$MSTR — Multi-Month Support in Play
NASDAQ:MSTR is sitting right on multi-month support, and it’s hard for me to see this breaking much lower. The last time we highlighted this setup, it delivered a very clean move — I’m adding it here again for reference.
This is a straightforward swing trade to hold over the next couple of months.
What I’m expecting:
* Near-term resistance around 300–350
* Bigger picture: a test of new ATHs remains on the table if momentum builds
I’m adding here and would be open to adding more if price dips closer to the yearly open.
Simple structure, defined risk, and a clear path if the market continues to firm up.
Mstrlong
Strategy Inc (NASDAQ: $MSTR) Might Be Gearing For A BreakoutStrategy Inc (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) shares might be set for a bullish move albeit market drawback. With the RSI at 49 NASDAQ:MSTR needs to break the 61.8% Fib level to accentuate the next levels for $MSTR.
Since the month of June 2025, the asset has lost 66% of its value moving in tandem with CRYPTOCAP:BTC 's momentum.
In recent news, Index provider MSCI late Tuesday said it would not boot publicly traded companies with big holdings of digital assets such as bitcoin from its indexes—for now. Fans of Strategy (MSTR), the company made famous for stockpiling cryptocurrency, applauded the decision: Its stock was recently up about 4%, a bit off earlier highs.
The news removed, or at least delayed, an overhang from Strategy's shares. MSCI last fall proposed removing digital asset treasury companies, or DATCOs, from its indexes following a proliferation of firms of that ilk, saying they resemble investment funds, which aren't eligible for inclusion. That spooked investors, as analysts estimated the move could spur other index providers to follow suit and cost the company billions in outflows.
Analyst Summary
According to 15 analysts, the average rating for MSTR stock is "Strong Buy." The 12-month stock price target is $485.86, which is an increase of 200.23% from the latest price.
About MSTR
Strategy Inc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a bitcoin treasury company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company offers investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin by offering a range of securities, including equity and fixed income instruments. It also provides AI-powered enterprise analytics software, including Strategy One.
The Bitcoin Meteorite and MSTR falling knifeThe US Trading session just ended and handed Asia a Bitcoin Meteorite. If there's one thing Asia hates - it's fake pumps...and that's all today was on BTC. We'll be lucky if BTC is over $90k when the US market opens tomorrow on 12/4.
Asian session behavior is predictable:
They love to liquidate overleveraged U.S. breakout traders
They fade fake pumps
They push price back toward equilibrium
At the very least we pull back to $92, and while I think $91k is more likely and even $90 isn't out of the question. The other concern is all the benevolent articles coming out about BTC. Larry Fink said bitcoin is the new bellbottoms...or whatever. When they flood the market with bogus 'opinion' pieces, these people only speak because they want to influence retail traders. You really think the CEO of black rock wants to drive the price of BTC UP before they expand their holdings... If they're talking about something...they're selling you a bridge. I think BTC and it's biggest holding company MSTR (which managed to buy only 130 Bitcoins this cycle (BWHAHAHA) is going to crash even harder than it has been. $1.4B in cash reserves to fund $773+ Million in annual dividends while diluting shares is a recipe for bankruptcy and a $.01 share price...
Shorting BTC and MSTR all week long and twice on Sunday.
MSTR Options Flow Screams Bullish — Can $345C Print This Week?
# ⚡ MSTR Weekly Trade Setup (2025-09-07)
**Bias:** 🎯 Mixed → speculative bullish bounce
**Conviction:** ⭐⭐⭐ (60%)
---
### 📊 Key Takeaways
* ✅ **Options flow:** Strongly bullish (C/P = 2.21)
* ❌ **Trend:** Still bearish (-16.45% monthly, RSI weak)
* ⚠️ **Volume:** Flat (1.0x avg) → no institutional conviction
* 🌐 **Volatility:** Low (VIX \~15) → cheap calls
* 🧱 **OI Walls:** \$340C & \$345C = resistance / gamma levels
---
### 🎯 Trade Plan (Speculative Play)
* **Instrument:** \ NASDAQ:MSTR
* **Direction:** CALL (naked)
* **Strike:** \$345.00
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (weekly)
* **Entry Price:** \$8.60 (ask)
* **Profit Target:** \$12.90 (≈1.5×)
* **Stop Loss:** \$5.59 (\~35% risk)
* **Size:** 1 contract (small, punt-sized)
* **Entry Timing:** Open (prefer limit near ask)
---
### 🧠 Rationale
* Flow is unambiguously bullish, but **price trend & RSI weak** → treat as a bounce, not reversal.
* \$345C offers liquidity (OI 14,439) + better risk balance than \$340C.
* 5 DTE = **theta risk**, so trade is **binary/speculative**.
---
### ⚠️ Key Risks
* 📉 Trend is down → bounce may fail quickly.
* ⏳ Time decay fast with only 5 DTE.
* 🧱 Gamma/OI walls may cap upside near \$345.
* 📰 Macro/news can swamp bullish flow.
---
## 📌 TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
```json
{
"instrument": "MSTR",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 345.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-12",
"confidence": 0.60,
"profit_target": 12.90,
"stop_loss": 5.59,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 8.60,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-07 07:45:34 EDT"
}
```
---
🔥 **Summary:**
This is a **flow-driven speculative call punt** — risk small, size small, exit fast.
If flow + price action confirm, \ NASDAQ:MSTR \$345C has upside.
If not → cut quick.
MSTR stock has seen a strong rally since JuneSince June, MSTR stock has seen a strong rally—rising from the mid‑$300s to above $430—driven by a few key factors:
Bitcoin’s continued ascent has fueled sentiment. Bitcoin recently hit fresh record highs (above $118K), driven by a weakening dollar and bullish macro trends, which in turn boosted bitcoin-linked equities like MicroStrategy.
In short, MSTR’s rally since June has been largely Bitcoin-driven: a powerful combination of rising crypto prices, ongoing BTC purchases, proactive capital raises, and positive analyst sentiment creating a bullish feedback loop.
Let me know if you'd like a breakdown of Bitcoin’s trend or deeper insight on MSTR’s financing strategy.
$447 will be my next buy TP.
Please, share your thought, like, share and follow me.
MSTR Bulls Reload on BTC ConvictionMSTR – Institutional Flow + BTC Correlation + Bull Vertical Spread Setup
MicroStrategy (MSTR), operating as “Strategy,” just went full throttle—adding 10,100 BTC between June 9–15 at an average of $104,080 per coin, totaling over $1.05B. With this, they now hold 592,100 BTC (>$63B), solidifying their status as the largest Bitcoin-holding public company. That’s a bold move amid the ongoing Israel-Iran macro uncertainty, signaling confidence, not caution.
This latest BTC buy was funded via STRK and STRF ATM offerings and the $979.7M STRD preferred IPO. Since initiating their Bitcoin treasury strategy in 2020, MSTR has soared over 3,000%, and they’re projecting a 25% BTC yield for 2025 after already clocking in at 13.7% YTD.
🔎 Flow Watch
Institutional activity around current price levels has been sharp—confirming conviction behind the recent momentum. With BTC hovering at critical support, I’m eyeing a potential short-term bullish reversal. Given the tight correlation between BTC and MSTR, the setup looks primed.
🎯 My Strategy
I’m targeting a bull vertical spread—buying the 382.5 call and selling the 385 call. This defined-risk, limited-reward setup positions me to capture near-term upside if BTC begins a rebound and MSTR follows suit. The tight strike range and elevated IV make it ideal for a premium-efficient directional bet.
Targets for Bitcoin Bullish outlook for BTC in the coming days IF we close above 106,1 k.
The 3 day candles indicates we could have a "Three White Soldier Pattern" coming up for BTC. It would be a pattern showing a trend reversal and potenially trigger the next trend to retest the old ATH. Although, I would like to see increase in volume to confirm this during the rest of the day to be more certain on this pattern.
Expecting NASDAQ:MSTR to get really bullish aswell if this occur.
MSTR I Pullback and More Potential GrowthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Strategic $MSTR Accumulation: $340 Break for Macro ContinuationDecided to start buying back some $MSTR. I’ve been waiting since late December to begin accumulating, and I initially thought it would stay above $300, forcing me to jump back in.
Now that it's in an optimal buy area with enough confluence on the weekly timeframe, I’m accumulating under $250. I’ll add the last chunk once it breaks above $340.
Just keep in mind there’s a strong weekly downtrend in play, but it’s already hit the first target, so I expect a bounce. If it reclaims the POC at $340, it would invalidate the downtrend. So, I'm taking my chances on a possible invalidation and a continuation of the macro trend.
MSTR back to the $400s | 7:1 RatioNASDAQ:MSTR has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the 1-hour chart. Given that moves like this often depend on CRYPTOCAP:BTC 's price action, it's something to keep an eye on.
However, with NASDAQ:MSTR having dropped from nearly $500 per share, I believe we are in good value territory. Additionally, this trade offers a 7:1 risk-to-reward ratio if we attempt to front-run the completion of the pattern.






















