timwest

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About me Master Chartist, Investor, Trader, Advisor, Coach, Chat Room Host: Key Hidden Levels
Joined United States, CT 87spider www.tradingview.com/u/timwest
Join me in chat room "KEY HIDDEN LEVELS" and review my 1000+ charts here at TradingView! Want to learn more, book time @ https://keyhiddenlevels.youcanbook.me/
Markets Allocation
75 % stocks 6 % commodities 5 % indices 15 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 8% | 93 TSLA 6% | 76 AAPL 2% | 32 TLT 2% | 29
timwest timwest XAUUSD+0.001, D, Long ,
XAUUSD+0.001: Gold Price Movement on Fed Rate Hikes
5167 1 34
XAUUSD+0.001, D Long
Gold Price Movement on Fed Rate Hikes

What is the PATTERN of gold price movement on the day that the Fed raises interest rates? Here are the last six (6) rate hikes and the dates. If the triangle is GREEN, then the price moved UP and CLOSED UP on the day. If the triangle is RED, then the price moved DOWN and CLOSED DOWN on the day. On 6/14/2017, the price moved UP initially, then traded DOWN and ...

timwest timwest DJI/CPIAUCSL, M, Education
DJI/CPIAUCSL: Updated Fed Chairperson Pattern
4504 2 22
DJI/CPIAUCSL, M Education
Updated Fed Chairperson Pattern

Previous Fed Chair and Stock Market (divided by CPI, to make it "real"). You can see how there is turmoil typically at the beginning of a new Central Bankers term. Bernanke, not initially as he sat on top of a giant credit bubble that was set to pop. Greenspan had the worst initial stock market performance, but Bernanke had the worst performance with a close ...

timwest timwest SPY, D,
SPY: $SPY S&P500 Chop Sideways for 2018 = Small Gain
2077 14 31
SPY, D
$SPY S&P500 Chop Sideways for 2018 = Small Gain

2018 - basic outline for the year - as published here in my chatroom - Key Hidden Levels. I see "no gain" for the year as the market chops sideways and then musters strength for a move up next year as the full impact of the new Tax Law kicks into full effect, driving Capex, Buybacks and re-distribution of wealth. Time will tell, but given the extreme calls for ...

timwest timwest AMZN, D, Short ,
AMZN: $AMZN - Amazon is "OUT OF RALLY TIME" using Time@Mode
1529 13 32
AMZN, D Short
$AMZN - Amazon is "OUT OF RALLY TIME" using Time@Mode

Amazon has rallied for 15 weeks into last week's close after accumulating at the mode back this past fall for 15 weeks. In other words: Amazon has "run out of time". Once Amazon blasted off on its previous earnings report back in October, it kicked off a 15 week rally which ran far beyond the rally that was implied by the previous move from $766 (where it ...

timwest timwest SPX500, M, Short ,
SPX500: 1981 SPX500 TOP ON REAGAN TAX CUTS & 27% CORRECTION FOLLOWS
5507 13 36
SPX500, M Short
1981 SPX500 TOP ON REAGAN TAX CUTS & 27% CORRECTION FOLLOWS

The current market environment somewhat mimics the 1981 market: Why? The stock market rallied 31% from Nov 1979 to Nov 1980 on the optimism that Reagan would revolutionize the economy. The Reagan Revolution led to the Tax Cuts entitled "Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, An act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 to encourage economic growth through ...

timwest timwest SPX500+0.001, M, Long ,
SPX500+0.001: SPX500 Overlay '73 & '87 Peak to Trough to 2007 Peak
2535 9 36
SPX500+0.001, M Long
SPX500 Overlay '73 & '87 Peak to Trough to 2007 Peak

Overly simplistic - non-inflation adjusted returns, but so far they are remarkably similar. I lined up the bottoms of 1974 and 1987 to the 2009 low. Doing some "pattern analysis" to show that the magnitude of the current advance is similar when compared to previous booms. What do we have in this cycle compared to 1973-1987 and 1987-2000? Back then we had ...

timwest timwest SHY, D, Long ,
SHY: $SHY - 1-3 Year US Treasuries - I'm Starting To See A Pattern!
3229 0 11
SHY, D Long
$SHY - 1-3 Year US Treasuries - I'm Starting To See A Pattern!

A little tongue in cheek here but clearly the end of the year has been a time when people have moved OUT OF short term treasuries and into other assets or durations.  The news has been covering how short term rates are at their highest levels in years here. I'm pulling up the chart and with the great indicator "MTPC" for "Multi-Time-Period-Charts" I was able to ...

timwest timwest DIS, D, Long ,
DIS: Is $DIS Disney really just a HOTEL STOCK? Let's compare to $MAR
1276 4 24
DIS, D Long
Is $DIS Disney really just a HOTEL STOCK? Let's compare to $MAR

Here is a "pairs strategy" to go long $DIS and short $MAR over the course of the next 3-6 months AFTER earnings are released for $DIS on November 9th. I don't want to put you at risk for the current earnings report, but over the longer term, $DIS tends to correlate very highly to $MAR Marriott. $MAR has been on a straight line rally for many months now while ...

timwest timwest UAL, D, Long ,
UAL: How To Find Important Supp & Res in $UAL - KEY EARNINGS LEVELS
1825 9 23
UAL, D Long
How To Find Important Supp & Res in $UAL - KEY EARNINGS LEVELS

Sometimes a picture tells you a powerful story - just like this one. The KEY HIDDEN LEVELS "Earnings Support and Resistance" lines show you in advance where important support and resistance is in a stock. Take a look at $UAL for example: Note how the green line broke to the downside, then retested before heading lower in a cascade of "Range Expansion" ...

timwest timwest EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: $EURUSD is at a low risk juncture to buy
1135 9 31
EURUSD, D Long
$EURUSD is at a low risk juncture to buy

The TIME@MODE structure of the decline in the $EURUSD has put the market in a tight spot here sitting right on support. Why is it support? The current price is where the most volume has traded over the past few months, so it is the "resting place" where collectively the market is viewed as "balanced" and "fairly valued". Why is it a low risk buy? The market ...

timwest timwest SPX500, D,
SPX500: Here's How the $USDJPY 6 Pt Selloffs Create Support in $SPX500
1256 5 25
SPX500, D
Here's How the $USDJPY 6 Pt Selloffs Create Support in $SPX500

Do you see the pattern here? If there is a 6 point drop in $USDJPYand a sharp reversal in $USDJPY then the stock market has put in a meaningful bottom with support at the low of the $USDJPY. Once you see a bottom in the $USDJPY, mark a bottom in the $SPX500 and carry it over 3-6 months because that is how long the support level is good for. See for ...

timwest timwest SPY*0.5+TLT, D, Education
SPY*0.5+TLT: Simple Graph of a Stocks & Bonds Portfolio Hitting a New High
2782 7 22
SPY*0.5+TLT, D Education
Simple Graph of a Stocks & Bonds Portfolio Hitting a New High

To get a a graph of the portfolio, I added the S&P500 and TLT together. But to keep them roughly equal I used 50% of the price of $SPY and 100% of the price of $TLT. I create the graph by typing the following into the symbol window: SPY*.5+TLT It shows also that the mood of the country might have been pretty bad going into the election since the combined ...

timwest timwest SPX/CPIAUCSL, M, Education
SPX/CPIAUCSL: The Stock Market is following the 1982-2000 bull market pattern
4672 22 56
SPX/CPIAUCSL, M Education
The Stock Market is following the 1982-2000 bull market pattern

Simply notice the 'inflation adjusted declines' of 1974 and 1982 and the overall 1970-1982 correction and compare them to the 2002 and 2007 decline from 2000-2009 and see what happened after. After two massive 50%+ declines, there doesn't "NEED" to be another massive wipeout for a long time. Investors do repeat patterns, so if they continue to repeat this ...

timwest timwest QQQ, D, Education
QQQ: $QQQ Nasdaq Composite with Support Levels from $VXN spikes
2116 15 40
QQQ, D Education
$QQQ Nasdaq Composite with Support Levels from $VXN spikes

Each time there is a panic selloff and recovery, the buyers who stepped up to the plate and accumulated shares at a discount show that they are in control of the market. What happens when VIX or VXN spikes when the market falls? Well, sellers of options demand higher prices to compensate for higher risk or higher costs of taking a trade. Also, buyers of options ...

timwest timwest TSLA, D, Long ,
TSLA: Earnings Levels are Key To Know in all Listed Stocks!
2834 15 63
TSLA, D Long
Earnings Levels are Key To Know in all Listed Stocks!

The chart of $TSLA appeared to be falling without end in sight, but if you had short positions on from higher levels, you knew where to cover them - and that is right at the "EARNINGS LEVEL".  I believe it is essential to know where these levels are and I track them on every listed stock here on TradingView that I trade.  The EARNINGS LEVEL is the green triangle ...

timwest timwest DIA, D,
DIA: HOPE OR FEAR?  Observation of Muni Bond etf $LEO vs $DIA DJIA
654 9 18
DIA, D
HOPE OR FEAR? Observation of Muni Bond etf $LEO vs $DIA DJIA

Here's a big point... HOPE vs FEAR as shown by Municipal Bond Prices (using the Dreyfus Muni Bond Fund ETF $LEO) Hope is the time when people are selling their "SUPER SAFE MUNI BONDS" to invest in stocks. Fear is when people are buying SuperSafe Muni Bonds It's a general-view, but worth attention. If $LEO turns down, then look for the market to turn up for ...

timwest timwest XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: When VIX*SKEW is LOW, BUY $XAUUSD GOLD now
3365 12 55
XAUUSD, D Long
When VIX*SKEW is LOW, BUY $XAUUSD GOLD now

Here is a quick diagram of the relationship of two of my favorite indicators combined with Gold. I've got to get this out to you now, and follow up later with more details. Sometimes a picture is worth a thousand words and sometimes I have to spell out the words, which may be the case with this one. Many worry that VIX is low, but low VIX is not a worrisome ...

timwest timwest ETHBTC, D, Short ,
ETHBTC: ETHBTC Ethereum Bitcoin Price Reached Mon-Wk-Daily Targets
2441 7 40
ETHBTC, D Short
ETHBTC Ethereum Bitcoin Price Reached Mon-Wk-Daily Targets

And now it is poised to drop. I would compare the current price advance to climbing to the highest point in a tree... There is nowhere to go but down from here. Or you can wait for the tree to grow. The Time@Mode structure of the Ethereum Bitcoin price reached the price projection on multiple time frames all within a short period of time. Time@Mode is a method ...

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GLCNF
GLENCORE PLC
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AAPL
APPLE INC
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INTREXON CORP
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FRESH MKT INC
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MONSANTO COMPANY
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CREE INC
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UNILIFE CORP NEW
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GOLD FUTURES
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SOLARWINDS INC
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JO
IPATH BLOOMBERG COFFEE SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN SM INDEX ETN
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PPL CORP
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HD
HOME DEPOT INC (THE)
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INTEL CORP
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E M C CORP MASS
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WELLS FARGO & COMPANY
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NEXTERA ENERGY INC
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FORD MOTOR COMPANY
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DD
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MYLAN N.V
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ZILLOW GROUP INC
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ORGANOVO HLDGS INC
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LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP
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GASLOG PARTNERS LP COMMON UNITS REPRESENTING LTD PARTNERSHIP INTERESTS
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TESLA INC
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DEVON ENERGY CORP
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WLT
None
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ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC AMERICAN DEPOSITARY SHARES (EACH REPRESENTING TWO CLASS B ORDINARY SHARES)
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ISHARES 20+ YEAR TREASURY BOND E
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SOLARCITY CORP
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VODAFONE GROUP PLC - AMERICAN DEPOSITARY SHARES EACH REPRESENTING TEN ORDINARY SHARES
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KLA-TENCOR CORP
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VMWARE INC COMMON STOCK, CLASS A
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SOUTHERN COMPANY (THE)
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CORNING INC
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JP MORGAN CHASE & CO
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CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP
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