LordWrymouth

Tesla - Remember, The Ponzi Always Continues

Long
LordWrymouth Updated   
BATS:TSLA   Tesla
So, you've realized that Teslas aren't particularly great cars, EVs becoming a worldwide trend is a hoax, and that Elon Musk isn't any kind of very saintly very MAGA saviour of humanity during the end times.

And now that price is down a lot, we want to victory lap and short, because the public relations firms that are running the campaign needed to produce liquidity for banks and big money funds to buy told you to.

The problem with the short Tesla thesis right now is that Musk pledged a significant volume of his shares as collateral to get big money to finance his acquisition of Tweeter, (now known as Xeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeter), which by some accounts is worth some painful $15 billion compared to the $45 billion he (they) paid for it.

And so what this means is that there's been significant incentive to sell in the $250 range and buy back lower as a form of risk hedging, with the ultimate purpose of selling higher.

All for the sake of just making all the money without losing any of the money when Xeeeeeeter inevitably goes public in the future because Musk made it the manifest Western form of the Chinese Communist Party's social credit apparatus, WeChat, because Shanghai Gigafactory bro just loves the way the Party does things.

But the risk for bulls, and the economic system alike, is that "the best laid plans of mice and men oft go awry," which is to say that when it comes to gambling on Xi Jinping and his Chinese Communist Party, a fool is a fool.

One should oppose the CCP because it's responsible for the 24-year persecution against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners, and the campaign of live organ harvesting genocide that came with it.

Although that campaign was launched, and continued, at the hands of former Chairman Jiang Zemin, and Jiang is dead now, Xi is still the head of the Party, and the first thing you do when slaying a red dragon is sever its head.

Actually, the first thing you do when slaying a red dragon is sever its tail. Former Premier Li Keqiang, who was Xi's right hand man for a lot of years, recently died "of a heart attack," which is likely code for "was knocked down by Wuhan Pneumonia."

If the pandemic in Mainland China is killing the Xi Faction, the world has big time problems.

And it seems to me the recent conflict in Israel and the war that's being launched into Syria and Iran is probably to create a gateway to Mainland China, since Iran connects to Pakistan and Afghanistan, which are already U.S. controlled.

Everyone wants control of China and its 5,000 year history when the CCP finally falls.

So back to Tesla.

The logic is fairly simple.

Because 2023 started uppy, we expect 2023 to finish uppy. We do not expect things that start the beginning of the year on a moon mission to correct into the end of the year, because generally speaking the scam isn't played like that.

Which means that all dips are a dip to buy, and especially when we're finally printing prices under "$200," it's a dip to buy.

But the MMs are the most annoying of the most annoying people and like to run things to lows that are less comfortable. Shipping under $180 from $197 is a further loss of another 10%+, which means options expire worthless/devalue effectively, and everyone is a winner, winner, chicken dinner, except for you, who gets to finance happy hour, strippers, and cocaine at 1:31 p.m. on Halloween Tuesday.

Either way, it's worth expecting the May pivot to hold as a low, a higher low to form, and then we really do see the $320 parade into the end of 2023.

Ho, ho, ho, Happy Santa Rally.

Remember, the Ponzi always continues. By the time the ponzi stops continuing, all the bears will have long since been liquidated. The disaster sequence is when they take down bulltards who buy the dip, buy the dip, and buy the dip as it races towards zero.

And Tesla doesn't have that MULN-style landslide apocalypse pattern. That only happens when big bags are empty and nobody ever buys something again.

So all the price action is just shareholder printer selling.

Yet.
Comment:
$197 does happen to fill a weekly microgap, and it's the end of the month, and it's less likely that if there's a SaNtA RaLlY in equities that the November bar opens lower than the October bar and then does the bullish engulfing thing.

Comment:
When a market pattern is bearish, bounces that stall out are generally not indicative of more uppy.


But the MMs also love to grind sideways to make your options expire worthless.

So there's always that, at least.

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