nifty on 10.02.2026nifty earlier faced strong resistance near 25780. todays gap-up opening broke this level, converting it into support. price retested this zone and moved higher, but buying momentum appears weak. if tomorrow opens with a gap-down and sustains below 25750, bearish control is expected.
Niftyoutlook
NIFTY Technical Analysis - Important levels📌 NIFTY 50 – Range Recovery Facing Overhead Supply With Mixed CPR Signals
NIFTY has staged a measured recovery after the recent decline, signalling demand absorption at lower levels but not yet confirming a decisive trend reversal. Price action shows buyers stepping in around the 25,500–25,550 demand zone, triggering a rebound toward the 25,650–25,700 region, where the index is currently encountering supply pressure. Immediate resistance is placed near 25,767.80, aligning with a prior rejection area and an emerging supply pocket, followed by 25,841.9 and 25,979.85. A stronger structural hurdle is positioned around the 25,800–25,850 band, marking a key swing resistance that must be cleared for sustained upside continuation.
On the downside, immediate support is seen near 25,555, followed by stronger supports at 25,420 and 25,340, creating a layered demand cushion in the event of profit booking.
This price behaviour presents an interesting contrast with the CPR setup. While the CPR remains narrow and positioned in a bullish zone, indicating potential for expansion, it is also drifting slightly lower — reflecting caution and the possibility of range-bound behaviour before a directional move emerges. The dashboard hints at low momentum and a wait-and-watch environment, suggesting the market is currently transitioning rather than trending.
Overall, NIFTY appears to be in a range recovery phase within a broader corrective structure. Sustaining above the 25,650–25,700 region can keep the short-term tone stable, but a decisive breakout above 25,850+ is essential to shift confidence toward bullish continuation. Until then, the index may oscillate between demand and supply zones, favouring patience over aggressive positioning.
📊 Market sentiment remains mixed. Domestic equities recently closed with gains, supported by stable policy cues and improving macro comfort, providing a constructive backdrop for bulls. However, intermittent profit booking near higher levels and selective sector weakness continue to cap momentum, adding a neutral-to-cautious undertone to rallies.
🔎 Probabilistic Tilt Based on Levels & Environment:
Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above 25,840–25,900 could accelerate recovery toward the 25,950–26,000 region as confidence improves.
Neutral / Choppy Scenario: Holding between 25,450–25,840 would indicate continued consolidation as the market digests mixed cues.
Bearish Scenario: Rejection near resistance combined with a break below 25,555 may pull the index back toward 25,420–25,340, especially if broader risk sentiment weakens.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is shared purely for educational and informational purposes to enhance market understanding. It should not be construed as investment, trading, or financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past price behaviour does not guarantee future outcomes. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions, and ensure appropriate risk management at all times.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/02/2026Nifty is expected to open flat, suggesting a cautious and range-bound start to the session. The recent price structure clearly shows consolidation after the sharp volatility seen earlier, indicating that the market is currently waiting for a decisive trigger. Early trades may remain slow, with price oscillating around the immediate support–resistance zone, and traders should avoid aggressive positions in the first few minutes.
On the upside, the key level to watch is 25750. A sustained move above this level can signal a reversal long setup, confirming strength returning to the index. If Nifty manages to hold above 25750, upside targets are placed at 25850, 25900, and 25950+. This zone marks a previous supply area, so only a clear breakout with follow-through should be considered reliable for bullish trades. Until then, upside moves may face selling pressure near resistance.
On the downside, 25700 remains a critical breakdown level. If Nifty slips below 25700 and shows acceptance, it can open the path for further downside toward 25600, 25550, and 25500. These levels act as demand zones where short covering or fresh buying interest may emerge, so partial profit booking is advised for shorts near these supports rather than expecting a straight move down.
Overall, the market setup favors a wait-and-watch and level-based trading approach. With a flat opening and no major gap, false breakouts are possible on both sides. Traders should focus on confirmation at key levels, keep tight stop-losses, and prefer intraday trades rather than positional bets until Nifty breaks out of this consolidation range decisively.
Couple of good candles in last 2 days.We saw 2 good candles in last 2 days indicating bottom formation and the candle today signifies a trend breakout. Now if Nifty can close the week above today's candle it will lay a path for good budget on Sunday to take us forward.
Supports for Nifty at this juncture remain at: 25167 (Father line support of Daily chart), 24919 and 24610. Closing below 25167 will be very negative for the market and can signal further down trend to continue.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: 25458 (The high that we reached today), 25589 and 25712 (Mother line resistnace). Bulls can breath a sigh of relief only above this level. A good closing above 25712 in the next week will signal a start of another round of Bull rally. We wiat and watch till then.
EU deal has tried to create a bottom and a good budget in favour of Industry, in favour of consumption and in favour of increased spending from government will significantly take things towards positive run ahead. A big bonus will be the US deal if GOI can make it happen some how within next one or 2 months can potentially unlock new limits and new levels. 1 good thing has fallen in favour of investors that is EU deal all eyes on budget now. In the meantime good positive closing tomorrow will be very helpful. Friday and Sunday (Markets are open on Sunday) are 2 key days to watch.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We are not a SEBI registered Research analyst. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty SpotA sharp downturn occurred on January 23, when the index dropped to approximately 25,048.65, reflecting intense selling and risk aversion. This was one of the more pronounced near-term drops within the ten-day window.
The recent weakness was influenced by:
Global trade concerns and geopolitical noise, which weighed on risk assets and dragged domestic benchmark performance.
Foreign portfolio investor outflows, particularly around mid-January, which compounded selling pressure.
Sector-specific weakness, notably in technology and mid/small-cap segments during the down phase.
Run up to Budget on FEB 1 ... volatility will increase
marked important price action levels marked...
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Nifty Analysis EOD – January 20, 2026 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – January 20, 2026 – Tuesday 🔴
25K Revival: Nifty’s Epic 380-Point V-Shape Recovery!
🗞 Nifty Summary
The Nifty delivered a session of extreme theater, starting with an 80-point Gap Down at the 25145 support. After a failed 5-minute attempt to reclaim 25270, the index collapsed, slicing through the PDL and the 25060 support.
Panic intensified as the psychological 25,000 mark was breached, leading to a deep low of 24,919.80. However, the bottom band of the daily channel acted as a trampoline, triggering a spectacular 380-point V-shaped recovery back to the day’s highs.
The 25270 level proved to be a stubborn ceiling once more, pushing the index back down by 180 points.
Nifty eventually closed at 25,157.50, essentially flat relative to the open, but having survived a near-catastrophic breakdown.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The day was a masterclass in volatility. The morning breakdown below 25,060 was a high-conviction bearish move that targeted the 24970 zone.
Once the “final flush” hit 24920, the vacuum created by exhausted sellers allowed for an aggressive short-covering rally.
This 380-point bounce was one of the sharpest in recent history, though the secondary rejection at 25270 confirms that supply remains heavy on every significant rise.
The market is now in a state of high-tension equilibrium at the channel’s edge.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,141.00
High: 25,300.95
Low: 24,919.80
Close: 25,157.50
Change: −75.00 (−0.30%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Long-Legged Doji.
Range: ≈ 381 points — Extreme intraday volatility.
Body: ≈ 17 points — Negligible real body, signaling total indecision.
Upper Wick: ≈ 143 points — Massive rejection from the 25,300 supply zone.
Lower Wick: ≈ 221 points — Aggressive, institutional-grade defense of the channel bottom.
📚 Interpretation
A Long-Legged Doji forming at the bottom band of a channel is a textbook reversal signal. It indicates that while bears had the power to break 25,000, they lacked the conviction to stay there.
However, the equal power of the rejection from the top suggests that the bulls are not out of the woods yet. This structure marks a transition from a trending environment to a high-volatility “battle zone.”
🕯 Candle Type
High-Volatility Indecision (Long-Legged Doji) — Indicates a potential pivot point; validation of today’s low is the only thing keeping the current channel structure alive.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 245.67
IB Range: 147.60 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
10:22 Short Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:4.1) (IBL Breakout)
Trade Summary: The strategy successfully identified the morning’s bearish imbalance. The IBL breakout provided a high-probability entry that captured the slide through the 25,000 psychological level, yielding a massive 1:4.1 R:R before the V-shaped recovery commenced.
Personal Note: The system also alerted for a reversal long trade, but I avoided it due to fear and a technically far Stop-Loss (SL).
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25180
25270 ~ 25300 (Crucial)
25380
25430
Support Zones:
25060
25009 ~ 24970
24920 (Line in the Sand)
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The channel bottom has been tested—and it held.”
Today was a survival test for the bulls. The Long-Legged Doji at these levels suggests that a bottom might be in, but turning bullish won’t be easy.
For the upcoming session, if Nifty respects the 24,920 low, the channel remains valid. However, if that low is breached, the structure is discarded, and we enter a new bearish phase. Expect extreme choppiness as both sides fight for control over the next directional move.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Nifty Analysis EOD – January 20, 2026 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – January 20, 2026 – Tuesday 🔴
100-Day Low Breach: Nifty Panics as 25,500 Support Crumbles.
🗞 Nifty Summary
The Nifty opened with a misleading 30-point Gap Up, but the bullish sentiment was vaporized within the first minute.
Mirroring yesterday’s bearish intent, the index slipped 150 points from the first tick. While bulls attempted to form a base around 25,435, the 25,500 level acted as a massive supply barrier, repelling every recovery attempt.
The subsequent breach of the November 7, 2025, swing low triggered a wave of panic selling that no support level could arrest. Nifty plummeted to test 25,180, marking a deep low of 25,171.35. Closing at 25,232.50, the index has recorded its lowest close in the last 100 days, losing -353.00 points (-1.38%).
The primary catalyst for this carnage was a classic structural failure; once key supports were breached, the vacuum created led to a complete “washout” of long positions.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The day was a masterclass in “Momentum Expansion.” The initial gap-up was a clear trap, and the 150-point slide set a grim tone for the session.
The mid-day attempt to hold 25,435 was crushed by the overhead supply at 25,500. As soon as the “Line in the Sand” from November ‘25 was crossed, the algorithmic selling took over.
The index is now trading at the bottom band of the channel on the Daily Time Frame. After such a massive 414-point range expansion, the market is severely stretched, suggesting that while the bias is bearish, a “dead cat bounce” or a narrow consolidation phase is likely in the upcoming session.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,580.30
High: 25,585.00
Low: 25,171.35
Close: 25,232.50
Change: −353.00 (−1.38%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Strong Bearish Momentum candle.
Range: ≈ 414 points — Very high volatility; major range expansion.
Body: ≈ 348 points — Aggressive selling with almost no intraday recovery.
Upper Wick: ≈ 5 points — Total lack of buying interest at the open.
Lower Wick: ≈ 61 points — Late short-covering from the extreme lows.
📚 Interpretation
The candle structure represents a complete breakdown of market confidence. Opening at the high and closing near the low (despite a minor bounce) confirms that the bears are in absolute control. The breach of the 100-day closing low and the November swing low confirms that the medium-term structure has turned bearish. Distribution is at its peak.
🕯 Candle Type
Strong Bearish Momentum Candle — Indicates decisive selling dominance. This is a “breakout” candle from a larger structural range; typically leads to further downside unless a sharp reversal occurs.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 230.62
IB Range: 150.40 → Big
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
12:41 Short Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:6.76)
Trade Summary: The setup was a textbook “Narrow CPR” play. Despite the Big IB, the combination of an Important Level Breakout and extreme bearish sentiment supported a high-conviction trade. The sustained fall allowed the strategy to capture a massive 1:6.76 R:R, effectively leveraging the panic selling.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25380
25430
25480 ~ 25495
25550
25605
Support Zones:
25270
25180 ~ 25145
25060
25000 ~ 24970
🧠 Final Thoughts
“Panic is the harvest of broken levels.”
The Nifty has reached the bottom of its daily channel, and the RSI is likely approaching oversold territory.
For tomorrow, expect a decrease in volatility with a smaller range movement. We might see 25,060 act as a temporary floor, or potentially triggering a “dead cat bounce” back toward the 25,380 resistance.
Regardless of the bias, we will wait for the Initial Balance (IB) to form before committing to any intraday actions. The strategy is to respect the trend but be wary of a sharp, low-volume bounce from the channel extremes.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Nifty bounced from a support but still looking neutral to weak.Nifty today tried to bounce from the support zone existing between 25482 to 25494 region to close just under 25600 at 25585. Although it was a good bounce but still the formation on charts look weak.
If support of 25482 is broken we can see it fall further towards 25325 or even 25232 region. If the support of 25494 or 25482 is not broken and we can clear the resistnaces near 25599 and 25648 we can see Nifty march towards 25748 or 25913 range. Bulls can come back to business only after we get a closing above 25913 or 26003.
So there are lot of hurdles to clear before we Nifty Bulls can be back in business. Shadow of the cnadle right now is neutral.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We are not a SEBI registered Research analyst. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
nifty for 19.02.2026nifty showed an attempt by buyers to take control in the last session, but the move failed and sellers turned active, though without strong momentum. with the budget and major company results expected this week, buyers may step in again. until then, the market is likely to remain range-bound between 25800 and 25600.
a gap up opening and break out above 25750 could trigger a bullish move, while a gradual breakdown below 25600 may lead to a bearish trend but overall, selling pressure still appears weak.
nifty 14.01.2026nifty price action is extremely volatile in this expiry week. ahead of tomorrows sensex expiry expiry, nifty has formed a wide 250-points range. upside resistance is placed around 25800-25830, while downside support lies near 25550-25580. a strong directional move is expected only after a clear breakout from this range.
nifty 13.01.2026nifty showed a strong uptrend today, but it appears to be a liquidity grab on the upside as geopolitical concerns still persist. additionally, post market close, inflation data came in higher than expected. considering these factors, I'm expecting a gap down opening tomorrow, with a possible continuation of the decline towards the 25350 level.
Nifty Under Pressure-FII Exodus,Trump Insanity & Rupee Weakness1. Since May 2025, USDINR gained ~8.7%, while Nifty gained 8.0% (as the Indian rupee is devaluing, market won't get out of this correction)
2. FII outflows hit record in 2025; DII's inflows hold base but mutual fund AUM growth slowed to 18% (Refer to the Out data in the given image.)
3. Trump Factor
4. Short Buildup at 26000
5. Threat of Inflation
What can reverse this...?
1. FTA news
2. Tax relief by the government in the budget.
3. Monetary Easing by Fed & RBI (It will reverse the USD price to some extent)
4. Earning Surge post Q1 of 2026.
Sectors where you should find the opportunity to invest...
1. Metals
2. Banking
Fresh 500% Tariff threat and geo-political tensions grip Nifty. Fresh Trump Tariff threat has sent investors in a tizzy and craved path for Nifty fall that we saw today. But is there more pain in store? Nifty is currently near a support level of 25864. Which is just a little away from today's closing that whic was at 25876. If we get a closing below 25864 more pain might be instore and the next support levels will be at 25740, 25639, 25544 or even 25427 (which is a channel bottom support).
Resistances for Nifty on the upper side remain at 26033 (Father line) and 26103 (Mother line). If we get a closing above 26103 the next resistnace will be at 26188 and finally channel top of 26360. A proper rally can resume only when we get a closing above 26360.
RSI is indicating that the market is already nearing oversold zone as RSI currently is 21.76. Lot of speculation is going on related to tariffs and other geo-political tensions are gripping happening in South Asia (Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India and Bangladesh). Lot of geo-political tensions are unravelling in EU (Russia, Ukraine, Greenland). Another bunch lot of geo-political tensions are brewing between UAE and KSA with regards to Yeman. We all know what happened in Venenzuela and the tensions are rife due to this between China, Russia and the USA. USA captured Ships with Russian flags on it yesterday and speculators / Bears take advantage of such situation to bring down markets specially the ones moving upwards. That is what happened to Nifty today. DII was still on the buying side.
Long term investors with a horizen of 12 to 24 months will take this oppertunity to add some more blue chips in their portfolio specially with quarterly result starting next week onwards. Keep stocks with good results and strong fundamentals in radar. Most of the dips are portfolio shuffling/new investment and compounding oppertunities for long term investors. This is not a market for Short term investment and making a quick buck through F&O. Only those with patience will survive the churning that is going on as consolidation phase goes on and on in the market. Patience of people with deep focus and egle eye will be rewarded as there is nothing wrong with India's growth story. Threat from valuation perspective and geo-political factors still remains the major concern as we move deeper into 2026. It is a geo-politically volatile time. Time is not conducive for those with shallow pockets and lack patience.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We are not a SEBI registered Research analyst. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Analysis EOD – January 8, 2026 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – January 8, 2026 – Thursday 🔴
Bears Rampage: 12-Session Gains Liquidated as Nifty Crashes 260 Points.
🗞 Nifty Summary
The Nifty opened with a 45-point Gap Down, and despite an initial attempt to fill the gap, the bearish intent was undeniable. Within minutes, the index breached 26,070 and the PDL, triggering a sustained cascade.
Bears confidently drove the index through the 25,930 ~ 25,920 zone, eventually testing the 25,890 support. After a three-hour period of sideways consolidation (12 PM – 3 PM), a final wave of selling broke the 25,890 floor to test the next support at 25,860.
Nifty concluded the session at 25,868.90, just 10 points above the day’s low. This massive 275-point expansion effectively wiped out 19 days (12 sessions) of accumulation, bringing the market back to its December 19th starting point.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The day was a masterclass in trend expansion. With the Gladiator range at 175.66 and the actual range hitting 275 points, the market moved into a clear “Imbalance” state.
The failed early gap-fill was the first warning; once the PDL and IB broke in unison at 10:10 AM, the floodgates opened. The three-hour pause between 12 PM and 3 PM acted merely as a distribution phase before the final breakdown to 25,860.
Sellers were in absolute control from start to finish, with almost no meaningful retracements.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 26,106.50
High: 26,133.20
Low: 25,858.45
Close: 25,876.85
Change: −263.90 (−1.01%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Strong Bearish Candle (Full Body).
Range (High–Low): ≈ 275 points → High intraday volatility/Expansion.
Body: ≈ 230 points → Reflects aggressive selling pressure and panic.
Upper Wick: ≈ 27 points → Failed early buying attempt near the open.
Lower Wick: ≈ 18 points → Almost no demand or absorption near the lows.
📚 Interpretation
This is a high-conviction Bearish Marubozu-Style candle. Closing near the absolute low of a 275-point range indicates strong distribution. By closing below the December 19th lows, the market has invalidated the entire holiday rally. The lack of a lower wick suggests that the sell-off was not a “stop-run” but actual portfolio liquidations.
🕯 Candle Type
Bearish Breakdown Candle — Signals powerful bearish momentum; continuation is likely unless a significant “V-shape” reversal occurs at the major 25,840 support.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 175.66
IB Range: 83.35 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
09:29 Short Trade: SL Hit (Early Volatility)
10:10 Short Trade: Target Hit (1:4.45) (PDL + IB Breakout)
Trade Summary: After an initial stop-loss during the volatile opening minutes, the strategy performed exceptionally well. The 10:10 AM signal provided a high-conviction entry at the confluence of the PDL and IBL. The sustained trend allowed for a massive 1:4.45 R:R win, capturing the meat of the 230-point body move.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25985
26030
26070
26104
Support Zones:
25860 ~ 25840 (Current Critical Support)
25800 (Psychological)
25740 ~ 25715 (Ultimate Support Zone)
🧠 Final Thoughts
“We are back to square one.”
The market is at a massive crossroads at the 25,840 ~ 25,860 support zone. After such a violent fall, we must prepare for two scenarios:
A ‘Dead Cat Bounce’ toward the 25,985 zone which will likely be sold into.
A bearish continuation that tests the ultimate support zone of 25,740 ~ 25,715.
I will strictly wait for the Initial Balance (IB) to form tomorrow before approaching the market, as today’s momentum might lead to a volatile opening gap.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
nifty outlook for 06.01.2026nifty currently showing bullish momentum, but the ongoing geopolitical uncertainty could trigger downside preassure. there is notable liquidity on the lowerside.
bearish scenario: if nifty open with bearish candle below 26200,a short move may develop towards 25900.
bulish scenario: if nifty opens flat and forms a bulish candle closing above 26300,an upside move towards 26470 is likely
NIFTY : A 5%-6% correction from Higher LevelsNSE:NIFTY
its s Weekly Chart.
26,515 | 26,786
These are the two levels to watch out when the market is showing upside momentum.
These are extensions of the previous upswing.
These are the most prominent levels for Wolfe Wave that is forming currently.
The open of the Calendar Year 2026 being 26,173. This must be respected by the Bulls (+/- 0.5%)
for continuation of the up-move till above mentioned two levels.
Any weakness around any of these two levels (26,515 | 26,786) will trigger Wolfe Wave and the down-side targets are 5% and 6% deep (As mentioned on the chart).
Use price action and SMC while trading around these levels. Macro-economics and Geo-economics (Geo-politics) are quite vulnerable and may surprise both Bulls and Bears.
FII Liquidity is moving towards lower PE regimes and metals are their center point for now. Expect more sectorial churn on a Weekly/Monthly basis.
NIFTY VIEW 2026Do you think breaking above ATH will make nifty bullish?
Sorry but this isn't the story: As u can see in the chart its been more than 1 year Nifty has been trading between 3 trend lines safron, white and green.
Nifty won't be considered bullish till it closes above the white line. Keep an eye on those levels before going all Bonkers !!
BTR Update | 29 Dec 2025 |No Trade Day in BSE LTD|No Trade Day in BSE LTD
Because BTR Indicator did NOT generate any new signal today.
We respect the system → No Signal = No Trade ✔
🕮 Market Context
📌 The Bearish Signal from 24 Dec 2025 is still active
➡️ No exit signal yet for investors / swing traders
➡️ Intraday traders stay flat until a fresh signal appears
This is why trading with BTR becomes easy:
We don’t predict, we follow.
We wait for the system.
📍Key Takeaways
Don’t force trades
Protect capital on silent days
Follow signals, not emotions
System consistency beats guessing
👇 Want to Trade with BTR?
📌 Find the BTR Indicator in my TradingView Profile → Scripts Section
📌 Add to chart & start learning the entries/exits
📌 No noise. No confusion. Just clarity.
Follow BTR. Follow Process.
Market rewards patience. 🚀
Weekly Market Outlook – Nifty, BankNifty & S&P500 AnalysisNifty 50 wrapped up the week at 26042, gaining +76 points from last week’s close after hitting a high of 26236 and low of 26008. As highlighted earlier, the index continues to trade within my broader zone of 26500–25400, showing no decisive breakout yet. This week’s Gravestone Doji candle formation signals buyer exhaustion and potential weakness, with price closing near the weekly lows — never a great sign for bullish momentum.
With FII participation still muted due to holiday season and India VIX resting at a calm 9.15, volatility may stay compressed, suggesting range-bound or slow movement in the coming week unless major triggers appear.
Nifty Weekly Range Expectation: 26400–25700
A breakout beyond this range may bring sharp moves (“fireworks”) in either direction.
For upside continuation, Nifty must close above 26200 for two consecutive sessions, which could open targets toward 26277 / 26325 / 26400.
BankNifty Outlook
BankNifty ended at 59011, down just -50 points, but importantly closed near the weekly low, hinting at possible sell pressure ahead. If weakness persists, we may see tests of key supports:
Support Levels: 58700 / 58300 / 57600
Break of these zones can drag Nifty along with it.
For bulls to reclaim control, we need a sustained close above 59300, which may drive a move toward 59755 / 60000.
Expected Range: 59900–58200
Global Cue – S&P 500 Breaks Out to New All-Time Highs
S&P500 delivered a powerful move this week, breaking above the 6882 resistance and closing at an all-time high of 6930. The chart structure suggests a march toward the next Fibonacci level at 7026. However — monthly timeframe RSI is nearing the overbought zone, which historically calls for caution, trailing stop-losses, or partial profit booking for US equity investors.
Historical Reminder for Long-Term Investors
Nifty’s yearly RSI previously hit 91 only once before — Jan 2008.
Within months, the market corrected over 60% from the highs.
Today again, RSI on yearly frame is heating up. Coincidence or caution?
History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes.
Key levels to watch in 2026 based on price behaviour around yearly candle:
🔻 Break below December low → a deeper correction could unfold
🔼 Break above December high → Nifty may climb toward 27824/29156 before any major decline
Markets reward those who prepare – not predict.
Final Take
Nifty & BankNifty locked in range → wait for break + confirmation
Volatility low = breakout moves may be strong when they come
S&P500 bullish but nearing overbought territory
Keep risk management tight, trail profits & prepare for both outcomes
Is history about to repeat?
We’ll know soon — until then, stay alert, stay hedged, and stay disciplined.
What's Moving NIFTY 50 in 2025? Key Factors to WatchMajor GST reform with simplified two-tier structure
100 bps repo rate cuts boosting liquidity
India's GDP projected at 6.8% growth
Tax relief measures expected to revive consumption
💼 Corporate & Consumption Trends:
Earnings under pressure but recovery signals emerging
Festive demand and tax cuts to drive pent-up consumption
Capacity utilization expected to improve by late 2027
Key beneficiary sectors: Autos, FMCG, Cement, Insurance, Healthcare
💰 Investment Flows:
FPI selling creating short-term volatility
Rising domestic equity investments from retirement funds
Potential boost from India-US trade deal
⚠️ Headwinds to Monitor:
Rupee weakness and inflation concerns
U.S. tariff threats and geopolitical risks
Elevated valuations adding caution
Global sentiment challenges (AI bubble fears)
🚀 Long-term Opportunities:
Declining poverty and job creation
Tech and digital lending innovations
Agricultural sector transformation
Bottom Line: Mixed near-term outlook with strong structural growth drivers. Policy reforms and domestic demand recovery could offset global headwinds.
Disclaimer:
I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor nor a financial advisor.
Any investments or trades I discuss on my blog are intended solely for educational purposes and do not represent specific financial, trading, or investment advice.






















