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Nas100analysis

USNAS100 | CPI Day Setup – Breakout or Pullback Ahead?USNAS100 Overview Markets found some relief after the U.S. and China extended their tariff truce until November 10, avoiding the imposition of triple-digit duties on each other’s goods. Today, attention is firmly on the U.S. CPI release, which is expected to drive market direction: A reading above 2.8% would likely support a bearish move toward 23440 and 23295. A reading below 2.8% could fuel bullish momentum toward a new ATH at 23870. Technical Outlook: As long as the price trades below 23690, downside targets remain 23440 and 23295. A 1H close above 23695 would turn the bias bullish toward 23870. Support: 23440, 23295, 23045 Resistance: 23700, 23870
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
US100 – Dark Cloud Cover Signals Possible Reversal AheadAfter the drop to 22,800, NAS100 recovered strongly and yesterday retested the recent ATH in the 23,800 zone. However, by the close of the trading day, the index erased the entire intraday advance and closed in the red – leaving a Dark Cloud Cover candlestick formation on the daily chart. As explained in my previous analysis, I believe the US indices are ready for a deeper correction after the incredible run-up since April. Technical Outlook: • The US100 is still holding above its recent ascending trend line. • A confirmed break below this trend line could trigger an acceleration in selling pressure. • The first downside target for bears is the recent low at 22,800. • In the medium term, if a full reversal unfolds, I would not be surprised to see the index trading near 20,000 within the next 2–3 months. The market has been on an extraordinary bullish streak, but this candle formation combined with extended price action could be the first sign that momentum is shifting. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:USTECFUShort
by Mihai_Iacob
7
NASDAQ (NQ1!): Bullish! Buy The Pullbacks!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 11 - 15th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100 The NASDAQ is strong and moving higher. No reason to look for sells. Wall Street advanced on Friday, taking indexes closer to a strong weekly finish, after President Donald Trump's interim pick for a Federal Reserve governor post kept expectations alive for a dovish policy. The structure is bullish, with supports for higher prices. Wait for a pullback to discount arrays and buy it! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by RT_Money
5
Nasdaq 100: Institutional Move Toward 22,680 Unfolding📊 Nasdaq 100 Smart Money Breakdown Current Price: 22,103 Target Price: 22,680 🔼 Upside Potential: +577 points The market is currently positioned for a premium retracement move after a recent liquidity sweep below short-term equal lows, which likely triggered sell-side liquidity. This setup hints at Smart Money Accumulation, with institutions entering long positions at discount pricing. We're now seeing: ✅ Break of Structure (BOS) to the Downside ✅ Internal liquidity sweep ✅ Price reacting from a discounted OB (Order Block) ✅ Potential drive toward the next liquidity pool sitting above the 22,680 level. This move aligns with a bullish market structure shift, suggesting Smart Money is engineering price higher to target buy-side liquidity above recent highs. 🎯 Target: 22,680 – a key liquidity area where Smart Money may look to offload positions.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by Rizwan-Ali
7
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Rebounds After Friday’s DeclineNasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Rebounds After Friday’s Decline The release of disappointing US labour market data on Friday unsettled both stock market participants and the President of the United States: → Donald Trump promptly dismissed Erica McEntarfer, Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, accusing her of falsifying employment data. → Stock indices accelerated their decline, with the Nasdaq 100 Index falling below its 16 June low. However, US stock indices staged a strong recovery on Monday. According to Reuters, yesterday marked the largest daily percentage gain since 27 May. Why Did Stock Indices Rise? Possible reasons include: → Buyers were attracted by the falling share prices of companies that, for the most part, had delivered strong quarterly earnings; → Market participants are betting on a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September (a move strongly advocated by Trump), which could support both the economy and the stock market. Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart In our earlier analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Index, we: → Identified a primary ascending channel (marked in blue); → Highlighted that the price had risen above the upper boundary of the channel (a sign of excessive optimism); → Anticipated a potential correction towards the 23,020 level. However, the correction turned out to be more substantial than initially expected. As a result of the price movements on Friday and Monday: → The blue channel was widened twofold; → The price found support at its new lower boundary and reversed upwards; → As of today, the Nasdaq 100 index is trading near the median line. This can be interpreted as the market aggressively digesting recent corporate earnings reports and the prospects of a rate cut in light of a deteriorating labour market. Demand and supply may reach a new equilibrium, potentially leading to a consolidation phase around the median of the widened channel. It is also possible that the area marked in orange—where the price previously rallied strongly, indicating a buyer-driven imbalance—may now act as support. Resistance levels might include: → Former support at 23,320; → 23,440 – the level at which bears broke through the purple channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
NAS100 Trade Idea: Liquidity Sweep & Bullish Reversal Potential📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Trade Outlook 📈 The NASDAQ 100 is holding a strong bullish trend on the higher timeframes 🟢. However, we’re currently seeing a notable pullback into a key support zone ⚠️ — price has dipped beneath previous lows, tapping into what appears to be an institutional accumulation range 🏦. This move is likely targeting the liquidity resting below those lows 💧, where sell stops are positioned. Price is also reacting off a significant bullish order block 🧱 — a confluence area that could produce a strong reversal. 🎯 What to look for next: Wait for a bullish break in market structure 🔁 to confirm a potential entry. If that occurs, consider a long setup with your stop loss below the swing low 🛑 and a 1:2 risk-to-reward target 🎯. 🚫 This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
5
Technical Analysis Forecast for NAS100Open Price: 23242.3 (UTC+4) 1. Japanese Candlestick Analysis 4H/1H: Price opened at 23242.3 near resistance (23250–23300). Recent candles show bearish harami (4H) and dark cloud cover (1H), signaling rejection. 30M/15M: Gravestone doji at 23242.3 and three black crows indicate strong bearish momentum. 5M: Shooting star formation suggests exhaustion. Failure to close above 23250 confirms weakness. Outlook: Bearish reversal likely if 23200 breaks. 2. Harmonic Patterns 4H/1H: Bearish Butterfly Pattern completing at 23242.3 (D-point). PRZ: 23240–23250 (confluence of 127.2% XA and 161.8% BC). Fibonacci Ratios: AB=CD symmetry (23240–23250). 30M: Bullish Crab forming at 23100, but secondary to larger bearish setup. Outlook: High-probability short entry at 23240–23250 with target 23000. 3. Elliott Wave Theory 4H: Wave 5 of impulse cycle peaked at 23242.3. Structure: Completed 5-wave sequence from 22800 → 23242.3. Corrective Phase: ABC pullback targeting 23000 (Wave A) and 22850 (Wave C). 1H: Sub-wave (v) of 5 ending at 23242.3. RSI divergence confirms exhaustion. Outlook: Bearish correction to 22850–23000 within 24 hours. 4. Wyckoff Theory Phase: Distribution (after markup from 22800 → 23242.3). Signs: High volume at 23242.3 (supply), upthrust above 23300 failed. Schematic: Phase C (markdown) initiating. 1H/30M: Spring at 23200 failed to hold, indicating weak demand. Outlook: Break below 23200 triggers markdown to 23000. 5. W.D. Gann Theory Time Theory 24H Cycle: Key reversal windows: UTC+4: 08:00–10:00 (resistance test), 14:00–16:00 (trend reversal). Square of 9: 23242.3 aligns with 0° angle (resistance). Square of 9 23242.3 → Resistance Angles: 0° (23250), 90° (23350), 180° (23450). Support: 45° (23000), 315° (22850). Price Forecast: Reversal at 23250 (0° angle). Angle Theory 4H Chart: 1x1 Gann Angle (45°) from 22800 low at 23000. Price above angle = bullish, but overextended. 1H Chart: 2x1 Angle (63.75°) at 23242.3 acting as resistance. Squaring of Price & Time Price Range: 22800 → 23242.3 (442.3 points). Time Squaring: 442.3 hours from 22800 low → 23250 resistance (442.3 points ≈ 442.3 hours). Harmony: 23242.3 = Time Cycle Peak (24H from open). Ranges in Harmony Primary Range: 22800–23500 (700 points). 50% Retracement: 23150 (support). 61.8% Retracement: 23000 (critical support). Secondary Range: 23000–23300 (300 points). Key Levels: 23150 (50%), 23000 (61.8%). Price & Time Forecasting Price Targets: Short-Term: 23000 (61.8% Fib, Gann 45° angle). Extension: 22850 (100% of prior correction). Time Targets: First Reversal: 8–12 hours from open (UTC+4 12:00–16:00). Second Reversal: 20–24 hours (UTC+4 00:00–04:00 next day). Synthesized 24H Forecast Bearish Scenario (High Probability) Trigger: Break below 23200 (confirmed by 1H/30M close). Targets: T1: 23000 (61.8% Fib, Gann 45° angle). T2: 22850 (Wyckoff markdown, Elliott Wave C). Timeline: 8–12H: Drop to 23000 (UTC+4 12:00–16:00). 20–24H: Test 22850 (UTC+4 00:00–04:00 next day). Confirmation: RSI <50 on 1H, volume spike >25% average. Bullish Scenario (Low Probability) Trigger: Sustained close above 23300 (Gann 0° angle). Targets: 23350 (90° angle), 23450 (180° angle). Timeline: 12–16 hours (if 23300 breaks).
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by sunya
Top in Place? NASDAQ100 Signals Exhaustion After Incredible Run📈 The crazy run since April NASDAQ100 has had a spectacular run since early April, when the index dipped to 16,300 amid rising tensions caused by Trump’s tax war. From that low, we’ve seen a mind-blowing rally of over 7,000 points, which translates to a 40% gain in just 4 months. Such a rise is not just impressive— it’s overextended , especially by historical standards. Markets don’t move in straight lines forever, and this one might be showing signs of fatigue. 🕯️ Bearish signal at the top Fast forward to this week: yesterday, the index marked a new all-time high at 23,700, but closed the day with a strong bearish engulfing candle — one that wipes out the gains of the previous 4 trading sessions. This is not a small technical detail. Such candles, when appearing after an extended rally, often signal exhaustion and a potential shift in momentum. ❗ Top in place? In my opinion, there's a high probability that a top has been set, at least temporarily. We might be looking at the beginning of a healthy correction, or even something more meaningful, depending on follow-through in the next sessions. 📉 Where to next? The first major support to watch is the 22,200 level. I expect that zone to be tested soon — and honestly, considering how much the index has gone up, this shouldn’t surprise anyone. It’s nothing more than a minor pullback, all things considered. 🧠 Stay smart! When markets go vertical, it pays to stay disciplined and realistic. Tops rarely announce themselves, but when signals like this appear, it’s wise to listen. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:USTECShort
by Mihai_Iacob
1
NASDAQ-Lets catch 250 Points togetherHello Fellow Traders, Nasdaq has been wild since a time now. Today, I have spotted a rade to share with my fellow traders. Yesterday closed with a good bullish candle. As the NY seesion has begun now, I am anticipating price to retrace to the highlighted breaker block that accurately aligns with an IFVG as well. I am waiting for the price to fall into my area where I will monitor price's reaction, if we see signs of ejection from the highlighted areas, I wuld love to take a Buy Trade. Entry= If rice enters the Breaker and IFVG and shows a good rejection. SL= 23340 TP= Today's highs or 23700. Manage your risk according toyour capital and only enter the trade if we happen to see a good rejection from the area. Be patient and don't hurry.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by MRJ_Tradez
NAS100 MAY FORM THE BEARISH HEAD AND SHOULDERS.NAS100 MAY FORM THE BEARISH HEAD AND SHOULDERS. NAS100 has been trading sideways since the beginning of the week, forming local highs with lows staying at same price for the most part. The price seem to form the Head and Shoulders reversal pattern What is a Head and Shoulders? A Head and Shoulders pattern is a reversal chart pattern signaling a potential trend change. It consists of three peaks: two lower "shoulders" and a higher "head" in the middle, connected by a "neckline" (support level). A bullish (inverse) Head and Shoulders forms at a downtrend's end, signaling an uptrend; a bearish Head and Shoulders forms at an uptrend's end, signaling a downtrend. Currently the SMA50 is pushing on NAS100 from above, while SMA200 is supporting the price. In case the SMA200 on 30-m minutes timeframe gets broken, we may see the decline towards 23,200.00 support level.
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by ProfessorSingapore
Nasdaq 100 Index Hits New Highs Ahead of Big Tech EarningsNasdaq 100 Index Hits New Highs Ahead of Big Tech Earnings Earlier, we noted signs of optimism in the Nasdaq 100 index as the market anticipated earnings reports from major tech firms. Now, companies such as Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) have already released their results (we previously covered their charts → here and here). Up next are the most highly anticipated earnings reports: this week, tech giants including Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META), and Apple (AAPL) are set to publish their results. The combined market capitalisation of these four companies exceeds $11 trillion, and their reports could have a significant impact on a stock market that is already showing strong bullish sentiment: → The Nasdaq 100 index has climbed to an all-time high, surpassing the 23,400 mark. → The signing of trade agreements between the US and Europe (and earlier, Japan) has eased concerns about the negative impact of tariff barriers. Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100 The chart supports growing signs of optimism: earlier in July, the price remained within a rising channel (marked in blue). However, towards the end of the month, price action has begun to follow a steeper upward trajectory (marked in purple). What could happen next? Much will depend on the earnings results and forward guidance from these tech giants. On the one hand, continued enthusiasm around AI adoption could accelerate further growth. The stronger the optimism, the more fuel it may add to discussions around a potential bubble — with some analysts already drawing parallels to the dot-com era of the early 2000s. On the other hand, earnings could temper market excitement and prompt a correction. For example, the index may retreat to the support level around 23,020, which is reinforced by the lower boundary of the blue trend channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
Nasdaq 100: Market Optimism Builds Ahead of Big Tech EarningsNasdaq 100: Market Optimism Builds Ahead of Big Tech Earnings The earnings season is gaining momentum. This week, major technology companies such as Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) are scheduled to release their quarterly results. Given that 85% of the 53 S&P 500 companies that have already reported have exceeded analysts’ expectations, it is reasonable to assume that market participants are also anticipating strong results from the big tech names. The Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) set an all-time high last week — a level that may be surpassed (potentially more than once) before the end of August. Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart Price movements have formed an upward channel (marked in blue), with the following dynamics observed: → The bearish signals we highlighted on 7 July did not result in any significant correction. This may be interpreted as a sign of a strong market, as bearish momentum failed to materialise despite favourable technical conditions. → Buyers have shown initiative by gaining control at higher price levels (as indicated by the arrows): the resistance at 22,900 has been invalidated, while the 23,050 level has flipped to become support. → A long lower shadow near the bottom boundary of the channel (circled on the chart) underscores aggressive buying activity. Should the earnings and forward guidance from major tech firms also come in strong, this could further reinforce the sustainable bullish trend in the US equity market. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
NASDAQ 100: AI Momentum and Resilient Earnings Drive New HighsThe NASDAQ 100 continues its strong uptrend 📈, recently breaking to new highs after a period of consolidation. The rally is broad-based but remains led by heavyweight tech names and AI-related stocks 🤖. Key Fundamental Drivers: AI & Tech Growth 🤖💡: The biggest catalyst is the ongoing boom in artificial intelligence and digital transformation. Companies in the index, especially the “Magnificent Seven” (like NVIDIA, Microsoft, Apple), are seeing robust earnings growth and strong investor demand for AI exposure. Global IT spending is projected to grow by over 9% in 2025, with AI spending up nearly 30% year-on-year. Earnings Resilience 💪💰: Despite high interest rates and inflation, tech companies have adapted well, maintaining strong margins and growth. The sector is expected to remain a top performer through 2025. Fed Policy & Rate Expectations 🏦🔮: Markets are increasingly pricing in a pause or even cuts in US interest rates later in 2025, which is bullish for growth stocks and tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ 100. Geopolitical & Macro Factors: Reduced Uncertainty 🌏🕊️: The market has absorbed major geopolitical shocks (such as the Israel-Iran conflict and US-China trade tensions), and the resolution or de-escalation of these risks has reduced uncertainty, supporting risk assets. US Election & Policy 🇺🇸🗳️: The outcome of the US election and expectations for stable or pro-business policies have also contributed to positive sentiment. Global Supply Chains & Resilience 🌐🔗: While some risks remain (e.g., cyber threats, regulatory changes, and supply chain disruptions), the tech sector’s global reach and adaptability have helped it weather these challenges. Why is it rallying now? AI optimism and strong tech earnings are the main drivers 🤖💹. Expectations of easier Fed policy and a resilient US economy are fueling risk appetite 🏦📈. Geopolitical risks have eased or are being priced in, allowing investors to focus on growth 🌍🕊️. Summary: The NASDAQ 100’s rally is powered by AI-driven tech growth 🤖, resilient earnings 💪, and easing macro/geopolitical risks 🌏. The index remains a global leader as investors bet on the next wave of technology and digital innovation 🚀.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
NAS100 Nasdaq Range-Bound: What Traders Should Watch Next US100I'm currently keeping a close eye on the Nasdaq 🧠📊, which is trading within a range-bound structure 📉📈. While we’re seeing some bullish momentum on the NAS100 4-hour chart today ⏱️📈, it’s nothing particularly strong or decisive just yet. I’m waiting for a clear break 🔓 either above or below this current range before considering any trading opportunities 🎯. In this US100 chart 🖼️, I’ve highlighted key components such as price action, market structure, the prevailing trend, and other important elements of technical analysis 🧩📐. ⚠️ Please remember: this is a market analysis and reflects my personal opinion — not a trade recommendation. Always do your own due diligence 🕵️‍♂️ before making any trading decisions. This is not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
NAS100 Reading Market Structure: When to Trade and When to WaitI'm currently keeping a close eye on the NASDAQ 📉. Price has remained largely range-bound over the past few sessions and continues to show signs of pressure 🔻. While we've seen a short-term rally 🚀, it lacks the conviction and momentum typically seen in stronger trending environments 📊. When comparing the current conditions to previous trend phases, the difference is clear. Structure is unclear, and there's no confirmation of sustained direction yet. As shown on the chart 📈, we previously saw strong bullish momentum followed by a sharp shift, suggesting indecision in the market 🤔. In these situations, patience is key ⏳. It's just as important to know when not to trade as it is to know when to act 🎯. For now, I’m choosing to stay on the sidelines until a clearer trend develops. Not financial advice ⚠️
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
Nasdaq 100: Bearish Signals Near the All-Time HighNasdaq 100: Bearish Signals Near the All-Time High As the 4-hour chart of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) shows, the index reached a new all-time high last week. However, the price action suggests that the current pace of growth may not last. Last week’s strong labour market data triggered a significant bullish impulse. However, the upward momentum has been entirely retraced (as indicated by the arrows). The tax cut bill signed on Friday, 4 July, by Trump — which is expected to lead to a significant increase in US government debt — contributed to a modest bullish gap at today’s market open. Yet, as trading progressed during the Asian session, the index declined. This suggests that fundamental news, which could have served as bullish catalysts, are failing to generate sustainable upward movement — a bearish sign. Further grounds for doubt regarding the index's continued growth are provided by technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart, specifically: → a bearish divergence on the RSI indicator; → price proximity to the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which is considered resistance. It is reasonable to suggest that the market may be overheated and that bullish momentum is waning. Consequently, a correction may be forming — potentially involving a test of the 22,100 level. This level acted as resistance from late 2024 until it was broken by strong bullish momentum in late June. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
NASDAQ: Minor Pullback, Still on TrackOn Friday, the Nasdaq experienced a slight pullback, which was quickly absorbed at the start of the week. Currently, the index is still developing the turquoise wave B, which should top out just below resistance at 23,780 points, signaling the start of the bearish wave C. This move should lead to the low of the magenta wave (4) within our turquoise Target Zone between 17,074 and 15,867 points. Alternatively, there is a 42% probability that wave alt.(4) is already complete. In this scenario, the magenta wave alt.(5) could carry the index immediately above the mentioned resistance. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by MarketIntel
7
NAS100 - The stock market is breaking the ceiling!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term channels. If it does not increase and corrects towards different zone, it is possible to buy the index near the reward. Following a strong rally in U.S.equities, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices both achieved new all-time highs on Friday. It marks the first time since February that the S&P 500 has surpassed its previous peak, while the Nasdaq entered fresh price territory for the first time since December. Despite ongoing market focus on economic data and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy path, the simultaneous surge in both indices reflects a renewed appetite for risk in the stock market—an appetite that has been accelerating since mid-April, especially in tech stocks. In contrast, the Russell 2000 index, which tracks small-cap U.S. companies, still remains significantly below its prior high. To return to its October levels, it would need to rise over 13.5%. However, Friday’s 1.7% gain suggests capital is beginning to flow more broadly into underrepresented sectors. Analysts argue that a strong breakout in the Russell 2000 could signal a broader rotation toward increased risk-taking—possibly driven by optimism over future rate cuts, easing inflation, and improved business conditions in the second half of the year. Now that the S&P 500 has reached new highs and the Nasdaq has joined in, attention turns to the Russell 2000. If it begins to accelerate upward, markets could enter a new phase of sustained bullish momentum. Following a week focused on gauging U.S. consumer spending strength, the upcoming holiday-shortened week (due to Independence Day) will shift attention to key employment and economic activity data. On Tuesday, markets await the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the JOLTS job openings report. Wednesday will spotlight the ADP private employment report, and Thursday—one day earlier than usual due to the holiday—will see the release of several crucial figures, including the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), weekly jobless claims, and the ISM Services Index. Currently, investor reaction to Donald Trump’s tariff commentary has been minimal. Market participants largely believe that any new tariffs would have limited inflationary effects and that significant retaliation from trade partners is unlikely. Friday’s PCE report painted a complex picture of the U.S. economy. On one hand, inflation remains above ideal levels; on the other, household spending is showing signs of fatigue—a combination that presents challenges for policymakers. Inflation-adjusted personal consumption fell by 0.3%, marking the first decline since the start of the year and indicating a gradual erosion of domestic demand. While wages continue to rise, their impact has been offset by declining overall income and reduced government support. To maintain their lifestyle, households have dipped into their savings, driving the personal savings rate down to 4.5%—its lowest level this year. On the inflation front, the core PCE price index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—rose 2.7% year-over-year, slightly above expectations. Monthly inflation also increased by 0.2%. Although these figures appear somewhat restrained, they remain above the Fed’s 2% target, with persistent price pressures in services—particularly non-housing services—still evident. Altogether, the data suggest the U.S. economy faces a troubling divergence: weakening household income and consumption could slow growth, while sticky inflation in the services sector—especially under a potential Trump tariff scenario—could limit the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut interest rates.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
Smart Friday Trades: NASDAQ Setup and Key Levels to Watch NAS100📊 NASDAQ US100 Analysis – Friday Setup I'm currently watching the NASDAQ closely 👀. The NAS100 looks significantly overextended 📈, and with it being the end of the week, we often see price action push into the weekly high before pulling back into the weekly close 🔁. This is a pattern I’ve seen play out many times during the New York session on Fridays 🗽📉. 💡 Here’s my suggestion: Wait for today’s data release 📅 to finish. If price ranges and then breaks market structure to the downside, keep an eye out for a short entry on the retrace and retest of the range low. 🎯 Your targets and stop loss are outlined clearly in the video, so make sure to watch it through. ⚠️ Trade sensibly, manage your risk, and don't rush into anything. I'd love to hear your thoughts in the comments 💬 Have an awesome day and I’ll see you in the next one! 🚀
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
2