XAUUSD - Bulls Still Stepping In at Demand… Watching the Retest!Gold remains overall bullish, holding firmly above the major support zone around $4,000–$4,050. This entire red area has been acting as a strong demand zone for weeks, with price bouncing from it multiple times, a clear sign that buyers are defending this level aggressively.
📈XAUUSD is also respecting the rising trendline , forming a clean higher-low structure. As long as Gold remains above both the trendline and the support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. I will be looking for long setups on the next retest of this confluence area.
🏹If buyers step in again, the next move could push toward the previous highs near $4,385. But if price breaks below the support zone and the trendline, the bullish structure would weaken and open the door for a deeper correction.
For now, this zone is the key. Will Gold bounce again… or finally break through support? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Metal
LONG ON GOLD XAU/USDGold has swept sell side liquidity and has given us a choc (change or character) to the upside.
There is tons of buyside liquidity to the upside with huge FVG's (Fair value gaps) and equal highs (double top) that need to be mitigated.
I am buying gold looking to catch over 200-300 points.
That's 2000-3000 pips.
Palladium - The Calm Before the Next Surge!🏹Palladium has been on a strong bullish run , riding within a clean rising channel. After a sharp impulse, price is now cooling off — and this pullback might just be the calm before the next surge.
⚔️The metal is approaching a major intersection zone where the rising trendline meets a strong demand and structure area, a confluence that has previously sparked powerful rallies. As long as this intersection holds, I’ll be watching for bullish confirmations to join the trend.
A healthy correction into this zone could set the stage for the next impulsive wave, with potential upside targets around $1,550 and even $1,700 if momentum kicks in.
In short, Palladium remains overall bullish, and this upcoming retest could be the perfect reload zone before the next big move north.
📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
COPPER - Following Gold?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 COPPER has been overall bullish, trading inside the rising wedge pattern in blue.
At present, COPPER is undergoing a correction phase and it is hovering around the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting a massive support zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #COPPER approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Gold’s Golden Retest?Gold continues to trade within a rising blue channel, maintaining its overall bullish structure.
Currently, price is retesting the intersection between the lower blue trendline and the red structure zone, which has acted as strong support multiple times.
As long as this confluence area holds, I’ll be looking for trend-following longs targeting the upper boundary of the channel.
A break and close below this zone would temporarily pause the bullish momentum and open room for a deeper correction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Silver Is Extending Impulsively Higher; All-Time Highs SoonSilver Is Extending Impulsively Higher, which can push the price into all-time highs from a technical point of view and by Elliott wave model.
Silver is on the rise and has been outperforming gold quite a lot over the last week, and it looks like an extended leg up is still in progress; seems like wave three of an extended impulse, therefore more gains are possible after next three-leg retracement. Based on the 4-hour chart, there is a chance that price goes towards 50usd, but there can be some new pullback first. Ideally red wave (4) could stabilize near 45.86. Only a sharp impulse down closer to 43 level will be an indication that higher degree wave four has started.
Higher Time frame charts show an ongoing bull cycle that is now targeting the high from April 2011, which could be the next major level and a potential area for a new retracement, maybe sometime in 2026.
Analysis techniques – Copper Futures (Dec 2025)Analysis techniques – Copper Futures (Dec 2025)
Date: 03/10/2025 | Timeframe: D1 | Contract Code: HGZ25
1. Trend Overview and Price Structure
December copper rose slightly to 4.9610 USD/lb (+0.14%), sustaining its strong rebound from 4.49 support after a prolonged consolidation in August–September. The price has broken above short-term resistance and is approaching the psychological 5.00 mark. Medium-term structure remains bullish, targeting the key resistance zone of 5.53 – 5.90, a previous cycle high.
2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 5.53 – 5.90 – 6.00
Support: 4.90 – 4.49 – 4.21
3. Detailed Technical Analysis
Short-term trend: Breakout from the 4.49 – 4.70 base favors further upside toward 5.53.
Volume: Rising on the breakout, signaling fresh inflows.
Wave structure: Copper appears in a medium-term recovery wave (wave 3), with theoretical targets around 5.53 – 5.90 before a pullback.
Confirmation signals: Sustained closes above 5.00 would confirm momentum; failure below 4.90 risks a retracement to 4.70 – 4.49.
4. VNC View
Short term: Positive outlook as metals attract flows amid a softer USD.
Medium term: Refined copper supply disruptions in South America and persistent green demand (EVs, renewables) underpin prices.
Risks: Potential demand weakness from China could trigger volatility.
5. Suggested Technical Strategies
Preferred Long Setup:
Entry: 4.95 – 5.00
TP: 5.53 – 5.90
SL: 4.90
Probability: 65%
Counter-trend Short Setup:
Entry: 5.50 – 5.53
TP: 5.20 – 4.95
SL: 5.90
Probability: 40%
6. Corporate Hedging Guidance
Copper importers (Asia, Vietnam): Lock in purchases near 4.90 – 5.00 to mitigate upside risk.
Producers/sellers: Delay sales until prices approach 5.53 – 5.90 resistance for better margins.
GOLD => $4000 The MagnetGold has been pushing higher within its bullish log-chart structure, moving inside two rising channels (red short-term and blue long-term).
The interesting part? The $4000 level is acting like a magnet, and it happens to intersect with the upper bound of both channels. This rare confluence makes $4000 a key level to watch.
As long as the bullish momentum holds, Gold remains on track toward this magnet level. But once there, the reaction will be critical, a clean breakout could open the door for fresh highs, while a rejection may trigger a correction before continuation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Insider: ASA Gold and Precious Metals LimitedNYSE:ASA #ASA — ASA Gold and Precious Metals Ltd | Financial | Closed-End Fund - Equity | USA | NYSE | August 25, 2025.
Insider Purchase and Company Overview
Recent insider filings for ASA Gold and Precious Metals Limited (NYSE: ASA), a closed-end investment fund focused on companies engaged in the exploration, mining, or processing of gold and other precious metals, reveal aggressive accumulation by major shareholder Saba Capital Management, L.P. As a 10% owner, Saba executed two notable purchases in late August 2025: on August 21, 2025, acquiring 6,710 shares at $35.05 per share for a total value of $231,380, and on August 22, 2025, adding 4,632 shares at $35.97 per share for $166,181.
These transactions, disclosed via SEC Form 4 on August 25, 2025, boosted Saba's total holdings to 4,077,634 shares, representing a significant stake in the fund. This activity is part of a broader pattern of buying by Saba throughout August 2025, including larger acquisitions such as 9,943 shares on August 19 at $33.99, 18,310 shares on August 15 at $34.24, 8,310 shares on August 14 at $33.89, 1,836 shares on August 13 at $35.11, 354,169 shares on August 12 at $35.39, and a substantial buy on August 11 valued at approximately $11.4 million at $35.00 per share.
Saba Capital, led by activist investor Boaz Weinstein, has been increasing its position amid an ongoing proxy battle and governance disputes with ASA's board, signaling strong conviction in the fund's undervaluation relative to its net asset value (NAV) and the bullish outlook for precious metals. No other significant insider purchases from executives or directors were reported in August 2025, but institutional interest is evident, with Sprott Inc. maintaining a $8.45 million stake as of recent filings.
➖ www.nasdaq.com
➖ www.marketbeat.com
News Analysis
August 2025 news for ASA has been dominated by governance changes and activist developments. On August 22, 2025, the company announced the resignation of directors William Donovan and Mary Joan Hoene, alongside the appointment of Karen Caldwell to the board—a move that may reflect ongoing pressure from Saba Capital to refresh leadership and address the fund's persistent discount to NAV (historically trading at 10-20% below its underlying assets).
Earlier in the month, ASA filed an 8-K on August 7, 2025, likely related to operational updates, and released its August Gold Chart Book on August 1, highlighting positive trends in gold mining equities amid rising metal prices. Saba's activism, which includes a dropped lawsuit in July 2025 over expired anti-takeover measures (poison pills) and ongoing proxy proposals to expand the board, underscores their push for value unlocking, such as potential conversions or mergers.
No other major insiders or traders reported buys in August, but Saba's consistent accumulation (totaling over $20 million in value across the month) positions them as the dominant force, with holdings now exceeding 4 million shares. This activist involvement could catalyze premium narrowing or strategic actions, boosting shareholder value.
Charts:
• (1D)
• (3D)
SEC From 4:
www.sec.gov
Forecast:
Replicating Saba's recent buys at an average entry of ~$35.50 (blending the August 21-22 transactions), the setup offers solid upside potential in a precious metals bull market, supported by technical strength and activist catalysts. I estimate a 15-30% growth potential over the next 3-6 months, assuming gold prices remain elevated above $3,364/oz and Saba's activism yields positive outcomes like board expansions or discount-narrowing measures.
Entry Price: $35.50. (current/insider level).
Recommended Exit Targets:
➖ Conservative Target 1: $40.00 (13% profit, +$4.50/share)
➖ Moderate Target 2: $42.00 (18% profit, +$6.50/share)
➖ Aggressive Target 3: $45.00 (27% profit, +$9.50/share)
Stop-Loss: $32.00 (10% downside risk, -$3.50/share) – Below 20-day SMA to guard against pullbacks.
Overall Potential: 15-30% growth, with a risk-reward ratio of ~1:2 at the moderate target.
Risks include gold price volatility, failed activism (e.g., prolonged proxy fights), or broader market corrections in commodities. Position sizing should be 1-3% of portfolio given the fund's sensitivity to metal prices.
Gold Pulls Back Within UptrendGold pushed higher to the upper side of the triangle this month, and then also broke above the 3450 area, above both waves D and B swing points. This suggests the contracting range since May is finished and we are now in a new bullish phase, likely the fifth wave on the higher time frame chart. We see metal now in the third subwave of this fifth wave, extending now to 261.8% Fib target. So gold is clearly in an uptrend as long as we trade above 3400, but keep in mind that this higher-degree fifth wave could complete the bull run from the 2023 lows within the next few weeks. But we are not in that final stage yet, looks like more upside after intraday sub wave four pullback., First support is at 3579-3600. So after some slow-down, gold is expected to stay up.
Silver Unfolds A New Impulse Within 5th WaveSilver is moving higher as expected, pushing even beyond 39, but since the market also broke to new highs, it’s clear that higher degree wave four is finished as a flat correction back at 36.20, so be aware of even further continuation higher into wave five while makret trades above 39. We need five subwaves now in this blue wave 5 cycle, so more gains can follow after some intraday setbacks. But keep in mind that we are in the final leg of the higher-degree fifth wave impulse that could come to an end around 42/43 this year.
Is Gold Losing Its Luster or Preparing to Shine Again?XAUUSD has been respecting a broad ascending channel for months, with clear touches on both resistance and support levels. Recently, however, price slipped into a smaller bearish channel inside the larger structure.
📉 The short-term bias remains bearish as long as price trades within the red channel.
📊 Key support lies near the $3,280 zone — a critical level where bulls might attempt to step in.
💡 A breakout from the bearish channel could open the way for another retest of the upper resistance zone, while failure to hold support may trigger deeper corrections.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$XAUUSD Mark-Up XAUUSD LTF Analysis - Aug 19
Analysis Notes:
On the 4H timeframe, the price has entered a ranging structure and is currently within the 4H IFC.
My expectation is that after the IFC is consumed, the price will move towards the weak high and the liquidity levels.
You can look for entry confirmations on lower timeframes.
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GOLD | XAU/GC - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context:
Gold is currently trading within an accumulation zone as the market begins to price in a potential 0.25% rate cut by the Fed.
This macro expectation is supporting the broader bullish bias in the commodities market.
🧾 Weekly Recap:
• Price broke below the HTF bullish trendline — a key sign of weakness and potential structural shift.
• However, a sharp drop in the DXY (US Dollar Index) provided a bullish tailwind for gold, resulting in a mid-week bounce.
• This mixed action sets the stage for two potential outcomes next week.
📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan:
I’m preparing for two possible scenarios:
1️⃣ Bearish Scenario (Red Path):
→ Price retests the broken trendline and rejects it
→ Continuation to the downside
→ Play: Short setup
2️⃣ Bullish Scenario (Green Path):
→ Price reclaims the broken trendline and closes above it
→ Continuation higher toward next resistance
→ Play: Long setup
🎯 Setup Trigger:
I will wait for a clear break of structure (BOS) on the 1H–4H timeframe to confirm directional bias.
📋 Trade Management:
• Stoploss: Below the demand zone (for longs) or above supply (for shorts) on the 1H–4H chart
• Target:
→ Bullish: $3,536
→ Bearish: $3,305
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More updates, setups, and educational posts coming soon — stay tuned!
Silver approaching key resistance barrierLooking at MARKETSCOM:SILVER , we can see that the price action is approaching the highest point of June. If that gets cleared, the next target might be the highest point of 2012. Let's dig in.
TVC:SILVER
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GOLD - Third Wave Next!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After breaking above the $3,330 structure, GOLD's momentum shifted to bullish again from a short-term perspective.
Moreover, the $3,310 is a strong demand as Gold made an explosive movement from it.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support, demand and red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #XAUUSD retests the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold - Correction Phase Extended!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per our latest Gold analysis, price rejected the $3,100 – $3,150 support zone and traded higher.
However, Gold is still in a correction phase, moving within a falling red channel.
This week, it has been rejecting the upper bound of the channel, reinforcing bearish pressure.
⛔ As long as the upper red trendline holds, the bears remain in control.
✅ For momentum to shift back in favor of the bulls, a clear break above the upper red trendline is needed.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Completes A Correction Within Bullish TrendGold made another sharp leg to the upside in first half of April, even showed some accelerating price action away from the 3,000 level. This suggests it might have been part of wave three when looking at the Daily and 4-hour time frame, so there can be more upside within a much more extended impulse structure. Possibly already now after blue wave four consolidation shows first signs of a bottom near 3120. Notice that pullback from recent high is in three legs, while price recovered out of wave (C) channel, so looks like new recovery is in the cards.
GOLD - Trio Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel.
📚 As Gold approaches the $3,100 - $3,150 support zone, I will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes as it is the intersection of three rejections:
1- The lower bound of the falling red channel
2- The lower bound of the rising orange wedge
3- $3,100 - $3,150 support zone
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold - Follow The Macro Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 GOLD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising wedge pattern in orange.
After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD signaled the start of the correction phase as marked by the red falling channel.
Moreover, the $3,100 - $3,150 zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #XAUUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Silver Finds Its Footing—Are the Bulls Back? (Elliott Waves)Silver rebounded quite aggressively in April, following Trump’s decision to impose a 90-day tariff pause. At the time, there was still a lot of uncertainty, so many investors turned to metals as a safe haven—particularly during periods of trade tensions.
More importantly, we can see silver forming five waves up from the 28.34 low. In Elliott Wave terms, when we see a strong directional move that can be counted in five waves, it often represents the beginning of a new trend. That means the current pause is likely just a correction, and more upside should follow.
The 31.00–31.50 area is a very interesting support zone for silver—an area from which we could see a rebound, possibly after a completed A-B-C setback from the 33.70 region.
Gold remains bullish. But....Last week gold was very volitile. with big movements up to 700pips. During market closure gold got big pricegaps. Be carefull trading this volitile market.
Notice the longterm uptrend in the daily and weekly time frame. If we break it down to H2 we got a clear head and shoulder pattern. It will only be valid if gold manage to break the neckline of this pattern and break below the H2 FVG/support located around 3246 up to 3256. Confirmed break will send gold lower. If gold manage to break above the resistance trend our first bull target should be 3365 level.
I use Priceaction trading only.
Resistance: 3319, 3343, 3367, 3385
Support: 3294, 3246, 3232






















