NASDAQ 100 CFD
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Hits All-Time HighNasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Hits All-Time High
As the chart shows, today the Nasdaq 100 index has, for the first time in history, climbed above the 24,500 level.
According to media reports, bullish sentiment was driven by the long-awaited Fed decision to cut interest rates for the first time in 2025.
Although the Fed also indicated it would remain cautious about further cuts, the easing acted as a bullish catalyst for the entire stock market – European equities also advanced today, with technology companies leading the way.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100
When looking at the Nasdaq 100 index within the context of the September rally (highlighted by the blue channel), we note the following:
→ In mid-September, price action reflected market optimism, as the index traded in the upper half of the channel – with resistance at the upper boundary (R) and support at line S.
→ Yesterday’s volatility spike produced a similar move (marked with an arrow) to the one we highlighted in today’s earlier gold analysis, namely a sharp reversal from the lower boundary of the channel (essentially a bullish engulfing pattern, albeit less clear due to volatility and the chosen timeframe).
Following the reversal from the lower boundary, which unfolded aggressively (a sign of bullish conviction), the price advanced steadily, breaking through key levels:
→ the midline of the blue channel;
→ the R2 resistance line shown in red;
→ the former all-time high at 24,165.
Moreover, the index’s behaviour around 24,300 demonstrated the persistence of buyers – the price moved above a cluster of local resistances and then extended its rally.
Bearish view:
→ bullish momentum has pushed the RSI indicator into overbought zone;
→ when attempting to break above the psychological 24,500 level, the price failed to hold, suggesting a false bullish breakout.
Given the above, we could assume that optimism prevails in the market, supported by the Fed’s decision:
→ on the one hand, further gains towards the upper boundary of the blue channel may take place;
→ on the other hand, the market may be overheated and vulnerable to a correction (for instance, back towards the blue midline).
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Nasdaq 100 Eyes 24,550–25,050 if Fed Signals Dovish ToneUSNAS100 – Technical Overview
The Nasdaq remains in focus as traders await the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later this week.
Markets largely expect a 25 bps cut, but the key driver will be Chair Powell’s tone on inflation, labor-market weakness, and tariff risks.
Earlier record highs across U.S. indexes were fueled by tech strength and optimism over U.S.–China trade talks, while gold’s surge to new highs underscores strong safe-haven demand.
Technical Outlook
📉 Correction phase
Price is expected to retest 24,240 → 24,115 before attempting another bullish leg.
A sustained drop below 24,110 would expose deeper support at 23,870.
📈 Bullish continuation
Holding above 24,240 – 24,115 keeps the broader uptrend intact.
Once consolidation is complete, a renewed rally targets 24,550 → 24,800, with a potential extension to 25,050 if the Fed delivers a more dovish message.
Key Levels
Pivot: 24,380
Resistance: 24,550 – 24,800 – 25,050
Support: 24,240 – 24,115 – 23,870
📌 Market Context:
A 25 bps Fed cut may offer moderate support for tech-heavy indices, while a more aggressive 50 bps cut could accelerate the next breakout toward fresh ATHs. Conversely, a hawkish tone from Powell could trigger a deeper correction before the next leg higher.
NAS100 H4 | Bullish continuation in playUS100 has bounced off the buy entry at 23,984.23, which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 23,721.86, which is an overlap support.
Take profit is at 24,853.60, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USNAS100 Braces for Fed Decision – Key Pivot at 24,300USNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq is set for a highly volatile session as markets await the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later today.
Traders widely expect a 25 bps cut, but a surprise 50 bps cut—though less likely—would signal stronger confidence in stable inflation and U.S. economic health, fueling a strong bullish rally.
Even if the Fed delivers the expected 25 bps cut, the key market mover will be Chair Powell’s press conference and the updated dot plot, which could reshape expectations for future easing.
Technical Outlook
📉 Bearish scenario
While trading below 24,300, price shows potential for a pullback toward 24,115.
A confirmed break below 24,115 would extend the bearish move toward 23,870 → 23,700.
📈 Bullish scenario
Stabilization above 24,115 keeps the broader uptrend intact.
A breakout above 24,300 would confirm bullish momentum, targeting 24,550 → 24,700 → 24,850.
📌 Market Context:
50 bps cut + dovish Powell → strong bullish breakout above 24,300 toward 24,550+.
25 bps cut + cautious guidance → moderate moves; price may remain range-bound or retest 24,115 before resuming higher.
Hawkish tone → deeper correction toward 23,870 or lower.
NAS100 Buy Entry’s Clean, R:R 2.00 — Setup Locked & Loaded!Hey traders,
Here’s my NAS100 setup based on the 1-hour chart:
🟢 Buy Entry: 23998.77
🔴 Stop Loss: 23884.81
🎯 TP1: 24045.42
🎯 TP2: 24097.67
🎯 TP3: 24225.56
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.00
Every like you drop is pure fuel for me to keep sharing these setups.
Big thanks to everyone standing by and showing support.
NAS100 Pullback into Fibonacci Zone: Watching for Bullish Break📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Update 📊
The NAS100 is in a strong bullish trend 🟢📈, clearly visible on the 4H chart ⏰ with consistent higher highs and higher lows 🔼🔼.
Currently, price has pulled back 🔽 right into my optimal entry zone 🎯 based on the Fibonacci retracement 🔢. From here, I’ll be watching closely for a bullish break of structure (BOS) 🔓 on the 15M timeframe ⏰ — that would be my signal to look for a long entry 🚀.
⚠️ This breakdown is educational only and not financial advice. 📚
NASDAQ 100: A Tipping Point on the 4H ChartKey Takeaway
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) is at a critical juncture, hovering at a potential inflection point around the 24,000 level. A clear breakout above or breakdown below this psychological and technical area will likely dictate the next major move for the index, presenting distinct opportunities for both bulls and bears.
Macro View
NASDAQ 100 has been in a strong rising trend channel for the medium to long term, indicating persistent investor optimism. The overall technical outlook remains positive. However, recent price action on the 4hour chart suggests a period of indecision, with the index consolidating just below its recent highs. This consolidation, combined with the emergence of a potential head and shoulders pattern, signals that a significant move is imminent.
Bearish Outlook: A Breakdown Scenario
A breakdown below the key support level at 23,800 would be a significant bearish signal. This level is crucial as it marks the lower boundary of the current consolidation zone.
• Target 1: 23,700 A move below the first key support could quickly see the index test the 23,700 level, which has acted as a previous point of interest.
• Target 2: 23,450 A break of the 23,700 support would confirm a deeper correction, with the next major target being 23,450. This level coincides with a significant volume node and previous support, making it a strong magnet for price.
Risk Management: A stoploss should be placed just above the resistance to mitigate risk in a false breakdown.
Bullish Outlook: A Breakout Scenario
The bullish case is contingent on the index successfully holding the 24,000 psychological level and breaking above the key resistance at 24,208.5.
• Target 1: 24,463 A confirmed breakout would likely propel the index toward the upper boundary of the rising channel, with a primary target of 24,463. This level represents a key extension of the current trend.
• Target 2: 24,600 A decisive move beyond 24,463 would suggest a continuation of the bullish momentum, with a secondary target at 24,600. This level aligns with a major extension and could see the index set new all-time highs.
Risk Management: A stop loss should be placed just below the support to protect against a trend reversal.
Conclusion
NASDAQ 100 is at a pivotal moment. Traders should watch for a clear break in either direction before entering a position. The 24,000 level is a critical pivot, and the ensuing price action will provide a clear roadmap for the market's next move.
NAS100 Forecast & Projection📊 NAS100 Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀📉 (11th Sept 2025)
🕵️ Market Context
NAS100 closed at 24,096.
Global equities remain volatile due to inflation, Fed policy outlook, and tech earnings season.
Short-term sentiment: Neutral to Slightly Bullish.
Swing sentiment: Bullish while above 23,500 key support.
🧩 Technical Framework
Candlesticks: Bullish engulfing spotted on H4, suggesting buyers defend 23,800 zone.
Elliott Wave: Current move resembles Wave 3 extension with corrective pullbacks near 23,750–23,900.
Wyckoff: Distribution signs absent, market in late accumulation.
Gann Analysis: 24,200–24,250 forms a key resistance square.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price above Kumo (H4/D1), bullish confirmation if 24,300 breaks.
Support/Resistance:
Major Support: 23,500 / 23,750
Major Resistance: 24,300 / 24,750
📈 Indicators Snapshot
RSI (H1): 58 → room to climb before overbought.
Bollinger Bands: Price hugging upper band → momentum bullish, risk of overextension.
VWAP (D1): Holding above daily VWAP → bullish bias intraday.
MA Cross: 50 EMA > 200 EMA (Golden Cross) → swing uptrend intact.
⚡ Intraday Levels & Strategy
🔑 Buy Zone: 23,820 – 23,900 (pullback entry).
🎯 Targets: 24,150 / 24,300 / 24,450.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 23,700.
⚠️ Bear Trap Alert: A dip under 23,800 with quick rebound signals strong accumulation.
🌀 Swing Trading Levels & Strategy
🔑 Buy Zone: 23,500 – 23,700.
🎯 Medium-Term Targets: 24,600 / 25,000 / 25,500.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 23,300 (weekly close).
📌 If 24,750 breaks → bullish continuation toward 25,800.
❗ If 23,500 breaks → swing bias shifts bearish to 22,800.
📊 Pattern Watch
🦅 Head & Shoulders invalidated (bullish continuation favored).
🦋 Harmonic Bullish Gartley forming near 23,750 (PRZ zone).
🚨 Watch for Bull Trap above 24,300 → confirmation needed before chasing longs.
🧭 Final Outlook
Intraday Bias: Buy dips toward 23,820–23,900.
Swing Bias: Accumulate above 23,500 for 25,000+.
Market remains buy-the-dip mode while above 23,500.
Risk management 🔑: Keep SL tight as volatility persists.
💡 NAS100 traders should balance intraday momentum with swing accumulation zones. The broader structure favors upside continuation, but resistance at 24,300 must break cleanly for momentum to sustain.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
NAS100 Trend Analysis: From Higher Highs to a Potential Shift📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Analysis 📊
Someone recently asked me to cover the NAS100 🤔 as price action can look a little confusing right now. On the 4H chart ⏰, we’ve been trending strongly 🟢📈 throughout the week. However, as we head into the end of the week 📅, things are starting to shift.
Zooming into the 30M timeframe 🔍, price action is showing early signs of weakness ⚠️. We’ve had a high, then a higher high ⬆️, and now a lower high 🔽 — instead of a continuation of higher highs.
In the video, we take a deep dive 🎥 into market structure 🏗️, price action 💡, and the trend 📊, highlighting what to watch out for as institutions and big players wind up or unwind positions 💼 into the week’s close.
💬 Your thoughts and comments are welcome!
⚠️ This is educational only and not financial advice. 📚
Beyond the Chart – NAS100 Through Technicals & Fundamentals⚖️ CAPITALCOM:US100 Fundamental Impact today
• The core driver is the US CPI (inflation) + Unemployment Claims at 3:30 pm.
• Expect increased volatility on NAS100 around that time:
• ✅ Lower CPI + weaker jobs → Bullish NAS100 (rate cut hopes).
• ❌ Higher CPI + strong jobs → Bearish NAS100 (higher for longer Fed).
1. Bearish Continuation (Main Scenario)
• Rejection from the bearish FVG + BB zone → downside continuation.
• Targeting:
• 23,750 short-term liquidity sweep.
• Then 23,700–23,650 (discount FVG).
• Extended target: 23,540 (major discount PD array).
2. Deeper Retracement / Liquidity Sweep (Alternative Scenario)
• Price might push slightly above the bearish FVG / BB zone (~23,900–23,930) to sweep late shorts.
• Then reversal down, same targets as scenario 1.
3. Bullish Recovery (Less Likely for Now)
• If price reclaims above 23,950–24,000, structure shifts bullish again.
• Potential revisit of 24,100+ liquidity above the HH.
⸻
⚖️ Bias
• For now, bias is bearish unless 23,950–24,000 is broken with strength.
• Volume histogram also shows selling momentum increasing after the rejection.
NAS100 – Liquidity Sweep & Short Setup (1H + 15M Scaling)After an aggressive bullish run, NAS100 swept last week’s high and immediately shifted structure (ChoCH).
This confirms external liquidity has been taken and market sentiment is turning bearish.
🔎 Trade Narrative
1. Liquidity Sweep → Last week’s high taken.
2. ChoCH → Order flow shifted bearish after sweep.
3. POIs in Play:
1H Supply Zone → First entry short (early exposure, confirmation).
15M Refined POI → Sell limit placed (precision scaling inside the 1H zone).
4. Target → Previous Day’s Low (PDL) as the next liquidity pool.
📐 Execution Plan
Entry 1: Short from 1H POI ✅
Entry 2: Sell limit at refined 15M POI ✅
Stop Loss: Above 1H supply sweep candle.
Take Profit: Previous Day’s Low (PDL).
Risk Management: Total risk capped at 1% across both entries.
🧠 Institutional Logic
Scaling entries across HTF + LTF zones provides:
Higher TF confirmation ✅
Lower TF precision ✅
Blended entry for better RR ✅
⚖️ Bias: Bearish
Targeting PDL unless price structure shifts bullish again.
NAS100 (Nasdaq) Key Levels and Probable Draw on LiquidityA clear bullish market structure driven by an aggressive upward displacement.
This energetic move to the upside has created several price inefficiencies, or gaps, which are areas where price delivery was one sided.
Currently, price is consolidating in a premium range, above the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg.
The logical draw on liquidity, or the ultimate target for this bullish momentum, is the distinct old high labeled as the "d cisd level" (Daily change in the state of delivery).
The market is likely reaching for this level to clear out any resting buy side orders.
Before reaching that ultimate target, a retracement is a high probability event.
Price may pull back to rebalance the inefficiency at the "4h cisd level", which should now act as a significant support area.
This would represent a move back into a relative discount, offering a more favorable entry for buyers aiming for the highs.
Should this level fail, a deeper retracement into the larger green zone labeled "OTE" would signify an optimal entry point within the overall bullish leg.
The narrative remains bullish as long as these key lower levels of support are respected.
The alternative path would likely have led to chasing price in a premium, resulting in a poor risk to reward entry. PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1!
USNAS100 Holds Above 23,690 – Bulls Eye 23,870 ATHUSNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq 100 remains in bullish momentum while trading above the pivot at 23,690, with the next target near the ATH at 23,870.
Technical Outlook:
📈 As long as price holds above 23,690, bullish momentum is expected toward 23,860 → 23,940 → 24,090.
📉 A confirmed 1H close below 23,690 would shift bias bearish, opening the way to 23,600 → 23,500 → 23,280.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 23,690
Resistance: 23,860 – 23,940 – 24,090
Support: 23,600 – 23,500 – 23,280
NASDAQ NAS100 at a Crossroads: Riding Nvidias Surge with CautionThe immediate reaction to Nvidia's stellar earnings has been decidedly bullish, propelling the NASDAQ higher. We saw a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" event where the "news" was so powerful it triggered a "fear of missing out" (FOMO) rally with a healthy correction on Friday.
In the next one to two weeks, the near-term bias is bullish, but with extreme caution. The market has received the fundamental "all-clear" it was waiting for from its most important company. However, the index is now technically overextended and sentiment is euphoric, making it vulnerable to a short-term pullback or consolidation. The primary trend, however, remains bullish IMO.
1. The Catalyst: Nvidia Earnings
Nvidia didn't just beat expectations; it shattered them and raised future guidance, validating the entire AI investment thesis.
Revenue & EPS: Significant beats on both the top and bottom lines.
Guidance: Q2 revenue guidance of ~$28B was vastly higher than analyst estimates of ~$26.6B, demonstrating unprecedented demand for its Blackwell and Hopper architecture chips.
Data Center: Revenue of $22.6B, up 427% year-over-year, is the core of the story. This shows that AI infrastructure spending is not slowing; it's accelerating.
Stock Split: The announcement of a 10-for-1 stock split adds a psychological boost for retail investors, improving accessibility and reinforcing bullish sentiment.
Analyst Interpretation: This wasn't just a quarterly report; it was a fundamental confirmation that the AI revolution has tangible, massive earnings power. It alleviated fears that the AI trade was a bubble. For the NASDAQ, which is market-cap weighted and heavily influenced by NVDA, this was rocket fuel.
2. Technical Analysis (One-Day Timeframe Post-Earnings)
Price Action: The NASDAQ gapped up powerfully at the open, breaking cleanly above its previous consolidation range. This was a strong bullish signal.
Volume: The rally was accompanied by massive volume, confirming broad institutional participation. This wasn't a low-volume grind; it was a conviction move.
3. Macro & Fundamental Backdrop
Interest Rates: The market is currently pricing in a higher-for-longer stance from the Fed. However, recent economic data (PMIs, jobless claims) has shown slight signs of softening, which keeps hopes alive for a potential rate cut later in the year. A stable, non-accelerating rate environment is acceptable for tech stocks, especially those like Nvidia with explosive earnings growth that outweighs rate concerns.
Geopolitics: While always a risk (U.S.-China tensions, elections), the market has largely shrugged off these concerns for now, choosing to focus on the stellar corporate fundamentals.
Market Breadth: A key watch-out. The rally has been narrow, led primarily by the "Magnificent 7" (now perhaps the "Fab 1" - Nvidia). For the rally to be sustainable, we need to see broader participation from other sectors and smaller-cap stocks within the NASDAQ.
4. Likely Outcome for the Next 1-2 Weeks: Bullish with a Caveat
Bullish Scenario (60% Probability):
The momentum from Nvidia is likely to carry the NASDAQ higher in the very near term. We could see a continued "melt-up" towards 17,400-17,500 as underinvested funds are forced to chase performance and add equity exposure. Any dip will likely be shallow and bought aggressively, with the 17,000 level holding firm.
Consolidation/Pullback Scenario (35% Probability):
This is the most likely healthy outcome. After such a massive, emotion-driven surge, the market is likely to need a period of digestion. We could see the NASDAQ chop sideways for a week or two to work off the overbought conditions. This would reset the momentum indicators and allow the market to build a new base for the next leg higher. This is not a bearish signal; it is a strengthening signal.
Bearish Reversal Scenario (5% Probability):
A sharp reversal below the 17,000 support level and a fill of the earnings gap (~16,900) would be a significant warning. This would likely require a new, negative macro catalyst (e.g., unexpectedly hot inflation data, a major geopolitical escalation) that forcefully changes the interest rate narrative.
Trading & Investment Implication
For Bulls / Existing Longs: Hold positions. Consider taking partial profits on extreme strength, but avoid selling your entire position. The trend is your friend. Use any pullback to the 17,000 support as a potential buying opportunity.
For New Entrants: Chasing the green spike is high-risk. Be patient. Wait for the inevitable pullback or period of consolidation to establish a position. The risk/reward is poor on the day after a massive gap up.
For Bears: Fighting this tape is exceptionally dangerous. The fundamental news from NVDA is a game-changer for the index. Shorting based solely on overbought conditions is a quick path to losses.
Final Analyst Call: The next week is likely bullish with high volatility, potentially extending gains. However, the following week is highly susceptible to a consolidation or pullback as the initial euphoria settles. The overall trajectory for the next two weeks is cautiously bullish, with the understanding that a 2-4% pullback is a normal and healthy part of a strong uptrend.
The burden of proof is now on the bears to prove they can wrestle control back from a market that just received the best possible news from its most important constituent.
Not financial advice, this is just my opinion.
NAS100 H4 | bullish momentum to extendNAS100 has reacted off the buy entry at 23,720.82, which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 23,572.15, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 24,065.29, which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.






















