Is the Nasdaq a Bubble? A Technical Correction Is PossibleCME_MINI:NQ1!
Here’s a breakdown of the current Nasdaq correction scenarios based on the Nasdaq Futures (NQ1!) chart.
Every time I reached the top of the channel, an adjustment came out.
Based on the monthly chart, it has closed positively for six consecutive months since the tariff reduction, and it is judged to have entered the overbought zone by breaking through the upper Bollinger Band.
While a Santa Rally could still occur in Q4, we expect a short-term correction within one to two weeks.
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I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
NASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURES
NASDAQ Future long: after resitance broken, new support formed Current Analysis: Nasdaq futures are currently facing a critical support at 22100
I see the chance of a Bullish rebound:
Support Strength: This support was a resistance in past weeks, then it was broken on Feb 14th and act as support in last 3 days.
Additionally, from Dec. 17th to February 12th, price formed a triangle that was broken up on Feb.13th.
Expected Movement: If the price successfully breaks above 22100, I expect it to rally towards the $22400 area.
Action Plan:
Entry Point: entered long with limit order at 22100
Target: Set a target in the $22425 (high of December 17th)
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 21937.75, below minimum of Feb.20th and with Risk/Reward Ratio of 2.
NASDAQ Channel Up found support and aims for 25600.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 28 High and on Friday it tested its 1H MA100 (green trend-line) again and rebounded. That has been a bullish continuation signal within this pattern every time a 1H MA50/ 100 takes place.
On the previous Bullish Leg that confirmed the upside continuation all the way to the 2.382 Fibonacci extension before a 1H MA50/ 100 Bearish Cross and new Low.
As a result, the current short-term Target on Nasdaq is 25600.
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Nasdaq to 25,300? | Long Idea 10/3I believe Nasdaq still has room to climb, with the 25,300 range in sight to finish off the week. The price action closely mirrors the pattern from September 5th–9th, 2025, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see history repeat itself here.
I’m planning to go long from the 25,105 imbalance, holding through all-time highs and into the void through 25,300. Once ATHs are broken, I’ll trail my stop closely to lock in profits.
Nasdaq Is About to Choose: Melt Up or MeltdownNasdaq E-minis (NQ1) are coiling at a key inflection point.
-If 24,874 breaks, a push into 25,100 looks likely.
-Clear that level, and bulls can stretch to 25,300–25,385 for a solid run.
-But if we lose 24,782, pressure builds toward 24,689… and a break there exposes 24,439.
Here’s the part most traders miss: these levels aren’t just numbers; they’re liquidity traps. One side of the market gets baited in, then the other side runs with it.
👉 Smart money already knows which pockets matter most. Retail will find out the hard way.
How are you positioning if NQ1 breaks either way?
Breakout or Fakeout? Watching AMD Resistance for Next Big Move📈 AMD “Advanced Micro Devices, Inc” – Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
🗺️ Plan:
I’m tracking AMD with a bullish strategy — waiting for a resistance level breakout to confirm momentum. Once price breaks the key barrier, entry opportunities open up.
🎯 Entry Setup (Thief Strategy Layering Method):
Instead of one entry, I’m applying a layering strategy with multiple buy limit orders. This approach helps average entries across different levels.
Buy limit layers: 155.00, 158.00, 160.00, 162.00, 163.00. 164.00
(💡 You can increase layers based on your own risk & comfort.)
Breakout confirmation: Entry after breakout price level mentioned.
🛑 Stop Loss (Thief SL):
Suggested stop loss @150.00
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this is my SL level, but you are not required to follow it. Manage risk according to your own plan.
🎯 Profit Target (Police Barricade Zone 🚨):
Price faces a strong resistance around 186.00 — this area acts as a trap zone with overbought conditions.
Target @186.00 (escape with profits before police catch you 🚔).
⚠️ Note: Again, TP is personal. Take profit when satisfied — your money, your choice.
🔗 Related Assets to Watch (Correlation Insight):
AMD tends to move in line with broader tech sentiment and semiconductors:
NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA) – Direct sector competitor, often mirrors momentum.
NASDAQ:SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) – Strong correlation, broader chip market direction.
NASDAQ:QQQ (NASDAQ 100 ETF) – AMD is a major component; index momentum often drives AMD.
NASDAQ:INTC (Intel) – Rival stock; negative news on INTC can boost AMD sentiment.
Watching these pairs helps confirm breakouts & avoid false signals.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy — shared for fun & educational purposes only.
Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
#AMD #SwingTrade #DayTrade #Stocks #Semiconductors #TradingStrategy #BreakoutSetup #StockMarket #NVDA #QQQ
NASDAQ in no action zone. Buy break-out or pull-back.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 4-month Channel Up and its most recent low has been on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line) 2 days ago.
As long as it holds, it maintains the short-term bullish trend but a confirmed buy signal would be after the price breaks above its previous 24800 High.
Until it does, it might be within a technical Bearish Leg similar to late August's and mid June's that both broke below the 4H MA100 before bottoming on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up and rebounded. The 4H RSI Lower Highs structure shows that we might be on such a pull-back sequence, which turns into a buy below 33.00 (RSI).
As a result, we will either wait for a 24800 break-out or a 1D MA50 (black trend-line) pull-back before initiating a buy again. In both cases, our Target is 25500 (just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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NASDAQ-NAS100 4H Analysis: Buy OpportunityHello Guys,
I’ve prepared a 4-hour NAS100 analysis for you.
I’ll be entering a buy position from 24,500.00 with a target set at 24,748.00.
Set your stop level according to your own margin.
Once the markets open, I’ll definitely take my shot on the buy side of NAS100.
Let’s see how this analysis plays out together.
Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to everyone supporting me!
NQ is twitching the worm - Don't take the bait🎣 Don’t take the bait! 🎣
Just sitting here, watching my pre-market setup.
Now I can see them twitching the worm, trying to lure me in.
NOPE!
This price action’s way too twitchy for me. §8-)
This Chart is a RTH with "Gap-Attached" and gives a perfect catch of the first drop.
So, just casually watching...maybe I can learn even more...
🐟🐠🐡🐟🐠🐡🐟🐠🐡🐟🐠🐡🐟🐠🐡🐟🐠🐡🐟🐠🐡
A Bullish Friday for NasdaqNow that support has been reached, I’m anticipating Nasdaq to resume its bull run. During the AM session, I’ll be watching for either a double bottom or an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern to form.
On the daily chart, I’m anticipating a rejection from the 24,600 Daily FVG.
It may be too early to confirm, so I’ll revisit and update this idea in the morning.
Lets go Long⚡
NASDAQ 100 – Potential Liquidity Grab & Bearish Continuation SetHello Billionaires!!
We All know that the Price has swept the New York session high (BSL) and is now showing signs of a potential market structure shift (MSS). If the short-term pullback holds, we may see a deeper retracement toward the demand zone (BPR + Asian range) before another leg down.
🔹Key Levels to Watch:
24,725 – 24,750: Liquidity grab zone (recent NY high)
24,575 – 24,550: Re-test area for possible continuation
24,500 – 24,450: Next downside target if bearish momentum continues
Bias: Short-term retracement followed by potential bearish continuation toward lower liquidity pools (SSL).
📌 This is an educational projection, not financial advice. Trade safe and always manage your risk!
Nasdaq Pre-Market Long CIB Trade🔱 Here comes the CIB Trade 🔱
Price came down in 5 waves.
The CIB line gives us a heads-up if price breaks through it, and it did!
Now everyone and it's Grandma is long on the breakout.
"...let's scare them out, let's hit their Stop!"
Then we take off upon a test of the CIB-Line, which in essence is the same as a test fo a U-MLH or L-MLH after a break.
We have a nice target with a chance to hit of about 80% at the Centerline, and a fantastic tiny stop below the test at the CIB line.
Let's watch how this unfolds.
Pressure’s buildin’ on NAS100—could pop any minute.Hey Guys,
Once NAS100 hits my SELL zone, I’m pulling the trigger—targeting 24557.06
• Entry: 24752.05 or 24703.29
Set the stop point according to your own margin, my friends.
Every like you drop pushes me to share more setups like this. Big thanks to everyone showing support!
SMH Bullish Setup – Breakout Plan for the Perfect Heist!🔥🚀 THIEF TRADER ALERT: SMH BULLISH HEIST PLAN! 🚀🔥
Asset: VANECK SEMICONDUCTOR ETF (SMH)
Plan: BULLISH BREAKOUT HEIST 🎯 (Resistance wall breakout candle close above 298.00)
🎯 THIEF ENTRY STRATEGY (LAYERING METHOD) 🎯
"Steal the dip like a PRO!" 💰🔪
Multiple Limit Orders (Layer Entry) 👇
1st Layer: 298.00 (Breakout Confirmation)
2nd Layer: 292.00 (Pullback Steal)
3rd Layer: 288.00 (Aggressive Discount)
4th Layer: 284.00 (Max Pain = Max Gain)
(Add more layers if you’re a risk-loving THIEF!)
⚠️ WARNING: DO NOT place SL or orders before breakout! (Only real THIEFS wait for confirmation!)
🛑 THIEF STOP LOSS (OG STYLE) 🛑
"Protect your loot or get wrecked!" 💣
SL @ 280.00 (Hard floor – adjust based on your risk appetite!)
Place SL ONLY AFTER breakout! (No premature stops – patience = profit!)
🎯 TARGET: 324.00 🚀 (OR ESCAPE EARLY IF MARKET TURNS)
Scalpers: Ride the waves, but stay LONG ONLY! 🌊
Swing Thieves: Hold & rob big! Use Trailing SL to lock gains! 🔐💰
📢 THIEF PRO TIPS:
✅ Set Alerts! (Don’t miss the breakout!) 🔔
✅ Watch for News! (Avoid getting caught in volatility traps!) 📉📈
✅ Boost & Support! (More boosts = more heists!) 💖🚀
🔥 FINAL MESSAGE:
"The market is a casino, and WE are the robbers! 🎰💰 Steal smart, escape rich! 🏴☠️💸"
👉 LIKE, BOOST & FOLLOW FOR MORE HEIST PLANS! 👈
🚀 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… STAY TUNED! 🚀
#ThiefTrader #SMH #BreakoutHeist #LayerEntry #LimitOrderBandit 🎯🔥
NASDAQ (US100) - ShortNasdaq (US100) currently trading at 24662.
We reached a high at 24767 and from there got a rejection. Multiple reasons here now for a continuation to the down side.
Entry: In rising channel at current levels.
Stop Loss: 24702
T1: 24418
T2: 24072
I'm expecting to see a break of this rising channel soon, may get some retest of the upper line till then which are great entry points.
No trading advise, just my opinion. Have fun.
NasdaqNasdaq consolidated another support level at 24740 in today's session. If the price remains above this support, buyers remain in control, and we could reach 25000, an important level that could signal the end of the bullish rally. An H1 candlestick closing above 24800 could confirm continuation.
QE and YCC: What does it all mean?ECONOMICS:USCBBS
CBOT:ZB1! CBOT:ZN1! CME_MINI:NQ1!
There is growing market speculation that the Fed may tolerate inflation above 2% for longer, consistent with its Average Inflation Targeting (AIT) framework introduced in 2020.
This also implies that real rates i.e., nominal rates minus inflation are likely to fall significantly. Given this, we anticipate gold to continue trending higher as the U.S. dollar's purchasing power erodes with mounting debt, persistently higher inflation, and falling real yields.
What is QE?
Quantitative Easing (QE) refers to the Fed injecting liquidity into financial markets by purchasing large quantities of assets such as Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) and U.S. Treasuries, especially during periods of economic stress like the Global Financial Crisis (2007–2008) and the COVID-19 downturn.
How Does QE Work?
Asset Purchases: The Fed buys large volumes of Treasuries and MBS from financial institutions.
Balance Sheet Expansion: These purchases expand the Fed's balance sheet (now hovering near $6.6 trillion, per FRED).
Increased Liquidity: Banks receive excess reserves in exchange, increasing system-wide liquidity.
Lower Interest Rates: Demand for bonds pushes prices higher and yields lower.
Economic Stimulus: Lower borrowing costs promote credit creation, investment, and consumer spending.
However, a key drawback of QE is asset price inflation. As seen between the GFC and the COVID-19 pandemic, low rates and excess liquidity drove significant appreciation in equities, housing, and other financial assets, even while consumer inflation remained near target.
QE vs. Stimulus Checks
If traditional interest rate policy is Monetary Policy 1 (MP1), then QE is MP2. Stimulus checks, or government handouts, fall under MP, a fusion of monetary and fiscal policy.
While QE primarily injects liquidity into financial institutions, stimulus checks inject purchasing power directly into households. This approach where the Treasury issues debt and the Fed purchases that debt, stimulates demand for real goods and services. We saw this during the post-COVID recovery, which brought a sharp rebound in consumer activity but also a surge in inflation, reaching a peak of 9.1% in June 2022 (CPI YoY).
QE impacts Asset Price Inflation
Stimulus Checks impact Goods & Services Inflation
What is YCC? (Yield Curve Control)
Yield Curve Control (YCC) is a policy whereby the central bank buys government debt across various maturities to control yields not just at the short end (via rates), but across the entire yield curve.
A prime example is the Bank of Japan, which has used YCC since 2016 to anchor 10-year JGB yields near zero. The Fed has not formally adopted YCC, but market participants believe it may lean in that direction in the future especially during crises where long-end rates rise undesirably. Mounting US debt and rising long end yields may prompt the Fed to step in and adopt YCC like BoJ has done previously.
Front-End Control: Managed via policy rates
Long-End Control: Central bank buys 5Y, 10Y, 20Y, 30Y Treasuries to anchor yields
Potential Risks of YCC:
Credibility Risk: If inflation rises while the central bank suppresses yields, it may lose market trust.
Currency Pressure: Artificially low yields may trigger speculative pressure on the currency (as seen with the yen under BoJ YCC).
We’ve kept this concise and digestible for now, but there’s more to unpack—especially on the long-term implications of coordinated monetary-fiscal policy (MP3), debt sustainability, and central bank credibility.
The Fed’s balance sheet chart shows how Fed’s balance sheet has increased:
Aug 1, 2008: $909.98B
Jul 1, 2017: $4.47T
Aug 1, 2019: $3.76T
Feb 1, 2020: $4.16T
Mar 1, 2022: $8.94T
Aug 1, 2025: $6.61T
Note that this is not just a US phenomenon. It is a world wide phenomena looking at many of the developed and emerging markets. The Debt to GDP ratios are increasing, Central Banks balance sheets are rising in tandem with rising government debt.
With the rate cutting cycle starting, it is a matter of time that we also see QE restarting.
If you’d like us to dive deeper into any of these topics in future educational blogs, let us know. We're happy to build on this foundation with more insights.






















