NVDA
$NVDA - $280 PT WEEKLY BULL FLAGStay Positioned with Nvidia's Weekly Bullish Chart. A Bull Flag is setting up with an imminent breakout. Long/Short Ratio is also very bullish at almost 60%. Price Target is $280. Remember Pole length of the flag = extended measured move at the breakout point of the flag.
Nvidia - The rally is still not over!🔌Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) still heads much higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past decade, Nvidia has perfectly been respecting a major bullish rising channel formation. Currently, Nvidia is still far away from the upper red resistance trendline, which indicates another potential move higher. Just understand that the trend is your closest friend.
📝Levels to watch:
$200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TSLA path to 550/650 USD Breakout Still Pending🔥 What specifically drives TSLA into 550–650
📦 Deliveries + mix surprise
If unit volumes beat whisper numbers and mix favors higher-trim/FSD attach, you get more gross profit per vehicle without needing price hikes. Watch the cadence of regional incentives and shipping vectors; strong NA/EU mix plus improving China utilization is the sweet spot.
🛠️ Margin stabilization → operating leverage
Gross margin base effect + opex discipline = powerful flow-through. Even a 100–150 bps lift in auto GM, coupled with energy GM expanding as Megapack scales, can push operating margin into low-mid teens. That alone recodes the multiple market is willing to pay.
🔋 Energy storage stepping out of auto’s shadow
Megapack/Powerwall growth with multi-GW backlogs turns “side business” into a credible second engine. As deployments and ASP/contract mix normalize, investors begin modeling $10–$15B annualized energy revenue with attractive GM — this is multiple-expanding because it looks more like infrastructure/software-tinted industrials than cyclical autos.
🤖 Autonomy & software monetization bridges
Two things move the needle fast: (1) clear progress toward supervised autonomy at scale (drives FSD attach + ARPU), and (2) licensing (FSD stack, charging/NACS, drive units). Even modestly credible paid-miles/seat-based models (think $50–$150/month vehicles on fleet) transform valuation frameworks.
🦾 Optimus/robotics as a real option, not sci-fi
The market doesn’t need commercial ubiquity — it needs line-of-sight to pilot deployments and unit economics where labor-substitute ROI < 3 years. A few high-credibility pilots (warehousing, simple assembly, logistics cells) can tack on optionality premium that pushes the multiple toward the top of the range.
💹 Options-market reflexivity
Flows matter. Elevated call demand near ATH turns dealers short gamma, forcing delta hedging that lifts spot, which triggers more call buying → a familiar feedback loop. On breakouts, watch open interest skew to short-dated OTM calls, and put-call ratios compressing; these magnify upside in a tight float day.
🌍 Macro & liquidity
If indices hold highs and the rate path doesn’t tighten financial conditions, growth duration gets rewarded. TSLA’s beta + story premium thrives in that regime.
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🧠 Outside-the-box accelerants
🛰️ “Software day” packaging
A coordinated showcase that bundles FSD progress, energy software (fleet, VPP), service/insurance data, and Optimus pilots into a single capital-markets narrative could reframe TSLA as a platform. The Street responds to packaging; it compresses time-to-belief.
🤝 Third-party FSD/charging licensing headlines
A single blue-chip OEM announcing software licensing + NACS deep integration reframes the competitive landscape. The equity market pays a software multiple for recurring seats.
🏗️ Capex signaling for next-gen platform without GM hit
Announcing a modular, high-throughput manufacturing scheme (cell to structure, gigacasting tweaks, logistics compression) with proof that unit economics are accretive from ramp can flip skeptics who anchor to past ramp pain.
⚡ Grid-scale contracts + financing innovation
If Tesla pairs utility-scale storage with project-level financing (think repeatable ABS-like channels for Megapack), you de-risk cash conversion cycles and unlock a new investor constituency (infrastructure/green income). That tightens the multiple.
________________________________________
🏎️ Comparative playbook: RACE (Ferrari) & NVDA (NVIDIA)
👑 RACE — the scarcity & brand ROIC lens
Ferrari’s premium multiple rests on scarcity, orderbook visibility, and brand pricing power. TSLA doesn’t have scarcity, but it can borrow the RACE lens via (a) limited-run, ultra-high-margin trims that anchor halo pricing, (b) waitlist-like energy backlogs that create visibility, and (c) bespoke software packages that mimic “personalization” margin. In bull phases, RACE trades as a luxury compounder rather than an automaker; TSLA can earn a slice of that premium when the energy + software story dominates.
🧮 NVDA — the flywheel & supply-constrained S-curve
NVIDIA’s explosive run blended (1) clear demand > supply, (2) pricing power, (3) ecosystem lock-in. TSLA’s battery and compute stacks can echo that dynamic: limited 4680/cell supply + Megapack queues + proprietary autonomy data moat. The moment the market believes TSLA is supply-gated (not demand-gated) in energy/AI, it will award NVDA-like scarcity premia. Add toolchain stickiness (training data, fleet miles, Dojo/AI infra), and you get ecosystem multiples rather than auto multiples.
📊 What the comps teach for TSLA’s 550–650 zone
• RACE lesson: visibility + pricing power boost the quality of earnings → higher P/E durability.
• NVDA lesson: credible scarcity + platform control turbocharge EV/Sales and compress the market’s time-to-future state.
• Translation for TSLA: blend of luxury-like quality (energy contracts + premium trims) and platform scarcity (cells/AI stack) → multiple rerate into our target band.
________________________________________
🧾 Valuation outlook
🧮 Earnings path
• Units up mid-teens % Y/Y; ASP stable to slightly higher on mix; energy + software up strongly.
• Auto GM +100–150 bps; Energy GM expands on scale; opex +SMC disciplined → op margin 12–15%.
• Share count glide modest. Forward EPS ≈ $9–$11.
• Multiple: 50× (conservative growth premium) → $450–$550; 60× (software/autonomy visibility) → $540–$660.
• Why the market pays up: visible recurring high-margin lines (FSD, energy software, services) + AI/robotics optionality.
📈 EV/Sales path
• Forward revenue $130–$150B (auto + energy + software/services).
• Assign blended EV/Sales 6.5–7.5× when energy/software dominate the debate.
• Less net cash → equity value per share in $550–$650.
• Check: At 7× on $140B = $980B EV; equity ≈ $1.0–$1.1T with cash, divided by diluted shares → mid-$500s to $600s. Momentum premium and flow can extend to upper bound.
________________________________________
🧭 Technical roadmap & market-microstructure
🧱 Breakout mechanics
A decisive weekly close above prior ATH with rising volume and a low-volume retest that holds converts resistance to a springboard. Expect a “open-drive → pause → trend” sequence: day 1 impulse, 2–5 sessions of rangebuilding, then trend resumption.
🧲 Volume shelves & AWVAPs
Anchored VWAPs from the last major swing high and the post-washout low often act like magnets. Post-break, the ATH AVWAP becomes first support, then the $500 handle functions as the psychological pivot. Above there, $550/$590/$630 are classical measured-move/Fib projection waypoints; pullbacks should hold prior shelf highs.
🌀 Options & dealer positioning
On a break, short-dated OTM calls populate 1–2% ladders; dealers short gamma chase price up via delta hedging. Expect intraday ramps near strikes (pin-and-pop behavior) and Friday accelerants if sentiment is euphoric. A steepening skew with heavy call open interest is your tell that supply is thin.
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🧨 Risks & invalidation
🚫 Failed retest below the breakout shelf (think: a fast round-trip under the $4-handle) downgrades the setup from “trend” to “blow-off.”
🧯 Margin or delivery disappointments (e.g., price-war resumption, regional softness) break the EPS/EV-Sales bridges.
🌪️ Macro shock (rates spike, liquidity drains) compresses long-duration multiples first; TSLA is high beta.
🔁 Flow reversal — if call-heavy positioning unwinds, gamma flips to a headwind and accelerates downside.
________________________________________
💼 Trading & portfolio expressions for HNWI
🎯 Core + satellite
Hold a core equity position to capture trend, add a satellite of calls for convexity. If chasing, consider call spreads (e.g., 1–3 month $500/$600 or $520/$650) to tame IV.
🛡️ Risk-managed parity
Pair equity with a protective put slightly OTM or finance it with a put spread. Alternatively, collars (write covered calls above $650 to fund downside puts) if you’re guarding a large legacy stake.
⚙️ Momentum follow-through
Use stop-ins above key levels for systematic adds, and stop-outs below retest lows to avoid round-trips. Size reduces into $590–$630 where target confluence lives; recycle risk into pullbacks.
💵 Liquidity & slippage
Scale entries around liquid times (open/closing auctions). For size, work algos to avoid prints into obvious strikes where dealers can lean.
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🧾 Monitoring checklist
🔭 Delivery run-rate signals (regional registration proxies, shipping cadence).
🏭 Margin tells (bill of materials trends, promotions cadence, energy deployment updates).
🧠 Autonomy milestones (software releases, safety metrics, attach/ARPU hints).
🔌 Licensing/partnership beats (NACS depth, FSD/AI stack interest).
📊 Options dashboard (short-dated call OI ladders; put-call ratio shifts; gamma positioning).
🌡️ Macro regime (rates, liquidity, risk appetite).
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✅ Bottom line
🏁 The 550–650 tape is not a fairy tale — it’s a stacked-catalyst + rerate setup where energy/software/autonomy rise in the narrative mix, margins stabilize, and options-market reflexivity does the rest. Execute the breakout playbook, respect invalidation lines, and use convex expressions to lean into upside while protecting capital.
esla (TSLA) — Breakout Playbook
🎯 Core Thesis
• Insider conviction: Musk’s ~$1B buy.
• Risk-on macro: equities at highs, liquidity supportive.
• Options reflexivity: call-heavy flows can fuel upside.
• ATH breakout (~$480–$490) = gateway to price discovery.
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🚀 Upside Drivers to $550–$650
• Deliveries & Mix: Surprise beat + higher trim/FSD attach.
• Margins: GM stabilization + energy scaling → op margin 12–15%.
• Energy: $10–15B rev potential with infra-like multiples.
• Autonomy/Software: FSD attach, ARPU, licensing.
• Optimus/Robotics: Pilot deployments → ROI < 3 yrs adds optionality.
• Licensing Headlines: OEMs adopting NACS/FSD stack.
• Capital Markets Narrative: Packaged “software + energy + robotics” story reframes Tesla as a platform.
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🏎️ Comparative Bull Run Lens
• Ferrari (RACE): Scarcity, orderbook, luxury multiples.
• NVIDIA (NVDA): Scarcity + ecosystem flywheel → EV/Sales premium.
• Tesla Parallel: Blend of luxury quality (energy backlogs, halo trims) + AI scarcity (cells, fleet data, Dojo).
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📊 Valuation Bridges
• EPS Path: $9–$11 EPS × 50–60× = $450–$660.
• EV/Sales Path: $130–150B revenue × 6.5–7.5× = $550–$650.
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📈 Technical Roadmap
• Breakout > $490 → retest holds → next legs:
o $550 / $590 / $630 / stretch $650–$690.
• Watch anchored VWAPs; ATH shelf flips to support.
• Options chase accelerates above round strikes.
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$NVDA rolling over. $SMH looks vulnerableSemis have been the toughest pillar of this bull market. The Semis ETF NYSE:SM has been making new highs and new lows with occasional consolidation. NASDAQ:NVDA has been instrumental in the dominance of NASDAQ:SMH in most of the thematic ETFS. The ratio chart $NVDA/ NASDAQ:SMH is also showing signs of weakness and rolling over hard. Last time NASDAQ:NVDA lost momentum it fell 40%. Will the history repeat? History usually rhymes. So, when we see weakness in the largest stock in SP:SPX the indices will also roll over. The momentum weakness is visible in the RSI.
If we believe that the previous highs act as support, then we can expect the stock to drop to 150 $. This aligns with the 1.0 Fib retracement level. This can mark a 17% downturn from here. The next support is around 120 $. That will mark a 33% pull back which is not unusual for $NVDA. But these price level will be great accumulation point for the stock. The consolidation in NASDAQ:SMH and NASDAQ:NVDA was predicated by me on Aug 3. But our long-term target remains intact with NASDAQ:NVDA @ 250 and NASDAQ:SMH @ 315.
Verdict: NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:SMH looks vulnerable here. Price consolidation more likely providing good entry points in $NVDA. Long term target still holds.
NVIDIA: Rally Stalling?After Nvidia initially drew closer to our beige Target Zone between $150.09 and $139.58, the stock was recently pushed higher once again. Therefore, we still see a 40% chance that a new high for beige wave alt.III could emerge above resistance at $184.11. However, our primary view is that price has already entered wave IV, which should extend downward into the aforementioned beige zone. Since we expect a strong rally during wave V, this price range presents an attractive entry point for long positions, with a stop that can be set 1% below the lower boundary of the zone. Looking ahead, beige wave V should extend up to the blue Target Zone between $227.38 and $260.60, where it should complete the larger waves (V) in blue and in lime green.
JIOFIN 2Hour Time frameJIOFIN 2-Hour Snapshot
Current Price: ₹311.10 INR
Change: +1.28% from the previous close
Intraday High: ₹313.35 INR
Intraday Low: ₹309.60 INR
🔎 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Neutral
Moving Averages:
5-period MA: ₹310.50 INR
10-period MA: ₹310.00 INR
20-period MA: ₹309.50 INR
50-period MA: ₹308.00 INR
📈 Market Sentiment
Pivot Points:
Resistance: ₹315.00 INR
Support: ₹305.00 INR
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above ₹315.00 INR could signal a move toward ₹320.00 INR.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below ₹305.00 INR may lead to further downside.
Overall Bias: Neutral, with mixed signals from moving averages and momentum indicators.
SENSEX 2Hour Time frameS&P BSE Sensex 2-Hour Snapshot
Current Value: ₹81,425.15
Change: +0.41% from the previous close
Market Cap: ₹1.86 Trillion
P/E Ratio: 25.95
EPS: ₹27.56
Intraday High: Not available
Intraday Low: Not available
🔎 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): Neutral
MACD: Neutral
Moving Averages:
5-period SMA: Not available
10-period SMA: Not available
20-period SMA: Not available
50-period SMA: Not available
📈 Market Sentiment
Pivot Points:
R1: Not available
R2: Not available
R3: Not available
S1: Not available
S2: Not available
S3: Not available
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the current price could lead to further gains.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below the current price may test support levels.
Overall Bias: Neutral, with mixed signals from moving averages and momentum indicators.
Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts Updated: Analyst Views September🚀 Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts & Risks: Analyst Views — Updated September 2025
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📝 Summary Outlook (September 2025)
Nvidia remains at the center of the global AI boom, with dominant GPU share, a strengthening networking/software moat, and multi-year sovereign and enterprise buildouts driving demand. Q2 FY26 confirmed strong momentum, while Q3 guidance points to continued growth. The main risks lie in tariff policy, China licensing, supply chain tightness, and valuation sensitivity. Street consensus remains bullish, with targets in the $207–$211 range and a Strong Buy bias.
🔑 Key Catalysts Driving Nvidia’s Stock Growth (2025+)
1. 🏆 AI Chip Dominance — Score: 10/10
Nvidia still commands ~90%+ of data-center AI accelerators, with CUDA/NVLink lock-in keeping switching costs high.
2. 🏗️ Surging Data Center Demand — Score: 10/10
Hyperscalers remain in an AI “build” cycle. 2025 data-center CapEx is approaching ~$300B, with Nvidia reporting record $41.1B Data Center revenue in its latest quarter.
3. 🌐 Enterprise & “AI Everywhere” Adoption — Score: 8.7/10
Companies across industries are rolling out AI assistants, copilots, and retrieval-augmented applications; Nvidia benefits via GB200 NVL72 racks and RTX-based inference at the edge.
4. 🤝 Strategic/Channel Partnerships — Score: 8.9/10
Cisco is integrating Spectrum-X into networking solutions, while HPE has expanded its Nvidia “AI factory” offerings—broadening reach into enterprise and hybrid AI buildouts.
5. 🚗 Automotive & Robotics — Score: 8.4/10
Auto revenue grew ~70% Y/Y; DRIVE Thor shipments have begun, and Nvidia’s Jetson/AGX Thor and robotics platforms are expanding into industrial automation.
6. 🧑💻 Software & Subscriptions — Score: 8.6/10
Nvidia’s AI Enterprise, DGX Cloud, CUDA-Q, and TensorRT deepen recurring, high-margin revenue and increase developer lock-in.
7. 🌎 Omniverse, Digital Twins & Industrial AI — Score: 8.2/10
Ansys, Siemens, and other industrial software vendors are embedding Omniverse into simulation suites, accelerating adoption of “digital twins” and simulation AI workflows.
8. 🛜 Networking & Photonics — Score: 8.8/10
Spectrum-X Photonics enables co-packaged optics for exascale “AI factories,” improving bandwidth and efficiency while giving Nvidia more end-to-end control.
9. 🧪 Relentless Roadmap (Blackwell → Rubin) — Score: 9.0/10
Blackwell Ultra is ramping into 2025, with the Rubin architecture slated for 2026—sustaining Nvidia’s upgrade cycles.
10. 🌍 Sovereign & Global AI Buildouts — Score: 8.5/10
Europe, the Middle East, and India are launching sovereign AI projects. Saudi-backed Humain alone has committed to tens of thousands of Blackwell chips for 2026 buildouts.
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📈 Latest Analyst Recommendations (September 2025)
• Street Stance: Strong Buy/Overweight remains dominant. ~85% of analysts rate NVDA a Buy; avg 12-mo PT ~$207–$211.
• Recent Calls: Multiple firms reiterated Overweight/Buy, with price targets up to $230.
• Common Bull Case: Nvidia’s accelerator lead, software moat, sovereign/enterprise AI pipeline, and expanding networking portfolio.
• Common Cautions: Premium valuation, competition from custom silicon, and export/tariff risk.
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🗞️ Latest Events & News (Aug–Sep 2025)
• Q2 FY26 results (reported Aug 27, 2025): Revenue $46.7B (+56% Y/Y); Data Center $41.1B; Blackwell shipments +17% Q/Q; buyback program boosted by $60B.
• Q3 FY26 guidance: ~$54B (±2%) revenue.
• Networking push: Spectrum-X Photonics unveiled; Cisco partnership expanding enterprise deployments.
• Omniverse OEM deal: Ansys to embed Omniverse tech within its simulation platforms.
• Sovereign AI momentum: Saudi Humain centers to deploy 18k+ Blackwell chips starting 2026; UAE and India also ramping large-scale AI initiatives.
• Ecosystem investing: Nvidia continues selective investments in AI startups, strengthening CUDA adoption.
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🇺🇸🇨🇳 US–China Tariffs & Export Controls — September 2025 Update
• Tariff truce extended (Aug 2025): Current tariffs remain at ~30% U.S. on Chinese imports and ~10% reciprocal from China. Next decision point: Nov 10, 2025.
• Supreme Court review: The Court will hear a case challenging U.S. executive authority on tariffs this fall.
• China export licensing: U.S. has begun granting licenses for Nvidia’s H20 China-compliant GPUs. Advanced Blackwell exports remain restricted without further approvals.
Impact on Nvidia: Truce reduces near-term disruption, but future tariff or licensing changes remain key risks. China sales are limited to compliant GPUs with lower margins.
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⚠️ Key Negative Drivers & Risks (Updated)
1. 🇨🇳 US–China Tech Policy
Tariff truce is temporary; licensing decisions and court rulings keep China exposure uncertain.
2. 🏛️ Regulatory/Legislative Overhang
Proposals like the GAIN AI Act could impose stricter controls on exports and prioritize domestic deployments.
3. 🏭 Supply Chain Bottlenecks
Advanced packaging and HBM memory remain tight despite expansions—potential bottlenecks for shipments.
4. 🧮 Competitive Threats & Custom Silicon
AMD, Intel, and hyperscaler-designed accelerators continue to advance, potentially eroding Nvidia’s hyperscale share.
5. 🏷️ Valuation & Expectations
Nvidia trades at high multiples; any slowdown or guidance miss could trigger volatility.
6. 💵 Customer Concentration
Top cloud giants still account for a large share of revenue; CapEx pauses or custom chip adoption would materially impact results.
________________________________________
NVDA gravity is strong....$140NVDA is heading towards the death cross (SMA200) and doesn't seem like much will change that at this point. The economy is doing horribly, despite a few small wins. Even the lower interest rate (25/50 basis points) is too little too late, when most of the S&P is already trading below 200SMA. There is a massive overheating of AI Tech stocks that are highly concentrated, and a massive correction is coming. Follow CAPE and PE ratios historically, this time won't be different! Best of luck....
NVDA Support and Resistance Lines Valid from July 1 to 31st 2025Overview:
These purple lines act as Support and resistance lines when the price moves into these lines from the bottom or the top direction. Based on the direction of the price movement, one can take long or short entries.
Trading Timeframes
I usually use 30min candlesticks to swing trade options by holding 2-3 days max. Anyone can also use 3hr or 4hrs to do 2 weeks max swing trades for massive up or down movements.
I post these 1st week of every month and they are valid till the end of the month.
GOLD SELL LIMITGold has an overall target market goal that I believe is 3,700. After that we will see a-lot of deals made in the market, crypto ETFs will become a new way of storing assets. This will bolster the price of gold down as crypto assets will become the mainstream source of keeping assets as they reveal the new US treasury financial system.
This is not financial advice. Good luck
NVIDIA Has it bottomed??NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) broke last week below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 4 months (since May 06). That was perceived as the bullish trend's strongest Support and rightfully so technically.
The next level to watch as a Support is the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which was the level that held and led the stock to its previous peak during the last strong bullish trend of October 31 2023 to June 20 2024.
As you can see, there was a situation similar to today's where the price again broke below the 1D MA50 during the uptrend but kept the 1D MA100 intact and rebounded. Still, it managed to touch the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, there might be potential for one more weekly Leg down to $155.00 (Fib 0.236) before recovering but this would also most likely mean breaking below the 1D MA100. This is doubtful but not impossible but still there are higher probabilities of a rebound sooner.
A strong indicator that is in Support of this is the 1D RSI, which just touched its 2-year Support Zone, a level that has always been a 'Buy' whether short or long-term. As far as a Target is concerned, the 2024 Channel Up peaked on the -0.382 Fibonacci extension, which is at $245.00.
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Weekly insighta EUR/USD S&P500 NVDA METAThis video is a weekly insights report from a financial trader on TradingView. I amdiscussing my analysis and predictions for several financial instruments based on technical and fundamental indicators.
Key Points:
Market Overview: The speaker talks about the impact of recent US unemployment data on the market, which led to a "parabolic" rise in the Euro dollar.
Euro Dollar: Based on a technical analysis of an "expanding diagonal" and an old trend line, the speaker believes a false breakout is likely. They plan to avoid trading USD pairs for the next 11 days, waiting for the Fed's interest rate decision.
S&P 500: The speaker notes a five-wave Elliot wave pattern with an expanding diagonal. They are waiting for the price to break below a trend line and a red confirmation line before considering a short position. They anticipate a "choppy" market for the coming week.
Nvidia: The speaker received "hate comments" for their previous analysis of Nvidia. They stand by their short position, citing a break below the exponential moving average, a "huge" divergence on the monthly chart, and a "shooting star" candle pattern. They note that Nvidia is the heaviest stock in the S&P 500, representing 7.5% of the index.
Bitcoin: The speaker points out that Bitcoin's price has crossed and retested two moving averages, which they see as a bearish sign. They will consider a short position if the price breaks below the previous low. They also expect Bitcoin to be stagnant in the coming week while the market waits for the Fed's decision.
Call to Action : The video concludes with a plea for viewers to subscribe to the speaker's TradingView channel for more trading insights and short-trade opportunities.
Broadcom at ResistanceBroadcom is at $326 resistance. It's accelerated well past it's historical trend line. This brings up concerns of over excitement.
While IXCO and SOX are still showing room for semiconductors to run as a broad group I would speculate AVGO is likely going to be left out as NVDA catches up. (NVDA hit it's current trend line this morning)
I'm expecting IXCO and SOX to hit resistance the end of this year. So until then I'm speculating AVGO is going to consolidate around current 326 resistance and eventually break down towards it's long term trend line.
I'm marking this Idea as "short" because I have a sideways/downward bias, but I personally am not actually shorting AVGO. When IXCO tops out there will be much better tech stocks to short.
Good luck!
Clear downtrend $NVDA! It's only the largest company in the world and holds about 8% of the entire US stock market! Nothing to worry about that it's break key technical indicators and showing a clear downtrend. Again, it's probably nothing that it's overvalued and has a very concentration of 2-3 customers that make-up most of their revenue. The UltraShort signal supports this. Remember that September it typically a bad month for the market and really bad things happen! When in doubt, sell and stay cash friendly! You don't want to be holding a bag and praying that things go up. Hope is NOT a strategy!
Checking for support near 171.26
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Have a great day!
-------------------------------------
(NVDA 1M chart)
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
-
Looking at the current 1M chart, the HA-High to DOM(60) range is 121.80-138.23.
Therefore, if the price holds above 121.80-138.23, the step-like uptrend is likely to continue.
The left Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the first wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 3.618 (181.85) and hold.
The right Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the second wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 1 (198.88).
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can break above the 181.85-198.88 range.
If the price fails to rise,
1st: 152.89
2nd: 121.80-138.23
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
-
(1D chart)
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1D chart is 180.76-182.70.
Therefore, for a stepwise uptrend to begin, the price must rise above 180.76-182.70 and maintain its position.
The 171.26 level is the HA-High indicator level on the 1W chart.
Therefore, the key question is whether support is found near 171.26.
If it falls below 171.26, it is likely to decline until it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this point, the key is whether it can find support near 152.89, the Fibonacci 3 level (157.76) to the left.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, there is a possibility of a downtrend, so you should consider a response plan.
------------------------------------------------
If this is your first time hearing this explanation, you may not understand what I'm talking about.
The important thing is that the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators indicate lows, while the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators indicate highs.
Therefore, buys should be made near the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators, and sells should be made near the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators.
To interpret charts from a long-term perspective, you need to check the positions of the DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and DOM(60) indicators on the 1M chart.
The 1W chart is interpreted from a medium- to long-term perspective, while the 1D chart is interpreted from a short-term perspective.
In the stock market, price fluctuations are often driven by issues other than the chart itself, so it's important to always be aware of volatility.
Even so, since volatility ultimately occurs after the chart is created, it's best to analyze the chart first and then examine other issues.
Otherwise, you'll likely end up creating a trading strategy that heavily reflects your own subjective opinions.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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NVDA $182 Weekly CALL Setup – Cheap Premium, Big Upside?
# 🚀 NVDA Weekly Options Trade Idea (2025-09-03)
### 📊 Multi-Model Recap
* **Daily RSI**: 📉 34.3 (weak)
* **Weekly RSI**: 🔻 73.2 (falling)
* **Volume**: +1.3x → institutional distribution signs
* **Options Flow**: 🔥 C/P = 1.96 (bullish skew)
* **Gamma/Theta**: ⚡ High risk (2 DTE)
👉 Models Split:
* 🐻 Bearish: Claude, Gemini → favor \$165 PUT
* 🐂 Bullish: Llama, Grok → favor \$175 CALL
* 😶 Neutral/No Trade: Claude (low confidence)
---
### 🧭 Consensus Read
* Price & volume = bearish ⚠️
* Options flow & VIX = bullish 📈
* Net: **Mixed bias → tactical bullish bounce possible**
---
### ✅ Trade Setup (Viral Play)
```json
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "CALL",
"strike": 175,
"expiry": "2025-09-05",
"entry_price": 0.68,
"profit_target": 1.36,
"stop_loss": 0.34,
"size": 1,
"confidence": 0.65,
"entry_timing": "market open"
}
```
---
### 🎯 Trade Details
* 📌 **Strike**: \$182 CALL
* 💵 **Entry**: 0.68 (ask, open)
* 🎯 **Target**: 1.36 (+100%)
* 🛑 **Stop**: 0.34 (-50%)
* 📅 **Expiry**: Sep 5 (2 DTE)
* 📈 **Confidence**: 65%
* ⏰ **Hold Policy**: Close by Thu EOD (don’t ride Friday gamma bomb)
---
⚠️ **Risks**:
* 2 DTE = 🔥 high gamma / fast theta decay
* Divergent signals → whipsaws possible
* Tight stop discipline required 🚨
$GOOG $226 Premarket! 2.61 Golden Pocket Above for Puts Well what do we have here? We have Taz taking a peak at the GOOGLE pop 👀 would you just look at it? If you put the fib right at the last high and low, you get a nice Golden Pocket Target Above at $228.97 …
Now let’s be clear here. Congrats to the Bulls in my Room that saw that Alert from the Bot and Hopped in with the Big Boys.
For now, it’s time to go with tie short side imo. If we can get a tap of that 2.61 pocket above, I’ll swing something to the downside for next week. Targets would include a Gap fill. If not, then I will be patient and possibly not even enter. I would rather optimal entry. Then forced entry. Have a good one yall.






















