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NQ

From -$450 to +450 to -$450 to +$350. Revenge trading example First 2 trades minus 200. Should have stopped. Wild swings from profit to loss to profit. Bad trading but good result. Lesson not learned. I'm using fixed range volume profile, overnight highs and lows, 9 and 21 ema's, and VWAP. I trade momentum with breaks and retests of key levels (explained in the video). Bear and bull flags. I tried to include screenshots of my Ninja execution screen and Apex PnL screen but they didn't come through.
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by BabyPip
1
NAS100 (Nasdaq) Key Levels and Probable Draw on LiquidityA clear bullish market structure driven by an aggressive upward displacement. This energetic move to the upside has created several price inefficiencies, or gaps, which are areas where price delivery was one sided. Currently, price is consolidating in a premium range, above the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg. The logical draw on liquidity, or the ultimate target for this bullish momentum, is the distinct old high labeled as the "d cisd level" (Daily change in the state of delivery). The market is likely reaching for this level to clear out any resting buy side orders. ‍ Before reaching that ultimate target, a retracement is a high probability event. Price may pull back to rebalance the inefficiency at the "4h cisd level", which should now act as a significant support area. This would represent a move back into a relative discount, offering a more favorable entry for buyers aiming for the highs. Should this level fail, a deeper retracement into the larger green zone labeled "OTE" would signify an optimal entry point within the overall bullish leg. The narrative remains bullish as long as these key lower levels of support are respected. The alternative path would likely have led to chasing price in a premium, resulting in a poor risk to reward entry. PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by TradeConfirmed
Nasdaq 100 (NQ) - Technical Analysis Report - 20250908Analysis Date: September 8, 2025 Current Price: 23,671 Market Session: Post-Market Analysis --- Executive Summary Nasdaq 100 presents a moderately extended equity position requiring defensive management, but with meaningful institutional support structure revealed through 3-quarter volume profile analysis. While trading above recent institutional accumulation, the presence of multiple quarterly POCs creates a more robust support framework than initially assessed. This positioning requires cautious defensive strategies rather than emergency liquidation, with clear institutional reference levels for risk management. --- Quarterly Volume Profile Analysis 3-Quarter Institutional Positioning Intelligence The 3-quarter volume profile (Q1-Q3 2025) reveals a complex but supportive institutional positioning pattern across multiple price ranges: Multi-Quarter Institutional Activity Zones: Q1 2025: Heavy blue institutional accumulation at 21,800-22,200 range Q2 2025: Substantial blue volume during correction at 19,800-20,500 range Q3 2025: Fresh institutional activity developing at 22,000-22,400 levels Current price (23,671) moderately extended above most recent institutional positioning Comprehensive Support Structure: Primary Support: 22,000-22,400 (Q1/Q3 institutional convergence zone) Secondary Support: 20,200-20,500 (Q2 correction accumulation) Extended Support: 19,500-20,000 (historical institutional floor) Current Extension: 6-8% above primary institutional zones (manageable vs. catastrophic) Institutional Pattern Analysis: 21,800-22,200: Q1 original institutional positioning validates current levels 19,800-20,500: Q2 correction buying shows institutional conviction during weakness 22,000-22,400: Q3 re-engagement demonstrates continued institutional participation Above 23,000: Moderate extension requiring defensive positioning Price Structure Context Historical Pattern Recognition: The 3-quarter analysis reveals continuous institutional engagement rather than abandonment, indicating healthy market structure with multiple layers of smart money support. This pattern suggests institutional rotation and repositioning rather than wholesale exit from technology exposure. Revised Risk Assessment: Moderate Extension: 6-8% above institutional levels vs. previously assessed 18%+ Multiple Support Layers: Three quarterly POCs provide robust institutional framework Institutional Continuity: Ongoing smart money participation throughout 2025 Risk Definition: Clear institutional boundaries at multiple levels for defensive management Sector Composition and Market Leadership Technology Sector Positioning: Artificial intelligence leadership driving institutional reallocation Mega-cap concentration providing stability and institutional interest Innovation premium supporting elevated valuation multiples Defensive technology characteristics during uncertain economic cycles --- Execution Chart Technical Analysis Current Technical Configuration - MIXED SIGNALS DEMA Analysis - MOMENTUM CONCERNS: Black Line (Fast DEMA 12): Currently at 23,671 Orange Line (Slow DEMA 20): Currently at 23,597 Configuration: Bullish but showing momentum deceleration Trend Bias: Technical momentum weakening despite continued bullish bias DMI/ADX Assessment - TREND MATURITY: ADX Level: Declining from previous highs, indicating mature trend phase +DI vs -DI: +DI maintaining slight edge but margin narrowing Momentum Direction: Signs of trend maturation after extended advance Trend Strength: Weakening ADX suggests institutional repositioning phase Stochastic Analysis - OVERBOUGHT BUT NOT EXTREME: Tactical Stochastic (5,3,3): Overbought with some negative divergence Strategic Stochastic (50,3,3): Extended levels but within historical norms Divergence Analysis: Moderate negative divergences suggesting consolidation need Support and Resistance Levels Critical Technical Levels: Current Resistance: 24,000 (psychological and technical barrier) Immediate Support: 23,400 (DEMA cluster support) Key Support: 22,800 (recent consolidation boundary) Major Support: 22,200 (Q1/Q3 institutional convergence) Critical Support: 20,500 (Q2 institutional accumulation) Ultimate Support: 19,500-20,000 (historical institutional floor) --- Trading Scenarios and Setup Criteria Scenario 1: Defensive Profit-Taking Setup (PRIMARY) Recommended Position Management: Systematic reduction of existing positions by 50-75% Profit-taking priority given moderate extension above institutional levels Maintain small tactical exposure with tight risk management Capital reallocation to higher-conviction institutional accumulation opportunities Profit-Taking Protocol: Primary Action: Reduce positions by 50-75% at current levels Secondary Reduction: Complete exit on failure to hold 22,500 support Stop Management: Trail stops using 22,200 institutional support Cash Allocation: Redirect capital to commodity opportunities with stronger institutional backing Scenario 2: Tactical Range Trading (SECONDARY) Range-Bound Management: Defined range: 22,200-23,800 (institutional support to resistance) Small position tactical trading within institutional boundaries Quick profit-taking on bounces toward 23,500-23,800 Defensive positioning on approaches to 22,200 support Range Parameters: Long Zone: 22,200-22,500 (institutional support approach) Short Zone: 23,600-23,800 (resistance approach) Stop Distance: 400-600 points maximum Position Size: Reduced allocation (1% account risk maximum) Scenario 3: Breakdown Management (DEFENSIVE) Support Violation Protocol: Break below 22,200 requires immediate position liquidation Institutional support violation indicates potential deeper correction Target return to 20,200-20,500 Q2 institutional accumulation Complete avoidance until clear institutional re-engagement Breakdown Parameters: Critical Level: 22,200 (institutional support) Action Required: Immediate exit of all positions Targets: 20,500, 20,000, 19,500 (institutional accumulation zones) Re-entry Criteria: New institutional accumulation evidence required --- Risk Management Protocols Position Sizing Guidelines Defensive Approach (Recommended): Maximum Risk: 1.5% of account (reduced from standard due to extension) Contract Calculation: Account Size × 0.015 ÷ (Stop Distance × $5) Example: $100,000 account with 500-point stop = 40 contracts maximum Rationale: Extended positioning requires conservative allocation Stop Loss Hierarchy Tactical Stop: 23,200 (execution chart support cluster) Strategic Stop: 22,200 (institutional support boundary) Emergency Stop: 20,500 (Q2 institutional accumulation violation) Portfolio Management Framework Defensive Positioning Strategy: Current Holdings: Reduce exposure by 50-75% New Positions: Limited tactical exposure only Capital Reallocation: Redirect to institutional accumulation opportunities (NG, CL, 6E) Monitoring Frequency: Daily assessment of institutional level respect --- Market Context and External Factors Technology Sector Fundamental Assessment Supporting Factors: Artificial intelligence revolution driving institutional reallocation Productivity gains supporting elevated valuation multiples Defensive growth characteristics during economic uncertainty Innovation leadership providing competitive advantages Risk Factors: Interest rate sensitivity affecting growth stock premiums Regulatory scrutiny on mega-cap technology companies Valuation concerns at current extension levels Economic cycle sensitivity for discretionary technology spending Institutional Investment Trends Smart Money Positioning: Continued institutional engagement evidenced by Q3 volume activity Rotation within technology rather than wholesale sector exit Quality focus on mega-cap names with defensive characteristics AI theme driving strategic institutional reallocation --- Monitoring Checklist and Alert Levels Daily Monitoring Requirements Institutional Respect: Monitor behavior at 22,200 support boundary DEMA Configuration: Watch for momentum deterioration or bearish crossover Volume Analysis: Track institutional activity at current levels Sector Rotation: Monitor technology vs defensive sector performance Policy Impact: Federal Reserve decisions affecting growth stock valuations Critical Alert Levels Risk Escalation Alerts: Break below 22,200 institutional support with volume DEMA bearish crossover below 23,400 ADX declining below 20 with -DI gaining dominance Technology sector rotation accelerating toward defensives Defensive Action Triggers: Multiple failures to break above 24,000 resistance Volume decline on any rally attempts above 23,500 Institutional selling evidence (yellow volume) at current levels Federal Reserve policy shifts affecting interest rate outlook --- Strategic Outlook and Risk Assessment Risk/Reward Analysis Moderate Risk Profile: Upside Potential: Limited 500-1,000 points to major resistance Downside Risk: 1,500-3,000 points to institutional accumulation zones Risk/Reward Ratio: Unfavorable 1:2+ downside bias Probability Assessment: Moderate (35%) for further upside, High (65%) for correction Portfolio Allocation Recommendation Defensive Management Required Nasdaq 100 requires defensive positioning due to moderate extension above institutional levels, but the presence of multiple quarterly POCs provides meaningful support structure. While not emergency territory, the asymmetric risk profile favors systematic profit-taking and capital reallocation to higher-conviction opportunities with stronger institutional backing. The 3-quarter analysis reveals ongoing institutional engagement, allowing for tactical exposure with proper risk management. Allocation Framework: Current Portfolio Weight: Reduce to 8-12% maximum (from higher previous levels) Entry Method: Limited tactical positions only until institutional re-accumulation Hold Period: Short-term tactical only, systematic profit-taking Exit Strategy: Defensive reduction with 22,200 as critical support --- Conclusion and Strategic Assessment Nasdaq 100 analysis demonstrates the importance of comprehensive timeframe evaluation in institutional intelligence assessment. The 3-quarter volume profile reveals a more nuanced risk picture than initially assessed, showing continued institutional engagement across multiple price levels. While defensive positioning remains appropriate due to moderate extension, the presence of multiple institutional support layers allows for tactical exposure rather than complete avoidance. Current conditions warrant systematic profit-taking with clear institutional boundaries for risk management. Strategic Priority: Defensive positioning with systematic profit-taking while respecting institutional support levels at 22,200 and 20,500 as critical risk management boundaries. Next Review: Daily monitoring of institutional level respect and momentum indicators Position Management: Systematic reduction with defensive stops at institutional boundaries --- Important Disclaimer Risk Warning and Educational Purpose Statement This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. All trading and investment decisions are solely the responsibility of the individual trader or investor. Key Risk Considerations: Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors Past performance does not guarantee future results Market conditions can change rapidly, invalidating any analysis Leverage can amplify both profits and losses significantly Individual financial circumstances and risk tolerance vary greatly Professional Guidance: Before making any trading decisions, consult with qualified financial advisors, conduct your own research, and ensure you fully understand the risks involved. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Methodology Limitations: Volume profile analysis and technical indicators are tools for market assessment but are not infallible predictors of future price movement. Market dynamics include numerous variables that cannot be fully captured in any single analytical framework. The views and analysis presented represent one interpretation of market data and should be considered alongside other forms of analysis and individual judgment.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by mxb1961
Is Nasdaq still Bullish?I’m still sensing bullish momentum on Nasdaq. My expectation is for price to retrace back into this week’s NWOG before making a push toward last week’s NWOG and the 1-hour gap at 23,583.00. There’s also a possibility we dip to fill the gap at 23,400.00 first, but if that scenario plays out, I don’t see price maintaining its bullish momentum afterward. On the weekly chart, price continues to strongly respect the Bullish OB formed in the first week of August. As long as this level holds, I expect momentum to carry us higher in the near term. We'll see tomorrow morning⚡
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by GeneralJWS
2
NQ - Nasdaq Short Playbook for the next weeksIn the NQ, they took out the high and then hit it on the head day by day. It finally stopped below the 1/4 line. If you look closely, you see that this was the slanted zone of Support — just like the slanted Resistance. "As above, so below." ...write me in the comments who said this already a couple hundred years ago §8-) The small Modified Schiff Fork tells a story too. Price reached the Center Line and got rejected. Now it's on its way down towards the small Fork's L-MLH. A break of it would indicate further selling ahead. And the last bastion is the green support level, which stems from the second-to-last prior confirmed Swing Low. Beyond this level, it's only a question of time before price hits the Center Line. And — God forbid — below the Center Line, the Sh...t hits the fan. So you better run... behind price with a decent short trade and ride it down to the Abyss. No worries, I'm with you §8-) Happy Monday, folks!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
Current Price Action All MarketsWanted to share a picture of the daily TF price action of the major markets. 1) August has been a very slow market for forex. Nothing but chop... Especially over the last 3 weeks., 2)Stocks and gold have seen a slow grinding uptrend., Each market is unique in its own right and benefits not only different types of traders, but also different setups perform better during specific market conditions. It's essential to trade various types of market conditions to suit your style, as well as when you perform at your best and worst.
TVC:DXY
by MoneyballAustin
Nasdaq Pulls Back After Friday’s Rally: Identifying Demand ZoneYesterday, the Nasdaq underwent a pullback following a robust bullish surge on Friday. During this correction, a fresh Daily Demand Zone emerged on the chart, signaling potential support levels. Traders are now eyeing this area as an opportunity to position for a possible new high, should the market retrace further today. The current outlook favors a long setup, with anticipation of a continued upward move contingent on the price respecting the identified demand zone. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NQ1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by FOREXN1
1
Nasdaq - Intraday Setup & Potential TradePrice was not abel to trade out of the white forks U-MLH and got constantly rejected. It cracked the little support and fell down, but missed the white Centerline, creating a HAGOPIAN. Then price traded outside of the white fork, following a textbook test/retest at the white U-MLH and found support. The yellow fork points upwards, showing us the most probable path of price. Going long near the white U-MLH gives us several potential targets: 1. the orange Centerline 2 the yellow Centerline 3. the HAGOPIAN target line. 4. the orange U-MLH Stops would be below the last red bars low, because this, as of the time of writing, is the best structural level to hide behind. I'm off to the mountains, have a happy trading day!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-22 : Is This The Top?This is a follow-up to my recent video to help answer questions and to share my analysis of the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and Bitcoin for all viewers. This video also addresses the tools I use to stay on top of the swings in price movement and highlights why I believe the markets may continue to unwind from these lofty highs. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4
Is this the top? SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-20I know it has been a while since I shared a video. This video is designed to share the downside risks I see as a potential for the markets IF this big speculative phase unwinds like I think. Ultimately, you guys are the ones who will be making the trading decisions. I just want you to be aware that the markets are extremely volatile right now and the data is pointing to a very clean Excess Phase Peak (EPP) pattern. As you are all aware, the EPP pattern suggests that a breakdown in price is likely where price may attempt to target the FLAG LOW. If that happens, be prepared for a -15% to -20% breakdown in price before the end of 2025 - possibly seeing an even bigger price collapse. In my opinion, this breakdown is the result of a broad unwinding of excesses related to the Biden economy (free money) and a move towards more reasonable US economic policies. Overall, this pullback is necessary for the Wave 1 of Wave 5 structure to complete. Once this pullback is complete, the bigger rally phase (Wave 3 of Wave 5) will begin. And get ready for a big rally phase with Wave 3. So, I hope this video helps you learn how to identify and plan for some of the biggest price swings in the SPY/QQQ, and prepare for even bigger moves in Gold/Silver and Bitcoin. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
FX:NAS100Short
by BradMatheny
13
NQ – Nasdaq follows the witch’s SPY prophecyNot only is the S&P 500 following the oracle in the SPY, but the Nasdaq has also given us a short signal. So, the scenario is the same as with SPY: short down to the Centerline. For the indicator traders, I’ve also added the EMA(10) and EMA(20). Look at how well they’ve provided support so far. If the EMA(20) cracks, things will get hot. And if the CIB line (Change In Behavior) also breaks, then all hell breaks loose! As already mentioned in the SPY post, it wouldn’t be a shame to take at least 50% of the profits you’ve accumulated so far. Because if it goes further up, e.g. above the U-MLH, you still have 50% left to benefit. If it goes down, we’ve already bagged 50%. BTW: At the 1/4 line, we can usually expect support. Exciting times, when maybe it’s better to sit still and keep your hands to yourself. I’ll create the YT video with details tomorrow. Happy profits to you all!
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
2
MNQ Trade IdeaCurrent Price: 23,796 (Green Line) Setup Analysis Price is approaching the Buy Signal level with defined premium zones. Current positioning suggests potential for upward momentum from key support levels. Trade Parameters • Buy Entry: 23,827 (Buy Signal Level) • Target 1 (TP1): 23,946 • Target 2 (TP2): 24,065 • Stop Loss: 23,608 • Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2.5 to 1:4 Key Premium Zones • Premium Buy Area: 23,707 - 23,608 • Premium Sell Area: 24,064 - 24,163 Trading Strategy 🔍 Price Action Focus: Observe price behavior at all key levels: • Buy Entry (23,827): Wait for confirmation before entering • TP1 (23,946): Monitor for continuation or reversal signals • TP2 (24,065): Watch price action near premium sell zone • SL (23,608): Respect the stop loss level 💡 Flexible Approach: • Entry decisions should be based on price action at these levels • Consider short-term reversal trades at key levels with appropriate position sizing • Premium zones offer opportunities for counter-trend plays with proper risk management ⚠️ Risk Management: • Position size appropriately for your account • Honor your stop loss at all times • Take partial profits at TP1 • Adjust position size for reversal trades in premium zones This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always do your own research.
CME_MINI:MNQU2025Long
by muhammadanas410
2
NASDAQ After the Fireworks: Bearish Setup LoadedAfter the classic 4th of July rally, I stepped in on the short side of Nasdaq, targeting 22,000 and 21,400 zones. The market structure shows exhaustion, and with the cloud retest failing to hold new highs, I positioned accordingly. Technical: • Price stalled at prior expansion highs with tight compression near 23,000. • Daily FibCloud offered resistance confirmation. • Bearish risk-reward skew forms after extended rally and thin retraces. • Volume divergence spotted. Fundamentals: Multiple overlapping uncertainties: • Trump confirmed tariffs will take effect on August 1, threatening a 10% surcharge on BRICS-aligned nations. • Treasury Secretary Bessent anticipates several trade deal announcements within 48h—but stresses quality over quantity. • Bank of America maintains its base case of 0 rate cuts in 2025, citing strong economic data and sticky inflation risks. The combination of tariff escalation, hawkish monetary expectations, and global trade friction creates a perfect backdrop for volatility and correction—especially in overextended tech indices like the Nasdaq. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AR33_
NQ Short Bias: Previous NWOG RejectionI missed today’s sell-off by 60 ticks, but price respected Monthly Open support and retraced back near intraday highs. That reaction reinforces my bias: I’m still anticipating the dump that will likely happen tomorrow. Ideally, price completes the Double Top within the prior NWOG zone, then falls slightly before or exactly at NY Open for a clean downhill ride. My entry will be at 23,685.00 Target will be around the low 23,300.00s I feel like we can definitely fall further than my target, so I will have trailing Stop in place once price reaches my target. Lets see how this goes⚡
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by GeneralJWS
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-5This short video is to provide my followers with an update. I'm still here. I'm still working on projects and new TV code. I have developed a couple of new strategies that I like and that seem to continue to perform. Overall, I'm still doing my best to deliver superior analysis/results for my followers. This video covers the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and BTCUSD (plus extras). Hope you are all getting some great profits from these moves. GET SOME. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
11
NQ | NASDAQ - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context: The market is pricing in a potential 0.25% rate cut in the September FOMC meeting, keeping the overall structure bullish. Although we saw a retracement after the Non-Farm Employment Change came in weaker than expected, bullish sentiment remains intact. Currently, market sentiment has shifted to neutral from last week’s greed. Augusts are often choppy and prone to retracement/accumulation, but structurally, bulls still hold the upper hand. 🧾 Weekly Recap: • NQ started the week strong with price discovery, pushing higher from Monday to Thursday. • Eventually, price ran a key 4H swing liquidity, which led to another all-time high. • That move was followed by the start of a healthy retracement, signaling short-term distribution. 📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan: → I'm expecting price to run into the Monthly Fair Value Gap — a major liquidity magnet in my model. → That move could generate significant bullish energy — at least a short-term bounce, if not a full reversal. → Until then, I remain bearish targeting 22,583 (my marked black line). 🎯 Setup Trigger: After price takes 22,583, I’ll watch for: • 4H–1H break of structure (BOS) • Formation of fresh demand zones → Upon LTF confirmation, I’ll look to go long aiming for another test of all-time highs. 📋 Trade Management: • Stoploss: Below the 1H–4H demand zone • Target: Trailing stop strategy; aggressive profit-taking on the way up • Note: Final target could be all-time highs, but I’ll manage the position actively 💬 Like, follow, and comment if this outlook adds value to your trading. Educational content and more setups are coming soon — stay tuned!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL