NASDAQ NAS100 Analysis: Three-Drive Pattern, VWAP & Trade Plan📊 The NASDAQ 100 has been riding a strong bullish trend, pushing higher with relentless momentum. On the daily timeframe, price now looks heavily overextended 📈.
🔎 Zooming into the 4-hour chart, the overextension is even more apparent. In trending markets, we often observe a three-drive pattern (sometimes a fourth) before an aggressive correction occurs.
⚡ I’m keeping an eye out for a sharp pullback. If price finds support and confirms with a bullish break of market structure, this could present a high-probability long entry setup 🚀.
📹 In the video, I also dive into how I use the VWAP and Fibonacci retracement tools. Both are powerful indicators that provide valuable insight and a trading edge 🔧.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
Nasdaq
NVIDIA (NVDA) – RSI Trendline Breakout Signals Momentum Shift NVIDIA has staged a sharp move higher, reclaiming momentum after weeks of sideways-to-lower action. What makes this setup notable is not just the price, but the RSI trendline breakout.
Key Points:
RSI Trendline Breakout: The RSI broke above a descending trendline, suggesting momentum is shifting back in favour of buyers.
Volume Confirmation: The breakout coincided with a strong volume spike – often an early tell that institutions are stepping in.
Price Action: Price is now retesting the all-time high zone (~$184–185). A sustained close above this level could open the door for further upside.
Short-Term View: As long as NVDA holds above the $175–177 support zone, the bias remains bullish with potential for acceleration if RSI pushes toward the overbought zone.
Watchlist Levels:
Upside breakout trigger: $185+ (new all-time high)
Immediate support: $175
Momentum invalidation: Below $175
This is a classic case of how RSI trendline analysis can provide an early signal, often before price fully confirms the breakout.
NasdaqNasdaq consolidated another support level at 24740 in today's session. If the price remains above this support, buyers remain in control, and we could reach 25000, an important level that could signal the end of the bullish rally. An H1 candlestick closing above 24800 could confirm continuation.
Agape ATP Corporation (NASDAQ: ATPC) | Technical ReviewATPC has stabilised after earlier volatility, consolidating tightly between $1.20 (support) and $1.40 (near-term range ceiling). The chart shows repeated accumulation signals near support, suggesting steady buying interest. Momentum indicators are holding above midline levels, pointing to underlying strength despite the quieter price action.
A breakout above $1.60 (first resistance) could trigger renewed momentum towards $2.00 (major resistance), last tested in April–May. As long as $1.20 holds, the technical bias remains positive.
Investment Note
ATPC is in a constructive base-building phase. The downside appears limited by firm support at $1.20, while the upside potential is significant if it clears $1.60–2.00. With accumulation evident and volatility compressed, the stock offers a favourable risk-reward setup for speculative investors awaiting the next catalyst-driven move.
NASDAQ September's Channel Up targets 24900.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the September 02 Low and at the moment it is unfolding its 2nd Bullish Leg following the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce on September 17.
Based on the previous 4H MA50 Bullish Leg, the sequence should peak below the 2.382 Fibonacci extension at a maximum +3.96% rise. Our Target is slightly below those at 24900.
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NAS100 - Stock Market, After the Fed Meeting!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the drawn ascending trend line holds, we can expect the continuation of its previous upward path, but in case of a valid break, its downward path will be smoothed to the indicated support area.
A week filled with significant events in global markets came to an end, with the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points standing out as the most important development. Although this move temporarily boosted the U.S. dollar, it failed to reverse its multi-day downtrend. Fed Chair Jerome Powell sought to frame the decision as a “risk management” measure, but the dot plot indicated that policymakers hold a different outlook, keeping the possibility of further cuts by year-end alive.
Meanwhile, Paul Atkins, Chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), announced that in response to President Donald Trump’s request, he would propose a rule change to replace quarterly corporate reporting with semiannual reporting. In an interview with CNBC, he said this matter has been placed on the SEC’s immediate agenda. With Republicans holding a 3-1 majority on the commission, such a change could be approved by a simple majority vote. This move would disrupt the traditional reporting and disclosure cycle, making investors wait longer intervals for corporate financial information.
In a Truth Social post, Trump wrote: “This change will cut costs and allow executives to focus on running companies properly instead of worrying about quarterly reports.” He also added: “You’ve heard people say China takes a 50- to 100-year perspective on corporate management, yet we run our companies quarter by quarter. That’s not good at all!” Atkins stressed that the matter remains only a proposal for now and requires review, meaning it is not yet finalized. Significant lobbying efforts are expected around this issue.
Following a week dominated by central bank decisions, markets in the coming days will shift their attention to a wide range of inflation, industrial, and housing data. Alongside these releases, the speech of Steven Miran, the newly appointed Fed member, is set to be a pivotal moment for investors.
Monday will be packed with monetary policy remarks, with Andrew Bailey and Huw Pill from the Bank of England, Rogers and Kozicki from the Bank of Canada, and Williams, Musalem, Barkin, and Harker from the Fed scheduled to speak. Nevertheless, the spotlight will be on New York, where Miran will deliver a speech at the Economic Club at noon local time. Having consistently advocated for faster and deeper rate cuts, his comments are being watched closely by markets.
On Tuesday morning, the release of the preliminary S&P Global PMI for September will coincide with Jerome Powell’s first remarks following the recent FOMC meeting. A day later, U.S. new home sales data will be published.
Thursday will bring the Swiss National Bank’s monetary policy decision. At the same time, markets will receive final U.S. Q2 GDP figures, durable goods orders, weekly jobless claims, and existing home sales data.
The week will conclude on Friday morning with the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for August, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. On the same day, the revised University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey for September will also be released, offering a fuller picture of consumer confidence.
Currently, many leading financial institutions expect further consecutive rate cuts in the Fed’s two remaining meetings of 2025. In this context, upcoming speeches from key Fed members could shape expectations. Markets are particularly focused on comments from Waller and Bowman, who previously opposed Miran’s proposal for a 50-basis-point cut. On the political side, it is anticipated that President Trump will once again direct sharp criticism at Powell, a factor that could weigh further on market sentiment.
Separately, Berkshire Hathaway, led by Warren Buffett, has fully exited its investment in Chinese automaker BYD, ending a 17-year-long position. The divestment followed a gradual reduction of shares starting in 2022, and according to Berkshire’s energy unit, the investment had fallen to zero value by the end of Q1 2025.
A company spokesperson confirmed that the position was fully closed. Meanwhile, BYD’s head of public relations expressed gratitude for Berkshire’s long-term support since 2008, noting that the ownership stake began shrinking in 2022 and fell below 5% by mid-2024. This investment is regarded as one of Berkshire’s most successful ventures in Asia.
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Bullish! Wait For The Pullback, Then Buy ItWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 22 - 26th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ is bullish. Let the market pullback to the +FVG (Internal Range Liquidity) a +FVG, and look for valid long setups on the lower timeframes.
Should the -FVG fail, then wait until it moves to a lower +FVG that will act as support. I do not recommend shorting this market until there is a clear bearish BOS.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Nasdaq-100 (NDX) Weekly Chart 2025 Chart Context
This weekly timeframe analysis of the Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) forms a key pillar in our 2025 macro analysis series. Following the breakout structure seen in TOTAL, TOTAL2, BTC.D, and US10Y, this chart utilizes 2 Fibonacci tools (1 trend-based extensions and 1 retracement) to project potential corrective and expansion scenarios.
Fibonacci Tools Used:
Fibonacci Retracement : Applies to the recent smaller swing to determine micro retracement zones and cluster supports.
0=20674 and 100=10504
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: Drawn using a three-leg structure (point A= 3993 to B=16724 to C10504) to forecast upside targets beyond ATH.
All take-profit (TP) levels: TP1 (~23,400), TP2 (~26,700), and TP3 (~30,344.49)—are located at confluence zones where Fibonacci levels from different tools align, reinforcing their validity and strength.
There is a 4TP above all the Visible TPs
Key price references:
0% retracement: ~20,674.71
Next Resistance ~23,400 (confluence of extensions and psychological resistance)
Projected TPs:
1TP=~23,400,
2TP=~26,700,
3TP=~30,344.49,
4TP=44000
Support/Resistance:
Red zone: ~16,700–18,300 (historical S/R and correction target and Fib Confluences)
Resistance zone: ~23,000–23,400 ,
22000(ATH area)
Key Technical Observations:
Fibonacci Retracement from ~20674 to ~15732 marks the initial corrective range.
Trend-Based Extensions forecast:
TP1 (~23,400): First breakout resistance
TP2 (~26,700): Medium-term expansion zone
TP3 (~30,344): Long-term target if macro tailwinds persist
Scenario Pathways:
Bullish Continuation: Breaks above ATH to reach TP2/TP3
Healthy Correction: Pullback to ~20,600 or deeper ~18,300 before resumption
Deep Correction: Revisits ~16,700 zone if macro environment deteriorates
Fundamental Context:
Tech Stocks & Economic Sentiment: NDX is often the first to move during liquidity expansions. Its performance signals risk-on behavior across global equity markets.
Rate Cuts in 2025: With anticipated Fed rate cuts, tech stocks are primed for inflows. Forward earnings valuations rise, justifying extended upside in high-beta tech.
AI Boom & Earnings Growth: Nasdaq is heavily weighted toward AI, cloud, and semiconductors—sectors expected to lead earnings surprises.
NDX Influence on Gold and Crypto
When NDX rallies:
Crypto: Risk appetite improves. Capital rotation flows into altcoins and layer-1 assets.
Bitcoin: Often sees parallel inflows, especially during strong tech rallies (e.g., 2020).
TOTAL & TOTAL3: Begin breakout patterns if NDX continues to surge.
Gold: May stall or correct as investors favor risk assets. However, gold still holds due to macro hedging and real yield pressures.
When NDX corrects:
Crypto: Volatility spikes. Altcoins bleed faster.
Bitcoin: Short-term dip but may decouple if viewed as digital gold.
Gold: Benefits from flight-to-safety behavior.
US10Y: Often reacts inversely to NDX moves—used for confirmation.
Search Highlights (2024–2025):
Institutions view NDX correction as signal to rotate into commodities (incl. gold).
Cross-market correlations show NDX peaks often precede crypto mini-rallies.
De-risking from NDX often triggers gold strength, especially in geopolitical or inflationary backdrops.
Bias & Strategy Implication
Primary Bias: Bullish
Expecting upside continuation to 26,700–30,000 zone
Multiple correction opportunities are present even during rally
Strategic Actions:
Monitor for correction to yellow/red zones for accumulation
Use NDX behavior as leading macro signal for crypto rotations
Watch resistance at 23,400 closely; breakout confirms trend extension
Time Horizon
Short-Term (1–2 months): Watch for breakout or correction to ~20,600–18,300
Mid-Term (3–6 months): Probable test of ~26,700
Long-Term (6–12 months): Potential expansion to ~30,344.49
NASDAQ - setting up for Bearish SetupLooking for the bearish signal or the H4/Daily time frame, might get that final push for the D extension on the weekly timeframe, opening of the week might get a small pullback then continuation to the upside. Trade will be validated only if we get bearish PA setup on the H4/Daily. Looking for the setup to create a turn shape then can look for potential entries. If price does not present a bearish setup on the H4/Daily then the plan is no longer valid.
Stock market pullback aheadIt’s an incredible time for retail investors: the market is pumping non-stop, and it seems like it could continue indefinitely.
However, the charts are signaling a different scenario as we approach October.
MACD is at the top of its range
RSI is at the top of its range
Stochastic is at the top of its range
While liquidity remains high and rate cuts appear increasingly likely, history shows that when these indicators reach such extremes on the 1-week timeframe, a market correction often occurs. This reset can pave the way for further growth.
In short, we may see a correction, sideways movement, or a pause, most likely starting in October.
Anything is possible, but the charts don’t lie—even if sentiment can be misleading.
Monitor the situation closely: a market correction can also be a great opportunity to buy at lower prices.
DYOR.
NAS100 Technical Forecast: Key Levels & Traps🚀 NAS100 Technical Forecast: Key Levels & Traps 🐻
*Analysis as of Sept 20, 2025 (12:50 AM UTC+4)*
📊 Overall Market Context:
Price: 24,610. Geopolitical events remain a key volatility driver. Current price action suggests a cautious market seeking direction after recent moves.
🔍 Key Technical Indicators:
• RSI (14): Neutral zone (~50). No strong overbought/oversold signal.
• Bollinger Bands (20): Price near the middle band, indicating balanced volatility.
• Moving Averages: Watching for a potential bearish crossover on the 4H chart. Key resistance at the 50-EMA.
• VWAP: Current price trading around the session's VWAP; a break above signals intraday bullish bias.
🎯 Critical Support & Resistance:
• Immediate Resistance: 24,800 -> 25,000 (Psychological)
• Strong Resistance: 25,250 (Previous High)
• Immediate Support: 24,500 -> 24,300
• Strong Support: 24,000 (Key Level)
⚠️ Pattern Watch:
• Bull Trap Risk: A false breakout above 24,800 could lure buyers before a drop.
• Bear Trap Risk: A sharp rejection from 24,300 could trap sellers before a rally.
• No clear Harmonic or Elliott Wave pattern on lower timeframes; monitoring for setup.
📈 Intraday Trading (5M-1H Charts):
• BUY (Long): Above 24,650, targeting 24,800. Stop Loss: 24,550.
• SELL (Short): Below 24,500, targeting 24,300. Stop Loss: 24,650.
*Confirmation: Use 5-min RSI divergence and volume spikes.*
📉 Swing Trading (4H-Daily Charts):
• BUY Swing: On a bullish reversal candle at 24,300 support, target 25,000+. SL below 24,000.
• SELL Swing: On a rejection at 24,800 resistance, target 24,000. SL above 25,100.
*Wait for a 4H close above/below key levels for confirmation.*
🎲 Risk Management:
Always use a 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio. Protect your capital.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY/SPX
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Bullish! Buy The Dip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 15 - 19th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ is bullish. No reason in the world to start looking for shorts! Let the market pullback to Internal Range Liquidity (IRL), a +FVG or +OB, and look for valid long setups on the lower timeframes.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DowJones | H4 Rising Wedge | GTradingMethodHello Traders,
Yesterday I shared a short setup on the Dow Jones using the rising wedge pattern. I entered at 46,267 and exited with a small profit at 46,179. I exited because I did not like the reaction at that level and anticipating a better entry.
Today, I’m looking to re-enter if price reaches 46,343, which could form a potential double top on the chart.
🧐 Market Overview:
Rising wedges generally act as bearish reversal patterns, that said, the broader market remains bullish following the FOMC, so I’ll be risking less and proceeding with caution.
However, the VIX has been sitting near multi-month lows, which often precedes sharp moves. If volatility picks up post-FOMC, rising wedge patterns could act as early warning signs of a pullback.
So I am willing to risk a small amount and potentially be rewarded BIG!
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 6.7
Entry: 46,343
Stop Loss: 46,539
Take Profit 1 (50%): 45,000
Take Profit 2 (50%): 45,000
Also, if this plays out, I expect NAS and S&P to fall too which will likely drag crypto with it.
Thanks for checking out my post!
I would love to hear if you have any rising wedge trading tips? And if you are trading the Dow Jones or S&P today?
Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
$SOLANA 250+ or bearish trend to 225/200With the recent solana pump, major profits have been taking place.
However, SOL stopped out at 249. Just under the Psychological level of 250.
On this chart we can see the following:
- Supply & Demand
- Anchored Volume
- Pattern: BF / BC /SR
- Two 4 hour FVG's below price, with HTF GP on the second FVG.
- One swing high & swing low
- OBV tool in place forming a bearish channel
- Psychological levels of 250, 225, 200
With these in place, we can see solana is looking pretty bearish now.
What comes up, must come down.
Solana is making a retest on the demand zone, which is also the resistance and golden pocket.
If price wicks and successfully rejects. We will definitely see 225.
A long with the Volume Anchor acting as a magnet for price to come back down as there has not yet been a retest.
But if it closes above the resistance, there is a greater chance of it breaking above the demand zone.
We will begin looking for shorting opportunities once solana fails to break above.
We will begin looking for long opportunities if solana succeeds in it's break above.
Right now, keep your eyes peeled.
We have movement incoming.
Dow Jones | H4 Rising Wedge | GTRadingMethod👋 Hello Traders.
Yesterday I mentioned I’d be watching for a breakout and retest setup — that plan still stands. However, I’ve also taken a short position off the diagonal resistance line.
🧐 Market Overview:
I’m currently seeing rising wedge structures across Nasdaq, S&P, Russell 2000, and Dow Jones. These patterns typically lean bearish, and I can’t ignore the confluence. That said, wedges can fail, and with the market leaning bullish after of the FOMC announcement, I’m aware this is swimming against the trend.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 6.7
Entry: 46 267
Stop Loss: 46 450
Take Profit 1 (50%): 45 000
Take Profit 2 (50%): 45 000
(I’m already short from 46 267 and will look to add if price retests that level.)
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Bearish patterns like rising wedges can offer high R/R setups, but always remember — strong bullish backdrops (like major data events) can cause them to fail. Risk management is everything.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and share your thoughts on what you think the markets will do today and how you would trade rising wedges :)
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Tesla on Track – Golden Zone Respect Leading to $867 TargetAs we discussed in the earlier setup, Tesla retraced beautifully into the golden zone (62–79% retracement area) after sweeping sell-side liquidity. This zone aligned with a higher-timeframe order block, providing strong confluence for a bullish reaction.
The price has since respected that golden zone, confirming buyers stepped in aggressively and validating the bullish bias. From here, the market structure points toward continuation to the upside, with immediate targets at prior buy-side liquidity pools, eventually extending toward the $867 region, a level that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection and liquidity resting above previous highs.
This setup illustrates a textbook ICT/SMC play:
Liquidity Sweep ✅
Golden Zone Respect ✅
Strong Bullish Reaction ✅
Clear Buy-side Targets Ahead ✅
If momentum holds, Tesla remains positioned for a multi-month expansion leg toward the $867 target zone.
⚠️ DYOR: Not financial advice. Always confirm setups with your own framework and risk management.
INTEL Heist Playbook: Buy the Dips, Escape Before the Sirens🔓💻 INTEL CORPORATION "Chip Heist" Stock Raid 💻🔓
🎯 Plan: Bullish Robbery | Targeting $30.00 | Stop Loss: $21.00
💰 Layered Limit Entries | Silicon Valley Loot | Calculated Takedown
🚨⚠️ Attention TRADERS, Tech Pirates & Market Mercenaries! ⚠️🚨
The INTC data vault is cracked, and the Thief Trader squad is executing a multi-layer LIMIT ENTRY HEIST – stacking shares like we're loading the getaway van. 🚐💾⚡
👀 We ain't chasing price – we're ambushing it with precision. Every discount? A planned acquisition.
💥 ENTRY: Any Price Level is a Gift 💥
"Bullish on Silicon" – we're collecting shares on any dip into value town!
Deploy buy limits at key psychological support layers: $25.00, $24.00, $23.00 (Add more layers based on your own capital).
Thief-style: We don't buy the hype; we steal the undervalued chips.
🛑 STOP LOSS: This is a Thief SL @ $21.00 🔐
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), this is set at the breakdown panic zone – where the weak hands get shaken out.
Adjust your final SL based on your own risk appetite and strategy. Size wisely.
🎯 TARGET: $30.00 💸
The police barricade is there, so kindly escape with your stolen money before arrival.
We're targeting the next major resistance vault. Take profits and live to trade another day.
🧠 Swing Traders? Load the boat. Day Traders? Snatch the quick flips. Investors? Stack and hold. 💵☕
Use a trailing stop loss to protect your capital as the trend accelerates.
🕵️♂️ THIEF TRADER INSIGHTS:
📊 Backed by tech sector momentum, oversold bounces, and order block analysis.
🗞️ Earnings? Chip news? = increased volatility = adjust your layers accordingly.
⚠️ HEIST PROTOCOL:
✅ Avoid over-leveraging – this is a layering strategy, not a casino bet. 📉
✅ Use risk-adjusted position sizing on every limit order.
✅ Discipline is key. The market will deliver the discounts; you just need to be patient.
❤️🔥 Hit that 💥 LIKE & FOLLOW 💥 if you're riding with the Thief Squad!
Support the strategy. Respect the plan. Stack your gains like a true Market Outlaw.
🔔 Follow for the next HEIST. Big bags only. 💼🚀📈
“The market is a river of money—flowing from the impatient to the patient.” – Thief Trader
#INTC #Intel #StocksToWatch #TradingPlan #SwingTrading #StockMarket #Investing #LayeredEntries #ThiefTrader #ChipHeist
Nasdaq 100 Eyes 24,550–25,050 if Fed Signals Dovish ToneUSNAS100 – Technical Overview
The Nasdaq remains in focus as traders await the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later this week.
Markets largely expect a 25 bps cut, but the key driver will be Chair Powell’s tone on inflation, labor-market weakness, and tariff risks.
Earlier record highs across U.S. indexes were fueled by tech strength and optimism over U.S.–China trade talks, while gold’s surge to new highs underscores strong safe-haven demand.
Technical Outlook
📉 Correction phase
Price is expected to retest 24,240 → 24,115 before attempting another bullish leg.
A sustained drop below 24,110 would expose deeper support at 23,870.
📈 Bullish continuation
Holding above 24,240 – 24,115 keeps the broader uptrend intact.
Once consolidation is complete, a renewed rally targets 24,550 → 24,800, with a potential extension to 25,050 if the Fed delivers a more dovish message.
Key Levels
Pivot: 24,380
Resistance: 24,550 – 24,800 – 25,050
Support: 24,240 – 24,115 – 23,870
📌 Market Context:
A 25 bps Fed cut may offer moderate support for tech-heavy indices, while a more aggressive 50 bps cut could accelerate the next breakout toward fresh ATHs. Conversely, a hawkish tone from Powell could trigger a deeper correction before the next leg higher.
ARM Holdings — reversal pattern signals growth potentialOn the ARM chart an inverted head and shoulders pattern is taking shape with price approaching the neckline around 144–145 and a confirmed breakout above this level could trigger an upward move toward 220 with extended targets at 310–330. In case of a pullback the 128 zone remains key support to preserve the bullish structure. Fundamentally ARM continues to strengthen its role in chip architecture while growing demand in artificial intelligence and mobile technologies drives institutional interest. As long as the pattern holds the bullish scenario stays in play.
Nasdaq Echoing December FOMC| NQ1 Short SetupAfter spotting the new day opening gap, I immediately analyzed the charts for a comparable All-Time High NDOG scenario. Sure enough, I found nearly identical price action — unfolding on the same days and with the exact same news catalysts.
I’m planning to short from around 24,600.00, with the expectation that 24,200.00 will get taken out.
Let's see how this plays out⚡
Bitcoin Trade of the Week: Liquidity Rules the MarketOne of the most decisive factors for markets right now is the expansion of liquidity. The growth of global M2 remains evident, particularly in China, where the economy faces a deflationary backdrop that forces authorities to maintain – and even expand – both monetary and fiscal stimulus. Ultimately, these flows permeate global financial markets and, as I’ve explained on several occasions, liquidity is the fuel that drives asset prices.
A Parallel with 2024
What we are observing today shows remarkable similarities with what happened in 2024. Back then, the start of Federal Reserve rate cuts marked a turning point. Even a moderate 25-basis-point cut triggered a rebound that coincided with a technical consolidation phase in Bitcoin, shaped as a descending channel.
Later, in November 2024, when the Fed accelerated the move with a 50-basis-point cut, the result was a much more aggressive bullish impulse.
Today, we find ourselves in an environment with rising probabilities of further cuts in upcoming Fed meetings, which could once again act as a catalyst.
Correlation Context with the Nasdaq 100
Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 is printing all-time highs, reflecting the strong risk appetite in tech assets. Bitcoin, in contrast, remains slightly behind its own highs. This divergence can be interpreted as a window of opportunity: if additional liquidity is confirmed through another rate cut, the momentum could spill over into Bitcoin and provide the strength needed to form a technical reversal structure—very similar to the inverted Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern observed in 2024.
Trading Strategy
Entry Zone: 111,906.44
Stop Loss (SL): 108,607.83
Take Profit (TP): 130,383.16






















