timwest

PRO
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About me Master Chartist, Investor, Trader, Advisor, Coach, Chat Room Host: Key Hidden Levels
Last visit Joined 5 years ago United States, CT 87spider www.tradingview.com
Join me in chat room "KEY HIDDEN LEVELS" https://www.tradingview.com/chat/#c8BzrhGRvXxGXWnJ
Markets Allocation
75 % stocks 6 % commodities 5 % indices 14 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 8% | 89 TSLA 6% | 73 AAPL 2% | 32 TLT 2% | 29
timwest timwest PRO NVDA, M, Short , 7 hours ago
NVDA: NVIDIA $NVDA Uptrend Is Out of Time
138 1 11
NVDA, M Short
NVIDIA $NVDA Uptrend Is Out of Time

Using my handcrafted "Time At Mode" Methodology - I can measure with a reliable consistency and methodology, the amount of accumulation that has occurred in any security on any time frame to determine how much time the security can then trend once the accumulation period is over. The very logic of this approach came to me in 1988 after I discovered Market Profile ...

timwest timwest PRO SPY, D, 2 days ago
SPY: Time At Mode Methodology in $SPY Daily & Weekly
522 8 21
SPY, D
Time At Mode Methodology in $SPY Daily & Weekly

From the low in November in the 5% "lock-limit-down" move after the US Presidential Election, we begin a new UPTREND. I updated the trading chat room "Key Hidden Levels" with this analysis as the rally unfolded out of the December-January trading range that is shown where there are 20-days at one price. There were also 7-weeks at one price, which implies that ...

timwest timwest PRO AAPL, D, 7 days ago
AAPL: How to use RangeMovement (RgMov) to trade the trend
395 2 12
AAPL, D
How to use RangeMovement (RgMov) to trade the trend

For the subscribers to Key Hidden Levels: Background info on the chart: Green arrows with lines to the right are "earnings releases" which I call "key hidden levels". The "volume profile" begins from the Presidential Election. The red line near the bottom is the RgMov indicator (Range-Movement). TREND: Determine the trend. The trend is when RgMov is ...

timwest timwest PRO SPX500, D, Long , a month ago
SPX500: Here's what the US stock market CAN DO, reference 1982-1987
1001 15 30
SPX500, D Long
Here's what the US stock market CAN DO, reference 1982-1987

Here is 1982 to 1987. The low in 1982 was sheer desperation, coming out of interest rates that had skyrocketed, inflation out of control, and an economic downturn that was hurting everyone. Long gas lines, OPEC had been out of control and the last 16 years were a loss of 66%-80% when adjusted for inflation. Stocks had been HORRIBLE. The perfect, fertile ground ...

timwest timwest PRO SPX500, M, Long , a month ago
SPX500: The Long Term Trendlines for the S&P500
866 11 21
SPX500, M Long
The Long Term Trendlines for the S&P500

We've seen a few bubbles in the last 40 years in the stock market. Here are a few comments on the major bubbles and news items. Note how Nixon went out the same way that George Bush went out - ugly in the polls and ugly in the stock market. And note how the party switched in both cases and then malaise set in, for similar reasons - a lack of economic growth. ...

timwest timwest PRO SKYW, M, Long , a month ago
SKYW: Skywest Inc $SKYW - November breakout of 15 yr range
305 1 12
SKYW, M Long
Skywest Inc $SKYW - November breakout of 15 yr range

Long term chart pattern followers will love this breakout pattern in Skywest ($SKYW) shares. Shares didn't breakout on major volume, but sellers didn't step in and drive down shares, so low volume isn't necessarily a problem, but I will still keep an eye on it if we see heavy volume on the downside. Now that we have seen December and January have a much higher ...

timwest timwest PRO AAL, D, Long , a month ago
AAL: American Airlines $AAL Trailing Earnings Yield 14.5%!
314 5 8
AAL, D Long
American Airlines $AAL Trailing Earnings Yield 14.5%!

At $46.3 last in $AAL you are looking at 15% or so in earnings yield using $1.25 for April 2016 $1.77 for July 2016 $2.80 for October 2016 $0.92 for January 2017 --------------- $6.74 in earnings / $46.3 last for AAL shares 14.55% yield. ---------------- I like how this chart is displaying the earnings at each quarter's "Key Earnings Level" so you can see which ...

timwest timwest PRO TLT, D, Long , a month ago
TLT: TLT - IShares 20+ Year Treasury - Is lagging terribly
300 5 14
TLT, D Long
TLT - IShares 20+ Year Treasury - Is lagging terribly

What is wrong with $TLT these days? The TLT is lagging far behind where it ought to be, as measured by the 10-year and the 30-year Treasury Note&Bond Futures. Why is that? It could very well be a sign of some dislocation, or a liquidity issue within the market. It could also be an opportunity to sell the futures ($ZBH2017, $ZNH2017) and buy the cash market ...

timwest timwest PRO SPX500/CPIAUCSL, W, 2 months ago
SPX500/CPIAUCSL: A REVIEW OF THE 1980 POTUS ELECTION, BEFORE & AFTER
700 8 30
SPX500/CPIAUCSL, W
A REVIEW OF THE 1980 POTUS ELECTION, BEFORE & AFTER

Inflation: Inflation matters. Why? Look at the two charts here and you will see why inflation matters. Over time, inflation changes the "real price" of the things we buy by dramatic amounts. What everyone saw in 1980's Presidential Election was a big breakout in price above the major top extending back a decade. What really had happened though over the previous ...

timwest timwest PRO IBB, D, Long , 2 months ago
IBB: Biotech's 40% Bear Market is Over
974 10 34
IBB, D Long
Biotech's 40% Bear Market is Over

There is one useful way to determine when a trend is over and that is using a 50% "speedline" of a move. The decline from $400 in $IBB, the IShares Nasdaq Biotechnology Index Fund back in July 2015 and then tumbled 40% to $240 on February 9th, 2016 and later retested $240 on June 27, 2016. The mid-point of that decline is $320 and a line drawn from ...

timwest timwest PRO INVH, D, 2 months ago
INVH: IPO - Invitation Homes $INVH - CEO John Bartling
331 8 11
INVH, D
IPO - Invitation Homes $INVH - CEO John Bartling

95% occupancy $1600 avg rent 62% margins 13 markets 3700 homes in each market 97% of markets has over 2000 homes All rehab teams are in the market. Buy, renovate, rent. COMPETITION: American Homes for Rent Colony Starwood INVH is Part of the American Rental Housing Council Provide a consistent experience for renters Create best practices John Bartling, ...

timwest timwest PRO EEM, M, Long , 2 months ago
EEM: Emerging Markets - EEM - Uptrend and Bearish Sentiment
595 9 20
EEM, M Long
Emerging Markets - EEM - Uptrend and Bearish Sentiment

It looks like the long term downtrend is ending here: There is a lot of consensus that the Trump Presidency will crush emerging markets by way of the destruction of trading partnerships and new trade wars. But that post-election decline has fully retraced AND with all of the fears of euphoria in the US with equity prices at all time highs and appearing extended ...

timwest timwest PRO USDCAD, D, Short , 2 months ago
USDCAD: Massive Top in $USDCAD, Low Risk Short Entry Here
1199 5 37
USDCAD, D Short
Massive Top in $USDCAD, Low Risk Short Entry Here

I will quickly publish this chart to show you the long term uptrend in the $USDCAD appears to be over. The downtrend is in play here and the risk to be wrong is very low, while the potential for gains is quite high. The long term trendline is broken and the $USDCAD is sitting on a level where a tremendous amount of volume and time has been spent at $1.31. Risk ...

timwest timwest PRO DIA, D, Long , 2 months ago
DIA: What so much FEAR about LOW VIX readings???
426 6 29
DIA, D Long
What so much FEAR about LOW VIX readings???

Let's be objective here: Low VIX, or volatility, is not a sign in itself of immediate bear markets. Let's look at the last 10+ years of VIX data to find patterns that would suggest trouble ahead. What we see instead is that the last two periods of extended LOW VOLATILITY READINGS were during choppy to rising periods of the stock market. No market runs on ...

timwest timwest PRO INTC, M, Long , 2 months ago
INTC: Intel's 16-Year Base - $INTC
394 3 16
INTC, M Long
Intel's 16-Year Base - $INTC

Intel is trying to breakout, but there's not much volume to push it along. Today's high above the previous highs going back to January 2001 were breached, but then the close didn't hold above the breakout level. All eyes may be on $INTC over the weekend since it made new highs. On the shorter-term daily chart, the volume was swelling quite a bit, but on the ...

timwest timwest PRO GRPN, D, Long , 2 months ago
GRPN: Groupon $GRPN has moved on last 5 earnings reports
457 3 21
GRPN, D Long
Groupon $GRPN has moved on last 5 earnings reports

$GRPN reports February 9th and currently analysts expect a loss of 2 cents for the quarter. It is useful to see what the stock has done in the last 5 quarters: There were 2 rallies and 3 drops. Each was quite violent. Groupon is not "cash flow positive" but given that online sales may have been much stronger than "bricks-and-mortar" (like $KSS, $M, $JWN, etc), ...

timwest timwest PRO TGT, D, Long , 2 months ago
TGT: The Drop in Target Shares is a sign to buy Target & T-Bonds
471 3 22
TGT, D Long
The Drop in Target Shares is a sign to buy Target & T-Bonds

Notice how Target tends to fall and signal a weak economy, which is picked up in the Bond market with falling rates (Bonds rise when rates fall - this is a chart of yields). There are 3 white-box areas that show the pattern. You can see it is a very reliable and useful pattern. This time around, however, that signal is not transmitting through in the markets. ...

timwest timwest PRO XAUUSD, D, 2 months ago
XAUUSD: Here's why Gold will move sideways for 4 months $XAUUSD
1576 6 37
XAUUSD, D
Here's why Gold will move sideways for 4 months $XAUUSD

Gold has rallied up to a level that is an old trading range from last year from February to June. In summer, Gold jumped out of that range and moved up another 10% before sliding back down into year end. Market's remember old price levels and those folks who entered the gold market last year didn't really have a chance to get out of their positions. The ...

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