Channel top and H1B visa mayhem hits Nifty. Nifty was today hit by dual mayhem of Channel top resistance and the hike in H1B visa fees by US. As we know IT sector was the worst hit today as IT index plummeted further down by -2.95%. Pharma and Small Cap index where other indices which took major hit. Commodities like Gold and Silver continued to shine. It is yet to be seen if IT index will plummet further or this was just a one day negativity. There are Pros and Cons of the hike lot of analyst believe that this is definitely a jolt for now but it will end up strengthening Indian It sector as lot more offshoring of work will happen. It is too early to judge if this shock will be absorbed in a day, week or IT index will take more time to recover from this issue.
The support for Nifty remain at: 25200 is the immediate trend line support where the Nifty stopped today, followed by 25133 and 24997. 24947 is the mid channel line support below which Nifty will become very weak.
The Resistances for Nifty remain at: 25221 (Mother line resistance) followed by 25309 and 25364. If we get a closing above 25364 Channel top seems to be near 25431 and 25469. Closing above 25469 will give us a channel Break Out and will have potential to lead us to new highs.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Niftyresistances
Wild Week Ahead For Nifty on the verge of cup and handle BO.Till Thursday the situation was like 11 overs 100 to win with 8 wickets in hand. Bears pulled one tight over and took a wicket on Friday. Now If someone tells you the team chasing needs 95 runs in 10 overs with 7 wickets in hand with one well set batsmen at the crease and a 'Cricketing Goat' coming in to bat along with well set batsman. Would you like to watch this T-20 match? Obviously you we will say,"Bring it on!" Very exciting match ahead. Right! Well we have a similar match going on between bulls and bears.
Nifty is on the verge of a cup and handle Breakout. In the last throw of dice Bears tried to marinate some negativity on Friday where Nifty closed at 25327 after making a high of 25448 during the week. The correction from high was also due to few technical reasons like high RSI and overbought market zones on daily and hourly charts.
The other reason was that current round of Trade talks between US and Europe are also not yielding some concrete results and Pakistan is going all out with strategic defense deal with KSA. Such deals have more or less no 'locus standi' either in reality or on the market but certainly they 'on paper' seem to be supporting our enemy state. The new GST rates will come into effect from next week which can be a great news for some sectors at the same time some sectors can come out as on the wrong side of the stick.
What to expect? Lot of volatility and sectoral changes. Mutual Funds / HNIs / FII and other DII will try to readjust their portfolio. Such situation can throw wild swings. Intraday trading and short term positional trading will be very risky. F&O traders should be very careful with their positions. They can make or terribly break your banks. Long term retail investors should go with the flow and steer their ship with minute adjustment to their sail or make calculated adjustments if required. Avoid knee-jerk reactions in any case.
If the cup and handle Breakout happens on Nifty we can swifty reach the previous ATH (All Time High or make a New high within this quarter. If the Cup and Handle / Trend-line Break out fails Nifty will be again send back to search for supports. This week Nifty did try to get a trend line breakout but it did not succeed still the form and momentum looks good. on Friday FII and DII both were on the buying side. This means there are chances that positive momentum can continue making shadow of the candle green.
Supports for Nifty currently remain at: 25139, 24792, 24432 and finally Mother line support of 50 Weeks EMA at 24191.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: Zone between 25403 and 25668 strong resistance zone which includes major Trend line resistance and highs of the year 2025. Above this zone the next resistance can be seen in the chart at 26007 and 26277 (All Time High of Nifty).
As described in the first paragraph the game is in balance right now with possibilities of Breakout and Breakdown remaining almost equal with Bulls currently having a slight edge. Volatile month end awaits with a chance of big red or green candles to be seen in the next 2 to 3 weeks. Very interesting time ahead lets see how the cookie crumbles.
So it is like a team chasing in a T-20 needs 95 runs in 10 overs with 7 wickets in hand with Two well set batsmen at the crease. Bring it on!
If you love cricket as well as the stock market, you can read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation. The book juxtaposes cricket and stock market in many ways. Lot of cricketing examples are given for understanding stock market behaviour. You will love it. Those who have read it love the book as it has a rating of 4.8/5 on Amazon. It is value for money hand book to learn Techno-funda Analysis. Do read it. Kindle version is available too!
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty trying to break the shackles and breakout. Nifty gave a great closing above important Fibonacci resistance. Today Nifty closed at 25239 which is fairly above the Fibonacci resistance at 25152. The next Fibonacci resistance is at 25378 which is also a Trend line resistance.
Before reaching there the resistance just round the corner is at 25244. So the key resistance now are at 25244 and 25378. Above 25378 there is possibility of very strong bullish breakout which can lead Nifty towards 25554 and 25669. Supports for Nifty currently remain at 25152, 24994 both Fibonacci levels.
Mother line support of daily chart remains at 24844. Shadow of the candle right now neutral as the RSI on hourly chart is getting into overbought zone. RSI however on the daily chart still shows more room to grow.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty trying to inch back into Bullish territoryNifty has done a good job so far in the last 2 weeks to inch back towards bullish territory. This was the second week where we saw a fantastic Green candle. We saw Nifty close above an important Fibonacci resistance of 24994 at 25114.
The Next major Fibonacci resistances are at 25152 which is very near and 25378 which might also look relatively nearby. Once we get a closing above these 2 levels the next targets for Nifty will be at 25669, 26044 and 26529. Let us see if Nifty momentum takes us above 25152 or 25378 within next week.
If the resistance stops nifty growth the supports for Nifty will be at Fibonacci levels of 24994, 24804, 24645 (next strong Fibonacci support). Final support for Nifty before it falls back into bearish zone will be at 24337. Mother line support of 50 Weeks EMA is at 24144.
Shadow of the candle looks positive as of now and RSI is also slowly getting into the Bullish zone. Currently the RSI of Weekly chart is 56.99 which is very conducive for further progress.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Mother Line Resistance and Trend line Resistance stopping Nifty.Two important Resistances on the daily chart Mother line at 24788 and Trend line which is at 24910 are stopping Nifty from flying high. The sectoral index providing maximum support and allowing Nifty to hold above 24700 is defiantly Auto sector which is doing heavy weight lifting. Again today Auto index rose by 3.3%. It can still grow a bit but it is clearly entering the overbought zone. The sector looking most laggard is IT index. Again today it fell close to 1% with no respite in sight with torrid signals still coming from US.
With this seesaw battle continuing Resistances for Nifty currently are at: 24788 (Mother line resistance) and 24910 trendline resistance. If these 2 resistances are crossed the major resistances will be at 25K, 25149 and 25245. Above 25245 Nifty can grow stronger and reach bullish territory.
Supports for Nifty currently remain at: 24621, 24486 (trendline support), 24409 and finally 24292 (Father line Support). A closing below 24292 will drag Nifty further downwards into a strong bearish territory.
Nifty can rise from here and reach 24910 where it will be tested or it can fall towards 24621 or 24486 and then again try to rise towards the trend line at 24910. Which path it will take is yet to be deciphered.
To know more about Trend lines, Supports, Resistances, Mother line and Father line and to draw the same on your chart and for learning Techo-Funda analysis read my Book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. The book is available on Amazon and will help you in your investing journey whether you are a seasoned investor or a new beginner. The chapters in the book are mostly standalone. The book is rated 4.8/5 on Amazon. It is a value for money book priced at Rs.349/- (Delivery charges extra as charged by Amazon).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty staring at couple of important resistances next week. Nifty is looking at few resistances before it can breakfree. The resistance immediately in front of Nifty is 24748. Once this resistance is crossed then there will be Father line of hourly chart which will again act as resistance. Father line of hourly chart remains at 24775. Once we get a closing above these 2 levels then Nifty can further grow towards 24835, 24930 and 25000. If we get a closing above 25K then the next resistance will be at 25126.
Supports for Nifty currently are at 24701 (Mother line Support of hourly chart) if we get a closing below this level then few other supports will be at 24645, 24559, 24465 (Trend line Support) and 24350.
Closing below 24350 will make Nifty very week. GST reforms are trying to support the Nifty which is being pushed down by Trump Tariffs and other Macro factors.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
After good start Nifty fizzles under trend line + Trump PressureAfter the announcements of GST reforms Nifty started the day with the bang reaching 24980 just short of 25K but selling pressure came immediately after Nifty hit the trend line resistance. Also Bears took the advantage of the rally to short the Nifty on account of Trump's fresh salvo of further increasing Tariffs on India in phase 2 and phase 3. The results of GST reforms will shortly start showing within a quarter or 2. The FMCG, Auto, Auto ancillaries, Insurance and health care, Consumption, Infrastructure and to some extent Capital Goods, Home appliances, Travel and Holiday will definitely get a boost in the long run.
It is not easy to close above Father line resistance if you have read my Mother Father and Small child theory you know that. If not you can read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. The book is available on Amazon and is one of the highest rated books in the category.
Resistance for Nifty remain at: 24781 (Father line resistance), 24880, 24980 (Trend line resistance), 25081 and 25172. (Above this level Bulls will become more active).
Supports for Nifty remain at: 24700 (Mother line support), 24660 (Trend line support), 24515, 24397 and finally 24339 (Below this support there will be total bear grip).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty is trying to break the cage to fly upwards. As you can see Nifty staged a recovery today and crossed the first hurdle that is the Mother line (50 Hours EMA) and closed about it. Not the 2 important hurdles staring at it are the trend line resistance at 24740 and Father line (200 Hours EMA) at 24780.
Bulls will be comfortable after we get a closing above these 2 hurdles. Once these hurdles are crossed we will find some resistances near 24917, 25029 and finally 25148.
The support zones for Nifty currently are at 24674 (Mother line support of 50 hours EMA), 24527 and finally 24339. Bears will control the market if we get a closing below 24339.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty unable to cross Important Resistances today. Nifty failed to capitalise a good start today and fell sharply from highs of the day to close in the negative. Nifty today made a high of 24756 but closed 177 points below this level at 24759. This was due to a Trend line resistance near the day's high. It is a complex chart giving mixed signals but for further growth of Nifty it has to close above 3 important resistances which are at 24682 Mother line resistance of hourly chart, 24756 trend line resistance and finally 24790 which is the father line of hourly chart. If we get a closing above 24790 we can see further resistance at 24927 before Nifty is able to touch 25K again. Support for Nifty currently are at 24522, 24410 and 24336. If the support at 24336 is broken we will see further down side in Nifty.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty delicately placed near resistance zones. Today we have seen Good recovery by Nifty on the back of extraordinary GDP numbers of 7.8% in the last Quarter. Now Nifty is delicately placed with chances of V shaped recovery if it can surpass 4 major hurdles,
The resistances are at Mid RSI channel resistance near 24640, Mother line resistance at 24690 (hourly chart), Trend line resistance near 24766 and Father line resistance near 24800 (hourly chart). If we get a closing above 24800 then the doors for 24927, 25015 and 25160 will open. Supports for Nifty currently are at 24504 and 24399. We have a very interesting week ahead with possibility of lot of volatility.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty still in search of strong bottom. Nifty is still in search of a meaningful bottom to launch a fight back. Few support zones are arriving with monthly closing tomorrow Nifty was able to hold on to 24500 levels as it closed dot on that support. It is was a weak closing today indicating a firm bottom is not established yet. Thus further downside can not be ruled out.
The support zone for Nifty is between 24359 and 24266 as of now. 24266 is the Father line or 200 days EMA. If by chance we get a closing below 24359 the next support will be 24266. If 24266 is broken the next support for Nifty will be at 24016 or 23705.
The resistances for Nifty now remain at 24827 (Mother line resistance) and 24872 (Trend line resistance). Closing above 24872 will open the doors for 25147 and 25477. After closing above 25377 the major medium term resistance will be at 25682. Once we get there we will get a fair idea of levels ahead.
Long term chart of Nifty is still not that bad as it is indicating of a cup and handle breakout once we are able to close above 25682. Once we achieve that in next 1 or 2 quarters the doors for 26K and 27K will open. For that we need clarity on GST reduction proposal and Tariff related issue which is plaguing the markets. The Tariff jolt is massive but industry can overcome it in the long run by looking inwards on local consumption and exploring other overseas markets if US remains defiant in the long run.
As indicated by both US and Indian trade and commerce as well as foreign experts the issue will be eventually solved. Till then boost in local consumption / exploring other markets for India Inc. seems to be the only way out for Indian markets to recover. Long term investors should still look at investing holding on to their investments with a longer outlook. Even if there is a 0.5 or 1% reduction in GDP still India will continue to be a fastest growing market.
Years / Quarters and times like these test resolve of Investors but reward the patient handsomely. So patience is the key. Holding on and reshuffling the portfolio / Fresh investment during such phases always pays the mature investor. Always remember the Great man Warren Buffet's advice which goes like this, "Market is the device where money is transferred from the impatient to the patient."
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty in search of a bottom before Trump Tariff Deadline. Nifty nose dived more than 1% today as the deadline for additional Tariff implementation has arrived. With a market holiday tomorrow investor shorted their positions. The supports for Nifty travelling in the hourly parallel channel which is shown in the chart seem to be at 24689 and 24573. If we get a closing below 24573 then Nifty can fall further to 24351 or below. We are in the zone from where historical RSI support as you can see in the chart. This makes it possible for Nifty to fight back on Thursday and Friday if things go well on Political front and there is no further bad news.
In the scenario of Nifty fighting back the resistance for Nifty seems to be at 24776. If we get a closing above 24776 then there is a triple strong resistance zone between 24850 and 24939. This zone consists of 4 strong resistances which are mid-channel resistance, Mother line of hourly chart, father line of hourly chart and finally trend line resistance. Once we get a closing above 24939 the future resistances will be at 25013, 25127 and finally 25253. Above 25253 closing Bulls will be back in business.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Trendline topples Nifty which is now searching for support now. Trendline resistance has toppled Nifty which is now searching for support from where it can launch a recovery. For a recovery Nifty has to find a firm support which can act as a launchpad again for next phase of move.
If the support is not found in the relevant support zone it can again fall in bear grip. The support zone nearby starts from 24857 (Father line) and a zone nearby which is at 24826. If we get a closing below 24826 then Nifty can fall towards 24721, 24536 or even 24321 levels. 24321 seems to be a strong trendline support.
If Nifty takes support near 24857 or 24826 then (Today's low was 24859) the Nifty can go upwards. In this scenario the resistances for Nifty will be at 24892 (Mother line Resistance), 24932, 25127 (trendline resistance), 25261, 25396, 25545 and finally 25667. After closing above 25261 the Bulls will be back in business.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty showing strength but nearing key resistances now.Nifty had a good closing today up 103.7 points closing just below 25K at 24980.65. Things have taken a positive turn after the GST relief related announcement from GOI. Today Reliance did heavy lifting as it was up 2.84%.
Now the Nifty is entering a zone where there are few important hurdles. Once they are crossed there is a fair Chance of proper Bull run. The resistance in front of Nifty now are at 24992, 25042, 25133 and most importantly the zone between 25245 to 25328. Above 25328 there is strong Bullish territory.
The supports for Nifty remain at 24866, 24820 (Father Line support), 24742 (Mother line support). Below 24742 there can be further bearish weakness which can pull Nifty down towards 24573 or even 24341. (But that can happen only if we get a closing below 24742.
Right now the Nifty seems to be in Bullish mode with few resistances approaching.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
GST related jump; Auto, Consumption & others breaks market slumpThere was some positive game changing news required to break the market slump which was provided by honourable PM in his Independence day speech. Now exact GST slots and how the same is implemented is yet to be seen. There was some negative news as well as EU and Ukraine and US do not seem to be on the same page with respect to ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. So still there are some Global issues which are yet to be answered.
Additionally the Tariff war in general and with respect to India is not yet solved. Additionally the Trade talks between India and US have gone for a toss with next meeting which was to happen later this month has been postponed indefinitely. Thus the signal is not clear cut green. So once the GST Euphoria subsides there can be consolidation/correction again so traders have to be cautious. Long term investors can see this as an opportunity for reshuffling Portfolio in line with local consumption related stocks. Some of the Auto stocks have gone absolutely in the 5th gear. Consumption is heating up, Finance and Baking, Insurance, realty and FMCG can also join the band wagon along with Infra and capital goods in future. IT, Oil &Gas, Power can take a back seat for now but might join the band wagon if up move persists.
Overall what we saw today was a good up move. If Nifty is able to clear key resistances we can see strong up move across the sectors. If not so there can be further consolidation and sectoral rotation. Things are in balance right now. Predicting next move is difficult but certainly it was a good day on browsers.
Major events are unfolding but clarity will be there once the dust settles. Now the Nifty supports and resistances are as under:
Nifty supports remain at: 24810 (Father line of Hourly chart), 24746, 24671 (Mother line of Hourly chart), 24534 and 24334.
Nifty Resistances Remain at: 24995, 25116, 25246 (Trend Line Resistance above which Bulls will be comfortable), 25405, 25544 and finally 25639.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty successful in breaking the falling pattern after 6 weeksNifty against all odds was successful in breaking the falling pattern after 6 weeks. However we are not out of danger yet. We need another positive weekly candle next week to confirm the reversal. As of now we do not know for sure that the low of last week that is 24337 is the bottom or bottom is yet to be made but anyway it was a great fight back against all odds of Trump Tariff Tantrum and the news of US's cozying up with our unfriendly neighbours.
Amongst all this noise the great news came this evening when S&P (Standard & Poor's global sovereign rating agency) which has changed outlook for India after 17 years this welcome change comes as India's rating improved to BBB from BBB- that is from Stable to Positive. This is for all the nay Sayers who doubted. India's long term outlook. The Tariff noise will go away in few weeks or months but Long term investors should look at buying and reshuffling the portfolios looking in tune with the tail winds.
Medium to short term supports and resistances for Nifty remain are as under:
With all this data coming in Support for Nifty remains at: 24334, 24032 (Mother line support of weekly chart), If this level is broken we may see Nifty falling temporarily towards 23318 or lower.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: 24644, 24868, 25260 (Key resistance level), 25442, 25660.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Lower High Lower Low forming in Nifty showing overall weakness. Today market showed some positive intent by reaching 24702 but could not sustain the levels and fell flat to close at 24487 giving up 215 points from the top. This proves that Nifty is continuously failing to sustain the momentum and after making a high seems to be plunging further and further. It seems to have become sell on bounce market. Every bounce is used by investors to exit theri positions. This is leads us into he current formation of lower highs and lower lows.
A change in pattern and formation is required for the market to go back to bullishness. The market seems to be waiting for some good news on Tariff front to spur the interest of retail investors. For this to happen a closing above the trend line is required. Right now market remains in a bear grip. Long term investors and dividend investors have an extended time to buy some stocks available at good value focus should be on the stocks that can maximize returns when the Bull rally begins. Buy in parts do not go all in at once as this market can present buying opportunities time and again.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 24339, 24185 and 23948. (Market may fall into total Bear grip if we get a closing below 23948.)
Resistances for Nifty remain at: 24566 (Mother line resistance of an hourly chart), 24734, 24829 (Father line resistance). 24936, 25106 and finally 25260. (Bulls will control the market after we get a weekly closing above 25260).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Good Bounce by Nifty from Technical RSI Support zone. We saw a good comeback and bounce by Nifty from a Technical RSI support zone which is around 33. We can by no means call this start of a Bull rally as of now. For Bull Rally to sustain we need a closing on Nifty above 24842. In such a scenario if we get a closing above 24842 the Bulls will feel comfortable. Bulls can breath easy only after we get a closing above 25256 zone. Above 25256 the Bulls can take control of the market. With Nuclear threats flowing around and still Tariff related issues prevailing it looks difficult for Bulls to take proper control of the market. The bounce we saw today can be credited to few reasons mentioned below:
1) Government announcement to support the sectors that will be most affected by Tariffs.
2) Some noises from within the Government to increase the spending to compensate for the GDP loss due to Tariff situation.
3) Silver lining in the clouds which are showing due to the upcoming Trump-Putin talks, Indian PM's proposed China visit.
4) RBI has allowed Indian banks to open special Vostro accounts to facilitate international trade settlements. (However if this has built positive sentiment is something which is yet to be fully understood). Also I am not an expert to understand the framework under which these accounts will work or how it will benefit our companies is a matter of economic experts to study.
With all this buildup the supports for Nifty remain at: 24343 and 24204. Below 24204 closing or weekly closing the Bears will take total control of the market and drag Nifty below 24K towards 23788 or 23223. Most important support remains at 24204 (Father line Support of Daily charts).
Nifty Resistances remain at: 24614, 24772, 25063 and finally 25256. Above 25256 Bulls can take control of the market and we will comment above further levels when we get there.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
important Fibonacci retracement level approaching for NiftyVery important fibonacci retracement level for Nifty is arriving with ever increasing Trump tantrum and Indian defiance to toe US and EU line on Russian Crude and other trade practises. Market looks delicately placed at this juncture as investors fear that action from the West would undermine Indian growth story. The current fall can be utilized for shifting the balance of the portfolio towards goods that will be 100% made in India and will be consumed in India. For long term investors the current fall can be used to accumulate long term investment ideas with a horizon of 2 to 3 years.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 24438 (Important Fibonacci support), 24190 (Father line support, closing below this will enable bears to pull down Nifty towards next supports), 23832 (Next Fibonacci support), 23045 (Major Fibonacci support).
Resistance for Nifty remain at: 24896 (Mother Line Support), 25231 (Next Fibonacci resistance. A closing above this level will enable bulls to pull Nifty towards next trend line resistance), 25666 (Next Trend line resistance).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Good comeback candle by Nifty today. Nifty fought back against the Tariff odds today and gained 157.4 points. The combination of Friday's candle and today's candle are forming a Bullish Harami kind of pattern. Harami in Japanese means pregnant woman. Usually this is a Bullish pattern but it requires a follow up positive candle in its support. So if we get a positive candle tomorrow then we can consider Friday's low as a good temporary support.
Supports for Nifty currently remain at: 24482 (Important Trend line resistance), 24317, 24186 (Father line support on daily chart), The zone between 23932 (final support, below this level Bears can take total control of the index).
Resistances for Nifty currently remain at: 24802, 24906 (Mother line resistance on daily chart), 25007, 25249-25346 (Important trend line resistance zone, a closing above 25346 will give control of the index to Bulls).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Reverse cup and Handle kind of structure formed in NiftyIn the short term time frame Nifty is seen to be forming reverse cup and handle kind of structure this is considered very bearish structure. However for this bear fest to manifest Nifty needs to close below 24543 or 24417. These 2 levels can save Nifty if not we will see it going into the bear grip.
Thus the most important supports for Nifty remain at 24543 and 24417. Below this level the supports for Nifty will be at 24248, 23989, 23789 and finally major support are is near 23442.
Important resistance areas for Nifty remain at 24652, 24821 (Mother Line Resistance), 24935, 25011 (Father Line Resistance), 25101 and finally 25249. Above 25249 Bulls can become very active.
Till the trade deal chess board and Tariffs do not relent or there is some other very important positive news Nifty will remain under pressure. Let us hope that 24253 or 24417 save us. Long term outlook on Nifty still remains positive. Long term investors should look at the tariff related event as a news that will slowly subside and give way to the Bullish outlook which has been prevailing in the market for decades all together.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Good turnaround by market as expected from the channel bottom.We had given a message that the market was nearing the bottom and there can be a turnaround sooner than later and market turned around today. This bounce can be currently seen as a technical bounce but it can become a full fledged fightback by bulls if it crosses key resistance levels of Mother line, Father line and Mid-channel resistance. These are the 3 key resistances in front of us currently. All eyes on the important trade deal announcements and with US and China which are on going any news on that from can disrupt the market proceedings in either way. Support and resistance levels for Nifty are as under:
Key Nifty Resistances: 24849 (Trend line resistance), 24922 (Motherline Resistance of hourly chart), 25028, 25070 (Father line resistance), 25189 (Mid-channel resistance), 25243 (Very important resistance for Bulls to conquer). Above 25243 Bulls can gain control of Nifty.
Key Support levels: 25741, 25627 (Channel bottom Support), 24519.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Bollinger band indicates that we might see a recovery soon. Bollinger band in a beautiful tool of Technical analysis. There are three lines in it. The upper bandwidth line, the middle line and the lower band width line.
As you can see in the chart. Whenever the stock or an index price touches or crosses the upper line the indication it gives is that the market is overbought and there is an imminent selling pressure.
Middle line indicates either resistance or support depending on the position of the candle within the band. It further indicates that Middle line will be support when the price is above it. It also indicates that middle Bollinger band will be a resistnace when the candles are below it.
Lower bandwidth line indicates a support zone. When the candles touch or cross it the indication it gives is that the market is oversold and there can be an imminent up move once this phenomenon happens.
Bollinger band in like a channel or a parallel chanel but a more accurate one and a more asymmetric one.
Currently you can see in the chart that Bollinger band has not only touched but also crossed the bottom bandwidth. This is an indication of an over sold market. Thus the indications we get from this tool are that there are very high chances for a short covering recovery or relief rally.
The indication is in sync with Tariff deadline which is tomorrow. Thus any positive announcement on that front can also initiate a strong or mild recovery rally. Thus we might see a bottom formation and recovery rather sooner than later.
Current Nifty closing is at:24680.
Upper band width is at: 25683 (This zone will work as strong resistance zone).
Mid Bandwidth is at: 25217 (This zone will be a Strong resistance).
Mother Line: 24942 (Strong Resistance).
Lower band width is at: 24750 (Weak Resistance).
Nearby support: 24501 (Support).
Father Line: 24157 (Strong Support).
It is a good time to reshuffle your Portfolios and initiate fresh buying in the blue-chip stocks which might be available at a good valuation.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.