Moving Averages
Setup BBMA Reentry Sell WeeklyAs we can see on weekly timeframe, the price did momentum sell as bearish movement with EMA50 still above SMA20. This remarkable as downtrend. Thus, the minor movement of bullish is just a retracement to find setup reentry sell in weekly MA High 5 & MA High 10 area.
Then we lower down the timeframe to smaller as we can see Daily give a setup of minor extreme sell as it is a indication of early stage reversal trend. Then on daily there is a rejection candle as in bearish candle. Waiting for next candle to open, drop down to lower timeframe to get an entry point.
In H4 timeframe we can see the price is forming full diagram BBMA which are Extreme, then TPW, then forming MHV. Setup MHV is remark as market losses it volume as price fail to form momentum a.k.a breaking top BB. This confirming the price does not having a momentum to continue uptrend.
Market Update 10/5/22TIMESTAMPS:
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Intro 0:00
APPL Today's Movements 0:55
NASDAQ Quick 2:35
BTC Quick 3:43
DXY Being Weird 4:27
APPL Talking opening Targets 6:50
Possible VIX Concerns 11:30
USD/WTI 13:48
Hang Seng 16:28
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I will see you tomorrow at 9:30
Market Update 10/4/22TIMESTAMPS:
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Intro 0:00
BTC Update 0:20
APPL Today's Movements 5:04
APPL Talking Opening Targets 9:06
Possible VIX Concerns13:42
NDQ 14:17
USD/WTI 15:15
Some Stocks and Gold 15:56
Closing Statements 19:20
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See yall tomorrow at 9:15 EST
Beep boop. Beep Beep boop.
Beep boop. Beep Beep boop.
Market Update 10/3/22 Fight for $142.65TIMESTAMPS:
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Intro 0:00
APPL Possible Movements 0:28
APPL Today's Movements 4:15
BTC Recap 7:05
USD/WTI 14:25
ETH/BTC 15:30
XRP/USD 18:44
Closing Statements 19:45
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I'm too lazy to type too much today. In the video I go over what I want to see in the first 1-2 minutes. If you want an update on what the market did through my perspective, then check out the video after the first 1-2 minutes.
I go over BTC in the second half of the video, but nothing has really changed with BTC since yesterdays update. It is just moving with the market and we saw the entry point yesterday after the Week candle change. The short spots are still there if the price reaches. Most likely we will not get there until/if the stock market drops.
142.65 is still where APPL needs to fight for.
BTC Sunday Update 10/2/22Check the 2HR and 4HR 375 and 500 Hull averages for short entry targets. We were not nearly as bearish as I would have thought when we ended friday. Obviously we will see what happens on Monday with the Stock market.
I inked Fridays Market update to this, so you can check that out if you want. I talk about spots where I expect we can see a reversal depending on where we start.
TLDW; BTC week end target is 18k. We obviously aren't there and we found support above the 4HR and 4 HR hulls. The short targets are there, but someone or something has to push it down, otherwise its not worth shorting where it currently is.
Pushing to the Week 200 SMMA isnt particularly amazing, because we want to see the candle end UNDER. To do that its going to take another 7 days from now, so selling it early can easily be seen as over selling. Unless the stock market is trash of course.
Market Update 9/30/22 Off The Cliff We Go?TIMESTAMPS:
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Intro 0:00
BTC 0:54
APPL Yesterday's Movements 9:23
APPL Today's Movements 11:12
APPL: When the Market Fell Off the Cliff 13:53
What We may See Monday and Issues of Dropping Further 18:06
Closing Statements 19:26
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There is probably one thing that saves this, and I really doubt it will happen at this point.
I only go over BTC and APPL in this one: Focusing on the Kings. The buying and selling, more specifically the selling, was REALLY good today. Even when we were slightly oversold on the shorter timeframes, the price made sure not to drop too much until we had higher time frames start under the major trendline.
BTC starting the week under 18k is horrible, things look bad, but these last two trading days have had amazing price action. I think this is worse than better, because bad selling brings good buying, but good selling generally brings nothing but more selling.
The sell off at 11:29:45 (last 15 seconds before the 2HR, 1HR, and 30Min TimeFrame change to bring it just under 142.65 was really something. I pretty much knew what was coming the second I saw that on stream. I go over that moment in the video.
Anyway, see you all on Sunday around 19:30 EST for the Crypto Week Time Frame candle change.
Market Update 9/29/22 Possible ReversalTIMESTAMPS:
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Intro 0:00
APPL What I want to see 2:07
Quick DXY 5:15
Going Over APPL Price Movements 6:00
BTC 10:56
USD/WTI (OIL) 16:54
Closing Statements 19:11
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Essentially I can easily see something bullish if we start between 142.65 - 143.2. I don't want the price to start too far away. Very similarly to how we started the day slightly under the Day 200 SMMA, touched it and then dropped. I go into specifics in the video.
Things look horrible and this is based on where we start on APPL tomorrow , but I have a good feeling about it. Also its not something that is traded until I see where we start the day, so pre and post are not important to me.
As always: Watch the video and I'll see you tomorrow at 09:15 EST to the end of the market.
Market Update 9/27/22 Structure FormingTIMESTAMPS:
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Intro 0:00
APPL What I want to see 1:32
Going Over Price Movements 1:44
DXY & VIX 9:36
BTC 10:48
ETH/BTC 16:09
DOGE 17:08
XRP 17:32
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Same video structure as always. I go over what I want to see regarding APPL (the Market King outside indices 💪) and then I go more in-depth about what happened today and then go back over what I want to see again and then in to the usual, BTC, ETH/BTC, Doge, and XRP cryptos.
Average I want to see us start slightly above is 151.75. Starting slightly under looks worse, but I want to see the lower time frame structure collapse as well. IF you check the stream near 14:30 EST you will notice that they (bulls) do a good job of not allowing the price to start under the 30Min 375 hull, which would cause a drop to a weak range that would most likely fail.
From a week perspective, I still want the price to stay in this range. These last two weeks have just been a whole lot of over selling, followed by over buying. The Day time frame 375 Hull coming down on us is certainly concerning, as it will align with the 4HR 200 and 500 averages
and also where the fib level resides (155.50). While it creates a nice area to push through if we can get above it, an INSANE push can happen, but that is also because when things line up, it generally means its really bearish, and its not that people are buying it, but that its shorts getting wrecked and people covering their shorts, that pushes it up.
👁👃🏽👁 Cya tomorrow at 9:15 EST as usual.
Market Update 9/26/22TIMESTAMPS:
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Intro 0:00
APPL 0:25
Going Over Price Movements 5:00
BTC 8:34
VIX 12:34
Indices 13:18
APPL What I want to see Recap 14:30
USD/WTI 16:08
DOGE 17:25
XRP 18:12
ETH/BTC 19:28
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Video Sums it up. The average ceiling is around the 4HR hull at 151.81. Depending on where we start there might be mayhem in the coming days or even tomorrow. The main plus that the market had today on the open, was that it was oversold in pre-market, assisting the price in initially pushing up more than it needed it.
I go over it in the video, but the amount the price rose in 1 hour today, was the same amount it rose last Monday in 5.5 hours. Pretty wild stuff. Especially since it got sold down from there.
As usual, I will add timestamps.
Market Update 9/25/22 Why We Cant Have Nice ThingsTIMESTAMPS:
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BTC 0:00
Why the Macro Still looks Bad 7:02
ETH/BTC 8:33
DOGE 9:35
XRP 12:55
Closing Statements 19:45
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I go over what I think pretty quickly and then go into the nuance of the movements and then a quick overview of ETH/BTC, Doge and XRP. I recommend watching at least the first 4-5 minutes of the video.
Summary: the Macro looks horrible and that hasn't changed. The price needs to reach around 22.4k within the next couple of days for me to even consider a change in mid-term trend. The fact that BTC mainly moves when the stock market is open hasn't changed either.
There are conflicting buy and sell signals on the short term now with converging sell signals on the 2 and 4hr timeframes.
Yesterday's day candle, to make things worse, hit the target we needed to hit on todays candle, 4 hours before it needed to be hit. Furthermore, were collapsing back down to hit the target we need to hit (today), with the downward trend from everything crated on todays day candle thus far.
I mention Doge XRP and ETH/BTC also, but not much has changed with those.
Check near the end of the video for XRP as it is the only one that may have a chance of doing anything. Though, depending on where the day timeframe candle ends for btc things could be bad in the short short term and indicate weakness coming into the stock market this Monday.
Now, I wait for things to happen, so none of this means much to me until we start these candles where I want to see them. I just like to put out my thoughts to better explain my thinking and show how this strategy can be used for the longer time frames and similarly for the shorter time frames.
Also BTC starting the week right under the Day hull and with a down trend on it, generally shows a big drop chance on the short to mid term.
I will be streaming the Week candle change, starting tonight at 19:30 EST (UTC-4). As I always do.
Market Update 9/24/22Short Video. Looking for BTC to end above ~18,819. More specifics are in the video.
Besides that I go over what happened on ETH/BTC, DOGE and XRP and what I am looking for in the coming days.
Take care. Let me know if there is an alt you want me to look at in the future and I can add that to my updates or make one about it.
Market Update 9/23/22 The Sound of Bulls?TIMESTAMPS:
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What I want to see in APPL: 0:00
How that may translate to the SPY,DJI,NDQ 4:46
VIX 5:40
APPL Possible Concerns/Targets 6:16
BTC/USD 8:36
ETH/BTC 10:00
DOGE/BTC 11:00
XRP/USD and XRP/BTC 15:05
Closing Statements 19:37
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I go over what I want to see in the first 3-5 minutes and then I go over some crypto pairs that look like they have big potential moves (more so continuations) coming up. Those are ETH/BTC, DOGE/BTC and XRP/BTC.
We started the day bearish like I expected and ended in the range I expected. Though the in-between was certainly not what I expected. I was somewhat surprised we didn't break to 146.60, but I thought that even if we did early in the day, that it had a high chance to return to the area APPL ended at. Otherwise we start next week over sold and had a strong reason to move back up to test. Which didn't seem like a great idea for longer term bears.
I am still looking forwards to whether we start above or under the Week 500 hull
for APPL as a general idea of whether we return or fall off the cliff, but the sentiment going into this weekend feels bullish. We will see if BTC can end slightly above the Day 500 hull (18945) as it usually does indicating an attempt to move back up and breathing room for alts.
Market Update 9/22/22Intro 0:00
BTC 0:30
APPL 2:18
VIX 11:51
HSI: 14:45
XRP/BTC and BTC Analysis 16:10
I refer between VIX, APPL and BTC in-between 11:51 and 14:45
I go over where I expect things could start for movements tomorrow and then I go in to what happened today and why I think we can end up at certain places and what targets bulls and bears may be fighting for to get what they want. Non-Short-Term Bears don't always want to sell nor do similar bulls always want to buy. Consolidation can be key.
Market Update 9/21/22Time Stamps:
0:00 APPL
4:00 VIX
6:28 APPL
9:12 BTC
18:02 ETH/BTC
19:06 GOLD
19:24 OIL
Lets see what happens.
I go over what I want to see then a recap of the last couple days and today and then I go over BTC towards the end and the big trend we have been in for months.
Long story short, I hope we get bought up a small amount tomorrow so that we can have a clean break further down and it wont seem like we are getting oversold. Though, I can't be annoyed by anyone selling because they want to be in in cash. It just makes sense as a defensive option. So to that, we may just fall off a cliff. I really don't mind being oversold though, as I prefer being bullish on/after big drops.
To me, the indexes have no real support underneath where they currently are and if APPL drops, It will drag things down pretty far. I expect Appl to head towards 122 in the near future, but well have to see what happens. Appl around 22 would coincide with the indexes possibly hitting around 20-38% down, which isn't bad considering there could be a nice amount of overselling and an easy ride back up like we had in 2020.
How to trade using the CSC-HARSI "The Real Way"Welcome to The coffee shop. this is your host and Barista Eric. This podcast is designed to teach you the technical analysis that you should know so you can stay out of false trades in your Crypto endeavors. It's a platform where I get to release my edits of popular indicators. I'll show you how to use them, and of course from time to time I will call out really bad strategies because I don't want you guys to have bad information. Feel free to share this content where you choose and of course do Not fall for scams. I will not approach you online asking you for crypto assets Lending or any type of financial support. But bear in mind that doesn't mean I don't like talking with you guys because from time to time you will find a message from me saying hey how you do when they want to get close to you.
So it's been a while since the CSC-HARSI has been released and I think it's time I do a quick video on an entry and exit for a buy and sell on this indicator.
It has been requested by dozens of you weekly and I have seen all of the videos online on the improper way to use the old version of this indicator. Since the new one is out and it works basically on beast mode I want you guys to be using this to its fullest potential.
today's video is based on using the VWAP as the moving average against the RSI.
So let's just jump right in and get started.
go ahead and open your chart and tradingview
Search fo rCSC-HARSI, or "Coffeeshopcrypto"
Add the indicator to your chart and keep the default settings
open the settings wheel and go to the inputs tab
scroll down to RSI moving average settings and change the ma type to vwap.
Okay that's it you're ready to go and now let's talk about the rules for a long and short trade.
As you do with any chart and any day that you're going to start your trading the first thing you do is you set up your support and resistance level. Personally I do this on a 4-Hour chart. I recommend setting your support and resistance levels initially when you open your chart on a time frame 1 to 2 * above the one you're using.
for example I do my trading on a 1 hour chart so my support and resistance levels are usually set on a 4-Hour chart
Lucky for you the indicator tells you where those things are however you may want to set up your extreme levels as well. You can do that by looking at extreme points of swinging price on your chart and just put a level they're at the top and another at the bottom.
STOCHASTIC IMPORTANCE:
Before we get started let me discuss something very briefly with you about the level of the Stochastic in the indicator. The scale on the right side of the indicator is mainly designed for the stochastic to tell you how hard things are pressing on the gas. In other words if the stochastic is anywhere from zero to 50 There is almost no movement on price. However, once the stochastic is doing anything above the 50 all the way to the 100, the closer it is to 100 the more Force there is in the market. you have to remember that the Stochastic RSI was designed to be a faster RSI.
So if the stochastic is green "Bullish" and moving upwards over 70 there is A LOT of force to the upside..
If it is RED "Bearish" and it's under 50 there is a lot of force to the downside. The closer it is to ZERO the more force there is.
The strategy that I used to enter and exit using this indicator falls under these particular rules:
SHORTS:
1. The stochastic must be in a downtrend.
2. the RSI must be below its moving average.
3. The RSI must be below 50
4. Heikin Ashi candles must be red.
5. The Heikin Ashi candle must open above the moving average and close below the moving average.
6. The most optimal move is when the candle opens above the 60 and closes below the 60 while crossing the moving average.
An alternative to rule six is; If your candle opens above the 50 and above the moving average but close is below both of them at the same time this is also an entry.
Now obviously the rules for getting into long positions are exactly the opposite.
First things first, always take a look at your support and resistance levels that you set up ahead of time.
The second thing is to check your moving averages.
I commonly use a 50 and a 100. Exponential moving average.
If you are using scalping time frames which are anything from the 30 minute and Below then I would suggest using a 20 period Moving average and a 50 period Moving average.
LONG POSITIONS RULES:
1. The stochastic must be in an uptrend.
2. the RSI must be above its moving average.
3. The RSI must be above 50
4. Heikin Ashi candles must be green.
5. The Heikin Ashi candle must open below the moving average and close above the moving average.
6. The most optimal move is when the candle opens below the 40 and closes above the 40 while crossing the moving average.
7. Alternate to rule six is; If your candle opens below the 50 and above the moving average but close is above both of them at the same time this is also an entry.
Market Update/Outlook 9/20/22I am pre-positioned in a small size of OTM puts incase the vix looks bad, affects the premarket tomorrow and I cannot position properly. The places I would get out or where I would add on at, are mentioned in the video.
Its too much work to find them all and type them all, so just watch the video.
Cya all tomorrow at 9:15 EST for the full market day.
Market Update 9/13/2022: What You Need to KnowJust watch the video. That's Why I make them: To not type. I'm not time stamping this one because is meant to be watched in order. If you want to know what to look for, you only need to spend at most 4-6 minutes watching.
Take care and good luck on your trades.
I stream every week day from 9:15 to market close.
Luna/USDT What to watch for: H4 CloseThis video is pretty much:
Going over how I do not like that BTC did not come back to support on Saturday.
Luna is near its strongest (relative to location) timeframe average. Which is the 4HR. Currently this is it 5.6088.
Long story short: We do not want to end, not just under the 4HR 200 smma, but also close to it while being under. If we end too far, the price could easily come back to test that rejection and could easily pass back through. An end closer to the line would be stronger from the perspective of having a good spot for people to enter shorts with minimal losses. Pretty straight forward. I go into more specifics in the video.
Anyway, its an 18 minute video and may be worth the watch. The first 5 minutes are worth it anyway.






















