NATURAL GAS | IMPORTANT LEVELNATGAS / XNGUSD is trading at very important resistance. The price is trading on this price for couple of days with long wick rejection candles.
Although the phobia among the European countries is still intact but price action suggest different stories.
Wait for breakout or clear rejection before opening any position.
Trade your levels accordingly.
Natgas
May 19, 22-NG Pullback? Buy Opp at 7.7?NG has been making higher highs and higher lows this past week or so....I'm watching for another pullback today down to 7.7 - I will see if it blows past this point but if it finds some support here then tomorrow or later tonight could be a Buy Order around that 7.7 mark.
NG is still looking like it's on a tear so we will see what the report says today and go from there.
Heiko
Elliott Wave Analysis: Natural Gas Confirms Temporary TopHello traders and investors, today we will talk about Natural Gas in which we can see sharp and impulsive decline from the highs, which in Elliott wave theory suggests and confirms temporary top in place.
From Elliott Wave perspective we can clearly see a completed five-wave bullish cycle within 5th wave at projected 9.0 level. In Elliott waves, after every five waves, we can expect a three-wave A-B-C reversal, so with current five-wave drop from the highs, seems like Natgas is now slowing down within a higher degree (A)-(B)-(C) correction.
Well, wave (A) seems to be completed now, so we may now see a three-wave A-B-C corrective rally in wave (B) that can retest 7-8 resistance area and form a nice Head&Shoulders pattern before we will see another sell-off for wave (C).
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Mar 12, 22 NG Buy or Sell?So NG has been in a bit of a sideways channel lately....what is it waiting for? Some kinda news?
I have no idea if it will go up or down or will it end this week sideways?
Frustrating as hell but I'm thinking it might drop some next week. Who knows though right?
Thoughts??
Heiko
May 2, 22 NG going to drop or no?Question is....will NG just keep going up because of the war etc or will sense come back into reality and price will start to come down later this week?
I'm looking at it rising tomorrow and maybe Wed before it will start falling. Will it hit 7.8 again over the next couple of days? If so, good time to enter a Sell Trade?
I have no idea. Any input?
Heiko
💡NGAS (NAT.GAS) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 5.194, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 8.176 breaks.
If the support at 5.194 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI support #1 at 43 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 6.485 on 04/25/2022, so more gains to resistance(s) 7.458 and maximum to Major Resistance (8.176) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index ( RSI ) is 61.
Supports and Resistances:
8.827
8.176
7.458
6.520
5.835
5.194
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💡NGAS (NAT.GAS) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 5.194, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 8.176 breaks.
If the support at 5.194 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI support #1 at 43 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 6.485 on 04/25/2022, so more gains to resistance(s) 7.458 and maximum to Major Resistance (8.176) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 61.
Supports and Resistances:
8.827
8.176
7.458
6.520
5.835
5.194
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USOIL - Russian oil ban = higher oil pricesMore than a week ago, we warned about potential EU's ban on Russian oil and the risk it poses for the higher price of oil. We suggested that this step would lead to higher prices of oil in the short-term. Just two days ago, Germany was reported to back a gradual ban on Russian oil. Because of that we abandon our short-term and medium-term price targets. Although, our long-term price target remains in place.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI points to the upside which is bullish; however, over the past few days, it shows choppy pattern. MACD oscillates near the midpoint; if it manages to break above it, then we expect it to bolster a bullish case for USOIL. Stochastic is bullish. DM+ and DM- are bearish but due to perform bullish crossover. ADX signals presence of no significant trend. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish for USOIL.
Illustration 1.01
The illustration above shows the rectangle pattern - in which most of the choppy price action has been going on lately.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is neutral. MACD is highly elevated and flattening at the same moment, which makes it neutral. Stochastic reversed to the upside. DM+ and DM- show bullish conditions in the market. However, ADX's signals that these conditions deteriorated over the past four weeks. Overall, the weekly time frame is mixed.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NatGas: GeyserLike a geyser, NatGas is spouting upwards from the white zone between $6.255 and $6.684. We expect it to have enough drive to reach the resistance at $8.065 soon. There, it should gain some more momentum to make it into the orange zone between $8.559 and $9.241, where wave (5) in white as well as wave iii in orange should end. However, there is a 42% chance that NatGas could rebound off the line at $8.065 and subsequently drop below $6.466. In that case, it should fall into the green zone between $5.687 and $4.939 first before rising back above $6.466 and further toward $8.065.
Apr 26, 22 NG-Time to ride it up?I put in a Buy Order at 6.9 as I just read that Russia is going to turn OFF the gas deliveries to Poland starting Wed Morning.
I am expecting NG to go up with NG in Europe as Poland will have to get it's supplies from other countries - like the U.S. maybe?
We shall see but maybe I can make some money back on what I lost last month :-)
Stay safe!!
Heiko
USOIL - Choppy but still bearishYesterday, we showed a bearish breakout in the RSI of USOIL. Although, later, during the trading session, this breakout became invalidated, and RSI moved back above the horizontal support. Despite that, we remain bearish on the USOIL, and our price targets stay in place.
Illustration 1.01
The idea above shows yesterday's intraday breakout below the support in the RSI on the daily time frame chart.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bearish. The same applies to DM+ and DM-. ADX exhibits growth which signals that the bearish momentum is gaining strength. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The picture above shows the retracement in the RSI on the daily chart.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bearish. MACD performed a bearish crossover recently; however, it remains in the upper area of the bullish zone. DM+ and DM- show bullish conditions in the market, with ADX suggesting their further deterioration. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
ABC Still correcting?Missed most of the wave up, but it hasn't broken the high so it could correct and then move a lot higher. Weekly log scale pitchfork holds the price incredibly well.