradingView! Want to learn more, book time @ https://keyhiddenlevels.youcanbook.me/
Markets Allocation
75 % stocks 6 % commodities 5 % indices 15 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 8% | 93 TSLA 6% | 76 AAPL 2% | 32 TLT 2% | 29
timwest timwest PRO DJI/CPIAUCSL, M, Education
DJI/CPIAUCSL: Updated Fed Chairperson Pattern
1886 2 18
DJI/CPIAUCSL, M Education
Updated Fed Chairperson Pattern

Previous Fed Chair and Stock Market (divided by CPI, to make it "real"). You can see how there is turmoil typically at the beginning of a new Central Bankers term. Bernanke, not initially as he sat on top of a giant credit bubble that was set to pop. Greenspan had the worst initial stock market performance, but Bernanke had the worst performance with a close ...

timwest timwest PRO SPY, D,
SPY: $SPY S&P500 Chop Sideways for 2018 = Small Gain
1153 10 24
SPY, D
$SPY S&P500 Chop Sideways for 2018 = Small Gain

2018 - basic outline for the year - as published here in my chatroom - Key Hidden Levels. I see "no gain" for the year as the market chops sideways and then musters strength for a move up next year as the full impact of the new Tax Law kicks into full effect, driving Capex, Buybacks and re-distribution of wealth. Time will tell, but given the extreme calls for ...

timwest timwest PRO AMZN, D, Short ,
AMZN: $AMZN - Amazon is "OUT OF RALLY TIME" using Time@Mode
1170 13 28
AMZN, D Short
$AMZN - Amazon is "OUT OF RALLY TIME" using Time@Mode

Amazon has rallied for 15 weeks into last week's close after accumulating at the mode back this past fall for 15 weeks. In other words: Amazon has "run out of time". Once Amazon blasted off on its previous earnings report back in October, it kicked off a 15 week rally which ran far beyond the rally that was implied by the previous move from $766 (where it ...

timwest timwest PRO SPX500, M, Short ,
SPX500: 1981 SPX500 TOP ON REAGAN TAX CUTS & 27% CORRECTION FOLLOWS
5204 13 36
SPX500, M Short
1981 SPX500 TOP ON REAGAN TAX CUTS & 27% CORRECTION FOLLOWS

The current market environment somewhat mimics the 1981 market: Why? The stock market rallied 31% from Nov 1979 to Nov 1980 on the optimism that Reagan would revolutionize the economy. The Reagan Revolution led to the Tax Cuts entitled "Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, An act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 to encourage economic growth through ...

timwest timwest PRO SPX500+0.001, M, Long ,
SPX500+0.001: SPX500 Overlay '73 & '87 Peak to Trough to 2007 Peak
2303 7 33
SPX500+0.001, M Long
SPX500 Overlay '73 & '87 Peak to Trough to 2007 Peak

Overly simplistic - non-inflation adjusted returns, but so far they are remarkably similar. I lined up the bottoms of 1974 and 1987 to the 2009 low. Doing some "pattern analysis" to show that the magnitude of the current advance is similar when compared to previous booms. What do we have in this cycle compared to 1973-1987 and 1987-2000? Back then we had ...

timwest timwest PRO SHY, D, Long ,
SHY: $SHY - 1-3 Year US Treasuries - I'm Starting To See A Pattern!
3198 0 11
SHY, D Long
$SHY - 1-3 Year US Treasuries - I'm Starting To See A Pattern!

A little tongue in cheek here but clearly the end of the year has been a time when people have moved OUT OF short term treasuries and into other assets or durations.  The news has been covering how short term rates are at their highest levels in years here. I'm pulling up the chart and with the great indicator "MTPC" for "Multi-Time-Period-Charts" I was able to ...

timwest timwest PRO DIS, D, Long ,
DIS: Is $DIS Disney really just a HOTEL STOCK? Let's compare to $MAR
1249 4 24
DIS, D Long
Is $DIS Disney really just a HOTEL STOCK? Let's compare to $MAR

Here is a "pairs strategy" to go long $DIS and short $MAR over the course of the next 3-6 months AFTER earnings are released for $DIS on November 9th. I don't want to put you at risk for the current earnings report, but over the longer term, $DIS tends to correlate very highly to $MAR Marriott. $MAR has been on a straight line rally for many months now while ...

timwest timwest PRO UAL, D, Long ,
UAL: How To Find Important Supp & Res in $UAL - KEY EARNINGS LEVELS
1799 9 23
UAL, D Long
How To Find Important Supp & Res in $UAL - KEY EARNINGS LEVELS

Sometimes a picture tells you a powerful story - just like this one. The KEY HIDDEN LEVELS "Earnings Support and Resistance" lines show you in advance where important support and resistance is in a stock. Take a look at $UAL for example: Note how the green line broke to the downside, then retested before heading lower in a cascade of "Range Expansion" ...

timwest timwest PRO EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: $EURUSD is at a low risk juncture to buy
1081 8 30
EURUSD, D Long
$EURUSD is at a low risk juncture to buy

The TIME@MODE structure of the decline in the $EURUSD has put the market in a tight spot here sitting right on support. Why is it support? The current price is where the most volume has traded over the past few months, so it is the "resting place" where collectively the market is viewed as "balanced" and "fairly valued". Why is it a low risk buy? The market ...

timwest timwest PRO SPX500, D,
SPX500: Here's How the $USDJPY 6 Pt Selloffs Create Support in $SPX500
1067 5 20
SPX500, D
Here's How the $USDJPY 6 Pt Selloffs Create Support in $SPX500

Do you see the pattern here? If there is a 6 point drop in $USDJPYand a sharp reversal in $USDJPY then the stock market has put in a meaningful bottom with support at the low of the $USDJPY. Once you see a bottom in the $USDJPY, mark a bottom in the $SPX500 and carry it over 3-6 months because that is how long the support level is good for. See for ...

timwest timwest PRO SPY*0.5+TLT, D, Education
SPY*0.5+TLT: Simple Graph of a Stocks & Bonds Portfolio Hitting a New High
2743 7 22
SPY*0.5+TLT, D Education
Simple Graph of a Stocks & Bonds Portfolio Hitting a New High

To get a a graph of the portfolio, I added the S&P500 and TLT together. But to keep them roughly equal I used 50% of the price of $SPY and 100% of the price of $TLT. I create the graph by typing the following into the symbol window: SPY*.5+TLT It shows also that the mood of the country might have been pretty bad going into the election since the combined ...

timwest timwest PRO SPX/CPIAUCSL, M, Education
SPX/CPIAUCSL: The Stock Market is following the 1982-2000 bull market pattern
4561 22 56
SPX/CPIAUCSL, M Education
The Stock Market is following the 1982-2000 bull market pattern

Simply notice the 'inflation adjusted declines' of 1974 and 1982 and the overall 1970-1982 correction and compare them to the 2002 and 2007 decline from 2000-2009 and see what happened after. After two massive 50%+ declines, there doesn't "NEED" to be another massive wipeout for a long time. Investors do repeat patterns, so if they continue to repeat this ...

timwest timwest PRO QQQ, D, Education
QQQ: $QQQ Nasdaq Composite with Support Levels from $VXN spikes
2091 15 40
QQQ, D Education
$QQQ Nasdaq Composite with Support Levels from $VXN spikes

Each time there is a panic selloff and recovery, the buyers who stepped up to the plate and accumulated shares at a discount show that they are in control of the market. What happens when VIX or VXN spikes when the market falls? Well, sellers of options demand higher prices to compensate for higher risk or higher costs of taking a trade. Also, buyers of options ...

timwest timwest PRO TSLA, D, Long ,
TSLA: Earnings Levels are Key To Know in all Listed Stocks!
2769 15 62
TSLA, D Long
Earnings Levels are Key To Know in all Listed Stocks!

The chart of $TSLA appeared to be falling without end in sight, but if you had short positions on from higher levels, you knew where to cover them - and that is right at the "EARNINGS LEVEL".  I believe it is essential to know where these levels are and I track them on every listed stock here on TradingView that I trade.  The EARNINGS LEVEL is the green triangle ...

timwest timwest PRO DIA, D,
DIA: HOPE OR FEAR?  Observation of Muni Bond etf $LEO vs $DIA DJIA
650 9 18
DIA, D
HOPE OR FEAR? Observation of Muni Bond etf $LEO vs $DIA DJIA

Here's a big point... HOPE vs FEAR as shown by Municipal Bond Prices (using the Dreyfus Muni Bond Fund ETF $LEO) Hope is the time when people are selling their "SUPER SAFE MUNI BONDS" to invest in stocks. Fear is when people are buying SuperSafe Muni Bonds It's a general-view, but worth attention. If $LEO turns down, then look for the market to turn up for ...

timwest timwest PRO XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: When VIX*SKEW is LOW, BUY $XAUUSD GOLD now
3265 12 55
XAUUSD, D Long
When VIX*SKEW is LOW, BUY $XAUUSD GOLD now

Here is a quick diagram of the relationship of two of my favorite indicators combined with Gold. I've got to get this out to you now, and follow up later with more details. Sometimes a picture is worth a thousand words and sometimes I have to spell out the words, which may be the case with this one. Many worry that VIX is low, but low VIX is not a worrisome ...

timwest timwest PRO ETHBTC, D, Short ,
ETHBTC: ETHBTC Ethereum Bitcoin Price Reached Mon-Wk-Daily Targets
2402 7 40
ETHBTC, D Short
ETHBTC Ethereum Bitcoin Price Reached Mon-Wk-Daily Targets

And now it is poised to drop. I would compare the current price advance to climbing to the highest point in a tree... There is nowhere to go but down from here. Or you can wait for the tree to grow. The Time@Mode structure of the Ethereum Bitcoin price reached the price projection on multiple time frames all within a short period of time. Time@Mode is a method ...

timwest timwest PRO CSCO, D, Education
CSCO: $CSCO's rally from $00.08 to $80.00 in log-scale from 1990-2000
478 1 19
CSCO, D Education
$CSCO's rally from $00.08 to $80.00 in log-scale from 1990-2000

$10,000 invested at $0.08 would grow to $1,000,000. This chart is an amazing run that everyone should have a look at. When we look at the chart of $BTCUSD or other monster gains in stocks or in any market, we often see 75% retracements and many 50% retracements, but only 1 50% retracement in this chart of $CSCO. I remember the top very well and not many could ...

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GLCNF
GLENCORE XSTRATA PLC ORD
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AAPL
APPLE INC
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XON
INTREXON CORP
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TFM
FRESH MKT INC
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MON
MONSANTO COMPANY
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CREE INC
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UNIS
UNILIFE CORP NEW
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GDZ2013
GOLD FUTURES
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SWI
SOLARWINDS INC
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JO
IPATH BLOOMBERG COFFEE SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN SM INDEX ETN
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PPL
PPL CORP
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HD
HOME DEPOT INC (THE)
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INTC
INTEL CORP
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E M C CORP MASS
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WELLS FARGO & COMPANY
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NEXTERA ENERGY INC
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F
FORD MOTOR COMPANY
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DD
DD
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MYL
MYLAN N.V
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Z
ZILLOW GROUP INC
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ONVO
ORGANOVO HLDGS INC
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LVS
LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP
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GLOP
GASLOG PARTNERS LP COMMON UNITS REPRESENTING LTD PARTNERSHIP INTERESTS
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TSLA
TESLA INC
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DVN
DEVON ENERGY CORP
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WLT
None
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RDS.B
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC AMERICAN DEPOSITARY SHARES (EACH REPRESENTING TWO CLASS B ORDINARY SHARES)
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TLT
ISHARES 20+ YEAR TREASURY BOND E
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SOLARCITY CORP
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VODAFONE GROUP PLC - AMERICAN DEPOSITARY SHARES EACH REPRESENTING TEN ORDINARY SHARES
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KLAC
KLA-TENCOR CORP
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VMW
VMWARE INC COMMON STOCK, CLASS A
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SO
SOUTHERN COMPANY (THE)
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CORNING INC
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JP MORGAN CHASE & CO
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CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP
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