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Nq!!

QSI: Algorithm's Unfinished Business/Repricing to balance priceNASDAQ:QSI Quantum-Si Incorporated The recent, deliberate raid below the September lows was the final scene of the second act. This was not a random dip. It was a calculated and necessary purge of sellside liquidity. The algorithm's objective was to absorb the shares of panicked sellers and to trigger the stop loss orders of early, weak-handed buyers. That objective has now been achieved. The annotation "sellside liquidity taken" is not a historical note. It is the starting gun for the third and final act. With the downside fuel consumed, the algorithm's directive has been re-written. Its sights are no longer pointed down. They are now locked on the vast, untapped reservoirs of buyside liquidity resting at higher prices. The price action is not merely recovering. It is responding to a new, clear, and institutionally sponsored mandate. The path of least resistance has been fundamentally altered. The question is no longer if the price will rise. The only question is how violently it will do so. You have correctly identified the key landmarks on this new map. The "Relative Equal Highs" at 2.35 are not a ceiling. They are a luminous, magnetic target. This level represents a giant pool of buy-side stops from traders who shorted the previous rallies. Their fear is the algorithm's fuel. Their pain is the algorithm's profit. This is the first, most obvious draw on liquidity. It is a place the algorithm must visit. But it is not the final destination. It is merely a waypoint on a much grander journey. ​ The Critical Vector is to understand the true, ultimate objective of this entire price campaign. The algorithm is a creature of efficiency and balance. It abhors a vacuum. The annotation "Start of the unbalanced move" points to the single most important event on this entire chart. That massive, vertical price spike in early 2021 was not just a rally. It was the creation of a profound and violent pricing inefficiency. It was a causal scar. It left a massive informational void in its wake. The entire year and a half of subsequent price action, including the recent purge of sellside liquidity, has been a single, extended process of accumulating energy. It has been the market coiling a spring. Now, the spring is being released. The purpose of this release is to return to the origin of the crime. The algorithm is compelled to return to that zone of imbalance to rebalance its books. Your annotation "Price rebalance level" at 2.78 is not just a target. It is the point of cosmic justice for this instrument. It is the level at which the story that began in 2021 finds its logical conclusion. The path is clear. The current rally is the initial assault. It will first target the Relative Equal Highs at 2.35. This will be a violent move, designed to induce a short squeeze and create a state of maximum FOMO. Expect a minor consolidation or retracement after this level is purged. This is the algorithm shaking out the last of the weak hands. It is the final opportunity to get on board before the true repricing begins. From there, the algorithm will have a clear and unimpeded path to the ultimate objective. The final, explosive leg of this rally will target the Price rebalance level at 2.78. This is the primary, institutionally sponsored destination. It is the point to which all price is currently being drawn. ​ The Ascendant Principle is that you must learn to read a chart not as a two-dimensional history of price, but as a three-dimensional ledger of algorithmic debt and credit. Every violent, one-sided move creates a debt on the algorithm's books. This is an imbalance. It is an inefficiency. It is a promise that must eventually be kept. The larger and more violent the move, the larger the debt. The massive, unbalanced spike from 2021 was the algorithm taking out a colossal loan of inefficiency. Every subsequent price swing, every consolidation, every liquidity purge, has been the algorithm meticulously gathering the resources needed to repay that loan. The purge of sellside liquidity was the final payment on the interest. It was the signal that the algorithm now has the capital and the mandate to settle the principal. The "target" is not a guess. It is the location of the creditor. The price is not "going up". It is being recalled, with gravitational force, to the scene of its original level. When you understand this, you stop predicting. You start seeing the inevitable. You see the chart as a narrative of cause and effect playing out over vast stretches of time. The cause was the imbalance. The effect will be the rebalancing. The Relative Equal Highs are simply the last gatekeeper before the final, violent settlement of this ancient, algorithmic debt. You are not chasing a rally. You are witnessing the final chapter of a story that was written years ago. The ending has already been decided. The only variable was the timing. The purge of sellside liquidity has now confirmed that the time is now. The alternative path would likely have led to viewing the Relative Equal Highs as "resistance" to be sold, an error that fails to comprehend the true, long-term objective of the price delivery algorithm. For educational purposes only.
NASDAQ:QSI
by TradeConfirmed
Bearish Outlook on NQ📉 Bearish Outlook on NQ After completing the manipulation phase, NQ has tapped perfectly into the Bearish FVG (1H) zone around 25,366.45 – 25,392.25, sweeping both SSLs in the process. This confirms premium-level distribution, suggesting the market is ready for a downside move. Scenario 1 – Primary (Bearish Bias): Price rejects from the Bearish FVG 1H, fails to reclaim 25,366.45, and begins its descent. Liquidity below the BSL at 25,293.65 becomes the first target, followed by a clean run toward 25,264.95, completing a liquidity sweep below recent lows. Scenario 2 – Rejection & Re-Test: A short-term push above 25,330.55 (NAS100FT) to re-test the Bearish FVG 1H could offer another entry opportunity before the drop resumes toward 25,293.65 and 25,264.95. Scenario 3 – Deep Liquidity Grab Before Reversal: Should price tap deeper into the Bullish FVG 4H, we could see a final liquidity sweep below 25,264.95 before a stronger bullish reaction emerges. 🎯 Overall Bias: Bearish — targeting liquidity below 25,293.65 and 25,264.95. Manipulation phase complete, distribution underway. Follow and like for more. Greetings, MrYounity
FUSIONMARKETS:NAS100Short
by MrYounity
Final sell off ahead of FOMC | Head n ShouldersI believe price will stage one final sell-off before resuming its push toward higher highs. On the 4H chart, a potential Head & Shoulders pattern is forming, suggesting price may fill the hourly gap at 24,856 before or during the FOMC release. The 15-minute chart offers a more precise entry compared to the 1H and 4H timeframes. I plan to enter within the 25,149–25,150 price range, provided my bias remains valid heading into the New York open. Lets get it!⚡
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by GeneralJWS
2
Market on Fire: S&P 500 & Nasdaq Rally Towards New HighsWe have a beautiful P-Shape volume profile formed at the top and we broke and closed above it. The P-shape volume profile is bullish profile that is formed when large volumes are transacted at the highs meaning participants a willing to pay premium price . You can see the POC so close to the top of the VAH I checked the CVD of the volume on a footprint chart and i see the volume has -ve Delta , which means alot of aggressive sellers transacted there trying to push the price down. Now that they are being squeezed slowly and start closing out their positions, it should fuel the uptrend. i entered the trade soon as we broke and closed above the value area. Food for thought.. Who was willing to pay the high price to buy from the aggressive sellers? DEFINITIONS POC- point of control VAH- Value area high CVD- Cumulative Volume Delta Target is the ExoFade area..Lets see how this trade goes
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by ExoProtocol
NAS100 (15-Minute Timeframe)🔍 Key Levels to Watch: Bullish Setup 👇: After a dip in price, we've seen potential accumulation at the 15-minute FVG (Fair Value Gap), setting up for a possible bounce. 🟢 Bearish Resistance ⬆️: Price is currently interacting with a 1-hour Bearish FVG, with potential for further downside if resistance holds. ⛔️ 🔵 Potential Trade Plan: Look for a Pullback: Price could retrace to the higher time-frame resistance zones around 24,791.45 (HTFL) or 24,786.45. Key Entry Points: Focus on price action near the 15-minute FVG, which may give us a clearer bullish confirmation. 🟢 Target Zones: Aiming for 24,791.45 and higher based on overall momentum. 🔥 Stay alert and trade wisely! Always use proper risk management. Greetings, MrYounity
VANTAGE:NAS100FTLong
by MrYounity
Nasdaq Pulls Back After Friday’s Rally: Identifying Demand ZoneYesterday, the Nasdaq underwent a pullback following a robust bullish surge on Friday. During this correction, a fresh Daily Demand Zone emerged on the chart, signaling potential support levels. Traders are now eyeing this area as an opportunity to position for a possible new high, should the market retrace further today. The current outlook favors a long setup, with anticipation of a continued upward move contingent on the price respecting the identified demand zone. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NQ1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by FOREXN1
3
From -$450 to +450 to -$450 to +$350. Revenge trading example First 2 trades minus 200. Should have stopped. Wild swings from profit to loss to profit. Bad trading but good result. Lesson not learned. I'm using fixed range volume profile, overnight highs and lows, 9 and 21 ema's, and VWAP. I trade momentum with breaks and retests of key levels (explained in the video). Bear and bull flags. I tried to include screenshots of my Ninja execution screen and Apex PnL screen but they didn't come through.
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by BabyPip
1
NAS100 (Nasdaq) Key Levels and Probable Draw on LiquidityA clear bullish market structure driven by an aggressive upward displacement. This energetic move to the upside has created several price inefficiencies, or gaps, which are areas where price delivery was one sided. Currently, price is consolidating in a premium range, above the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg. The logical draw on liquidity, or the ultimate target for this bullish momentum, is the distinct old high labeled as the "d cisd level" (Daily change in the state of delivery). The market is likely reaching for this level to clear out any resting buy side orders. ‍ Before reaching that ultimate target, a retracement is a high probability event. Price may pull back to rebalance the inefficiency at the "4h cisd level", which should now act as a significant support area. This would represent a move back into a relative discount, offering a more favorable entry for buyers aiming for the highs. Should this level fail, a deeper retracement into the larger green zone labeled "OTE" would signify an optimal entry point within the overall bullish leg. The narrative remains bullish as long as these key lower levels of support are respected. The alternative path would likely have led to chasing price in a premium, resulting in a poor risk to reward entry. PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by TradeConfirmed
Nasdaq 100 (NQ) - Technical Analysis Report - 20250908Analysis Date: September 8, 2025 Current Price: 23,671 Market Session: Post-Market Analysis --- Executive Summary Nasdaq 100 presents a moderately extended equity position requiring defensive management, but with meaningful institutional support structure revealed through 3-quarter volume profile analysis. While trading above recent institutional accumulation, the presence of multiple quarterly POCs creates a more robust support framework than initially assessed. This positioning requires cautious defensive strategies rather than emergency liquidation, with clear institutional reference levels for risk management. --- Quarterly Volume Profile Analysis 3-Quarter Institutional Positioning Intelligence The 3-quarter volume profile (Q1-Q3 2025) reveals a complex but supportive institutional positioning pattern across multiple price ranges: Multi-Quarter Institutional Activity Zones: Q1 2025: Heavy blue institutional accumulation at 21,800-22,200 range Q2 2025: Substantial blue volume during correction at 19,800-20,500 range Q3 2025: Fresh institutional activity developing at 22,000-22,400 levels Current price (23,671) moderately extended above most recent institutional positioning Comprehensive Support Structure: Primary Support: 22,000-22,400 (Q1/Q3 institutional convergence zone) Secondary Support: 20,200-20,500 (Q2 correction accumulation) Extended Support: 19,500-20,000 (historical institutional floor) Current Extension: 6-8% above primary institutional zones (manageable vs. catastrophic) Institutional Pattern Analysis: 21,800-22,200: Q1 original institutional positioning validates current levels 19,800-20,500: Q2 correction buying shows institutional conviction during weakness 22,000-22,400: Q3 re-engagement demonstrates continued institutional participation Above 23,000: Moderate extension requiring defensive positioning Price Structure Context Historical Pattern Recognition: The 3-quarter analysis reveals continuous institutional engagement rather than abandonment, indicating healthy market structure with multiple layers of smart money support. This pattern suggests institutional rotation and repositioning rather than wholesale exit from technology exposure. Revised Risk Assessment: Moderate Extension: 6-8% above institutional levels vs. previously assessed 18%+ Multiple Support Layers: Three quarterly POCs provide robust institutional framework Institutional Continuity: Ongoing smart money participation throughout 2025 Risk Definition: Clear institutional boundaries at multiple levels for defensive management Sector Composition and Market Leadership Technology Sector Positioning: Artificial intelligence leadership driving institutional reallocation Mega-cap concentration providing stability and institutional interest Innovation premium supporting elevated valuation multiples Defensive technology characteristics during uncertain economic cycles --- Execution Chart Technical Analysis Current Technical Configuration - MIXED SIGNALS DEMA Analysis - MOMENTUM CONCERNS: Black Line (Fast DEMA 12): Currently at 23,671 Orange Line (Slow DEMA 20): Currently at 23,597 Configuration: Bullish but showing momentum deceleration Trend Bias: Technical momentum weakening despite continued bullish bias DMI/ADX Assessment - TREND MATURITY: ADX Level: Declining from previous highs, indicating mature trend phase +DI vs -DI: +DI maintaining slight edge but margin narrowing Momentum Direction: Signs of trend maturation after extended advance Trend Strength: Weakening ADX suggests institutional repositioning phase Stochastic Analysis - OVERBOUGHT BUT NOT EXTREME: Tactical Stochastic (5,3,3): Overbought with some negative divergence Strategic Stochastic (50,3,3): Extended levels but within historical norms Divergence Analysis: Moderate negative divergences suggesting consolidation need Support and Resistance Levels Critical Technical Levels: Current Resistance: 24,000 (psychological and technical barrier) Immediate Support: 23,400 (DEMA cluster support) Key Support: 22,800 (recent consolidation boundary) Major Support: 22,200 (Q1/Q3 institutional convergence) Critical Support: 20,500 (Q2 institutional accumulation) Ultimate Support: 19,500-20,000 (historical institutional floor) --- Trading Scenarios and Setup Criteria Scenario 1: Defensive Profit-Taking Setup (PRIMARY) Recommended Position Management: Systematic reduction of existing positions by 50-75% Profit-taking priority given moderate extension above institutional levels Maintain small tactical exposure with tight risk management Capital reallocation to higher-conviction institutional accumulation opportunities Profit-Taking Protocol: Primary Action: Reduce positions by 50-75% at current levels Secondary Reduction: Complete exit on failure to hold 22,500 support Stop Management: Trail stops using 22,200 institutional support Cash Allocation: Redirect capital to commodity opportunities with stronger institutional backing Scenario 2: Tactical Range Trading (SECONDARY) Range-Bound Management: Defined range: 22,200-23,800 (institutional support to resistance) Small position tactical trading within institutional boundaries Quick profit-taking on bounces toward 23,500-23,800 Defensive positioning on approaches to 22,200 support Range Parameters: Long Zone: 22,200-22,500 (institutional support approach) Short Zone: 23,600-23,800 (resistance approach) Stop Distance: 400-600 points maximum Position Size: Reduced allocation (1% account risk maximum) Scenario 3: Breakdown Management (DEFENSIVE) Support Violation Protocol: Break below 22,200 requires immediate position liquidation Institutional support violation indicates potential deeper correction Target return to 20,200-20,500 Q2 institutional accumulation Complete avoidance until clear institutional re-engagement Breakdown Parameters: Critical Level: 22,200 (institutional support) Action Required: Immediate exit of all positions Targets: 20,500, 20,000, 19,500 (institutional accumulation zones) Re-entry Criteria: New institutional accumulation evidence required --- Risk Management Protocols Position Sizing Guidelines Defensive Approach (Recommended): Maximum Risk: 1.5% of account (reduced from standard due to extension) Contract Calculation: Account Size × 0.015 ÷ (Stop Distance × $5) Example: $100,000 account with 500-point stop = 40 contracts maximum Rationale: Extended positioning requires conservative allocation Stop Loss Hierarchy Tactical Stop: 23,200 (execution chart support cluster) Strategic Stop: 22,200 (institutional support boundary) Emergency Stop: 20,500 (Q2 institutional accumulation violation) Portfolio Management Framework Defensive Positioning Strategy: Current Holdings: Reduce exposure by 50-75% New Positions: Limited tactical exposure only Capital Reallocation: Redirect to institutional accumulation opportunities (NG, CL, 6E) Monitoring Frequency: Daily assessment of institutional level respect --- Market Context and External Factors Technology Sector Fundamental Assessment Supporting Factors: Artificial intelligence revolution driving institutional reallocation Productivity gains supporting elevated valuation multiples Defensive growth characteristics during economic uncertainty Innovation leadership providing competitive advantages Risk Factors: Interest rate sensitivity affecting growth stock premiums Regulatory scrutiny on mega-cap technology companies Valuation concerns at current extension levels Economic cycle sensitivity for discretionary technology spending Institutional Investment Trends Smart Money Positioning: Continued institutional engagement evidenced by Q3 volume activity Rotation within technology rather than wholesale sector exit Quality focus on mega-cap names with defensive characteristics AI theme driving strategic institutional reallocation --- Monitoring Checklist and Alert Levels Daily Monitoring Requirements Institutional Respect: Monitor behavior at 22,200 support boundary DEMA Configuration: Watch for momentum deterioration or bearish crossover Volume Analysis: Track institutional activity at current levels Sector Rotation: Monitor technology vs defensive sector performance Policy Impact: Federal Reserve decisions affecting growth stock valuations Critical Alert Levels Risk Escalation Alerts: Break below 22,200 institutional support with volume DEMA bearish crossover below 23,400 ADX declining below 20 with -DI gaining dominance Technology sector rotation accelerating toward defensives Defensive Action Triggers: Multiple failures to break above 24,000 resistance Volume decline on any rally attempts above 23,500 Institutional selling evidence (yellow volume) at current levels Federal Reserve policy shifts affecting interest rate outlook --- Strategic Outlook and Risk Assessment Risk/Reward Analysis Moderate Risk Profile: Upside Potential: Limited 500-1,000 points to major resistance Downside Risk: 1,500-3,000 points to institutional accumulation zones Risk/Reward Ratio: Unfavorable 1:2+ downside bias Probability Assessment: Moderate (35%) for further upside, High (65%) for correction Portfolio Allocation Recommendation Defensive Management Required Nasdaq 100 requires defensive positioning due to moderate extension above institutional levels, but the presence of multiple quarterly POCs provides meaningful support structure. While not emergency territory, the asymmetric risk profile favors systematic profit-taking and capital reallocation to higher-conviction opportunities with stronger institutional backing. The 3-quarter analysis reveals ongoing institutional engagement, allowing for tactical exposure with proper risk management. Allocation Framework: Current Portfolio Weight: Reduce to 8-12% maximum (from higher previous levels) Entry Method: Limited tactical positions only until institutional re-accumulation Hold Period: Short-term tactical only, systematic profit-taking Exit Strategy: Defensive reduction with 22,200 as critical support --- Conclusion and Strategic Assessment Nasdaq 100 analysis demonstrates the importance of comprehensive timeframe evaluation in institutional intelligence assessment. The 3-quarter volume profile reveals a more nuanced risk picture than initially assessed, showing continued institutional engagement across multiple price levels. While defensive positioning remains appropriate due to moderate extension, the presence of multiple institutional support layers allows for tactical exposure rather than complete avoidance. Current conditions warrant systematic profit-taking with clear institutional boundaries for risk management. Strategic Priority: Defensive positioning with systematic profit-taking while respecting institutional support levels at 22,200 and 20,500 as critical risk management boundaries. Next Review: Daily monitoring of institutional level respect and momentum indicators Position Management: Systematic reduction with defensive stops at institutional boundaries --- Important Disclaimer Risk Warning and Educational Purpose Statement This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. All trading and investment decisions are solely the responsibility of the individual trader or investor. Key Risk Considerations: Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors Past performance does not guarantee future results Market conditions can change rapidly, invalidating any analysis Leverage can amplify both profits and losses significantly Individual financial circumstances and risk tolerance vary greatly Professional Guidance: Before making any trading decisions, consult with qualified financial advisors, conduct your own research, and ensure you fully understand the risks involved. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Methodology Limitations: Volume profile analysis and technical indicators are tools for market assessment but are not infallible predictors of future price movement. Market dynamics include numerous variables that cannot be fully captured in any single analytical framework. The views and analysis presented represent one interpretation of market data and should be considered alongside other forms of analysis and individual judgment.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by mxb1961
Is Nasdaq still Bullish?I’m still sensing bullish momentum on Nasdaq. My expectation is for price to retrace back into this week’s NWOG before making a push toward last week’s NWOG and the 1-hour gap at 23,583.00. There’s also a possibility we dip to fill the gap at 23,400.00 first, but if that scenario plays out, I don’t see price maintaining its bullish momentum afterward. On the weekly chart, price continues to strongly respect the Bullish OB formed in the first week of August. As long as this level holds, I expect momentum to carry us higher in the near term. We'll see tomorrow morning⚡
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by GeneralJWS
2