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BTC - Mid-Bull Chill ModeA) Market Overview BTC is hanging out in the 92–93k chill zone after doing a classic liquidity wick → emotional damage → immediate recovery move. Trend is still mid-cycle bullish, ETFs are casually stacking sats (+70M+ weekly), open interest is flexing at ~62B, and bull-market peak indicators are sitting at a comfy 0/30. Translation: 👉 No top signals. No sirens. No reason to wear a helmet. ⸻ B) Trade Decision Swing trade available – Long Yes, we’re still buying dips. No, we’re not trying to short the cycle top that doesn’t exist yet. ⸻ C) Setup – “Buy the Dip, Not the Drama” Edition • Direction: Long • Entry zone: 91,500 – 92,500 • Stop-loss: 90,000 – 90,500 (where bad ideas go to die) • Targets: • TP1: 96,000 • TP2: 100,000+ (psychological damage zone) • Holding period: 1–3 weeks (not a scalp, go touch grass 🌿) ⸻ D) Trade Thesis – Why This Isn’t Hopium • Cycle & macro: We’re in a mid-bull expansion phase. Coinglass peak dashboard: 0/30 triggered (historically ~43% when nearing tops). Payrolls/JOLTS consensus is dovish → risk assets get the green light, not the speeding ticket. • Market structure: Clean HTF higher highs & higher lows. The dip under 92k was a liquidity sweep, not a breakdown. 91.5k is behaving like a proper adult support inside an ascending channel. • Derivatives & leverage: OI up +6% to ~62B, funding positive but not euphoric. Big long-liq cluster still chilling below 90k, meaning downside flush potential exists… but upside remains the path of least resistance. • ETF & on-chain flows: ETFs printing +70M+ weekly (FBTC leading the charge), treasuries growing, on-chain profit-taking still low. In other words: institutions are buying, not distributing. • Order book confirmation: Heavy bids around 91.5–92k absorbed the wick like a sponge. No scary ask walls above → buyers are active, not hiding. ⸻ E) Invalidation Conditions – When to Admit You’re Wrong Like an Adult • Structural: Daily / 4H close below 90,500 with volume → channel broken, thesis dead, ego humbled. • Macro-based: Surprise hawkish US data (ADP/JOLTS smashing expectations) or DXY > 106 → risk-off mode, step aside. • Order-book-based: If bids under 91.5k vanish and thick ask walls stack above 92.5k without price progress → buyers tapped out, no dip-buying heroics. ⸻ 🧾 TL;DR BTC dipped, shook out weak hands, and said “we’re fine.” ETFs are buying. Cycle is intact. Structure is clean. This is a buy-the-dip swing, not a top-calling competition.
Long
by minno91
1
ADA – BTC-Driven Upside ScenarioContext: ADA remains largely beta to BTC. Any impulsive move toward BTC 100k—especially on favorable macro—creates a window for sympathetic upside on ADA. This is a conditional trade, fully dependent on BTC follow-through. ⸻ Macro Backdrop • Current macros look constructive, but not confirmed yet • NFP (Friday) is the key volatility catalyst • Outcome-dependent scenario: • Better-than-expected NFP: Risk-on spike → BTC momentum continuation • Hot / disappointing NFP: Risk-off → BTC upside invalidated quickly ➡️ This is a “wait-for-confirmation” macro environment, not front-run blindly. ⸻ BTC → ADA Transmission • BTC pushing 100k = headline momentum + liquidity expansion • ADA historically reacts with: • Delayed impulse • Higher % move than BTC once triggered • No independent ADA catalyst → pure correlation trade ➡️ BTC moves first, ADA follows if liquidity spills. ⸻ ADA Price Action Thesis • ADA currently in compression / reactive mode • No breakout yet → setup, not signal • Trigger conditions: • BTC acceptance above local highs • Volume expansion on BTC spot Without BTC confirmation → no trade ⸻ Execution Framework • 🟡 Pre-NFP: Observe only, no size • 🟢 Post-NFP (Bullish): • BTC impulsive move → look for ADA momentum entry • Target = relative expansion vs BTC (beta play) • 🔴 Post-NFP (Bearish / Mixed): • Thesis cancelled • Stand down, reassess next week ⸻ Risk Notes • This is event-driven, not technical-only • ADA underperforms if: • BTC spikes and instantly fades • Macro creates volatility without direction • Avoid leverage before NFP ⸻ Verdict ADA upside is real—but conditional. If NFP supports risk-on and BTC accelerates toward 100k, ADA likely follows with a lagged expansion move. Until then: patience > prediction.
Long
by minno91
SOL - tiny upward wiggle detected Alright folks, here’s the tea: BTC is still dreaming of that sweet 100K, and I’m not planning any panic moves downward… but hey, the market can be spicy, so don’t quote me. SOL, on the other hand, looks like that snack you didn’t know was in the fridge—juicy and ready to be devoured. 🥤 • Support is chilling right beneath us like a comfy couch. • Quick bounce off the 50 EMA, because SOL apparently likes to stretch in the morning. Could this work? Maybe. Could it go sideways like my motivation on Monday? Also maybe. TL;DR: SOL doing a mini dance, BTC still dreaming big, and we all hold onto hope (and stop-losses). 💃📈
Long
by minno91
BTCUSDT - Upper-Range FadeA) Market Summary BTC is spending the morning hovering around 88.6–88.9k, basically doing cardio without going anywhere. Intraday range so far: 87.5k low → 88.9k high, slightly green day after yesterday’s close near 88k. The vibe? 👉 Post-New-Year indecision. 👉 Everyone waiting for a breakout… 👉 90k still acting like a bouncer with a very strict guest list. Below 87k sits the first “oh no” intraday support. Until one of these breaks, BTC is just ping-ponging inside the box. ⸻ B) Trade Decision ✅ Intraday trade available Yes, we trade boredom too. ⸻ C) Setup – Range Fade Short @ 88.9–89.3k Because when the market refuses to trend, you fade the edges. • Direction: Short (mean-reversion, not a heroic top call) • Entry (limit): 88,900 – 89,300 (aka “just below where Twitter gets bullish”) • Stop-loss: 90,200 (Above short-liq heaven and fake-breakout territory) • Take-profit: • TP1: 88,000 (pay yourself, feel good) • TP2: 87,400 (pay yourself again, feel smarter) • R:R: ~1 : 2.0 – 1 : 2.5 • Time validity: Today only, until end of US session (~22:00 CET) After that → this trade turns into a pumpkin 🎃 ⸻ D) Trade Logic (Why This Isn’t Random Gambling) Macro context • No FOMC. No NFP. No Powell jump-scares. • Post-holiday sentiment is mildly optimistic, but not “send it” bullish. • Translation: price respects levels, not headlines. ⸻ Market structure & liquidity • BTC has been stuck between ~87k support and ~90k resistance for days. • Today’s high at 88.9k sits right under the 90k short-liq danger zone. • Until 87.5k breaks, structure = range, not trend. This setup is simply: 👉 Sell the ceiling, 👉 Buy it back closer to the floor. Not sexy. Just effective. ⸻ Derivatives & positioning • BTC futures open interest dropped ~5% into year-end and is only slowly rebuilding. • This is a post-leverage hangover environment, not a squeeze factory. • Less fuel for a violent breakout → more room for range fades. Bonus: Recent liquidations were not massive, meaning the 90k short-liq cluster is still juicy and untouched. ⸻ Order book – confirmation / warning signs • Aggregated L2/L3 data shows: • Asks stacked above 89k • Real bids waiting lower near 88k → 87.5k That’s textbook fade conditions. ⚠️ Warning: • If a fat bid wall suddenly camps at 89k and absorbs everything → this short idea gets demoted to “nice try”. Right now though, 90k looks more like supply than support. ⸻ E) Invalidation Rules (How Not to Die on a Hill) Price-based • Hard invalidation: • 15M close above 90,200 • Or a fast, impulsive move above 90.5k with volume and no rejection At that point, this is no longer a fade — it’s a breakout audition. You exit. You don’t argue. • If price never reaches 88.9–89.3k → no trade. Do not short the middle of the range like a bored raccoon. ⸻ Time-based • Valid only today. • After 22:00 CET: • Either TP/SL hit • Or close manually and sleep like a responsible adult No overnight “hopium holds”. ⸻ Macro-based • Surprise ETF headlines, regulation bombs, or major hacks? • Instantly changes the game. • In that case: close first, think later. ⸻ Order-book-based • Strong, persistent bid absorption at 88.9–89.3k → skip or exit. • Spoof asks above 89k + fast wick rejection → good fade confirmation. • Clean acceptance above 90k → hands off, no revenge trades
Short
by minno91
2
BTCUSDT – 90k Liquidity FadeA) Market Summary BTC is back in calmer waters around 88–90k after the weekend flush did its job and cleaned out most downside liquidation clusters below 85k. With weak hands already rinsed, price is now naturally gravitating back toward the 90k resistance / liquidity magnet. Derivatives remain large but not euphoric — no fresh parabolic OI expansion. Instead, this looks like continued deleveraging digestion after recent flash-crash episodes, not the start of a new impulsive leg. Translation: the market is tired, not dead. ⸻ B) Trade Decision A slightly aggressive short fade near 90k, only if price taps into the liquidity zone. No chase, no early shorts, no hero trades. ⸻ C) Intraday Setup (Only on 89.8–90.5k Test) • Direction: Short • Entry (limit zone): 89,800 – 90,200 • Stop-loss: Above 91,200 (Above the nearest visible upside liquidity block) Targets: • TP1: 88,300 – 88,800 • TP2: 86,800 – 87,200 • R:R: ~1 : 2.0 – 1 : 2.5 • Time validity: Today’s EU + US session only After 22:00 CET → setup expires ⸻ D) Trade Logic (Why Fading 90k Makes Sense Here) • Macro context: Today’s macro calendar is relatively light — no FOMC, no NFP, no nuclear-grade data. That shifts intraday price action back toward derivatives positioning, ETF flows, and local order flow, rather than macro shocks. • Market structure & liquidity: After the recent flush, BTC is holding above ~85.5k, a key demand / MA zone referenced in prior analyses. Price is now oscillating below 90k, a level that historically struggles to hold closes. This is a textbook range-top environment, ideal for a mean-reversion fade, not blind breakout chasing. • Liquidation dynamics: The 84.5–85.5k downside liquidation cluster has already been fully swept. The next major liquidity magnet sits at 89.8–90.2k, directly above current price — a natural intraday target for stop-hunts before a pullback. • Derivatives & positioning: Open interest remains elevated but is no longer expanding aggressively after Q4 deleveraging. A push into 90k is therefore more likely to overload late longs and trigger a short-term squeeze, which provides fuel for a fade, not confirmation of a new trend leg. • Order book – confirmation / warning: On Binance BTCUSDT, watch for: • Stable sell walls • Absorption of aggressive market buys around 89.8–90.2k That behavior supports the fade thesis. If instead: • Ask walls get pulled • Hidden bids step in aggressively above 89k → this is likely continuation / breakout behavior, not a fade. Step aside. ⸻ E) Invalidation Rules (When the Short Is Wrong) Price-based • The intraday short is invalid if BTC holds a 15M / 1H close above 91,200 and starts printing higher lows above 90k. That means 90k is no longer a liquidity trap — it’s turning into support. Time-based • If 89.8–90.5k is never tested today and BTC stays stuck in the 87–89k mid-range, the setup expires. No auto-carry to tomorrow — heatmaps and OI can change overnight. Macro-based • Any unexpected macro headline (Fed commentary, ETF regulation news, major geopolitical shock) that spikes volatility → pause the plan. In those moments, 90k can flip from fade zone to launchpad. Order-book-based • If, at 90k, large ask walls disappear and the book flips into a strong bid imbalance, the short is invalid. • If already filled and you see persistent aggressive buying absorbing every dip, reduce risk quickly or exit. ⸻ Risk Management Note For this single fade setup, risk is best capped at ~0.5–0.7% of account. That keeps dry powder available in case the US session delivers a cleaner second opportunity. ⸻ Bottom line: 90k is a liquidity magnet, not a guaranteed ceiling — but until proven otherwise, it’s a sell-the-reaction level, not a place to FOMO long. Fade smart. Respect invalidation. Let the market prove you wrong — not your ego.
Short
by minno91
BTCUSDT – Holiday Range Bounce (Low Volume, Lower Expectations)A) Market Summary BTC is trading around 87.2k during the European morning, once again chilling in the 85–90k “gamma prison” after yesterday’s data delivered exactly… nothing. Most global markets are on holiday mode (or running half-days), meaning: • thinner liquidity • more algos • fewer real humans The only US data point today is Initial Jobless Claims at 14:30 CET — not top-tier macro, but in a thin market it can still create ugly wicks. Conclusion: this is a slow, boring, range day — perfect for one clean trade, terrible for overtrading. ⸻ B) Trade Decision ✅ Intraday trade available But only as a low-frequency, holiday mean-reversion setup with reduced risk. No scalping frenzy. One shot. If it doesn’t trigger — fine. ⸻ C) Intraday Setup (BTCUSDT Perps) • Direction: Long • Entry (limit): 85,600 • Stop-loss: 84,900 (Below today’s sweep low + key 5M/15M swing) • Take-profit: 87,800 • R:R: ~3 : 1 Time Rules (holiday discipline): • Limit valid until 14:00 CET • If filled, position must be closed or SL moved to BE by 14:20 CET • No exposure into 14:30 CET Jobless Claims ⸻ D) Trade Logic (Why This Makes Sense on a Boring Day) • Macro context: Holiday trading = lower volume, higher algo participation, and more exaggerated wicks. That favors a single pre-event range trade, not multiple scalps. Jobless Claims are medium-impact, but in thin liquidity they can still spike price hard. • Market structure & liquidity: On 4H / 1H, BTC continues to oscillate cleanly inside the 85–90k range, with repeated failures at 90k and consistent reactions from 85–86k. The 85.6k entry sits slightly below the middle of this support zone — exactly where buyers have already stepped in twice. • Gamma & options context: From recent sessions, 85k acts as a gamma / options support area, reinforcing the idea that quick dips below 86k tend to get pulled back toward 87–88k rather than cascade lower. • Derivatives & positioning: BTC open interest remains elevated, but there have been no major OI shocks in the last 24h. After recent liquidations, leverage is somewhat cleaner — reducing the probability of an immediate waterfall through 85k. • Liquidation dynamics: Liquidation heatmaps show long-liq clusters around 85–86k, with short-liq clusters above 90k. This setup aims to catch a liquidity sweep of weak longs, followed by a move back toward mid-range. • Order book (confirmation only): Before entry, Binance/Bybit should still show layered bids at 85.4–85.8k, with relatively light asks up to 87.5–88k. That structure supports absorption of a market-sell flush and a bounce. ⸻ E) Invalidation Rules (When to Walk Away) Price-based • If a 15M candle closes below 84,900, the idea is invalid. Support failed, gamma defense is gone — respect the stop. • If BTC rallies directly above 88.8–89k without dipping to 85.6k, cancel the limit. Context flips to high-range trading, not a bottom sweep. Time-based • Auto-cancel the limit at 14:00 CET. • If in the trade and price can’t reach 87.2–87.4k by 14:20 CET, close manually. No holding even small PnL through data. Macro-based • Any unexpected Fed / geopolitical headline before 14:30 CET with strong DXY or index movement → don’t enter; if already in, reduce risk immediately (partial or BE). Order-book-based • Do not take the trade if bids disappear near 85.6k and large static ask walls build between 86–87k — that directly contradicts the bounce thesis. • Exit immediately if, after entry, you see aggressive market sells slicing through 85k on thin bids with no absorption. That’s a real breakdown, not a sweep. ⸻ Final Note This is a holiday trade: • low expectations • low frequency • clean execution If it works — great. If it doesn’t trigger — even better. Preserving capital on boring days is a win.
Long
by minno91
NIGHTUSDT – Buying the Dip in a Fresh Listing?Market Context NIGHT is the token of Midnight Network — a privacy-focused L1 connected to the Cardano ecosystem. Translation: serious tech… but still early and volatile. The coin was recently listed on Bybit (spot + Convert + Savings), which brought fresh liquidity and the classic price discovery pump. New listing energy is still in play. On the 4H chart, NIGHT is showing a clean uptrend. We just had a strong impulse move from ~0.085 to ~0.12, and now the plan is simple: 👉 wait for the first real pullback instead of chasing green candles. ⸻ Key Levels (4H + 1H) • Demand zone: 0.085 – 0.09 → Last solid base before the latest leg up • High / TP zone: 0.115 – 0.12 → Current swing high after the listing pump • Limit entry: 0.088 → Right in the middle of the “discount area” • Stop-loss: 0.075 → Where the trend thesis officially breaks ⸻ Trade Plan (aka “Don’t Chase, Let It Come to You”) • Direction: Long • Entry: 0.088 (limit) • Stop-loss: 0.075 • Take-profit: 0.115 – 0.12 • Estimated R:R: ~1 : 2 • Time horizon: 1–3 days • Risk: Max 0.25R (new listing ≠ guaranteed moon) ⸻ Why This Setup Makes Sense • Trend is your friend: Clear 4H uptrend. This is a pullback entry, not a hope trade. • Fresh listing dynamics: Newly listed coins often do pump → pullback → continuation. This setup targets exactly that second phase. • Clean demand zone: The 0.085–0.09 area was a strong base before the last push — a logical place for buyers to step in again. • Risk kept small: Early listings can be wild. Small size keeps emotions under control. ⸻ When to CANCEL the NIGHT Limit Order (Very Important 🌙) • Structure invalidation (too strong): If NIGHT makes a new high well above 0.12 and starts trading in a higher range (e.g. 0.13–0.18) before your limit fills → 0.088 is no longer a discount. Cancel and wait for a new pullback. • Structure invalidation (too weak): If 4H candles start closing below 0.08, the base is broken and the trend thesis is invalid → cancel the limit. • Time invalidation: If 2–3 weeks pass and price builds a completely new structure (new bases, new highs), the old limit becomes irrelevant → cancel and re-evaluate. • BTC / macro ruins the vibe: If BTC flips into a clear downtrend after a macro shock (risk-off), you don’t want to be long a fresh listing hype coin → all NIGHT limits off. • Project-specific risk: Any serious negative news (regulatory issues, exploit, major bug, CEX warning) → cancel immediately, no questions asked. ⸻ Final Thought This is a pro-trend pullback, not a FOMO entry. Let price come to you, size it small, and respect the stop. Fresh listings are fun — just don’t marry them 😄
BYBIT:NIGHTUSDT.PLong
by minno91
2
PIPPINUSDT - Buying the Dip or Catching a Meme?Market Context PIPPIN is an AI / meme coin on Solana, which basically means: • strong narrative ✔️ • high volume ✔️ • zero chill ✔️ Despite the recent drama, PIPPIN is still in a bigger bullish structure, but for now it’s taking a break and chilling inside a 4H range between ~0.30 and 0.46. BTC is doing its classic “bull market correction” thing, dominance is still high, and alt rotation feels delayed, not dead. Translation: alts might wake up later… or after one more fakeout. 😄 PIPPIN fits perfectly as a high-beta, small-size, speculative long — emphasis on small. ⸻ Key Levels (4H + 15M) • Support zone: 0.30 – 0.32 → Where dip buyers usually show up (or pretend to) • Resistance / TP zone: 0.41 – 0.42 → Where people suddenly remember they’re “long-term investors” • Limit entry: 0.315 → Right in the middle of the danger zone • Stop-loss: 0.280 → Where we admit we were wrong and move on with life ⸻ Trade Plan (aka “The Plan”) • Direction: Long • Entry: 0.315 (limit) • Stop-loss: 0.280 • Take-profit: 0.41 – 0.42 • Estimated R:R: ~1 : 2.5 • Time horizon: Intraday to 1–2 days • Risk: Max 0.25R (this is a meme, not a retirement plan) ⸻ Why This Might Actually Work • Range logic: Price is still respecting the range. Buying near the bottom gives us clean invalidation and a decent shot at the top. • Trend context: Higher-timeframe trend is still up. This looks more like a pullback than a funeral. • BTC vibes: BTC isn’t collapsing — just stretching its legs. As long as that continues, memes can still bounce. • Narrative + liquidity: AI + Solana memes = attention. Attention = volume. Volume = tradable. • Risk management: Small size so you can sleep at night even if this goes sideways. ⸻ When to CANCEL This Trade (Very Important 😄) • Structure says “nope”: If 4H / Daily candles start closing below 0.30 before entry → the range is dead, cancel the order. • Time says “too late”: If price moves into a higher range (e.g. 0.38–0.55) and never comes back to 0.32, this level is old news → cancel and reassess. • BTC ruins the party: If BTC breaks key supports (e.g. ~80k) and turns risk-off, you do not want to be long a high-beta meme → cancel instantly. • Project drama: Rug, exploit, insider dump with real proof? No analysis. No debate. Cancel. ⸻ Final Thought This is a range trade, not a prophecy. Size small, respect the stop, and don’t fall in love with a meme. Good luck traders — may your limit fill and your stop stay untouched 😄📉
Long
by minno91
2
BTCUSDT - Pre-Macro Liquidity Grab (In, Out, No Drama)A) Market Summary BTC is trading around 88.5–89k early Tuesday after getting rejected at 90k (again). Price is stuck inside a wide daily range of 84–95k, basically doing cardio but going nowhere. At 14:30 CET, we get the US macro triple boss fight: • GDP (2nd estimate) • Durable Goods Orders • Corporate Profits Translation: wick city. Big candles, fakeouts, chaos. This is not a “hold and pray” day — it’s a quick liquidity trade before the storm. ⸻ B) Trade Decision ✅ Intraday trade available A conservative mean-reversion long from a liquidity pocket below Asia lows, with a hard time stop before 14:30 CET. We take the bounce — we do not marry the position. ⸻ C) Intraday Setup (BTCUSDT Perps – Binance / Bybit) • Direction: Long • Entry (limit): 87,000 • Stop-loss: 85,600 • Take-profit: 89,800 • R:R: ~2 : 1 Time Rules (non-negotiable): • Limit valid until 14:00 CET • If filled, position must be closed or SL moved to BE by 14:20 CET • No exposure into 14:30 CET macro roulette ⸻ D) Trade Logic (Why This Isn’t Random Gambling) • Macro context (the clock matters): Today’s US data regularly causes violent moves in DXY, yields, and BTC. This trade is designed as a pre-event technical play, not a hero trade through news. • Structure & liquidity: BTC is sitting in the middle of a multi-week range (84–95k). 4H / 1H structure shows lower highs below 90k, with a well-defined support zone around 86.5–87.5k — exactly where short-term long stops are hiding. • Derivatives & liquidations: CoinGlass shows BTC futures OI around $58–60B — still elevated, but partially reset. This favors an intraday stop-hunt rather than a full trend shift. Liquidation heatmap highlights long-liq clusters at 86.5–87.5k, while short-liq clusters sit above 92k. • Funding & sentiment: Funding is slightly positive to neutral, sentiment cautious rather than euphoric. That’s ideal for range behavior: flush liquidity → bounce → back to balance. • Order book (confirmation only): Binance & Bybit order books show stacked bids around 86.8–87.3k and solid asks near 89.5–90k. This supports a scenario where a dip into 87k gets absorbed, followed by a push back toward the sell walls. ⸻ E) Invalidation Rules (Read This Before You Click Buy) Price-based • Setup is invalid if a 1H candle closes below 85,500 → Liquidity support failed, risk shifts toward 84k or lower. • Cancel the 87k limit if BTC breaks and holds above 90,500 on 1H → Context flips to breakout, not mean reversion. Time-based • If the 87k limit is not filled by 14:00 CET, cancel it. • If in the trade and price fails to bounce above 88.5k by 14:20 CET, close manually. We do not babysit trades into macro spikes. Macro-based • Any surprise macro headline (Fed comment, geopolitical shock) before 14:30 CET with aggressive DXY/index moves → trade is invalid, reduce or don’t enter. Order-book-based • Before entry: If bid clusters near 87k disappear and large asks stack aggressively above price → do not enter. • After entry: If price taps 87k, order book stays thin, and BTC slices through 86k with volume → respect the SL. No moving stops. No adding. No coping. ⸻ Final Thought This is a “touch the liquidity, grab the bounce, get out” type of trade. We’re trading time + structure, not vibes. Fast in, fast out — and flat before the fireworks 🎆
Long
by minno91
BTCUSDT – Swing Long on the Dip?Market Overview Last week (Dec 15–19) was macro-heavy, with the most important events (US CPI + central banks) already behind us. Today feels more like a cool-down day — lighter data, comments only, no new “market killer” on the calendar. The base macro narrative remains soft landing + cooling inflation, which is generally a friendly environment for risk assets. Bull-market peak indicators on Coinglass are still quiet — none of the major top signals are active. In other words: no historical signs of a cycle top yet. ETF flows remain a big positive. Total cumulative inflows are still massive (~$57–58B), and even though short-term flows are choppy, we continue to see strong dip-buying days (e.g. +$436.9M on Dec 17). Big money hasn’t left the room. On the derivatives side, open interest has been reset without a crash in spot demand. Leverage got cleaned, funding is neutral, and the market looks healthy, not euphoric. TL;DR: BTC is still in a bull market, currently going through a normal correction inside the trend. This is a dip-buying environment, not a “short the cycle” one. ⸻ BTCUSDT – Swing Trade Plan • Direction: Long • Entry zone: $80,500 – $82,000 • Stop-loss: $77,000 – $77,500 • Target 1: $92,000 – $93,000 • Target 2 (optional): $100,000+ • Holding time: 2–6 weeks ⸻ Why This Setup Makes Sense • Cycle context: No bull-market top signals, no extreme sentiment, no valuation excesses. Historically, this is where buying deeper pullbacks works best. • Macro backdrop: CPI and central banks are behind us for now, inflation is cooling, and the soft-landing narrative is intact. That’s usually supportive for BTC, not bearish. • ETF demand: Every meaningful dip keeps getting absorbed by institutional flows. Short-term noise, long-term demand. • Leverage reset: Open interest dropped, funding cooled off — the market is no longer crowded. This reduces downside risk and improves R:R for swing longs. • Structure & levels: The $80.5k–$82k zone aligns with HTF support and offers clean R:R toward the upper range. Stop below $77k protects against a deeper correction without overstaying the trade. ⸻ Invalidation – When This Idea Is Wrong • Trend invalidation: Daily or weekly closes below ~$77k with strong volume + clear shift to risk-off macro (hawkish data, rising DXY) → swing long invalid. • Structure invalidation: If BTC can’t reclaim $90–92k within 4–6 weeks and starts printing lower highs / lower lows on daily, the setup loses momentum. • Macro invalidation: Ahead of new CPI / PCE / FOMC, avoid adding risk. If macro expectations turn clearly hawkish, protecting capital comes first. ⸻ Final note: This is a buy-the-dip swing idea inside a bull market, not a moon bet and not financial advice. Risk management stays king.
Long
by minno91
ETHUSDT - Intraday Long From Range Low?Alright traders, this one is a conservative intraday idea, not a YOLO moon mission. After yesterday’s CPI pre-washout, ETH looks like it still wants to respect the range before doing anything dramatic. I’m not expecting an instant breakdown to 2,700 — more like one more visit to the lower part of the range, and then a bounce. Market Context (Big Picture, No Panic) On the W/D timeframe, ETH is still in a correction inside a broader bull cycle. We’re well above the early-year lows, but also below the last swing high around 3.3k. On-chain + ETF data still look healthy: • increasing treasury / ETF holdings • no signs of cycle euphoria • sentiment is fear, not hype Which usually means: mean-reversion works better than aggressive breakdown bets, unless we’re at extreme levels. Intraday-wise (4H–15M): ETH is chopping in a 2,800–2,900 range. • wicks below 2,800 get bought fast • moves above 2,900 get sold Classic range behavior. ⸻ The Trade Plan (Simple and Boring — the Good Kind) • Direction: ETHUSDT long • Entry (limit): 2,820 • Stop loss: 2,760 (below today’s low and the 2.8k support area) • Take profit: 2,950 (below 1H resistance and the top of the range) Risk is about 60 points, potential reward about 130 points, so roughly R:R = 1:2.2. Not sexy, but very tradable. This setup is valid only until ~14:30 CET. After that, CPI and US data can completely rewrite the structure — and I’d rather be flat than heroic. ⸻ Why This Makes Sense (At Least to Me 😄) • The market is in full “waiting for CPI” mode • Fear dominates sentiment • After a vertical dump, ETH is absorbing sell pressure, not accelerating lower • Rising volume on lower wicks suggests buyers stepping in, not panic continuation A long from 2,820 gives us a clean shot at another reversion leg toward the mid-to-upper range. If price breaks below 2,760, the idea is invalid — that likely opens the door to the 2,700–2,750 liquidity zone, and that’s a different trade, not a reason to hope harder. ⸻ Trade Management Rules (No Negotiation) • Entry only via limit near 2,820 • If ETH runs straight above ~2,890 without a pullback → setup is invalid • If price quickly tags 2,930–2,950 before CPI, take the profit and walk away • No averaging, no forcing, no attachment This is an intraday range play — not a belief system. ⸻ Let’s see if ETH respects the range one more time before macro chaos takes over. Trade safe, manage risk, and let the market do the heavy lifting 📊🚀
Long
by minno91
BTCUSDT - Intraday Long From Demand Zone?Alright traders, here’s a clean intraday idea — no moon talk, no hopium overdose, just logic. BTC is currently chilling in a sideways range between 85k–90k after the recent correction. On-chain and bull-market indicators are still far from anything euphoric, so no signs of a cycle top panic just yet. Also worth noting: Yesterday we saw strong ETF inflows (~457M USD), which fits nicely into the classic “buy the dip, ask questions later” narrative. Now the fun part — liquidity. Coinglass is showing: • long liquidity stacked below around 84–85k • heavy short liquidity above in the 89–92k zone, especially near 92–93k Which gives us the classic scenario: 👉 flush a bit lower 👉 grab liquidity 👉 squeeze higher into the short cluster ⸻ The Plan (Simple and Clean) I’m looking for a long from the demand zone around 85–86k. • Entry (limit): 85,700 • Stop loss: 84,700 (clean break below = likely move toward deeper 82k liquidity) • Target: 89,300 (first liquidity pocket below 90k) That gives us a very decent R:R around 1:3.5+, which is exactly what we want for intraday trades. This is purely a range mean-reversion play inside the 85–90k box, especially ahead of important macro data. ⸻ Important Rules (No Exceptions) • Limit order is valid only until 14:30 CET • If it doesn’t fill before macro → cancel the order • No averaging below 85k • Stop loss is respected, no hero trading This is an intraday idea, not a marriage proposal. ⸻ BTC does BTC things, macros do macro things, and liquidity does what it always does. Let’s see if the market plays the script this time. Trade safe, manage risk, and let the range do the work 📊🚀
Long
by minno91
PIPPIN – Possible Short Move Up?Alright traders, hear me out. PIPPIN had a great run, profits were taken, hands were shaken, and yes… we got the pullback. 😅 But — and there’s always a but in crypto — after taking some liquidity on the downside, we could easily see a small relief rally up. Nothing crazy. Nothing moon-like. Just a short, respectful bounce. This move could happen before tomorrow’s macro, and if it doesn’t… I’ll simply cancel the idea and move on. No drama. 😄 That’s it: • quick idea • quick move • quick decision Let’s see if PIPPIN gives us one more little push. Good luck traders — and manage your risk! 🚀📉
Long
by minno91
2
HYPEUSDT - Probably Gone by the Time You Read This Alright traders, this is one of those setups. Quick scalp… or quick dump… and honestly, it will probably be gone by the time I finish writing this analysis. 😅 But hey — let’s try it anyway. Macro just came out mixed, which usually means range mode activated. And when the market ranges, HYPE loves to do its little chaotic moves inside the box. So yeah: • fast idea • fast execution • zero attachment I don’t even have much time to explain this one properly, because it’s probably already moving as we speak. 😂 Quick analysis, quick decision, quick outcome. Enjoy — and good luck traders! 🚀📉😄
Long
by minno91
SOL - Taking the Baton from SUIAlright traders, quick update from the battlefield. The SUI swing trade finished way faster than I expected — which is nice… but also suspicious. 😅 And now? SOL is stepping in with a very similar setup. Same vibes, same structure, same “this probably shouldn’t go lower” feeling. Today’s move looks like nothing more than a liquidity grab to me. Grab the stops, scare everyone, shake the tree. Tomorrow we’re getting better macro data, and if that lines up, we could easily rotate back into the range. Yes, I’m still counting on a little Santa rally 🎅 and yes, I want to be in the position early. Am I okay risking a few % of my account for it? Absolutely. That’s the price of being early — and sometimes wrong. 😄 Let’s see how SOL decides to behave. Good luck traders — and may Santa not skip crypto this year 🎅📈🚀
Long
by minno91
2
SUI - Catching a Falling KnifeAlright traders, we’re clearly seeing a selloff today… BUT — and this is very scientific — I just don’t feel it. 😄 Somewhere deep inside my trader soul, I still smell a little Santa rally coming for the whole crypto market. Either that… or Trump tweets something weird, and we’re all instantly screwed. 50/50. 🎅💥😂 Now about SUI: Yes, this is technically a falling knife situation. Yes, that sounds scary. But honestly? The probabilities here are not that bad. Why I’m taking it: • liquidity was already taken below • we had a nice upward move a few days back • continuation is still possible • and this whole drop kinda smells like pre-macro manipulation So yeah — this is a swing trade, BUT with a tight stop loss, because I like excitement, not account destruction. 😄 Could this fail? Absolutely. Could it work beautifully? Also yes. That’s crypto. Let’s see how this plays out. Good luck traders — and may the knife stop falling right where we catch it 🔪📈😄
Long
by minno91
ZEC - Decision Time After Liquidity ShenanigansAlright traders, we already did the full liquidity circus — up, down, fake moves, stop hunts… the whole show. 🎪 Now the market actually has to decide a direction. BTC is hanging around 90K, which is a pretty strong resistance, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see another dip from here. And for ZEC? This lines up beautifully with a head & shoulders pattern, which could send us down toward a lower FVG. Will it happen? Maybe. Will crypto troll us instead? Also very possible. 😅 Yes, the chart looks like a complete mess — BUT the important thing is: I know what I’m looking at. 😂 (And honestly, that’s already a win.) So yeah, you could just trust me and short ZEC today… or you could be responsible and manage your risk. Because nothing is certain at this point. Oh — and just to be clear: I’m already in the trade. 😄📉 ⸻ 👉 BTC at resistance 👉 ZEC H&S potential 👉 FVG target below Good luck traders — may the mess make sense today 😄📉🚀
Short
by minno91
1
FARTCOIN - Down After a Liquidity Grab?Alright traders, let’s see what kind of nonsense we’re dealing with today. BTC is still stuck in a range, no fresh macro, no big news, which usually means one thing: perfect conditions for a liquidity grab. And if BTC plays the “grab liquidity first” game, FARTCOIN is more than happy to follow. 😅 The idea here is simple: a little grab, a little fake move, a little “gotcha”… and then continuation to the downside, possibly stretching into tomorrow before new macro steps in. Is this guaranteed? Of course not. This is crypto. BUT… if this plan actually works, the risk-to-reward is spicy — almost 7:1, which is the kind of math we like. 😄 So yeah, just a plan, just an idea, just crypto doing crypto things. ⸻ 👉 Range conditions 👉 Liquidity grab potential 👉 Downside continuation idea Good luck traders — and may the fart fade gracefully this time 💨📉😄
Short
by minno91
BTC - Up After Some Manipulation?Alright traders, let’s talk about today’s NY session drama. We already saw some liquidity taken early in NY, so this setup might work… or might completely ignore us. Classic BTC. 😅 The idea is simple: I’m watching for an entry on the second reaction, which could nicely form a double bottom. If that structure holds, BTC could push up and test the previous day high. From there? Yeah… we can easily rotate back down into the range, because why make things simple on a Friday. 😄 This is one of those: “it could happen” and also “it could absolutely not happen” type of trades. And very important: 👉 If we take the previous day high BEFORE my entry is triggered, this trade is cancelled. No chase, no FOMO. Friday rules apply. Manipulation rules apply. BTC rules apply (unfortunately). ⸻ 👉 Quick NY session trade 👉 Double bottom idea 👉 Friday volatility mode ON Good luck traders — and may BTC choose logic over chaos today 😄📉📈
Long
by minno91
MONUSDT – Probably Not Gonna Happen… But Let’s SeeAlright guys, we’ve got one of those “this will probably never happen” setups forming. You know… the type of trade that looks so good you instantly assume the market will ruin it. 😅 BUT — if it actually triggers… if it actually plays out… the gains would be beautifully stupid. Like, “why does this work only when I least expect it?” levels of gains. Not much more to say here: • tight stop-loss (because we’re not degenerates… allegedly) • limit order ready • expectations low • potential reward ✨high✨ And as always — 👉 if TP gets hit before the limit order fills, this whole idea self-terminates automatically. 💥😂 Trade safe & enjoy the chaos! 🚀📉😄
BYBIT:MONUSDT.PLong
by minno91
3
ZECUSDT – Short Short Short Alright boys, we’re going lower again. Thanksgiving week = low liquidity, sleepy markets, and market makers doing whatever they want because half of Wall Street is already eating turkey. And low liquidity means one thing: random pump… or random dump. In this case, I’m voting for another dump (hopefully 🤞😂). Not much more to say — the structure looks bearish, liquidity sits below, and ZEC loves to take the elevator down. So yeah: • short setup on deck • keep your stops tight • don’t overleverage (unless you hate yourself) • and good luck, legends 😄 👉 Manage your risk correctly — Thanksgiving dumps hit harder than normal ones.
Short
by minno91
COMPUSDT – Up Move?Alright guys, we had a major liquidation party this morning — half the market got slapped, carpets pulled, stop-losses harvested… the usual crypto breakfast. But COMPUSDT? This thing is holding like a champion. Barely flinched. Didn’t panic. Didn’t cry. Just stood there like: “Is that all you got?” What do I expect? A potential Bitcoin bounce today, and if BTC decides to stop being dramatic for 5 minutes, COMPUSDT could easily catch a nice follow-up pump. BUT — (there’s always a ‘but’ in crypto) We never know for sure. Ever. So the only thing 100% guaranteed today is: 👉 Risk management ON POINT. 👉 Keep your capital safe. 👉 Don’t get caught in another round of liquidation Olympics. 😄 Good luck traders, stay safe and may COMP behave better than the rest of the market today! 🚀💜
Long
by minno91
XAUTUSDT – Move Down?? Relief Incoming?Alright guys, today is one of those days where nothing major is happening. No big news, no major catalysts, no sudden chaos (…hopefully 😅). BUT — even without fireworks, XAUTUSDT can still give us a little relief rally in the next days. A small bounce, a tiny pump, a bit of breathing room — you know, the usual “don’t get your hopes too high” type of move. Not much else to say — the market is calm, gold is chilling, and we’re just watching the chart do its thing. 👉 Keep your risk managed 👉 Don’t overthink 👉 Let the setup play out Good luck traders — may the relief rally relieve your soul as well 😄✨📈
Short
by minno91