Nifty at Make-or-Break Zone – Big Move Loading?Nifty ended the week at 24,426, down 444 points from last week’s close. It touched a high of 25,021 and a low of 24,404, once again respecting my projected range of 25,350 – 24,400.
Last week, I highlighted the Shooting Star formation and warned about increasing bearish pressure – this week we saw exactly that play out. Now, Nifty is hovering dangerously close to the strong support of 24,400. A daily close below 24,400 could open the gates for a slide towards 24,000 – 23,900.
Next Week’s Range Expectation:
➡️ Likely range → 24,900 – 23,900
➡️ Below 24,400 = 24,000/23,900 possible
➡️ Sideways consolidation for 1–2 weeks also on the table before momentum resumes
My View:
From the 2nd week of September, I still expect more selling pressure. But before that, big players may try to take markets higher to trap unsuspecting retailers. After all, they need someone to offload their stakes – and who better than us poor retailers 😅.
✅ What Traders & Investors Should Do:
Traders: Stay flexible. Be ready for both sideways action and a breakdown.
Investors: Use upcoming corrections to load quality stocks at attractive prices. Do your research, keep a watchlist ready, and pounce when the opportunity comes.
US Market Update – S&P500
The S&P500 closed at 6,460, almost flat compared to last week. It formed a weak, indecisive candle, signaling hesitation. For bulls to regain control, we need a close above 6,500, which could take the index toward the 6,568 Fibonacci level. On the downside, a break below 6,429 can trigger profit booking, pushing the index toward 6,400/6,373. At 6,373, fresh buyers may step in to drive the next upward leg.
Want me to review any index or cryptocurrency for you? Drop it in the comments and I’ll include it in my next update!
Niftyoutlook
Detailed analysis of consolidation and growth phases in Nifty. Look at the chart of Nifty carefully. The Circles C1, C2, C3 and C4 show the consolidation phases of Nifty in last 125 Months each time after it makes a new high. Th period between the circles is the growth phase. We will study it carefully and try to derive the conclusions thereoff. To the onset let me tell you that stock market investment are subject to Macro and Micro risks. It is not necessary that the lightning will strike twice at the same spot. But we will use this data and try to measure the statistical possibility of growth and rate at which our investments can grow.
First let us look at Consolidation Phase C1 phase and growth phase that happened thereafter:
C1 Starts in March 2015 when Nifty made a high of 9119. Post that it consolidated for 24 months and came out of consolidation when it gave a closing above previous high in March 2017 when Nifty closed at 9173.
Growth Phase 1 (34 Months) . When Nifty has given a closing above previous high it embarks the journey of growth. It might momentarily go below the past high in some cases but we still consider that whole phase as a growth phase for better understanding and calculation purpose. The next high that Nifty makes is 12430 in January 2020.
Calculations: C1 and Growth Phase 1.
So the actual growth achieved = (12430-9191) = 3311. Which was a 36.3% growth achieved in a Bull Run that lasted 34 months. Which equates to roughly 1.06% Growth per month during the Bull Phase. If you look at the cumulative growth (34 months of bull run + 24 months of consolidation period = 58 months) we get 36.3/58 = 0.62% Growth per month. (During the whole Bull and Bear/Consolidation cycle).
Now let us look at Consolidation Phase C2 phase and growth phase that happened thereafter:
C2 Starts in January 2020 when Nifty made a high of 12430. Post that it consolidated for 10 months and came out of consolidation when it gave a closing above previous high in November 2020 when Nifty closed at 12968.
Growth Phase 2 (11 Months) . When Nifty has given a closing above previous high it embarks the journey of growth. It might momentarily go below the past high in some cases but we still consider that whole phase as a growth phase for better understanding and calculation purpose. The next high that Nifty makes is 18604 in October 21.
Calculations: C2 and Growth Phase 2
So the actual growth achieved = (18604-12430) = 6174. Which was a 49.67% growth achieved in a Bull Run that lasted 11 months. Which equates to roughly 4.5% Growth per month during the Bull Phase. If you look at the cumulative growth (11 months of bull run + 10 months of consolidation period = 21 months) we get 49.67/21 = 2.37% Growth per month. (During the whole Bull and Bear/Consolidation cycle).
Now let us look at Consolidation Phase C3 phase and growth phase that happened thereafter:
C3 Starts in October 2021 when Nifty made a high of 18604. Post that it consolidated for 13 months and came out of consolidation when it gave a closing above previous high in November 2022 when Nifty closed at 18758.
Growth Phase 3 (22 Months). When Nifty has given a closing above previous high it embarks the journey of growth. It might momentarily go below the past high in some cases but we still consider that whole phase as a growth phase for better understanding and calculation purpose. The next high that Nifty makes is 26277 in September 2024.
Calculations: C3 and Growth Phase 3.
So the actual growth achieved = (26277-18604) = 7673. Which was a 41.2% growth achieved in a Bull Run that lasted 22 months. Which equates to roughly 1.87% Growth per month during the Bull phase. If you look at the cumulative growth (22 months of bull run + 13 months of consolidation period = 35 months) we get 41.2/35 = 1.17% Growth per month. (During the whole Bull and Bear/Consolidation cycle).
Right Now we are in C4 which is the consolidation phase which started in September 2024. Next trading day is in September 2025 so we have almost completed 12 months of consolidation phase. When exactly this phase will be over we can not say but let us look at statistical possibility: (Again let me retrate performance of past can not guarantee performance of future but let us see what statistics has to say).
If we look at data from C1, C2 and C3:
Average Consolidation phase length has been 24 (C1) + 10 (C2) + 13 (C3)= 15.6 Months (Almost 12 months have passed so investors should keep the faith and have little more patience).
Average Bull Phase or the Growth phase post completion of Consolidation lasts for 34 (Growth Phase 1) + 11 (Growth Phase 2) + 22 (Growth Phase 3)= 22.33 Months (So there is a huge probability the phase that everyone will enjoy is near by and we are certainly going to be rewarded sooner than later.)
Average Growth during the Growth Phases= 1.06(Growth Phase 1) + 4.5(Growth Phase 2) + 1.87(Growth Phase 3) = 7.43/3 = 2.48% per month.
Average Cumulative Growth considering both Growth phases and Consolidation phase = 0.62(58 Months during C1 and Growth Phase 1) + 2.37(21 months during C2 and Growth Phase 2) + 1.87(35 months of C3 and Growth phase 3) = 4.86/3 = 1.62%.
Conclusion:
/ After every high there is a substantial consolidation phase.
/ If you keep patience during consolidation phase you will be rewarded handsomely by equity market.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. There are a lot of assumptions in data and pure statistics is not applied. We just want to pass on the message that markets have always be rewarding the patient. That does not mean they will continue to do so in future but we are working on probabilities and assumptions here. There can be some mistakes in assumptions and calculations. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 29.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 29.08.2025
RTF: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 28.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 28.08.2025
************************* Time frame 3 Minutes******************************
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Why is Nifty50 Falling? | Technical OutlookBackground:
On 30th June, Nifty50 made a high of 25,699.35. From that point, the index entered a bearish trend, which extended down to the recent low of 24,337.50. This low marked a Break of Structure (BoS), signaling that a pullback phase was likely to follow.
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Pullback Phase:
The pullback began on 11th August, when price failed to break below the previous low and started forming higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
If we plot a Fibonacci retracement from 30th June (high) to 11th August (low), the 0.618 (golden ratio) comes in around 25,139.45.
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Price Action:
On 14th August, the market opened with a gap up, likely leaving some unfilled buy orders behind. This gap also opened within the supply premium zone around the golden fib level.
Since then, the price has reversed to the downside, forming lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH) aligning with the higher time frame bearish trend.
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Key Levels to Watch:
24,600 – 24,465: Important POI (Point of Interest) for buyers.
24,337.50: A crucial structural level. If this level holds and price begins to form HH and HL again, it can be considered a strong low for buyers.
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Chart Patterns (15m timeframe):
Head & Shoulders formation.
Bear Flag pattern.
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Additionally, Gift Nifty is already showing signs of weakness near 24,600. With markets closed tomorrow for the festive holiday, Thursday could potentially open with a gap down.
Nifty in search of a bottom before Trump Tariff Deadline. Nifty nose dived more than 1% today as the deadline for additional Tariff implementation has arrived. With a market holiday tomorrow investor shorted their positions. The supports for Nifty travelling in the hourly parallel channel which is shown in the chart seem to be at 24689 and 24573. If we get a closing below 24573 then Nifty can fall further to 24351 or below. We are in the zone from where historical RSI support as you can see in the chart. This makes it possible for Nifty to fight back on Thursday and Friday if things go well on Political front and there is no further bad news.
In the scenario of Nifty fighting back the resistance for Nifty seems to be at 24776. If we get a closing above 24776 then there is a triple strong resistance zone between 24850 and 24939. This zone consists of 4 strong resistances which are mid-channel resistance, Mother line of hourly chart, father line of hourly chart and finally trend line resistance. Once we get a closing above 24939 the future resistances will be at 25013, 25127 and finally 25253. Above 25253 closing Bulls will be back in business.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 26.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 26.08.2025
************************* Time frame 3 Minutes******************************
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Nifty Futures Intraday Trend Analysis for August 26, 2025According to my analysis, I foresee a bearish intraday trend tomorrow with likely resistance
at 25025 and support at 24891. If the bearish trend continues below 24891, it may move down
further to 24834. Since I don't consider the gaps on the either side, my levels may not be in line with real-time market.
This is my personal view and traders are suggested to do their own technical study to trade in real-time market.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 25.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 25.08.2025
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Trendline topples Nifty which is now searching for support now. Trendline resistance has toppled Nifty which is now searching for support from where it can launch a recovery. For a recovery Nifty has to find a firm support which can act as a launchpad again for next phase of move.
If the support is not found in the relevant support zone it can again fall in bear grip. The support zone nearby starts from 24857 (Father line) and a zone nearby which is at 24826. If we get a closing below 24826 then Nifty can fall towards 24721, 24536 or even 24321 levels. 24321 seems to be a strong trendline support.
If Nifty takes support near 24857 or 24826 then (Today's low was 24859) the Nifty can go upwards. In this scenario the resistances for Nifty will be at 24892 (Mother line Resistance), 24932, 25127 (trendline resistance), 25261, 25396, 25545 and finally 25667. After closing above 25261 the Bulls will be back in business.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 22.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 22.08.2025
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Nifty Weekly Outlook (22–28 August 2025)Nifty Weekly Outlook (22–28 August 2025)
Above pivot = bullish bias.
Below pivot = bearish bias.
Watch for reversals near R1/S1, then R2/S2, and finally R3/S3 if levels break.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 21, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 21, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Bulls holding the line, but fading strength visible near 25,150
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a gap-up of 98 points at 25,144.85, continuing its bullish tone above the previous day’s high. But from the very first tick, it slipped lower to fill the gap and found support at 25,055, where it formed the IB range. A sharp recovery took it back toward the open, but multiple attempts failed to cross Day Open / Day High / IB High.
Around 2:15 pm, another breakout attempt was strongly rejected, pushing the index below the PDH, and Nifty finally closed at 25,076.95.
Though the close is higher by +33 points vs the previous day, it left behind a red daily candle (close < open). This indicates fading bullish momentum, even though HH-HL structure is still intact.
The range was narrow (≈98 points), categorising the day as range-bound, not sideways. The previous weekly expiry was also narrow yet sideways.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
Gap-up opening at 25,144.85, above PDH → bullish continuation vibe.
Early dip → support at 25,055 → IB formed.
Recovery attempt back to day’s open, but rejection at 25,150 zone.
Second breakout attempt at 2:15 pm → harder rejection.
Index slipped below PDH → closed at 25,076.95, above support.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,142.00
High: 25,153.65
Low: 25,054.90
Close: 25,083.75
Change: +33.20 (+0.13%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Red candle (Close < Open)
Body: 58.25 points
Upper wick: 11.65 points
Lower wick: 28.85 points
📚 Interpretation
Sellers defended 25,150 again.
Close still above 25,050 → buyers alive.
Lower wick shows dip-buying at 25,055.
Net effect: Mild profit booking, not a reversal.
🕯️ Candle Type
Small bearish body with lower tail → selling pressure at top, hidden demand at support.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
🛡 Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 195.14
IB Range: 89.95 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlight: No trade trigger today.
🕵️ Range & Bias
Support Zone: 24,955 – 24,920
Resistance Zone: 25,100 – 25,140
Bias: Cautiously Bullish → above 25k, but conviction is weak.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
🎚️ Resistance Zones
25,100
25,155
25,190 (pattern target)
25,240
🎚️ Support Zones
25,050 ~ 25,030
24,995
24,955
24,920
24,890 – 24,880
💡 Final Thoughts
The market is respecting 25,050 as demand and 25,150 as supply, leaving price action compressed in a tight zone. Bulls are still holding ground, but repeated failures near resistance hint at fading strength.
📌 “Markets often whisper before they roar — repeated rejections are the whisper, the breakout will be the roar.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is my personal analysis — not investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 21.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 21.08.2025
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 20.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 20.08.2025
Sorry for the delayed post..
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Nifty showing strength but nearing key resistances now.Nifty had a good closing today up 103.7 points closing just below 25K at 24980.65. Things have taken a positive turn after the GST relief related announcement from GOI. Today Reliance did heavy lifting as it was up 2.84%.
Now the Nifty is entering a zone where there are few important hurdles. Once they are crossed there is a fair Chance of proper Bull run. The resistance in front of Nifty now are at 24992, 25042, 25133 and most importantly the zone between 25245 to 25328. Above 25328 there is strong Bullish territory.
The supports for Nifty remain at 24866, 24820 (Father Line support), 24742 (Mother line support). Below 24742 there can be further bearish weakness which can pull Nifty down towards 24573 or even 24341. (But that can happen only if we get a closing below 24742.
Right now the Nifty seems to be in Bullish mode with few resistances approaching.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 19.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 19.08.2025
Sorry for the delayed post..
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
GST related jump; Auto, Consumption & others breaks market slumpThere was some positive game changing news required to break the market slump which was provided by honourable PM in his Independence day speech. Now exact GST slots and how the same is implemented is yet to be seen. There was some negative news as well as EU and Ukraine and US do not seem to be on the same page with respect to ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. So still there are some Global issues which are yet to be answered.
Additionally the Tariff war in general and with respect to India is not yet solved. Additionally the Trade talks between India and US have gone for a toss with next meeting which was to happen later this month has been postponed indefinitely. Thus the signal is not clear cut green. So once the GST Euphoria subsides there can be consolidation/correction again so traders have to be cautious. Long term investors can see this as an opportunity for reshuffling Portfolio in line with local consumption related stocks. Some of the Auto stocks have gone absolutely in the 5th gear. Consumption is heating up, Finance and Baking, Insurance, realty and FMCG can also join the band wagon along with Infra and capital goods in future. IT, Oil &Gas, Power can take a back seat for now but might join the band wagon if up move persists.
Overall what we saw today was a good up move. If Nifty is able to clear key resistances we can see strong up move across the sectors. If not so there can be further consolidation and sectoral rotation. Things are in balance right now. Predicting next move is difficult but certainly it was a good day on browsers.
Major events are unfolding but clarity will be there once the dust settles. Now the Nifty supports and resistances are as under:
Nifty supports remain at: 24810 (Father line of Hourly chart), 24746, 24671 (Mother line of Hourly chart), 24534 and 24334.
Nifty Resistances Remain at: 24995, 25116, 25246 (Trend Line Resistance above which Bulls will be comfortable), 25405, 25544 and finally 25639.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 18.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 18.08.2025
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
GST Reforms + Cooling Inflation: Can Nifty Aim for 25,800..?🚀 Nifty 50: Breakout + Big Policy Boost ?
📉 Technical View
Nifty 50 has broken out of its downward channel and is testing higher levels.
* Key resistance: 24,850 🔑
* If sustained & retested → next target: 25,800 🎯
This could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg if momentum holds.
📊 Macro Tailwinds
* Inflation cools off ➝ July CPI at 1.55% (lowest since June 2017) 😮
* Food inflation at -1.76%, down from -1.06% in June.
👉 Softening inflation = stronger spending power + supportive environment 📈
📰 Policy Catalyst: GST Reforms by Diwali 2025
PM Modi’s Independence Day speech highlighted “Next-Gen GST Reforms” 🇮🇳:
* 12% GST slab ➝ may shift to 5% 💡
* 28% GST slab ➝ may shift to 18% 📉
* New 40% slab for sin goods (tobacco, beer, etc.) 🚬🍺
➡️ Could lighten tax burden, stimulate consumption, and lift corporate profits.
⚡ Takeaway
Technical breakout + cooling inflation + GST reforms = constructive setup for Nifty 50.
* Watch 24,850 carefully → breakout & retest opens gates to 25,800.
📌 Note: Global risk remains. Trump’s proposed additional tariffs could hinder the trend and inject volatility 🌍⚠️.
Nifty Rebounds After Six-Week Fall, Consolidation Continues● Nifty finally ended its six-week losing run, closing the week with a 1.10% gain despite trading in a narrow range.
● Volatility inched higher, with India VIX rising 2.68% to 12.35, reflecting a slightly elevated risk perception, though it remains comfortably low.
● On the technical front, the 24,300–24,400 zone is likely to act as immediate support, while resistance is seen at 24,700–24,800.
● Heading into nest expiry, the index is expected to remain in a neutral phase as it continues to consolidate below key resistance levels. Without a decisive breakout, aggressive buying should be avoided.
● Traders are advised to closely monitor price action around these key levels and manage risk carefully while planning trades.
Wkly Market Wrap – Nifty Breaks Losing Streak, Bulls Eye 25,100Nifty closed the week at 24,631, up 270 points from last week’s close, after hitting a high of 24,702 and a low of 24,347. As I highlighted in last week’s outlook, Nifty once again respected my range of 24,800–23,900 to the dot.
After five straight weeks of red, we finally saw a green weekly close—a much-needed breather for the bulls. But remember, this is the first pullback after a prolonged downtrend, so sellers are likely to make another attempt to drag the markets lower.
📌 Key levels for next week:
Support: 24,300 – If bulls defend this level, we could see a rally toward 25,000–25,100.
Resistance: 25,100 – Strong selling pressure likely here.
Even if 24,300 breaks, I don’t expect Nifty to slip below 24,200–24,150 this week.
💡 Opportunity Alert: For those who’ve been patiently waiting for a dip to enter, this week could present a good buying window—possibly followed by another opportunity by the second week of September. Have your list of fundamentally strong stocks ready to pounce.
Global Cue – S&P 500 on Fire
The S&P 500 once again closed at a new all-time high of 6,468, and the momentum suggests it’s on track to test the key Fibonacci level of 6,568. If you’re invested in the US markets, trail your stop-loss to 6,200 to safeguard profits.
Bulls are back in the game, but sellers haven’t left the field—next week will be all about who controls the pitch!
Nifty Weekly Outlook (15–21 August 2025)Nifty Weekly Outlook (15–21 August 2025)
Above pivot = bullish bias.
Below pivot = bearish bias.
Watch for reversals near R1/S1, then R2/S2, and finally R3/S3 if levels break.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.






















