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The Market Is Loading Up for a Breakout… Here’s the Exact TargetUltra-Detailed Professional Analysis Based on the visible structure, the chart is showing signs of a local exhaustion of bearish momentum and the early formation of a bullish reversal structure. Here is the full breakdown: --- 1. Market Structure Shift (MSS) The price has been in a continuous downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows. However, in the most recent area (where you drew the black diagonal line), the slope of the lows is starting to flatten. This flattening implies: Bearish pressure is weakening Selling is no longer accelerating Buyers are starting to absorb liquidity at the lows This is typically the earliest sign of a possible market structure shift. --- 2. Bullish Divergence Signatures Even though your screenshot doesn’t show indicators, the shape of the price movement suggests a classic divergence setup: Price is making equal lows or slightly lower lows Momentum is decreasing (suggested by slowing downward volatility) This often precedes a short-term bullish push into nearby resistance zones. --- 3. Liquidity Mapping The clustered price action under the descending structure suggests the market is: Gathering sell-side liquidity beneath the recent lows Preparing to use that liquidity for a stop-run and reversal The red arrow you drew aligns with a typical liquidity-based move: break out of the diagonal, collect stops, then push upward into a liquidity pocket. --- 4. Imbalance (Fair Value Gap) Above Price The chart shows a noticeable price void / imbalance above the current level. Markets often retrace to fill these inefficiencies. The blue line at the tip of your arrow sits right inside this imbalance zone, making it a high-probability magnet for price. --- 5. Supply & Demand Mapping You have several purple zones drawn above — these appear to be: Old supply clusters, created during previous sell-offs Untested levels, meaning price hasn’t fully revisited them yet Markets often return to untested supply/demand zones due to: Algorithmic targeting Liquidity replenishment Market maker rebalancing Your blue level aligns with this higher-timeframe supply magnet. --- 6. Break of the Micro-Downtrend Line The black diagonal line you drew marks the local bearish control zone. A breakout above this line often triggers: Short covering Breakout buying Acceleration into the next liquidity pool (your blue line) The chart suggests the market is coiling beneath this line, indicating a possible compression → expansion move. --- 7. Volatility Compression Pattern The price action in the last segment is contracting. Compression almost always leads to explosive directional expansion. Given: A flat support base Weakening bearish momentum Clear imbalance above …the higher probability expansion direction is upward. --- Final Professional Summary The reason the price is expected to move toward the blue line above the arrow is due to a confluence of bullish catalysts: ✔ Weakening bearish momentum ✔ Market structure flattening ✔ Liquidity buildup below & liquidity vacuum above ✔ Imbalance (FVG) acting as a price magnet ✔ Untested supply zones overhead ✔ Volatility compression preceding expansion Together these create a high-probability short-term bullish corrective move toward the level marked in blue. --- If you liked this analysis, leave a like and drop a comment to share your thoughts!
by MoneyMaker_666
1
EURJPY Long 5 Fundamental Stacks 7 Technical Tacks. Confluence OANDA:EURJPY We are trading odds on every trade that is our edge. Its a big edge especially when we have 5 fundamental stacks and 7 Technical stacks. The reason why we do this is so when we close our eyes and night and wake up the next day we are pretty sure we know the outcome. This method fused with proper money management is a sure fire winning strategy over time. We need to be able to sustain 4 or 5 maybe 7 loses and remain in the game so don't trade more then your account can handle. Stop losses are your best friend and you should always remember that. I wish you all the best of luck. Happy Trades.
Long
by OnlyAitrades
8
Friday - the day the market shows its true faceEveryone loves chasing moves early in the week - Monday, Tuesday, news, data drops. But if you look closer, the most honest market signals usually appear on Fridays. By that time, the fight between buyers and sellers is settled, and the price reveals who really has control. When big funds and banks are confident about direction, they don’t rush to close positions before the weekend. The market often ends the week at its highs - and Monday continues the same move. But if selling pressure picks up late on Friday, it’s usually a warning sign: traders are nervous and prefer not to hold risk over the weekend. Friday’s close isn’t just another candle - it’s the verdict for the entire week. A close near the top of the range means demand is strong; near the bottom means fear and profit-taking are taking over. Retail traders often close everything before the weekend to “stay safe.” But smart money uses those thin Friday hours to shake out weak hands and grab liquidity. That’s why the real moves often begin right after those late-week impulses. What to keep an eye on: 1. Watch where the price closes within the weekly range - it sets the tone for Monday. 2. Check volume during the last trading hours - it tells you who’s really in control. 3. A strong Friday move with no news? Often that’s the setup for next week’s trend. Friday’s action is rarely random. It’s the final scene before the next act of the market drama.
Education
by TotoshkaTrades
2
AUDJPY — Buy the Retest?AUDJPY remains overall bullish inside a rising channel. Price is hovering above a 96.0–96.5 support zone, which previously acted as resistance and now aligns with the channel’s lower boundary, a solid confluence area. 🔑 Key levels Support: 96.0–96.5 (zone to watch for bullish rejection) Resistance: 98.5 then 100.0 (round number / channel upper band) 📊 Scenarios Bullish 📈 If price retests 96.0–96.5 and prints confirmation (higher low / bullish candle), I’ll look for longs toward 98.5 → 100.0. Bearish 📉 A daily close below 96.0 would invalidate the setup and open room toward the next liquidity pocket near the channel low. What’s your plan here => wait for the retest into 96s, or trade the continuation if momentum kicks in first? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
3
NZDUSD | Bearish Trap Above OB – Targeting Weekly Order BlockHello Billionaires!! In NZDUSD D1 Projection we know the Algorithm has completed its supply move and created a failed Order Block trap for retailers. Price is now rejecting from the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and short-term OB, signaling potential downside continuation. 🔹 Key Points: Supply zone already mitigated, confirming distribution. OB + FVG acted as liquidity trap for retail longs. Price likely to break lower and head towards the weekly Order Block around 0.5650. BPR support zone aligns with downside continuation. Bias remains bearish as long as price stays below the OB/FVG zone.
Short
by AliyanFX
DXY | Bullish Reversal from IFVG – Targeting 99.50 Supply ZoneHello Billionaires!! In DXY D1 Projection we know The US Dollar Index has tapped into the Imbalance/Fair Value Gap (IFVG) and shown signs of bullish reaction after sweeping Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL). This aligns with a potential reversal model aiming towards higher liquidity levels. 🔹 Key Points: SSL swept, confirming liquidity grab. Price reacting from IFVG as demand zone. Short-term retracement expected, followed by continuation. Targeting the BPR supply zone around 99.50 and eventually Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) above 100.00. As long as DXY holds above the IFVG zone, bullish continuation remains the primary outlook.
TVC:DXYLong
by AliyanFX
$PUMP Parabolic Starting & if Break ATH price hit $0.011 in 2026🚀 NYSE:PUMP Parabolic Starting & if Break ATH price hit $0.011 in 2026 IN 2026 PUMP will be happened break ATH and my Prediction $0.006 price area will be breaks after Price will stay accumulation in previous ATH areas. In 2026 price could hit $0.011 and 0.008 areas. Pump.fun Executes $62M Token Buyback as Class-Action Lawsuit Looms The platform generated more than $775 million in revenue since launch, according to DefiLlama, though income briefly slumped in late July, when weekly revenue fell to $1.72 million- its lowest lev el since March 2024. At its peak in May, weekly revenue topped $56 million, coinciding with a surge of Solana memecoins that briefly pushed SOL itself above $200, its highest level since late 2021. Market Impact and User Growth The buybacks appear to be lifting sentiment. PUMP has gained 12% in the past month and 9% in the past week, trading at $0.003522 — up 54% from an August low of $0.002282. The number of unique PUMP holders has climbed to more than 70,800, with smaller accounts holding under 10,000 tokens now making up nearly half of distribution, pointing to stronger retail participation. Blockchain explorer Solscan shows wallet activity on Pump.fun has nearly doubled since May, with daily active users averaging 48,000 compared with 25,000 earlier in the year. #Write2Earn #PUMP #TrumpTariffs #highlight #SUBROOFFICIAL Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance.
Long
by SUBROOFFICIAL
(BTC) bitcoin "years - boxes - overlap"Essentially, the boxes in the chart gives and easy way to see Bitcoin between years correlated by using colored boxes. Using boxes I overlapped each year based on the following year's performance, working backwards. There are two boxes for each year in different colors and only touching the highest point of each year to see the difference overlapped between years and amount of gains or losses with the price of Bitcoin chart. I do not have a bias towards Bitstamp it is the chart with the longest view of BTC at the time of adding BTC to my watchlist some years ago.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
1
Bitcoin Smart Money Weekly Outlook (Aug 2025)Bitcoin has been in a strong bullish structure since the breakout above $70K in 2024. Currently: ✅ Liquidity was swept above $124K highs → retail buyers trapped. ✅ Smart Money is likely to drive price down into demand zones ($95K–100K) to refill orders. ✅ As long as weekly structure remains bullish (BOS confirmed), the next target after accumulation is $130K–135K liquidity pool. 🔮 My Expectation: Short-term: Possible retracement into $100K–110K liquidity zones. Mid-term: Continuation towards $130K–135K (next major liquidity pool). Invalidated if weekly closes below $95K demand. ⚠️ Not financial advice – this is an educational Smart Money perspective.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by ghe2te
2
Technical Analysis for US30 (Dow Jones) Closing Price: 44,935.4 (16th Aug 2025, 12:50 PM UTC+4) Analysis Methods: Japanese Candlesticks, Harmonic Patterns (ABCD, M/W), Elliott Wave, Wyckoff, Gann Theory (Time/Square of 9/Angles), Ichimoku, RSI, Bollinger Bands, VWAP, Moving Averages (MA/EMA/SMA/WMA). 1. Long-Term Trend (Weekly/Monthly) Elliott Wave: US30 is in Wave 5 of a bull cycle (Wave 3 peak: 45,500, Wave 4 correction to 42,800). Target: 46,200–46,800 (1.618 extension of Wave 1). Gann Price Forecasting: Square of 9: √44,935.4 ≈ 212.00 → Key resistance: 213² = 45,369, 214² = 45,796 Critical support: 211² = 44,521, 210² = 44,100 Break above 45,369 targets 46,000 (psychological level). Ichimoku (Monthly): Tenkan (9): 43,800 > Kijun (26): 43,200 → Bullish crossover. Price above thick Senkou Span (42,500–43,000) – structural bullishness. Moving Averages: Weekly EMA(100): 43,000 (major trend support). Swing Outlook: Bullish. Wave 5 targets 46,200–46,800. 2. Medium-Term Swing (4H/Daily) Harmonic Patterns: Bearish ABCD on Daily: A: 45,200 → B: 44,300 → C: 44,900 → D: 45,050–45,150 (1.272 BC extension). Bullish Crab (W Pattern) near 44,400 (0.886 XA retracement). Wyckoff Phase: Distribution above 44,900: Upthrust rejection at 45,000 (16th Aug) on fading volume. Weakness in rallies above 44,950. Gann Theory: Time Window: Aug 19–22 (Square of 9 reversal cluster). Gann Angle: 1x1 support at 44,800 (45° angle from Aug 14 low). Price-Time Squaring: 44,935 aligns with Aug 16 – consolidation expected. Indicators: RSI(14) + Bollinger Bands (Daily): RSI: 65 (neutral-bullish, no divergence). Price testing upper BB(20,2) at 45,050 → band expansion signals volatility. VWAP (Weekly): 44,600 (swing support). Swing Trade Setup: Short near 45,050–45,150 → Target 44,500. Stop-loss: 45,300. Long near 44,400 → Target 45,500. Stop-loss: 44,200. 3. Intraday Outlook (5M–4H) Key Levels: Resistance: 45,000 (psychological), 45,100 (Gann 1x1), 45,200 (ABCD target). Support: 44,850 (VWAP), 44,750 (Ichimoku cloud), 44,600 (200-EMA). Indicators: Ichimoku (1H): Tenkan: 44,920, Kijun: 44,860 → Price above both (short-term bullish). Cloud: Bullish (44,780–44,840) – intraday support zone. RSI + Bollinger Bands (4H): RSI(14): 61 (neutral). Price near mid-BB(20,2) at 44,900 → break below signals bearish momentum. VWAP + MAs: VWAP: 44,880 (intraday pivot). EMA(20): 44,940 (resistance). Candlestick Patterns: 4H Shooting Star at 45,000 → Bearish reversal signal. 1H Bearish Harami below 44,950 → Confirms selling pressure. Gann Intraday Squaring: Time Cycle: 14:00–16:00 UTC+4 (NY open) for volatility surge. Price Harmony: Close below 44,900 targets 44,800 → 44,700. Intraday Trade Plan: Sell below 44,900 → Target 44,800 (VWAP) → 44,700 (Gann support). Buy above 45,050 only if RSI <65 → Target 45,150. Stop-Loss: 40–50 points. Summary of Key Signals Time Frame Bias Entry Target Stop-Loss Intraday Bearish <44,900 44,880–44,900 44,700–44,800 45,000 Swing Bullish 44,400–44,450 45,200–45,500 44,200 Swing Bearish 45,050–45,100 44,500–44,600 45,300 Critical Events: Gann Reversal Window: Aug 19–22 (watch for Fed minutes/retail data). Daily Close >45,200 invalidates bearish patterns and targets 45,796. Risk Note: US30 is sensitive to Dow components’ earnings and USD moves. Use tight stops during NY session. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya dot Trade.(world wide web shunya dot trade) I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya.Trade world wide web shunya dot trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by sunya
Bitcoin & Altcoins: Technical Analysis and Market OutlookBitcoin (BTC) Analysis Bitcoin is currently forming a short-term bullish pennant within a larger long-term pattern, projecting a potential target around $135K. Key Levels: BTC is consolidating between the lower zone at $117.3K and the upper zone at $119.7K. Breakout Potential: A break above this pattern could propel BTC toward a new all-time high (ATH), surpassing the current ATH at $123K. Macro Events This Week: Wednesday: The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, with no changes expected. Wednesday: ADP Employment Report, providing insights into potential future rate cuts. Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data release, which could further influence market sentiment. Ethereum (ETH) Breakout Ethereum has decisively broken through its 4-year historical resistance around $3,725, closing the week above this level. This breakout signals a strong bullish outlook for ETH, with potential for further upside. Altcoin Highlights BNB: Has shattered its previous all-time highs, showcasing significant bullish momentum. XRP: Reached approximately $3.64, reflecting strong gains and market interest. Market Context The crypto market is showing robust activity, with altcoins following Bitcoin and Ethereum's lead. Key macroeconomic events this week could introduce volatility, so traders should stay vigilant. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for their own strategy and risk management. Happy trading and good profits! 🚀
Long
by CRYPTONIA5
Gold at a Crossroads: $100 Drop Ahead or New All-Time High?Gold is now sitting at a critical decision zone near the $3300 level — a key bank-level area. If we see a daily candle close below this level, I anticipate a minimum drop of 1,000 pips, with the first major support around the $3220–$3200 range. The $3200 level is extremely significant, and I’ll discuss its importance more in future updates if necessary. On the flip side, if buyers step in and we get a daily close above $3300, I still believe it’s too early to jump into longs. The selling pressure remains quite obvious, and we’ve already seen multiple failed attempts to push beyond this level toward the $3500 all-time high. That tells me the orders at this level might be exhausted. Personally, I’ll only consider a long position if we get at least a clean 4-hour candle close above $3350. It’s going to be an exciting week ahead with high-impact data releases including ADP, Core PCE, the Federal Funds Rate — and most importantly, Friday’s NFP. 📌 Stay tuned for updates throughout the week! Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion!!!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mehrasfx
2
Buying TMO sharesI am buying TMO shares according to my strategy for stocks, ETFs, and precious metals. This strategy shows 100% performance on this stock on a weekly timeframe. Therefore, I am investing a small percentage of my deposit in it and will wait for it to perform. I hope that everything will work out this time too :) Of course, the price may go even lower, but I will buy more if the strategy shows a buy signal. In the long run, I think there will be an excellent profit. DYOR
NYSE:TMOLong
by IQTrend_Dev
XAUUSD 1H | Sell TP Hit → Now Flipping Long After Liquidity SweeSmart Money Buy Setup | 1H Execution | Reversal from Demand Zone Just hit full TP (396 pts) on a clean short from 3,434. Now flipping bias to long after price tapped into a key 4H OB and demand zone near 3,422. Price swept downside liquidity, mitigated the imbalance, and is now showing bullish intent. ⸻ 🔄 Trade Narrative: • ✅ Sell-side liquidity swept below previous HLs • 🧱 Price tapped into 4H Order Block + FVG zone • 💧 Internal liquidity vacuum filled (3,422–3,409) • 🔁 Potential 1H BOS to the upside forming • 🕯️ Bullish wick reaction from demand = early entry signal • 📉 ATR low + building pressure = potential expansion incoming (likely NY) Buy plan: Entry Zone 3,422–3,424 (with confirmation on BOS) Stop Loss Below 3,409 TP1 3,434.435 (prior supply tap) TP2 3,439.210 (range high) TP3 3,455–3,460 (weekly extension target) 📌 Why I’m Flipping: Price didn’t just reject randomly — it reacted exactly where smart money would’ve wanted to rebalance after the previous long impulse. This is the textbook scenario where you don’t marry a bias — just follow liquidity and structure. 🧠 Key Lessons: • Don’t force continuation when the market is clearly absorbing • Liquidity grabs often lead to strong reversals — watch BOS to confirm • Same zone that gave you your TP? Can give you your next entry 💡 🔖 Tags: #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #OrderBlock #BreakOfStructure #BuySetup #PriceAction #1HChart #GoldTrading
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ByDaneo
BTC Smart money Bullish don’t be fooled !**BITCOIN MICROSTRUCTURE ANALYSIS: Institutional Accumulation Through Order Flow Divergence** The current BTCUSD market structure presents a compelling case study in institutional accumulation mechanics, utilizing sophisticated order flow analysis to identify smart money positioning ahead of retail market participants. **Technical Infrastructure Analysis** The convergence of multiple analytical frameworks reveals a coordinated accumulation pattern across various timeframes and exchanges. Volume Profile Analysis on the primary chart indicates substantial institutional interest between $108,000-$110,000, with the Point of Control (POC) establishing a robust foundation for directional bias determination. **Order Flow Microstructure Dynamics** The Bitfinex footprint data reveals critical microstructural imbalances that traditional technical analysis often overlooks. The current candle displays a **-4.52 delta** with price resilience at $109,480, indicating aggressive institutional absorption of retail selling pressure. This negative delta combined with price strength represents a classic **Wyckoff accumulation signature** - large participants are utilizing iceberg orders and hidden liquidity pools to build positions without triggering algorithmic momentum systems. **Smart Money Positioning Mechanics** Three key indicators confirm institutional accumulation: 1. **Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Divergence**: Both spot and perpetual markets showing negative CVD (-95.77K spot, -50.05K perp) while price maintains elevation, indicating off-exchange accumulation through dark pools and cross-trading networks. 1. **Open Interest Expansion**: The increase from 77.89K to 78.75K contracts with minimal funding rate pressure suggests fresh institutional capital rather than retail speculation. 1. **Volume Profile Concentration**: The heatmap reveals 105.85M in trading volume concentrated within the $108K-$110K range, representing systematic accumulation rather than random market activity. **Institutional Arbitrage Mechanics** The funding rate dynamics (0.001783 with periodic negative spikes to -0.000753) indicate sophisticated carry trade positioning. Institutions are likely utilizing the negative funding periods to establish leveraged long positions while simultaneously hedging through spot accumulation, creating a self-reinforcing feedback loop. **Market Microstructure Implications** This accumulation pattern typically precedes **Phase C markup** in Wyckoff methodology, where institutional players transition from absorption to active price discovery. The thin volume profile above $112,000 suggests minimal resistance once the breakout occurs, creating conditions for rapid price expansion toward the $113,600 target. **Risk-Adjusted Positioning Strategy** The confluence of volume profile analysis, order flow dynamics, and institutional positioning indicators supports a high-probability long bias with the following parameters: - **Entry Zone**: $109,000-$109,200 (current accumulation range) - **Risk Management**: Stop loss at $108,200 (below institutional POC) - **Target Sequence**: $110,653 → $112,000 → $113,600 - **Confidence Level**: 90% (upgraded from initial 75% based on footprint confirmation) **Forward-Looking Market Structure** The sophisticated nature of this accumulation pattern suggests institutional preparation for a significant directional move. The combination of hidden liquidity absorption, funding rate arbitrage, and volume profile concentration creates optimal conditions for sustained upward momentum once the $110,000 psychological resistance is cleared. This analysis exemplifies how advanced order flow techniques can provide substantial informational advantages over traditional technical analysis, particularly in identifying institutional positioning ahead of retail market recognition. *Position sizing should remain within 3-5% of total portfolio allocation, with dynamic risk management protocols adjusted based on evolving market microstructure conditions.*
Long
by NorthBayJay