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NATGAS Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for NATGAS is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3.026 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 3.056 My Stop Loss - 3.011 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by AnabelSignals
2
Multi-Asset Execution Chart Analysis & TradesAnalysis Date : September 11, 2025 Trading Analyst : Institutional Intelligence Framework Methodology : Enhanced Dual Renko Chart System with Optimized Technical Indicators Executive Summary Execution chart analysis validates the exceptional institutional opportunities identified in our structure analysis. All three primary equity indices show perfect technical confirmation of institutional positioning with strong momentum indicators. Commodity and currency markets reveal significant technical conflicts requiring defensive positioning adjustments. Enhanced Indicator Configuration DMI/ADX Visual Standards : ADX (Green) : Trend strength indicator (>25 = strong trend) +DI (Blue) : Bullish directional movement -DI (Red) : Bearish directional movement Line Weight : 3pt for enhanced visibility Dual Stochastics Configuration : Tactical (5,3,3) : %K (Dark Blue), %D (Teal) - Short-term momentum Strategic (50,3,3) : %K (Black), %D (Red Circles) - Medium-term context Primary Opportunities - Technical Validation (75-85% Total Allocation) 1. DOW JONES (YM) - 30-35% ALLOCATION Classification : OPTIMAL RISK/REWARD - Superior Technical Confirmation YM Execution View: Execution Signal Analysis : DEMA Status : Bullish alignment confirmed (black above orange) ADX : 47.74 (highest trend strength among all indices) +DI/-DI Ratio : 2.69:1 bullish dominance Momentum Quality : Exceptional - strongest ADX with optimal positioning Stochastics : Tactical 98.86/84.24, Strategic 98.86/84.02 (peak momentum) Technical Trade Setup : Bullish Scenario (80% probability) : Entry : /MYM at current levels 46,050 (optimal positioning confirmed) Technical Edge : Strongest ADX + minimal extension risk Stop Loss : 45,000 (2.3% risk - best among indices) Target 1 : 47,000 (+2.1% - close 40% position) Target 2 : 48,000 (+4.2% - close 30% position) Trail Strategy : 150-point swing lows on remaining 30% Consolidation Scenario (15% probability) : Range : 45,500-46,500 around YTD POC consensus Strategy : Accumulate on any dips to 45,700 Advantage : Minimal downside to institutional support Risk Management : Optimal positioning within institutional zone Bearish Scenario (5% probability) : Trigger : Break below 45,000 (institutional consensus violation) Action : Reduce position by 50% Probability : Very low given YTD POC validation and technical strength Re-entry : Require fresh institutional accumulation evidence 2. NASDAQ 100 (NQ) - 25-30% ALLOCATION Classification : EXCEPTIONAL MOMENTUM - Exceptional Institutional Backing NQ Execution View: Execution Signal Analysis : DEMA Status : Strong bullish alignment (black above orange) ADX : 44.91 (exceptional trend strength) +DI/-DI Ratio : 2.90:1 bullish dominance (highest among indices) Momentum Quality : Exceptional directional bias Stochastics : Tactical 88.27/80.21, Strategic 88.27/80.21 (strong sustainable) Technical Trade Setup : Bullish Scenario (75% probability) : Entry : /MNQ at current levels or pullback to 23,700-23,800 Technical Edge : Highest +DI/-DI ratio with institutional backing Stop Loss : 23,000 (4.3% risk) Target 1 : 25,000 (+4.3% - close 50% position) Target 2 : 25,500 (+6.1% - close 25% position) Trail Strategy : 100-point swing lows on remaining 25% Consolidation Scenario (20% probability) : Range : 23,500-24,500 above institutional accumulation Strategy : Scale into weakness, maintain core position Management : Use tactical stochastics for entry timing Support : 26.8:1 institutional backing provides confidence Bearish Scenario (5% probability) : Trigger : Break below 23,000 (Q3 POC violation) Action : Exit all positions immediately Reassessment : Wait for institutional re-accumulation Probability : Very low given exceptional institutional support 3. S&P 500 (ES) - 20-25% ALLOCATION Classification : SOLID CONFIRMATION - Strong Institutional Support ES Execution View: Execution Signal Analysis : DEMA Status : Bullish alignment maintained (black above orange) ADX : 41.32 (strong trend strength) +DI/-DI Ratio : 1.74:1 bullish dominance Momentum Quality : Solid institutional validation Stochastics : Tactical 34.44/93.30, Strategic 98.26/95.30 (extreme overbought) Technical Trade Setup : Bullish Scenario (70% probability) : Entry : /MES on any pullback to 6,450-6,500 Current Caution : Strategic stochastics extremely overbought Stop Loss : 6,300 (3.8% risk) Target 1 : 6,700 (+2.8% - close 50% position) Target 2 : 6,800 (+4.4% - close 25% position) Profit Management : Take profits on strength given overbought conditions Consolidation Scenario (25% probability) : Range : 6,400-6,600 around institutional levels Strategy : Wait for tactical stochastics to reset before adding Management : Reduce position size until momentum cools Context : Strategic overbought suggests pause needed Bearish Scenario (5% probability) : Trigger : Break below 6,300 (institutional support failure) Action : Systematic position reduction Management : Tight stops given overbought technical readings Re-entry : Wait for technical reset and institutional validation Secondary Opportunities - Mixed Technical Signals (10-15% Total Allocation) 4. WTI CRUDE OIL (CL) - 8-12% ALLOCATION Classification : INSTITUTIONAL CONFLICT - Defensive Positioning Required CL Execution View: Execution Signal Analysis : DEMA Status : Bullish alignment (black above orange) ADX : 42.19 (strong trend strength) +DI/-DI Ratio : BEARISH 2.44:1 (-DI 42.10 vs +DI 17.86) Critical Conflict : DEMA bullish vs DMI strongly bearish Stochastics : Tactical 9.26/27.64, Strategic 27.64/33.61 (oversold setup) Technical Trade Setup : Bullish Scenario (45% probability) : Entry Criteria : WAIT for +DI to cross above -DI for confirmation Current Action : Reduce position size due to momentum conflict Stop Loss : 61.50 (tight due to bearish momentum) Target : 65.50 if technical alignment achieved Risk Management : Maximum 1.5% account risk due to signal conflict Neutral Scenario (35% probability) : Range : 62.00-64.00 within institutional accumulation Strategy : Maintain minimal defensive position Monitoring : Daily +DI/-DI relationship for momentum shift Institutional Support : Strong Q2 accumulation provides floor Bearish Scenario (20% probability) : Trigger : Break below 61.00 (institutional support failure) Action : Complete position liquidation Reason : Bearish momentum confirming institutional breakdown Re-entry : 58.00 area (Q2 POC support) with technical confirmation High-Risk Positions - Technical Deterioration (0-8% Total Allocation) 5. NATURAL GAS (NG) - 3-5% ALLOCATION Classification : HIGH RISK - Institutional Disengagement Confirmed NG Execution View: Execution Signal Analysis : DEMA Status : Bearish alignment (black below orange) ADX : 42.79 (strong trend - bearish direction) +DI/-DI Ratio : EXTREME BEARISH 6.30:1 (-DI 53.25 vs +DI 8.45) Technical Reality : All major indicators bearishly aligned Stochastics : Tactical 0.00/6.70 (maximum oversold), Strategic 51.98/65.70 Technical Trade Setup : Bullish Scenario (20% probability) : Entry Criteria : AVOID - all technical signals bearish Required Confirmation : DEMA bullish cross + DMI reversal + institutional re-engagement Current Action : Complete avoidance recommended Speculative Only : Maximum 1% account risk if attempting reversal play Neutral Scenario (30% probability) : Range : 2.80-3.20 with declining institutional participation Strategy : Avoid new positions, monitor for institutional return Risk : 65% volume decline from Q1 peak activity Liquidity : /MNG insufficient volume (13,991) for meaningful sizing Bearish Scenario (50% probability) : Continuation : Further decline toward 2.50-2.70 historical lows Institutional Reality : Smart money disengagement pattern Technical Confirmation : 6.30:1 bearish momentum supports decline Strategy : Complete avoidance until institutional re-engagement 6. EURO FUTURES (6E) - 2-3% ALLOCATION Classification : DANGEROUS EXTENSION - Technical Breakdown Confirmed 6E Execution View: Execution Signal Analysis : DEMA Status : Bearish crossover (black below orange) ADX : 29.21 (moderate trend strength) +DI/-DI Ratio : BEARISH 1.19:1 (-DI 29.21 vs +DI 24.49) Extension Risk : 12.1% above YTD POC institutional consensus Stochastics : Tactical 23.24/66.57, Strategic 74.26/90.89 (extremely overbought) Technical Trade Setup : Bullish Scenario (15% probability) : Entry : AVOID - dangerous extension with technical breakdown Existing Positions : Immediate systematic profit-taking required Risk : Overextension + bearish technical = correction imminent Management : Emergency profit-taking protocols engaged Neutral Scenario (25% probability) : Range : 1.1650-1.1800 at dangerous extension levels Strategy : Avoid range trading given extension risk Risk Assessment : All signals point to mean reversion Professional Response : Defensive positioning only Bearish Scenario (60% probability) : Target : Return to YTD POC 1.0525 (-12.1% correction) Technical Trigger : DEMA bearish cross + momentum deterioration Strategy : Short opportunities on any strength above 1.1780 Entry : /M6E shorts with tight stops above 1.1820 Risk Control : Maximum 1% account risk given extension 7. GOLD FUTURES (GC) - 0% ALLOCATION Classification : LIQUIDATION - High Risk Territory GC Execution View: Execution Signal Analysis : DEMA Status : Bearish crossover from distribution highs ADX : 34.91 (declining trend strength) +DI/-DI Ratio : BEARISH 1.31:1 (-DI 34.91 vs +DI 26.64) Extension Risk : 12.2%+ beyond ALL institutional positioning Stochastics : Tactical 11.25/30.89, Strategic 89.46/93.86 (maximum overbought) Technical Trade Setup : Emergency Liquidation Protocol : Immediate Action : Complete liquidation using market orders if necessary Rationale : Void territory + technical breakdown = catastrophic risk No Stops : Emergency exit protocols - immediate execution required Reallocation : Proceeds to YM, NQ, ES primary opportunities immediately Short Opportunity (High Probability) : Strategy : /MGC shorts on any rallies above 2,690 Target : 2,380-2,400 (return to institutional zones) Stop : 2,720 (tight risk control) Correction Magnitude : 12-15% decline expected Risk : Maximum 1% account risk for speculative short Portfolio Risk Management Protocols Position Sizing Framework Maximum Risk Per Trade : 2% account value (1.5% for conflicted signals) Portfolio Heat Limit : 15% total risk across all positions Correlation Controls : Maximum 85% equity exposure given technical alignment Cash Management : 5-10% opportunity fund for technical setups Technical Signal Hierarchy Primary Confirmation : DEMA + DMI + ADX alignment required Entry Timing : Stochastics for tactical positioning optimization Risk Management : Institutional levels for strategic stop placement Profit Taking : Systematic protocol at 2:1, 3:1, trail remainder Market Scenario Analysis Scenario A: Continued Equity Strength (70% probability) Characteristics : Technical momentum sustains institutional accumulation Winners : YM, NQ, ES (maximize allocation to 85%) Losers : GC, 6E (extension corrections accelerate) Strategy : Aggressive equity positioning, complete defensive liquidation Technical Catalyst : ADX strength maintenance + DEMA alignment Scenario B: Technical Consolidation (25% probability) Characteristics : Momentum indicators cool, range-bound trading Management : Reduce position sizes, use stochastics for timing Opportunity : Accumulate on pullbacks to institutional levels Risk Control : Tighter stops, faster profit-taking on strength Technical Signal : ADX decline below 35, stochastics reset Scenario C: Technical Breakdown (5% probability) Trigger : DEMA bearish crosses on primary indices Action : Emergency position reduction protocols Management : Systematic liquidation, increase cash to 25%+ Re-entry : Wait for institutional level retests with technical confirmation Probability : Very low given exceptional institutional backing Weekly Monitoring Checklist Daily Technical Assessment DEMA relationship maintenance across all positions DMI momentum quality and directional bias confirmation Stochastics positioning for entry/exit timing optimization ADX strength validation for trend continuation Risk Management Verification Position sizing within 2% account risk per trade Portfolio heat below 15% total risk exposure Stop loss proximity to institutional support levels Profit-taking discipline at predetermined targets Technical Signal Evolution Cross-asset momentum convergence/divergence analysis Stochastics reset opportunities for position optimization DEMA separation quality for trend strength assessment Institutional level respect vs violation monitoring Key Success Factors Technical Execution Excellence Signal Clarity : Enhanced visual indicators enable precise timing Risk Discipline : Systematic adherence to technical signal hierarchy Momentum Quality : ADX + DMI confirmation prevents false signals Entry Optimization : Dual stochastics for tactical timing precision Institutional Integration Strategic Context : Structure charts provide positioning intelligence Tactical Timing : Execution charts optimize entry/exit precision Risk Management : Institutional levels anchor stop placement Professional Standards : Both frameworks align for optimal decisions Framework Validation Results Primary Opportunities : Perfect technical confirmation of institutional intelligence Risk Identification : Technical signals validate structure chart warnings Professional Execution : Enhanced indicators enable institutional-grade precision Capital Preservation : Systematic risk management across all timeframes Risk Disclaimer : All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Technical analysis and institutional intelligence frameworks are tools for risk assessment and should not be considered guaranteed predictors of future price movement. Position sizing and risk management protocols must be adjusted based on individual account size, risk tolerance, and market conditions. Document Status : Active execution framework requiring daily technical monitoring and weekly risk assessment updates. Integration with structure analysis mandatory for optimal decision-making. Framework Evolution : Enhanced visual indicators and systematic technical analysis represent significant advancement in execution precision. Continuous optimization based on market regime changes and signal quality assessment required.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by mxb1961
Multi-Asset Market Analysis & Trade IdeasAnalysis Date : September 10, 2025 Trading Analyst : Institutional Intelligence Framework Methodology : Dual Renko Chart System with Enhanced Volume Profile Analysis Executive Summary Current market analysis reveals exceptional institutional opportunities across equity indices with significant commodity sector divergence. The enhanced institutional intelligence framework identifies unprecedented buying dominance in major equity markets while revealing dangerous extensions in traditional safe-haven assets. Portfolio Allocation Strategy : 75-85% equity allocation with minimal commodity/currency exposure based on institutional positioning intelligence. Primary Opportunities (70-85% Total Allocation) 1. NASDAQ 100 (NQ) - 25-30% ALLOCATION Classification : PRIMARY OPPORTUNITY - Institutional Backing YTD View: Institutional Intelligence : Q3 Volume Analysis : 26.8:1 buying dominance (6.18M UP vs 230.69K DOWN) Current Position : 23,963 (+3.4% above Q3 POC 23,186) Support Structure : Exceptional multi-quarter institutional foundation Risk Assessment : LOWEST RISK - strongest institutional conviction identified Trade Recommendations : Bullish Scenario (65% probability) : Entry : /MNQ at current levels or any pullback to 23,500-23,600 Position Size : Maximum 2.5% account risk per position Target 1 : 24,500 (close 50% position) Target 2 : 25,000 (close 25% position) Target 3 : 25,500+ (trail remaining 25%) Stop Loss : 23,000 (below Q3 institutional support) Neutral Scenario (25% probability) : Range : 23,200-24,200 consolidation Strategy : Scale into positions on weakness toward 23,400 Management : Hold core position, trade edges of range Re-evaluation : Weekly basis for breakout confirmation Bearish Scenario (10% probability) : Trigger : Break below 23,000 (institutional support failure) Action : Exit all positions immediately Re-entry : Require fresh institutional accumulation evidence Risk Control : Maximum 2% loss on allocation 2. S&P 500 (ES) - 25-30% ALLOCATION Classification : PRIMARY OPPORTUNITY - Strong Institutional Support 3-QTR View: YTD View: Institutional Intelligence : Q3 Volume Analysis : 5.21:1 buying dominance (11.3M UP vs 2.17M DOWN) Current Position : 6,550 (+2.7% above Q3 POC 6,375) Support Structure : Consistent institutional accumulation across quarters Risk Assessment : LOW RISK - exceptional institutional backing Trade Recommendations : Bullish Scenario (70% probability) : Entry : /MES at current levels or pullback to 6,450-6,500 Position Size : Maximum 2.5% account risk per position Target 1 : 6,650 (close 50% position) Target 2 : 6,750 (close 25% position) Target 3 : 6,850+ (trail remaining 25%) Stop Loss : 6,300 (below Q3 institutional support) Neutral Scenario (20% probability) : Range : 6,400-6,600 consolidation Strategy : Accumulate on weakness, trim on strength Management : Maintain core position size Monitoring : Weekly institutional level respect Bearish Scenario (10% probability) : Trigger : Break below 6,300 (institutional support violation) Action : Systematic position reduction Stop Loss : 6,250 (complete exit level) Re-entry : Wait for institutional re-engagement signals 3. DOW JONES (YM) - 20-25% ALLOCATION Classification : HIGH CONVICTION - YTD POC Validation 3-QTR View: YTD View: Institutional Intelligence : Q3 Volume Analysis : 11.5:1 buying dominance (455.32K UP vs 83.17K DOWN) YTD POC Alignment : Perfect alignment with Q1 POC at 45,150 Current Position : 45,651 (+1.1% above institutional consensus) Risk Assessment : VERY LOW RISK - optimal positioning Trade Recommendations : Bullish Scenario (75% probability) : Entry : /MYM at current levels (optimal positioning confirmed) Position Size : Maximum 2.5% account risk per position Target 1 : 46,200 (close 40% position) Target 2 : 46,800 (close 30% position) Target 3 : 47,500+ (trail remaining 30%) Stop Loss : 44,800 (below YTD/Q1 POC consensus) Neutral Scenario (20% probability) : Range : 45,000-46,000 consolidation around institutional consensus Strategy : Hold core position, add on dips to 45,200 Management : Optimal risk/reward positioning maintained Advantage : Minimal downside to institutional support Bearish Scenario (5% probability) : Trigger : Break below 45,000 (YTD POC violation) Action : Reduce position by 50% Ultimate Stop : 44,500 (complete exit) Assessment : Highly unlikely given institutional validation Secondary Opportunities (15-20% Total Allocation) 4. WTI CRUDE OIL (CL) - 15-20% ALLOCATION Classification : SOLID OPPORTUNITY - Strong Institutional Foundation 3-QTR View: YTD View: Institutional Intelligence : Q3 Volume Analysis : 1.94:1 buying dominance (1.38M UP vs 710.76K DOWN) Current Position : 63.27 (within Q3 institutional accumulation zone) Support Structure : Massive Q2 institutional accumulation at 57.50 Risk Assessment : LOW RISK - multiple institutional support layers Trade Recommendations : Bullish Scenario (60% probability) : Entry : /MCL at current levels or pullback to 62.50-63.00 Position Size : Maximum 2% account risk per position Target 1 : 67.00 (close 50% position) Target 2 : 69.00 (close 25% position) Target 3 : 71.00+ (trail remaining 25%) Stop Loss : 61.50 (below Q3 institutional support) Neutral Scenario (30% probability) : Range : 62.00-65.00 consolidation within institutional zone Strategy : Scale into positions on weakness Management : Patient accumulation approach Support : Strong institutional backing provides downside protection Bearish Scenario (10% probability) : Trigger : Break below 61.00 (institutional support failure) Action : Exit positions systematically Re-entry : 58.00 area (Q2 POC support) Risk Management : Tight stops due to support proximity Defensive Positions (8-12% Total Allocation) 5. NATURAL GAS (NG) - 8-12% ALLOCATION Classification : MODERATE RISK - Declining Institutional Engagement 3-QTR View: YTD View: Institutional Intelligence : Q3 Volume Analysis : Mixed activity with reduced institutional participation Q1 Peak : 10.6:1 buying dominance (697K UP vs 65K DOWN) - historical high Current Concern : 65% volume decline from Q1 peaks Risk Assessment : MODERATE - institutional disengagement evident Trade Recommendations : Bullish Scenario (45% probability) : Entry : Current levels only with tight risk controls Position Size : Maximum 1.5% account risk per position Target 1 : 3.40 (close 60% position) Target 2 : 3.60 (close remaining 40%) Stop Loss : 2.90 (below Q3 POC support) Neutral Scenario (35% probability) : Range : 3.00-3.20 consolidation Strategy : Avoid new positions, monitor for re-engagement Management : Maintain defensive positioning Watch : Volume quality for institutional return Bearish Scenario (20% probability) : Trigger : Break below 2.90 (Q3 support failure) Action : Complete position liquidation Assessment : Institutional abandonment acceleration Avoidance : No re-entry until fresh accumulation evidence Risk Management Positions (8-13% Total Allocation) 6. EURO FUTURES (6E) - 5-8% ALLOCATION Classification : DEFENSIVE ONLY - Dangerous Extension 3-QTR View: YTD View: Institutional Intelligence : YTD POC Analysis : 1.0525 (aligned with Q1 POC) Current Position : 1.1769 (+12.9% above institutional consensus) Extension Risk : DANGEROUS - trading far beyond smart money positioning Risk Assessment : HIGH RISK - profit-taking territory Trade Recommendations : Bullish Scenario (25% probability) : Entry : AVOID new long positions Existing Positions : Systematic profit-taking recommended Target : 1.1850 maximum (close all positions) Risk : Overextension beyond institutional support Neutral Scenario (35% probability) : Range : 1.1650-1.1800 at dangerous extension levels Strategy : Range trading only with tight stops Position Size : Maximum 1% account risk Management : Defensive positioning required Bearish Scenario (40% probability) : Trigger : Any breakdown below 1.1700 Target : Return to institutional consensus (1.0525) Action : Short opportunities on strength Strategy : Mean reversion to YTD POC likely 7. GOLD FUTURES (GC) - 3-5% ALLOCATION Classification : EXTREME CAUTION - Maximum Extension 3-QTR View: YTD View: Institutional Intelligence : Extension Analysis : 12.2% above all institutional positioning Q2 Peak Activity : 11.5:1 buying dominance at 3,430 levels Current Position : 2,676 (extremely overextended) Risk Assessment : MAXIMUM RISK - correction vulnerability Trade Recommendations : Bullish Scenario (15% probability) : Entry : AVOID all new long positions Existing : Immediate profit-taking recommended Risk : Extreme overextension unsustainable Management : Defensive exit strategy only Neutral Scenario (25% probability) : Range : 2,650-2,700 at unsustainable levels Strategy : No positioning recommended Assessment : Range trading too risky given extension Monitoring : Watch for breakdown signals Bearish Scenario (60% probability) : Target : 3,400-3,500 (return to institutional zones) Correction Magnitude : 12-15% decline likely Strategy : Short opportunities on any strength Entry : /MGC shorts on rallies above 2,690 Stop : 2,720 (tight risk control) Target : 3,450 (institutional accumulation zone) Risk Management Protocols Position Sizing Framework Maximum Risk Per Trade : 2% of account value Maximum Sector Exposure : 6% (energy, metals, currencies) Portfolio Heat : Maximum 15% total risk across all positions Cash Reserve : 5-12% for opportunities and margin requirements Stop Loss Hierarchy Tactical Stops : 2-3 Renko blocks on execution charts Strategic Stops : Below/above institutional POC levels Emergency Stops : Below major quarterly support levels Time Stops : Exit if no progress within 15 trading days Profit Taking Protocol Systematic Approach : Target 1 : Close 40-50% of position at 2:1 risk/reward Target 2 : Close 25-30% of position at 3:1 risk/reward Target 3 : Trail remaining 20-25% with institutional level stops Correlation Management Equity Exposure : Maximum 75-85% combined (NQ+ES+YM) Commodity Exposure : Maximum 25-30% combined (CL+NG) Currency Exposure : Maximum 10% (6E only) Safe Haven Exposure : Maximum 5% (GC defensive only) Market Scenario Planning Scenario A: Continued Equity Strength (60% probability) Characteristics : Institutional accumulation continues, economic resilience Winners : NQ, ES, YM (maximize equity allocation) Losers : GC, 6E (extension corrections) Strategy : Aggressive equity positioning, defensive commodity stance Scenario B: Market Consolidation (25% probability) Characteristics : Range-bound trading around institutional levels Winners : YM (optimal positioning), CL (institutional support) Neutral : NQ, ES (trade ranges) Strategy : Reduce position sizes, focus on institutional level trading Scenario C: Risk-Off Environment (15% probability) Characteristics : Institutional support failure, flight to quality Winners : Cash, defensive positioning Losers : All risk assets Strategy : Emergency protocols, systematic position reduction Trigger : Break below major institutional support levels Weekly Monitoring Checklist Daily Assessment Institutional POC level respect across all markets Volume quality and institutional engagement trends Position sizing within risk parameters Stop loss proximity to institutional levels Weekly Review Portfolio allocation vs. target percentages Risk/reward ratios for all open positions Institutional volume profile evolution Correlation analysis across positions Performance tracking vs. benchmarks Monthly Evaluation Quarterly volume profile updates YTD POC alignment reassessment Strategy performance attribution Risk management protocol effectiveness Market regime change identification Key Success Factors Institutional Intelligence Priority Decision Hierarchy : Institutional volume profile positioning (strategic) YTD POC alignment validation (tactical) Technical indicator confirmation (execution) Risk management protocols (defensive) Discipline Requirements Systematic adherence to position sizing formulas Emotional detachment from individual trade outcomes Institutional level respect over short-term price action Professional risk management with systematic protocols Performance Expectations Win Rate Target : 55-65% (institutional backing advantage) Risk/Reward Minimum : 2:1 average across all trades Maximum Drawdown : <8% of trading capital Consistency : Positive monthly returns 65%+ of time Disclaimer : All trading involves risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Position sizes and risk management protocols must be adjusted based on individual account size and risk tolerance. This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Document Status : Active trading framework requiring weekly updates and quarterly reassessment.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by mxb1961
Natural Gas Market Outlook ‖ Bullish Breakout with Risk Control💎 XNG/USD Natural Gas – Thief Trader’s Money Loot Plan (Swing/Scalping) 💎 🎯 Trade Plan (Bullish Setup) Strategy: Bullish triangular moving average breakout, aligned with Fibonacci 0.382 level. Entry (Layered Style): Using multiple limit orders (Thief layering strategy). Example entries: $2.900 $2.950 $3.000 (You may add more layers depending on your risk appetite.) Stop Loss: $2.800 (Thief SL). ⚠️ Note: Adjust SL based on your own risk tolerance and strategy. Target Zone: Major seller pressure expected near $3.400 — our escape target set at $3.200. 📌 Reminder: Take profit at your own discretion — you control your loot, not me. ❓ Why This Setup? ✅ Technical Basis: Bullish triangle breakout + Fibonacci 0.382 retracement signals continuation upside. ✅ Layered Entry Advantage: Reduces risk by scaling in across levels, catching volatility without FOMO. ✅ Market Structure: Current consolidation near $2.93 provides a solid base for accumulation. ✅ Sentiment Balance: Both retail & institutional lean bullish, supporting potential breakout momentum. ✅ Macro Tailwinds: Strong LNG export growth and expected winter heating demand underpin the long thesis. This plan aligns both short-term technicals and long-term fundamentals, creating a high-probability swing/scalping opportunity. 🌟 Natural Gas (XNG/USD) Market Report - September 3, 2025 🌟 📊 Current Price Snapshot Spot Price: $2.93 per MMBtu (Henry Hub benchmark) 📉 (Holding steady after recent dips, reflecting balanced supply/demand.) 😊 Trader Sentiment Outlook Retail Traders: 55% Bullish 🟢 | 35% Bearish 🔴 | 10% Neutral ⚪ (Optimism from LNG demand + weather, but some concern on inventories.) Institutional Traders: 60% Bullish 🟢 | 30% Bearish 🔴 | 10% Neutral ⚪ (Focused on exports & production stability, while cautious on oversupply.) 📌 Overall Mood: Mildly positive — upside potential if weather demand rises. 😨 Fear & Greed Index Current Level: Neutral (Score ~50/100) ⚖️ Fear factors: Storage 5% above 5-year avg, mild summer demand. Greed drivers: LNG exports + winter demand expectations. Market vibe = balanced — neither panic selling nor euphoric buying. 📈 Fundamental & Macro Score Fundamental Score: 7/10 🟢 Strong LNG shipments (31% growth expected). Inventories manageable, production +3% YoY. Key watch: Permian & Haynesville supply shifts. Macro Score: 8/10 🟢 Rising global energy needs (AI, data centers). Autumn cooling trend boosts heating demand. Asia’s growth keeps exports flowing. 🚀 Overall Market Outlook Bias: Bullish (Long) 🟢📈 — ~60% confidence. Natural gas could push toward $3.60/MMBtu by late 2025 if balances tighten and exports expand. Winter could spark extra upside rallies ❄️🔥. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch FXOPEN:XNGUSD NYMEX:NG1! ICMARKETS:XBRUSD (Brent Crude) FOREXCOM:USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold for risk hedge) TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index – inverse correlation play) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #XNGUSD #NaturalGas #SwingTrading #Scalping #CommodityTrading #EnergyMarkets #Fibonacci #BreakoutStrategy #LayeringStrategy #TradingViewAnalysis #ThiefTrader
ICMARKETS:XNGUSDLong
by The-Thief
NATGAS My Opinion! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for NATGAS is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3.016 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 2.915 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by AnabelSignals
1
XNGUSD, Accumulation to Expansion? Weekly Long Into Winter RiskI’ve initiated a long on Natural Gas from weekly structure. Price has rotated inside this area since ’23 and is now reacting at a confluence of trendline support + prior demand. The plan is to hold into Q4, when seasonality (heating demand + potential hurricane/LNG disruptions) often provides upside tailwinds. Risk is defined on the weekly chart; I’ll manage around swings and let the position work. Technicals (Weekly) • Range base reclaimed: Price is bouncing from the same 2023–2024 accumulation zone (roughly 2.5–3.0). • Multi-touch trendline support: Current candle is reacting at the rising base trendline; wicks show responsive buying. • Structure targets: First objective is a move back into mid-range supply; extension aims toward the upper band shown on the chart. Fundamentals Supporting Long Bias • Seasonality: Q4 typically brings rising Heating Degree Days across the Northern Hemisphere; winter risk premia often get priced ahead of the draw season. • LNG pull: Ongoing ramp in global LNG demand + incremental U.S. export capacity tends to tighten the domestic balance on cold forecasts or unplanned outages elsewhere. • Supply discipline: Gas rig counts have lagged after the 2024 price slump; that slower supply response can tighten later-year balances if weather cooperates. • Weather & Gulf risk: Peak hurricane season can interrupt Gulf production and processing, periodically supporting price. • Europe draw season: As EU storage transitions from injection to draws, import needs rise, keeping a bid under seaborne gas. Trade Plan: • Entry: From weekly support (see chart). • Management: Trail below fresh higher lows on the daily; take partials at fib/structure levels; let a runner target the upper band if momentum broadens. What Breaks the Thesis • A persistently warm Q4, outsized storage overhang into winter, major LNG outages/delays, or a renewed surge in production that swamps demand. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by AR33_
Natural Gas Market Outlook — September 01, 2025.VANTAGE:NG #NaturalGas #NatGas (NYMEX:NG1!) 🔵 Natural Gas Market Outlook — September 01, 2025. Alright, here’s the skinny on NatGas. Back on April 28, 2025, I was calling for a dip into the $2.74 zone—and guess what? We tagged it right on schedule. Now the game flips: I’m hunting long entries with the first serious target sitting at $10.00. Could we overshoot? Absolutely. If momentum really gets cooking, the Fibo 227% extension lines up at roughly $21.00. But let’s not get greedy yet—$10 stays the main milestone for the next big leg. Macro Drivers ➖ Exports: LNG shipments are the elephant in the room. Europe’s still thirsty, Asia’s paying up, and U.S. cargos are cashing in. ➖ Production: Flat. Shale guys aren’t rushing to flood the market unless we break above $3.20+. ➖ Geopolitics: Russia’s LNG rerouting and Middle East jitters keep a bid under global gas. ➖ Utilities & Consumers: Domestic demand is softer thanks to renewables transitions, but that’s a sideshow compared to export flows. Big Picture EIA pegs Henry Hub at $3.60 in 2025 and $4.30 in 2026, but frankly, that’s conservative. With demand from data centers, electrification, and global LNG growth, upside is more likely than not. Trade View ➡️ I’m treating $2.74 as the cycle low. Any dips near that level look like golden tickets for long positioning into 2026. First pit stop: $10.00. If bulls get rowdy, keep an eye on $21.00 as the stretch target. ➡️ Bottom line: NatGas just gave us the reset we were waiting for. From here, risk/reward favors the long side. Strap in—it’s gonna be a volatile ride, but that’s where the money gets made.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by SergioRichi
Potential Decline of Natural Gas Prices to $2.43–$2.74Brief Overview of Events and News Explaining the Potential Decline of Natural Gas Prices to $2.43–$2.74. ➖ Weather Forecast and Reduced Demand On April 23, 2025, the U.S. National Weather Service forecasted milder-than-average weather across the U.S. for late spring and early summer 2025, particularly in key gas-consuming regions like the Northeast and Midwest. Warmer weather reduces the demand for heating, a primary driver of natural gas consumption. This led to a 2.5% decline in Henry Hub natural gas futures, settling at $3.05 per MMBtu on April 24, 2025. Source: Reuters ➖ High U.S. Natural Gas Inventories The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported on April 17, 2025, that natural gas inventories increased by 75 billion cubic feet (Bcf) for the week ending April 11, 2025, significantly exceeding the five-year average build of 50 Bcf. Total U.S. inventories are now 20% above the five-year average, indicating an oversupply that pressures prices downward. Source: EIA, "Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report," April 17, 2025 ➖ Weak Global LNG Demand On April 22, 2025, Bloomberg reported a decline in demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Asia, particularly in China, due to an economic slowdown and a shift to cheaper coal alternatives. China’s LNG imports in Q1 2025 dropped 10% year-over-year, reducing export opportunities for U.S. gas producers and adding pressure on domestic prices. Source: Bloomberg, "China’s LNG Imports Fall as Coal Use Rises," April 22, 2025 Technical Analysis Natural gas futures (NYMEX) are currently around $3.15 per MMBtu as of April 28, 2025, following a recent decline from a peak of approximately $4.90 in 2025. Fibonacci retracement levels indicate correction targets at 38.2% ($2.74) and 50% ($2.43). Fundamental factors, such as oversupply and reduced demand, support a bearish scenario that could drive prices to these levels in the near term. Nearest Entry Point Target: • $2.74 Growth Potential: Long-term: • $10 Screenshot:
NYMEX:NG1!
by SergioRichi
Natural Gas: The Bearish Raid is On! Are You In?🌟 ATTENTION ALL BLACK MARKET TRADERS & NINJA THIEVES! 🌟 (XNG/USD Natural Gas Heist Plan - Bearish Swing/Scalping) Yo! 🐱‍👤🤑 The vault doors are creaking open on Natural Gas, and it's time for a BEARISH HEIST! Our intel suggests the big dump is coming. Police ain't around, so let's move! 🚓💨 🦹‍♂️ THE MASTER HEIST PLAN (BEARISH EDITION) Asset: XNG/USD (Natural Gas) | Trade Type: Swing / Scalping Heist Overall Bias: BEARISH 📉👊 (We're stealing on the way DOWN!) 🎯 ENTRY PROTOCOL: THE "LAYER" HEIST For the OG Thieves who understand patience and precision. We're not chasing; we're setting traps! 🎪 ENTRY: Any price level is a gift! But for the pros, we're setting MULTIPLE SELL LIMIT ORDERS to layer our entry like a true market ninja. 🧨 LAYER 1: 2.740 🧨 LAYER 2: 2.770 🧨 LAYER 3: 2.800 Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your own capital. More layers, more loot! 💰💰💰 🚨 STOP LOSS (The Getaway Car Engine) This is where we bail if the cops show up. Don't be a hero. 🛑 THIEF S.L.: @2.950 📢 OG ANNOUNCEMENT: Dear Ladies & Gentleman of the shadow markets, adjust your SL based on your own risk appetite and strategy! Protect your capital! 🛡️ 🏁 TARGET (The Escape Route) The police barricade is set up down below. Our goal is to escape with the stolen money before we hit it! 🎯 T/P 1 (CASH OUT): @2.550 🚗💨 🚧 POLICE BARRICADE: @2.450 (Danger! Avoid this area!) 🔪 SCALPERS, LISTEN UP! 👂 If you're in and out quick, only scalp on the SHORT side. Ride those little downtrends for quick cash. Use a tight trailing stop to protect your mini-loot! 🏃‍♂️💵 ⚠️ HEIST ALERT: NEWS LOCKDOWN 🚫📰 Big news = cops everywhere! It creates chaos and volatility. To avoid getting caught: AVOID new trades during high-impact news. USE Trailing Stops to lock in profits on running heists. STAY STEALTHY. 🐱‍👤 💣 BOOST THIS IDEA! 💣 It fuels our underground network and helps us find the next perfect heist! Let's drain this market dry together! 🤑🤝❤️🎉 I'll see you in the shadows with the next score. Stay sharp! 🙈🙉🙊
ICMARKETS:XNGUSDShort
by The-Thief
NATGAS - Targets acquired! Bullish Breakout! 📊 NATGAS – Multi-Timeframe Outlook 🔎 Monthly (1M) Price has respected the monthly demand zone (2.1 – 2.3) with a strong reaction. Structure still inside a wide swing range, but higher timeframe bias is shifting bullish. Long-term upside targets sit around 4.9+, aligning with the top of the range and prior supply. 🕰 Weekly (1W) Clear weekly engulfing candle confirming demand reaction. Target Level 1: 3.3 – 3.4 zone (short-term imbalance/supply). Target Level 2: 4.9+, lining up with range highs. As long as price holds above 2.1 invalidation level, bullish continuation remains intact. ⏱ Daily (1D) Current push showing strong momentum off support with liquidity trend building. Immediate upside focus on 3.3+, where first supply/imbalance sits. Expect retracements into demand zones to be respected as buying opportunities until major resistance levels are tested. ⏳ 8H Price broke out of a descending channel, retesting the buy zone reaction area (2.8 – 2.9). Upside liquidity targets at 3.3 in the near-term. Smaller resistance noted, but structure favors continuation higher toward daily imbalance + supply zones. 🎯 Trade Plan Bias: Bullish reversal from higher timeframe demand Entry Zone: 2.8 – 2.9 (buy zone reaction) Targets: 3.3 (short-term), 4.9 (long-term swing) Invalidation: Break below 2.1 demand base
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by jamesibartram
1
NG1!: Move Down Expected! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse NG1! together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3.022 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 2.981.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
RUS:NG1!Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
NATURAL GAS rebounding on a 1.5-year Support! Bullish.Natural Gas (NG1!) is having a strong green 1W candle, coming off a 2-month decline. It is highly likely that this correction has come to an end as the price hit this hit (and thus rebounding on) the Higher Lows trend-line that started all the way back since the February 20 2024 market bottom. Technically the whole pattern from that day until now looks similar to the June 22 2020 - March 15 2021 sequence, which initiated a stronger 3rd Bullish Leg all the way to the Symmetrical Resistance Zone. A potential 1W Golden Cross would confirm this upward break-out, just like it did on June 14 2021. If that takes place, our long-term Target would be 6.400 (Symmetrical Resistance Zone). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by TradingShot
NATGAS: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why: The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the NATGAS pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by UnitedSignals
1