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News Only Matters When It Breaks Market StructureDow × News × Market Structure In trading, news is not powerful because the numbers are big or small. Most information is already priced in by the market. What truly determines the impact of news is not the headline itself, but whether it forces the market to change its existing structure. According to Dow Theory, a trend remains in place until there is clear evidence of reversal. This leads to a simple reality: good news will not push price higher if the primary trend is still bearish, and bad news will not crash the market if a bullish structure remains intact. That is why market reactions to news often look “strange.” Sometimes CPI comes out better than expected and price barely moves. Other times bad news hits and price only shakes briefly before continuing in the same direction. The issue is not that the news is wrong, but that it is not strong enough to break the current structure. News only becomes meaningful when it does one of two things: breaks a key high or low, or ends an existing sequence of higher highs–higher lows or lower highs–lower lows. When price closes beyond the old structure, the market has accepted new information and entered a different phase of movement. On the other hand, if price spikes on news and then quickly returns to the prior range, the structure has not changed. These moves are mostly noise—emotionally charged, but trendless. The market is merely releasing energy, not changing direction. In practice, many of the strongest moves actually come from news that is not particularly surprising. That is because the structure was already in a vulnerable state. The news acts as the final catalyst, not the root cause. So the real task is not “trading the news,” but reading the structure before the news hits. Define the trend using Dow Theory, mark the key structural levels, and then observe whether the news has enough force to break them. Only when structure changes and price confirms does news truly gain trading value. The strongest news is not the one that creates the biggest volatility, but the one that forces the market to change how it moves. If structure is not broken, every reaction is just an opinion. Only when structure fails does the market give a real answer.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by DomicChaina
12
FJET - Post-IPO Structure Is Taking Shape!After its public debut, Starfighters Space ( AMEX:FJET ) delivered exactly what strong listings tend to do: an impulsive expansion 📈, followed by a healthy correction 📉, and now the early signs of structure forming. This phase is where real opportunities usually start to emerge. 📊 Technical Analysis Cycles are clearly repeating on FJET.🔄 In the previous cycle, FJET printed a strong impulse move from around $6.4 to approximately $31, representing a ~400% expansion🚀 . That rally was followed by a curved correction , after which price retested the $10 demand zone and used it as a base for continuation. 🔄Now, we are seeing the same structure forming again. FJET is currently trading within another curved correction , gradually rotating lower toward a newly formed demand zone between $10 and $11 . Importantly, this correction is unfolding with decreasing downside momentum, suggesting absorption rather than aggressive selling. 🏹The key trigger remains the last high marked in blue around $16. A clean break and hold above this level would confirm bullish continuation and signal the start of the next impulse move, with the potential to push FJET toward new all-time highs above $31. ⚔️As long as the $10 demand zone holds, the structure continues to favor continuation over reversal. 💡 Bigger Picture Now that FJET is officially public📊, the narrative has shifted from anticipation to execution. Starfighters Space is not a speculative concept, it’s an operating aerospace company: - Flying missions out of NASA’s Kennedy Space Center👩‍🚀 - Operating the world’s only commercial Mach 2-capable fleet - Backed by validation from NASA, Lockheed Martin, GE, and the U.S. Air Force🛩 Post-IPO phases like this are often where institutions begin evaluating structure, liquidity, and follow-through, not at the highs, but during consolidation. 📘 Bottom line FJET has moved past the chaos of its debut and is now building a base.🪨 If demand continues to hold and momentum rebuilds, this consolidation could be the pause before the next expansion. This is the phase where patience matters most. 📌 Always do your own research and speak with your financial advisor before investing. 📚 Stick to your trading plan, entry, risk management, and execution. All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly! ~ Richard Nasr Disclaimer: I have been paid $800 by CDMG, funded by Starfighters Space, to disseminate this message.
AMEX:FJETLong
by TheSignalyst
20
BTCUSDT – Correction Pressure ReturnsHello traders, After a weak rebound earlier this week, Bitcoin is showing signs of losing momentum as it continues to face rejection around the 110,000 USD zone. On the 4-hour chart, price action remains clearly within a descending channel, indicating that the short-term trend still favors the bearish side. From a technical perspective, BTC is currently being capped by the EMA 34 and EMA 89, both acting as dynamic resistance levels. The recent bounce appears to be merely a technical pullback following the previous strong sell-off, but lacks the strength to establish new upward momentum. The price structure is forming a tight consolidation zone near the upper boundary of the channel — typically a signal of “a pause before continuation of the prior trend.” On the news side – Policy and sentiment headwinds This week, the FSB (G20) warned of “major gaps” in global crypto regulation — a negative sign for market confidence, especially after a massive mid-month liquidation shook investor sentiment. At the same time, China’s tighter stance on stablecoins is raising concerns about slower Asian inflows, while institutional demand remains weak. Together, these factors create a market environment of low buying pressure and rising risk , giving bears the upper hand in the short term. Possible Scenario At the moment, BTCUSDT is trading within the 106,000 – 110,000 USD range. If the price fails to make a decisive breakout above 110,000 USD, a continuation of the correction toward the 100,000 USD area remains highly possible — aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel and a key psychological support zone.
Short
by Octaviuss
8
CHESS.USDT NEW INCREASE ROUNDEAs a trader, it's important to follow the market and the unexpected trends. CHESS/USDT shows a possibility for a new increase in the coming time frames, after the long-term breakdown. Let's follow the data and see if this coin is able to increase as the chart shows. interesting to follow for the coming time frames for new confirmations. $0,10 is an important target that this coin could hit in the coming time. If the cycle gets confirmed, this coin could go to $0,25 as a high target and $0,35 as a best target. In trading, never expect instant results; the market goes as it needs to go. Risk management is the key.
Long
by SatochiTrader
3
etoro (new listing)stock listing of ETORO to NASDAQ, I've heard of this company. Most of the time when a company that most people have heard of is listed there is a higher chance of the company doing well. As of right now the price is only in the red since the date of listing. The listing price was supposed to be around $46-$50 so officially the stock market, as usual, is not showing the truth; based on being compared to cryptocurrency prices. The listing shows that the price started at a peak which was probably after a bunch of pre-market trades happened and bumped the price up. That was not the true entry IPO list price.
NASDAQ:ETOR
by CryptocurrencyBlot
(LOFI) new to krakenAdded today to kraken, (LOFI) "live." Brand new. Been established since Nov 2024. It looks like a wooly blue frog thing meme based on the pepe frog meme. Icelandic version of Pepe? I don't like how Kraken does not offer 100% of the time a description about new coins. The same is true for Coinbase. Sometimes there is a description but sometimes there is no description. How can they offer a business model but not offer the complete up front package of short form information about a company. Seems like laziness to have all the documentation to list a coin but not take the amount of time is takes to copy and paste a quick description of the coin onto the user website.
KRAKEN:LOFIUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
April 29, 2025 - Waiting for the Crash or the Miracle?Hello everyone, it’s April 29, 2025. Yesterday’s market session was about as exciting as watching paint dry. After months of Trump-fueled chaos, investors seem almost relieved that… nothing happened. Indices barely moved: TVC:DJI up 0.28%, SP:SPX up a pathetic 0.06%, CME_MINI:NQ1! down 0.10%. In short: we’re falling from a 150-story building, and so far, so good — but we know the real pain comes when we hit the ground. Markets are clinging to hopes that Trump’s trade war with China might get a Hollywood-style happy ending. He’s calmed down a bit. Stopped slamming Powell, flirted with diplomacy, and softened up on auto tariffs. But with an avalanche of critical economic data coming (Consumer Confidence, GDP, PCE, Jobs) and Magnificent Seven earnings, no one’s taking big bets right now. Everyone’s waiting to see if the economic parachute opens, or if we get pancaked on impact. Meanwhile, US macro isn’t looking great. Confidence is sinking — 53% of Americans say their finances are worsening, a record since COVID. Consumer spending is stalling, companies like NASDAQ:AAL and NASDAQ:DPZ are canceling forecasts, and the real estate market is coughing. Even hardcore Trump supporters are starting to sweat. The US might still technically be growing, but psychologically, the recession has already started. OANDA:XAUUSD is holding strong at $3,321, BLACKBULL:WTI is around $61.57, and BINANCE:BTCUSDT is cruising near $94,400. Futures this morning are flailing between -0.6% and +0.2%, dancing to the tune of whatever headline drops next. On the political front, Trump pulled a classic backpedal on auto tariffs: no double penalties for carmakers, partial refunds on tariffs already paid, and promises of time for US production reshoring. Nice words but rebuilding car factories will take years. As for NASDAQ:NVDA , it’s under pressure after China banned sales of its H20 chips. Huawei’s Ascend 910D chip is stepping in — good for China, but too slow and too pricey for the rest of the world. Nvidia stays king globally for now, but the tech war is heating up. Today, eyes are on key numbers: US Consumer Confidence (expected 87.7) and JOLTS job openings (expected 7.49M). Also, a heavy lineup of earnings: NYSE:V , NASDAQ:SBUX , NASDAQ:COKE , NYSE:PFE , NYSE:SNAP , and more. For now, we’re still in free fall, hoping there’s a giant crash pad waiting at the bottom. Hang tight — it’s going to be another wild one.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SmartApingAI