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Nasdaq100analysis

NQ (Nasdaq Futures) – Tuesday Setup 09/09/2025 🧠 Market Context Weekly Bias: Buy-side liquidity above Friday’s and Monday’s highs remains intact → a natural draw for price. Daily Bias: Price is consolidating near these highs, suggesting engineered liquidity. Tuesday Profile (ICT concept): Often prints the high or low of the week. Expect a Judas Swing in the morning session before the real move develops. 🎯 Trading Idea I expect New York Open (9:30–10:00 NY) to deliver a pump above Monday/Tuesday highs → running buy stops (BSL). After this liquidity grab, look for rejection + Market Structure Shift (MSS) on 5m/15m charts. That would confirm distribution and set up the short. ✅ Execution Plan Wait for the Sweep: Levels to watch: 23,890–23,910 (Friday & Monday highs). Confirmation: SMT divergence (ES fails to make new high while NQ takes it). BOS/MSS on 5m → entry on FVG/OB retracement. Targets: TP1 → 23,800 (intra-day liquidity). TP2 → 23,750 (Weekly Open level). 📌 Key Notes If price continues bullish above 23,910 without rejection, invalidate the short idea → bias shifts to continuation higher (24,000+). Otherwise, this is a textbook “Tuesday High of the Week” setup. ✍️ Summary: I’m anticipating a Judas Swing to the upside at NY Open, taking buy-side liquidity, followed by a reversal into sell-side liquidity at 23,750.
CME_MINI:MNQU2025Short
by gysnoize
1
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Tech Stocks Face Sell-OffsNasdaq 100 Analysis: Tech Stocks Face Sell-Offs As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index fell by approximately 1.6% yesterday. According to media reports, bearish sentiment has been fuelled by the approach of key events: → the release of the FOMC meeting minutes (today at 21:00 GMT+3); → Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday. Market participants are preparing for remarks from the Fed Chair on the trajectory of interest rates. Notably, the S&P 500 declined less significantly, while the Dow Jones remained virtually unchanged. This suggests that: → tech stocks are heavily overvalued due to AI-driven hype; → capital shifted yesterday from risk assets (including cryptocurrencies) into so-called safe havens. Could tech stocks continue to decline? Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Analysing the Nasdaq 100 index chart on 5 August, we plotted the main upward channel (shown in blue). It remains valid, as since then the price has: 1→ reached the upper boundary, which (as often happens) acted as resistance; 2→ retreated to the median line, where volatility decreased (a sign of balance between supply and demand), but only briefly. Yesterday’s low coincided with the lower boundary of the channel. From a bullish perspective, buyers might rely on: → a resumption of the uptrend from the lower boundary (as was the case in early August); → support at the 50% retracement level after the A→B impulse (located around the current price area); → a rebound from the oversold zone indicated by the RSI; → support at the 7 August low of 23,250 (a false bearish breakout remains possible). On the other hand: the price has confidently broken through the channel median and then accelerated downwards (a sign of imbalance in favour of sellers). This imbalance zone (which, under the Smart Money Concept methodology, is considered a bearish Fair Value Gap) could act as resistance going forward. Given the pace of yesterday’s decline, we could assume that sellers currently hold the initiative. Should we see weak rebounds (in the style of a dead cat bounce) from the channel’s lower boundary, the likelihood of a bearish breakout could increase. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
1
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Rebounds After Friday’s DeclineNasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Rebounds After Friday’s Decline The release of disappointing US labour market data on Friday unsettled both stock market participants and the President of the United States: → Donald Trump promptly dismissed Erica McEntarfer, Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, accusing her of falsifying employment data. → Stock indices accelerated their decline, with the Nasdaq 100 Index falling below its 16 June low. However, US stock indices staged a strong recovery on Monday. According to Reuters, yesterday marked the largest daily percentage gain since 27 May. Why Did Stock Indices Rise? Possible reasons include: → Buyers were attracted by the falling share prices of companies that, for the most part, had delivered strong quarterly earnings; → Market participants are betting on a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September (a move strongly advocated by Trump), which could support both the economy and the stock market. Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart In our earlier analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Index, we: → Identified a primary ascending channel (marked in blue); → Highlighted that the price had risen above the upper boundary of the channel (a sign of excessive optimism); → Anticipated a potential correction towards the 23,020 level. However, the correction turned out to be more substantial than initially expected. As a result of the price movements on Friday and Monday: → The blue channel was widened twofold; → The price found support at its new lower boundary and reversed upwards; → As of today, the Nasdaq 100 index is trading near the median line. This can be interpreted as the market aggressively digesting recent corporate earnings reports and the prospects of a rate cut in light of a deteriorating labour market. Demand and supply may reach a new equilibrium, potentially leading to a consolidation phase around the median of the widened channel. It is also possible that the area marked in orange—where the price previously rallied strongly, indicating a buyer-driven imbalance—may now act as support. Resistance levels might include: → Former support at 23,320; → 23,440 – the level at which bears broke through the purple channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
Nasdaq 100 Index Hits New Highs Ahead of Big Tech EarningsNasdaq 100 Index Hits New Highs Ahead of Big Tech Earnings Earlier, we noted signs of optimism in the Nasdaq 100 index as the market anticipated earnings reports from major tech firms. Now, companies such as Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) have already released their results (we previously covered their charts → here and here). Up next are the most highly anticipated earnings reports: this week, tech giants including Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META), and Apple (AAPL) are set to publish their results. The combined market capitalisation of these four companies exceeds $11 trillion, and their reports could have a significant impact on a stock market that is already showing strong bullish sentiment: → The Nasdaq 100 index has climbed to an all-time high, surpassing the 23,400 mark. → The signing of trade agreements between the US and Europe (and earlier, Japan) has eased concerns about the negative impact of tariff barriers. Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100 The chart supports growing signs of optimism: earlier in July, the price remained within a rising channel (marked in blue). However, towards the end of the month, price action has begun to follow a steeper upward trajectory (marked in purple). What could happen next? Much will depend on the earnings results and forward guidance from these tech giants. On the one hand, continued enthusiasm around AI adoption could accelerate further growth. The stronger the optimism, the more fuel it may add to discussions around a potential bubble — with some analysts already drawing parallels to the dot-com era of the early 2000s. On the other hand, earnings could temper market excitement and prompt a correction. For example, the index may retreat to the support level around 23,020, which is reinforced by the lower boundary of the blue trend channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
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NASDAQ:NDXLong
by The-Thief
NASDAQ 100 TECH HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Bear Trap!🚨 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 HEIST: Tech Rally or Bear Trap? (Thief Trading Blueprint) 🚨 🌟 Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Salam! 🌟 Attention all Market Bandits & Tech Raiders! 🏴‍☠️💻💰 🔥 Thief Trading Intel: We're targeting the E-MINI NASDAQ 100 for a bullish loot grab! Long entry only—high-risk Red Zone ahead: overbought, consolidating, and primed for a reversal. Don’t let the bears ambush your profits! "Claim your tech treasure and run—you’ve earned this steal!" 💰🚀 🚪 ENTRY: The Tech Vault is Open! 📈 "Swipe bullish loot at any price—the heist is LIVE!" Buy Limit orders at recent swing lows/highs (15-30 min TF). 📌 Pro Thief Move: SET ALERTS! Don’t miss the breakout. 🛑 STOP LOSS: Escape Plan 📍 Thief SL (Smart Crew): Recent swing low (20,700.00, 4H TF). 📍 Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and orders. 🎯 TARGET: Loot & Exit! 🎯 22,600.00 (or bail early if the market flips!) ⚡ SCALPERS’ QUICK HIT 👀 Long scalps ONLY! Deep pockets? Raid now. Light wallet? Join swing traders. Trailing SL = Your Profit Shield! 🛡️ 📢 WHY THIS HEIST? (NASDAQ Bullish Momentum) Tech rally brewing! Key drivers: Fundamentals (COT, Macro, Geopolitics) Sentiment & Intermarket Trends Index-Specific Analysis & Positioning 🔗 Full intel? Bio linkss checkk! 👉🏻👉🏻👉🏻 ⚠️ WARNING: News = Danger Zone! 📡🚨 Tech news moves FAST! Protect your loot: ❌ Avoid new trades during news. 🔒 Trailing SL = Lock profits. 💖 SUPPORT THE TECH HEIST CREW! 💥 SMASH THAT BOOST BUTTON! 💥 More boosts = bigger future heists! Stronger crew = more $$$ for all! Profit daily with Thief Trading Style! 📈🏆 Next tech raid coming soon—stay tuned! 🖥️🤑
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by The-Thief
Nasdaq 100: A New All-Time HighNasdaq 100: A New All-Time High As shown on the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the value of the technology stock index has risen above its February peak, setting a new historical high. Bullish sentiment may be supported by: → Easing concerns over potential US involvement in a Middle East war, as the ceasefire between Israel and Iran remains in effect. → Media reports suggesting that Donald Trump is considering replacing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by September or October, in an effort to influence a rate cut that could accelerate economic growth (though this also raises the risk of a new inflationary wave). Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart Price fluctuations in May and June have formed an ascending channel (highlighted in blue), with the following observations: → The decline (marked by red lines) appears to be an interim correction forming a bullish flag pattern; → The 22K level, which acted as resistance mid-month, was breached by a strong bullish impulse (indicated by the arrow) from the week's low. This leaves the market vulnerable to a potential correction, which seems possible given: → Proximity to the upper boundary of the ascending channel; → Overbought conditions indicated by the RSI. If the market corrects, a retest of the 22K level may happen. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
Stock Markets Rise Amid US–China Trade Deal ProgressStock Markets Rise Amid US–China Trade Deal Progress As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) formed a bullish gap at Monday’s market open and, as of this morning, is trading at its highest level since early March. This is driven by the announcement from the Trump administration of progress in securing a trade deal with China, following weekend negotiations held in Switzerland. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the two-day talks with Chinese officials in Geneva as “productive”, adding that more detailed information would be shared on Monday. As a reminder, the US imposed tariffs of 145% on Chinese goods, to which Beijing responded with a 125% levy on American imports. Technical Analysis of the E-mini Nasdaq 100 Chart The chart is showing bullish signals: → The downward trendline (shown in orange) was broken around the 19,666 level, which has since acted as support (indicated by the blue arrow). → Today, the Nasdaq 100 has moved above last week’s resistance near the 20,175 level. → Market fluctuations are forming an upward channel (shown in blue) from the April lows, with the price currently sitting in the upper half of the channel—typically a sign of strong buying pressure. Further updates on the US–China trade deal may reveal key details, potentially reinforcing the current bullish sentiment in the equity markets. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
1
NQ1! "E-Mini Nasdaq 100" Index Market Bullish Robbery Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NQ1! "E-Mini Nasdaq 100" Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk Red Zone Level. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA line breakout (20500.00) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (19600.00) Day/Swing trade basis. 📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 21500.00 (or) Escape Before the Target. 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💰💵💸NQ1! "E-Mini Nasdaq 100" Index Market Heist (Swing Trade Plan) is currently experiencing a neutral trend there is high chance for bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝ 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets with Overall Score..... go ahead to check👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by The-Thief
Bullish Breakout on NAS100 – Momentum ShiftingNASDAQ 100 (US100) – Bullish Setup Developing 1. Falling Wedge Breakout: Price has broken out of the falling wedge (purple trendlines), signaling a potential reversal to the upside. 2. Retesting Breakout Zone: Current price action is retesting the breakout level near the 18,000 zone, indicating potential support forming. 3. Trendline Confluence: The breakout aligns with the lower boundary of the broader ascending channel (blue), acting as dynamic support. 4. Strong Bullish Rejection at Lows: Price showed strong buying interest near 17,700, forming a bullish rejection wick and bounce. 5. Clean Target Ahead: Next key resistance zone lies around 18,540, where price may face selling pressure again – this matches previous structure and descending channel resistance. 6.Momentum Shift Noted: Lower highs and lower lows structure has been invalidated, hinting at a possible trend shift. Thanks for your Time..
FX:NAS100Long
by Naren_2410
1
Nasdaq 100 Opens with Bullish GapTrump Exempts Electronics from Tariffs; Nasdaq 100 Opens with Bullish Gap Despite the weekend, the news flow remained intense amid the escalating trade war. According to media reports: → Certain tech products, including those made by Apple, have been exempted from Trump’s tariffs. → Trump announced he would make a significant statement regarding semiconductor tariffs on Monday, 14 April. Stock Indices React to Trump’s Tariff Moves These announcements were taken positively by the markets. As shown on the chart of the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the new week opened with a bullish gap exceeding 1.5% – a stronger performance than the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), which also saw a bullish gap. This may suggest that market participants are cautiously optimistic that the sweeping tariff measures might be eased through exemptions, delays, or negotiation concessions. Nevertheless, the CNN Business Fear & Greed Index remains in "extreme fear" territory, despite inching higher compared to last week. As of this morning, the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has recovered approximately 15% from its 2025 low. Technical Analysis: Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) Seven days ago, we plotted an ascending blue channel and suggested that its lower boundary could act as support – which has indeed played out. With the latest data in hand, there is reason to believe that bulls may now be aiming to push the price up toward the channel’s median line. However, as indicated by the arrows on the chart, this median appears to have shifted from acting as support to acting as resistance. Bulls may also face headwinds from the wide bearish candle to the left, which was formed in reaction to Trump's tariff announcements. According to Smart Money Concept methodology, this area – marked by a bearish Fair Value Gap (highlighted with a rectangle) – may now serve as resistance. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
1
NAS100 Triangle Apex – Breakout or Breakdown ImminentBullish View: • Price is forming higher lows and holding above the lower ascending trendline. • A breakout above the upper descending trendline near 18,500 would confirm bullish momentum. • If the breakout is sustained, potential upside targets include 18,650 and 18,800. Bearish View: • Price has tested the lower support trendline and shown weakness near the apex of the triangle. • A breakdown below 18,100 would indicate bearish momentum and invalidate the ascending structure. • If the breakdown is sustained, potential downside targets include 17,950 and 17,700.
FX:NAS100
by Naren_2410
Nasdaq 100 drops to its lowest level since January 2024Nasdaq 100 drops to its lowest level since January 2024 According to the chart of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the index opened this week around the 16,500 mark – a price level last seen in early 2024. This suggests that the sharp sell-off in equities seen last Thursday and Friday may well continue today. Stock indices respond to Trump’s tariffs Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on NBC News’ Meet the Press that there is “no reason” to expect a recession. However, equity charts reflect market sentiment described by CNN Business’s Fear & Greed Index as “extreme fear”. This wave of negativity followed President Trump’s announcement on 2 April of harsher-than-expected international trade tariffs. In response, China and other nations announced retaliatory measures. As a result, the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) now trades roughly 25% below its 2025 peak – officially entering bear market territory. Technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) Back on 28 February, we drew an ascending trendline (line A). Bulls attempted a rebound from this support (as shown by the arrow), but their efforts were overwhelmed by the White House’s latest policy decisions. Given the updated price action, we can now treat line A as the median of an ascending channel. From this perspective, the index is currently near the lower boundary of the channel. Technically, this could indicate potential support. However, as long as the price remains below the bearish gap – which includes the key psychological level of 17,000 – talk of a meaningful recovery may be premature. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
Nasdaq's Drop: A Temporary Rebound Before More Downside?I've been calling for a strong correction in the Nasdaq (and all major U.S. indices) since the start of the year—long before the tax war even began. I warned that a break below 20,000 was likely, with my final target set around 17,500. And indeed, the index has fallen—regardless of what the so-called "cause" might be. Right now, Nasdaq is trading at 18,400, sitting right at a minor horizontal support zone. ________________________________________ A Short-Term Rebound Before More Downside? 📉 Overall Bias Remains Bearish – The broader trend still points lower. 📈 Rebound Likely – A push above 19,000 in the coming days wouldn’t be surprising. ⚠️ High-Risk Setup – Going long here is risky, given the current macroeconomic backdrop. ________________________________________ Trading Strategy: Short-Term vs. Long-Term ✅ For Short-Term Traders & Speculators – A temporary upside correction could offer a buying opportunity. ❌ For Swing & Long-Term Traders – It's better to wait for this rebound to fade and position short for the next leg down. While a bounce could be on the cards, the bigger picture still points lower—I remain bearish in the long run. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Nasdaq 100 key levels to watch as index tries to extend recoveryMarkets have been grappling to establish a definitive bottom in recent sessions, before finally the bulls showed up on Friday to stage a strong rebound from oversold levels. Could the Nasdaq 100 now be poised for a more substantial recovery? After Friday’s recovery, the big question now is whether we are witnessing the early stages of another rally or just a pause before deeper losses. Last week, the Nasdaq 100 found some footing in the 19,115-19,240 zone, which coincides with a prior support/resistance region and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the August rally. With the daily RSI firmly entrenched in oversold territory, the index was able to find dip buyers yet again. The key technical factor to watch today is to see whether the index will show follow-through after Friday’s sharp recovery. A positive close would further erode the bears’ control, while a negative close would suggest there is more selling to come. A few nearby resistance barriers are in focus now. The first of these hurdles is at 19,735—the low from Friday that was breached in Monday’s sharp sell-off. This level also marks the underside of a broken trendline stretching back to January 2023. A decisive break above this area could open the door to additional upside, targeting psychological resistance at 20,000, followed by the 200-day moving average near 20,340. Should dip buyers regain control, these levels could soon come into focus. On the flip side, if renewed selling pressure emerges, downside targets include 18,800 and potentially the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement near 18,310. Taking everything into account, my Nasdaq 100 forecast has shifted. Where I previously leaned towards further correction—now largely realised—I am now inclined to anticipate a recovery. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
Nasdaq 100 Enters CorrectionNasdaq 100 Enters Correction As shown on the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) index chart today: → The index has fallen below the psychological 20,000-point level, reaching its lowest in approximately six months. → The decline from the December peak now exceeds 10%, officially marking the start of a correction. Why the Nasdaq 100 Is Falling Today Bearish sentiment stems from a combination of factors, including (according to Zacks analysts): → The Trump administration’s tariff policies and their potential economic impact. Concerns increased after the latest jobs report showed unemployment rising from 4.0% to 4.1%. → Worries about AI investment costs and their long-term profitability. → Market anticipation of tomorrow’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) release at 15:30 GMT+3. Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart Price movements indicate that the steeper growth channel (marked in black), which had been in place since last August, has lost relevance. A broader view of the chart reveals that the index has now approached the lower boundary of a long-term channel (marked in blue), which has been forming since early 2024. Key price formations that helped define this channel are highlighted in orange. Given that the index is at the lower boundary of the blue channel and the RSI indicator on the daily chart has dropped to multi-year lows, a short-term recovery may be likely. However, the fundamental backdrop will play a decisive role—clear signs of U.S. economic stability could support a rebound, while extreme fear (as reflected in CNN’s Fear & Greed Index) may continue to weigh on sentiment. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: February Pushes Index Below January’s OpenNasdaq 100 Analysis: February Pushes Index Below January’s Opening Price The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows: → January’s opening price was around 21,085. → February’s closing price was around 20,867. This marks a 1% decline since the start of the year. A report from Goldman Sachs, published on Friday, reinforces bearish sentiment, stating that global hedge funds sold more stocks than they bought at the end of February—the largest net selling in a year, according to Reuters. Possible reasons for market pessimism: → AI-related stocks may be highly overbought. For instance, the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks have underperformed the broader market in 2025. → Trump’s tariff policies on global trade could have negative economic consequences. Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) Bullish perspective: Breaking January’s low did not trigger a strong downward trend. Bearish perspective: The price has fallen below the support line (lower blue line), which had held since autumn last year. The market’s next move could depend on how Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) behaves around the 21,030 level. Previous rebounds from this support line were weak, and bears managed to break through with effort. This suggests they may still control this zone. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
1
Nasdaq 100 Hits Yearly Low, Led by NVDA DeclineNasdaq 100 Hits Yearly Low, Led by NVDA Decline The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has fallen below 20,500 for the first time since November 2024. Bearish sentiment driven by: → The latest US jobless claims report, which showed the highest figures of 2025. → Concerns over the destabilising and economically damaging potential of Donald Trump’s trade policies. Nvidia (NVDA) Among the Biggest Losers While the Nasdaq 100 lost over 2.5% in yesterday’s session, Nvidia (NVDA) shares plunged nearly 8% despite a stronger-than-expected quarterly report, as we noted yesterday. Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) The ongoing decline has resulted in a bearish breakout of the trendline (marked in blue) that originated in 2024. Based on key reversals (highlighted with red circles), the chart now outlines a descending channel. An attempted breakout (indicated by an arrow) failed, forming a bearish Rounding Top pattern. If bearish sentiment prevails—especially with focus on inflation data, as the Core PCE Price Index is set to be released today at 16:30 GMT+3—Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) may drop further towards the lower boundary of the descending channel. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
1
Nasdaq 100 Hovering Near Weekly Highs in a Volatile WeekNasdaq 100 Hovering Near Weekly Highs in a Volatile Week As shown on the 4-hour chart of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the index stood around the 21,600 level this morning, near the weekly high that formed at Monday’s open. This suggests that the tech-stock index has almost fully recovered from the decline triggered by the launch of AI from the Chinese startup DeepSeek. According to media reports: → Experts have pointed to signs that the Chinese startup used a technique known as “distillation” – in simple terms, this means that DeepSeek’s model extracted knowledge from more advanced models such as ChatGPT. In other words, this is not about innovation but rather an unfair practice. → Nassim Taleb believes that the sharp drop in NVDA shares is only the beginning of a potential market downturn inflated by AI-driven expectations. Further declines could be more significant than what we witnessed on Monday. Apart from news surrounding DeepSeek, traders were also focused on earnings reports from major corporations (which we will cover in detail in separate articles): → Tesla (TSLA) is holding above $400 in pre-market trading today, despite earnings per share falling short of expectations. Meanwhile, company executives believe that Trump’s policies could negatively impact Tesla’s operations. → Microsoft (MSFT) shares fell by more than 4%, Meta Platforms (META) surpassed $700 per share in post-market trading for the first time, and IBM surged by approximately 9%. Additionally, the fundamental backdrop became even more eventful following yesterday’s Fed updates, which, however, contained no surprises: → As expected, interest rates remained unchanged. → According to The Wall Street Journal, the Fed has entered a “Wait-and-See” phase, showing less confidence that inflation will continue to decline. The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart reveals that the price: → Tested a key support line (marked in blue) at the weekly low. → Remains within the red descending channel. From a bullish perspective, the red channel can be seen as a large-scale correction within the broader uptrend on higher timeframes. From a bearish perspective, the bearish gap that formed at Monday’s open may act as resistance. Whether bulls will be able to overcome this barrier in the near term will depend, among other factors, on the next batch of earnings reports from major tech companies. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
4
The NASDAQ is Approaching a Selling OpportunityCurrently, the NASDAQ is showing a strong uptrend on the daily chart, but the gap between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages has significantly widened. Even if the market opens with a gap up today, a pullback is likely due to this divergence, so chasing buys is not recommended. For selling at the top, consider these levels: 21940, 22040, and 22110. Especially near 22040, the resistance zone aligns with the upper Bollinger Band, making it a favorable level for selling. Following President Trump’s announcement of expanded AI infrastructure investments, AI-related stocks like NVIDIA have surged. However, it’s unlikely that the rally will continue significantly from this point. Additionally, the NASDAQ has already triggered a sell signal on the 30-minute chart, and this could cascade into sell signals on the 60-minute, 120-minute, and 240-minute charts. Be cautious about chasing long positions. For dip-buying opportunities, 21770, a previous resistance level, may serve as a good entry point if the market pulls back. Should the price drop to the 5-day moving average, 21630 would offer an even better buying opportunity. I post daily analysis on the NASDAQ, Crude Oil, and Gold. Follow me to receive these updates and stay informed! 😊
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard