ORCL Breakdown Zone Activated — Downside Pressure Builds!🔻 ORCL Bearish Breakdown Playbook | Smart Money Trap Ahead? 🔻
📌 Asset
ORCL — Oracle Corporation
NYSE Exchange | Stock Market
Trading Style: Swing / Day Trade
📉 Market Bias
Bearish Structure Confirmed
Price action confirms a Triangular Moving Average (TMA) breakdown, signaling momentum exhaustion and increasing downside probability. Sellers remain in control as volatility expands after the structure break ⚠️📊
🎯 Trade Plan (Thief Style – Market Adaptive)
🔹 Entry:
Market-responsive entry — no fixed price level.
(Allow price to confirm direction; avoid emotional entries 🧠)
🔹 Stop Loss:
🛑 Thief SL reference: 205.00
This level is shared for educational context only. Risk management remains fully trader-dependent.
📝 Note:
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this is not a recommendation to use only this stop loss. You manage risk according to your own strategy and comfort.
🔹 Target Zone:
🎯 170.00
This level aligns with:
✔ Strong historical support
✔ Oversold conditions
✔ Potential liquidity trap
✔ Correlation-based confluence
⚠️ As price approaches this zone, partial or full profit protection is advised. Smart exits matter more than perfect targets.
📝 Note:
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this target is not mandatory. Adapt your take-profit based on live price behavior and personal risk rules.
🔗 Correlated Markets to Watch 👀
📌 NASDAQ:QQQ – Nasdaq weakness often amplifies downside pressure on ORCL due to tech sector correlation.
📌 NASDAQ:MSFT – Relative weakness here can signal broader enterprise-tech selling.
📌 NASDAQ:AAPL – Risk-off sentiment in mega-caps may accelerate momentum continuation.
📌 TVC:DXY – Dollar strength can pressure equities, supporting bearish follow-through.
➡️ If correlated assets show risk-off behavior, ORCL downside probability increases.
🧠 Key Takeaways
✔ Trend bias favors sellers
✔ Breakdown structure validated
✔ Risk management > prediction
✔ Adapt to price, don’t marry levels
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a thief-style trading strategy, shared for fun and educational purposes only.
Trading involves risk. You are fully responsible for your decisions and outcomes.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#ORCL #Oracle #BearishSetup #StockMarket #SwingTrading
#DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney
#NYSE #TradingView #RiskManagement #ThiefStyle
Orclshort
ORCL Earnings Put Play $205 Puts – Are You In?
# 🔥 ORCL Earnings Play – Bearish Tail Hedge 🚨
**📊 Setup:** Oracle (ORCL) – Earnings 09/09 AMC
**🎯 Direction:** PUT (Short Bias)
**💵 Entry:** \$0.93 (205 Put)
**🛑 Stop:** \$0.47 (−50%)
**🎯 Target:** \$2.79 (+300%)
**📅 Expiry:** 2025-09-12
**📈 Confidence:** 66%
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### ⚡ Why this trade?
* 📉 Weak technicals → price < 20d & 50d MAs, RSI \~42
* 🏦 Institutional flow → heavy OI/volume at \$205 puts
* 💣 Leverage risk (Debt/Equity > 500%)
* 🎯 Cheap asymmetric bet → defined premium risk vs. big payoff
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### ⚠️ Risks to watch
* ❌ Small move + IV crush = full premium loss
* 🚀 Big beat → upside squeeze
* 📰 Macro (Fed/inflation data) could override stock move
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### ✅ Trade Plan
* Enter: **Pre-earnings close (09/09 AMC)**
* Position size: ≤2% portfolio
* Profit scale: +100% / +200% / +300%
* Exit rule: If stop hit OR 2 hrs after open post-earnings
---
🔥 **ORCL = High-quality biz but high expectations. This setup = cheap downside hedge with asymmetric payoff.*
Oracle in descending triangle.Oracle - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 112.98 (stop at 118.98)
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
Trades with a bearish descending triangle formation.
113.43 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent low at 113.43 should result in a further move lower.
The bias is to break to the downside.
Our profit targets will be 98.98 and 96.98
Resistance: 118.00 / 121.36 / 124.00
Support: 113.43 / 110.00 / 105.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
ORCL Large Cap Tech Setting up Bearish ContinuationORCL may not be joining the technology stock parade. Although it ran up
on the 2H chart with a good 30% rise between earnings. the MACD indicator
showed a double top. On the retracement, the price descended but then
stalled. It came up short of a 40-50% retracement and went sideways
into a flat top triangle. The MACD indicator has been with a negative
red histogram and now a downward-curving set of lines.
I see this as a short trade setup in stock not thriving in the technology
run-up. It could be that investors are simply deploying cash to far better
profit opportunities and not considering this stock as a good move.
Others may be already shorting this. I will join them.
Oracle to breakdown?Oracle - Expires 17/4 (30d) - We look to Sell a break of 81.98 (stop at 85.22)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Previous support at 86.00 now becomes resistance.
A break of the recent low at 82.04 should result in a further move lower.
The bias is to break to the downside.
Our profit targets will be 73.88 and 71.88
Resistance: 86.00 / 88.00 / 91.22
Support: 82.04 / 79.00 / 78.06
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Oracle: No end in sight for the pain!Oracle
Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 68.29 (stop at 71.31)
The primary trend remains bearish. A sequence of daily lower lows and highs has been posted. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. We expect an initial move higher to fail and look to set shorts on a break back through 68.50.
Our profit targets will be 60.09 and 58.00
Resistance: 71.50 / 74.00 / 82.00
Support: 60.00 / 56.00 / 44.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
$ORCL Fade The News IdeaOracle shares rise on better-than-expected earnings report - CNBC
My thought process on this idea is the following:
1) 10yr yield @ 3.33
2) Strong dollar
3) Fed potentially raising .75 basis points, according to J.P. Morgan.
Risk/Reward and environment is to the downside. If NASDAQ catches a bid and dollar/yields cool off, this may be a nice long. As of right now, it is a short the rip environment.






