Nifty Short & Medium Term Support&Resistance_13-Oct to 17-Oct-25Nifty Short & Medium Term Support&Resistance_13-Oct to 17-Oct-25
Nifty 24894
As predicted last week, Nifty very well hold the 24500 Support and currently moved near to the first resistance 25000.
One more positive decisive break above Ist Short Term Resistance as given below in order market to move up.
Quarterly result started coming out slowly, TCS posted average result, Warree Renewables posted vgood results (PE is very high) .
Qtrly Results and Tariffs deal will decide the future path of the Nifty. Since it is a Volatile situation SIP route or buy in multiple parcel route with a goal of 3-5 years will workout.
Recent 100% additional tariff on China got severe effect on US market on Friday, it will affect global other trade markets too on Monday. Mainly due to the uncertainty prevailing over.
However, for India though initial drop market tend to move up to 25670 ( Jun 2025 all time high).
Repo and FD rate reduction by RBI, people may have to choose Debt/Commodity/Equity as alternate in order to beat the inflation.
Apart from that Low Cost ULIPs (2.5 L Limit per person) as one of the option to save the tax- ICICI & HDFC ULIPs are doing well, ULIPs are simplified and charges are lesser compared to MFs in terms of long term, Various fund option including passive funds are introduced.
Market was on decline/ Consolidation mode recently because of new Tariff's imposed by Trump mainly on Pharma and IT - H1 B Visa and Tax for Outsourcing IT and the recent pharma tarrifs imposition.
GST 2.0 is a reform which can aid in Auto/ FMCG / Home Appliances sales will get a boost due to the festival season.
Since market is volatile, use the dips (Opportunity) and buy through SIP or through multiple parcel in these uncertain times with a goal of 3-5 years.
Nifty Short Term Supports:
1. 24500 (Trend Line as shown)
2. 24000-24170 (Fibonacci Retracements Supports- Two Supports in this zone 24116 & 24171 as shown)
Medium Term Support:
3. 23500-23700 (Fibonacci Retracements Supports- Two Supports in this zone 23608 & 23707 as shown)
4. 23000
Resistance ( Multiple Resistances are there between 25000-25650):
1. 25000
2. 25200 ( 25154 Aug 2025 high)
3.25350 ( Fibonacci resistance shown )
4.25450 ( 25442 is the Aug 2025 high)
3. 25500 ( 25441 Sep 18th 2025 High )
Medium Term:
1.25670 ( Jun 2025 High) Should cross this resistance in short term decisively inorder to move up.
2.26269 ( Sep 2024 High)
Niftyoutlook
Nifty Pauses Below Resistance, Eyes Earnings-Driven MoveIndian markets closed on a strong note last week, with the Nifty rising over 1.5% to 25,285. The rally was led by IT sector (up nearly 5%) and PSU banks (up around 1.5%), reflecting sectoral strength during the earnings season.
The India VIX inched up 0.42% to 10.10, still near multi-month lows, though volatility may rise as corporate results roll in.
Technically, the Nifty is now testing a crucial resistance zone at 25,400–25,500, aligning with the apex of a large symmetrical triangle pattern. Open interest data shows heavy call writing at this zone, while strong put writing around 25,100–25,200 indicates immediate support. A decisive breakout on either side may set the tone for the next directional move.
Looking ahead, some consolidation or range-bound movement is likely as the market digests earnings and global developments. US–China trade tensions and semiconductor supply chain concerns may weigh on sentiment if risks intensify.
Given the current setup, traders are advised to adopt a cautious, stock-specific approach. While the broader bias remains positive, protecting profits and avoiding aggressive long positions until a clear breakout is confirmed would be prudent.
Uncertainty can prevail with latest Trump Tariff Tantrum.The chart indicates a Trend line resistance near 25323 which Nifty was set to overhaul but latest Trump Tariff Tantrum has potential to derail the progress again. This time the announcement is 100% tariff on China. Global markets, Crypto and Gift Nifty is showing weakness due to the announcement which will be effective from 1st November.
Resistance for Nifty are at 25323 (Trend line resistance), 25438, 25565 and finally channel top at 25702. Supports for Nifty are at 25215, 25087 (Mother line support), 24987 (Father line support), 24922 and 24750 is the channel bottom support. Shadow of the candle was positive to neutral but this tariff announcement has turned it negative as of now. Let us see how the cookie crumbles next week.
To know mover about Mother line, Father line, Mid channel support / resistance, Chanel top resistnace and channle bottom support, trend line support and resistance (To understand the role of Mother line and Father line) or to be able to draw resistances and supports based on historic peaks and valleys you can read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. The book is available in Amazon in paperback or Kindle version and is rated 4.8/5. This book teaches you Techno-Funda investing. (Techno Funda investing means Knowing which are Fundamentally strong companies and investing / booking profits / staying invested in them based on Technical analysis). The book has some more unique features like rating a stock with the help of Happy Candles Number wherein you can give a stock marks out of 100 based on Techincal and Fundamental analysis you have learned by reading it. Thus you can know if the stock is currently investible or not based on the marks it scores out of 100. The book also covers various aspect of behavioural finance. Lot of people who have read the book consider it as a hand book to equity investing. Buy the book you will not be dissapointed as the book is reasonably priced. Search by the key words The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation and you will get it.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty on the verge of a Trendline breakout. Nifty did a great job today by closing above a very important resistance of 25128. Now the major hurdle seems to be near the trendline which is near 25228. Once this range is crossed the next hurdles will be at 25306, 25431 and channel top near 25579. The supports for Nifty are at 25128. Mother line support near 25021 which is also a mid channel support. (Making this area a very strong support). Followed by 24965 (Father line support). If by chance father line support is broken we can see Nifty falling towards 24806 or even 24601 which is the channel bottom support. As of now the shadow of the candle seems to be positive (Green).
To know mover about Mother line, Father line, Mid channel support / resistance, Chanel top resistnace and channle bottom support, trend line support and resistance (To understand the role of Mother line and Father line) or to be able to draw resistances and supports based on historic peaks and valleys you can read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. The book is available in Amazon in paperback or Kindle version and is rated 4.8/5. This book teaches you Techno-Funda investing. (Techno Funda investing means Knowing which are Fundamentally strong companies and investing / booking profits / staying invested in them based on Technical analysis). The book has some more unique features like rating a stock with the help of Happy Candles Number wherein you can give a stock marks out of 100 based on Techincal and Fundamental analysis you have learned by reading it. Thus you can know if the stock is currently investible or not based on the marks it scores out of 100. The book also covers various aspect of behavioural finance. Lot of people who have read the book consider it as a hand book to equity investing. Buy the book you will not be dissapointed as the book is reasonably priced. Search by the key words The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation and you will get it.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Futures Intraday Trend Analysis for October 10, 2025According to my analysis, on October 10th (tomorrow), Nifty Futures may open with a gap down and then move bullishly toward its resistance level at 25,340. However, as the intraday outlook appears bearish, I expect Nifty Futures to close on a bearish note, with support levels at 25,105 and 25,088.
This is purely my personal view and not a recommendation to buy or sell. The actual market movement may differ from this analysis.
Great Closing above Motherline of Daily Chart. Nifty has given a brilliant closing above Mother line of daily chart and key psychological level of 25K at 25077. Supports for Nifty are at Mother line 24899, Trend line support at 24598 and finally Father line support at 24417. Resistances are at 25161, 25316 and 25450 and finally 25640.
Above 25640 there will be a major Bullish breakout which can take us to 26K or even previous All time high or even beyond it. It will be very important for Nifty to hold the levels now and again not go below the Mother or Father line otherwise again all the momentum that has built in favour of the rally will vanish as quickly.
Having said that RSI, MACD and shadow of the candle suggest are oozing with confidence this time let us see what this week and month holds for us, things look good as of now.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Short & Medium Term Support&Resistance_5-Oct to 10-Oct-25Nifty Short & Medium Term Support&Resistance_5-Oct to 10-Oct-25
Nifty very well hold the 24500 Support and currently near to the trend line support (as drawn) as mentioned last week.
Repo rate reduction by RBI boosted the market as there will be more liquidity in the market and it will aid more loan disbursal. But there is a small concern is FD rate reduction and inflation may go little higher.
Last two days trade reflected it and market moved up, one more positive decisive break can take to short term resistance.
Quarterly result and Tariffs deal will decide the future path of the Nifty. Since it is a Volatile situation SIP route or buy in multiple parcel route with a goal of 3-5 years will workout.
Since FD rate reduction, people may have to choose Debt/Commodity/Equity as alternate in order to beat the inflation.
Apart from that Low Cost ULIPs (2.5 L Limit per person) as one of the option to save the tax- ICICI & HDFC ULIPs are doing well, ULIPs are simplified and charges are lesser compared to MFs in terms of long term, Various fund option including passive funds are introduced.
Market was on decline/ Consolidation mode recently because of new Tariff's imposed by Trump mainly on Pharma and IT - H1 B Visa and Tax for Outsourcing IT and the recent pharma tarrifs imposition.
GST 2.0 is a reform which can aid in Auto/ FMCG / Home Appliances sales will get a boost due to the festival season.
Since market is volatile, use the dips (Opportunity) and buy through SIP or through multiple parcel in these uncertain times with a goal of 3-5 years.
Nifty Short Term Supports:
1. 24500 (Trend Line as shown)
2. 24000-24170 (Fibonacci Retracements Supports- Two Supports in this zone 24116 & 24171 as shown)
Medium Term Support:
3. 23500-23700 (Fibonacci Retracements Supports- Two Supports in this zone 23608 & 23707 as shown)
4. 23000
Resistance ( Multiple Resistances are there between 25000-25650):
1. 25000
2. 25200 ( 25154 Aug 2025 high)
3.25350 ( Fibonacci resistance shown )
3. 25500 ( 25441 Sep 18th 2025 High )
Medium Term:
1.25670 ( Jun 2025 High) Should cross this resistance in short term decisively inorder to move up.
2.26269 ( Sep 2024 High)
Nifty Index Futures Weekly Outlook from October 06-10, 2025Based on my analysis using Gann, Wave trends, and chart patterns, I anticipate the Nifty Futures Index to close on a bearish note next week. As mentioned in my earlier post, the formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern appears to be developing.
On Monday, October 6, Nifty Futures may show intraday bullishness with key resistance levels at 25,133 and 25,250, followed by a corrective phase towards support zones at 24,640 and 24,350 during the week.
This represents my personal market outlook, and actual price movements may differ due to potential gaps on either side. Traders are advised to perform their own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
V-Shape recovery in progress for Nifty. Today we will try to study Nifty chart on an hourly scale. Hourly scale means the candles that we see in the chart represent nifty movement for 1 hour each. Each candle represents 1 hour movement of Nifty. Now let us watch closely what happened here.
1) We can see that after reaching a high of 25448 on September 25th. Nifty declined sharply. Then it consolidate in the range of 24587 and 24748. After this it moved upwards and hit the mother line at 24867.
2) As we know when the stock or index is below the Mother line the line acts as a resistance. Next 7 candles could not give closing above this line as it was a strong resistnace.
3) During the last two hours of trade we got a closing above the mother line thus it has now become a support. right now the Mother line is at 24846. So this level will be our immediate support. Below this level other supports will be at 24748 and 24587.
4) The Father line resistnace is at 24922 this level will be our immediate resistance. If we get a closing above this level the next resistances will be at 25032, 25139, 25255, 25358 and 25451. If and when we get a closing above 25451 it will be a strong Bullish breakout.
Supports and resistances other than Mother and Father line are derived by historical peaks and valleys. Mother and Father line/Support and resistance are nothing but exponential Moving averages. Mother line is 50 EMA and Father line 200 EMA.
As this is an hourly chart, Mother line is 50 Hours exponential moving average and Father line is 200 hours exponential moving average. In case of daily, weekly or monthly charts. The EMA will be 50 days, weeks or Months respectively.
To know mover about patterns such as V pattern seen here or Mother Father and Small Child theory (To understand the role of Mother line and Father line) or to be able to draw resistances and supports based on historic peaks and valleys you can read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. The book is available in Amazon in paperback or Kindle version and is rated 4.8/5. This book teaches you Techno-Funda investing. (Techno Funda investing means Knowing which are Fundamentally strong companies and investing / booking profits / staying invested in them based on Technical analysis). The book has some more unique features like rating a stock with the help of Happy Candles Number wherein you can give a stock marks out of 100 based on Techincal and Fundamental analysis you have learned by reading it. Thus you can know if the stock is currently investible or not based on the marks it scores out of 100. The book also covers various aspect of behavioural finance. Lot of people who have read the book consider it as a hand book to equity investing. Buy the book you will not be dissapointed as the book is reasonably priced. Search by the key words The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation and you will get it.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Analysis EOD – September 30, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – September 30, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
Expiry drama continues, but no reversal in sight
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a 31-point gap up, quickly filled the gap, and then added 50 points from the low to test 24,731.80 — the same level that acted as strong resistance yesterday. Once again, the index failed to cross this barrier, triggering a sell-off to 24,593, breaking below the PDL.
However, this breakdown turned out to be false, sparking a 90-point recovery back to the PDC at 24,677.50. Multiple attempts to reclaim the PDC failed. Post 2 PM, volatility spiked — with wild candles and sharp shadows around key levels like PDL, trapping both sides of traders.
Eventually, Nifty settled at 24,633.60, marking the 9th consecutive red close. While the fall seems to be slowing, there is still no sign of reversal yet.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
Gap up +31 pts → gap filled early.
Bounce of +50 pts to test 24,731.80, yesterday’s resistance.
Sharp sell-off to 24,593 (below PDL).
False PDL breakdown → 90-pt recovery to PDC (24,677.5).
Multiple failures to reclaim PDC.
After 2 PM → wild, volatile candles with traps around PDL.
Closed at 24,633.60.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,668.55
High: 24,731.80
Low: 24,593.05
Close: 24,633.60
Change: −1.30 (−0.01%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Tiny red body → indecisive close.
Range: ~139 pts → lower than yesterday.
Long shadows on both ends → strong tussle between bulls and bears.
📚 Interpretation
Rejection repeated at 24,731.
False breakdown below PDL shows buyers defending.
Closing near mid-range with tiny body → indicates pause in momentum.
🕯Candle Type
Small-bodied candle with long shadows → Indecision candle / Doji-like structure.
Signals exhaustion but no confirmation of reversal.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 173.37
IB Range: 95.80 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
10:50 Long Trade – Target Achieved (R:R 1:2.1)
12:15 Long Trade – Trailing SL Hit (R:R 1:0.26)
13:20 Short Trade – Target Achieved (R:R 1:1.96)
📌 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
Bias remains bearish below 24,731. A decisive close above this level could trigger a short-term reversal. Until then, sideways-to-downtrend movement dominates with volatility around support zones.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
24685 ~ 24675
24735
24750 ~ 24775
24868
24890 ~ 24915
Support Zones:
24600 ~ 24572
24500
24430 ~ 24400
💡 Final Thoughts
“In trading, sideways days are often the market’s way of loading energy. The trap candles test patience — the real move begins once levels finally break.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Analysis on NIFTY50(short term bearish)1. Index fell sharply from 25400 to 24600
2. it is sitting now at 24600 support zone testing before in early September.
3. Indecision near support.
4. Selling pressure earlier was strong.
NIFTY50 is still in short-term downtrend, holding support at 24600.
Disclaimer:
I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor nor a financial advisor.
Any investments or trades I discuss on my blog are intended solely for educational purposes and do not represent specific financial, trading, or investment advice.
Disclosure:
I, the author of this report, and my immediate family members do not have any financial interest or beneficial ownership in the securities mentioned herein at the time of publication.
nifty50 Analysis | be careful from trapMarket Outlook
Support Zone: 24,550 – 24,400
Resistance Levels: 24,750 – 24,790 and 24,960 – 24,990
A falling wedge pattern is currently forming just above the support zone. The key level to watch is 24,590, as a sweep of this low appears likely. However, before a potential breakdown, price may first retest the immediate resistance area and face rejection, leading back toward the support zone.
Expiry Trade Setup : 30 September 📊 Nifty Expiry Day Analysis
I’ve prepared a detailed trade setup for today’s Nifty expiry session. The key resistance zone is placed around 24,800, while 24,600 acts as a crucial lower boundary.
It’s advisable to avoid trading within the 24,600–24,800 range, as the market may remain choppy and directionless.
Instead, wait for a clear breakout beyond 24,800 or a breakdown below 24,600 to initiate intraday positions with better risk-reward opportunities.
Stay disciplined and trade with proper risk management.
Nifty Futures Intraday Trend analysis on Sept 30, 2025Based on my analysis, I expect a bearish intraday trend on September 30, 2025. If Nifty rises toward the resistance levels at 24,760 or 24,795, it may potentially decline to 24,627 or lower. A strong bearish candle appears likely. Gaps on the either side may change my market view.
Traders are advised to carry out their own technical analysis before taking any trade decisions.
Nifty Analysis EOD – September 29, 2025 – Monday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – September 29, 2025 – Monday 🔴
Bulls wrestle, but bears still dictate the close
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a 39-point gap up, far below the 100+ points Gift Nifty indicated. After adding 32 more points, the index slipped to fill the gap, only to stage a strong recovery towards the 24,750–24,775 resistance zone.
At this zone, a Head & Shoulders pattern formed with a neckline at 24,735. Once broken, Nifty quickly tumbled below the day’s low, meeting the H&S target within minutes. After a brief box pattern breakdown, price dipped below the PDL — but this turned into a false breakdown trap, sparking a 132-point recovery back to the neckline level at 24,735.
Despite multiple bullish attempts, the neckline flipped into strong resistance. Bears regained control, dragging Nifty back below PDL, though another late bounce of 77 points lifted the close to 24,677.55.
Overall, the 185-point wide range offered rich intraday trading opportunities, but the close below PDC keeps the index in a bearish framework with no clear reversal yet.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
Gap Up +39 pts, minor push to +71 pts, then slipped for gap fill.
Strong rebound to 24,750–24,775 resistance, rejected at neckline (H&S setup).
H&S breakdown → hit target quickly, flushed below day’s low.
False PDL breakdown → 132-pt recovery back to neckline (24,735).
Neckline polarity shift to resistance → multiple failed bull attempts.
Another bear move below PDL, but bulls rescued with 77-pt bounce into close.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,728.55
High: 24,791.30
Low: 24,606.20
Close: 24,634.90
Change: −19.80 (−0.08%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Small red body (~93.65 pts).
Range: ~185.10 pts → decent volatility.
Upper wick: ~62.75 pts → sellers rejected upside.
Lower wick: ~28.70 pts → mild buying near lows.
📚 Interpretation
Bulls attempted a rally but met heavy resistance at 24,790.
Bears dragged price down to 24,606.
Close near low → bearish tilt despite recovery attempts.
🕯Candle Type
Small-bodied bearish candle → Spinning Top with bearish bias.
Signals indecision but sellers still defending control.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 175.10
IB Range: 110.20 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
11:30 Long Trade – Target Achieved (R:R 1:3.3)
📌 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
Bias remains bearish below 24,800. A sustained breach above this level can revive bullish momentum, else further weakness toward 24,600–24,420 is likely.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
24735
24750 ~ 24775
24868
24890 ~ 24915
24990 ~ 25000
25048
Support Zones:
24600 ~ 24572
24500
24430 ~ 24400
💡 Final Thoughts
“Markets don’t lie — they trap. False breakouts and breakdowns are the real test of discipline. Those who chase often lose, those who wait often win.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Temporary Bottom formations seems to be happening in Nifty. It seems that Nifty is trying to form a bottom around 24605 levels. If this level is broken the next support seems to be near 24401. On the upper side the seem to be near 24761 and 24882. If we get a closing above 24882 the most important resistance will be at 24944 and 24960 where we have the Mother and the father line respectively. Bulls will get back in business above 24960 with further resistances at 25083 and 25260. these seem to be the levels to watch out this week.
Mark Mobius veteran investor looks at Sesex reaching 100,000 within 1 year. Corresponding level for Nifty can be close to 27K+ this is the news on the positive side. RSI has started to move in a positive direction. Moving Average Convergence and Divergence has given a slight indication showing the trend might change sooner rather than later.
To learn more about my Mother, Father and Small Child Theory, RSI, MACD, Profit booking averaging and other Techno-Funda aspects of investing you can read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. It is a book considered by many as a hand book to equity investment. Currently the book enjoys 4.8/5 Star rating on Amazon. Paperback edition or Kindle edition can be bought from there or many other sources.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Market Mood Turns Sour as Nifty Slips Below 25KThe Nifty 50 ended its three-week winning streak with a sharp fall of ~2.6% , slipping below the crucial 25,000 psychological mark .
What Triggered the Decline?
● Global headwinds weighed on sentiment as trade tensions resurfaced, hurting risk appetite across equity markets.
● Domestic pressures coupled with persistent selling by foreign investors added to the weakness.
● Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) offloaded equities worth over ₹5,500 crore during the week.
● Concerns around a potential change in U.S. H-1B visa norms spooked the IT sector, a key driver of Indian exports.
Technical Backdrop
● The index has now fallen for 7 straight sessions , showing clear downward momentum.
● Immediate support: 24,400–24,500 zone. A break below this could drag the index toward the 23,900–24,000 strong support zone.
● Resistance levels: After slipping below the 25,000 mark, this level will now act as an immediate resistance. Strong resistance is placed at 25,400–25,500.
Market Outlook
With global uncertainties and foreign outflows, cautiousness and volatility are likely to dominate sentiment heading into October.
Strategy for Traders & Investors
● Maintain strict stop-loss discipline and manage position sizing carefully in this environment.
● For short-term traders: watch the 24,400–24,500 support zone for signs of reversal or breakdown.
● For investors: remain selective, focus on quality stocks, and avoid chasing momentum until stability returns.
Market Weekly Wrap – Nifty & S&P 500 AnalysisNifty had a tough week, closing at 24654, down 673 points (-2.7%) from last week’s close. This was exactly in line with the downtrend warning I’ve been sharing over the past 3-4 weeks.
Key Highlights:
Weekly Range: High 25331 – Low 24629
Two-Week Correction: Down 3.15% from the recent high of 25448
Key Support Levels: 24474 / 24500 – watch closely!
If Nifty holds 24474/24500, we could see a short-term bounce of 1–2% toward 24950/25000.
But below 24300, brace for a deeper correction — Nifty could retest 23185 support levels.
Investor Tip:
The old saying still applies: "Be greedy when others are fearful."
This is a great time to start deploying capital — either by picking fundamentally strong stocks or through SIP/MF/ETF routes. If the market dips further, you’ll get opportunities to average your positions at better prices.
Sector to Watch Next Week: METALS — this sector looks strong and can outperform if market sentiment turns positive.
My Nifty Range for Next Week: 25050 – 24250
A breakout or breakdown beyond this range could trigger fast, directional moves.
US Markets – S&P 500 Update:
S&P 500 closed at 6643, down just 20 points, holding strong near its key Fibonacci support at 6568.
Upside Levels: Needs to sustain above 6689 for targets at 6780 / 6930 / 6959
Downside Risk: Below 6568, watch for 6502 / 6454 / 6376
Pro Tip: Keep a trailing stop-loss (SL) at 6524 to lock in profits
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ Market correction was expected – use this opportunity wisely
✅ Watch 24474 support for potential bounce
✅ Metal sector could lead gains next week
✅ S&P 500 holding key support, but keep SLs in place
Nifty Spot Daily Trend Analysis from September 29Nifty spot may find support near 24,530 with a potential rebound toward 25,100, indicating the possibility of a Head and Shoulders formation in the coming sessions.
A gap-up opening on September 29, 2025 cannot be ruled out, which may influence these projected levels. Traders should rely on their own technical assessment before initiating positions.
Adherence to disciplined risk management is strongly recommended.
Nifty approaching major support zones very fast. We saw a slide in Nifty this week due to Tariff related concerns and H1B Visa related concerns. The announcements triggered major sell off from FIIs (Who are anyway on a sell path for a long time) and the retail investors. DII and probably HNIs too are buying every sell off which is helping the market from not having a catastrophic fall. Now Nifty is fast approaching the points which can be potential turnaround zones.
Supports For nifty remain at: 24501, 24209 Mother Line Support) falling below Mother line of weekly chart (Very strong support)(50 Weeks EMA) can help the bears to tighten the grip over the market. If we get a closing below 24209 the next support levels will be at 23912, 23116. In very unlikely circumstances Nifty can reach 21741 or 20936 (Father line support).
Resistance For Nifty remain at: 25030, 25516 (Trend line resistance)(Strong resistance), 26277 (Nifty All Time High). If and when we are able to close above 26277. Nifty will gallop quickly towards 27K or even 28K.
It has been a long wait to reach 27K so far after we reached the All time high of 26277 in September 24. 1 year on we are having negative returns on Nifty due to International wars, Indo-Pak war episode followed by Trump Tariff but ones the tide turns a bright upside awaits us. Indian GDP is still expected to grow at 6.5% as per IMF and many other agencies. The night will end and there will be daylight soon. Sometimes it is the darkest before the sun is about to shine. Keep the faith. Sectoral rotation is always advised.
Emphasise on sectors that will benefit from local consumption increase due to Income tax relief, GST relief and Government spending, Chip making, on Infra, Power and defense, Banking, NBFCs and Finances. Sometimes it is just the question of shifting the sail in the direction of the tailwind.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Weak closing but market on the verge of being oversold.We saw a closing today that has dragged Nifty below Father line support and mid channel support of hourly chart. RSI is indicating that the market is oversold and there are slim chances of recovery from support near 24872. If 24872 is broken than we can see Nifty further slipping towards 24772, 24644 or even channel bottom near 24473. If 24473 is broken then market can end up in total bear grip.
Resistances for market seem to be near 24959 Mid channel resistance, followed by father line and Mother line resistance near 24999 and 24125. Closing above 25125 can take the market upwards towards 25215, 25343 and 25431. As of now 25431 is the channel top.
As of now shadow of the candle is neutral but with a tinge of red. Meaning we can have a flat to positive start but later market can become laggard again. For market to sustain upward momentum we need a closing above both Mother and Father line resistances on daily chart.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Intraday Trend Analysis for Sept 25, 2025According to my analysis, on Sept 25th, I expect a pull back. Intraday buying opportunities are on the cards. There is a Support @ 25103 and a Resistance @ 25300. Gaps on the either side may
change price levels.
It's my personal view. Real-Time market may not respond to my analysis due to other factors.
Nifty Futures Intraday Trend Analysis for September 24, 2025According to my analysis, a bearish trend is on the cards with Support levels at 25188 and 25160. Once it breaks 25160, there is a possibility of the next support levels at 25130 or 25000.
There is also a possibility of Gap Down opening tomorrow.
Since it's my personal perspective, traders are suggested to conduct own technical analysis before entering into trades. Trade with proper risk management.






















