Gold Pulls Back Within UptrendGold pushed higher to the upper side of the triangle this month, and then also broke above the 3450 area, above both waves D and B swing points. This suggests the contracting range since May is finished and we are now in a new bullish phase, likely the fifth wave on the higher time frame chart. We see metal now in the third subwave of this fifth wave, extending now to 261.8% Fib target. So gold is clearly in an uptrend as long as we trade above 3400, but keep in mind that this higher-degree fifth wave could complete the bull run from the 2023 lows within the next few weeks. But we are not in that final stage yet, looks like more upside after intraday sub wave four pullback., First support is at 3579-3600. So after some slow-down, gold is expected to stay up.
Metal
Silver Unfolds A New Impulse Within 5th WaveSilver is moving higher as expected, pushing even beyond 39, but since the market also broke to new highs, it’s clear that higher degree wave four is finished as a flat correction back at 36.20, so be aware of even further continuation higher into wave five while makret trades above 39. We need five subwaves now in this blue wave 5 cycle, so more gains can follow after some intraday setbacks. But keep in mind that we are in the final leg of the higher-degree fifth wave impulse that could come to an end around 42/43 this year.
Insider: ASA Gold and Precious Metals LimitedNYSE:ASA #ASA — ASA Gold and Precious Metals Ltd | Financial | Closed-End Fund - Equity | USA | NYSE | August 25, 2025.
Insider Purchase and Company Overview
Recent insider filings for ASA Gold and Precious Metals Limited (NYSE: ASA), a closed-end investment fund focused on companies engaged in the exploration, mining, or processing of gold and other precious metals, reveal aggressive accumulation by major shareholder Saba Capital Management, L.P. As a 10% owner, Saba executed two notable purchases in late August 2025: on August 21, 2025, acquiring 6,710 shares at $35.05 per share for a total value of $231,380, and on August 22, 2025, adding 4,632 shares at $35.97 per share for $166,181.
These transactions, disclosed via SEC Form 4 on August 25, 2025, boosted Saba's total holdings to 4,077,634 shares, representing a significant stake in the fund. This activity is part of a broader pattern of buying by Saba throughout August 2025, including larger acquisitions such as 9,943 shares on August 19 at $33.99, 18,310 shares on August 15 at $34.24, 8,310 shares on August 14 at $33.89, 1,836 shares on August 13 at $35.11, 354,169 shares on August 12 at $35.39, and a substantial buy on August 11 valued at approximately $11.4 million at $35.00 per share.
Saba Capital, led by activist investor Boaz Weinstein, has been increasing its position amid an ongoing proxy battle and governance disputes with ASA's board, signaling strong conviction in the fund's undervaluation relative to its net asset value (NAV) and the bullish outlook for precious metals. No other significant insider purchases from executives or directors were reported in August 2025, but institutional interest is evident, with Sprott Inc. maintaining a $8.45 million stake as of recent filings.
➖ www.nasdaq.com
➖ www.marketbeat.com
News Analysis
August 2025 news for ASA has been dominated by governance changes and activist developments. On August 22, 2025, the company announced the resignation of directors William Donovan and Mary Joan Hoene, alongside the appointment of Karen Caldwell to the board—a move that may reflect ongoing pressure from Saba Capital to refresh leadership and address the fund's persistent discount to NAV (historically trading at 10-20% below its underlying assets).
Earlier in the month, ASA filed an 8-K on August 7, 2025, likely related to operational updates, and released its August Gold Chart Book on August 1, highlighting positive trends in gold mining equities amid rising metal prices. Saba's activism, which includes a dropped lawsuit in July 2025 over expired anti-takeover measures (poison pills) and ongoing proxy proposals to expand the board, underscores their push for value unlocking, such as potential conversions or mergers.
No other major insiders or traders reported buys in August, but Saba's consistent accumulation (totaling over $20 million in value across the month) positions them as the dominant force, with holdings now exceeding 4 million shares. This activist involvement could catalyze premium narrowing or strategic actions, boosting shareholder value.
Charts:
• (1D)
• (3D)
SEC From 4:
www.sec.gov
Forecast:
Replicating Saba's recent buys at an average entry of ~$35.50 (blending the August 21-22 transactions), the setup offers solid upside potential in a precious metals bull market, supported by technical strength and activist catalysts. I estimate a 15-30% growth potential over the next 3-6 months, assuming gold prices remain elevated above $3,364/oz and Saba's activism yields positive outcomes like board expansions or discount-narrowing measures.
Entry Price: $35.50. (current/insider level).
Recommended Exit Targets:
➖ Conservative Target 1: $40.00 (13% profit, +$4.50/share)
➖ Moderate Target 2: $42.00 (18% profit, +$6.50/share)
➖ Aggressive Target 3: $45.00 (27% profit, +$9.50/share)
Stop-Loss: $32.00 (10% downside risk, -$3.50/share) – Below 20-day SMA to guard against pullbacks.
Overall Potential: 15-30% growth, with a risk-reward ratio of ~1:2 at the moderate target.
Risks include gold price volatility, failed activism (e.g., prolonged proxy fights), or broader market corrections in commodities. Position sizing should be 1-3% of portfolio given the fund's sensitivity to metal prices.
Is Gold Losing Its Luster or Preparing to Shine Again?XAUUSD has been respecting a broad ascending channel for months, with clear touches on both resistance and support levels. Recently, however, price slipped into a smaller bearish channel inside the larger structure.
📉 The short-term bias remains bearish as long as price trades within the red channel.
📊 Key support lies near the $3,280 zone — a critical level where bulls might attempt to step in.
💡 A breakout from the bearish channel could open the way for another retest of the upper resistance zone, while failure to hold support may trigger deeper corrections.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$XAUUSD Mark-Up XAUUSD LTF Analysis - Aug 19
Analysis Notes:
On the 4H timeframe, the price has entered a ranging structure and is currently within the 4H IFC.
My expectation is that after the IFC is consumed, the price will move towards the weak high and the liquidity levels.
You can look for entry confirmations on lower timeframes.
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GOLD | XAU/GC - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context:
Gold is currently trading within an accumulation zone as the market begins to price in a potential 0.25% rate cut by the Fed.
This macro expectation is supporting the broader bullish bias in the commodities market.
🧾 Weekly Recap:
• Price broke below the HTF bullish trendline — a key sign of weakness and potential structural shift.
• However, a sharp drop in the DXY (US Dollar Index) provided a bullish tailwind for gold, resulting in a mid-week bounce.
• This mixed action sets the stage for two potential outcomes next week.
📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan:
I’m preparing for two possible scenarios:
1️⃣ Bearish Scenario (Red Path):
→ Price retests the broken trendline and rejects it
→ Continuation to the downside
→ Play: Short setup
2️⃣ Bullish Scenario (Green Path):
→ Price reclaims the broken trendline and closes above it
→ Continuation higher toward next resistance
→ Play: Long setup
🎯 Setup Trigger:
I will wait for a clear break of structure (BOS) on the 1H–4H timeframe to confirm directional bias.
📋 Trade Management:
• Stoploss: Below the demand zone (for longs) or above supply (for shorts) on the 1H–4H chart
• Target:
→ Bullish: $3,536
→ Bearish: $3,305
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More updates, setups, and educational posts coming soon — stay tuned!
Silver approaching key resistance barrierLooking at MARKETSCOM:SILVER , we can see that the price action is approaching the highest point of June. If that gets cleared, the next target might be the highest point of 2012. Let's dig in.
TVC:SILVER
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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GOLD - Third Wave Next!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After breaking above the $3,330 structure, GOLD's momentum shifted to bullish again from a short-term perspective.
Moreover, the $3,310 is a strong demand as Gold made an explosive movement from it.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support, demand and red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #XAUUSD retests the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold - Correction Phase Extended!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per our latest Gold analysis, price rejected the $3,100 – $3,150 support zone and traded higher.
However, Gold is still in a correction phase, moving within a falling red channel.
This week, it has been rejecting the upper bound of the channel, reinforcing bearish pressure.
⛔ As long as the upper red trendline holds, the bears remain in control.
✅ For momentum to shift back in favor of the bulls, a clear break above the upper red trendline is needed.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Completes A Correction Within Bullish TrendGold made another sharp leg to the upside in first half of April, even showed some accelerating price action away from the 3,000 level. This suggests it might have been part of wave three when looking at the Daily and 4-hour time frame, so there can be more upside within a much more extended impulse structure. Possibly already now after blue wave four consolidation shows first signs of a bottom near 3120. Notice that pullback from recent high is in three legs, while price recovered out of wave (C) channel, so looks like new recovery is in the cards.
GOLD - Trio Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel.
📚 As Gold approaches the $3,100 - $3,150 support zone, I will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes as it is the intersection of three rejections:
1- The lower bound of the falling red channel
2- The lower bound of the rising orange wedge
3- $3,100 - $3,150 support zone
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold - Follow The Macro Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 GOLD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising wedge pattern in orange.
After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD signaled the start of the correction phase as marked by the red falling channel.
Moreover, the $3,100 - $3,150 zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #XAUUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Silver Finds Its Footing—Are the Bulls Back? (Elliott Waves)Silver rebounded quite aggressively in April, following Trump’s decision to impose a 90-day tariff pause. At the time, there was still a lot of uncertainty, so many investors turned to metals as a safe haven—particularly during periods of trade tensions.
More importantly, we can see silver forming five waves up from the 28.34 low. In Elliott Wave terms, when we see a strong directional move that can be counted in five waves, it often represents the beginning of a new trend. That means the current pause is likely just a correction, and more upside should follow.
The 31.00–31.50 area is a very interesting support zone for silver—an area from which we could see a rebound, possibly after a completed A-B-C setback from the 33.70 region.
Gold remains bullish. But....Last week gold was very volitile. with big movements up to 700pips. During market closure gold got big pricegaps. Be carefull trading this volitile market.
Notice the longterm uptrend in the daily and weekly time frame. If we break it down to H2 we got a clear head and shoulder pattern. It will only be valid if gold manage to break the neckline of this pattern and break below the H2 FVG/support located around 3246 up to 3256. Confirmed break will send gold lower. If gold manage to break above the resistance trend our first bull target should be 3365 level.
I use Priceaction trading only.
Resistance: 3319, 3343, 3367, 3385
Support: 3294, 3246, 3232
Gold is still Strong; Long-Term!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GOLD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising wedge pattern in orange.
After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD signaled the start of the correction phase.
Moreover, the $3,100 - $3,150 zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #XAUUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
MTL Rebuy Setup – Perfect Entry Ahead! (3D)MTL (Metal DAO) is currently developing within Wave C of a classic diametric pattern, based on Elliott Wave theory. This structure suggests a high-probability corrective phase that typically leads to sudden and sharp movements before a potential reversal.
As of now, MTL has not yet reached the identified green buy zone, but price action is approaching it. This zone has been highlighted by analysts as a major area of interest for a potential rebuy scenario once touched, based on market structure and historical behavior.
Importantly, the setup includes a clearly defined invalidation level. If the price closes a daily candle below this invalidation level, the current wave count would no longer be valid, and traders should reassess the market outlook.
Until this invalidation occurs, the current count remains intact, and market participants may monitor the ongoing price action for potential bullish continuation after Wave C completes.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
GOLD - Eyeing Two Levels!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 XAUUSD remains overall bullish in both the short and medium term, trading within the rising channels marked in orange and green.
🔍 Here are two key levels I'm watching for potential trend-following long setups:
1️⃣$3,000 – A psychological round number that aligns with the lower orange trendline.
2️⃣$2,950 – A support level that intersects with the lower blue trendline.
Let’s see if the bulls hold the line! 🐂✨
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Silver – Lagging but Still Strong!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 SILVER has been bullish, trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in red.
Following the latest aggressive bullish movement, XAGUSD has formed a demand zone, marked in blue.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups, as it represents the intersection of demand, support, and the lower red trendline, which acts as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #XAGUSD approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups, such as a double bottom pattern, a trendline break, and so on.
Additionally, for the bulls to maintain long-term control, a break above $3,500 is needed.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD - $3,000 is a Magnet!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After recording a new all-time high this week, GOLD has been surging in a parabolic manner.
🎯 Next target? The $3,000 round number is lining up perfectly with the upper bound of the rising channel marked in red.
🏹Meanwhile , every bearish correction would be an opportunity to look for trend-following longs, targeting the $3,000 mark.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Index to watch out for next week is Metal Index. The index that did very well this week and which has potential to carry forward the momentum into the next week seems to be the Metal index if it can cross 2 major hurdles at 8941 and 9227. Currently the closing of CNX Metal Index is at 8926.90. In the coming weeks if we get a closing above 8941 and eventually above 9227 the index has a potential to go north wards towards 9453, 9828 or even 10K plus levels if the rally in Nifty and the one we are seeing in the Metal index sustain. Metal index this week gave a closing above Mother line of 50 weeks EMA which is at 8750. RSI of the Metal index has also entered a bullish looking territory. The significance of Mother and Father lines, Parallel Channels, RSI can be learned by reading my past articles or by reading my Book The Happy Candles Way To Wealth Creation which is available on Amazon or can be availed by contacting me. The book is one of the highest rated books on Amazon in it's category. Now if this breakout actually happens in the Metal Index the stocks that composit the metal index will be the beneficiary in general. Some might benefit more some might benefit less and some might not benefit but for index to move upward the stocks composing it have to perform well. To know which stocks will do better than others we will have to look at their individual charts. The stocks which make the metal index are Welspun Corp, Hindalco, Nalco, Hindustan Zinc, Tata Steel, Vedanta, Sail, NMDC, hindustan Copper, Jindal Steel, JSW Steel, Jindal Stainless, Apl Apollo Tubes, Ratnamani Metals, Adani Enterprise. Thus it is obvious some of these stocks have potential to benefit if index does well. Choose wisely after consulting your investment advisor, studying fundamentals and Technicals of each company.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Gold - A Bullish Close Would Be Insane!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) has to close bullish now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just since the end of 2022, Gold rallied about +80% which is simply unbelievable looking at the already significant market cap of the precious metal. However this bullrun does not seem to be over and if Gold confirmes the trendline breakout, another rally of +40% will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD - Still Bullish Indeed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈XAUUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge marked in orange.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong structure and support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GOLD is around the the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
If the blue zone is broken downward, a deeper bearish movement towards the $2,775 demand zone would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.