NIFTY 22 FEB 2024 viewIf we look at derivative data
0.80% % DECREASE, with a 3.6% addition in open interest.
if we look at volume, there is a 23% rise compared to yesterdays volume
iv down by 4 points , pcr is at low point of week and IVP AT 89 percentile .
support now at 21930-21960 while after todays cool offnow 22250 -22280 likely to act as a resistance zone
Niftyoptionstrategy
Nifty50 Weekly Observations to assist with Options StrategyThe insight:
Here's an analysis of 9 years of data of Nifty50, showing that Nifty50 gave a weekly gain >3.5% 19 times (i.e in 19 individual weeks). This is roughly 2 times a year, or 4% of times.
Ideas to apply the insight:
Credit spread, Iron Condor, etcetera etcetera. It helps to know what is the "maximum likely movement" that Nifty50 will give on a weekly closing basis to select the right "Call strike prices" to sell.
Using this insight, one can short Call Option strikes that are >3.5% away from current price at the end of the week (for next week's expiry). This is a simple way to get 1-2% returns a week.
A simple modification is to wait for Monday's day closing, and select a strike price 3.5% away from Friday's closing (to get higher premiums if Monday's closing is higher than Friday's closing).
Why this can work:
Option Sellers (usually) earn when market movements are not wild in 1 direction. Simply put, this is due to options decay (theta) and subsequent Out-of-the-money expiry of the strike price that Option Seller has shorted. We see that Nifty gives >3.5% close only about 2-3 times a year (avg of 9 years). Therefore, in theory, we are likely to make profits for 49 out of 52 weeks in a year if we choose to short "Call" strike prices that are 3.5% away from closing price on Friday.
Word of caution:
The analysis is for Nifty50 gain (i.e >3.5% move). This does not apply to Nifty50 crash. We should be mindful that crash intensity is stronger than gain intensity (because fear is greater than hope). So strong downside movements (crashes greater than 3.5% will require different analysis).
It's a fool's errand to sell naked Call Options and hold overnight, as the losses can be huge (even though temporarily). Be gentle on your heart. It is advised to always hedge a Call Option short (which is why strategies like Credit Spread, etc. exist).
Disclaimer:
This is neither backtested on softwares/tools nor tested with live trades. This idea/insight is to help build/improve your strategy based on your trading style.
Trade with poise.
NIFTY ABOUT TO RETRACE 700 points.
Price has reacted to a Monthly Supply in the left side, after reacting to the Monthly Supply Price has confirmed downward potential in the Daily chart forming a Supply and there is a Fresh Monthly Demand formed and Price has to retrace into this Fresh Demand hence downmove of 700 plus points.
ENJOJY THE RIDE ! ! !
Nifty Futures Key Trading Levels for 24th Jan 2023Nifty Futures Key Trading Levels for 24th Jan 2023
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 19th Jan2023NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 19th Jan2023
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 17th Jan 2023NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 17th Jan 2023
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 11th Jan 2023NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 11th Jan 2023
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 10th Jan 2023NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 10th Jan 2023
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 9th Jan 2023NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 9th Jan 2023
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 6th Jan 2023NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 6th Jan 2023
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 5th Jan 2023NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 5th Jan 2023
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 4th Jan 2023NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 4th Jan 2023
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 3rd Jan 2023NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 3rd Jan 2023
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 2nd Jan 2023NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 2nd Jan 2023
Wish You Happy and Profitable & Prosperous New to all
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 29th Dec 2022NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 29th Dec 2022
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 28th Dec 2022NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 28th Dec 2022
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 26th Dec 2022NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 26th Dec 2022
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 26th Dec 2022NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 26th Dec 2022
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 23rd Dec 2022NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 23rd Dec 2022
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 22nd Dec 2022_Expiry NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 22nd Dec 2022_Expiry Tradesetup
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 21st Dec 2022 NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 21st Dec 2022
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision
NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 20th Dec 2022NiftyFutures Key Trading Levels for 20th Dec 2022
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision






















