LordWrymouth

LordWrymouth Updated 

One thing appears to be rather obvious: crude's rally has fizzled out: Oil - Bulls Will Be Totally Annihilated And that's bad news for bulls. If crude's rally has fizzled, can natural gas counter rally? Well, natty hasn't done much all year. One of the reasons is probably that the world, which is controlled by the Communist Party, wants to SaVe ThE WoRlD...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Using the SPX as a reference for ease of use, at the beginning of the November rally I asked whether or not manipulation would come after we saw a 5% rally in 3 days just because the U.S. Treasury decided to spam bonds at a lower, but still already highly inflated, rate in Q4 than they did in Q3. SPY - Did We Bottom, Or Is Manipulation Coming? The week...

LordWrymouth Updated 

In previous threads looking at SPY: SPY - Did We Bottom, Or Is Manipulation Coming? Nasdaq Nasdaq Futes - You Wanted a Dip For That 'Santa Rally,' Aye? And ES SPX ES - Welcome To The Fourth Quarter Rodeo We've noted that both the extreme bear and extreme bull cases are dubious. After the five day 8% rally to start the month, we warned that...

LordWrymouth Updated 

The pattern on Bitcoin is really similar to Ethereum, which I outline in a recent call: Ethereum - A Sucker's Rally Before The Bitter Winter The difference between Bitcoin and Ethereum is ETH has more than 50% upside available to hit its similarly-placed goalposts, while BTC is just another ~30%. Fundamentally, the problem for crypto bulls is that the 2021...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Whoever is shorting crypto right now probably has a death wish. And this isn't because there's going to be some new paradigm replacement of the USD or because institutions finally see the value of digital currency BECAUSE BLACKROCK ETF. It's because Bitcoin, Ethereum, and all the other chains are going to zero, because they're in the way of the advent of Central...

LordWrymouth Updated 

The marketing team behind gold and silver are always telling dumb and dead money that they should "hedge" against a "collapsing US Petrodollar" during times of global instability by being long on metals. The trade rarely works out. Gold and silver not only routinely follow the equities markets straight to Hell, but tend to get dumped during the start of new index...

LordWrymouth Updated 

I have recent calls on the SPX SPX ES - Welcome To The Fourth Quarter Rodeo The Nasdaq Nasdaq Futes - You Wanted a Dip For That 'Santa Rally,' Aye? SPY SPY - Did We Bottom, Or Is Manipulation Coming? And Tesla Tesla - Remember, The Ponzi Always Continues Which generally have a bullish-into-year-end thesis accompanying them, but caution...

LordWrymouth Updated 

So, you've realized that Teslas aren't particularly great cars, EVs becoming a worldwide trend is a hoax, and that Elon Musk isn't any kind of very saintly very MAGA saviour of humanity during the end times. And now that price is down a lot, we want to victory lap and short, because the public relations firms that are running the campaign needed to produce...

LordWrymouth Updated 

In my preceeding posts, I'm actually "bullish" on equities in the fourth quarter. SPX ES - Welcome To The Fourth Quarter Rodeo Nasdaq Futes - You Wanted a Dip For That 'Santa Rally,' Aye? And while I think this price action, coming on the back of news that the US Treasury will "only" issue $10 billion more worth of bonds this quarter (compared to like...

LordWrymouth Updated 

In early September, we made what turned out to be a pretty accurate call on crude, predicting that $95~ was the target. CL WTI Crude Oil - Getting In Sync With The Market Makers In July, after analysis, I predicted that the target for crude in the intermediate term is actually a 3-or-4 handle, based on reading the tea leaves of yearly bars. Oil - A New...

LordWrymouth Updated 

The equities markets have spent the last three months liquidating bulls, and then liquidating bears, and then liquidating bulls, because the markets are primarily a scam for big money to sell options and have them expire worthless. No matter what system you use or whose ideas you follow, you're always just guessing, because the computers can take price and do...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Whether you want to look at these markets like an American football game or the National Finals Rodeo/Calgary Stampede bull riding, this final quarter of the year is set up to be quite the fireworks show. The new JP Morgan fund options collar is illustrated on the chart, but let's put it into text: JPM is the seller of 41,000 calls with a strike of 4,515 JPM is...

LordWrymouth Updated 

I write this as I listen to Tchaikovsky's Violin Concerto in D Major on the excellent Shen Yun Zuopin platform. It seemed quite fitting for watching the world burn. When you hear propaganda on English social media on a Saturday night that a group of mercenaries are raiding Moscow to overthrow Putin, you absolutely must take what you are hearing and seeing with an...

LordWrymouth

In a post on Silver from June, I analyse that a run to $33 is on deck: Silver - 33 Moons And An Options Opportunity In the time that has passed, we've had two ~10% bounces that have been sold off. To me, this is a peculiar pattern for a trendline play that leads to new lows in the immediate term future, and represents confirmation that $33 is on...

LordWrymouth

Whether you like it or not, the AI pump, even though it lasted for four months, has come to an end, because "artificial" has never been much of a compliment in the first place. Consider this: Artificial butter is called "margarine" and if you use it in pastries in France you'll go to prison Artificial milk is called "soy drink" and if you drink it then you'll...

LordWrymouth

Docusign has its earnings call tomorrow and is another one of those stocks like Disney, Paypal, and Target that's been low for a long time (I have calls linked below), everyone wants to get long on, but they don't go up. The difference between the other three and Docusign is that Docusign may be undervalued at its $10 billion market cap and has significant tells...

LordWrymouth Updated 

In late July I made a call that oil's actual target in the imminent term is not $100+, but actually a 3 or a 4-handle. Oil - A New Long Leg Down Soon Begins I believe that this long term analysis is still correct. However, price action has shown that the target was finally the daily gap at $85 and was achieved last week. Thus far in some 7 weeks of...

LordWrymouth Updated 

The last ten days of price action produced a retrace of significant magnitude that was very kind to institutional friends who were net long from early June. That is to say, what has transpired since all three indexes took their January of 22 failure pivot levels in early July has been more consistent with an optimal short entry combining with a bull trap,...