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XAU/USD – Gold Holds Above Key Support as Pullback Stays LimitedGold remains capped below its two-week high during the Asian session, but the downside is clearly limited. Market sentiment is shaped by: A weaker USD as dovish Fed expectations gain traction Rising probability of rate cuts in upcoming meetings Improving global risk sentiment amid hopes of progress in Russia–Ukraine negotiations Even though Gold is retracing, the bigger picture remains bullish as long as price holds above key support zones. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Trading Style (M30/H1) Price is currently consolidating below the resistance cluster 4,156 – 4,170, retracing into multiple demand zones. Key Levels to Watch Support 1: 4,131 – 4,137 Support 2: 4,115 – 4,118 Support 3 (major liquidity): 4,083 – 4,090 Main Resistance: 4,170 – 4,193 Market structure shows a clean zigzag pullback, suggesting a potential bullish continuation once liquidity is collected below. 🎯 MMF Intraday Trading Plan Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Bias) Best trade today: Buying retracements into demand. BUY: 4,115 – 4,118 SL: 4,103 TP: 4,131 → 4,156 → 4,170 BUY (extended liquidity sweep): 4,083 – 4,090 SL: 4,070 TP: 4,118 → 4,145 → 4,170 – 4,193 Reason: Fibo confluence + strong demand + liquidity zone = high-probability reversal area. Scenario 2 – Short-Term SELL (Scalp Only) Only valid if price rejects strongly at resistance. SELL: 4,156 – 4,170 SL: 4,177 TP: 4,145 → 4,131 This is not the main bias today. ⚜️ MMF Trading View Gold is forming a healthy pullback—not, at this stage, a bearish reversal. As long as price stays above 4,08x, the bullish structure remains intact. “In Gold, the goal isn’t chasing the breakout — it’s waiting for price to return to value.” Today’s focus: Prefer BUY setups on retracement – SELL only for quick scalps.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Holds Near 2-Week Highs as USD Softens Ahead of Fed CutsGold continues to trade firmly near recent highs as the USD weakens amid growing expectations of a Fed rate cut in December. The earlier pullback was mostly driven by stronger risk appetite in equities, not by gold weakness itself — meaning the macro bullish backdrop remains intact. With markets now pricing: 76% chance of a December rate cut, and almost 90 bps of cuts by end-2026, the broader environment continues to favour upside on dips. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Style (H1/H2) Price has respected the ascending trendline drawn from the early-week swing low and is now pushing above the 0.618–0.786 retracement zone. Key Levels BUY Zone 1: 4,132 – 4,149 (Fibo 0.382–0.618 + demand) BUY Zone 2: Trendline retest area Target Zone: 4,188 – 4,195 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extension) Structure is currently bullish, with clear higher highs and higher lows. A retracement into 4,14x before continuation higher is the most probable scenario. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan (Intraday) Primary Setup – BUY Dip Continuation BUY: 4,132 – 4,149 SL: 4,121 TP: → 4,168 → 4,185 → 4,192 – major extension target Alternative Scenario – Break & Hold Above 4,170 If price consolidates above 4,170, expect a direct push toward 4,19x without a deep pullback. Bearish Scenario (Low probability for now) Only valid if price breaks below trendline + closes under 4,128. Target would be a deeper correction toward 4,10x — but this is not the base case. 🧠 MMF View Gold’s structure + macro narrative → bullish trend intact. The market is clearly positioning ahead of possible December policy easing — dips into 4,13x–4,14x remain attractive opportunities. “In a rate-cut environment, gold tends to trend — the only task is to buy from strength, not chase.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Breaks Out of Consolidation, A New Bullish Cycle Incoming?Gold has shown a significant recovery, breaking out of the multi-day sideways range between 4,00x–4,10x. Instead of collapsing below 4000, strong buying pressure stepped in — pushing price back above 4100, signaling that the market may be choosing an early bullish breakout ahead of expectations for a potential FED rate-cut cycle. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1/H2) 1. Structure Gold has officially broken out of the symmetrical triangle formation. Price is now printing higher highs – higher lows, confirming short-term bullish structure. 2. Key Levels BUY Zone 1: 4,095 – 4,100 (Fibo 0.236 + intraday demand) BUY Zone 2: 4,118 – 4,122 (Fibo 0.382 + breakout retest zone) Target Zone: 4,187 – 4,195 (Fibo 1.618 extension) 3. Expected Price Action After rejecting the 0.786 Fibo, a corrective pullback is expected. A retest of 4,118 or deep pullback to 4,095 is highly probable before the next bullish leg. As long as price holds above 4,095, bullish bias remains intact. 🎯 Trading Plan — MMF Style Primary Scenario – BUY the Retracement BUY 1: 4,118 – 4,122 SL: 4,107 TP: 4,150 → 4,168 → 4,195 BUY 2 (safer): 4,095 – 4,100 SL: 4,082 TP: 4,150 → 4,170 → 4,195 If price clears 4,165, extended targets toward 4,19x–4,21x become possible. Secondary Scenario – SELL only on strong rejection Selling is not preferred in the current structure. Only consider shorting if price forms a false breakout around 4,19x and confirms a bearish BOS on H1. 🧠 MMFLOW VIEW Gold is showing early signals of shifting out of its medium-term downtrend and transitioning into a new bullish phase. With both technical breakout confirmation and fundamental support (rate-cut expectations) aligning, the path of least resistance is to the upside. “In a rising market, missing the trend is far more costly than entering slightly early.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Gold Under Heavy Pressure, 4,000$ Break Looks ImminentGold continues to slide as the US Dollar strengthens, fueled by resilient US data. With markets waiting for the final week of November and the upcoming FOMC decision, safe-haven flows remain weak—making XAU/USD extremely vulnerable to further downside. 📊 Technical Outlook – H1/H30 The short-term structure remains clearly bearish: 1️⃣ Trend Bias: Bearish Price keeps rejecting the descending trendline. Every pullback is shallow and absorbed quickly by intraday supply zones. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels Resistance / Supply Zones: 4,078 – 4,089 4,104 (major confluence: Fibo + H1 supply) Support / Liquidity Targets: 4,023 – 4,013 3,989 – 3,975 → major liquidity zone (high reaction probability) 3️⃣ Scenarios to Watch 🔻 Scenario 1 — Continuation Drop (Primary Bias) Break below 4,044 → targets 4,023, then the liquidity sweep at 3,99x – 3,97x. 🔄 Scenario 2 — Pullback Before Drop Retracement to 4,054 – 4,078 → rejection → continuation lower. 🔺 Scenario 3 — Deeper Recovery (Low Probability) Only valid if price closes above 4,104, unlocking a move toward 4,13x – 4,15x. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan SELL – Trend-Following (Primary) Sell Zone 1: 4,054 – 4,078 SL: 4,105 TP: 4,023 → 4,013 → 3,99x Sell Zone 2: 4,089 – 4,104 SL: 4,112 TP: 4,054 → 4,023 BUY – Only as a Reaction Trade (Liquidity Sweep) Buy Zone: 3,99x – 3,97x SL: 3,955 TP: 4,023 → 4,054 ⚠️ Buy setups are counter-trend and require strong confirmation. Primary bias remains SELL as long as price stays below 4,104. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View Gold is being pushed toward the psychological 4,000$ support. A clean break could trigger a broader bearish expansion into 3,98x – 3,95x. With month-end positioning, FOMC expectations, and shifting Fed sentiment, volatility is likely to increase sharply. Stay with the trend—SELL the rallies. BUY only at deep liquidity zones with confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Inverse H&S Forming, Gold Eyes Bullish Reversal🔍 Market Context Early today, Gold dropped nearly 70 points, but immediately rebounded strongly from 4040, signaling aggressive BUY interest and a clear rejection of downside continuation. On the H2 chart, XAU/USD is shaping a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern — a classic reversal structure that often precedes a strong bullish expansion. The macro layer for today is packed with high-impact catalysts: 📌 Key Data & Events – 20 Nov Speech by U.S. President Donald Trump Barkin (2027 FOMC voter) speaks on economic outlook Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting Minutes Williams (permanent FOMC voter) speech U.S. Unemployment Rate Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Initial Jobless Claims ➡️ A heavy news lineup capable of triggering high volatility and validating (or rejecting) the reversal pattern. 📊 Technical Analysis – MMF View Gold bounced sharply from BUY ZONE 4044–4046 with strong volume. The market structure is creating a complete Inverse H&S formation. The Neckline Zone 4101–4111 is the key breakout level — clearing this zone opens the door for a full bullish reversal. Trendline compression + liquidity sweeps show buyers gaining control. Strategy for today: BUY bias. SELL only for quick scalps. 🎯 MMF Daily Trading Plan BUY (Priority Setup – Swing / Intraday) Buy 4046–4048 SL: 4039 TP: 4060 → 4085 → 4100 → 4125 ✔️ BUY aligns with the reversal pattern + fresh liquidity shift. SELL (Scalping Only) Sell 4146–4148 SL: 4154 TP: 4132 → 4120 → 4110 ✔️ SELL only if price taps liquidity at upper supply and rejects clearly. ⚠️ Key Levels to Watch 4101 – 4111 – 4142 → liquidity clusters + breakout confirmation 4029 → major support in case volatility spikes from news 🧠 MMFLOW TRADING Outlook If Gold holds its corrective pullback and breaks above the Neckline (4101–4111), we may see a strong continuation toward: 4146 → 4187 → 4210+ The Inverse H&S on H2 is a powerful bullish setup — smart positioning favors building long exposure and holding into high-impact events.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Forms Inverted Head & Shoulders: Reversal Signal!After a short-term corrective decline, the $4,000 level has triggered strong BUY momentum, creating a clear price rebound at the end of yesterday's session. The increase in buying volume indicates that the BUY side is returning to the market after several sessions of being pushed down. 📊 Prominent Technical Structure On the 2H chart, gold is completing the Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern – one of the strongest bullish reversal patterns. • Head: liquidity bottom at 4,00x • Two shoulders: forming symmetrically with good bounce • Neckline: area 4,101–4,102, currently a key resistance Price is likely to: 1️⃣ Slightly adjust to the neckline area or BUY ZONE 4,044–4,046 2️⃣ Retest – Accumulate – Confirm breakout 3️⃣ Break out towards 4,146 → 4,187 when the pattern is complete 🎯 Short-term Expectations Volatility may increase ahead of upcoming economic data, so the reasonable strategy remains: ✅ Prioritize BUY according to the pattern • Wait for retest of neckline or area 4,044–4,046 • Observe confirmation force (Volume – Momentum – Rejection) • Target towards 4,146 → 4,187 if the pattern is activated ⚠️ Note – The reversal trend is only truly confirmed when the price clearly breaks the 4,101–4,102 area. – Market sentiment currently leans towards recovery, but clear signals are needed before entering large (long-term HOLD) positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Still in Distribution, FOCUS ON SELL Setups at 4,10x–4,14x 🔍 Market Context Risk sentiment remains fragile as investors reassess the global rate and stimulus story. Goldman Sachs notes that rising worries about the size of Japan’s fiscal stimulus are bringing financial risk premia back, putting pressure on long-term JGBs and the JPY. Capital tends to rotate into USD and yield-bearing assets in this environment, which limits the upside for gold in the short term. 📊 XAU/USD Technical Structure (H1) After topping around 4,242 USD, gold broke its short-term uptrend and is now moving in a descending structure. Price is currently capped below the 0.5–0.382 Fibonacci area around 4,11x, which overlaps with a strong supply / Sell Liquidity zone on the chart. Below price, we have a series of liquidity / support pockets: 4,098 – 4,077 – 4,048 USD: short-term downside liquidity levels. OBS BUY ZONE around 4,00x: major demand zone where price previously launched a strong rally. Current price action shows sellers still in control – every bounce into 4,10x–4,14x is being rejected quickly, which fits a “sell the rally” approach. 🎯 Trend-Following Trade Ideas (for reference) Zones below are technical areas to watch, not signals or financial advice. Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback Sell Sell Zone 1: 4,102 – 4,104 SL: 4,110 TP levels: TP1: 4,098 TP2: 4,077 TP3: 4,048 Idea: Price makes a minor intraday pullback into local supply, then resumes selling pressure toward lower liquidity pockets. Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback into Fib/Trendline Confluence Sell Zone 2: 4,142 – 4,144 (confluence of descending trendline + Fibonacci combo) SL: 4,150 TP levels: TP1: 4,133 TP2: 4,105 TP3: 4,088 TP4: 4,060 Idea: If the market grabs more upside liquidity first, the 4,14x zone offers a better R:R area to align with the H1 downtrend. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View As long as price stays below 4,14x and H1 structure keeps printing lower highs, gold remains in a distribution phase. Pullbacks into the 4,10x–4,14x liquidity band are treated as opportunities to optimize SELL entries, while the 4,00x OBS BUY ZONE is the key area to reassess any potential larger bottoming process. “In a downtrend, our job isn’t to call the bottom – it’s to use every weak bounce to sell from a better position.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold Near Breakout Point — The Next Move Will Be BigGold is holding firmly inside a tight compression zone, and the market is signalling that a major breakout is loading. Despite yesterday’s pullback, buyers defended key demand levels, showing that bullish momentum is still alive as we approach the weekend session. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1) Price is currently moving inside a symmetrical triangle, with volatility compressing and liquidity building on both sides. Key observations from MMFlow structure: • Zone 1 – Support (Potential Reversal Area) 4,174 – 4,159 → Strong confluence of trendline support + Fibonacci 38.2% + liquidity sweep potential. → If price taps this zone, it's a high-probability long setup. • Zone 2 – Resistance / Breakout Line 4,207 – 4,212 → This is the key breakout ceiling. → A clean break and retest opens the door toward the next expansion wave. • Measured Move Target (MMF Expansion Target) 4,244 – 4,252 → Aligns with Fib 1.618 extension and previous liquidity pocket. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (MMFlow Style) 🟢 BUY Scenario (Primary Bias) Buy Zone 1: 4,174 – 4,159 SL: below 4,150 TP: 4,205 → 4,212 → 4,228 → 4,244+ Why? This zone carries the strongest confluence for a bullish reaction before the breakout. Ideal spot for Market Makers to reload. 🔵 BUY Scenario 2 (Break & Retest) Trigger: Break above 4,207 – 4,212 Entry: Retest of 4,207 SL: below retest wick TP: 4,228 → 4,244 → 4,252 Why? Breakout from triangle compression usually leads to fast displacement toward untested liquidity highs. 🔴 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Only — Not Preferred) Only valid if price fails to break 4,207 and forms a clear rejection. Entry: 4,207 – 4,212 SL: above 4,220 TP: 4,174 → 4,159 Note: This is a counter-trend micro-play. Primary bias remains bullish. 🧠 MMFlow Insight The market has been accumulating for multiple sessions, and every dip into demand is being bought aggressively. As long as price stays above 4,159, the bullish structure is intact. A breakout above 4,212 could be the ignition point for the next impulsive expansion toward 4,244 – 4,252.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Hits a 3 Week High but the Real Move Might Still Be LoadingGold just tapped $4,213 — the highest level in three weeks, powered by growing expectations of a dovish Fed and optimism around the potential reopening of the US government. But the real story isn’t the headline spike — it’s the structure forming right beneath it. 📌 Why this zone matters right now Price is pulling back into $4,179–$4,165, a clean Demand zone aligning with Fibo + breakout structure. Buyers remain firmly in control despite a mild USD recovery. The market swept liquidity around $4,207, hinting at accumulation before the next expansion. The broader pattern resembles a falling-wedge breakout, often appearing before strong upside continuation phases. 🎯 Most Probable Scenario (Mind Insight) Gold is in a “compression before expansion” phase. Once this squeeze resolves, momentum is likely to continue in the direction that’s already dominant — and right now, that’s the bulls. 🔶 MMF BUY Zone $4,179 → $4,165 Looking for a shallow pullback before the next leg. 🔼 Bullish Targets • $4,207 (liquidity tap) • $4,228 (Fibo 1.618) • $4,236 (Fibo 1.786 — major reaction zone) 🧠 Key Takeaway As long as Gold holds above $4,165, the bullish structure remains intact and the upside expansion toward the upper Fibo cluster stays in play.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Consolidating Above 4,110$: The Next Wave Is Loading📊 Technical Overview (H1) Gold is holding firm around the 4,110$ zone, where a clear liquidity pocket has formed after a short-term correction from last week’s rally. The market continues to build a higher-low structure, showing that bulls are quietly absorbing supply before the next impulsive leg. Price is currently balancing between support at 4,085$ – 4,113$ and resistance at 4,146$ – 4,172$. A clean break above 4,146$ could trigger the next bullish leg targeting 4,203$, while a temporary dip toward 4,085$ would still remain within the bullish structure. 🎯 Scenarios to Watch: • Bullish Scenario: If price holds above 4,113$, expect a breakout toward 4,172$ → 4,203$. • Pullback Scenario: A retest to 4,085$ could act as a liquidity sweep before continuation. 🧠 MMFLOW Insight “Smart Money doesn’t chase momentum — it builds it. The current range is the calm before the next move.” ⚜️ Bias: Bullish as long as price stays above 4,085$
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold H1 - Holds Above 4,140$, Eyes the 4,200$ Breakout🔍 Market Context Gold continues its relentless climb, trading near a three-week high at 4,146$ as buyers remain firmly in control. Despite a mild rebound in the US Dollar — driven by cautious sentiment across Asian markets — gold’s momentum stays intact, fueled by expectations that the Federal Reserve may proceed with a rate cut in December. Soft US data last week and weaker consumer sentiment readings have further strengthened this outlook, keeping real yields under pressure and reinforcing gold’s safe-haven appeal. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) The market structure remains bullish, forming a clear ascending channel. Price has broken above the previous resistance at 4,086$ and is now consolidating around 4,140$, preparing for a potential continuation move. Key Levels: • Support Zones: 4,086$ – 4,039$ → retest area for new buyers • Immediate Resistance: 4,146$ • Breakout Target: 4,203$ • Extended Bullish Target: 4,382$ (ATH zone) If gold maintains structure above 4,080$, the bias remains strongly bullish. Only a confirmed close below this zone would suggest a short-term pullback before continuation. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Momentum follows liquidity. Once price reclaims key structure, smart money builds the next leg — not noise, but narrative.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Eyes 4000$ Breakout as Accumulation Phase Near Completion🔍 Market Context After a week of sideways consolidation within a broad range, gold (XAU/USD) is showing the first signs of structural recovery. The market is gradually carving a potential short-term bottom, hinting that the corrective phase may be ending — and a breakout from the range could be imminent. Despite the lack of new macro catalysts, sentiment remains underpinned by renewed safe-haven flows and expectations that the Fed will maintain its easing stance through early 2026. Traders are now watching closely whether the 4,000$ handle will finally give way — a key inflection zone that could trigger aggressive momentum buying if reclaimed. 📊 Technical Structure (H1–H4) Gold is currently trading above the intraday demand zone 3,969$–3,982$, maintaining a short-term bullish structure while compressing under resistance. The descending trendline and Fibo confluence near 4,019$–4,048$ act as the next critical reaction area for breakout confirmation. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Demand Zone: 3,969$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + ascending trendline confluence) • 🎯 Primary Resistance: 4,019$ – 4,048$ (trendline + Fibo 1.272/1.618) • ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ → 4,052$ → 4,090$ (extended range liquidity) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,960$ → risk of a deeper correction toward 3,940$. 🎯 MMFLOW Outlook Smart money appears to be absorbing liquidity within the 3,970$ zone, suggesting accumulation before expansion. If gold can break and sustain above 4,000$, the bias flips decisively bullish — opening the door for a range expansion toward 4,050$+. This could mark the beginning of a new impulse phase following weeks of compression. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When volatility sleeps, liquidity quietly builds the next trend.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD Holds 3,980$ as Bulls Eye Recovery Toward 4,020$🔍 Market Context Gold steadies near the 3,980$ mark as traders weigh shifting expectations on US interest rates. The latest ADP employment report showed a modest increase of 42,000 jobs — easing fears of an accelerated slowdown but reinforcing the broader cooling trend in the labor market. While the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts have supported bullion throughout the year, the prolonged US government shutdown now clouds macro visibility, delaying key economic data. Despite mixed sentiment, gold remains one of 2025’s strongest-performing assets, up over 50% year-to-date, driven by ETF inflows and central bank demand. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold has staged a notable rebound from the 3,947$–3,969$ demand zone, reclaiming short-term structure and approaching the 3,990$–4,000$ liquidity pocket. This area aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement and descending trendline resistance — making it the next decision point for intraday traders. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support: 3,947$ – 3,969$ (Liquidity Base / Re-accumulation) • 🎯 Resistance: 3,992$ – 4,024$ (Fibo 0.618 + Trendline Confluence) • ⚙️ Extended Bull Target: 4,028$ – 4,033$ (1.272–1.618 Fibo Expansion) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → shifts bias toward 3,905$ liquidity pool. 🎯 MMFLOW View Smart money continues to accumulate within the re-accumulation pocket near 3,950$, hinting at latent bullish intent. If price holds above 3,970$ after today’s consolidation, an extension toward 4,020$–4,033$ remains highly probable. However, failure to maintain intraday demand could invite another liquidity sweep before a larger push higher. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity reveals intention — structure only confirms it.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Rebuilds Structure Above $3940, Eyeing $4030 Liquidity Pool 🔍 Market Context Gold is attempting to regain bullish momentum as safe-haven demand remains supported by rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around the upcoming US ADP employment data. The market continues to oscillate between risk aversion and rate expectations — with the Fed’s hawkish tone keeping the Dollar capped but steady. At the same time, capital flow rotation from equities into defensive assets is quietly supporting the metal’s structural recovery, with gold holding above key liquidity levels despite intraday volatility. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4) After forming a double-bottom structure near $3,938, XAU/USD has reclaimed the 38.2% retracement zone (3,974–3,975) from its previous bearish leg. This area now acts as a pivot zone, separating short-term bullish continuation from potential retracement. The chart reveals a classic liquidity cycle shift: Phase 1: Sweep of downside liquidity below 3,930, marking an internal structural low. Phase 2: Expansion leg reclaiming short-term FVGs, signaling a potential smart money accumulation phase. Phase 3: Repricing toward upper liquidity targets aligned with Fibonacci extensions. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Liquidity Base: 3,938 – 3,950 (recent demand re-entry area) • 🎯 Rejection Zone 1: 3,974 – 3,999 (previous inefficiency block) • ⚙️ Target Zone: 4,033 – 4,045 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extensions, liquidity pool) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,920 would shift structure back to distribution. 🎯 MMFLOW Scenario If gold sustains above the 3,950 support cluster, buyers are likely to extend the retracement toward 3,999–4,033 where resting liquidity sits. A clean rejection from 4,000 could trigger an intraday pullback — but as long as price holds above the 3,938 OB base, the bullish recovery structure remains intact. The short-term narrative favors controlled accumulation, suggesting that smart money is building positions into liquidity zones before the next impulsive move. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity isn’t random — it’s engineered. Every move leaves a footprint, and gold is tracing its next one above $3,950.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold Awaits Direction Near $4,000 as Fed Comments Limit Upside🔍 Market Context Gold is trading slightly below the $4,000 mark in early Asian hours, pressured by the Fed’s hawkish tone despite weaker US manufacturing data. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that another rate cut this year is “not guaranteed”, tempering expectations for further easing. Meanwhile, ISM Manufacturing PMI slipped to 48.7 in October, below forecast — showing a slowdown, yet not enough to shift the Fed’s cautious stance. Markets currently price in a 70% chance of a 25 bps cut in December and a total 82 bps by end-2026, reflecting moderate easing expectations rather than a full pivot. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold is consolidating around the 3,984–3,985$ area, forming a reaction base above 3,963$ support. The structure remains within a short-term ascending channel, with the next directional cue likely from the 4,024$ resistance zone. Key Levels: • Support 1: 3,963$ – 3,984$ (liquidity defense zone) • Support 2: 3,923$ (bullish invalidation level) • Resistance 1: 4,024$ • Resistance 2 / Target: 4,046$ A sustained break above 4,024$ could trigger momentum toward 4,046$, confirming trend continuation. Conversely, losing 3,963$ would expose 3,923$ as the next liquidity pool before a potential rebound. 🎯 Trading Outlook Bias remains neutral-to-bullish as long as 3,963$ holds. If price reacts positively at this zone during the Asian session, short-term buyers may step in toward 4,024$–4,046$. However, any fresh hawkish comments from Fed officials could cap gains and trigger profit-taking. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity builds where patience fades — smart money waits for the crowd to act first.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Gold Eyes 4,100$ as Safe-Haven Demand Holds Firm🔍 Market Context Gold continues to attract buyers for the second consecutive day, as renewed safe-haven demand supports a modest recovery from last week’s lows near 3,890$. While the Fed’s hawkish stance keeps the Dollar firm, concerns over a prolonged US government shutdown and weaker macro sentiment have limited further USD gains — allowing gold to stabilize above the 3,970–3,990$ zone. Still, with mixed fundamentals in play, traders remain cautious ahead of next week’s US data releases and policy speeches. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold has successfully broken its short-term downtrend, reclaiming momentum from the 3,933–3,973$ liquidity zone. Price is now consolidating below the psychological 4,000$ handle, forming a clean breakout–retest structure. Key Levels: • Immediate Support: 3,973$ – 3,933$ (Breakout & Retest Zone) • Resistance 1: 4,035$ – 4,050$ • Resistance 2 / Target: 4,114$ – 4,127$ (Fibo 1.618 extension) • Extended Bull Target: 4,148$+ if momentum sustains Invalidation: A breakdown below 3,930$ would invalidate the bullish scenario and re-open short-term downside liquidity toward 3,890$. 🎯 Trading Outlook If gold holds the breakout above 3,970$, the bias remains bullish — buyers may continue driving price toward 4,100$+, aligned with fib extensions and prior supply structure. However, any hawkish narrative from Fed speakers could trigger intraday pullbacks before continuation. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Smart money never rushes the breakout — it builds conviction where liquidity confirms direction.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
When the Dollar bleeds, Gold breathes stronger.A clear structural divergence is unfolding between XAUUSD and DXY — Gold has printed a clean bullish market structure, while the Dollar Index mirrors it with a progressive bearish flow. This inverse rhythm isn’t coincidence — it’s the pulse of global liquidity. As capital rotates out of USD strength into hard assets, we’re witnessing how smart money hedges exposure against monetary uncertainty. Each push in Gold aligns perfectly with weakness in DXY — a synchronized dance that often precedes macro repricing in risk assets. 💭 The key insight? Gold’s rise isn’t simply technical — it’s the market’s vote of confidence against the Dollar’s future yield. 📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: “Liquidity never lies — when one side inflates, the other exhales.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand. Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion. However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week. 📊 Technical Analysis • Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps. • Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply). • Short-Term Targets:  – 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket.  – 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension. • Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish. 🎯 Trading Outlook If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility. Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound. ⚜️ Summary This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset. The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment. Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction. 📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: “Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Recovers 1000 Pips Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus📊 Market Overview After a sharp selloff that shook long positions, Gold has rebounded nearly 1000 pips, recovering from the 388x area toward 398x ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting. Despite the short-term recovery, Gold remains down around 3.5% this week, reflecting cautious sentiment as traders reposition before the Fed decision and amid fading U.S.–China trade tensions. Currently, price is trading near $3,980–3,990 during the Asian session, consolidating under the psychological $4,000 zone. 💎 Technical Outlook (H1–M15) Gold continues to trade within a short-term ascending channel, forming a corrective recovery inside a broader downtrend. Immediate Support Zones: • 3,961 – 3,937 → Trendline retest & OBS Buy Zone • 3,918 → Structural invalidation area Resistance & Key Reaction Levels: • 4,018 – 4,085 → Mid-term key resistance • 4,094 – 4,102 → Major Sell Zone (Fibo 1.5–1.618 confluence) 📍If Gold breaks and holds above 4,018, momentum could extend toward 4,085 – 4,102, where strong selling pressure may reappear. 📍If the price rejects at 4,094 – 4,102, expect a corrective move back toward 3,961 – 3,937, aligning with the channel base and trendline retest. 🌍 Macro Context – FOMC Ahead Markets expect the Fed to cut rates by another 25bps, following September’s “risk management” cut. However, if Powell’s tone turns hawkish, Gold could face renewed downside pressure as rate-cut expectations fade, particularly for December. Conversely, a cautious or dovish tone emphasizing inflation risks and slower growth could boost Gold above $4,100 in the short term. Meanwhile, easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China and the ongoing equity rally may continue to limit safe-haven demand. 🧭 Summary Gold is holding a short-term recovery bias, yet the medium-term trend remains fragile ahead of the FOMC. Expect volatility around the 4,000–4,100 zone, with the Fed statement likely to set the next major direction. 🛡️ Stay patient — liquidity builds before clarity, and key reactions around $4,094–4,102 will reveal the next macro impulse.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context Gold continues to struggle amid renewed optimism around US–China trade talks. The shift in sentiment has reduced safe-haven demand, while softer expectations of further Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar capped — offering limited downside support for XAUUSD. However, the technical landscape remains clearly bearish. The break below the $4,000 handle confirms continuation of the downtrend first outlined in early-week plans. 📊 Technical Analysis Structure: Gold maintains a clean bearish channel on the H1–H4 frame. Immediate resistance: $3,985 – $4,000 (former support, now supply zone). Target zones: • Short-term liquidity area near $3,925–$3,930 • Extended target sits around $3,880–$3,860, aligning with Fibo 1.618. Invalidation: Only a sustained break and hold above $4,020–$4,030 would neutralize this short-term bearish bias. 🎯 Trading Outlook If gold retests the broken $4,000 zone and fails to regain it, expect sellers to extend control toward $3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC meeting. That event may later define the next recovery point — but for now, momentum remains firmly on the downside. ⚜️ Summary Gold’s recent slide isn’t random — it’s structural. The market is rebalancing after excessive bullish sentiment, and liquidity below $3,900 is likely to attract attention before any significant rebound. Watch the reaction near $3,920–$3,880 — that’s where the next meaningful decision for gold may emerge. 📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: “Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Downtrend Holds as Gold Tests the Lower Channel🔍 Market Context Gold remains under pressure after failing to reclaim the 4,060 breakout zone. Recent attempts to recover have been absorbed by sellers, confirming short-term weakness and the continuation of the downward structure. The market appears to be in a redistribution phase, as traders await clarity from upcoming macro data. 📊 Technical Analysis Structure: Clear bearish channel with lower highs forming below the broken trendline. Key resistance: 4,058–4,060 (previous breakout support now acting as supply). Support zones: • 4,004–4,000 → short-term liquidity area. • 3,928–3,930 → deeper liquidity pocket + Fibo reaction zone. Bias: Downtrend remains intact unless price reclaims and holds above 4,070–4,080. 🎯 Short-Term Outlook If gold continues to reject from the 4,050–4,060 area, a further move toward 4,000 and possibly 3,928 is likely. Conversely, a clean reclaim above 4,080 could invalidate the current bearish pressure and trigger a short-term recovery. ⚜️ Summary Gold is not collapsing — it’s resetting structure after an extended rally. The focus remains on how liquidity behaves near 4,000. If that zone breaks, expect momentum to accelerate toward 3,928 before buyers step back in. 📌 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: “Follow the structure, not the emotion — liquidity always tells the truth.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Gold Trapped in Uncertainty Before the FOMC Market Overview: Gold remains range-bound as US–China trade optimism tempers safe-haven demand, while expectations for further Fed rate cuts continue to weigh on the USD and cushion downside pressure. The market is hesitant ahead of the two-day FOMC meeting this week, as traders await clear policy guidance before taking larger directional bets. In short — macro tone is mixed: Trade headlines reduce fear. Fed expectations support gold. Yet the chart shows indecision — a compression phase before expansion. Technical Outlook (H1) On the chart, gold continues to oscillate inside a tightening triangle, holding above the 4,050–4,060 Support Trendline (OBS BUY ZONE). The liquidity structure shows buy-side absorption near the lows, while sellers remain active around the 4,186–4,260 resistance zones. If gold maintains stability above 4,050, buyers may attempt to push toward the 4,107 neckline, and possibly test 4,186, before meeting the next supply layer at 4,260. Conversely, a failure to hold support could expose the 4,002 and 3,930 liquidity pools below. Key Technical Zones: Support Trendline / OBS BUY ZONE: 4,058 – 4,050 Neckline / Local Resistance: 4,107 – 4,110 Reaction Zone (Fibo / Supply): 4,186 – 4,260 Deeper Liquidity Zone: 4,002 – 3,930 MMFLOW View – Plan for the Session At this stage, the market is in accumulation mode. As long as price stays above 4,050, MMFLOW maintains a neutral-to-bullish bias, focusing on how price reacts near the neckline at 4,107. The ideal scenario would be: A short-term pullback to absorb liquidity near 4,050, Followed by a push toward 4,186, Then a possible correction before the FOMC outcome. However, if sellers manage to reclaim 4,050, a drop into 4,002 or even 3,930 could mark the next deep liquidity grab — setting up the base for a larger rally later. Summary: Gold remains stuck between macro hesitation and structural compression. Liquidity is building on both sides — and the breakout direction will likely align with post-FOMC volatility. 🟡 Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish above 4,050. Watch how the market defends 4,058 and reacts at 4,107–4,186. 📊 What’s your take — will FOMC give gold a reason to break free, or keep it trapped another week? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily structure breakdowns & institutional flow insights. 🟣 Chart: XAUUSD H1 – Smart Money Flow structure showing liquidity sweep, compression triangle, and Fibo confluence zones before the FOMC decision.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – CPI Cools, USD Weakens, and Gold Regains MomentumMarket Overview: Gold has regained bullish traction after the latest US CPI report showed softer inflation data, leading to a weaker USD and renewed buying across metals. CPI figures came in below market expectations (Core CPI 0.2% vs 0.3%, CPI m/m 0.3% vs 0.4%, CPI y/y 3.0% vs 3.1%), signalling lower inflation pressure and reinforcing bets that the Fed will stay dovish heading into November. As a result, gold bounced strongly from the 4,050–4,058 support zone, reclaiming key structure levels and stabilising above 4,100 USD/oz. Market sentiment remains risk-sensitive, but the short-term tone favours further upside correction, as long as gold holds above the trendline and liquidity support zones highlighted on the chart. Technical Outlook (H2): The market structure suggests gold has completed its correction phase and is attempting to form a new bullish leg. Price action shows a clean rejection at the 4,050 liquidity base, and the next immediate objectives are the 4,211 neckline and 4,260–4,342 supply zones. Key Technical Levels: Support / Buy Zone: 4,058 – 4,002 Liquidity Sweep Zone: 3,930 – 3,940 Resistance / Neckline: 4,211 Sell Zone Reaction Fibo: 4,260 – 4,342 Trading Plan – MMFLOW View 🔹 BUY Zone #1 (Continuation Play) Entry: 4,058 – 4,050 Stop Loss: 4,035 Take Profit: 4,155 → 4,211 → 4,260 🔹 BUY Zone #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario) Entry: 4,002 – 3,930 Stop Loss: 3,915 Take Profit: 4,058 → 4,155 → 4,211 Ideal setup if price retests liquidity before CPI-induced recovery continues. 🔹 SELL Zone(Reaction Trade) Entry: 4,260 – 4,342 Stop Loss: 4,355 Take Profit: 4,211 → 4,100 → 4,058 Weekly Bias & Summary: With CPI cooling and the USD losing momentum, gold’s structure points to a recovery phase, possibly extending into Wave III of the medium-term cycle. However, the 4,211 neckline remains the key pivot — a breakout above this zone could trigger momentum extension toward 4,260–4,340, while a rejection may result in another range-bound pullback. 🟡 MMFLOW Bias: Bullish while above 4,050 — dips remain opportunities to buy. Macro tone favours risk-on rotation, supporting gold’s upside into next week. 📊 Do you think gold will break 4,211 for the next bullish leg, or is another correction incoming before the real move? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional updates and Smart Money Flow structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
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