ACN Accenture plc Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought ACN before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ACN Accenture plc prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 240usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-10-17,
for a premium of approximately $10.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Optionselling
Nifty at a Crossroads – Will W Pattern Hold or Breakdown Ahead?Nifty closed the week at 24,741, up 315 points from the previous close. It touched a high of 24,980 and a low of 24,432, once again moving exactly within my projected range of 24,900 – 23,900.
This week, both Nifty and Bank Nifty formed an Inside Candle pattern, making this week’s low of 24,432 a crucial level to watch. A breakdown below it could drag Nifty toward 24,000/23,900.
Bullish Possibility – W Pattern on Weekly Chart
There’s an interesting W pattern developing on the weekly timeframe. If it plays out, we could see an early-week upside (Mon/Tue) toward 25,100/25,200. However, for a sustained rally, Nifty needs to hold above 25,200 – only then can it test 25,700, which for now looks challenging.
⚠️ My View
I’ve been warning about an impending downmove for 2 weeks, and I continue to prepare by hedging my portfolio and making a watchlist of strong stocks to accumulate when the correction comes. The question is – are you ready?
US Market Update – S&P500
The S&P500 closed at 6,481, up 21 points from last week, with a high of 6,532 and a low of 6,360. This index is approaching the key Fibonacci level of 6,568.
👉 For US investors: Move your trailing SL to 6,376 to lock in profits.
👉 Consecutive closes above 6,568 could open the doors to the next major level of 6,579 (around 7% higher from current levels).
👉 Until then, keep trailing positions as long as cracks aren’t visible.
For Indian investors – brace yourselves, because the road ahead could be volatile and bumpy.
Want me to review any index or cryptocurrency for you? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll cover it in my next update!
Nifty at Make-or-Break Zone – Big Move Loading?Nifty ended the week at 24,426, down 444 points from last week’s close. It touched a high of 25,021 and a low of 24,404, once again respecting my projected range of 25,350 – 24,400.
Last week, I highlighted the Shooting Star formation and warned about increasing bearish pressure – this week we saw exactly that play out. Now, Nifty is hovering dangerously close to the strong support of 24,400. A daily close below 24,400 could open the gates for a slide towards 24,000 – 23,900.
Next Week’s Range Expectation:
➡️ Likely range → 24,900 – 23,900
➡️ Below 24,400 = 24,000/23,900 possible
➡️ Sideways consolidation for 1–2 weeks also on the table before momentum resumes
My View:
From the 2nd week of September, I still expect more selling pressure. But before that, big players may try to take markets higher to trap unsuspecting retailers. After all, they need someone to offload their stakes – and who better than us poor retailers 😅.
✅ What Traders & Investors Should Do:
Traders: Stay flexible. Be ready for both sideways action and a breakdown.
Investors: Use upcoming corrections to load quality stocks at attractive prices. Do your research, keep a watchlist ready, and pounce when the opportunity comes.
US Market Update – S&P500
The S&P500 closed at 6,460, almost flat compared to last week. It formed a weak, indecisive candle, signaling hesitation. For bulls to regain control, we need a close above 6,500, which could take the index toward the 6,568 Fibonacci level. On the downside, a break below 6,429 can trigger profit booking, pushing the index toward 6,400/6,373. At 6,373, fresh buyers may step in to drive the next upward leg.
Want me to review any index or cryptocurrency for you? Drop it in the comments and I’ll include it in my next update!
NTNX Nutanix Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NTNX before the rally:
nor sold the top:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NTNX Nutanix prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 72.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $3.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Nifty Forms Shooting Star – Is Septmber Correction on the Cards?Nifty closed this week at 24,870, up 240 points from the previous week’s close. It made a high of 25,153 and a low of 24,852, once again respecting my projected range of 25,100 – 24,300.
But here’s the key: this week, Nifty formed a Shooting Star candle, which is a bearish reversal pattern. As long as Nifty stays above 24,852, bulls are safe. But a break below this level could trigger downward pressure toward 24,400.
📊 Next Week’s Range:
➡️ Likely range → 25,350 – 24,400
➡️ Break below 24,852 = bearish pressure
➡️ If 24,400 breaks, 23,900 could come into play
Historical September Pattern:
From the 2nd week of September, markets have historically shown 6–11% corrections from their highs. If history repeats, within the next 10 days we could see another push toward 25,600/25,700, followed by heavy selling pressure.
✅ My Plan:
If markets rise in the coming days, I’ll be looking to cash out from existing positions and prepare to re-enter at better levels if a correction begins in the 2nd or 3rd week of September.
US Market Update – S&P500
The S&P500 bounced from 6,343 support and managed to close just 10 points higher than last week. Above its previous week’s high of 6,481, it has the potential to test the 6,568 Fibonacci level. Investors in US markets should trail their stop-loss to 6,330 to safeguard profits.
Want me to review any index or cryptocurrency for you? Drop it in the comments and I’ll cover it in my next update!
Wkly Market Wrap – Nifty Breaks Losing Streak, Bulls Eye 25,100Nifty closed the week at 24,631, up 270 points from last week’s close, after hitting a high of 24,702 and a low of 24,347. As I highlighted in last week’s outlook, Nifty once again respected my range of 24,800–23,900 to the dot.
After five straight weeks of red, we finally saw a green weekly close—a much-needed breather for the bulls. But remember, this is the first pullback after a prolonged downtrend, so sellers are likely to make another attempt to drag the markets lower.
📌 Key levels for next week:
Support: 24,300 – If bulls defend this level, we could see a rally toward 25,000–25,100.
Resistance: 25,100 – Strong selling pressure likely here.
Even if 24,300 breaks, I don’t expect Nifty to slip below 24,200–24,150 this week.
💡 Opportunity Alert: For those who’ve been patiently waiting for a dip to enter, this week could present a good buying window—possibly followed by another opportunity by the second week of September. Have your list of fundamentally strong stocks ready to pounce.
Global Cue – S&P 500 on Fire
The S&P 500 once again closed at a new all-time high of 6,468, and the momentum suggests it’s on track to test the key Fibonacci level of 6,568. If you’re invested in the US markets, trail your stop-loss to 6,200 to safeguard profits.
Bulls are back in the game, but sellers haven’t left the field—next week will be all about who controls the pitch!
Weekly Market Outlook – Nifty & S&P 500 AnalysisNifty closed the week at 24,363, down 200 points from the previous week’s close, after making a high of 24,736 and a low of 24,337. As highlighted last week, Nifty traded exactly within my projected range of 25,000–24,100, but the negative takeaway is that it has now closed below the crucial support of 24,400.
If Nifty sustains below 24,300 next week, there is a strong probability of it testing 24,000/23,900 support levels. My outlook for the coming week: expect movement within 24,800–23,900, with a potential bounce from 24,000/23,900.
Interestingly, this marks the 6th consecutive week of Nifty closing lower — something that last happened 12 years ago in August 2013. Historically, after five straight weeks of selling, we usually see at least one green candle. If that bounce comes next week, my focus will be on whether selling resumes afterward or finally takes a breather.
Remember the timeless stock market wisdom:
“When everyone is fearful, be greedy. When everyone is greedy, be fearful.”
For long-term investors waiting for a dip, the opportunity is here — consider accumulating fundamentally strong companies for the long haul. Traders, brace for volatility.
S&P 500 Outlook:
The S&P 500 closed 150 points higher than last week, validating my prediction of holding 6,200. On the weekly chart, the index is showing signs of forming an M-pattern — a bearish setup. To negate this, the S&P 500 must sustain above 6,400, which could extend its rally towards 6,454/6,500 and the key Fibonacci level of 6,568.
However, if it fails to hold 6,400, we could see a retest of 6,225. Investors in U.S. markets should trail their stop-losses to protect gains.
Key Levels to Watch Next Week:
Nifty: Support – 24,000/23,900 | Resistance – 24,800
S&P 500: Support – 6,225 | Resistance – 6,454/6,500/6,568
Nifty Weekly Market Update – Brace for Bearish Momentum? Nifty ended the week at 24,837, down 131 points from last week’s close. It made a high of 25,246 and a low of 24,806, staying perfectly within my projected range of 25,400–24,500.
As highlighted earlier, Nifty has now formed an inverted hammer on the weekly chart — a classic bearish reversal candlestick. 🔍
📅 Flashback: On 6th July, I mentioned giving bulls 10–15 days of playtime. That phase seems to be ending. The monthly time frame remains bearish, and now the weekly chart is aligning, indicating a stronger downside risk.
🔮 What’s Next?
👉 Expect Nifty to trade between 25,300–24,400 in the coming week.
👉 A break below 24,400 could open doors to 23,900.
👉 If 24,400 holds, bulls may still have a chance to regroup.
🧠 Pro Tip: Only Nifty Pharma is showing resilience. Those looking for long trades should focus on strong pharma stocks — the rest of the sectors are showing bearish signs.
Meanwhile in the US:
S&P 500 hits another all-time high, closing at 6,388, up 90 points from last week. My long-standing target of 6,568 now looks well within reach.
But here’s the catch — despite US strength, it’s not supporting Indian markets. If US markets correct, expect intensified selling pressure in India.
🎯 Strategy for Indian investors:
Let the bears rule till 7–8 August. Stay alert, and be ready to grab high-quality stocks at bargain prices. This is not the time to panic, but to prepare smartly.
Wkly Market Wrap: Nifty Under Pressure, S&P 500 Hits Record HighThe Nifty 50 closed the week at 24,968, down 180 points from the previous week's close. It traded within a tight range, posting a high of 25,255 and a low of 24,918—perfectly aligning with the range I’ve been tracking between 25,600 and 24,700.
As I’ve been highlighting over the past few weeks, the monthly chart continues to show weakness, and now even the weekly chart is starting to reflect bearish signals. This growing weakness is a notable concern.
What to Watch for Next Week:
If Nifty sustains above 25,100, we could see a potential rebound toward the 25,400–25,450 resistance zone.
However, a breakdown below this week's low of 24,918 opens the door to a retest of key support near 24,500.
What’s interesting is that, despite Nifty’s indecision, the number of bullish stocks on the monthly time frame has increased significantly. Last week, there were 18 such stocks on my radar; now that number has jumped to 26, even after excluding about 10 others that showed bullish patterns but had high volatility.
This divergence—index showing weakness while quality stocks turn bullish—could indicate a possible bear trap being set by institutional players. If true, we might see a sharp short-covering rally after a final shakeout.
Nifty Outlook:
For the upcoming week, I expect Nifty to remain range-bound between 25,400 and 24,500. A decisive breakout or breakdown from this range could lead to sharp directional movement, so traders should stay alert.
Global Markets: S&P 500 Soars to New Highs
The S&P 500 closed at a record high of 6,296, with a weekly high of 6,315 and low of 6,201. The index remains in strong uptrend mode.
A breakout above 6,315 could see it testing 6,376, 6,454, and potentially 6,500 in the coming sessions.
My next major Fibonacci target is 6,568.
As long as 6,149 holds on a weekly closing basis, I continue to view every dip as a buying opportunity.
Final Thoughts:
The Indian markets are sending mixed signals, with the broader index showing caution while individual stock strength is quietly building. This divergence warrants a tactical approach—stay nimble, respect levels, and be ready for sharp reversals or breakouts.
Next week could be crucial. Stay focused, stay disciplined.
Nifty at Make-or-Break Zone: What to Expect Next Week Markets eMarkets ended the week under pressure, with the Nifty 50 closing at 25,149, down 312 points from the previous week. The index traded within a tight band, hitting a high of 25,548 and a low of 25,129 — perfectly respecting the 25,900–25,000 range mentioned in last week’s analysis.
Now, Nifty finds itself at a crucial support level near 25,000. A rebound from this zone could trigger a short-term rally towards 25,500–25,600, which will act as immediate resistance. However, traders should proceed with caution, as the monthly chart remains neutral to bearish, indicating that this could just be a temporary bounce rather than a sustained uptrend.
Looking ahead, expect Nifty to trade within a range of 24,700 to 25,600. A breakdown below 24,700 could open the gates for deeper cuts, while a breakout above 25,600 needs to be backed by strong volume and participation to confirm a trend reversal.
Sector Watch: Reliance Shines Amidst Caution
Among the large caps, Reliance Industries stands out as the only stock showing strength on the monthly chart, while other heavyweights and key sectors continue to lack momentum. This narrow leadership is a red flag for broader market sustainability.
Global Markets: S&P 500 at a Crossroads
Globally, the S&P 500 closed at 6,259, down slightly from last week. What’s more important is the formation of a Doji candle — a classic sign of indecision. A move above 6,300 could lead to upside targets of 6,376 / 6,454 / 6,500, which would likely boost sentiment in global and Indian equities.
However, if the index slips below 6,150, it would mark a failed breakout, potentially triggering a global correction — a risk that Indian markets can't ignore.
Final Word
We’re at a critical juncture. While technicals suggest a potential bounce in Nifty from 25,000, the lack of confirmation on higher timeframes and uncertain global cues call for prudence over aggression.
👉 I’ll be staying out of the market this week. The setup doesn’t offer a favorable risk-reward, and in trading, patience is often the best position.
Let the charts speak. We’ll act accordingly.
Nifty Wkly Update: Market Cools Off,But Bulls May Regain ControlNifty closed the week at 25,461, down 176 points from last week's close. It touched a high of 25,669 and a low of 25,331—a clear sign of consolidation and short-term correction.
As I highlighted last week, it was a smart move to book partial profits or trail your stops, especially after the strong upmove. And here we are—a healthy pullback, exactly what we anticipated.
But things are about to get interesting...
Reliance, the heavyweight of Nifty, is turning bullish on the monthly chart—a strong signal for potential upside. As long as Reliance remains bullish, it's wise to focus on bullish opportunities only.
Nifty Outlook for Next Week:
Expected Range: 25,000 – 25,900
Strategy: Buy on dips while Reliance stays strong.
Sentiment: Cautiously bullish
Global Cue: S&P 500 Hits All-Time High!
The S&P 500 closed at a record 6,279, up nearly 100 points from last week. If it breaks above 6,284, we could see a rally toward:
6,376
6,454
6,500
6,568 (key level to watch)
However, a break below 6,177 could pull it back to 6,050/6,040.
My take: S&P 500 is in beast mode, and as it climbs, it’s likely to drag Nifty higher too. The broader market is turning bullish—momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls.
Final Thought:
Bulls are loading their guns, and bears might want to take a nap for the next 10–15 days. The trend is your friend—for now, let the bulls enjoy the ride!
Market Recap: Nifty Breaks Out After 5 Weeks of Consolidation!The Indian stock market saw a strong bullish move this week, with Nifty 50 closing at 25,637, marking a significant gain of 525 points from the previous week's close. The index made a high of 25,654 and a low of 24,824, finally breaking out of the key resistance zone of 25,000–25,100 after five weeks of sideways consolidation.
This breakout is a critical technical development, signaling renewed strength in the broader market. However, to sustain this momentum and target the all-time high zone of 26,134–26,277, Nifty may need to either:
Consolidate within the previous week's range of 25,650–24,800, or
Retest the breakout level near 25,200 for confirmation.
Failing to do so could make this breakout a false one.
Weekly Outlook for Nifty:
For the coming week, the expected trading range is between 25,200 and 26,150. Price action around these levels will be key to watch.
On a broader sectoral view, out of 14 NSE indices, only Nifty Financial Services is showing relative strength on the monthly chart—a potential red flag for sustained bullish sentiment. When just one sector leads while others lag, it's often a sign to remain cautious.
Strategy Suggestion:
Consider booking partial profits and trailing stop losses on the remaining positions. Until the monthly time frame turns decisively bullish, it's wise to stay alert and manage risk actively.
Global Markets: S&P 500 Breaks Out!
In the U.S., the S&P 500 surged to close at 6,173, successfully breaking above its key resistance level at 6,013. This breakout, if sustained above 6,150 next week, opens up the path toward higher targets: 6,225 / 6,376 / 6,454 / 6,500.
However, traders should remain flexible. If the breakout fails, we could see a pullback to support zones near 6,013 or even 5,899.
Pro Tip:
Be ready to switch trading positions quickly if the breakout doesn’t hold—volatility is still very much in play in both Indian and U.S. markets.
Market Recap & Outlook – Nifty and S&P 500, Bulls coming?The Indian stock market witnessed a volatile week, with the Nifty 50 closing at 24,718, down nearly 300 points from the previous week's close. The index hit a high of 25,222 and a low of 24,473, moving precisely within the range of 25,500–24,500 that I highlighted last week. I hope some of you took advantage of the cautionary signal!
Key Support Zone in Focus
The 24,400 level continues to act as a strong support—bulls have fiercely defended this zone for the past five weeks. However, if this level cracks, we could see Nifty test deeper supports at 23,900 and 23,700.
Geopolitical Overhang
The ongoing Iran-Israel tensions remain a wildcard. Unless the situation escalates significantly, I expect Nifty to trade in the 24,400–25,200 range this week.
Short-Term Strategy
I believe the current selling pressure might persist for 2–3 more sessions before the bulls regain control. Historically, Nifty tends to stay under pressure until mid-June, followed by a bullish phase leading into mid-July. If we get more dips, I’ll be looking to accumulate quality mid-cap and small-cap stocks for potential short-term gains.
S&P 500 Update
The S&P 500 closed at 5,976, down just 25 points from the previous week. The index made a high of 6,059 and a low of 5,963, forming a bearish candle on the weekly chart.
Watch These Levels
If 5,963 breaks, expect further downside towards 5,899 and 5,875. On the flip side, a sustained move above 6,030 could ignite bullish momentum, targeting resistance zones at 6,090 and 6,142.
Final Take – Bulls Gearing Up?
The broader trend still favors bulls, especially if key support levels hold. Watch for a turnaround by mid-week—"Bulls may soon reclaim the throne!"
Market Outlook – Nifty Near Critical Levels! Caution Advised
Nifty Weekly Wrap-Up:
The Nifty 50 index closed the week at 25,003, posting a solid gain of +250 points from last week's close. It touched a high of 25,029 and a low of 24,502 during the week.
But here’s the twist—while the uptrend looks strong, we’re now at a crucial inflection point on the weekly chart.
Technical Outlook – Is a Bearish “M” Pattern Forming?
On the weekly timeframe, Nifty is at a level where a bearish M-pattern could potentially develop. To complete this pattern, the index could pull back towards support levels at:
24,414
24,200
24,000
If the selling deepens, the final support zone lies between 23,900–23,700, where a bounce-back is likely.
Bullish Scenario – Can Nifty Break Out?
If Nifty holds above 25,000 for at least 2 consecutive sessions, it could trigger a short-covering rally, paving the way for a move toward key resistance zones at:
25,400
25,565
26,100
Next Week’s Expected Range: 24,500 – 25,500
This range should see most of the action next week. If you're holding long positions, now is a great time to:
✔️ Lock in profits
✔️ Trail stop-losses
✔️ Prepare cash reserves for potential dip-buying opportunities
Global Watch – S&P 500 Hits Key Resistance
The S&P 500 closed near 6,000, up 100 points for the week. But heads up—it’s now testing a strong Fibonacci resistance at 6,013.
A rejection here could lead to a correction toward 5,900–5,850, a dip of 1.5–2.5%. If this unfolds alongside a Nifty pullback, it would align perfectly with our support targets around 24,400–24,500.
Final Takeaway:
Markets are looking stretched. While momentum remains positive, profit booking at higher levels is essential. Don’t get caught unprepared in case of a reversal. Stay tactical, stay liquid.
Smart money is already locking in gains. Are you?
Weekly Market Wrap: Nifty & S&P 500 Outlook The Nifty closed the week at 24,853, down 166 points from the previous week's close. It traded within a range of 25,062 (high) and 24,462 (low) — perfectly aligning with our forecasted zone of 24,450 – 25,600. On the weekly chart, the index formed an inside candle pattern, signaling consolidation.
Positives: Despite the dip, Nifty continues to hold above the critical support level of 23,800, keeping the medium-term bullish structure intact.
Key Levels to Watch for Next Week:
High/Low to mark: 25,116 – 24,378
Breakout above 25,116 can lead to tests of 25,329 and 25,500 (resistance zones).
Breakdown below 24,378 could retest 23,800 and 23,600.
A weekly close below 23,800 could spell trouble for bulls, opening doors for deeper correction towards 22,800 and 22,100.
Trend Analysis:
Monthly Timeframe: Bearish
Daily Timeframe: Turned Bearish
Weekly Timeframe: Still Bullish
Conclusion: Stay cautious below 24,378 — volatility may rise if this level is breached.
S&P 500 Weekly Snapshot:
The S&P 500 ended the week at 5,802, down 156 points. Once again, it faced stiff resistance around the 5,980 mark — a historically significant level where the index began its downward move in March 2025.
Geopolitical Impact: Markets remain jittery amid escalating global trade tensions and Trump’s tariff war, likely keeping volatility high over the next 2–3 weeks.
Key Support Zones:
Immediate support at 5,700
Close below 5,700 may trigger declines to 5,551, 5,458 (key Fibonacci support), and 5,392
Bullish Breakout Scenario:
Sustained close above 6,000 is required to resume bullish momentum
Upside targets: 6,013, 6,082, 6,147 (All-Time High), and potentially 6,225
Final Takeaway:
Both Nifty and S&P 500 are at critical junctures. With technical patterns pointing to mixed signals and geopolitical events adding fuel to volatility, traders should stay alert and focus on key breakout and breakdown levels.
Weekly Market Wrap: Nifty Dips 340 Points Amid Global TensionsThis week, the Nifty 50 ended on a cautious note, closing at 24,008, down 340 points from the previous week's close. The index traded within a tight range, hitting a high of 24,526 and a low of 23,935—well within my anticipated levels of 24,900 to 23,800.
Silver Lining: Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and negative news flow—including war-related developments—bulls managed to defend the critical psychological support of 24,000. That’s a sign of resilience in an otherwise shaky environment.
What’s Ahead?
For the upcoming week, expect high volatility. I see Nifty moving between 24,600 and 23,200. A weekly close below 23,800 could spell trouble for bulls, potentially opening the door for a drop toward major support zones at 23,200 and 23,000.
Technical Outlook:
Monthly & Daily Timeframes: Weak
Weekly Timeframe: Still bullish
So, while long-term charts show vulnerability, the weekly trend gives hope. I'm staying cautiously bullish—but will only turn aggressive once the monthly chart flips positive. Until then, it’s time to stay vigilant, not impulsive.
Global Cues: S&P 500 Holding Up Amid Uncertainty
The S&P 500 closed at 5,659, just 30 points down from the previous week, forming a doji candle—a clear sign of indecision. As long as the index holds above 5,532, there's no major cause for concern.
Bearish Trigger: Below 5,532, expect downside pressure toward 5,458 and 5,392, which could spill over into already fragile emerging markets like India.
Bullish Breakout: Above 5,770, bulls gain momentum, with potential upside targets of 5,821, 5,850, and 5,900. A rally here could bring relief to global equities, including Indian markets.
Weekly Market Wrap Nifty, Mid & Small Caps, and S&P 500 OutlookNifty ended the week on a strong bullish note, closing at 24,346, up by 307 points from the previous week. The index traded within a tight range, hitting a high of 24,589 and a low of 24,054, aligning perfectly with my projected range of 24,650–23,400.
📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch:
Nifty closed just below a crucial Fibonacci resistance at 24,414.
A daily close above 24,414 next week could open the door for a sharp move towards the next major resistance at 24,770.
While my system suggests a broader range of 24,900–23,800, I personally hope for a healthy consolidation to cool off some momentum—paving the way for a stronger, faster rally in the coming weeks.
Caution Zone:
A break below 23,800 might signal the return of bears, potentially dragging the index down to test critical support at 23,200/23,100.
Midcap & Smallcap Watch:
I’ve received a lot of queries about Midcap and Smallcap indices, and here’s the honest truth—they remain in a 'no-trade' zone. Despite Nifty's strength, the rally hasn’t lifted most Mid & Small Cap stocks.
👉 Investors holding quality, fundamentally strong stocks in these segments should stay calm, but avoid high PE or overvalued stocks until we get a clear monthly buy signal on the charts.
🌍 Global Markets – S&P 500 Analysis:
The S&P 500 closed the week at 5,686, just above the strong Fibonacci level of 5,637. Sustaining above this level could lead to a rally toward 5,770/5,821. However, a failure to hold this support might trigger a 2–3% pullback, which could ripple across global markets, including India.
📣 Bottom Line:
Nifty bulls need a close above 24,414 to push higher.
Mid & Small Cap space remains tricky—stay selective.
Watch global cues, especially from the US, for broader market direction.
Stay nimble, stay informed. ✅
Nifty Wkly Market Outlook: Bulls Regain Momentum Amid key brkoutThe Indian benchmark index Nifty 50 ended the week on a strong note, closing at 24,039, marking a robust gain of nearly 200 points from last week's close. During the week, Nifty made a high of 24,365 and a low of 23,847, trading perfectly within the anticipated range of 24,414 – 23,200, as projected in our previous analysis.
Importantly, the index managed to secure a weekly close above the psychological resistance level of 24,000, signaling a possible continuation of bullish momentum. As we head into the next trading week, the bulls are expected to have the upper hand, provided Nifty stays above 23,700. A daily close below 23,700, however, could shift sentiment in favor of the bears, exposing key support zones at 23,400 and 23,200.
Looking ahead, traders and investors should watch for price action within the broader range of 24,650 to 23,400. If the bulls manage to break and sustain above the critical Fibonacci resistance level of 24,414, we could see an upside move toward 24,650 and even 24,770.
On the global front, the S&P 500 index also delivered a strong performance, closing at 5,525, up a significant 250 points from the previous week. As highlighted earlier, the bullish W pattern on the charts has played out well, driving momentum higher.
If the S&P 500 sustains above the key breakout level of 5,551, it could potentially rally further to test resistance at 5,638, 5,670, and 5,715. However, a break below 5,391 may invite selling pressure, dragging the index down to test supports at 5,368, 5,327, or even 5,246, which could trigger a negative ripple effect across global markets.
Key Takeaways:
Nifty bullish above 24,000; watch 24,414 for breakout confirmation.
S&P 500 bullish continuation above 5,551; potential to test 5,715.
Bearish reversal levels to monitor: 23,700 for Nifty and 5,391 for S&P 500.
TMC the metals company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on TMC:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TMC the metals company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 2.00usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-5-16,
for a premium of approximately $0.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Nifty Closes 1000 Points Higher – Will It Catch Up with BNFIn a strong move, Nifty 50 surged by 1000 points to close at 23,851, compared to last week’s close. The index made a weekly high of 23,872 and a low of 23,207. As highlighted in last week's analysis, a breakout above 23,400 could push Nifty toward 23,900 — a target it missed by just 23 points.
However, an intriguing divergence has emerged between Nifty and Bank Nifty. While Bank Nifty has scaled a new all-time high, Nifty still trades significantly below its previous all-time high of 26,277. This sets the stage for an interesting dynamic: Will Nifty rally to close the gap, or will Bank Nifty face a correction?
What to Expect Next Week?
For the upcoming week, Nifty is expected to trade in a range between 23,200 and 24,414. Despite the bullish signals on the daily and weekly timeframes, the monthly chart remains weak, indicating that volatility is likely to persist until a broader trend confirmation.
S&P 500 Outlook: Bounce or Breakdown?
The S&P 500 index saw a mild pullback, closing around 80 points lower from the previous week’s close of 5,363. Our “sell on rise” strategy mentioned last week worked well, as the index dipped post-rally.
Now, things get technically interesting. On the weekly chart, the S&P 500 is forming a potential bullish W pattern and an inside bar. A breakout above the previous week's high of 5,481 could trigger upward targets of 5,551, 5,637, and 5,679.
However, on the downside, a break below 5,115 would reintroduce bearish pressure, which could have negative ripple effects across global markets.
Key Market Takeaways:
Nifty 50: Strong rally, but still below ATH. Watch 23,200–24,414 range next week.
Bank Nifty: At ATH, diverging from Nifty – crucial to monitor.
S&P 500: At a technical crossroads – potential for breakout or breakdown
NEULANDLAB short opportunityUpon the breakdown of the trendline NEULANDLAB has immense downside of 42 odd percentage. Next quarter results will be the catalyst, making or breaking the stock. Negative surprise in last two consecutive results declare us participants to beware of the liquidity present below this key level.
Short below daily close of 11,100
Stoploss - 8%
TP - Trail the 50 DMA close above
Nifty Market Update: Bears Are in Control – A Rough Ride Ahead?The Nifty closed at 22,795 this week, down by 134 points from the previous week’s close, with a high of 23,049 and a low of 22,720. The formation of a Gravestone Doji candle indicates that the market is firmly under the control of the bears, signaling potential weakness ahead. As forecasted last week, Nifty moved within the range of 23,450 to 22,400, aligning perfectly with my predictions.
Looking ahead to next week, I expect Nifty to trade between the 23,300 to 22,250 range. While 22,300-22,400 offers a strong support zone, if the index slips below 22,250, it could test the WEMA100 at 22,050, which could offer some relief.
Digging deeper, I analyzed the Nifty50 monthly chart from 2004 onwards and noticed a recurring pattern: whenever Nifty closes below the monthly EMA21, it tends to test the EMA50, which currently stands at 19,450. If this month’s close is below 22,400, we could be heading toward 19,450, so brace yourselves for what could be a bumpy ride ahead.
On the international front, the S&P 500 is showing signs of forming a bearish M-pattern, a negative signal for the broader market. This is troubling news for Indian markets, which are already under pressure. From the current level of 6,013, a 1.5% correction could see the index testing support levels around 5,900.
The battle between bears and bulls continues, but for now, I believe the bears still have the upper hand. Stay cautious and keep a close watch on market movements – volatility is here to stay!
#nifty50 Week ahead, 3-7th Feb 2025The Nifty ended the week at 23,482, up nearly 400 points from last Friday’s close, with a high of 23,632 and a low of 22,786. With Saturday's budget announcement and tax break news, all eyes will be on Monday, which could be a game-changer. The new tax slabs will bring relief to many in the middle class, but institutional investors are carefully assessing its impact on the broader market. Monday’s closing could give us a clearer picture of how they’re positioning themselves, making it a critical day to watch.
Looking ahead, I anticipate Nifty may trade within the range of 24,000 to 22,950 next week. However, the weekly and monthly charts are still in a bearish phase, and until we see a shift toward a bullish trend on at least a weekly timeframe, the best approach remains to "sell on rallies."
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 closed at 6,040, about 60 points lower than last week. It tried to break through the strong resistance at 6,100 but couldn’t manage it. The weekly chart suggests a potential "W" pattern, but for that to play out, the index may need to drop and test support levels of 5,880-5,850. If that happens, it could trigger selling pressure on global markets, including India.
It’s going to be a crucial week ahead—prepare for a potentially volatile market environment!