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USD/JPY Hits Yearlong Highs. Is Intervention Imminent?USD/JPY is trading higher today as market attention has shifted sharply to the U.S. jobs report released this morning. December payrolls came in softer than expected, with just 50,000 jobs added, reinforcing a view that the Federal Reserve doesn’t have enough information just yet to push ahead with another rate cut. Despite the weaker job gain, the unemployment rate ticked lower to 4.4%, giving the U.S. Dollar support and lifting the currency against the Japanese Yen. On the Japan side, uncertainty around the Bank of Japan’s next steps continues to weigh on the Yen. Recent commentary from BOJ officials suggests caution on further tightening even as domestic consumption trends improve, which reinforces the policy divergence with the United States and keeps the Yen under pressure. With broader risk sentiment stable and the greenback finding bids on U.S. macro data, USD/JPY remains elevated as traders digest today’s labor figures and await further cues on monetary policy – not to mention the increased risk of intervention due to the sharp deterioration in the Yen’s standing. In the above chart, USD/JPY rates have pushed through the November and December highs, maintaining their steep uptrend from the October and December swing lows. The move to test the 2025 high at 158.88 is gathering pace, with 5-day exponential moving average (EMA), 20-day EMA, 50-day EMA, and 100-day EMA having positive rates of change. A move through the 2025 high and into the 160s could precipitate greater chatter, if not outright intervention, from Japanese officials about intervention.
by tastyfx
RSI Oversold: Statistical Comparison on H4 TimeframeDAX is currently showing extreme momentum conditions on H4, with RSI levels comparable to previous historical cases (green circles). However, unlike past occurrences, the current setup is not characterized by a single oversold spike, but by a prolonged RSI extreme over time. Historically, persistent momentum exhaustion has tended to produce deeper and more sustained corrective phases, rather than fake or shallow pullbacks. For this reason, the current structure favors a multi-leg, structurally bearish correction, rather than a temporary retracement. 📉 Expected price sequence (SHORT) Test of the ascending trendline around 24,800 Technical bounce towards 25,000 – 25,050 Trendline retest followed by a confirmed bearish breakout Start of the main short leg 🎯 Downside targets (grey horizontal levels) TP1: 24,780 – 24,650 TP2: 24,480 – 24,450 ⏱ Timing Based on RSI statistical comparison, a market bottom is expected between late January and mid-February. 🧠 Conclusion This setup is STRICTLY SHORT-biased. Price action suggests distribution and bull trap dynamics before the final bearish continuation.
TVC:DEU40Short
by omarlima9546
Dr. Reddy's Bearish view This setup is based on a clean break of the prior pivot low around the level (₹1,246.61), confirming bearish momentum. Defined short entry zone just below ₹1,241.09, aligning with a weekly supply zone from the higher timeframe. The zone confluence with a weekly 50 EMA also. 🔻 Entry: Short on retracement into the supply zone 🛡️ Stop Loss: Above the zone with a buffer of 15% DATR 🎯 Target: 1:3 Risk-Reward, aiming toward the ₹1,200 region ⚠️ Caution: Profit booking advised near the weekly demand zone and the orange-shaded caution area This trade respects multi-timeframe confluence and risk management principles. Ideal for traders seeking structured short opportunities with clear invalidation and reward zones.
NSE:DRREDDYShort
by the_sailor_trader
Dr. Reddy's Bearish view This setup is based on a clean break of the prior pivot low around the level (₹1,246.61), confirming bearish momentum. Defined short entry zone just below ₹1,241.09, aligning with a weekly supply zone from the higher timeframe. The zone confluence with a weekly 50 EMA also. 🔻 Entry: Short on retracement into the supply zone 🛡️ Stop Loss: Above the zone with a buffer of 15% DATR 🎯 Target: 1:3 Risk-Reward, aiming toward the ₹1,200 region ⚠️ Caution: Profit booking advised near the weekly demand zone and the orange-shaded caution area This trade respects multi-timeframe confluence and risk management principles. Ideal for traders seeking structured short opportunities with clear invalidation and reward zones.
NSE:DRREDDYShort
by the_sailor_trader
CVS: Will The Snooze Continue?CVS Health has been hibernating all winter, but some traders may think its snooze is ending. The first pattern on today’s chart is the bearish gap on October 30, one day after earnings beat estimates. The stock had rallied into the report, so the decline may have been a case of “selling the news.” Second, CVS spent two months stuck below the gap but it’s been recently pushing back above that level. Is resistance breaking? Third, CVS has formed a potential basing pattern. Bollinger Bandwidth shrank to the narrowest range in more than two years. That period of compression may create potential for price expansion. Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA and MACD is rising. Those signals may reflect a bullish short-term trend. Finally, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is above the 100-day SMA. Both are above the 200-day SMA. That kind of sequence, with fast SMAs above slower ones, may reflect a bullish long-term trend. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:CVS
by TradeStation
GENM.TO — Swing Trade Idea (TSX)💰 GENM.TO — Swing Trade Idea (TSX) 🏢 Company Snapshot • Generation Mining is a Canadian development-stage miner advancing the Marathon Palladium-Copper Project in Ontario. • Setup matters now as the stock digests a sharp momentum leg within a broader uptrend tied to renewed interest in PGM/base metals. 📊 Fundamental Context (Trade-Relevant Only) • Valuation: Project-stage valuation — trades on asset optionality rather than earnings; leverage to metal prices. • Balance Sheet: No material revenue yet; financing risk remains but recent activity suggests adequate near-term liquidity. • Cash Flow: Negative by nature; catalyst-driven rather than cash-flow-driven. • Dividend: None. Fundamental Read: Fundamentals neither block nor drive the trade — this is a pure technical swing within a commodity-linked name. 🪙 Industry & Sector Backdrop • Short-Term (1–4 weeks): Metals & mining showing selective rotation into developers after Q4 strength. • Medium-Term (1–6 months): Volatile but improving relative strength vs TSX when metals bid. • Macro Influence: Palladium/copper pricing and risk-on sentiment remain key drivers. Sector Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish (tactical). 📐 Technical Structure (Primary Driver) • Trend: Price remains above rising 50-SMA (~0.67) and well above 200-SMA (~0.42) — primary uptrend intact. • Momentum: RSI(2) has reset from overbought into the 50–60 zone, consistent with a buyable pullback, not trend failure. • Pattern: Pullback into prior breakout zone after a momentum expansion toward ~0.95. • Volume: Recent selloff occurred on elevated volume — needs confirmation of selling exhaustion before entry. Key Levels • Support: 0.66 – 0.60 (50-SMA + prior range high) • Resistance: 0.95 – 1.00 (December spike high / psychological) 🎯 Trade Plan (Execution-Focused) • Entry: 0.60 – 0.66 on stabilization or bullish daily close (support reclaim). • Stop: 0.58 (clean loss of breakout support + 50-SMA). • Target: 0.95 (prior high / measured swing). • Risk-to-Reward: ~2.8R. Alternate Scenario: • Failure to hold 0.60 opens a deeper pullback toward 0.50 (prior base). No long bias below 0.58 — trend structure compromised. 🧠 Swing Trader’s Bias Price is in a confirmed higher-timeframe uptrend, pulling back into confluence support with momentum reset. Looking for a controlled reaction off the 0.60–0.66 zone to re-engage toward prior highs for a ≥2R swing. A decisive breakdown below 0.58 invalidates the setup.
TSX:GENMLong
by SwingTraderKev
BTCUSD – DailyBitcoin (BTCUSD) has corrected sharply after a strong rally toward 120K+, and is now forming a higher low structure. Price is currently compressed between: • An ascending trendline • A major horizontal resistance near 94,000 → Ascending triangle / compression structure Key Levels • Dynamic Support: Ascending trendline (87,000 – 88,000) • Major Static Support: 85,000 – 86,000 • Key Resistance: 93,500 – 94,500 • Next Resistance: 98,000 → 102,000 Bullish Scenario (Primary) If price: • Closes above 94,500 (daily close) • Confirms the breakout with a retest ➡️ Bullish continuation becomes likely. Upside Targets: 98,000 → 102,000 → 110,000 Invalidation / Stop: Daily close below 87,000 Bearish Scenario (Alternative) If price: • Breaks below the ascending trendline • Closes under 87,000 ➡️ Deeper correction is likely. Downside Targets: 85,000 → 81,000 Bearish Invalidation: Acceptance above 94,500 Final Takeaway BTC is at a critical decision zone. A breakout above 94K favors continuation, while losing 87K signals further downside.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by isahebdadi
Cipher Mining(CIFR) 1D: compression before expansionCipher Mining is a US-listed Bitcoin mining company with direct exposure to the BTC cycle and infrastructure scalability. On the daily chart, price is forming a symmetrical triangle after the prior impulse. The key decision zone sits around 15, where the 0.786 Fibonacci level, diagonal support, MA100 and volume profile align. This area defines the execution zone, while direction is confirmed by higher timeframes. Direction comes from the higher timeframes. On the weekly and monthly charts, indicators maintain a bullish configuration: moving averages are rising and positioned below price, the broader structure remains intact, and oscillators stay neutral-bullish with no reversal signals. This confirms that the current daily consolidation is occurring within a larger bullish context. The daily MA100 acts as dynamic support inside the range, strengthening the importance of the 15 level. The base scenario assumes support holding at 15 followed by an upside breakout from the triangle. Initial targets sit near 20.5, followed by 25.5. A decisive breakdown below 15 invalidates the setup. Fundamentally, CIFR remains a cyclical mining play. Revenue remains elevated, with the next quarterly estimate around $88M. EPS is still negative and free cash flow remains under pressure, which is typical during expansion phases. Strong financing inflows help support liquidity and ongoing infrastructure growth. The stock remains a leveraged bet on Bitcoin continuation. In short: daily defines the entry, weekly and monthly define the direction.
NASDAQ:CIFRLong
by TotoshkaTrades
GBP/USD Slumps Towards Two-Month Trend SupportGBP/USD is trading lower on the day as sterling comes under renewed pressure from soft U.K.-specific fundamentals and lingering uncertainty around the economic outlook. The pound weakened as investors continued to digest the Bank of England’s more dovish stance following last year’s rate cut, with markets increasingly pricing further easing as growth momentum cools. While broader risk sentiment has been relatively stable, sterling has underperformed peers as domestic concerns take precedence. UK data and commentary continue to point to a fragile growth backdrop, particularly in interest-rate-sensitive sectors such as housing and construction, reinforcing expectations that the BOE will prioritize supporting activity over guarding against inflation. With little in the way of positive domestic catalysts today, GBP/USD has been driven lower by relative policy expectations, leaving the pound vulnerable as markets look ahead to upcoming U.K. data and further guidance from the BOE. In the above chart, GBP/USD has retraced about half of its gains this week in the past two sessions, leaving the pair effectively unchanged for 2026. At first blush, the retracement would appear to be a correction within a modest uptrend since late-November, buttressed by positive slopes in each of the 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day exponential moving averages (EMA). A drop below 1.3400, however, would see the series of higher highs and higher lows over the past six weeks negated, concurrently representing a break below the 20-day EMA. Should GBP/USD trade above 1.3600 by the end of the month, traders may find a symmetrical triangle breakout taking shape.
by tastyfx
Centene Corp | CNC | Long at $35.00Centene Corp NYSE:CNC is a healthcare enterprise providing programs and services to under-insured and uninsured families, commercial organizations, and military families in the U.S. through Medicaid, Medicare, Commercial, and other segments. The stock dropped almost 40% this morning due to recent challenges, such as a $1.8B reduction in 2025 risk adjustment revenue and rising Medicaid costs (leading to withdrawal of 2025 earnings guidance). However, the company has a book value near $56, debt-to-equity of 0.7x (healthy), a current P/E of 5x, and a forward P/E of 9x. It may be a few years before this stock recovers. But the price has entered my "crash" simple moving average area (currently between $32 and $36) and there is a price gap on the daily chart between $32 and $33 that will likely be closed before a move higher. Long-term, and potentially a new political administration, new life may enter this stock once again as the baby boom generation requires more healthcare services. But holding is not for the faint of heart... Thus, at $35.00, NYSE:CNC is in a personal buy zone with a likely continued dip into the low $30s or high $20s before a slow move higher (where I will be accumulating more shares). Full disclosure: I am also a position holder in the $60s and cost averaging down. Targets into 2028: $45.00 (+28.6%) $54.00 (+54.3%)
NYSE:CNCLong
by WorthlessViews
Philip Morris (PM – Daily) Philip Morris (PM) has completed a strong medium-term uptrend and entered a descending corrective channel. This move appears to be a healthy structural correction, not a trend reversal. Key observation: • Price has broken above the descending channel • Currently retesting the breakout zone → Classic break-and-retest behavior Key Price Levels • Key Support: 154 – 156 • Major Support: 148 – 150 • Immediate Resistance: 160 – 162 • Next Resistance: 168 → 172 Bullish Scenario (Primary) If price: • Holds above the 154–156 zone • Shows bullish continuation from the retest ➡️ Corrective phase is complete and trend continuation is likely. Upside Targets: 160 → 168 → 172 Invalidation / Stop: Daily close below 148 Bearish / Failed Breakout Scenario If price: • Fails to hold above 154 • Falls back inside the descending channel ➡️ A deeper corrective move toward the channel lows becomes likely. Downside Targets: 148 → 142 Bearish Invalidation: Strong acceptance above 160 Final Takeaway PM is transitioning from correction to potential continuation. Holding above 154 keeps the bullish bias intact.
NYSE:PMLong
by isahebdadi
NYSE: ZETA— Swing Trade Idea (Gap Up Continuation)💰 ZETA — Swing Trade Idea (Gap Up Continuation) 🏢 Zeta Global Holdings Corp. (NYSE: ZETA) 🏢 Company Snapshot • Zeta Global provides AI-driven customer data and marketing analytics software • In focus due to renewed momentum in AI / data infrastructure names and strong post-gap price acceptance 📊 Fundamental Context (Trade-Relevant Only) • Valuation: Premium vs traditional SaaS peers, justified by AI exposure and revenue growth • Balance Sheet: Manageable debt, no near-term liquidity stress • Cash Flow: Improving operating leverage as scale increases • Dividend: None (growth-focused) Fundamental Read: Fundamentals support trend continuation but are not the catalyst — price and volume are the drivers. 🪙 Industry & Sector Backdrop • Short-Term (1–4 weeks): Data / AI software showing relative strength vs SPX • Medium-Term (1–6 months): Growth tech recovering leadership after prolonged compression • Macro Influence: Rates stabilizing → supportive for higher-multiple software Sector Bias: Bullish 📐 Technical Structure (Primary Driver) • Trend: Price reclaimed and is holding above 50-SMA and well above rising 200-SMA • Gap Behavior: Clean bullish gap with strong volume expansion and no immediate fill attempt • Pattern: Gap-and-go into prior resistance → now acting as potential support • Volume: Expansion on the gap confirms institutional participation Key Levels • Support: 22.10 – 22.40 (gap support / breakout retest zone) • Resistance: 24.80 – 25.20 (measured move / prior supply zone) 🎯 Trade Plan (Execution-Focused) • Entry: 22.80 – 23.10 on controlled pullback or tight consolidation above gap low • Stop: 21.95 (loss of gap support + failure back into range) • Target: 25.00 • Risk-to-Reward: ~2.4R Alternate Scenario: If price holds above 23.40 with no pullback, continuation entry on a high-tight flag breakout is valid with reduced size and tighter stop. 🧠 Swing Trader’s Bias Bullish bias as long as price holds above gap support and the 50-SMA. Looking for acceptance above prior resistance to target a continuation leg toward the mid-$25s. A decisive close below 22.00 invalidates the setup.
NYSE:ZETALong
by SwingTraderKev
Hasboro | HAS | Long at $66.00Hasboro $NASDAQ:HAS. Bouncing in an out of the historical simple moving average (SMA). While it may take a bit for it to spring out and continue its upward trend, it looks poised to do so. However, there is a small price gap that was never closed in the $40's that investors should stay cautious of if the downward trend continues. But a "confirmation" of a reversal will be either a continued move up or a retest of the lower historical SMA band (to close the recent price gaps) followed by a further move up. Fundamentally, NASDAQ:HAS has a high level of debt, but earnings growth is forecasted in its future. At $66.00, $ NASDAQ:HAS is in a personal buy zone, but patient investors may wish to wait for further confirmation of a reversal. Target #1 = $73.00 Target #2 = $81.00 Target #3 = $87.00 Target #4 = $119.00 (very long-term...)
NASDAQ:HASLong
by WorthlessViews
1
AUD/USD Clears 2025 HighsAUD/USD has extended its recovery early in the New Year as metals, both industrial and precious, continue to surge. The Australian Dollar climbed toward 0.6740 intraday, supported by risk-on sentiment in commodities and growing expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia may keep monetary policy tighter for longer if inflation proves sticky. That backdrop has lifted the Aussie with markets now squarely focused on tonight’s Australian CPI release, which is widely expected to show inflation moderating slightly but still above the RBA’s target band, reinforcing the case for a hawkish policy stance. Looking ahead, Australian inflation data due at 7:30pm ET will be the standout domestic catalyst for AUD/USD, with traders watching whether price pressures remain strong enough to justify future RBA tightening. With the greenback soft ahead of this week’s US labor and inflation prints, the pair’s near-term direction will hinge on those key reports and evolving RBA inflation expectations. In the above chart, AUD/USD rates have easily eclipsed the highs carved out in 2025, peaking into its highest level since October 2024. The technical structure appears to be that of an ascending triangle, with a breakout north of 0.6700 suggesting that bulls are in control. Momentum is accelerating, with the rates of change for each of the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day exponential moving averages (EMA) increasing at the start of 2026. Bulls appear to be in control assuming AUD/USD stays north of 0.6700.
by tastyfx
Copper starting a pullback?Copper has been on a strong run, breaking its all-time high, but the upward trend is currently losing momentum. After price rejected a key level and the 2H MACD showed signs of a potential pullback, I believe copper may start to decline and retest previous support zones to find demand for a new rally. I believe this pullback will be similar to the one seen in late December, and that after finding support, copper could potentially reach new all-time highs.The larger trend remains very bullish, as price, RSI, and MACD are consistently producing higher highs and higher lows. also the capture of Maduro gave the metals market a strong rally due to rising geopolitical tensions. As more information about the situation has been released, I believe markets may begin to sell off the excess from Monday’s rally. Possible reversal bottom areas: • 5.66 • 5.40 Long positions possible from reversal areas.
CAPITALCOM:COPPERShort
by Finn101_
AMAZON - EMA 200: Where Institutions Step InAMZN - CURRENT PRICE : 237.70 📈 AMZN — Institutional Support Holds, Momentum Breakout AMZN continues to trade in a primary uptrend, with EMA 200 acting as a strong institutional accumulation zone. Multiple pullbacks toward the EMA 200 (highlighted in green) were met with immediate buying interest, confirming long-term demand. Momentum is now turning bullish: 🔥Price has broken back above the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling trend resumption. 🔥RSI is crossing above the 60 level, a classic sign of bullish momentum acceleration. This setup favors momentum traders looking to enter as the uptrend resumes. ENTRY PRICE : 235.00 - 237.80 TARGET : 258.00 (All Time High level) SUPPORT / INVALIDATION : EMA 200 📌 As long as price holds above EMA 200, the bullish structure remains intact.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by IMRAN_96
Chipotle Mexican Grill | CMG | Long at $30.56Chipotle NYSE:CMG stock has dropped dramatically since 2024, but the company has been *highly* overvalued for many, many years (69x p/e in June last year). As of Friday, November 7, 2025, the stock price entered my "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines). I do not suspect this is truly bottom, though. The company's growth is likely to slow into 2026 as people continue to spend less, and the stock finally starts to enter a reasonable p/e value (currently 27x). I anticipate further entry possibilities near $25 in the short-term if the economy continues to show more and more weakness. Entry into the "major crash" simple moving average zone, or gray lines, near $20-$24 isn't out of the question either. Thus, a personal entry at $30.56 is simply a starter position. Growth Earnings per share anticipated to rise from $1.60 in 2025 to $1.82 by 2028. Revenue expected to rise during that time from $11.9 billion to $16.6 billion. www.tradingview.com Health Extremely healthy, financially Altman's Z Score / Bankruptcy risk: 7.5 (very low risk) Quick Ratio: 1.5 (low debt) Action While there is risk of continued near-term pain for NYSE:CMG , the longer outlook is reassuring if true. Thus, at $30.56, Chiptole is in a personal buy zone (starter position) with risk of a continued drop to $25 or, "major crash" territory in the low $20s. These will be other personal entry points. Targets into 2028 $35.00 (+14.5%) $39.00 (+27.6%)
NYSE:CMGLong
by WorthlessViews
3
Downtrend in Monday.com?Monday.com has struggled since the summer, and some traders may think its downtrend will continue. The first pattern on today’s chart is November 10’s sharp decline after guidance lagged estimates. MNDY rebounded briefly after the drop but made a lower high below the bearish gap. Second is the $143.86 closing price from Friday, November 28. The stock remained above it for all of December but now it’s slipping below that weekly level. Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. That’s a potential sign of short-term bearishness. Fourth, prices under the 50-day simple moving average may reflect a bearish intermediate-term trend. Next, MNDY tried to rally yesterday, but failed to hold a higher high and made a lower low. It was the second consecutive bearish outside candle. Do sellers remain in control? Finally, enterprise-software companies have mostly lagged as the broader market climbs. That broader industry weakness could further weigh on MNDY. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:MNDY
by TradeStation