Weekly Market Outlook: Nifty, BankNifty & S&P 500Nifty (25492) closed ~230 points lower this week, trading between 25803–25318 and once again respecting the broad 26150–25250 range.
Price formed a hammer candle near key support at 25300, signaling potential seller exhaustion — however, confirmation is required before expecting a trend reversal.
Bullish Confirmation Setup
Sustaining above 25600 → opens move toward 26000
Break above hammer high with volume = stronger confirmation
Downside / Risk Scenario
Structure remains constructive above 25000
Failure below 25000 could extend correction toward 24650–24580 zone
As highlighted earlier, November tends to be a corrective month, and a retest of 25150–25200 would be healthy.
If Nifty tests and holds this zone, I plan to gradually deploy capital into NiftyBees, MidcapBees & Smallcap ETFs, preparing for the next leg toward new ATHs.
BankNifty
BankNifty closed at 57876, holding firm above the crucial 57600 support.
Bullish Above 57900:
Targets → 58249 / 58469 / 58577 / 58900
Risk Below 57450 (2-day close):
Possible decline toward 56800
BankNifty continues to act as a trend anchor for Nifty, so levels here remain important.
S&P 500
S&P500 ended at 6728, down ~110 points but still forming a potential bullish W-pattern on the weekly chart.
Bullish Continuation:
> 6780 daily close or
> 6920 breakout
→ Targets: 6959 (Fib) / 7122
Risk Trigger:
Monthly low 6550 is key structural support
Break below could lead to 6225 / 6013
(Watch Fed tone, yields & VIX alongside price action)
🎯 Key Takeaways
Hammer at support — wait for confirmation above 25600
Buy-on-dip zone: 25150–25200 (gradual allocation, not aggressive)
BankNifty strength above 57900 crucial for momentum
S&P500 near breakout zone — global cues still supportive
Next week may define whether bulls defend key supports or we get a deeper correction before the next leg up.
NIFTYBEES
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 28-1st Nov 2024. Nifty Nosedives! This week, the Nifty took a dramatic plunge, closing a hefty 700 points down from the previous week at 24,180. The bulls fought valiantly, pushing the index to a high of 24,978, but the bears ultimately prevailed, dragging it down to a low of 24,073.
Key Levels Breached and Tested: My predicted range for the Nifty this week (25,550 - 24,350) was unfortunately shattered on the downside. Furthermore, the critical support level of WEMA21 was breached for the first time since October 2023, a potentially bearish sign.
Is a Short Squeeze Brewing? With many retail investors now anticipating a continued downtrend, a counter-intuitive uptrend might be on the horizon. This could be a strategic move by the bulls to trap those who are shorting the market.
Next Week's Crucial Levels: Buckle up, because next week is a pivotal one for the Nifty. If the index can defend the crucial support zone of 23,900-24,000, we might witness a surge testing resistance levels around 24,500-24,600. However, a breach below 23,900 opens the door for a further decline towards 23,600 and even the psychologically important 200-day moving average (23,500). This is where I, for one, will be getting "greedy" by considering adding Niftybees and some fundamentally strong stocks with favorable risk-reward ratios. Remember the age-old wisdom: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." The time to be greedy for value might be just around the corner!
S&P 500: Holding the Line (for Now): Across the pond, the S&P 500 failed to surpass its previous week's high of 5,878 and experienced a correction of more than 1.5% from its weekly peak of 5,866. The silver lining? It managed to hold above the crucial support level of 5,762. The upcoming week will be critical as well. If the S&P 500 can maintain a position above 5,863, it could potentially surge towards a significant Fibonacci retracement level of 6,013, which could also provide a positive tailwind for the Indian markets. However, a dip below 5,700 could trigger a correction ranging from 1.6% to 3.3%, potentially dragging the Nifty down with it.
Wishing everyone a very happy & prosperous Diwali. Enjoy
NiftyBees Trading Strategy Using EMA LevelsObjective:
This strategy outlines a simple approach to buying NiftyBees based on 50EMA, 100EMA, and 200EMA levels, and how to gradually increase your position.
Key Steps:
50EMA Buy:
Buy 1/3rd of your total planned investment when the price hits the 50EMA.
Reason: Signals short-term bullish momentum.
Example: If your total budget is ₹90,000, buy ₹30,000 worth at 50EMA.
100EMA Buy:
Buy 2/3rd of your total planned investment at the 100EMA.
Add 25% to your previous 50EMA position.
Reason: Shows stronger medium-term momentum.
Example: Buy ₹40,000 at 100EMA and add ₹10,000 (25% more from 50EMA purchase).
200EMA Buy:
Buy 2/3rd of your total planned investment at the 200EMA.
Add 50% to your previous 100EMA position.
Reason: Indicates potential long-term reversal.
Example: Buy ₹60,000 at 200EMA and add ₹20,000 (50% more from 100EMA purchase).
Conclusion:
This strategy helps you build your position in stages, reducing risk and improving your average price over time. It uses key EMA levels to guide when and how much to invest, helping you benefit from market dips while maintaining a disciplined approach.


