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MSTR: Time to Short? Death Cross + Triangle Break Analysis🐻 MSTR "STRATEGY INC." - The Bear's Playground | Thief's Multi-Layer Setup 💰 📊 MARKET SNAPSHOT Asset: NASDAQ:MSTR (Strategy Inc. - formerly MicroStrategy) Current Price: ~$291.23 (Oct 17, 2025) Setup Type: Swing/Day Trade - Bearish Confirmation Strategy Style: "Thief Method" - Layered Limit Orders 🎯 🔍 THE SETUP - Why This Bearish Play Makes Sense Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to the Thief's playbook! 👋 MSTR just gave us a beautiful bearish signal with a triangular moving average breakdown. Here's what the charts are screaming: 🎯 The "Thief" Entry Strategy - Layered Limit Orders This isn't your typical "buy now" play. We're sneaking in like a thief in the night with MULTIPLE SELL LIMIT LAYERS: Entry Zones (Layer Your Shorts): Layer 1: $310 (First resistance retest) Layer 2: $300 (Psychological level) Layer 3: $290 (Current consolidation zone) 💡 Pro Tip: Scale into your position! You can add MORE layers based on your risk tolerance (e.g., $305, $295, $285). The "Thief Method" is all about spreading your entries to catch the perfect price zones. 🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT - The Thief's Insurance Policy Stop Loss: $320 🚨 (This is the Thief's emergency exit - if price breaks above this, the bears lost control) ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: Dear Thief OG's (Original Gangsters), this is MY stop loss level based on MY analysis. You should set YOUR OWN stop loss based on YOUR risk tolerance. Don't copy blindly - manage YOUR money, take YOUR profits (or losses) at YOUR own risk! This is YOUR trade, not mine. 💯 🎯 PROFIT TARGET - Where the Money's Hiding Primary Target: $250 🎉 Why $250? Strong historical support level Oversold bounce zone (RSI typically rebounds here) TRAP ALERT: Institutional buyers often accumulate at this level - be ready to ESCAPE with your profits before the bulls wake up! 🐂💤 ⚠️ TAKE PROFIT NOTE: Dear Thief OG's, $250 is MY target based on MY analysis. You can (and should) set YOUR own targets. If you're in profit at $270, $260, or even $280 - TAKE THE MONEY AND RUN! 💰 No shame in banking profits early. Remember: pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered. This is YOUR trade, YOUR risk, YOUR decision! 🔗 RELATED ASSETS TO WATCH - The Correlation Game MSTR doesn't trade in a vacuum! Keep your eyes on these correlated assets: 📈 Primary Correlation: CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Bitcoin): ~$108,625 (Oct 17, 2025) - MSTR holds 640,000+ BTC (3%+ of total supply!) Correlation Strength: 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 ULTRA HIGH Why It Matters: MSTR is essentially a leveraged Bitcoin play. When BTC sneezes, MSTR catches a cold. Bitcoin's current bearish pressure directly impacts MSTR's valuation. 🔄 Secondary Watchlist: NASDAQ:COIN (Coinbase): Crypto exchange - sentiment indicator NASDAQ:RIOT (Riot Platforms): Bitcoin mining stock NASDAQ:MARA (Marathon Digital): Another BTC-related equity NASDAQ:CLSK (CleanSpark): Bitcoin mining operations Key Point: If Bitcoin breaks below $105K support, expect MSTR to accelerate downward. Conversely, if BTC rallies back above $115K, this bearish setup could invalidate. Watch Bitcoin like a hawk! 🦅 📊 THE BIGGER PICTURE - Why MSTR Is Vulnerable Right Now Bitcoin Pressure: BTC down -2.19% today, testing critical support levels Institutional Caution: Recent S&P 500 rejection (not included in index) = credibility questions Valuation Concerns: Trading at significant premium to NAV (Net Asset Value) Technical Breakdown: Multiple MA crosses + trend reversal signals Macro Headwinds: Risk-off sentiment in crypto markets (3-day consecutive decline) 🎓 THE THIEF'S WISDOM - Final Thoughts This setup combines: ✅ Technical confirmation (MA breakout) ✅ Layered entry strategy (better average price) ✅ Clear risk management (defined stop loss) ✅ Realistic profit targets (strong support zone) ✅ Correlated asset monitoring (BTC relationship) Remember: The market doesn't care about your opinion. Respect the charts, manage your risk, and don't get greedy. The "Thief Method" is about stealing profits intelligently, not gambling recklessly! 🎰❌ 💬 TRADE SMART, NOT HARD! This is a BEARISH SETUP with defined entries, exits, and risk parameters. Whether you're swing trading or day trading, the key is DISCIPLINE. Stick to your plan, don't chase, and protect your capital. Questions? Thoughts? Drop them below! 👇 Let's build a community of smart traders who help each other win! 🤝 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #MSTR #Bitcoin #BTC #TradingView #SwingTrading #DayTrading #BearishSetup #ShortSetup #CryptoStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #MovingAverages #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #ProfitTarget #StrategyInc #MicroStrategy #ThiefMethod #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #NASDAQ
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by The-Thief
MSTR Options Flow Screams Bullish — Can $345C Print This Week? # ⚡ MSTR Weekly Trade Setup (2025-09-07) **Bias:** 🎯 Mixed → speculative bullish bounce **Conviction:** ⭐⭐⭐ (60%) --- ### 📊 Key Takeaways * ✅ **Options flow:** Strongly bullish (C/P = 2.21) * ❌ **Trend:** Still bearish (-16.45% monthly, RSI weak) * ⚠️ **Volume:** Flat (1.0x avg) → no institutional conviction * 🌐 **Volatility:** Low (VIX \~15) → cheap calls * 🧱 **OI Walls:** \$340C & \$345C = resistance / gamma levels --- ### 🎯 Trade Plan (Speculative Play) * **Instrument:** \ NASDAQ:MSTR * **Direction:** CALL (naked) * **Strike:** \$345.00 * **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (weekly) * **Entry Price:** \$8.60 (ask) * **Profit Target:** \$12.90 (≈1.5×) * **Stop Loss:** \$5.59 (\~35% risk) * **Size:** 1 contract (small, punt-sized) * **Entry Timing:** Open (prefer limit near ask) --- ### 🧠 Rationale * Flow is unambiguously bullish, but **price trend & RSI weak** → treat as a bounce, not reversal. * \$345C offers liquidity (OI 14,439) + better risk balance than \$340C. * 5 DTE = **theta risk**, so trade is **binary/speculative**. --- ### ⚠️ Key Risks * 📉 Trend is down → bounce may fail quickly. * ⏳ Time decay fast with only 5 DTE. * 🧱 Gamma/OI walls may cap upside near \$345. * 📰 Macro/news can swamp bullish flow. --- ## 📌 TRADE DETAILS (JSON) ```json { "instrument": "MSTR", "direction": "call", "strike": 345.0, "expiry": "2025-09-12", "confidence": 0.60, "profit_target": 12.90, "stop_loss": 5.59, "size": 1, "entry_price": 8.60, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-09-07 07:45:34 EDT" } ``` --- 🔥 **Summary:** This is a **flow-driven speculative call punt** — risk small, size small, exit fast. If flow + price action confirm, \ NASDAQ:MSTR \$345C has upside. If not → cut quick.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by quantsignals
MSTR Short Alert | Lean Short Bias at $335 # ⚡ MSTR Short Alert | Lean Short Bias (Sep 2, 2025) 🪙📉 📊 **Market Summary:** * Daily/Intraday: Bearish (Price < daily EMAs, RSI \~35, MACD negative) 🔻 * Weekly: Weakening but not decisively broken (near/above 50-week EMA) 📈 * Volume: Light — low participation on recent declines ⚖️ * Headlines: Neutral; watch BTC correlation & macro events 📰 **Net Bias:** Lean short on daily timeframe; small position recommended 🐻 --- ## ✅ Trade Plan * 🎯 **Instrument:** MSTR * 🔀 **Direction:** SHORT * 💵 **Entry Price:** \~335.0 (acceptable 333–336) * 🛑 **Stop Loss:** 341.13 (daily resistance / pivot) * 🎯 **Take Profit:** 320.00 (scale 60%), trail remaining 40% to 310.00 * 📊 **Position Size:** 1.5% of portfolio * 📈 **Confidence:** 60% * ⏰ **Entry Timing:** Market Open --- ## ⚠️ Key Risks * Low volume → false break / short-squeeze risk ⚡ * MSTR-BTC correlation or S\&P rumors could gap price higher 🪙 * Weekly support \~322–325 may limit downside 🛑 --- ## 💡 Trade Rationale * Daily + 30m confluence: short-term bounce attempts stalling under intraday resistances (336–339) * Weekly momentum weakening → controlled small-size short * Stop above 341.13 → disciplined risk management --- \#️⃣ **Tags / Hashtags:** \#MSTR #ShortTrade #StockTrading #SwingTrade #CryptoCorrelation #DailyRSI #TradingSignal #RiskManagement 🐻🔥
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by quantsignals
MSTR WEEKLY OPTIONS SETUP (2025-07-28) ### 🔻 MSTR WEEKLY OPTIONS SETUP (2025-07-28) **Bearish Divergence with High Confidence — Time to Strike with a PUT?** --- 📊 **Momentum Recap:** * **RSI:** Bearish 📉 * **Volume:** Weak (institutional exit risk) * **Options Flow:** Mixed (calls > puts, but no alignment with price) * **Sentiment Models:** Split 4:1 → **Only Claude/Anthropic** goes bearish with conviction 🧠 **Model Consensus:** > “Momentum is weak, volume fading, and no upside confirmation = bearish edge.” --- ### ✅ SETUP OVERVIEW * 🔍 **Trend:** Bearish (declining RSI) * 📉 **Volume:** Weak = reduced institutional conviction * 💬 **Options Flow:** Bullish bias, but **contradicts price trend** * ⚙️ **Volatility:** Elevated, potential reward for directional plays **Overall Bias:** 🔴 *Moderately Bearish* --- ### 💥 TRADE IDEA: MSTR \$400P * 🎯 **Strategy:** Long Weekly Put * 🔻 **Strike:** 400.00 * 📆 **Expiry:** Aug 1, 2025 * 💸 **Entry Price:** \$8.65 * ✅ **Profit Target:** \$12.50 * 🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$4.00 * 📈 **Confidence Level:** 72% (backed by Claude model) * 📉 **Breakdown Trigger:** Below \$405 confirms bearish flow * ⚠️ **Invalidation:** Break above \$415 → exit early --- ### 📦 TRADE\_DETAILS (Backtest/Algo Ready JSON) ```json { "instrument": "MSTR", "direction": "put", "strike": 400.0, "expiry": "2025-08-01", "confidence": 0.72, "profit_target": 12.50, "stop_loss": 4.00, "size": 1, "entry_price": 8.65, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-07-31 09:30:00 UTC-04:00" } ``` --- ### 🧠 TRADE INSIGHTS * 🟥 4/5 models say **no trade** due to signal divergence * 🧠 **Claude’s bearish thesis = cleanest directional setup** * 🚨 Volume + RSI combo = downside confirmation * 🧭 Watch key price reaction zones: **\$400–\$405 (support)** / **\$415 (resistance cap)** --- **#MSTR #PutOptions #WeeklyTrade #BearishSetup #OptionsFlow #QuantTrading #ClaudeModel #MarketMomentum**
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by quantsignals
MSTR I Pullback and More Potential GrowthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** MSTR Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by BKTradingAcademy
MSTR - Weak Reporting.Q3 EPS of -$0.96 may not be comparable to consensus of $1.02. Revenue of $126.36M (-1.3% Y/Y) beats by $0.56M. The CEO of MicroStrategy again said that the company is not selling and does not plan to sell BTC, it plans to buy BTC in the future: “We have not sold any Bitcoin to date. To reiterate our strategy, we seek to acquire and hold Bitcoin for the long term. And we do not currently plan to engage in sales of Bitcoin. We have a long-term time horizon and the core business is not impacted by the near-term Bitcoin price fluctuations.” A spill is expected at least to the lower edge of the rand. Maybe, on the background of this event we will see Bitcoin at 15000. If you liked the idea, please like it. That's the best "Thank you!" for the author 😊 P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profits in installments. Take profits out in fiat and make yourself and your loved ones happy.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Artem_Dishel
2
3rd OF DECEMBER CHANGE - MICROSTRATEGY - MSTR - DAILYAn overall view of MicroStrategy company buying the BTC deeps and having his curve being more more correlated to the Bitcoin evolution. We can see that overall , they were some FOMO in the first part the year 2021. But the price in finding support on an ascending probable trend marked by the green line. The market rebonds on it every time that the Bitcoin went down. The 3rd of December have seen the market breaking the uptrend green line for the first time. There is a probable horizontal very strong support which is in red. Next week will possibly be a major week for the MicroStrategy price evolution as it might evolve under the red horizontal super strong support. OR, do a strong pullback on it to try to find its normal uptrend. Beware of volumes which are probably not that indicative. We have seen in the pass super strong volumes for not much price movement. Not financial advice please do your own search.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by Diallo_Charts_Ideas
REALISTIC RECOVERY AFTER THE MAZE - MICROSTRATEGY - MSTR - DAILYRare are the one's publicly showing that they are going all in the bitcoin investment because of its volatility. Looking at the MSTR Nasdaq "Microstrategy" curve since 2020, we see a pattern looking like any small gem crypto chart pattern on any DEFI (Decentralized Finance) platform. It went up with lot of maze, became parabolic and ended with super volumes top squeeze. After the fall we see some consolidation and later on a more realistic price increase in a flatter angle. The red horizontal zone is probably the area where the price is trying to find a support. Huge sells volumes have been defeated recently. We will probably see the price increase if it passes over this red zone with nice volumes. The end of year possibly will probably see a much more "greener" Bitcoin, will it become profitable for MSTR? ____________________________________________________________________________________ Thanks for your likes, shares and comments! Much appreciated! This is not financial advise, just some ideas shared with the community.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Diallo_Charts_Ideas