Nq!!
If Nasdaq can crack the pressure line then...🔱 We have a Hagopian on the down-move. 🔱
Price was (so far) not able to reach the L-MLH of the red fork.
If buyers can eat through the pressure cheese, then the Long-Play is on.
Most often we see price breaking the pressure line and then coming back to it, scaring out the early longs, just to rush upwards again. So don’t panic if this happens. Place a proper stop and you're good.
As for targets, there is the red Centerline and the white Centerline.
On a break of the red CL, we have a high chance to see the same scenario as with the pressure line: UP-Down-MoreUp.
First snow in Switzerland arrived and Santa is preparing the reindeer to bring us some dough ;-)
Wish you all a profitable Friday.
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (20 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears neutral to bullish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which previously contributed to selling pressure and hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, updated economic data will begin to flow again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could support renewed bullish momentum.
NVDA beat earnings expectations and addressed AI bubble concerns clearly. AI demand remains strong, and their revenue growth continues to accelerate. U.S. tech firms turned notably green after the release, further boosting bullish sentiment.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price is currently rising toward 613.5 following NVDA’s earnings results. A strong bullish candle close has appeared on NQ, indicating solid upward momentum heading into today’s session.
📌 Game Plan – Prediction
I will be buying calls at the opening, targeting 613.5 first. After that, I will be targeting 625. If I see a 1H bearish close below the opening price, I will exit my positions, as I expect strong bullish momentum after the market opens.
💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NAS100 Future: Waiting for the Turtle Soup Short SignalTimeframe: 30M | Model: Potential Turtle Soup (TS) / Bearish Model #1 Setup
The Nasdaq is setting up a crucial liquidity event that aligns perfectly with the CRT Manipulation (Candle 2) phase. We are currently consolidating just below a major structural high, which is acting as a magnetic zone for stops.
Here is the speculative short thesis:
The Trap Zone: The level at 24,985.90 is marked as the CRTH (Candle Range Theory High) and our "Potential TS" line. This is where most early breakout traders will place their buy stops, or where swing traders will look to enter short.
The Liquidity Hunt: We anticipate the market will execute a Turtle Soup—an aggressive spike above 24,985.90, potentially reaching the secondary resistance (RL) at 25,049.65, before immediately failing. This sweep is required to fuel the subsequent massive drop.
The Trigger (Bearish Model #1): Our entry signal (the Bearish Model #1) will only be confirmed IF price closes decisively back below the CRTH line after the liquidity sweep (the failure candle).
Targets:
Primary Objective (CRTL): If the Turtle Soup and reversal confirm, we expect a strong, fast drop (the Distribution, or Candle 3, phase) targeting the CRTL (Candle Range Theory Low) at 24,507.90. This low is holding significant Sell Side Liquidity (SSL).
Discipline: This is a high-risk, high-reward setup. Do not enter until the Turtle Soup has completed and the Bearish Model #1 reversal candle has closed. Patience is required to avoid being the liquidity that fuels the institutional move.
Wait for the Sweep. Trade the Reversal.
Greetings,
MrYounity
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (19 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (19 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will begin receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum.
NVDA earnings will be released today after market close. If NVDA beats expectations, this could trigger an impulsive bullish move for both QQQ and SPY. If earnings miss, that may create strong bearish sentiment across the market.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price tapped the 595.5 level and bounced cleanly from there. A strong bullish candle close has appeared on NQ, indicating solid upward momentum for the day.
📌 Game Plan – Prediction
I am buying calls targeting 613.5 first. I will also keep a runner for a potential move toward 625 in case NVDA reports strong earnings. That could generate significant bullish momentum, potentially pushing price toward new all-time highs. My runner is positioned for that potential after hours continuation.
💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Valuation TechnicallyThese are the three largest market-cap listed companies on the Nasdaq.
If we are concerned about an AI bubble, I’m going to show you how I perform a quick glance at some top companies and their index to determine the likelihood of an upcoming short-, mid-, or long-term correction.
In 2017, Microsoft’s P/E reached its highest at 45 — and it continued to rise after that.
In 2023, Nvidia’s P/E reached its highest at 147 — and it continued to rise after that.
In 2024, Apple’s P/E reached its highest at 40 — and it continued to rise after that.
Video version:
Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
QuickScalp at #EURUSD 📌 Market Insight: {#EURUSD }
⚠️ Risk Assessment: {High}
🚀 Approach:
Not a Good time to Trade but lets have it at watchlist ... just need a valid Momentum Structure at LTF . ... QuickScalp
will wait for the setup ... just for next 30-45 mins ... if nothing happen will back tomorrow .
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #GBPJPY #MarketAnalysis #TradingSetup #RiskManagement #GOLD #Scalper #NQ #EURUSD
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (NOV 18)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (18 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will start receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum.
NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, both QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the ongoing AI cycle continues to support upside.
Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could bring further bullish sentiment into the market.
📈 Technical Analysis
The market showed a strong bounce on Friday after tapping the 599 level. RSI has also reset, meaning price is no longer overbought. We remain inside the weekly range, and price has now touched the 0.75 max discount zone for the second time.
📌 Game Plan – Prediction
There are 2 different expectations outlined on the chart.
S cenario 1 (Green line): Price to hit 585.5$ then close 1H above the level, bringing it back to us for a bounce.
Scenario 2 (Red line): Price retraces till 579 and gets a bounce from there. I believe 579 is the strongest zone for buyers. I will be buying calls once we hit there.
💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (17 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (17 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will start receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum.
NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, both QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the ongoing AI cycle continues to support upside.
Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could bring further bullish sentiment into the market.
📈 Technical Analysis
The market showed a strong bounce on Friday after tapping the 599 level. RSI has also reset, meaning price is no longer overbought. We remain inside the weekly range, and price has now touched the 0.75 max discount zone for the second time.
📌 Game Plan – Prediction
A 1H candle close above 613 on QQQ will confirm bullish momentum, setting the next target at 618. If we get a clean 1H close above 613, I will be buying calls. After hitting 618, price may pull back slightly before eventually pushing toward 625 and potentially all-time highs around 637.
💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NAS100 Future: The Model #1 Bounce at CRTL SupportTimeframe: 15M | Model: CRT Model #1 / Turtle Soup Reversal
The Nasdaq Index is presenting a high-probability Candle Range Theory (CRT) setup after an aggressive drop. The price action perfectly encapsulates the Manipulation (Candle 2) phase and is setting up for the explosive Distribution (Candle 3) move.
The market has completed a textbook Turtle Soup (TS), aggressively pushing below the structural support to liquidate short-term positions. This hunt was contained by the confluence of the CRTL (Candle Range Theory Low) and a strong underlying Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Here’s the step-by-step breakdown (The CRT Checklist):
Liquidity Sweep: The deep wick confirms the Turtle Soup, clearing the stops below the previous support area around 24,862.53.
Confluence: The reversal attempt is happening right off the FVG area, giving high confidence to the long thesis, as outlined in the CRT Secrets Series (Episode 5: Key Levels).
The Trigger: We are now waiting for the final confirmation—the bullish Model #1 candle close. This candle must reverse the market structure and close decisively above the manipulation low (back into the range).
Targets:
Primary Objective (CRTH): The target is the CRTH (Candle Range Theory High) at 25,217.65, aiming to fill the liquidity above the initial range high.
Mindset: As the chart suggests, this reversal setup has the potential for a swift expansion move, seeking higher liquidity pools.
Discipline: Avoid the temptation to enter early. We must wait for the Model #1 candle to close and confirm the shift in control from sellers back to buyers. Trade what you see, not what you think!
Trade Smart. Trust the Candle Close.
Greetings,
MrYounity
#USDJPY BuySide QuickScalp📌 Market Insight: {#USDJPY }
⚠️ Risk Assessment: {High}
🚀 Approach:
UJ is still in my watchlist but i just take it if it show us a momentum structure ...
#USDCAD is VALID too .
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #GBPJPY #MarketAnalysis #TradingSetup #RiskManagement #GOLD #Scalper #NQ #EURUSD
Daily SPY (US500-ES-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV)Daily SPY (US500-ES-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This creates uncertainty for traders — without key data, it becomes difficult to anticipate the FED’s next policy decision.
📈 Technical Analysis
QQQ ran the weekly swing low at the 687 level and was rejected there. SPY retested the 637 zone, which is the range low for me, and reacted perfectly with a strong bounce. At the moment, price is showing clear upward momentum, suggesting that a stronger move may develop into the afternoon session. NVDA and AAPL are currently leading the market higher.
📌 Game Plan
Bullish Scenario: I bought calls and I’m targeting a minimum of 673.5. My second target is 681 for a runner. Once price reaches 673.5, I will move my stops to break-even.
Bearish Scenario: If price gets rejected at the 671 level, I will exit my calls and switch to puts, targeting the 661 zone.
💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (14 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This creates uncertainty for traders without key data, it becomes difficult to anticipate the FED’s next policy decisions.
📈 Technical Analysis
QQQ tapped the weekly swing low at 687 and was rejected from that level. SPY retested the 637 zone, which is the range low for me, and reacted with a strong bounce. At the moment, price is showing clear upward momentum, suggesting that a stronger move may develop into the afternoon session. NVDA and AAPL are currently leading the market higher.
📌 Game Plan
I bought calls around 601, and I expect to see 609.5 first, and if we get a strong continuation, possibly the 618 level.
At 609.5, I will close half of my position, trail my stop-loss to breakeven, and target 618 for the remainder.
💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily SPY (US500-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV)Daily SPY (US500-SPX) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This adds uncertainty for traders without data, it becomes difficult to gauge the FED’s next policy decision.
📈 Technical Analysis
SPY experienced a range-bound session yesterday, consolidating between 680 and 685. On higher timeframes, price action still suggests a desire to expand higher, but momentum has temporarily slowed.
📌 Game Plan
In my opinion, the market may show slight bearish pressure early in the session, followed by a moderate bullish bounce.
Scenario 1: SPY may drop to 679 and bounce from there, returning to the 682–685 range.
Scenario 2: If SPY breaks 679 aggressively, I expect a retracement toward 675. At that level, I plan to load calls for a potential bullish move.
💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (13 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment appears neutral, in my opinion. The U.S. government is expected to reopen soon; however, officials have decided not to release previous economic data. This creates uncertainty for traders without key data, it becomes difficult to anticipate the FED’s next policy decision.
📈 Technical Analysis
QQQ experienced a range-bound session yesterday, while the Dow Jones carried most of the market’s momentum. Compared to SPY, QQQ showed more weakness throughout the session. However, the higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, and I will continue following that bias.
📌 Game Plan
Scenario 1: Price may dip to the 616–617 zone and bounce from there, returning to the 621–623 range.
Scenario 2: If price breaks 617 aggressively, it may retrace toward 613 before bouncing back into the 620–625 zone.
In my opinion, calls may work better on SPY today, while puts could perform better on QQQ.
💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Monitoring AI Valuation - Precision on Upcoming CorrectionThese are the three largest market-cap listed companies on the Nasdaq.
If we are concerned about an AI bubble, I’m going to show you how I perform a quick glance at some top companies and their index to determine the likelihood of an upcoming short-, mid-, or long-term correction.
In 2017, Microsoft’s P/E reached its highest at 45 — and it continued to rise after that.
In 2023, Nvidia’s P/E reached its highest at 147 — and it continued to rise after that.
In 2024, Apple’s P/E reached its highest at 40 — and it continued to rise after that.
Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
QQQ (NQ/US100) Quick Trade Idea - (12 NOV)📌 Prediction / Game Plan
In my opinion, the price is currently attempting to reprice the gap around the 617 level.
If the price reaches this zone, we may see a rejection-bounce toward 620 first, followed by 625.
I’ll be closely watching the 617 zone for a potential call entry setup.
Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (12 NOV)Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (12 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
The market continues to lean bullish following the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown, along with the proposed $2,000 incentives for U.S. citizens. These developments could drive stronger inflows into equities and sustain short-term positive sentiment.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price moved higher overnight, likely targeting the 686 level, supported by strong momentum carried over from the Dow Jones (US30).
📌 Game Plan
In my opinion, I will look to buy if the price retraces to the 683.5–682 zone for a potential continuation move toward 686.
However, if we see a strong breakout below 682 and a 4H candle close beneath that level, I plan to exit my position. Another possible bounce could occur around 681, but confirmation would be required before entering such a trade.
💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.






















