Mind the Gap! The Euro's Waiting GameShadows and Gaps: The Market’s Inside Joke
Euro FX Futures (6E, M6E) are doing that thing again… you know, when the chart leaves a Long Upper Shadow (LUS) on the weekly candle and basically whispers, “Don’t get too comfortable up here, bulls.”
Shadows this long usually mean buyers tried to party at higher levels, but sellers crashed the event and sent everyone home early. And just to make life interesting, the daily chart left an open gap below — like an unfinished side quest in a video game. Gaps are notorious for pulling price back, sooner or later, because the market hates leaving things undone.
The Setup: Simple but Sweet
Here’s how the trade idea shapes up:
Trigger: Wait for a break below 1.17865 (prior low).
Target: 1.17475 — the “gap magnet” zone.
Stop: 1.18090, based on volatility so it isn’t just a random guess.
Reward-to-Risk: Around 2:1. Clean, balanced, and not too shabby.
⚠️ Quick heads-up: right under that gap sits a support zone. Translation? Don’t overstay your welcome. Get in, fill the gap, and don’t go fishing for extra ticks where a bounce might kick you out.
Why This Combo Works
This setup is a little like peanut butter and jelly — two different flavors that just click.
Weekly chart = a big ol’ rejection shadow.
Daily chart = a gap that’s basically screaming, “Fill me!”
Put them together, and you’ve got multi-timeframe confluence — a fancy way of saying “both charts agree.” And when charts agree, traders pay attention.
Big vs. Mini: Futures Contract Fun
6E (Euro FX Futures): Big contract, €125,000. Each tick = $6.25. Great for heavy hitters.
M6E (Micro Euro FX Futures): Mini-me version, 1/10th the size. Each tick = $0.625. Perfect if you’d rather test the waters than dive headfirst.
Micros make scaling in and out a breeze, and honestly, they’re underrated for learning without risking the farm.
The Takeaway
The Euro is caught between rejection above and a magnet below. No downside break yet, but once 1.17865 goes, the path to 1.17475 could be quick.
Moral of the story? Candlestick shadows troll the highs, gaps tempt the lows, and patience is the secret sauce.
Want More Depth?
If you’d like to go deeper into the building blocks of trading, check out our From Mystery to Mastery trilogy, three cornerstone articles that complement this one:
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When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Multitimeframeanalysis
Gap-Fill Watch: Euro FX Futures React to Weekly RejectionIntroduction
When analyzing futures markets, one of the most compelling signals arises when higher timeframe candlestick rejection aligns with lower timeframe price imbalances. That is exactly what we see in Euro FX Futures (6E, M6E). On the weekly chart, long upper shadows (LUS) have historically marked turning points, reflecting exhaustion of bullish pressure. On the daily chart, an open gap below current price offers a potential magnetic pull. Together, these elements provide a textbook technical case study of how price can align across timeframes.
This article explores the educational insights behind candlestick rejection and gap mechanics, then applies them to a concrete trading scenario in 6E and its micro equivalent, M6E.
Weekly Chart: The Long Upper Shadow (LUS)
Long Upper Shadows appear when a market tests higher levels but fails to sustain them, leaving sellers in control by the close. They are one of the clearest visual expressions of rejection.
In Euro FX Futures, past long upper shadows have preceded significant bearish moves. Each instance reflects an imbalance where buyers were unable to absorb selling pressure at higher prices. The most recent weekly candlestick shows another long upper shadow forming near resistance. For technically minded traders, this is an early warning sign of potential downside ahead.
Daily Chart: The Open Gap Below Price
Price gaps occur when markets open significantly away from the prior session’s close. In futures, gaps often act like magnets—price tends to revisit them over time as liquidity seeks balance.
Currently, Euro FX Futures show an unfilled gap just below the market. Historically, such gaps in 6E have attracted price action, especially when combined with bearish rejection signals from higher timeframes. The combination of a weekly LUS above and a daily gap below paints a picture of imbalance: rejection at the highs, unfinished business at the lows.
Trade Setup
A structured trade idea emerges from this technical alignment:
Entry condition: Short position if 6E breaks below the prior day’s low at 1.17865. This ensures price is moving in line with bearish continuation before entry.
Target: 1.17475, the origin of the open gap. This is where the “magnet effect” is expected to complete.
Stop-loss: 1.18090, derived from a 2-day ATR calculation and adjusted to 25%. This keeps risk tight but accounts for minor noise.
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: With entry near 1.17865, risk is around 22 ticks while potential reward is about 39 ticks, yielding a favorable R:R of almost 2:1.
Risk caveat: Right below the gap origin lies a UFO support area. This means price may stall or reverse after the gap is filled. Being conservative with the target is wise—seeking deeper downside could run into structural support.
Contract Specs and Margin Notes
Understanding the contract structure is vital when applying risk management.
o Euro FX Futures (6E):
Contract size = €125,000
Tick size = 0.00005 USD per euro = $6.25 per tick
Initial margin (approximate, varies daily): ~$2,500–$3,000
o Micro EUR/USD Futures (M6E):
Contract size = €12,500 (1/10th of 6E)
Tick size = 0.0001 USD per euro = $1.25 per tick
Initial margin (approximate, varies daily): ~$300–$400
Application: Traders with smaller accounts can use M6E to size positions more precisely, while larger participants may choose 6E for liquidity. Micros provide flexibility to scale in/out of trades while maintaining strict risk per trade.
Risk Management Essentials
Risk management is not about avoiding losses—it is about ensuring that any loss remains controlled relative to potential reward. This trade idea highlights three core principles:
Stop placement by ATR: Volatility-based stops adjust naturally to current market conditions. Using 25% of a 2-day ATR prevents overexposure while respecting noise.
Position sizing: Traders should calculate how many contracts (6E or M6E) align with their personal risk tolerance.
Target discipline: While tempting to aim lower than the gap origin, technical evidence suggests price may encounter support there. Conservative targeting avoids overstaying a move.
Educational Takeaway
This setup demonstrates the power of multi-timeframe confluence. A weekly rejection signal provides context, while a daily gap gives tactical direction. Traders often gain an edge when higher timeframe sentiment (bearish rejection) aligns with lower timeframe imbalances (gap fill).
For students of price action, this is a reminder that candlestick patterns should never be taken in isolation. Instead, they should be validated by market structure, liquidity imbalances, or other confirming signals.
Conclusion
Euro FX Futures present a case study in how weekly rejection and daily gaps can combine to create a structured opportunity. While no outcome is certain, the confluence of signals here underscores the educational value of analyzing shadows and gaps together.
Traders can study this setup not only as a potential trade but also as a lesson in disciplined multi-timeframe analysis.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Heritage Food - Dairy Product going to become a Brand - Go LongGST relief for dairy products
The revised GST rates, effective September 22, are set to benefit the organized dairy sector significantly. Key changes include:
UHT milk: reduced from 5% to 0%
Butter, ghee, cheese: cut from 12% to 5%
Paneer: brought down from 5% to 0%
This move is expected to make packaged dairy products more affordable, boosting demand across India and giving a direct push to branded players.
Heritage Foods among key beneficiaries
As one of India’s prominent dairy firms, Heritage Foods is poised to benefit from lower tax incidence, potentially improving sales volumes and consumer reach. The announcement also sparked optimism across other dairy counters such as Hatsun Agro, Parag Milk, Dodla Dairy, Umang Dairies, and Nestle India (value-added dairy portfolio). FMCG majors like Britannia and ITC are also seen as indirect beneficiaries.
Market outlook
Brokerage houses believe the GST cuts are a strong positive catalyst for the dairy industry, aiding profitability and consumption growth. Investors now await Q2 results to see the real impact of the new tax regime on revenue momentum.
Record Revenue: Q1 FY26 delivered the highest ever quarterly revenue at INR 11,368 million, marking the third consecutive quarter of double-digit revenue growth. Management attributes this to “strength of the core business and agility of our supply chain networks”.
Profitability:
EBITDA: INR 739 million, margin at 6.5%.
PAT: INR 405 million, margin at 3.6%.
Margins were “softer due to seasonality, input cost inflation and a temporary product mix shift”, but are expected to “normalize in coming quarters as volume-led operating leverage kicks in.”
Brand & Product Initiatives
360-degree Brand Campaigns: Rolled out across Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, and Karnataka. Notable campaigns for curd (season three) and first-ever milk brand campaign focused on “purity.”
Heritage Livo Platform: Launched fortified flavored milk (vitamins A & D) and high-protein yogurts. Targeting “growing health-conscious consumer segment.”
Margin & Cost Dynamics
Input Costs:
Raw milk procurement price up 4.74% YoY, “a tad higher than what we would have liked, but nothing extraordinary.”
Sequential increases in procurement prices due to lean seasonality (May–June).
Management chose to “hold price increases to ensure volumes stay strong” in April–May, especially for VAPs.
Gross Margin Analysis:
Margin knock (160–180 bps) attributed to VAP mix decline, not bulk fat losses.
Standalone VAP (ex-fats) share: 36.1% vs 37.5% YoY; management expected 39% if growth had continued.
Lower volumes in VAPs led to suboptimal cost absorption and plant utilization.
June saw normalization; July onwards expected to be “normalized.”
Inventory & Working Capital
SMP Inventory:
6,197 MT as of 30 June 2025 vs 4,586 MT YoY.
Higher stock due to lower consumption in Q1 (VAP demand hit); expected to be consumed in Q2–Q3.
Working Capital:
Cycle days at 19 (inventory: 35 days, receivables: 3 days, payables: 17 days).
Commitment to maintain <20 days, aided by B2C model and fresh nature of products.
Industry Headwinds:
Q1 impacted by “erratic monsoon and unseasonably cool summer,” leading to VAP demand shrinkage and margin softness.
Management expects “normalization” as volumes recover and operating leverage improves.
Milk supply expected to be stable; procurement prices may see minor increases but “nothing extraordinary.”
SMP inventory to be absorbed in Q2–Q3 as VAP demand recovers.
Growth Guidance:
No formal guidance, but management aspires to return to 15–16% revenue growth and ~20% VAP growth for FY26, assuming normalization of demand.
EBITDA margin expected to recover by “at least a percentage correction.”
Sep 5, 2025 - BTCUSDT Multi Time Frame Chart Analysis-04Intro
Today I want to approach the market from the top down — starting with the higher timeframes and gradually moving lower — to refresh my overall outlook. Ideally, I’d do this after each weekly candle close, but I’ve decided to try it today as part of my decision-making process.
I generally prefer to react to the market rather than predict it, but in order to prepare my reactions ahead of time, I want to see whether Bitcoin shows any signs of correction in the weekly timeframe. Of course, September’s fundamental events could heavily influence market direction, but for now, I’ll stick to the technical picture.
1️⃣ Weekly Timeframe
The weekly chart clearly shows Bitcoin in a strong uptrend . Price remains above the rising trendline, consistently printing higher highs and higher lows.
* One observation: the percentage growth after each rally is slowing, but the absolute growth remains relatively constant at around $45,000 per leg. This suggests that if price rejects from the trendline again, the next potential target could be around $150,000, which also aligns with Fibonacci extensions.
So far, there are no signs of a trend reversal .
⚠️ However, according to Dow Theory , volume should confirm the trend — yet Bitcoin’s weekly volume has been declining. This is an early signal of potential weakness.
➡️ For now, the weekly structure doesn’t indicate a correction, but if the weekly trendline breaks, we’ll reassess.
2️⃣ Daily Timeframe
Currently, Bitcoin is ranging between 101,000 and 123,600 . Despite the broader bullish bias, both lower highs and lower lows have appeared recently, signaling weaker bullish momentum.
* With the latest correction from 123,000 to 112,300 , the price is now closer to its long-term trendline than ever before.
* We don’t yet have confirmation that the correction is finished, but there are hints:
1- Momentum on the downside has slowed. We’re even seeing the first equal high formation — if a higher low + higher high follows, that would confirm a trend shift.
2- Inflows: During the last bullish leg in the 4H chart, Bitcoin dominance also made a bullish leg, suggesting fresh money entering Bitcoin. But since dominance is still in a larger downtrend, this could just be a corrective bounce.
📌 With today’s important news release, if data favors crypto, we could see a continuation to the upside. If not, I expect Bitcoin to revisit its long-term trendline first before deciding the next move.
3️⃣ 4H Timeframe
The daily correction looks like a clean descending trend on the 4H chart, with clear lower highs and lower lows.
* This channel has now been broken.
* A higher low has already formed.
➡️ If today’s long trigger breaks, it could be a good long opportunity provided BTC dominance rises alongside Bitcoin.
Otherwise, it may be more reasonable to look for long setups in altcoins.
Sniper Entry on AUDCAD - SMC Concepts - Trade Code RevealedAlright snipers, here it is!
From today onwards, I will publish my live trades. My A+ setups.
In this one, I follow the H2 game ( Bullish) as there is no other game played at the moment on this pair contradicting my story.
Story says, H8 bullish, H2 bullish, BOS confirmed. Now market is mitigating towards an imbalance left behind and visible on m15/m8.
I am expecting this last point of true mitigation to be reached, inducing the last swing buyers who believe the market has to go up.
Also a very important info: market will break through the low of Asia and low of Europe sessions before taking off (0.89519)
No sign of reversal move either, H8 candles are closing above the H8 S/R. No sign of H2 or m30 reversal candlestick pattern (Rejection + Acceleration or Supply Zone). So we're good to go.
Enjoy this trade! See you on the one...
EURGBP: Bearish Continuation from Reclaimed Order Block!Greetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of EURGBP, we observe that institutional order flow on the H4 timeframe has recently shifted bearish. This provides us with a clear directional bias to look for shorting opportunities in line with the prevailing higher timeframe trend.
Higher Timeframe Context:
On the weekly timeframe, price action is currently drawing towards a Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG). This bearish draw on liquidity confirms the macro-level bearish sentiment. With the recent bearish market structure shift (MSS) on the H4, we now have strong confluence between the weekly and intraday order flow, favoring continued downside.
Key Observations on H4:
Reclaimed Bearish Order Block: After shifting structure to the downside, price has retraced into a bearish reclaimed order block—a region previously marked by institutional selling. This return to the origin of prior sell-side imbalance offers institutions the opportunity to mitigate earlier positions and reinitiate shorts. The failure of price to break higher confirms bearish intent.
Confluence with Weekly Draw: The reclaimed order block aligns with the broader draw towards the weekly FVG, providing an optimal zone for bearish confirmation entries.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Look for lower timeframe confirmation entries within the H4 reclaimed order block.
Target: The short-term target remains the Weekly Fair Value Gap, supporting a discount-side delivery.
As always, remain disciplined in execution. Let the market confirm your bias before entering, and manage risk according to your rules.
For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown:
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📉
AUDJPY: Bullish Structure Shift Signals Institutional Buy ZoneGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of AUDJPY, we observe a recent bullish market structure shift (MSS), signaling potential for continued upward movement. With this in mind, we aim to capitalize on buying opportunities at key institutional points of interest to target higher premium prices.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe maintains a clear bullish narrative. This long-term bias is now supported by a bullish MSS on the H4 timeframe, offering strong confluence and alignment across both macro and intermediate structures. This increases our confidence in expecting further bullish continuation.
Key Observations on H4:
Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) Support: Price recently pulled back into a weekly FVG and has rebalanced that inefficiency. This reaction aligns with the H4 MSS, reinforcing the weekly FVG as a strong institutional support zone.
Reclaimed Bullish Order Block: After the MSS, price retraced into a bullish reclaimed order block—an area where previous institutional positioning occurred. Since price has now reclaimed this level, it becomes a high-probability zone for renewed buying interest in the direction of the dominant trend.
Lower Timeframe Confirmation: This reclaimed order block will serve as our primary zone of interest to seek confirmations on the lower timeframes for precise entries.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Wait for bullish confirmation within the reclaimed H4 order block zone before entering long positions.
Target: The primary objective is the H4 liquidity pool situated at premium prices, which the market is likely to be drawn toward.
For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown:
As always, execute with discipline and align your trade management with your overall plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📈
EURNZD: Bullish Confluence Aligns for Buy Setups at Key ArraysGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of EURNZD, we identify that the current institutional order flow is bullish. With this bias in mind, we aim to capitalize on high-probability buying opportunities from key points of interest aligned with institutional behavior.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe is showing a clear bullish narrative. This bullish order flow is confirmed by the H4 timeframe, which is also delivering higher highs and higher lows—providing confluence between both the macro and intermediate timeframes. This alignment increases our confidence in seeking long setups.
Key Observations on H4:
Buy-Side Liquidity Sweep: Price recently took out H4 buy stops, which triggered a retracement into internal range price action.
Re-Delivered Re-Balanced Zone (RDRB): Price has now pulled back into a re-delivered, re-balanced array—a significant institutional level that typically offers low-risk buy setups. Given the nature of this zone, we do not anticipate a deeper pullback into the fair value gap (FVG), thereby treating it as a potential breakaway gap.
Draw on Liquidity: The next probable target is the external liquidity pool resting in premium prices. The market appears poised to gravitate towards that area.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Monitor the lower timeframes for bullish confirmations within the RDRB array.
Targets: The primary target is the engineered liquidity pool in premium prices.
For a detailed analysis, please watch this weeks Forex Outlook:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/
Remain patient, trust the structure, and execute with precision as the bullish narrative unfolds.
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📈
EURJPY: MSS on H4 Signals Bearish Shift Toward Weekly FVGGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of EURJPY, we observe that a Market Structure Shift (MSS) has recently occurred on the H4 timeframe, indicating a potential change in directional bias. This suggests that price may begin to draw toward the Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), presenting a favorable opportunity to align with bearish order flow.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe currently shows an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) to the downside, acting as the primary draw on liquidity. This macro bearish draw adds weight to the idea of shorting the pair from premium levels. On the H4—our intermediate timeframe—we now have structural confirmation via a bearish MSS, aligning the two timeframes toward downside targets.
Key Observations on H4:
Bearish Order Block in Premium: Price has recently retraced into an H4 bearish order block situated within premium pricing. This zone acts as institutional resistance and is currently showing signs of rejection.
Confirmation Zone: This H4 bearish order block is being monitored for M15 confirmation entries, as we look for price to break lower from this key institutional level.
Engineered Support & Resting Liquidity: Just above the weekly FVG lies an engineered support zone—characterized by equal lows—suggesting that liquidity has been pooled there. This area serves as a high-probability draw for institutional price delivery.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Seek lower timeframe (M15) confirmation around the H4 bearish order block before initiating short positions.
Targets: The first target lies at the H4 internal liquidity pool within discounted pricing. The longer-term objective is the weekly FVG, where liquidity is likely to be delivered next.
For a detailed analysis, please watch this weeks Forex Outlook:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/
Maintain patience, follow your confirmation rules, and always adhere to sound risk management principles.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect 🏛️📉
USDCHF: Bearish Shift Offers Premium Selling ZonesGreetings Traders,
At present, USDCHF is exhibiting a clear shift in institutional order flow toward the bearish side. In response, we aim to align with this directional bias by identifying high-probability selling opportunities within premium price zones.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe remains bearish, offering a macro-level bias. Price recently pulled back into the weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), a key internal range area. With this retracement complete, we now expect the market to begin its delivery toward external liquidity pools located in discounted price zones.
Key Observations on H4:
Market Structure Shift (MSS): USDCHF has recently presented a bearish MSS on the H4, confirming a change in the internal structure and further validating the bearish narrative.
H4 Fair Value Gap Rejection: Following the MSS, price retraced into a newly formed H4 FVG. This area now serves as a short-term institutional resistance zone.
Sell Opportunity Zone: This H4 FVG provides a valid zone to seek confirmation-based entries on the lower timeframes (e.g., M15), with the objective of targeting downside liquidity.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Look for short setups via confirmation on the M15 timeframe within the current H4 FVG zone.
Targets: Focus on internal liquidity pools within discounted price levels, with the broader objective being the external liquidity resting beneath recent swing lows.
For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown:
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📉
GBPCHF: Bearish Structure Aligns for Potential Sell Setups!Greetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of GBPCHF, we observe that the institutional order flow is currently bearish, and as such, we aim to align with this bias by identifying selling opportunities from key institutional resistance zones.
Higher Timeframe Context:
Weekly TF:
The weekly timeframe, which serves as our macro bias, is firmly bearish. This sentiment is reinforced on the H4 timeframe—our intermediate structure—which is also delivering consistent lower highs and lower lows. The alignment between these two timeframes strengthens our conviction to trade in the direction of institutional bearish order flow.
Key Observations on H4:
Re-delivered & Re-balanced Price Zone: Price has retraced into a previously balanced area that has now been re-delivered into, signaling institutional interest. Rejection from this zone adds to our bearish bias.
Buy Stop Raid: Price action has swept H4 buy stops in this area, providing confirmation that smart money may have used this liquidity for order pairing into short positions.
Entry Zone: The current rejection suggests a high-probability shorting opportunity from this region, provided confirmation on the lower timeframes.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Await confirmation at the current H4 resistance for short entries.
Targets: First target is the H4 liquidity pool located at discount prices. The longer-term objective is the weekly liquidity pool, which represents the primary draw on liquidity.
Continue to monitor price action closely, maintain patience for confirmation, and manage risk according to your trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📉
July 6, 2025: Strategic Forex Weekly OutlookWelcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
Higher timeframe trend analysis
Key zones of interest and potential setups
High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
Could BOJ's "HOLD" on Rates Turn AUDJPY "On Its Head"?Here I have a Multi-Timeframe analysis on OANDA:AUDJPY which is giving multiple signs of Higher Prices potentially to come!!
First on the Daily we can see that Price formed a Hammer Candle after testing the March 11th Support Zone and as the next Daily candle forms (Today), we are already seeing a Bullish Confirmation candle begin!
*Bullish Engulfing would be a textbook Confirmation Candle!
Now zooming into the 4Hr / 1 Hr Charts, this Hammer is formed by what looks to be a very Strong Reversal Pattern, the Inverted Head and Shoulders!
Now we are still waiting for the Confirmation of the Pattern where Price needs to rise to the "Neckline" or Resistance Level.
Once Confirmed, we will look for a Breakout of the Pattern and if Validated, could deliver great Long Opportunities as a Breakout and Retest of the Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern!
If the Pattern is Successful, we could expect the Price Target to be at the next level of Resistance being the 95.3 - 95.6 Area!
Fundamentally, the BOJ begins the week with Policy Rate decision Monday evening where they forecast a HOLD on Interest Rates, staying at .5%. This could have drastic implications on the JPY, potentially weakening it.
Ethereum is deciding where it wants to live.This is not a trade idea, this is a long term concept, most of my portfolio is swing when bull market comes (monthly/yearly) not trade (daily/weekly).
This is a solid question that will have to be played out in the upcoming years, Ethereum keeps changing its monetary policy and right now has less supply increase than BTC (due to burning mechanisms), will that stay forever? What will happen in the future to the policy? What it will mean for price?
Right now we can clearly see this is a bull case for future months.
Multi-Time Frame Analysis (MTF) — Explained SimplyWant to level up your trading decisions? Mastering Multi-Time Frame Analysis helps you see the market more clearly and align your trades with the bigger picture.
Here’s how to break it down:
🔹 What is MTF Analysis?
It’s the process of analyzing a chart using different time frames to understand market direction and behavior more clearly.
👉 Example: You spot a trade setup on the 15m chart, but you confirm trend and structure using the 1H and Daily charts.
🔹 Why Use It?
✅ Avoids tunnel vision
✅ Aligns your trades with the larger trend
✅ Confirms or filters out weak setups
✅ Helps you find strong support/resistance zones across time frames
🔹 The 3-Level MTF Framework
Use this to structure your chart analysis effectively:
Higher Time Frame (HTF) → Trend Direction & Key Levels
📅 (e.g., Daily or Weekly)
Mid Time Frame (MTF) → Structure & Confirmation
🕐 (e.g., 4H or 1H)
Lower Time Frame (LTF) → Entry Timing
⏱ (e.g., 15m or 5m)
🚀 If you’re not using MTF analysis, you might be missing critical market signals. Start implementing it into your strategy and notice the clarity it brings.
💬 Drop a comment if you want to see live trade examples using this method!
Chart structure reacts to memory. Momentum + reaction zones! BTCWhat you're seeing isn’t just price action—it's memory in motion.
🟥 Prior momentum shifts marked critical turning points where sellers temporarily dominated.
🟩 Support responses signaled reactive strength, giving early signs of accumulation.
📘 Consolidation zones show where price "remembered" to pause—these often act as launchpads or traps.
🟧 Swept demand cleared out weak hands before a sustained move.
📈 Historical resistance, once broken, becomes memory-based support.
Each label isn't a signal—it's a story.
This chart reminds us:
👉 Before price moves, it tests memory.
👉 Before breakouts, it absorbs emotion.
👉 And before trends, it reacts to old battles.
🧠 The more you study structure, the more you see intention—not randomness.
Gold 4H – Big vs Little: The Conflict That Created ClarityJust price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Trend Reclaim (Early March) — Entered just after price bounced from the 200 EMA. Both systems aligned: Big Brother reversal and Little Brother trend crossover. I trusted the signal and it ran clean.
⛔ False Top (Late March) — Big Brother printed a red arrow under resistance. Little Brother still looked bullish, but I paused. That caution kept me out of the trap.
✅ Re-entry Confirmation (Early April) — Green triangle fired again after a textbook pullback. Bullish volume returned, and Little Brother confirmed. I re-entered long.
⛔ True Top (Mid-April) — Volume faded. Big Brother gave a second red warning. I exited longs here — structure rolled over fast after that.
🚨 Breakdown Confirmed (May 1–2) — The flush sealed it. Both systems aligned bearish. Structure broke. No more guessing — this trend has shifted.
This is how I trade with conviction. Tools don’t replace decisions — they sharpen them.
Gold 1H Breakdown: Top Confirmed, Trend ReversedJust price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Trend Start / Structure Reclaim — Price regained key support and moving averages with momentum. Structure flipped bullish and trend began.
⛔ Top Exhaustion — Price reached new highs but began to stall. Volume dropped, and candles began curling — signaling a loss of momentum.
⚠️ Bounce Setup — After the pullback, buyers attempted to step back in — but structure never confirmed. No follow-through = no entry.
🚨 Breakdown Trigger — Sellers regained full control. Price broke below key levels with conviction. Volume confirmed the shift.
👀 Current Move — Price is pushing into new lows. Breakdown structure remains active until proven otherwise.
Always happy to be helpful.
How To Customize The 1 Minute Scalping IndicatorThis tutorial explains each setting of the 1 Minute Scalping Indicator in detail so you understand exactly how to adjust your settings to get the results you would like from the indicator.
Here is a list of the details we discuss:
How to fix loading errors
Tooltips that explain each setting for your reference
Trade modes and how they are affected by other settings
Average candle size rejection parameters
Higher timeframe candle filters, settings and levels
External indicator trend filtering capabilities and how to set them up correctly
Stoploss and take profit calculations and settings you can adjust
Signal arrow customization options
Candle coloring adjustments
Visual/styling options
Make sure to watch the whole video so you fully understand how each setting affects the indicator for best results.