EURUSD – Watching Trendline + Resistance Zone for Short🧩 Setup Overview :
Price recently broke below a well-respected ascending trendline
It’s now approaching that same trendline from underneath
The area also aligns with a prior resistance zone and potential lower high
If price retests this zone and shows clear rejection, I’ll consider a short entry
🎯 Trade Plan (If Triggered) :
Short on confirmed rejection (not entering blindly)
Stop Loss: Above the recent high / invalidation point
Target: Next support level — clean structure, favorable R:R
💬 How are you approaching EURUSD here?
Always open to hearing different views. Drop your thoughts below 👇
Orderblocks
Gold Price Setup – Liquidity Grab Before Bullish Rally?Price is currently hovering above the 15M Order Block (OB) and testing the ascending trendline, aligned with the 200 EMA support.
📌 Key Points:
Price rejected from the higher channel boundary and entered the Rejection Area near 3,405 – 3,409 ($$$ liquidity zone).
Expecting a possible dip into the 15M OB for liquidity grab and trendline retest.
If bullish confirmation forms, a potential rally toward 3,405 and possibly 3,409 is on the table.
A break below 3,385 would invalidate the setup and could shift sentiment bearish.
🎯 Bullish Target: 3,405 – 3,409
🛡 Invalidation: Break below 3,385
Gold 15-Min Breakout: Eyes on M30 Supply Zone & FVG RetestPrice is currently approaching a key M30 Supply Zone after a strong bullish impulse from the ascending trendline support.
🔹 Key Observations:
The price broke above a previous short-term resistance zone and is now retesting the Fair Value Gap (FVG) area marked in pink.
The 200 EMA acted as dynamic support, further fueling bullish momentum.
Structure shows a series of higher lows, confirming buyers in control on intraday timeframes.
🔹 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Continuation:
If the price respects the FVG as demand and forms bullish confirmation, continuation toward the M30 Supply Zone and the 3,399–3,400 region is likely.
⚠️ Pullback Risk:
A deeper retracement below FVG could retest the trendline or the 3,371 support near the 200 EMA before any further upside.
🔹 Trade Plan:
Watching for price action reaction inside the FVG. A clean rejection could offer entries targeting the upper supply zone.
Gold Price Setup – Potential Rejection & Long ScenariosPrice is currently consolidating below the H4 Supply Zone after rejecting the ascending trendline twice.
Two key scenarios are in focus:
✅ Scenario 1 – Deeper Pullback to Demand Zone
A retracement into the 1H + 30M Order Block (OB) and liquidity zone near 3,341–3,355 (marked with $$$) could attract buyers.
If bullish momentum confirms, look for a continuation toward 3,388 and possibly the upper trendline near 3,400+.
✅ Scenario 2 – Immediate Push Higher
If price holds above the moving average and fails to break below 3,355, bulls could step in earlier, driving price back to test the trendline resistance.
Breakout of the trendline could target the higher supply region.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
H4 Supply Zone (3,440 area) for potential reversal.
3,341 OB Zone for liquidity sweep and reaction.
Trendline Resistance capping the upside.
GOLD (XAUUSD) - Potential Bullish Reversal from Demand ZonePrice is currently trading around the 3,368–3,370 area after a steady decline. I’m watching two key zones for a potential reaction:
✅ Demand Zone (15M + 5M OB) – This confluence zone sits near 3,360–3,364. If price taps into this area and shows bullish rejection, I expect a bounce in line with the 1H Trendline support.
📈 Scenario:
A liquidity sweep into the 15M/5M Order Block zone followed by a bullish reaction.
Continuation to the upside targeting the 5M and 30M Order Blocks around 3,380.
⚠️ Invalidation:
If price closes strongly below the demand zone, this bullish setup will be invalidated and further downside could follow.
Gold 4H Swing Trade Setup!Currently watching price action as it approaches the 4H Fair Value Gap and descending trendline resistance. Price has not tapped this zone yet, and a move higher into this area could set up a potential reversal.
Setup Highlights:
4H FVG: 3,397–3,400 – Main area of interest.
Trendline Resistance: Confluence zone to watch for rejection.
Plan: Waiting for price to fill the imbalance and test the resistance before considering short entries.
Targets if Rejection Occurs:
TP1: 3,344 – First partial target.
TP2: 3,268 – 4H OB retest.
Invalidation:
A clear breakout and hold above 3,440 would invalidate the bearish scenario.
"BTC Sweeps Liquidity – Eyeing 115K Reclaim?""BTC Sweeps Liquidity – Eyeing 115K Reclaim?"
🔍 Technical Analysis – BTC/USD
On the 1H chart, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently displaying a textbook smart money structure, with price action following key institutional footprints.
🔑 Key Observations:
Liquidity Grab at Weak Low
Price dipped below the local support (~112,500), sweeping sell-side liquidity and tapping into a possible reversal zone.
Rejection from Demand Zone (Support Area)
A strong reaction occurred right at the support level, suggesting buyer interest is still present.
Order Block & Fair Value Gap
A visible Fair Value Gap (FVG) sits above current price action, aligning with an Order Block near the 115,000 level — this is a key magnet for price to rebalance.
Target Zone
Immediate upside target is 115,000, where an order block lies. If price reaches that level, expect potential short-term resistance or reversal.
Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmations
Multiple BOS and CHoCHs indicate bearish-to-bullish attempts, but the current structure still needs confirmation above 113,500+ for bullish continuation.
🧠 Conclusion & Expectation:
BTC has swept liquidity to the downside and may now seek to fill the FVG and revisit the 115K order block. However, confirmation is required — watch for bullish engulfing candles, volume spikes, or a CHoCH above 113,500.
“Smart money doesn’t chase — it waits for liquidity, then repositions. BTC may be following the same script.”
XRP — Mapping Out the Next High-Probability Long SetupXRP continues to respect key levels, delivering clean setups and strong technical reactions.
📉 Recent Price Action Recap
After the flush from $3.65 into the $3.00 support zone, XRP printed a solid bounce back toward the $3.30 resistance area, forming a clean short setup between $3.30–$3.35.
Price is now trading mid-range within the 6-day consolidation.
🟢 Next High-Probability Long Setup
A prime long opportunity lies between $2.96 and $2.9175 sitting within a key daily order block.
Confluence at this zone includes:
Liquidity pool just below the $2.9555 swing low
Anchored VWAP from the $1.9083 swing low resting just under the block
0.618 Fib Speed Fan lining up as dynamic support (July 30 – Aug 2)
2.272 Trend-Based Fib Extension at $2.9297
📈 Long Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $2.96 – $2.9175
Stop Loss: Below anchored VWAP (clear invalidation)
Target: $3.1/$3.13+
R:R: ~1:3+
💡 Educational Insight
This setup is a great example of how multiple tools layered together (like Fibonacci levels, VWAPs, order blocks and liquidity zones) can significantly increase the probability of a trade playing out.
When structure, volume-based tools and time alignment all point to the same area, it creates a high-confluence trade zone. These are the areas where risk is most defined and reward is most favourable, a principle every technical trader should anchor their strategy around.
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SUI/USDT Update – Bounce Setup from Demand Zone?In the previous analysis, we highlighted a short opportunity near $4.20, which played out perfectly. Now, SUI has reached a key demand zone around $3.40–$3.55, overlapping with the lower boundary of the ascending channel and a previously defined bullish order block.
🔹 Market Structure:
After breaking the bullish structure, price is now revisiting a major liquidity zone between $3.40 and $3.55.
🔹 Price Behavior:
Wicks to the downside suggest buy-side absorption and potential for short-term reversal.
🔹 Possible Scenario:
If the $3.40 zone holds, we could see a corrective move up to the supply zone around $3.90–$4.00.
📌 Key Levels:
• Support: $3.40–$3.55
• Resistance: $3.90–$4.00
❗️If the $3.40 support fails, bullish momentum will likely be invalidated in the short term.
🧠 Pro Tip (SMC-based):
When a demand zone aligns with liquidity sweep and channel support, it often becomes a high-probability area for institutional re-entries. Wait for a clear confirmation like BOS or bullish engulfing candle before entering.
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XAUUSD Price at Decision Point – Bounce or Breakdown?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading between two significant zones — a ⏫ 1H Order Block above and a 🛑 Major Support level at 3268.
At this stage, price action remains undecided, and we have a few key scenarios to monitor:
🔄 Potential Scenarios:
📌 Price taps into the 1H OB, then shows signs of rejection — this could trigger a move back down toward support.
⬇️ Price drops directly to 3268, where buyers may step in for a potential bounce.
🚀 If the price breaks through the OB, it may continue pushing up toward the liquidity area around 3248.
⚠️ If support fails, we could see a deeper bearish continuation.
These zones are crucial for both intraday and swing setups. Be patient and wait for a clean reaction to catch a high-probability move.
Gold Market Update: Major Support at and Supply atGold is recovering after a strong drop from the previous range high. Price is approaching a 4H Order Block near the 3300–3310 zone, which may act as a supply area. A minor liquidity zone has just been tapped, suggesting a potential short-term rejection.
The major support lies at 3269, which sparked the recent bullish move. If price rejects from the OB zone, a pullback toward this support is likely. However, a clean break and hold above the OB may signal further upside.
📌 Key Levels:
Supply Zone: 3300–3310
Support: 3269
🧠 Wait for clear confirmation before executing trades.
XAUUSD Eyeing Liquidity Grab – M30 OB Zone in PlayPrice is respecting the ascending trendline and consolidating near a key resistance level. A bullish breakout is expected, with a potential retest of the trendline and the M30 Order Block (OB) zone acting as a key demand area.
📈 Trade Plan:
Wait for a minor pullback into the OB and trendline confluence
Look for bullish confirmation to go long
Target the liquidity zone above (around 3347)
📌 A clean structure and bullish order flow hint at a continuation to the upside.
Gold Tapping Into Major Support – Eyes on Bullish ReversalPrice is currently retracing after a strong drop from recent highs. We're now approaching a key demand zone, aligning with:
📍 1H Order Block (OB)
📍 4H Trendline Support
📍 Liquidity Zone ($$$)
📉 If price taps into this area, it may offer a high-probability long setup.
📈 First target: 3380 (mid-range resistance)
🧱 If this breaks, we can look to scale in/add more positions, targeting the 4H trendline zone near 3420.
⚠️ Waiting for price reaction at support – patience is key!
Gold at Key Decision Zone – Bounce or Break?Price is currently hovering above a strong support zone, showing potential for a short-term bounce. 🔁
If this zone holds, we could see a bullish reaction toward the 4H trendline resistance above. 📈
However, a break below may lead price to drop and tap into the M30 Order Block (OB) for a deeper mitigation before any move up. ⚠️
If this happen we could look for potential sell till the OB test otherwise the buying opportunity should focused more
🎯 Watch these key zones carefully – market is at a decision point!
Both buy and sell setups possible depending on how price reacts at these levels.
NZDUSD Is a Short-Term Rebound on the Table?NZD/USD is down nearly 0.4% in Tuesday’s European session, trading near the key support area of 0.5940 — a confluence of the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the midline of a descending channel. The pair is pressured by rising expectations that the RBNZ may cut rates in August, while the USD remains volatile amid uncertainty surrounding trade talks between the US and its key partners.
🔍 Technical Overview – Structure & Momentum
✅ Overall Trend: Bearish short-term (descending channel)
✅ Current Structure: Price is testing key technical support at 0.5940
✅ Volume Profile: VPOC and upper supply zones remain key targets on a bounce
NZD/USD continues to respect the bearish channel structure. However, the support zone at 0.5940 (Fibo 0.5 + recent demand) is showing signs of holding. If price sustains above this level, a bullish correction toward the 0.6006 and 0.6040 supply zones is a valid scenario.
🧭 Trade Scenarios
🔸 Bullish Short-Term Scenario (if 0.5940 holds):
Entry: Buy around 0.5940
TP1: 0.60064 (VPOC + supply zone)
TP2: 0.60400 (OBS sell zone)
SL: Below 0.5905 (sell-side liquidity break)
🔹 Bearish Continuation (if support breaks):
A clean break below 0.5905 confirms downside continuation
Look for retest and short entries targeting deeper channel lows (0.586x–0.583x)
⚠️ Macro Risk Drivers
Growing expectations of an RBNZ rate cut in August
Ongoing US trade negotiation uncertainty with key partners
Potential USD volatility around upcoming macroeconomic releases
📌 Key Price Levels to Watch
Technical Support 0.5940 Fibo 0.5 + mid-channel
Sell-Side Liquidity 0.5905 Bearish confirmation if broken
VPOC + Supply Zone 0.60064 First upside target
OBS Sell Zone 0.60400 Final bullish target / resistance
💬 The descending channel remains in control, but 0.5940 could be the key pivot. Wait for confirmation before entering, and watch volume closely.
USDJPY Correction Complete, Is the Bullish Trend Back in play?After pulling back from the recent high near 149.17, USDJPY has shown signs of strength again, rebounding off the confluence support at the ascending trendline. The bullish narrative is supported by a hawkish FOMC tone and news that a U.S. federal court temporarily blocked Trump-era tariffs. The pair now awaits upcoming U.S. economic data for further directional clarity.
🔍 Technical Outlook – Structure & Momentum
✅ Primary trend: Bullish
✅ Correction phase: Completed near CP zone and trendline
✅ Key structural areas: FVG Zone, CP Zone, and trendline remain intact
Price has responded positively from the CP Zone + OBS Buy Zone around 147.438, aligning with the uptrend line. As long as this structure holds, buyers may push the market toward the next resistance zones.
🧭 Trade Scenarios
🔸 Bullish Bias (preferred scenario):
As long as price holds above 147.438, we expect continuation toward the FVG zone, with immediate targets at the GAP + OBS Sell Zone (148.703) and extended potential to the Buy-side Liquidity zone at 149.122.
A clean breakout above 149.122 opens the door to Fibonacci extensions: 149.72 and 150.05.
🔹 Bearish Scenario (if invalidated):
If price breaks below 147.438 and loses the trendline, we may see a deeper drop toward the Liquidity Buy Zone at 146.825, where strong buying interest is expected to re-enter the market.
⚠️ Macro Risk Drivers
Hawkish FOMC minutes continue to support USD strength
Paused trade tariffs reduce political headwinds, improving risk sentiment
Upcoming U.S. economic data could trigger sharp intraday moves → watch closely
📌 Key Price Zones
Liquidity Buy Zone 146.825 Major long re-entry zone
CP + OBS Buy Zone 147.438 Current active support
FVG Zone 148.20 – 148.68 Intraday bullish target
GAP + OBS Sell Zone 148.703 Short-term resistance
Buy-side Liquidity Zone 149.122 Final bullish objective
💬 Structure remains bullish unless the trendline breaks. Stay patient, wait for confirmations at key zones, and follow your plan with disciplined risk management.
EURJPY: MSS on H4 Signals Bearish Shift Toward Weekly FVGGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of EURJPY, we observe that a Market Structure Shift (MSS) has recently occurred on the H4 timeframe, indicating a potential change in directional bias. This suggests that price may begin to draw toward the Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), presenting a favorable opportunity to align with bearish order flow.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe currently shows an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) to the downside, acting as the primary draw on liquidity. This macro bearish draw adds weight to the idea of shorting the pair from premium levels. On the H4—our intermediate timeframe—we now have structural confirmation via a bearish MSS, aligning the two timeframes toward downside targets.
Key Observations on H4:
Bearish Order Block in Premium: Price has recently retraced into an H4 bearish order block situated within premium pricing. This zone acts as institutional resistance and is currently showing signs of rejection.
Confirmation Zone: This H4 bearish order block is being monitored for M15 confirmation entries, as we look for price to break lower from this key institutional level.
Engineered Support & Resting Liquidity: Just above the weekly FVG lies an engineered support zone—characterized by equal lows—suggesting that liquidity has been pooled there. This area serves as a high-probability draw for institutional price delivery.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Seek lower timeframe (M15) confirmation around the H4 bearish order block before initiating short positions.
Targets: The first target lies at the H4 internal liquidity pool within discounted pricing. The longer-term objective is the weekly FVG, where liquidity is likely to be delivered next.
For a detailed analysis, please watch this weeks Forex Outlook:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/
Maintain patience, follow your confirmation rules, and always adhere to sound risk management principles.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect 🏛️📉