MCDONALDS Bad for your health - good for your portfolio.The McDonalds Corporation (MCD) is defying the Bear Market as on November 10 it made a new All Time High. Today it pulled-back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) amidst the general post Fed market drop for the first time in nearly two months (since October 21).
As you see it is trading within a long-term Channel Up since the 2020 COVID crash and is best seen if we apply the Fibonacci extension levels. The current pattern since November 10 in fact looks like the Megaphone of April - July 2021. In order to get confirmed, we need to see the 1D MA50 hold here and that should give it a boost to a new High.
A break below though, will most likely seek the Support of the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) in order to accumulate more buyers, as it has been doing since February 2021.
In any case McDonalds are for sure bad for your health but can be great owning their stock in your portfolio.
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Mcdonalds
McDonald's Breaks Out 2.78%After a 9-month waiting period, McDonald’s has finally created new all-time highs.
The previous all-time high was back in January this year at $271.
Following that, price then went into a range between $217 and $271 and managed
to pick up enough momentum this past week to force a breakout from consolidation.
Our task now is to confirm whether this is a fake breakout or the beginning of a
long-term trend. The way we confirm this as being the start of a trend is by waiting
patiently on the sidelines.
We need to wait for a pattern of higher highs and higher lows to develop, which is
usually a sign of a bullish trend. That will give us the confidence that McDonald’s
is embarking on the next leg of the bull trend.
Waiting will not cause us to miss out because once the confirmation is set, then
we can aggressively compound and maximise our profit on the way up.
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Coffee While Shorting MCDEnjoying a cup of coffee on a cool day while shorting McDonalds. Technical indicators I have been using for years show strong favor of decline in stock price based on MACD, RSI, and a sell signal that has a track record of being very accurate. Candlesticks also show a down trend. If you look at the latest 3 candles before hitting play, you can see that resistance failed during the 2nd to last candle. While that candle contains a bullish wick, you can see that the last candle fell further below without any wick. Based solely on these candles we can expect a quick jump in price at market open while the overall day we can expect steep decline.
Mikkey D's like a rock. MCDFlat formation. Some visible divergences. Anyway, looking more appealing than fast food.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
McDonald's MCD - I'm Lovin' Selling, and You Should be tooYou don't see just how highly priced McDonald's still is unless you look at it on the Monthly:
I mean, this is the place that sells faux-food while CPI and PPI are through the roof, and it's still trading almost at its all time high. This is even more ridiculous than the positioning of Apple AAPL:
Apple AAPL - Looks Fine on the Outside, but Tastes Weird
And Tesla TSLA:
Tesla TSLA - The Canary in the Coal Mine
On top of that, this is one of the thirty companies that compose the Dow, which is the most bearish of all indexes, having already retested the pre-COVID highs, which SPX and Nasdaq have yet to do.
The bottom line for everyone's least favourite, but most convenient, fast food dumpster fire is that the June --> August price action, was, like Apple, just a gap fill.
And now, it's time to seek new lows. And those lows happen to be, conservatively, in the $245 range.
This is a fat put if you buy puts, but a "my calls expired worthless so at least I can sob about my drawdown on Reddit" scenario for Robinhood's retail fodder.
I can only encourage everyone who is still long on equities to get out this week. I truly believe that we are going to see a bounce that traps bears short but snares bulls long:
SPX / ES - Bull Whips and Bear Saws
With a looming VIX 72 (hasn't done much since COVID! It's two years! It's due! Be careful!) hanging overhead.
VIX - 9x8 = 72
What lies ahead, after the trap has been executed, will come fast, and viciously, and it will seem as if the world is ending. If you buy when it's high because you are still thinking to yourself that this is the old paradigm, you're going to lose at least one finger, and probably three.
This world is not one where you can use magic to regrow what's lost, you know?
And so what I want to say is that you should protect what you have. If you can't get short, if you can't trade puts, then get cash heavy and reduce your risk.
Ultimately, what's important in life is not money, which when you die you leave behind. It is maintaining your kindness. It is harbouring your virtue.
This isn't moral dogma, unless you make it moral dogma. The path through the storm is to do better in your life. Been neglecting family? Fix it.
Been a bad father? Fix it.
Been a bad boss? Buy the secretary flowers and tell her that she's doing a great job. Make sure you mean it. You aren't such a bad guy. Make sure you mean it. Try your best.
One day, in this lifetime, when the Chinese Communist Party falls, you'll instantly understand what I am referring to.
Don't leave yourself with regrets on that day. That day is too late. You have to figure it out and do well before that day.
It's just like poker, where you have to place your bets before the cards are face up. It doesn't count anymore after the cards are face up.
Mc Donalds. Popular, resilient but overvaluedI’m developing an app using Tradingview data for my stock picking and fundamental analysis.
I get financial data from Tradingview into excel file, producing aggregated statistics and fair value calculation based on estimate of future earnings and discounted free cash flows.
Continuing my search in the best sectors, undervalued stocks that could perform well in the next time. In uncertain times, americans stick with fast food. This stock is popular, resilient, but still overvalued based on my algorithms.
My estimate of fair value is $201 based on forecast earnings and $166 based on forecast discounted free cash flows.
Just I set an alert on the next volume cluster for my reminder
7/4/22 MCDMcDonalds Corporation ( NYSE:MCD )
Sector: Consumer Services (Restaurants)
Market Capitalization: $187.076B
Current Price: $252.96
Breakout price: $252.96
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $248.35-$238.25
Price Target: $258.00-$260.50 (1st), $270.00-$275.60 (2nd), $302.60-$308.20 (3rd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 21-22d (1st), 54-61d (2nd), 150-159d (3rd)
Contract of Interest: $MCD 8/19/22 270c, $MCD 9/16/22 270c, $MCD 12/16/22 280c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.60/contract, $3.60/contract, $4.75/contract
McDonald's | MCD | Long OpportunityMcDonald's Corp ( NYSE:MCD ) may be entering buy territory. Head and shoulders pattern formed before this recent decline, but primary support may be near $218. Given the March 2022 Federal Reserve meeting and OpEx next week (as well as the Russia/Ukraine war), there could be more declines ahead to the primary support (indicators show this is likely, as well). If it can hold that level, a 50 EMA (yellow line) or 200 EMA (green line) touch may be in its future. There is a small gap at $266.72 - $270 to fill, but that would likely be reached if the indexes melt-up or superb business news emerges.
On Feb 28, 2022, the Director purchased $244,180 worth of shares at an average of $244.18. No insider sales after Oct 2021.
P/E near 22
McDonalds - Dividend Aristocrat to Correct by 30%?Are we about to observe similar drop for the global giant McDonalds that we saw in 2020?
These are few points that may trigger it:
Fundamental indicators:
Recession - warning macro signals suggest that world economies are slowing down and recession is possible within a year, this may be reflected in the forecast of the company, like any other in S&P500
Eastern Europe conflict - suspension of business in Russia will certainly have an impact on earnings
P/E - is quite high at 25x and possible correction may let some steam out of the overpriced stock
Liabilities - rising against assets and equity which may be at uncomfortable levels for investors
Technically:
Since the significant drop we saw in 2020 there was a hype in the market linked to Fed 'money printing', however the bull run is difficult associate with an impulse. Hence this is a complex running correction forming with double zig-zags. And one of the distinctive points of this correction is that waves W and Y are very symmetrical and of the similar amplitude
The potential correction may be very rapid after the earnings report and reach levels of $190 to $170.
Alternative scenario - if the report comes out positive then wave X may continue extending and to update current highs before repeating this significant correction
What are your thoughts about this scenario?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
Thanks
McDonalds - MCD• Nice upside of the MCD in the last weeks.
• It looks like a flag formation beginning April at the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement
• The gap before the flag formation showed a nice support at USD 242.95/244.77
• 50 MA is turning positive and will cross the 200 MA soon if the upside is continuing
• Outbreak of the flag formation was with higher volume which is supportive for the continuation
• Price target at around USD 280
• Let’s see if the price can break through the resistance of the 100 MA and the 76.4% Fibonacci Retracement in the next days
# MC/USDT LONG TERM GEM COIN Welcome to this quick MC/USDT analysis.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart.
Hello members, welcome to our MC/USDT daily update.
As we can see in the above mention chart that MC/USDT was trading inside the triangle pattern and broke the upper trend line and bounced right from the yellow MA.
In the current scenario, MC/USDT showing some correction and one again moving down to retest the yellow ma which is working as strong support.
If it comes down then it will be the best area to accumulate or buy this gem on spot to hold for the long term like 2 - 3 months.
If it moves in the right direction then we will be able to see 200% to 250% potential rally on spot.
entry:-$2.15,$2.30
target:-200% to 250%
stop-loss:-$1.90
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Remember:-This is not a piece of financial advice. All investment made by me is under my own risk and I am held responsible for my own profit and losses. So, do your own research before investing in this trade.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you.
MCD to close all 850 locations inside RussiaIf you haven`t sold the forming of the Head and Shoulders bearish Chart Pattern:
Then you should know that McDonald’s owns around 84% of its 847 restaurants in Russia, which accounts for 9% of its total revenues and less than 3% of its operating income globally.
They will continue paying its 62,000 employees in Russia.
Considering the facts above, my buy area is around $212.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.






















