Xauusd🔍 Current Situation (Oct 29, 2025, 09:00)
H4 and H2 remain in a bearish structural trend (BOS to the downside, forming lower lows).
However, M15–H1 are currently in a corrective upward impulse, which hasn’t been broken yet.
This means it’s too early to open new short positions — the market is likely moving higher to collect new liquidity before turning back down.
Metals
Gold Bullish Butterfly Forming – Reversal Ahead?As I expected in the previous idea , Gold started declining from the Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,137) and has now reached the Support zone($4,004 – $3,895) — full target achieved .
At the moment, Gold is moving within that Support zone($4,004 – $3,895) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Looking at the 1-hour time frame , we can spot a Bullish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern forming, which is likely to complete right in that PRZ .
I expect that in the coming hours, once Gold enters the PRZ , it could rise at least up to around $4,057(First Target) .
Second Target: $4,132
Stop Loss(SL): $3,889(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GOLD | Rebounds Above $4,000 Ahead of Fed DecisionGOLD – MARKET OVERVIEW | Rebounds Above $4,000 Ahead of Fed Decision 🪙
Gold futures climbed back above $4,000, rebounding in early trade ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later today.
The metal gained around 1%, supported by expectations that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points, a move that typically boosts demand for non-yielding assets like gold.
Markets have already priced in the rate cut, leaving investors focused on Chair Powell’s comments for clues on whether another cut could follow in December.
Technical Outlook
Gold remains in a bullish momentum as long as the price trades above 4,011, targeting 4,053 initially.
A 1H or 15Min close above 4,053 would confirm further upside toward 4,104.
However, if the price reverses and stabilizes below 3,982, it would shift the bias to bearish, opening the way toward 3,930 → 3,893.
Key Technical Levels
Pivot Zone: 4,011 – 4,016
Resistance: 4,053 · 4,104 · 4,148
Support: 3,982 · 3,930 · 3,893
Outlook:
Gold stays bullish while above 4,011, with potential to extend gains toward 4,104 if the Fed delivers a dovish tone.
But if Powell’s remarks turn unexpectedly hawkish and price stabilizes below 3,982, a deeper pullback toward 3,930–3,893 could follow.
xauusd 3894 or 4060 today?October 29, 2025, XAU/USD has specific price targets. The gold price is currently around $4,018, and traders are focusing on key technical levels and the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
Below is a summary of the key price levels to watch before the market closes today.
Analysis Type Key Resistance Key Support Primary Target Alternative Target
Technical & Scenario-Based $4,005.79 $3,951.68 $4,059.90 - $4,114.01 (if resistance breaks) $3,893.96 (if support breaks)
Bearish Correction - $3,940 $3,870 -
Range-Bound $4,010 $3,860 Movement between $3,860 and $4,010 -
🚨 Key Market Driver Today
The single most important event influencing gold's movement today is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Markets are overwhelmingly expecting a 25-basis-point rate cut, and how the market reacts will depend heavily on the tone (dovish or hawkish) set by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Dovish Signal (Bullish for Gold): If the Fed signals openness to further easing, it could weaken the US Dollar and help push gold above the $4,005 resistance toward the higher targets.
Hawkish Signal (Bearish for Gold): If the Fed suggests this cut is a "one-and-done" move, it could strengthen the Dollar and trigger a sell-off in gold, pushing it down to test the $3,951 support and potentially lower.
💡 A Note for Your Trading
Conflicting Signals Exist: While one technical model suggests a potential rise to $4,010, another maintains a bearish outlook with a target of $3,870, contingent on the price staying below $3,940. This highlights the market's uncertainty ahead of the Fed news.
Trade the Reaction: Many analysts advise waiting for the price to convincingly break through one of the key levels ($4,005 resistance or $3,951 support) before committing to a new trade direction, rather than anticipating the move prematurely.
In summary, for the remainder of today's session, watch the $4,005 resistance and $3,951 support levels. The Fed's announcement will likely determine whether the price moves towards $4,060 or falls back to $3,894.
Gold’s New Game — Higher Highs Again!In my view, gold has completed its correction from the previous rally and is now preparing to renew its all-time high.
On the chart, I’ve marked a 5-wave structure, which I believe represents the first wave of a much larger 5-wave sequence.
This suggests we could see gold far above $4600.
Honestly, I can’t even imagine how high it could go — or what might drive that kind of move.
It’s insane.
XAUUSD Short: Selling the Bounce Within the Descending ChannelHello, traders! The price action for Gold (XAUUSD) has been dominated by a bearish structure since the breakout below the ascending channel and rejection from the SUPPLY ZONE 2 near 4250. This move initiated a clear downtrend, forming a descending channel that has guided the market lower through a sequence of impulsive declines and short corrective rebounds.
Currently, the price is testing the Demand Line of this descending channel, located just above the Demand Zone around 3867. This zone represents a key area of potential buying interest that previously acted as a reaction point during earlier phases of the uptrend. In my view, the market is now entering a critical stage. A temporary corrective rally towards the upper boundary of the channel (near the Supply Zone 1 at 3950–4100) is likely before sellers may step in again to resume the broader downtrend.
My scenario anticipates that this corrective bounce will be limited, with sellers defending the Supply Zone 1, leading to another move downward toward the Demand Zone and potentially lower levels. A confirmed reversal signal in this area, however, could offer a long opportunity for a larger bullish impulse later on. Manage your risk!
GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,027.15
Target Level: 3,890.12
Stop Loss: 4,118.76
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 29Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily chart resistance: 4090, support: 3840.
4-hour chart resistance: 4050, support: 3950.
1-hour chart resistance: 4050, support: 3980.
Today, the European session saw an accelerated rebound, breaking through $4000. The focus is on whether it can hold. If the price can stabilize above $4000 after the Fed's rate cut and Powell's speech, it will inevitably attract previous buying interest, solidifying the long-term upward trend. Conversely, if the price falls below $4000, it can be basically determined that a short-term top has formed. At that time, greater selling pressure will continue to amplify the decline until market risk sentiment shifts.
Based on the 1-hour chart, the price faces resistance around 4050, and the battle around the 4000 level remains crucial. Support is seen around 3980.
Trading Plan:
SELL: 4050 near
BUY: 3980 near
BUY: 3955 near
If you choose to trade, please avoid times when news releases occur.
XAU/USD – Gold Faces Key RejectionXAU/USD – Gold Faces Key Rejection Zone Near 4,050 Ahead of Month-End
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are attempting a short-term rebound from the 3,900 support area after an extended bearish leg last week. However, the recovery momentum is now testing a critical resistance zone around 4,020–4,050, which previously acted as a major breakdown point.
From a technical standpoint, the overall structure remains bearish as long as price stays below 4,050. The recent move appears to be a retracement toward the 38.2% Fibonacci zone, aligning with the EMA dynamic resistance and prior supply area. A clear rejection from this region could trigger renewed selling pressure toward 3,908–3,880, while a confirmed breakout above 4,050 would open the door for a corrective push toward 4,180 and 4,390.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4,050 / 4,180 / 4,390
Support: 3,908 / 3,880 / 3,792
Trading Strategy:
Scenario 1 (Bearish bias): Watch for bearish reversal signals at 4,020–4,050. A rejection candle or RSI divergence could validate short entries toward 3,908.
Scenario 2 (Bullish breakout): If gold closes firmly above 4,050 on H1–H4 timeframe, short-term buyers may target 4,180 before reassessing momentum.
Overall, sellers still hold control unless bulls reclaim 4,050 convincingly. Traders should monitor today’s U.S. data releases and Fed commentary for volatility triggers.
Remember to follow for more daily trading setups and technical insights.
GOLD → The market is testing 4K ahead of the Fed's decision FX:XAUUSD is testing $4,000 ahead of the Fed's decision, partially recovering from a 3.5% drop this week. The fundamental backdrop is mixed, but technically, the signs of a bull market are positive.
Key factors : Fed decision (today): A 25 bps rate cut is expected, but the main focus is on the vote count and Powell's comments.
A dovish scenario (emphasis on risks to the labor market) will support gold. A hawkish surprise will reinforce the correction. Trump-Xi meeting (tomorrow): Statements about lowering tariffs weaken demand for defensive assets.
Gold is in limbo; in the second half of the European session and the beginning of the US session, the market may enter a phase of stagnation. Growth is only likely if the Fed takes a soft tone, while progress in trade negotiations or a hawkish surprise from the Fed will prolong the correction.
Resistance levels: 4015, 4050, 4085
Support levels: 3975, 3945, 3900
If the bulls can hold their ground above 4K, we will see strong support, in which case growth to 4050-4100 may be triggered. Otherwise, the market may form a correction to 3975-3945. It is worth keeping an eye on comments from Powell and Trump... Volatility will be high...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD | Daily Analysis #1 - 29 October 2025Hello and welcome back to DP
Today we’re excited to launch our Gold daily analysis series. We hope this new addition provides useful and practical insights for your trading decisions. Please support us with your follows and reactions — it really helps us grow!
Market Review:
After a strong bullish run over the past 2–3 weeks, gold finally started to correct from October 20, 2025, continuing its decline up until yesterday.
On the daily timeframe, we’ve identified:
• Support: 3,897
• Resistance: 4,155
Today’s trading session is particularly important as the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is due.
According to CME FedWatch, there’s about a 95% probability that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points.
Until the announcement, we may see choppy and sideways movement, but once the decision is released, expect a surge in volume and sharp “kangaroo” moves in both directions as traders react to the news.
1H–4H Technical Analysis:
As seen on the chart, 3,897 and 4,155 remain our key daily support and resistance zones.
• If price breaks above 4,012 and confirms the breakout, gold may extend higher toward 4,083 as the first upside target.
• On the other hand, if price drops below 3,974, it may continue falling toward the 3,897 support zone.
With the Fed’s rate decision approaching, expect increased volatility.
Whichever direction price confirms after the announcement could set the tone for gold’s next major move.
Trade cautiously, keep your stop-loss tight, and avoid chasing price during the initial volatility spike.
Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM
Amir D.Kohn
Gold Side Trade IdeaOur main trade is ongoing with our stoploss level taken down to prevent any risk of loss while keeping our TP level unchanged.
With that in mind and the positive news from AI sector and possibility of fentanyl tariffs written off for China, gold's upward correction might come to a quick end. A wedge formation formed close to 4000 also supports the downward case. Entry: 3987 Stop: 4013 TP: 3914
Note: This is a side trade idea and indipendent from our main trade.
Focus on the Federal Reserve, short once in 4020.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Last night, I gave everyone a trading strategy to short at 3975-3990. It can be said that there were several opportunities after the Asian session opened. As long as you followed the strategy and executed the short order, I believe you will definitely have a rich return if you seize any of the opportunities.
However, please note that trading is never done blindly. Price trends change over time, so please combine strategies with flexible responses. For example, since the current gold price has broken through the trendline resistance, short-term traders should be more cautious.
With the trend resistance broken, the short-term bulls have strengthened further. The first resistance level to watch is 4000-4005. As a psychological barrier for previous defense, gold prices will definitely test this resistance level first if they want to rise further. If this level is broken, gold will continue its upward trend and further test yesterday's rebound high of 4020. This is also the key level that bears need to defend today. Therefore, I believe we should not rush into trading in the short term. We can patiently observe the market performance. When the gold price rebounds to the 4010-4020 resistance range and encounters resistance, we can consider shorting gold appropriately.
( Gold Protocol ) Bearish Reversal Detected( Gold Protocol ) Bearish Reversal Detected
Bearish Reversal : 3978
Status: Active Reversal Protocol
Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
➕Bias: Bullish & bearish Reversal
☄️ Volume Surge Confirmed — Sellers dominate exhausted highs
☄️ Session Aligned — Smart money exit window open
☄️ Cluster Shield Active — Supply imbalance verified
☄️ Delta Shift Negative — Buyers trapped above
☄️ POC Retest Completed — Liquidity absorbed at resistance
☄️ Structure Break Pending — Bearish bias confirmed
Goal: Controlled with minimal drawdown
Tactical Edge: Reversal Protocol through liquidity engineering
Confidence Level: ★★★★★ (Smart Money Aligned)
Xauusd✅ Current XAU/USD Setup
Setup Type: Bearish continuation (short after pullback)
Entry (Sell Limit): 3958.00
Stop Loss: 3980.00
Take Profit 1: 3910.00
Take Profit 2: 3875.00
Price is currently reacting to a previous supply zone after a clean pullback, showing clear rejection wicks on M15 and M30 timeframes.
Market structure remains bearish — we’ve had consecutive BOS (Break of Structure) to the downside and no CHoCH indicating reversal yet.
Ideal entry is if price retests the 3955–3960 region and shows bearish confirmation (rejection candle or engulfing).
Market context:
Gold continues to trade under pressure below the 4,000 psychological level; sellers remain in control as long as 3980–4000 holds as resistance.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 4219.Colleagues, I am not abandoning the idea that the upward movement is not over yet.
It seems that the correction in wave “4” is very long and I think that it may continue to the support area 3807 and there is an important nuance - it is quite difficult to label all this movement as wave “C”, because it contradicts some rules of wave construction, but there are exceptions and I tend to interpret the downward movement in this way.
There is one more option, which does not contradict the rules and it is a “shortened wave ”5" at 4377, and then (ABC) looks more adequate, but I will not display this option. In both cases, I expect a resumption of the move to at least the 4219 area.
Fundamental context
Against the current macro backdrop, gold remains well-supported: the U.S. dollar is under pressure, and bond yields continue to decline after recent weaker economic data. This environment sustains demand for safe-haven assets.
Short-term pullbacks and profit-taking after record highs appear natural — overall interest in gold stays strong, particularly amid expectations of further Fed policy easing.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
DeGRAM | GOLD seeks to decline📊 Technical Analysis
● Price trends inside a descending channel, posting lower highs after rejections at ~4045; latest pullback broke intraday base and points toward mid-channel.
● Bearish structure with failed bounce at prior support (~3950) keeps momentum down; next magnet sits near 3855 (channel/HTF support confluence).
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Short-term bearish: stronger USD and improved risk appetite recently weighed on gold after the retest of record highs, triggering corrective pressure.
✨ Summary
● Bias: short toward 3950 → 3855, invalidation above 4045. Key levels: 4045 (res), 3950/3855 (supports).
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DAILY TRADING PLAN — GOLD (XAU/USD) | Pullback Buy Zones + Resis🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 29, 2025
Main timeframe: M15 – M30
Strategy: SMC + Trendline + Fibo confluence
🧩 MARKET CONTEXT
Price formed a BOS at 3983, showing short-term bullish intent inside an ascending channel. Current structure supports pullback buys from demand / OB zones before heading to key resistance 4018 → 4085–4102 (Fibo react zone).
🎯 TRADE SETUPS
1️⃣ BUY #1 (Preferred – Retest Trendline / CP)
Entry: 3961
SL: 3955 (6 pts)
TP1: 3983
TP2: 4018
Structure-based retest at 50% trendline + CP zone
2️⃣ BUY #2 (OBS / OB Zone)
Entry: 3934 – 3932
SL: 3928 (6 pts)
TP1: 3983
TP2: 4018
TP3: 4085 – 4102 (extension target)
3️⃣ SELL (Counter-trend only)
Entry: 3992 – 3994
SL: 4000 (6 pts)
TP1: 3934
TP2: 3910
Use only if clear rejection candle from 3990s zone
📈 BIAS
Short-term bullish while above 3930–3910.
Watching 3961 / 3932 zones for buy reactions.
Shorts valid only if strong rejection at 3990s area.






















